Five years of regional foresight in Flanders (Belgium)

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Sept 28-29, 2006

Elke Smits1, Bart Van Looy2, Koenraad Debackere2, Elisabeth Monard3, Vincent Thoen1, Elie Ratinckx1, Danielle Raspoet1, Karel Vinck1

1Flemish Science Policy Council, Brussels, Belgium2Managerial Economics, Strategy and Innovation, Faculty of Economics and Applied Economics, K.U.Leuven, Belgium

3Research Foundation - Flanders, Brussels, Belgium

The second international Seville seminar on future-oriented technology analysis

Regional technology Foresight Flanders 2015

Expert validated priority setting on technology and innovation within 6

strategic clusters in Flanders (Belgium)

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Five years of regional foresight in Flanders (Belgium)

Methodological framework for S&T-foresight

Technological foresight studies for the technological industry, the food and chemical sectors in Flanders

Flanders 2015:

“Which priorities in technology and innovation do we need for the future to create wealth in Flanders?”

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Methodological framework for S&T priority setting

STAGE 1:IDENTIFYING PROMISING

DOMAINS

STAGE 2:EXPLORING THE DOMAIN

STAGE 3:ESTABLISHING SUPPORTIVE

ARRANGEMENTS

STAGE 4:ASSESSING PROGRESS

SELECTION OF PROMISING DOMAINS

DECIDING ON PRIORITIES WITHIN THE SELECTED DOMAIN(S)

IMPLEMENTING SUPPORTIVE ARRANGEMENTS

KEY I SSUES METHODS

Identifying promising findings and advances in science and technology.Identifying technological /commercial opportunities.

Identifying underlying technologies (components & architecture) -develop (multiple) scenario’s and roadmapsAssess emergence of different themes Identifying existing knowledge base

(actors) (Strengths & Weaknesses)

Choosing between different relevant subfields/themes based on SWOT analysis and synergetic potential (across industries).

Assessing Progress – When relevant, adjust selection of domains/selection of supportive arrangements.

Literature review of foresight exercises Content analyses of articles in leading scientific/ foresight oriented journals

Expert PanelsDelphi Surveys

Extensive literature reviewJudgmental/expert opinionsScenario Development and analysis

Exploring/ identifying relevant competencies and actors through patent and publications searchesTrend Analysis/Forecasting

Assess relevance/nature of project funding, price incentives or other legal supportive arrangements

Assess relevance of creating protected niches and of clustering and other co-operative mechanisms.

Trend analysis/forecastingBenchmarking – Performance assessement through analysis of publications, patents, new firms/ product introductions

F E E D -B A C K L O O P


DOMAINS



ARRANGEMENTS





KEY I SSUES METHODS















DOMAINS



ARRANGEMENTS



DOMAINS



ARRANGEMENTS





KEY I SSUES METHODS
















KEY I SSUES METHODS















Debackere et al., 2000

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Step 1: Strength-weakness analysis of Flanders• Science – Technology – Innovation – Economic performance

Step 2: Matching strenghts&weaknesses to trendanalysis

• Analysis techno-economic trends (2015)• 6 strategic clusters • Validation by Flemish techno-economic experts (first session)

Step 3: Priority setting • Delphi-survey (electronically)• Panels of Flemish techno-economic experts (second session)

Process for priority setting in technology and innovation in Flanders (started 2005)

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Criteria for priority setting

Which development in technology and innovation has the greatest potential to create wealth in Flanders starting from a current technological strength?

Which development in technology and innovation has the greatest potential to create wealth in Flanders starting from a current economic strength?

or both

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Six strategic clusters for Flanders

Transport – Logistics – Services – Supply Chain Management

ICT and Services for Health Care

Health care – Food – Prevention and treatment

New materials – (Nanotechnology) – Manufacturing Industry

ICT for Socio-economic innovation

Energy and Environment for Services and Manufacturing Industry

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Cluster 1:Transport – Logistics – Services – Supply Chain Management

Intermodal Transport

Intelligent supply chain management

Intelligent transport

Virtual design and production

Expert panel Cluster 1: Chairman: Prof. Sleuwaegen, K.U.Leuven21 experts from industry and academia in Flanders

Priority setting within Cluster 1:

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Cluster 2:ICT and Services for Health Care

Expert panel Cluster 2: Chairman: Freddy Librecht, Agfa-Gevaert17 experts from industry and academia in Flanders


E-health: electronic medical file and integration of health care information systems

Innovative health care services and products

Medical imaging: computer-assisted reading, diagnosis and therapy – molecular and functional imaging

Multidisciplinarity: bioinformatics – cheminformatics - neuroinformatics

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Cluster 3:Health care – Prevention and Treatment – Food and Agriculture

Expert panel Cluster 3: Chairman: Staf Van Reet, Janssen Pharmaceutica20 experts from industry and academia in Flanders


Molecular diagnostics and biomarkers Preventive and therapeutic vaccins Cell therapy Molecular biology research for diagnosis and

threatment Translational medicine Interdisciplinarity with applications in health

care: system biology and biomedical engineering Relationship between food and health Agricultural biotechnology Industrial Biotechnology

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Cluster 4:New materials – (Nanotechnology) – Manufacturing Industry

Expert panel Cluster 4: Chairman: Prof. Gilbert Declerck, IMEC20 experts from industry and academia in Flanders

Priority setting within Cluster 4: Structured micro and nanomaterials

Materials for nanoelectronics, microoptics, fotonics, micromechanics

Materials with unique composition

Biomaterials, metals, ceramic materials, polymers

Materials and material systems interacting with the environment

Enabling technologies

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Cluster 5:ICT for Socio-economic innovation

Expert panel Cluster 5: Chairman: John Dejaeger, BASF Antwerp25 experts from industry and academia in Flanders


Advanced networks: broadband – mobile – wireless (multi-access and always connected)

Criteria for advanced networks: user friendly and ambient intelligence – context awareness – security and privacy

Converging technologies and application development

E-applications: E-health and E-society

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Cluster 6:Energy and Environment for Services and Manufacturing

Expert panel Cluster 6: Chairman: Marc Van Sande, Umicore20 experts from industry and academia in Flanders


Efficient energy use in industry and buildings

Smart Grids

Energy generation: photovoltaics – biomass – efficient use of fossil fuels – nuclear energy – fuel cells

Sustainability of production processes and products: environment friendly production processes – industrial biotechnology – agricultural biotechnology – decontamination of water, air and soil

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15 critical innovation factors identified for Flanders

Regulatory processVenture capitalLongterm vision on research funding

Human capital International networking

S&T communicationEducationR&D settings

Innovation SMELabour marketLabour cost researcherFiscal mattersPublic procurementBureaucracy

Dual useAverage competitive

Lowcompetitive

ACTUAL POSITION FLANDERS

Important Very Important

Essential IMPORTANCE FOR INNOVATION

Notimportant

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Priority setting on Technology and innovation for Flanders 2015

130 experts from industry and academia:

30 priorities within 6 strategic clusters

15 critical innovation factors

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Valorisation foresight exercise: reference framework to government – industry – academia

Selection frameworkStrategic research centres

Poles of competence

INVOLVEMENTPOLICY

Bottom-up Top-down

INTENSITY

Hands-on

Hands-offInspiration for

R&D

Verification framework‘Service Level Agreements’/

Round tables

Making choicesPriority settings

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For further information

Please visit our website at www.vrwb.be

or contact [email protected]

Documents

Five years of regional foresight in Flanders (Belgium)