Fiscal Notes: July 2011

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  • 8/6/2019 Fiscal Notes: July 2011

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    JUNE REVENUE (iN millioNs): sAlEs TAX: $1,731.0 oil PRoDUCTioN: $155.3 NATURAl GAs: $71.2 moToR FUEls: $264.6 moToR VEHiClE sAlEs: $272.0 ToBACCo: $137.4

    I n s I d e s t o r I e s

    obiy pll ubl bui 3

    Livck hw u ki ucai 6

    nw pii al muum ta 12

    A Review of the Texas Economy from the Ofce of Susan Combs, Texas Comptroller of Public AccountsJuly 201

    An Interview with PunditGlenn ReynoldsSEE PAGE 10

    BubbeABubbeiHigheEducai?

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    July 2011 F is ca l Not e s F is ca l Not e s July

    Like the previous report, Gaining

    Costs, Losing Time ocuses on the cost

    o obesity to Texas employers. And theupdated data show that the crisis is

    gaining momentum.

    oBEsiTy CosTs

    Obesity is a national crisis, o course.

    U.S. health care costs related to

    obesity have doubled in less than a

    decade and account or 9.1 percent o

    annual health costs, or $147 billion.

    At Env ElopE.Its what high school seniorsacross Texas hope to nd in the mailbox rom their college

    o choice. I its the dreaded thin envelope, a rejection, parents can

    expect to spend the dinner hour trying to convince their son or

    daughter that lies blessings sometimes come well-disguised.

    But i its an acceptance, it may be the happy young person whos

    trying to cheer up the parents, with assurances that he or she will

    apply or every available grant and take a part-time job to help pitch

    in on the tab or their education.

    Because no matter how much money mom and dad set aside to

    pay or college, these days it seems like its never enough.

    Whether theyre staring at our years o tuition or just searching or

    ways to pay monthly bills on one less paycheck, a lot o amilies havebeen having serious supper-table discussions about nances lately.

    In the wake o the recent recession, citizens all over the state and

    country are weighing their options, cutting back and making do.

    And they expect their governments at all levels to be doing

    the same. Theyre demanding a business-like, bottom-line ocus

    that ensures maximum eciency and eectiveness. In short, they

    want to know that their dollars are being spent with discipline

    and orethought.

    Thats the challenge acing Texas colleges and universities as well.

    They must nd new and better ways to operate eciently and pro-

    duce graduates ully prepared or the workplace o tomorrow.

    In this issue oFiscal Notes, we speak with Glenn Reynolds,

    distinguished educator and commentator, on the spiraling costs

    o getting a college degree and some o the causes o this

    daunting increase. We also look at some o the tools and resources

    available to Texans o all ages who are

    considering starting businesses o their own.

    There will never be a shortage o dreamerswho want to test themselves in the market-

    place o ideas or commerce. The decisions

    were making today will help give the next

    generation o Texas innovators and entrepre-

    neurs the chance to live their dreams.

    lEttEr rom tHE ComptrollEr

    A Exxn mb has announcedplans or a new campus nearThe Woodlands. The 385-

    acre site, which should be

    completed by 2015, will eature

    oce space, a laboratory,

    conerence rooms, training

    acilities, restaurants, a child-

    care acility and an employee

    wellness center.

    Houston-based RedtneCpane will build a318,000-square-oot oce

    acility as well as a liestyle

    hotel, complete with spa and

    tness acilities, in Houstons

    Galleria area.

    Texas HEB grocery chain isbuilding new stores in Pharr,

    Granbury and Bryan. All are

    expected to open in the latter

    hal o 2011; total construction

    costs or the three projects are

    estimated at $34.4 million.

    In the next ew years, SanAntonio IT hosting and storage

    rm Racpace Htng inc.plans to triple its work orce in

    Austin, rom about 300 to 900.

    A c r o ss T e x A s

    Obesity continues to cost Texasbillions o dollars annually, and the

    tab is skyrocketing, according to arecent ollow-up to a landmark 2007

    report rom the Comptrollers oce.

    Gaining Costs, Losing Time: The

    Obesity Crisis in Texas, issued in

    February 2011, builds on the research

    reported in Counting Costs and

    Calories, which rst drew national

    attention to the potentially crippling

    economic eects o unchecked obesity.

    Costs Growing Along with Waistlines

    VtFiscalNotes.com

    t get ea aert n

    ur pubcatn and

    up-t-the-nute ne n

    the Texa ecn.

    Continued on page 4

    But Texas, unortunately, suers

    disproportionately.

    In 2009, more than two-thirds

    (66.7 percent) o Texans were

    overweight or clinically obese,

    compared with 63.2 percent

    nationally. About 29.5 percent o

    Texans were clinically obese. And

    the prevalence o obesity among Texas

    adults more than doubled in the

    last two decades, rom

    12.3 percent in 1990.

    The resulting costs

    to Texas employers

    reached $9.5 billion in

    2009, due to direct

    health insurance

    expenditures as

    well as absenteeism,

    reduced productivity at

    work and disability.

    The next generation o

    Texas workers will be

    aected as well. Today,

    20.4 percent o Texas

    children aged 10 to 17 are

    obese, 4 percent more than the

    national average. I current trends

    continue unchecked, by 2030 an

    estimated 36.4 percent o Texans will

    be overweight and 36.7 percent will

    be clinically obese. The eects on

    worker health could cost the states

    businesses $32.5 billion annually.

    Excessive weight also carries

    signicant costs or the individual.

    Children who stay obese through

    adulthood can expect the condition

    to cost them thousands over their lie-

    times or obesity-related reasons such

    Gaiig Css,lsig te

    By Mark Wangrin

    a bs

    t w b w s

    w bssss c

    s cs m

    ts t T

    Cmt Ss

  • 8/6/2019 Fiscal Notes: July 2011

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    E I I

    urc : T m t r l l r f u l ic cc u nt .

    2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030

    $5

    $10

    $15

    $20

    $25

    $30

    $35

    $9.5

    $32.5

    ToTAl Projected oBEsiTy CosTs To TEXAs BUsiNEssEs, 2009-2030 (iN BillioNs)

    I obesity rates and the Texas work orce continue to increase as expected,

    these direct costs could reach nearly $32.5 bllon in 2030.The total estimate includes

    cost burdens beyond just direct health care costs.

    July 2011 F is ca l Not e s F is ca l Not e s July

    disease, lower wages, diet plans

    d the wage loss inherent in

    orter liespans.

    And an unt work orce ultimately

    ay harm Texas reputation as a great

    ace to do business, according to

    mptroller Susan Combs.

