37
First half 2010: Mixed activity as expected The London Marriott West India Quay Hotel 18 August 2010

First half 2010: Mixed activity as expected/media/vestas/investor...The London Marriott West India Quay Hotel 18 August 2010. 2. First half 2010. ... Rest of 2010 Full year expectation

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    0

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: First half 2010: Mixed activity as expected/media/vestas/investor...The London Marriott West India Quay Hotel 18 August 2010. 2. First half 2010. ... Rest of 2010 Full year expectation

First half 2010: Mixed activity as expectedThe London Marriott West India Quay Hotel 18 August 2010

Page 2: First half 2010: Mixed activity as expected/media/vestas/investor...The London Marriott West India Quay Hotel 18 August 2010. 2. First half 2010. ... Rest of 2010 Full year expectation

First half 20102

How well is Vestas really doing?

Page 3: First half 2010: Mixed activity as expected/media/vestas/investor...The London Marriott West India Quay Hotel 18 August 2010. 2. First half 2010. ... Rest of 2010 Full year expectation

H1: Mixed activity as expected

33 First half 2010

Page 4: First half 2010: Mixed activity as expected/media/vestas/investor...The London Marriott West India Quay Hotel 18 August 2010. 2. First half 2010. ... Rest of 2010 Full year expectation

Low H1 activity in Production Business Units.

On track for order intake of 8,000-9,000 MW.

Revised short-term guidance.

4 First half 2010

Page 5: First half 2010: Mixed activity as expected/media/vestas/investor...The London Marriott West India Quay Hotel 18 August 2010. 2. First half 2010. ... Rest of 2010 Full year expectation

Income statement

mEUR Q2 2010 Q2 2009 H1 2010 H1 2009

Revenue 1,007 1,211 1,762 2,316 Gross profit 44 223 88 439 Gross margin 4.4% 18.4% 5.0% 19.0%EBIT (148) 78 (244) 154 EBIT margin (14.7%) 6.4% (13.8%) 6.6%Profit/(loss) before tax (165) 59 (279) 137 Profit/(loss) after tax (119) 43 (201) 99

H1 2010 reflects the low 2009 order intake.EBIT reflects low utilisation of production capacity, as expected.

5 First half 2010

Page 6: First half 2010: Mixed activity as expected/media/vestas/investor...The London Marriott West India Quay Hotel 18 August 2010. 2. First half 2010. ... Rest of 2010 Full year expectation

Shipments: Extremely low activity reducing EBIT margin

855

1,090

1,245

1,784

684

1,458 1,479

2,539

885

1,172

1,635

2,439

387

588

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2

2007 2008 2009 2010

Shipmen

ts (M

W)

6 First half 2010

Page 7: First half 2010: Mixed activity as expected/media/vestas/investor...The London Marriott West India Quay Hotel 18 August 2010. 2. First half 2010. ... Rest of 2010 Full year expectation

Balance sheet

First half 20107

mEUR 30 June 2010

30 June 2009 Change

Total intangible assets 900 710 27%

Total property, plant and equipment 1,705 1,315 30%

Inventories 1,937 2,386 (19%)

Receivables 1,680 1,187 42%

Cash at hand and in bank 218 274 (20%)

Financial liabilities 1,114 118 844%

Provisions 155 220 (30%)

Total balance sheet 6,702 6,050 11%

Equity ratio 47.4% 47.5% (0.1 %-pts.)

Net debt of EUR 896m reflects H1 deficit and investment program.Net debt constitute Eurobond, EIB and NIB.

Robust balance sheet.

Page 8: First half 2010: Mixed activity as expected/media/vestas/investor...The London Marriott West India Quay Hotel 18 August 2010. 2. First half 2010. ... Rest of 2010 Full year expectation

Net working capital

mEUR 30 June 2010

30 June 2009 Change

Inventories 1,937 2,386 (19)%

Receivables 1,680 1,187 42%

Prepayments from customers (908) (1,359) (33)%

Trade payables (873) (1,022) (15)%

Other liabilities (314) (388) (19)%

Total 1,522 804 89%

Receivables reflect high level of orders in progress.Prepayments reflect larger projects with longer time span and credit crisis.

