Final Project _ UP 430Dec 2016

By: Richa Singh

2

Introduction and Scenario

Distribution Techniques

TDM Techniques Result AnalysisRecommendation and Conclusions

Agenda

3

Regional Characteristics

East central Illinois Economic center of activities

50,000 students, faculties, and staff

University of Illinois

Roadway networksStreet bicycle facilities

CUMTD Pedestrian facilities

Transportation

Introduction and Scenario

Distribution Techniques

TDM Techniques

Result Analysis

Recommendation and

Conclusions

Client Logo

4

Scenario

Introduction and Scenario

Distribution Techniques

TDM Techniques

Result Analysis

Recommendation and

Conclusions

10,000 additional employees

Service sector employment boom

Population growth concentrated along urban areas and nearby

villages

Client Logo

5

Projected Land Use

Introduction and Scenario

Distribution Techniques

TDM Techniques

Result Analysis

Recommendation and

Conclusions

Existing Proposed_2040

Client Logo

6

Introduction and Scenario

Distribution Techniques

TDM Techniques

Result Analysis

Recommendation and

Conclusions

Existing Proposed_2040

Projected Land Use

Client Logo

7

Introduction and Scenario

Distribution Techniques

TDM Techniques

Result Analysis

Recommendation and

Conclusions

Existing Proposed_2040

Projected Land Use

Population and Employment Growth Trends for Year 2040 (LRTP)

◼ 2040 LRTP (traditional development) used as main guideline to estimate population growth trends in region

◼ Graph shows population growth of 21.8% between 2010 and 2040

◼ 46.5% Increase in employment

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Introduction and Scenario

Distribution Techniques

TDM Techniques

Result Analysis

Recommendation and

Conclusions

Population Estimation (Trend #1)

◼ Trend #1 mentions population growth to be concentrated along the boundaries of urbanized and nearby small villages.

◼ TAZs mostly from villages of Savoy, St. Joseph, Mahomet and Bondville

◼ TAZs near national highways (I-57, I-74)

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Introduction and Scenario

Distribution Techniques

TDM Techniques

Result Analysis

Recommendation and

Conclusions

Population Increase Distribution_2040

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Mahomet

Savoy

Tolono

St. Joseph

Bondville

Introduction and Scenario

Distribution Techniques

TDM Techniques

Result Analysis

Recommendation and

Conclusions

Notable

employment

increase at

University South

Research Park

Employment Increase Distribution

◼ Per Scenario (Aggressive Growth Trend #1) an additional 10,000 jobs added to University South Research Park (Yahoo, TAZ 59, 61)

◼ Total employment population for year 2040 estimated to be 158,839 (before 148,846)

◼ Employment change increases to 56.3%

◼ Division among TAZs of service, retails and others Followed same proportions (further divisions) as 2010

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Introduction and Scenario

Distribution Techniques

TDM Techniques

Result Analysis

Recommendation and

Conclusions

Population Distribution According to Household Size

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◼ Distribution of population between household sizes based on existing proportions

◼ Percentages of HH1 and HH2 are far higher than HH3 and HH4.

Introduction and Scenario

Distribution Techniques

TDM Techniques

Result Analysis

Recommendation and

Conclusions

13

Trip Generation Modelling Technique

Land use, population,

economic forecast

Estimate trips to and from each zone

Balance production

and attraction

Balancing Factor

𝐵𝐹 =𝐶𝑇𝑃σ𝐴𝑧

Regional Control Total

𝐶𝑇𝑃 =𝑃𝑧 +𝑃𝑒 −𝐴𝑒

Introduction and Scenario

Distribution Techniques

TDM Techniques

Result Analysis

Recommendation and

Conclusions

2010 2040

Production 2410 12800

Attraction 7000 43500

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Trip Distribution Modelling Technique

Introduction and Scenario

Distribution Techniques

TDM Techniques

Result Analysis

Recommendation and

Conclusions

Link trip production and trip attraction for each zonal pair

Trip lengthTravel

orientation

Magnitude of traffic and passenger volumes

Gravity Model

𝑇𝑖𝑗 =𝑃𝑖 𝐴𝑗𝐹𝑖𝑗𝐾𝑖𝑗σ𝐴𝑘𝐹𝑖𝑘𝐾𝑖𝑘

Production and

Attraction

Production and

Attraction

Production and

Attraction

Mostly concentrated in the villages of Savoy, Mahomet, Rantoul and Bondville.

Introduction and Scenario

Distribution Techniques

TDM Techniques

Result Analysis

Recommendation and

Conclusions

RESULTS

TAZs of extensive increase in the Home bound work and Home bound Shopping trips.

Introduction and Scenario

Distribution Techniques

TDM Techniques

Result Analysis

Recommendation and

Conclusions

Research Park

Research Park

%increase in VMT : 10%

%increase in VHT : 2%

Introduction and Scenario

Distribution Techniques

TDM Techniques

Result Analysis

Recommendation and

Conclusions

VMT AND VHT Comparison

0

20

40

60

80

2010 2040

Miles T

ravelled

VMT Ratios

Per HH Per Person

0

0.5

1

1.5

2010 2040

Hours

Tra

velled

VHT Ratios

Per HH Per Person

4800000

5000000

5200000

5400000

5600000

2010 2040

Miles T

ravelled

Total VMT

Total Regional VMT

108500

109000

109500

110000

110500

111000

111500

2010 2040

Hours

Tra

velled

Total VHT

Total Regional VHT

Congested Miles : 2.4Nearly Congested Miles : 3.7

Congested Miles : 8.84Nearly Congested Miles : 14.3

Introduction and Scenario

Distribution Techniques

TDM Techniques

Result Analysis

Recommendation and

Conclusions

Level of Congestion Comparison

Congested areas

Nearly Congested areas in Research park

Introduction and Scenario

Distribution Techniques

TDM Techniques

Result Analysis

Recommendation and

Conclusions

Traffic Volume Comparison

Increased traffic volumes

Increased traffic volumes

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Recommendations: Expanding Current CUMTD Bus Lines

Introduction and Scenario

Distribution Techniques

TDM Techniques

Result Analysis

Recommendation and

Conclusions

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Reduction of Single Occupancy Vehicles

Promote Record Redeem

Next Steps

1 2 3

Green transportation

forms

Prevented emissions and NuRide points

Rewards

Introduction and Scenario

Distribution Techniques

TDM Techniques

Result Analysis

Recommendation and

Conclusions

Free, incentive-based TDM program