    Today, businesses want to come

    Texas because were seen as a great

    ace or them to operate and grow,

    ntinued rom page 3

    Source:U.S. Centersfor Disease Controland Prevention

    1 99 0 1 99 1 1 99 2 1 99 3 1 99 4 1 99 5 1 99 6 1 99 7 1 99 8 1 99 9 2 00 0 2 00 1 2 00 2 2 00 3 2 0 04 2 0 05 2 0 06 2 0 07 2 00 8 2 00 9

    Normal Weight

    Overweight

    Obese

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    42.0% decline innormal-weight people

    21.6% increase inoverweight people

    57.1%

    30.6%

    12.3%

    37.2%

    33.1%

    29.5%

    139.8% increasein obese people

    THE CosT To A

    oBEsiTy PREVAlENCEtrends iN TEXAs ADUlTs, 1990-2009

    oVERwEiGHT nation

    hile Gaining Costs, Losing Time details problems

    and costs, it also oers a series o policy recom-

    mendations as solutions, including:

    unngphysical education as a high school gradua-

    tion requirement and making it mandatory in all semesters o

    o middle school;

    addng nutrition courses to the public school curriculum;

    lmngor eliminating the eligibility o sot drinks,

    candy, cookies and ice cream rom the Supplemental Nutrition

    Assistance Program (ormerly known as ood stamps);

    ofng a $1,000 ederal tax credit to Americans who

    pass an annual wellness exam and physical; and

    nouagng restaurants to list nutrition inormation

    on menus.

    The report also includes sections on the demographics o

    obesity in Texas, actors contributing to obesity and the value

    o worksite wellness programs, which can reduce business heath

    care expenditures and absenteeism costs by 25 to 30 percent.

    sLiMMinG Do w N

    W

    in 2009,

    (66.7 Percent)

    o Tex a nS Were

    o v e r w e i G h t

    or CliniCally

    o B e s e .

    No Data

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    July 2011 F is ca l Not e s F is ca l Not e s July

    While the sums are huge, the

    cash any child can take home rom a

    stock show is capped. In Ho uston, the

    grand champion steer cap is $85,000.

    Although the sale price was more thanour times that amount, the amount

    over the cap is shared with other par-

    ticipants through a scholarship und

    maintained by the Houston Livestock

    Show and Rodeo. More than 300,000

    Texas youths have received scholar-

    ships through the und.

    Somerville says that, as an execu-

    tive committee member o the

    Houston show, he knows exactly

    where the money goes.

    No overhead is taken out, it all

    goes directly to education, he says.

    As the auctioneer concluded, raucousapplause or KST Electric President

    Kenneth Tumlinson echoed around the

    marble oyer o the Bob Bullock TexasState History Museum in Austin,

    signaling the end o Tanner Gerngrosss

    2011 livestock show season.

    The 14-year-old Wall FFA member

    was just one place shy o the top spot

    at the Star o Texas Fair and Rodeo

    Junior Barrow Show. (A barrow, or

    those o us who generally encounter

    pork only at the supermarket, is a male

    pig.) Gerngrosss Hampshire pig won

    best o breed and took the Reserve

    Grand Champion Barrow spot, second-

    highest honor at the Star o Texas Fair

    and Rodeo.

    Gerngross was delighted with his

    achievement.

    I knew he was good good

    enough to win his class, but not reserve

    champion overall, Tanner says.

    RAisE ANimAls, EARN A CollEGE FUND

    Raising animals or show is a way o

    connecting to Texas rural past, p ar-

    ticularly the local shows that draw

    hundreds o kids to compete against

    their neighbors. Texas modern major

    stock shows and rodeos, however,

    have become massive enterprises that

    allow wealthy Texans and companies

    to share their good ortune with the

    youths they see as the states uture.

    The auction at the smallest major

    Texas stock show, San Angelos,

    generates almost hal a million dollars

    annually. Austins Star o Texas Fair and

    Rodeo, which expanded to become

    a statewide show during the pastdecade, raised about $800,000 at the

    2011 youth auction. Fort Worths stock

    show raises about $2.8 million, and

    San Antonios about $3.5 million.

    The biggest money, though, is

    at Houstons livestock show, which

    in 2011 generated an estimated $4.5

    million, reaching pre-recession levels

    o success.

    Its the ability to benet kids who

    are working hard or their success that

    spurs bidders to contribute so much at

    junior livestock show auctions.

    Former Houston Livestock Show

    and Rodeo Chairman o the Board

    Paul Somerville describes the

    Houston Livestock Show as the Super

    Bowl o such events. Each year, the

    grand champion animals sell or

    six-gure sums.

    HoustonsGrand Champion Steer,

    or instance, sold or $600,001 in 2002.

    In 2011, a Charolais raised by 17-year-old Koby Long o Collingsworth

    County commanded a $350,000

    premium; it was bought by a partner-

    ship o Somerville, chairman and CEO

    oAssociated Pipeline Contractors,

    and Tilman Fertitta, president, CEO

    and principal shareholder oLandrys

    Restaurants.

    Every young person has some

    kind o a dream to achieve a goal,

    Somerville says. We help to set those

    goals or young people in the ag

    business. All these kids want to come

    out and win the top prize.

    For Somerville, the value osupporting youth through the stock

    show is extremely personal. Five years

    ago, while his late wie was under-

    going treatment at MD Anderson

    Cancer Center he learned rsthand

    how huge an impact the stock show

    could have.

    A doctor came

    up to me and

    introduced

    himsel. His name is Dr. Garth Beinart,

    Somerville recalls. He said to me, 17

    years ago, you took my mother and me

    to dinner and gave me a Houston Live-

    stock Show and Rodeo scholarship. And

    now I am your doctor.

    Somerville says the eect o thescholarship to Dr. Beinart goes ar

    beyond just his amily.

    Hell treat thousands o people,

    Somerville adds.

    The same goes or the hundreds

    o other youths that earn scholarships

    rom Houston every year.

    The show helps kids at the ar

    reaches o the state and sends them to

    close to 100 colleges, he says.

    Sck Shwsud uues

    Running costs are covered by

    ticket sales and 24,000 volunteers

    provide most o the events labor.

    It rewards kids who maybe dont

    have the same opportunities [asthose raising animals]. The distri-

    bution means all those kids get to

    participate.

    As ar as I am concerned,

    every kid is a winner, Somer-

    ville adds. Whatever the child

    does, they take on a task that

    means they have to get up in the

    morning to work at it. Theyve

    learned to set a goal and com-

    plete a task.

    By ge rard MaCCroSSan

    Texas Kids Earn College Dollars by Raising Top Livestock

    Continued on page 8

    At Texas largest junior livestock shows, kids show animals to earn big prize money, typically or

    scholarships. In 2011, top prizes ranged rom $2,200 to a whopping $350,000.

    m A J o R l o o T Fo R GRA N D C H A m P io N s

    in 2011

    aT The hou

    l iv eSTo C k S

    and rode

    The gra nd C ha

    STeer So l d

    $350,0The Winning ex

    reC eiv e

    $85,0The reMa in

    $265,0iS Sha red a M

    SC ho l a rShi

    oTher you

    More Tha

    300,0Tex a S y o u Th

    reC eiv ed SC ho l

    Through a

    Ma inTa ined

    houSTon S

    sTEERs BARRows GoATs lAmBs TURkEys BRoilERs RoAsTERs RABBiTs

    san Ange $ 19, 600 $8 ,7 50 $1 5, 000 $12, 200

    star f Texa 60,000 10,000 10,300 10,000 $3,500 $4,500 $4,500 $2,200

    Frt wrth 185, 00 0 110 ,0 00 35, 000 100, 00 0

    san Antn 85,250 48,100 50,000 39,500 16,300 17,100

    Hutn 350,000 177,000 140,000 190,000 88,000 120,000

    Sources: San Angelo Stock Show and Rodeo, Star of Texas Fair and Rodeo, Fort Worth Stock Show and Rodeo, San