Still too large inventories.

8 First half 2010

Page 9: First half 2010: Mixed activity as expected/media/vestas/investor...The London Marriott West India Quay Hotel 18 August 2010. 2. First half 2010. ... Rest of 2010 Full year expectation

Cash flow statement

H1 cash flow weak due to back-end loaded activity level, as expected.

mEUR Q2 2010

Q2 2009

H1 2010

H1 2009

Cash flow from operating activities before change in working capital (255) 71 (420) 130

Change in working capital (54) (251) (287) (505) Cash flow from operating activities (309) (180) (707) (375) Cash flow from investing activities (202) (260) (351) (445) Cash flow before financing activities (511) (440) (1,058) (820) Cash flow from financing activities 248 540 768 848 Change in cash and cash equivalents less current portion of bank debt (263) 100 (290) 28

9 First half 2010

Page 10: First half 2010: Mixed activity as expected/media/vestas/investor...The London Marriott West India Quay Hotel 18 August 2010. 2. First half 2010. ... Rest of 2010 Full year expectation

Non-financial reporting

DiversitySafety First Code of Conduct

As Green as it Gets

Q2 2010

Q2 2009 Change

Incidence of industrial injuries per 1 million working hours 4.6 7.6 (39%)

Renewable energy (%) 49 39 10 % ptsRenewable electricity (%) 78 64 14 % pts

Women at management level (%) 19 17 2 % ptsNon-Danes at management level (%) 47 44 3 % pts

Vestas has joined the WEF ‘Partnering Against Corruption Initiative’.4,402 employees attended safety courses in H1.

10 First Half 2010

Work related injuries down by 87% since 2005

Page 11: First half 2010: Mixed activity as expected/media/vestas/investor...The London Marriott West India Quay Hotel 18 August 2010. 2. First half 2010. ... Rest of 2010 Full year expectation

H1: Mixed activity as expected

1111 First half 2010

Page 12: First half 2010: Mixed activity as expected/media/vestas/investor...The London Marriott West India Quay Hotel 18 August 2010. 2. First half 2010. ... Rest of 2010 Full year expectation

Announced order intake YTD more than 5,500 MW - on track for 8,000-9,000 MW

12 First half 2010

3,072 

1,258 

8,000 ‐ 9,000 

3,031 

~1,400

~2,800

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

FY2009 Q1 ‐ 2010 Q2 ‐ 2010 Orders announced since June

Rest of 2010 Full year expectation

Order intake (M

W)

Page 13: First half 2010: Mixed activity as expected/media/vestas/investor...The London Marriott West India Quay Hotel 18 August 2010. 2. First half 2010. ... Rest of 2010 Full year expectation

2/3 of expected order intake realised year to date

13

Since June

Year to date Expected order intake 2010

Europe

H1 Guidance

Year to date Expected order intake 2010

MW

Americas

Year to date Expected order intake 2010

Asia/Pacific

Page 14: First half 2010: Mixed activity as expected/media/vestas/investor...The London Marriott West India Quay Hotel 18 August 2010. 2. First half 2010. ... Rest of 2010 Full year expectation

4,400 4,535

3,946

4,415 4,283

6,529

5,848

4,8064,570

3,596

3,014

1,747

2,618

5,061

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2

2007 2008 2009 2010

MW

Order backlog: Largest increase in three years

52%

93%

14 First half 2010

Page 15: First half 2010: Mixed activity as expected/media/vestas/investor...The London Marriott West India Quay Hotel 18 August 2010. 2. First half 2010. ... Rest of 2010 Full year expectation

Market liquidity:

Energy prices:

Political momentum:

Overall market situation

Market liquidity:

Energy prices:

Political momentum:

15 First half 2010

Page 16: First half 2010: Mixed activity as expected/media/vestas/investor...The London Marriott West India Quay Hotel 18 August 2010. 2. First half 2010. ... Rest of 2010 Full year expectation

Bringing home orders in a challenging world

16 First half 2010

Page 17: First half 2010: Mixed activity as expected/media/vestas/investor...The London Marriott West India Quay Hotel 18 August 2010. 2. First half 2010. ... Rest of 2010 Full year expectation

Terms & conditions

Pre-payments:Reflecting larger projects with longer time span.

