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FIU Entrepreneur’s How To Webinar Series. How to Develop the Business Concept ROBERT H. HACKER November 10, 2009. Sales 6 Years After Start-up. Out of Business in 5 Years. 55 %. Keys to Success. PICK RIGHT INDUSTRY AND OPPORTUNITY MENTORING CAPITAL. Stages of Development. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Robert H. Hacker [email protected] 1Robert H. Hacker [email protected] 1© All rights reservedhttp://sophisticatedfinance.typepad.com
FIU Entrepreneur’s How To Webinar Series
How to Develop the Business Concept
ROBERT H. HACKERNovember 10, 2009
Robert H. Hacker [email protected] 2Robert H. Hacker [email protected] 2© All rights reservedhttp://sophisticatedfinance.typepad.com
Sales 6 Years After Start-up
Sales $ Millions Number of firms %100 200 0.03%50 500 0.08%5 9,500 1.6%
<5 579,800 98.3%Total 590,000 100%
Robert H. Hacker [email protected] 3Robert H. Hacker [email protected] 3© All rights reservedhttp://sophisticatedfinance.typepad.com
Out of Business in 5 Years
55 %
Robert H. Hacker [email protected] 4Robert H. Hacker [email protected] 4© All rights reservedhttp://sophisticatedfinance.typepad.com
Keys to Success
• PICK RIGHT INDUSTRY AND OPPORTUNITY
• MENTORING• CAPITAL
Robert H. Hacker [email protected] 5Robert H. Hacker [email protected] 5© All rights reservedhttp://sophisticatedfinance.typepad.com
Stages of Development
• PROOF OF CONCEPT 0-$1MM• COMMERCIALIZATION $1-3MM• SCALING $3-10MM• GROWTH $10-
30MM• PROFESSIONALIZATION $30-
100MM
Robert H. Hacker [email protected] 6Robert H. Hacker [email protected] 6© All rights reservedhttp://sophisticatedfinance.typepad.com
The Process
STEP 2 STEP 3 STEP 4 STEP 5
GROWTH SURVIVAL
CONCEPT INDUSTRY BUSINESS MODEL FINANCIAL MODELCUSTOMER
STEP 1
Robert H. Hacker [email protected] 7Robert H. Hacker [email protected] 7© All rights reservedhttp://sophisticatedfinance.typepad.com
Austin on CreativityStep Requirement
1 Interest You have to enjoy it to persist
2 Preparation Study it
3 Incubation Keep working
4 Illumination Solutions Will come
5 Verification Confirm Conclusions
6 Exploitation Act
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1.Customer Needs Gerald Zaltman's seven metaphors for the
subconscious that explain 70 percent of human behavior
1. Balance (equilibrium) 2. Transformation (changing states or status)3. Journey (as in life) 4. Container (keeping things in and keeping things
out) 5. Connection (feelings of belonging or exclusion) 6. Resource (providing survival) 7. Control As quoted from HBS Working Knowledge)
Robert H. Hacker [email protected] 9Robert H. Hacker [email protected] 9© All rights reservedhttp://sophisticatedfinance.typepad.com
1.Customer NeedsExamples of Zaltman
1. Balance-Starbucks 2. Transformation-AMEX cards3. Journey-University of Phoenix 4. Container-LG refrigerators5. Connection-FaceBook6. Resource-FEMA 7. Control-TurboTaxAs quoted from HBS Working Knowledge)
Robert H. Hacker [email protected] 10Robert H. Hacker [email protected] 10© All rights reservedhttp://sophisticatedfinance.typepad.com
1. Customer Needs
NINTENDO APPROACH1. DO NOT FOCUS ON PRODUCT--GAMEBOY2. DO NOT FOCUS ON COMPETITION--MICROSOFT,
SONY3. FOCUS ON DEFINING THE NEED--WHAT TO DO
IN SPARE TIME
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1. Customer Needs
ABUNDANCE APPROACH
1. What is abundant—CARS2. What is scarce about cars—honest,
hassle free buying3. Scarcity Solution--CARMAX
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STEP 1: Customer Needs New Business Types
1. Do something better (market exists)2. Do something in a new way
(disruptive technology)3. Do something new (highest risk)
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STEP 1: Customer Needs New Business Types
1. Do something better--GOOGLE2. Do something in a new way--
Amazon3. Do something new--Penicillin
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A THOUGHT
Disbelief is more resistant than faith because it is sustained by the senses Gabriel Garcia Marquez
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STEP 1. Customer Needs
Deliverable--Value Proposition
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STEP 1. Customer Needs
Value Proposition
Product or service to satisfy a customer need for economic benefit (or social utility)
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2. Solution
• Hypothesis• Iterative process• Evolving• Stalking horse
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2. Solution
Hypothesis—Until $3+ million in revenue
—Until scaling begins
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STEP 3: Industry AnalysisPorter’s Strategic Analysis
Source:http://www.quickmba.com/strategy/porter.shtml
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STEP 3: Industry Analysis
Porter’s 3 Strategies
1.Low Cost2.Differentiation3.Focus4.Access to Capital--Hacker
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STEP 3: Industry Analysis
Porter’s 3 Strategies
1.Low Cost—Wal-Mart2.Differentiation—Apple3.Focus—Cisco
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STEP 3: Deliverables
• Differential Advantage– Unique, Sustainable And
Proprietary
• Target Customer– Characterize In Depth Who You Are
Going To Sell To
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STEP 3 Deliverables
Barrier to Entry—What keeps out the competition from your market
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STEP 4: Business Model
• Revenue Model• Pricing Model• Sales & Distribution Strategy• Capex• Headcount
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STEP 4: Business Model
GROWTH
1.Requires capital to achieve2.Not a productivity improvement
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STEP 4: Business Model
EARLY STAGE OBJECTIVESBY PRIORITY
1.Grow Revenues2.Reach Cash Flow Positive3.Profitability
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STEP 4: Business ModelRevenue Model
WHAT DRIVES THE BUSINESS AND CREATES THE GROWTH
SANDS
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STEP 4: Business ModelRevenue Model
GROWTH DRIVER ASSUMPTIONS
1.Explain business logic2.Demonstrate industry knowledge3.Clarify business risk4.Clarify management requirements5.Determine KPIs6.Build financial model (next step)
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STEP 4: Business Model15-Pricing Models
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STEP 4: Business ModelSales & Distribution
SALES STRATEGYHow are you going to reach the customer
and close
DISTRIBUTION STRATEGYHow are you physically going to deliver
the product(Web services—bandwidth, servers, etc.)
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STEP 5: Financial Model
• PURPOSE OF FINANCIAL MODELS
– Demonstrate market opportunity (size)– Clarify/reinforce business model– Demonstrate industry knowledge– Present business logic– Understand cash flow
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STEP 5. FINANCIAL MODEL
• PARTS OF A FINANCIAL MODEL– BUSINESS MODEL ASSUMPTIONS– SOURCES AND USES– P&L– BALANCE SHEET– CASH FLOW STATEMENT
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MY CONTACTS AND ON-LINE RESOURCES
ROBERT H. [email protected]: Sophisticated Finance