    Antonio Stock Show and Rodeo and Houston Livestock Show and Rodeo

    2011 Star o Texas Fair and Rodeo Barrow Judge Keith Anderson watches as Tanner Gerngross shows his breed champ

    The barrow earned Tanner the reserve grand champion buckle or overall second place among all swine breeds at the

    Paul Somerville,

    Former Houston

    Livestock Show and

    Rodeo Chairman o

    the Board

    p: Tanner Gerngross o Wall FFA in Tom Green County, right, displays his

    erve Grand Champion Barrow and Champion Hampshire ba nners at

    Star o Texas Fair and Rodeo during the Junior Livestock Auction in

    bruary 2011. Bottom: Kenneth Tumlinson, president o KST Electric, let,

    tured with the Gerngross amily ater paying $6,000 or Tanners barrow

    he Star o Texas Fair and Rodeo auction.

    Well,Kstcame tday t play!They just bught the Resere Grad

    Champi Barrw r$6,000!

    Sir, we cat appreciate yu beig

    here eugh. Grad Champi Lamb.

    Resere Grad Champi Lamb.

    Grad Champi Barrw ad

    Resere Grad Champi Barrw

    t Kst eLectric.

  • 8/6/2019 Fiscal Notes: July 2011

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    Fiscal Notes July July 2011 F is ca l Not e s

    HARD woRk PAys oFF

    Tanner Gerngross path to Star o Texas

    success began during the sweaty 100-

    degree days o August outside San

    Angelo, where his amily arms cotton,

    milo and wheat on about 3,000 acres.

    For the past seven years, show animals

    have had a place on the arm, too

    barrows the Gerngross children have

    raised to show at local and statewide

    junior livestock shows in Tom Green

    County and across the state.

    Feeding beore dawn, showman-

    ship practice ater school and evenings

    spent mucking out barns are everyday

    lie or thousands o Texas kids.

    The Hampshire showed promise

    early on, winning his class at the county

    show. The judges comments and the

    pigs perormance there told Tanner

    where he needed to sharpen up.

    We work with the pigs at our

    house a lot, Tanner says. When you

    work with them more, they know what

    the stick means and where to go.

    Many o the kids dont live on arms

    or ranches, but theyre still working

    hard at raising goats or lambs, poultry

    or cattle, swine or rabbits in their yards,

    FFA barns or wherever they can. Their

    parents invest in young animals and

    eed so their kids can ocus on the

    auction sales and scholarships that

    will und uture college tuition, their

    reward or raising top-quality animals.

    Star o Texas Barrow Judge Brian

    Anderson recognizes the discipline

    and character learned through raising

    animals. Just beore he announced the

    2011 grand champion, he had a ew

    words o praise or all participants.

    The depth o quality o the animals

    is up in 2010, but the quality o kidsnever changes, he says. The best

    kids in the country are 4-H and FFA.

    For most kids, a big payout is a

    ew hundred dollars at their county

    show. By the time they graduate high

    school, they can build their savings up

    to several thousand dollars. For the

    most successul at one o the majors,

    though, the check can reach tens o

    thousands o dollars.

    All across Texas, thousands o

    kids save livestock auction proceeds,

    most oten or college scholarships

    or expenses.

    My dad has a bank account or the

    auction money, Tanner says. I have

    three siblings and well split it up our

    ways. I one does well, we all do well.

    Marcus and Jennier Gerngross

    ensure that each o their children

    works with the pig herd and all share

    in the amilys success. When the Gern-

    gross amily started with 20 barrows

    last August, it was impossible to know

    whod end up as pick o the p en.

    We never know whos going to

    do best. Thats why we split it up,

    Tanner says.

    oN THE AUCTioN BloCk

    At the Star o Texas Fair and Rodeo

    youth auction on March 25, 384 kids,

    including the top 20 placing in the

    Western Art Show, saw their eorts

    rewarded by buyers who combined to

    spend $800,125, the second-highest

    total in the events history. These youths

    were the most successul o thousands

    who came to the annual show during

    the previous two weeks.

    Walking to the auction podium

    under the dome o the Bob Bullock

    museum was the nal step in a seven-

    month journey or Tanner Gerngross.

    While his reserve grand champion

    barrow snoozed in a pen outside,

    Tanner nervously clutched his win-

    ners banner and looked out across

    the tables o buyers as the auctioneer

    coaxed bids rom them.

    And in a minute it was over, and

    Tanner headed down to oer his thanks,

    handing over a git basket his mom

    Jennier brought or buyer Kenneth Tum-

    linson, a Star o Texas board member.

    The $6,000 premium bid by Tum-

    linson on behal o his company, KST

    Electric, will benet all our children in

    the Gerngross amily.

    Tumlinson knows what the auction

    proceeds mean to Tanner and the

    other kids whose animals KST bought.

    I showed when I was growing up.

    And my son [now 28] showed and won

    champion with hogs and broilers, he

    says. We think it is a very good cause

    and we continue to support it.

    He used the proceeds rom his

    own stock show endeavors to attend

    college beore he entered the con-

    struction business.

    I think that money helped to

    position me to go into business or

    mysel, he says.

    Having a successul company means

    Tumlinson can aord to support live-

    stock shows in a very meaningul way.

    Many major buyers spend a tre-

    mendous amount o money every

    year, he says. It is something they

    like and something they

    eel is a good cause

    because it puts money in

    the hands o kids.FN

    txjn hw w hf 4H n FFa f n h , wh h n n h n

    n hf h. th hw n f n hh. in h , jn

    hw h hn $110 n f n.

    millioNs FoR EDUCATioN

    Continued rom page 7

    EAsT About 24,000volunteers ensure that the Houston Lives-

    tock Show and Rodeo, the states largest,

    runs smoothly each year. For almost 80 years,

    Houstons has been the pinnacle o junior

    livestock shows, drawing more than 7,000

    exhibitors. In all, 1,850 livestock entries

    qualied or the 2011 livestock auction, which

    raised $4.5 million.

    wEsT The San Angelo Stock Show andRodeo brings together about 3,500 junior

    entrants rom all around Texas to compete or

    194 auction places. Its 2011 auction generated

    record revenue o $453,000.

    NoRTH Since its 1896 ounding, the FortWorth Stock Show and Rodeo has grown to in-

    clude many events and thousands o livestock

    entries. In 2004, its record year, livestock sales

    totaled more than $4.3 million. In 2011, 1,827

    livestock entries were auctioned, generating

    more than $3.4 million in prize money or

    Texas kids.

    soUTH San Antonio has been holdingagricultural shows since 1854. The modern

    San Antonio Stock Show and Rodeo began in

    1950 and has grown to become a multi-week

    event. The 2011 show saw 983 youth junior

    livestock projects auctioned. Recent auctions

    have raised about $3.5 million annually to

    benet participating youths.

    CENTRAl Although its roots date back to1938, Austins Star o Texas Fair and Rodeo

    has the states newest junior livestock show,

    welcoming kids rom across Texas since 2007.