Prices:No material changes, adjusted for input prices.

17 First half 2010

Page 18: First half 2010: Mixed activity as expected/media/vestas/investor...The London Marriott West India Quay Hotel 18 August 2010. 2. First half 2010. ... Rest of 2010 Full year expectation

H1: Mixed activity as expected

18 First half 2010

Page 19: First half 2010: Mixed activity as expected/media/vestas/investor...The London Marriott West India Quay Hotel 18 August 2010. 2. First half 2010. ... Rest of 2010 Full year expectation

Technology R&D

19 First half 2010

Products & presence

V112, Australia

Melbourne, 12 August 2010

Page 20: First half 2010: Mixed activity as expected/media/vestas/investor...The London Marriott West India Quay Hotel 18 August 2010. 2. First half 2010. ... Rest of 2010 Full year expectation

20 First Half 2010

Page 21: First half 2010: Mixed activity as expected/media/vestas/investor...The London Marriott West India Quay Hotel 18 August 2010. 2. First half 2010. ... Rest of 2010 Full year expectation

H1: Mixed activity as expected

21 First half 2010

Page 22: First half 2010: Mixed activity as expected/media/vestas/investor...The London Marriott West India Quay Hotel 18 August 2010. 2. First half 2010. ... Rest of 2010 Full year expectation

Guidance: Why are we changing it?

First half 201022

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2

2009 2010

MW

The future:Order backlog

History: Shipments

Page 23: First half 2010: Mixed activity as expected/media/vestas/investor...The London Marriott West India Quay Hotel 18 August 2010. 2. First half 2010. ... Rest of 2010 Full year expectation

Guidance: This is why we change it

First half 201023

NOT because of a poor H1 2010 revenue...

...BUT because expected orders – primarily from Spain, Germany and the US – are delayed,thus leading to a postponement in shipments.

Page 24: First half 2010: Mixed activity as expected/media/vestas/investor...The London Marriott West India Quay Hotel 18 August 2010. 2. First half 2010. ... Rest of 2010 Full year expectation

mEUR 2010 Guidance

Order intake, firm and unconditional (MW) 8,000-9,000Revenue 6,000- of which service revenue 600EBIT margin 5-6%EBIT margin, service 15%Financials (35)Tax rate 28% Net working capital as per cent of revenue 15-20% Warranty provisions 3% Investments in property, plants and equipment 650Investments in intangible assets 350Capacity, year-end (MW) 10,000Incidence of industrial injuries (per one million working hours) <7.0Customer loyalty (index) 70Share of renewable energy (%) 55Quality level, year-end (Sigma) 5

Guidance as of 18 August 2010

Expected REVENUE reduced due to timing

of shipments.

Expected EBIT reduced due to

lack of volume only.24

NWC reflectschanged revenue

guidance.First half 2010

Page 25: First half 2010: Mixed activity as expected/media/vestas/investor...The London Marriott West India Quay Hotel 18 August 2010. 2. First half 2010. ... Rest of 2010 Full year expectation

Guidance as of 18 August 2010

First half 201025

H1 2010 H2 2010

EBIT

H2 2010

+ EUR 544-604m

Global financial crisis hitting Vestas

Strong rebound, leading to

year-end profit.

EUR (244)m

Page 26: First half 2010: Mixed activity as expected/media/vestas/investor...The London Marriott West India Quay Hotel 18 August 2010. 2. First half 2010. ... Rest of 2010 Full year expectation

Internal implications of lower shipments

First half 201026

No. of employees, beginning of 2010: 20,730

No. of employees, year-end 2010: 23,500

300 in Denmark

Approx 300 staff on temporary hire – not to be prolonged

Work sharing to reduce number of layoffs in Europe (incl. Denmark)

Due to postponed shipments, layoffs at affected factories to be negotiated with employee representatives:

Page 27: First half 2010: Mixed activity as expected/media/vestas/investor...The London Marriott West India Quay Hotel 18 August 2010. 2. First half 2010. ... Rest of 2010 Full year expectation

Internal implications of lower shipments

First half 201027

Bonus

As it looks right now, bonus will be challenging to obtain for 2010.