    The Star gets bigger each year. More than 400

    youths earned a place in the 2011 auction,

    which generated about $800,000.

    JUNioR liVEsToCk: TEXAs ToP FiVE

    The largest junior livestock showsdraw thousands o Texas FFA and 4-H

    members rom points all over Texas

    compass. Their aim is to raise top-quality

    animals and help generous Texans invest

    huge sums in the states uture.

    a css T

    tss

    s s

    ct

    mst t

    c

    scs

    *

    Sources:San Angelo Stock ShowandRodeo,Starof TexasFairandRodeo,FortWorth Stock Sh

    San Antonio Stock Showand Rodeo andHouston Livestock Showand Rodeo

    *Est

    HoustoN

    saN aNtoNio

    Fort WortH

    star oF texas

    saN aNgelo

    MONEY

    FOR

    SCHOLARSHIPS

  • 8/6/2019 Fiscal Notes: July 2011

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    July 2011 F is ca l Not e s0 F is ca l Not e s July

    University o Tennessee College o Law. As Instapundit,

    Reynolds is one o the nations most widely read and infu-

    ential political bloggers, and a leading voice in the ongoing

    debate over college costs.

    Fn:evy ag ha h c cllg i aig,

    bu i wha wul yu h p iua-

    i a a bubbl?

    Gl ryl:Denitions o bubbles vary, but this is

    an economically unsustainable run-up in prices, ueled by

    cheap credit. As economist Herb Stein once said, something

    that cant go on orever, wont. What weve been seeing in

    terms o costs and tuition cant go on orever, so it wont.

    Fn:th a l p bmaig h ac kyck-

    ig uii a , bu laivly lil ha amp

    pipi why h c i iig a. Vaiu cau

    hav b ci, uch a vambiiu builig p-

    gam, amiiaiv bla a a mphai a

    chla a ach pgam. Wha yu a hmaj ac ivig h hap ica i cllg c?

    ryl: There are a lot o actors, but the biggest is that

    there are no real constraints on running up costs. Most o

    the people buying the service students arent paying

    or it, at least not right away, and as a result theyre not very

    sensitive to prices.

    Fn:Bcau hy lyig amily uc a

    u la, igh?

    ryl: Right. And this means that theres not much

    constraint on them. I students had to come up with cash to

    enroll, tuition would be lower and colleges would be more

    sensitive to costs, as they used to be.

    Fn:Yuv wi abu h ap u la.

    Wha a h likly c aig cllg b?

    ryl: I or-prot corporations operated by getting

    18-year-olds to sign on to ruinous debt loads based on

    oten-raudulent promises o employment, theyd be treated

    as virtual slavers, particularly i the debt was not discharge-

    able in bankruptcy. Universities, however, get a pass on this.

    The food o cheap credit has encouraged an explosion

    in tuition. Meanwhile, the high debt loads acing graduating

    students will make things worse or the economic recovery.Graduates with $50,000 to $150,000 in student loan debt are

    in a poor position to buy houses, or example, because in

    eect they already have a mortgage.

    Fn:Giv h p cmy, yu hik ha u

    la will ciu b availabl i ufci amu?

    ryl: The loans are likely to be available, but theres

    evidence that students are already growing more reluctant

    to take them out. This will start to put pressure on colleges

    and universities to lower prices.

    Fn:A wha yu a h ucm i h

    high- bubbl bu?

    ryl: Well, when bubbles burst theres always pain.

    People who have made nancial bets on the bubble con-

    tinuing will lose money. Expectations are unsettled, and

    theres disruption until a new equilibrium is reached.

    I predict strong nancial pressure on colleges and uni-

    versities that arent a good investment or students par-

    ticularly lower-tier private schools that are nonetheless very

    expensive. In addition, majors that dont promise reasonable

    earnings will cease to attract students, except or those with

    indulgent parents or trust unds.

    Fn:Which ai h iu wha m call h valu

    ppii h lai bw cllg c a

    gaua aig. I cllg imply vpic?

    ryl: Well, it depends on the major. College is not

    a single product. A major in business or engineering is

    probably a better value proposition than a major in

    womens studies or anthropology, yet the tuition is thesame. Heres a thought experiment: what would happen i

    student loan interest rates, or eligibility, were based on the

    earnings prospects oered by the dierent majors?

    Fn:A i h bubbl bu, wha abu h cllg

    a uivii hmlv? Hw wul hy ac?

    ryl: Some schools are already responding. The

    University o the South at Sewanee has cut tuition by

    10 percent. Several law schools have announced tuition

    By Bru Ce WrighT

    There was a time in our nations history when college wasreserved or a privileged and well-heeled ew. And today

    many worry that those days may be returning, given the

    spiraling cost o tuition.

    According to the National Center or Public Policy and

    Higher Education, average U.S. college tuition and ees rose

    by an astonishing 439 percent between 1982 and 2007

    more than our times as much as the infation rate or thatperiod (106 percent), and about three times the increase in

    median amily income (147 percent).

    Texas hasnt been immune. Between 1999 and 2010,

    average tuition and ees at the states 10 largest public uni-

    versities rose by about 120 percent, to nearly $8,000 annually.

    Such increases are orcing recession-battered students

    and their amilies to assume increasing amounts o long-

    term debt. According to the Institute or College Access

    and Success, 58 percent o Texas 2009 college graduates

    were carrying student loan debt an average o $20,015

    each. And debt can range much higher, o course, par-

    ticularly or those attending private schools and pursuing

    advanced degrees.

    Such debt can be daunting or amilies and crippling or

    young people just entering the job market, particularly one

    as rocky as todays.

    So where does it end? College costs cant continue

    climbing indenitely, can they? And what happens i our

    universities price themselves out o their market?

    Such speculation has led many observers to begin

    describing higher

    education costs as a

    classic bubble andone that may even-

    tually give way, with

    potentially disastrous

    eects on our schools

    and society at large.

    One such

    commentator is Glenn

    Reynolds, Beauchamp

    Brogan Distinguished

    Proessor o Law at the

    EVER UPwARD

    reezes. And several states are loo king at closing marginal

    public institutions or laying o aculty.

    Fn: I h ayhig cllg ca kp hi c

    w, a m cl v h ciuu

    pic ica?

    ryl: Well, theres some conspicuous waste. Today,

    lots o colleges have expensive sustainability oces

    clear evidence o an approach to spending that is in itsel

    unsustainable.

    But more seriously, many introductory courses could be

    done online, and at least two-thirds o administrators [dont

    aect] the students actual education at all.

    Fn: H i ta, u gv ha call h cai

    a $10,000 bachl g, pi ciabl

    kpicim m acamia. I hi a uiul appach?

    ryl: I think its entirely possible. It would require a

    program that was ocused very narrowly on educational

    value to the students, at the expense o other, more powerulstakeholders in the university. But it could certainly be done.

    Fn:s, i gal, ca cllg cu hi c maig-

    ully? A i ayhig likly c hm ?

    ryl: Yes, they can. And economic pressures willorce

    them to. The only question is how so on and how painul the

    adjustment will be. FN

    Texas parents saving or college should investigate the states

    prepaid tuition plan, the Texas Tuition Promise Fund.

    i ctstrong

    c ss cs

    sts tt t

    stmt

    stts.

    g rs,

    ust Tss

    C lw

    ABubbe iHighe Educai?

    An Interview with Glenn Reynolds

    W e a t H e r i N g t H e s t o r m :

    a s e r i e s o F r e p o r t s

    o N t H e t e x a s

    e co N o m i c cl i m a t e

    T s u nt ss thng th Stm tcs,

    stwww.FiscalNotes.com.

    BeTWeen

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    average tu

    and Fe e

    The STa

    10 l a rg

    u niv erS

    ro se

    120

    th f n tx 10 n

    h n n f 120 n n 1999.

    iNsTATE TUiTio

    (All Amounts in 20

    2010

    1999

    $7,954

    $4,569

    $3,408$2,870

    $3,928$4,155 $4,128

    $3,822$4,020

    $3,000

    $2,310

    $3,621

    $7,496

    $6,537

    $5,699

    $7,838

    $8,387 $8,500$8,410

    $9,418

    $8,997

    $8,260

    THEUNIVERSITYOFTEXAS-PANAMERICAN

    TEXASSTATEUNIVERSITY-SANMARCOS

    TEXASA&M-COLLEGESTATION

    THEUNIVERSITYOFTEXASATARLINGTON

    THEUNIVERSITYOFTEXASATSANANTONIO

    THEUNIVERSITYOFTEXASAT

    UNIVERSITYOFHOUSTON

    TEXASTECHUNIVERSITY

    AVERAGE

    THEUNIVERSITYOFTEXASATELPASO

    UNIVERSITYOFNORTHTEXAS

    Source:Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board,the College Boardand TheChronicle ofHigher Education

  • 8/6/2019 Fiscal Notes: July 2011

    7/11

    July 2011 F is ca l Not e s2 F is ca l Not e s July

    When the George W. Bush Presidential Library opensits doors in spring 2013, Texas will have a brand-new

    bragging right. The state will be home to three o the

    nations 13 presidential libraries the mo st o any state.

    Under the Presidential Libraries Act o 1955, theNational Archives and Records Administration operates

    all presidential libraries. The law codied a tradition that

    began with President Franklin D. Roosevelt, who raised

    private unds to build the rst presidential library and

    then gave it to the U.S. government to op erate through

    the National Archives.

    Presidential libraries arent libraries in the traditional

    sense theyre repositories or papers, records and

    other artiacts that document the many events and

    decisions o a presidential administration. The libraries

    are treasure troves or researchers, history bus, political

    junkies and educators.

    The new Bush library, to be located on the Southern

    Methodist University (SMU) campus in Dallas, joins the

    Lyndon Baines Johnson Library and Museum in Austin

    and the George Bush Presidential Library and Museumin College Station, giving our state a unique triecta in

    American history.

    Visitors will be able to see items such as the bullhorn

    W used at the World Trade Center site on September

    14, 2001; the parachute his ather used in his 85 th birthday

    jump with the Golden Knights; and the love letters a

    young Lyndon Johnson penned while courting Lady Bird.

    There are people who collect trips to presidential

    libraries like others collect stamps, says Mark Upde-

    grove, LBJ Library director. They enjoy visiting them and

    checking them o their list. Here in Texas, theyll have

    an opportunity to experience more than 20 years o

    American presidential history.

    Today, about 150,000 people visit the Bush library

    in College Station annually, while the Johnson library

    attracts more than 250,000 visitors. Since Texas latest

    presidential library will be located in a city three times

    Austins size, and considerably more accessible than Col-

    lege Station the largest U.S. city not served by a major

    highway its a good bet the new library will meet or

    exceed those attendance gures.

    At present, the materials o the George W. Bush

    library are being stored in Lewisville. Archivists and

    library sta are poring

    through and readying amammoth collection o

    some 43,000 artiacts,

    nearly 4 million photo-

    graphs and 80 terabytes

    o electronic inormation, including nearly 210 million

    emails, according to Alan Lowe, director o the library. By

    contrast, the rst administration o the Internet era, Presi-

    dent Clintons, produced just our terabytes o electronic

    data, says Lowe.

    And just as the digital era has changed the type o

    inormation presidents generate, so too has it altered

    the expectations o museum visitors. The challenge or

    presidential libraries is to make the experience un and

    engaging to younger Americans raised on video games

    and computer networks. People today are used to being

    in control o their learning experiences, says Updegrove.

    The elder George Bush's library recently revamped its

    core collection, going rom just our interactive exhibits

    to 99. At present, its most popular interactive exhibit is

    the Situation Room, where touch screens allow visitors to

    meet and learn about the various players in the Gul War.

    But it doesnt stop there. Its a multi-layered

    experience, reports Warren Finch, director o the George

    Bush library. Visitors are conronted with various global

    scenarios and can compare their responses to how Presi-

    dent Bush handled the same situations. Library guests

    also can access video news or every day o the war to

    see how it was reported to the country and around the

    world.

    Similarly, the G eorge W. Bush library will eature a

    Decision Theatre, which will challenge visitors to put

    themselves in presidential shoes and consider various

    options to the issues the president conronted. When

    guests want a break rom the rigors o executive branch

    decision-making, they can stop at a Texas Rose Garden, a

    acsimile o the original at the White House.

    The three library directors, all close riends rom years o

    working in the presidential library system, are excited about

    the possibilities o collaborative exhibits, lectures and edu-

    cational programming. Finch notes that the George Bush

    and Johnson libraries joined orces a ew years ago to mark

    the 50th anniversary oNASA.

    Education is an important mission or o all presidential

    libraries, and the new library at SMU will be no exception.

    Were spending a lot o time thinking about how to best

    serve the community and the state, providing educators

    with interesting lesson plans they can use and we plan to

    oer an array o educational events at the museum, says

    Lowe. President Bush and the First Lady have a long-term

    vision and want the museum to be relevant or students and

    teachers both today and 50 years rom now. FN

    pst bs

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    Presidential Library

    A hepesidesmeiesFrom the Oval Ofce to Texas

    By david BlooM

    The megaphone (above) President George W. Bush used to

    address New York City frefghters and rescue workers ater

    the 9/11 attacks (below).

    Above: The George Bush Presidential Library and

    Museum in College Station.

    Artists conception o the new George W. Bush Presidential Library planned or Dallas.

    Photo courtesy ofthe George W.Bush PresidentialLibrary.

    ArtworkcourtesyoftheGeorge

    W.BushPresidentialLibrary.

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  • 8/6/2019 Fiscal Notes: July 2011

    8/11

    By ClinT Shie ldS

    July 2011 F is ca l Not e s4 F is ca l Not e s July

    Entrepreneurship oten starts witha single moments inspiration. But

    turning that moment into success in

    business requires certain knowledge

    and skills. And a 2010 study by Cam-

    bridge, Mass.-based Monitor ound

    that Texas lags behind other states in

    entrepreneurial education.