Page 28: First half 2010: Mixed activity as expected/media/vestas/investor...The London Marriott West India Quay Hotel 18 August 2010. 2. First half 2010. ... Rest of 2010 Full year expectation

First half 201028

Page 29: First half 2010: Mixed activity as expected/media/vestas/investor...The London Marriott West India Quay Hotel 18 August 2010. 2. First half 2010. ... Rest of 2010 Full year expectation

Planet Earth’s half-year result...

29 First half 2010

Source: The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), July 2010

Page 30: First half 2010: Mixed activity as expected/media/vestas/investor...The London Marriott West India Quay Hotel 18 August 2010. 2. First half 2010. ... Rest of 2010 Full year expectation

National Renewable Energy Plans (NREAP) - submitted so far

First half 201030

Wind power set to become a central part of the European energy mix by 2020.

Sou

rce:

Ves

tas

Page 31: First half 2010: Mixed activity as expected/media/vestas/investor...The London Marriott West India Quay Hotel 18 August 2010. 2. First half 2010. ... Rest of 2010 Full year expectation

First half 201031

Financial Times, 15 July 2010

[…] the 420 MW Macarthur Wind Farm will have the capacity to abate more than 1.7 million tons of greenhouse gases every year – the equivalent of taking more than 420,000 cars off the road each year […].

Penny Wong,Minister for Climate Change, Energy Efficiency and Water, Australia

Sydney Morning Herald, 12 August 2010

Page 32: First half 2010: Mixed activity as expected/media/vestas/investor...The London Marriott West India Quay Hotel 18 August 2010. 2. First half 2010. ... Rest of 2010 Full year expectation

32 First half 2010

Page 33: First half 2010: Mixed activity as expected/media/vestas/investor...The London Marriott West India Quay Hotel 18 August 2010. 2. First half 2010. ... Rest of 2010 Full year expectation

Capital Markets Day: 1-2 September, USA

First half 201033

Page 34: First half 2010: Mixed activity as expected/media/vestas/investor...The London Marriott West India Quay Hotel 18 August 2010. 2. First half 2010. ... Rest of 2010 Full year expectation

First half 201034

So how well is Vestas really doing?

Page 35: First half 2010: Mixed activity as expected/media/vestas/investor...The London Marriott West India Quay Hotel 18 August 2010. 2. First half 2010. ... Rest of 2010 Full year expectation

Next quarterly presentation

35 First half 2010

Page 36: First half 2010: Mixed activity as expected/media/vestas/investor...The London Marriott West India Quay Hotel 18 August 2010. 2. First half 2010. ... Rest of 2010 Full year expectation

First Half 201036

Page 37: First half 2010: Mixed activity as expected/media/vestas/investor...The London Marriott West India Quay Hotel 18 August 2010. 2. First half 2010. ... Rest of 2010 Full year expectation

Copyright NoticeThe documents are created by Vestas Wind Systems A/S and contain copyrighted material, trademarks, and other proprietary information. All rights reserved. No part of the documents may be reproduced or copied in any form or by anymeans—such as graphic, electronic, or mechanical, including photocopying, taping, or information storage and retrieval systems without the prior written permission of Vestas Wind Systems A/S. The use of these documents by you, oranyone else authorized by you, is prohibited unless specifically permitted by Vestas Wind Systems A/S. You may not alter or remove any trademark, copyright or other notice from the documents. The documents are provided “as is” andVestas Wind Systems A/S shall not have any responsibility or liability whatsoever for the results of use of the documents by you. Vestas wishes to acknowledge and respect all copyrights in connection with the illustrations used in thispresentation. In case we have unintentionally violated copyrighted material, we want to be informed immediately in order to straighten things out and thus to honour any obligatory fees.