    Teaching these skills is the mission

    o the Network or Teaching Entrepre-

    neurship (NFTE). NFTEs Greater Dallas

    chapter, the only one in Texas, partners

    with the Dallas Independent School

    District (DISD) to oer entrepreneur-

    ship education to students at 27 middle

    and high school campuses. Ninety-two

    percent o the kids in the NFTE-Greater

    Dallas program are rom low-income

    amilies.

    Going to work or a company or

    the rest o your lie is pretty much not

    a reality anymore, says Laura Maczka,

    NFTE-Greater Dallas director. Our

    entire purpose is to show kids the rel-

    evance o graduating rom high school

    and changing your living situation

    through education and work.

    In the NFTE-Greater Dallas cur-

    riculum, every student must develop a

    business idea and write and deend a

    business plan. The organization

    provides seed capital to some

    participants and provides more unds

    or selected student businesses at the

    school years end.

    In addition to the regular curric-

    ulum, NFTE-Greater Dallas oers two-

    week BizCamps crash courses

    in entrepreneurialism to students

    rom all school districts in the region.

    Students who successully complete

    the camp can enter business-plan com-

    petitions in the ensuing school year.

    NFTE-Greater Dallas trains DISD

    teachers to oer the program, which

    currently has about 2,000

    participants. In addi-

    tion to its educational

    goals, Maczka says

    NFTE-Greater

    Dallas wants the

    class oerings to

    become part o the

    student culture at

    DISD campuses.

    Were trying to

    become that sought-ater class

    that people know about, and create

    a pathway or those kids, starting in

    middle school, she says. Ultimately,

    wed like to see these kids go on to col-

    lege and complete this path o entre-

    preneurial education. FN

    percent owned by a minority member

    or a woman, with their principal place

    o business in Texas and at least one

    owner residing in the state.

    Texas statewide HUB Program is

    intended to encourage HUB involve-

    ment in the state procurement process

    and to ensure that they receive a air

    share o state business. Registered HUBs

    also are urged to participate in the Cen-

    tralized Master Bidders List (CMBL), a

    list o pre-approved vendors that state

    purchasers must consult beore con-

    tracting or goods and services.

    The Centralized Master Bid-

    ders List is essentially a master list o

    reliable vendors, says Rachel Snell,

    marketing coordinator or the Comp-

    trollers Statewide HUB Program.

    Our goal is to create access, and give

    registrants the ability to receive bids

    based on products or services they

    can provide the state. State purchasers

    are required to go here rst to develop

    a mailing list to send notications o

    their needs.

    In addition, contractors oten

    use the states HUB Directory to

    identiy HUBs or subcontracting

    opportunities.

    In scal 2010, certied HUBs

    received more than $2.1 billion in

    state spending, including more than

    $987 million in subcontracts awarded

    by other state contractors. While the

    states total expenditures ell by more

    than $260 million in scal 2010, its

    spending with HUBs rose by more than

    $148 million, a 7 percent increase. The

    percentage o dollars spent with HUBs

    rose rom 14.5 percent to 15.9 percent.

    The CMBL and the HUB certica-

    tion are two separate databases buttogether increase your exposure to

    the state government, says Snell.

    Networking is another important

    step. You are the best voice or your

    company.

    HUB certication is ree o charge

    and inclusion on the CMBL costs

    $70 annually.

    moRE oNliNE

    To apply or HUB certication or to

    register as a state vendor or the CMBL,

    get started at www.window.state.

    tx.us/procurement/registration.

    The U.S. Small Business Adminis-

    tration oers an online Small Business

    Training Network a virtual class-

    room that oers courses in nance and

    accounting, business planning, and

    marketing and advertising at no cost.

    For more inormation, visit www.sba.

    gov/category/navigation-structure/

    counseling-training. FN

    The states ocial website,

    Texas.gov, oers a wealth o inor-

    mation on unemployment insur-

    ance, labor laws, available incentives

    and other topics o interest. A

    section called MyTexasBiz tells

    prospective business owners the

    permits and licenses they need

    to get started in Texas.

    The Comptrollers own Texas

    Business Advisor also provides

    helpul inormation, serving as a con-

    venient one-stop shop or inorma-

    tion on starting a business in Texas.

    The Texas Governors Small

    Business Advocacy group provides

    numerous links to state and ederal

    resources, inormation on exporting

    and a detailed Guide to Starting a

    Business that introduces beginning

    entrepreneurs to the major mileposts

    acing any new business, including:

    dening a legal structure or the

    new business and properly ling a

    business name;

    determining its potential ederal,

    state and local tax responsibilities;

    obtaining needed licenses, per-

    mits, certications, registrations or

    authorizations; and

    understanding ederal and state

    employer requirements.

    The Comptrollers oce oers

    assistance to the states historically

    underutilized businesses (HUBs).

    HUBs are businesses that are least 51

    Rachel Snell

    Marketing Coordinator

    Comptrollers Statewide

    HUB Program

    a Bo u T

    0 The

    texas joBs

    l o ST du ring The reC eSSio n

    have already Been

    recovered

    45

    in iSCal2010, CerTiied huBSreceived

    Mo re Tha n

    $2.1BiLLion

    in STaTe Spending, inCluding

    $987MiLLion

    in Su BC o nTra C TS.

    Starting a small business in a turbu-lent global economy can test even the

    strongest o characters. But its this

    spirit o determination and drive or

    success that has made Texas a avored

    destination or businesses looking

    or a strong environment in which to

    thrive and prosper.

    Despite the bad news nationwide,

    including an uncertain housing market

    and fat employment data, theres

    optimism in Texas, where the lack o

    a state income tax, healthy export

    volume and rapid population growth

    has made the state a relatively sae

    environment or starting and growing

    a small business.

    Texas economic data buttresses

    that optimism. About our-ths o the

    Texas jobs lost during the recession have

    already been recovered. And at this

    writing, the states unemployment num-

    bers have remained below the national

    average or 52 consecutive months.

    GETTiNG oFF THE GRoUND

    Our state oers a number o resources

    or Texans hoping to turn their dreams

    into a protable enterprise.

    utmt,

    w t s ts

    t c c

    ts t t

    ct.

    l Mcz

    nTe-gt ds d

    A EaySa EeeeusGetting Started in the Best State or Business

    Eeeeuiais101By MiChae l CaST e llon

    http://www.monitor.com/http://www.nfte.com/http://www.nfte.com/http://www.nfte.com/what/programs/greater-dallashttp://www.nfte.com/what/programs/greater-dallashttp://www.dallasisd.org/http://www.dallasisd.org/http://www.nfte.com/what/programs/greater-dallas/staff-and-boardhttp://www.nfte.com/what/bizcampshttp://www.nfte.com/what/bizcampshttp://www.nfte.com/what/programs/greater-dallas/staff-and-boardhttp://www.dallasisd.org/http://www.dallasisd.org/http://www.nfte.com/what/programs/greater-dallashttp://www.nfte.com/what/programs/greater-dallashttp://www.nfte.com/http://www.nfte.com/http://www.monitor.com/
  • 8/6/2019 Fiscal Notes: July 2011

    9/11

    JoB GRowTH iN TE XAs, mAy 2010 To mAy 2011

    12-moNtH cH

    raNk iNdustry Jobs (may 2011) Job couNt

    1 mnn n ln 234,900 31,700

    2 cn n 591,800 26,400

    3 pfn & bn s 1,319,800 54,400

    4 en & Hh s 1,430,700 43,500

    5 t 1,659,900 36,800

    6 oh s 370,600 8,200

    7 l & H 1,045,500 19,800

    8 mnfn 818,600 10,700

    9 tnn, Whn, u 419,700 4,500

    10 Fnn a 625,800 2,700

    11 gnn 1,889,600 31,000

    12 inf n 186,900 9,300

    Source:Texas A&M University RealEstate Center

    July 2011 F is ca l Not e s6 F is ca l Not e s July

    Bie ByesBy e diT orial ST a

    Texas continues to generate jobsmore quickly than the nation as a

    whole, with a 1.9 percent growth rate

    between May 2010 and May 2011,

    according to the Texas A&M Univer-

    sity Real Estate Centers most recent

    Monthly Review o the Texas Economy.

    This growth represents about 198,400

    jobs gained.

    Over the same period, U.S. nonarm

    employment rose by just 0.7 percent.

    Employment in Texas mining and

    logging industry mostly oil and

    gas production rose most quickly

    during the period, expanding by

    15.6 percent or 31,700 jobs. Proes-

    sional and business services added

    The Texas Mortgage Credit Program(TMCP) helps low- and moderate-

    income Texans especially rst-time

    homebuyers purchase homes.

    Program applicants recently received

    a boost when the Texas Department

    o Housing and Community Afairs

    (TDHCA), which oversees the program,

    released more than $45 million in

    mortgage credit certicate authority

    to assist homebuyers.

    This credit authority, essentially a

    tax credit, reduces a borrowers tax

    liability. It applies to about $150 mil-

    lion in mortgage loans and should

    help more than a thousand eligible

    Texas amilies buy homes, once theyhave completed a certied homebuyer

    education class.

    The Texas Mortgage Credit Pro-

    gram is another helpul yet respon-

    sible resource that TDHCA can oer

    to qualiying Texas amilies who are

    prepared to be homeowners, says

    acting TDHCA Executive Director Tim

    Gervin. This is a terric program, and

    we are excited to make it available to

    our ellow Texans.

    A recent study rom online salary compar-ison site PayScale.com named Austin among

    the top U.S. cities or inormation technology

    (IT) jobs with startup companies. The study

    dened startup IT companies as those

    having ewer than 75 employees, and ranked

    cities on the basis o median salaries and

    a comparison o their ratio o IT workers at

    startup IT rms to all workers versus the

    national ratio.

    Austin ranked No. 2 nationally in the IT

    Startup Salary Hotspots Report, with

    San Francisco claiming the top spot. And

    while Austins median pay o $67,400 was

    lower than those in cities such as Seattle,

    Boston and New York City, the city oered the

    nations second-highest IT employment ratio.(TraceyLamphere)

    PRoGRAm HElPs TEXANs AFFoRD HomEs

    TEXAs A&m GENERATEs$3.7 BillioN iN ECoNomiC

    ACTiViTy

    According to Texas A&Ms Divisiono Finance, the Texas A&M Univer-

    sity System provided the state with a

    record-setting $3.7 billion in economic

    activity in 2010, $213.4 million more

    than in 2009. A record high in all

    enrollment, construction activity and

    new-student conerences helped spur

    the increase.

    The study showed thatTexas A&M

    and other components o the A&M

    system in Bryan-College Station had a

    direct impact o almost $1.5 billion on

    the local economy, $85.3 million more

    than in the previous year.

    Student spending also contributed

    to the increase in economic activity,

    with a $38.6 million increase over

    2009.

    New-student conerences

    mandatory two-day sessions held in

    the summer signicantly added to

    the number o visitors to the Bryan-

    College Station area.

    The systems construction costs or

    calendar 2010 totaled almost $273.5

    million, an increase o about $133 mil-

    lion over 2009.

    (TraceyLamphere)

    AUsTiN AN iT HoT sPoT FoR EmPloymENT

    U.S.JOB

    GROWTH

    0.7%

    G

    TEXAs JoB GRowTH oUTPACEs U.s.

    Qualiying amilies can deduct

    30 percent o their annual mortgage

    interest, up to a maximum o $2,000

    per year. The benet lasts or the

    entire lie o the mortgage loan.

    tMCP Is GeAred toWArd

    texAs FAMILIes WHo:

    are rst-time buyers or who have

    not owned a home in the previous

    three years;

    will use the home they buy as their

    primary residence; and

    meet certain income and home

    purchase requirements, as well asthe qualiying requirements o the

    mortgage loan.

    The $45 million was split into two

    unds, targeted and non-targeted.

    The targeted und is intended to help

    buyers in areas o the state aected

    by natural disasters, while the non-

    targeted is available to the rest o

    the state.

    The targeted und expires

    on Dec. 12, 2011, while the non-

    targeted authority expires on

    Dec. 31, 2011 or until are

    unds are distributed.

    Program details including

    und availability, FAQs and

    locations and providers o

    homebuyer education and coun-

    seling classes are available online

    at www.myrsttexashome.com.

    (ClintShields)

    the highest number o jobs, gaining

    54,400 additional positions.

    Texas construction posted solid

    gains as well, growing by 4.7 percent

    or about 26,400 jobs. A 3.1 percent

    increase or education and health ser-

    vices translated into 43,500 additional

    jobs, the second-highest numerical

    gain among industry categories.

    Texas jobs and employment data

    are available at www.texas

    ahead.org.

    (ClintShields)

    http://www.tdhca.state.tx.us/homeownership/fthb/mort_cred_certificate.htmhttp://www.tdhca.state.tx.us/index.htmhttp://www.tdhca.state.tx.us/index.htmhttp://www.payscale.com/http://www.payscale.com/about.asp?pg=news&sub=pr&pr=6462http://www.payscale.com/about.asp?pg=news&sub=pr&pr=6462http://www.tamus.edu/http://www.tamus.edu/http://www.tamu.edu/http://www.tamu.edu/http://newaggie.tamu.edu/http://www.myfirsttexashome.com/http://www.myfirsttexashome.com/http://newaggie.tamu.edu/http://www.tamu.edu/http://www.tamus.edu/http://www.tamus.edu/http://www.payscale.com/about.asp?pg=news&sub=pr&pr=6462http://www.payscale.com/about.asp?pg=news&sub=pr&pr=6462http://www.payscale.com/http://www.tdhca.state.tx.us/index.htmhttp://www.tdhca.state.tx.us/index.htmhttp://www.tdhca.state.tx.us/homeownership/fthb/mort_cred_certificate.htm
  • 8/6/2019 Fiscal Notes: July 2011

    10/11

    July 2011 Fiscal Notes8 Fiscal Notes July

    texas by he nubes t sttstcs n th Ts cnmy, chck thCmts wbst t .TexaAhead.rg

    tx pn n cnn in

    Crude oPrductn

    Natura GaPrductn

    Actve o & GaDrng Rg

    mtr Fue Taxedmedan sae Prce,

    Extng sngefa HeA ut s a e C g ar et te T ax ed

    daTe Value Value Units Gasoline Diesel Dollars Net Value Packages of 20

    (MillionS) (MillionS) (MillionS o gallonS) (MillionS) (MillionS)

    2009 $18,380.2 $10,021.3 5,178.0 993.0 289.7 $144,792 $34,792.6 949.9

    2010 14,309.3 7,283.3 4,994.1 996.6 303.9 146,229 21,955.1 630.3

    JUN-10 1,916.3 1,156.4 663 1,060.4 313.5 152,300 3,490.5 81.0

    JUl-10 2,071.2 1,157.9 676 1,028.3 319.0 154,500 3,460.0 81.2

    AUG-10 2,155.7 1,208.2 714 1,034.2 311.4 153,100 3,587.7 81.4

    sEP-10 2,087.5 1,071.2 721 1,053.6 310.2 146,800 3,432.6 87.6

    oCT-10 2,369.0 1,174.8 717 1,001.6 318.5 144,700 3,325.9 82.4

    NoV-10 2,411.3 1,141.1 734 1,031.7 322.2 146,300 3,231.1 79.5

    DEC-10 2,712.8 1,439.1 746 1,044.4 308.8 150,800 3,265.1 71.4

    JAN-11 2,751.9 1,448.3 736 962.7 314.8 139,000 3,225.5 66.4

    FEB-11 2,294.2 1,290.1 747 965.0 304.3 146,100 3,265.7 73.8

    mAR-11 3,123.5 1,523.5 748 884.4 284.7 144,000 3,973.8 91.0

    APR-11 3,384.4 1,538.3 789 1,039.3 336.7 145,400 3,422.1 85.2

    mAy-11 3,257.2 822 1,006.6 321.3 149,300 3,152.2 85.0

    JUN-11 839 155,400 88.7

    ey Texas Economic Indicators - Texas total nonfarm employment increased by 32,000 jobs from May to June. Between June 2010 and June 2011, Texas gained 22,000 jobs.ver the past year, Texas added jobs in most sectors, including construction, manufacturing, mining and logging, leisure and hospitality, financial activities, professional and businesservices, educational and health services, and government.

    INDEXES

    EMPLOYMENT

    REAL ESTATESALES TAX

    Changefrompreviousyear:Texas-23.3% U.S.-29.0%Inthousands

    Mortgage Foreclosures

    6/10 6/11150

    350

    9.3

    (Doubleaxisgraph-see Notesonpage15)

    Texas U.S.

    U.S.scale

    Texasscale

    7

    20

    222.7

    0

    3

    Valueinbillions

    TexasNon-ResidentialBuildingConstructionContracts

    $1.61

    Changefrompreviousyear:16.8%

    6/10 6/11

    0

    30,000

    6/10 6/11

    21,594

    Changefrompreviousyear:-1.7%Units

    Existing Single-Family Home Sales

    5/10 5/110

    10,0005,712

    1,531

    Changefrompreviousyear:Single-0.2% Multi-0.1%Units

    Housing Permits

    Si ngle Mu lti

    California

    Texas

    NewYork

    Florida

    Illinois

    FiveMost PopulousStatesRankby population

    0 3 6 9 12 15

    Change in Nonfarm Employment

    2.1%0.5%

    1.1%

    1.1%

    0.7%

    MillionsofJobs

    5/105/11

    6/10 6/11

    Changefromprevious year:2.0%Inmillions

    9.5

    11.010.59

    Nonfarm Employment

    6/10 6/116

    119.2%

    8.2%

    Changefrompreviousyear:Texas-0.1 U.S.-0.3Percent

    Unemployment Rate

    Texas U.S.

    0

    $1,200

    Changefrompreviousyear:4.2%Inmillions

    State Sales Tax Collections, Retail Establishments

    6/10 6/11

    $836.1

    7/10 7/1125

    100

    59.5

    WSC* U.S. 81.5

    Changefrompreviousyear:WSCRegion*23.5% U.S.16.7%Index

    Consumer Confidence Index

    1985=100*IncludesTexas,Arkansas,Louisiana&Oklahoma(persourcesdatagroups)

    2004=1001/10 1/11100

    115 112.5

    108.1

    Changefrompreviousyear:Texas2.3% U.S.4.7%Index

    Leading Economic Indicators Index

    Texas U.S.

    6/10 6/11180

    250

    204.9

    225.7

    Consumer Price Index

    Texas U.S.

    Changefrompreviousyear:Texas3.3% U.S.3.6%Index

    1982-84average=100

    6/10 2002=100 6/1180

    120

    93.1

    Changefrompreviousyear:0.5%Index

    Industrial Production Index

    Jn ch cnn1

    (Amounts in millions)GeneraRevenue

    otherFund

    TtaCah

    BE Gi NN iN G B Al AN CE JU NE 1, 20 11 $ 5,5 95 .1 $ 25 ,53 9. 0 $ 31 ,13 4.1

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    ets 6,873.2 2,900.0 9,773.2

    nt icm t $-1,420.5 $691.2 $-729.3

    nt it Tss istmt Tscts $1,991.2 $-2,127.6 $-136.4

    Tt Tscts 570.7 -1,436.4 -865.7

    END CAsH BAlANCE JUNE 30, 20112 $ 6, 16 5. 8 $ 24 ,1 02 .6 $ 30 ,2 68 .4

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    Fca yeartDateJune 2011

    (Amounts in millions) June2011 Revenue % ChangeyTD/yTD

    TAX CollECTioNs By mAJoR TAX

    Ss T $1,731.0 $17,663.1 9.3%

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    nt gs pct T 71.2 894.3 45.2

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    Fca yeartDJune 2011

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    g gmt

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    Tstt 626.4 5,412.5

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    rt acs 31.0 283.4

    em Bts 798.5 7,603.4

    dbt Scitst 99.7 921.5

    Ct ot 57.9 451.4

    ltt Ws p2 12.3 433.7

    ToTAl NET EXPE NDiTUREs $9,773.3 $93,545.8

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  • 8/6/2019 Fiscal Notes: July 2011

    11/11

    Fiscal Notesis cyighed ad ay be educe

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    DIRECToR of DATA SERvICES DIvISIon

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    the nation is still hurting rom the real estate bust. In the rst quarter o 2011, more thana th o all U.S. homeowners were under water, according to the nancial and consumer

    inormation rm CoreLogic, meaning that they owed more on their mortgages than their

    homes are worth.

    Texas homeowners have ared considerably better, however. Texas share o mortgages

    under water was third-lowest among the 10 largest states and less than hal o the

    national average.

    Number oFNumber oF Negative-equity Negative-equity

    state mortgages mortgages sHare

    New York 1,857,196 114,899 6.2%

    Pennsylvania 1,817,020 137,080 7.5

    Texas 3,307,047 335,446 10.1

    North Carolina 1,540,349 171,910 11.2

    Illinois 2,231,895 483,517 21.7

    Ohio 2,198,069 482,048 21.9

    Us ToTal 48,012,368 10,905,978 22.7

    Georgia 1,604,759 487,118 30.4

    Caliornia 6,830,925 2,107,984 30.9

    Michigan 1,378,669 496,403 36.0

    Florida 4,387,148 2,021,868 46.1

    Source: CoreLogic