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Melbourne Mining ClubMelbourne Mining Club2 February 2012
G R biGreg RobinsonManaging Director and CEONewcrest Mining LimitedNewcrest Mining Limited
DisclaimerForward Looking Statements and Disclaimer
These materials include forward looking statements. Forward looking statements inherently involve subjective judgement and analysis and aresubject to significant uncertainties, risks and contingencies, many of which are outside of the control of, and may be unknown to, thecompany. Actual results and developments may vary materially from those expressed in these materials. The types of uncertainties which arecompany. Actual results and developments may vary materially from those expressed in these materials. The types of uncertainties which arerelevant to the company may include, but are not limited to, commodity prices, political uncertainty, changes to the regulatory frameworkwhich applies to the business of the company and general economic conditions. Given these uncertainties, readers are cautioned not to placeundue reliance on such forward looking statements.
Forward looking statements in these materials speak only at the date of issue. Subject to any continuing obligations under applicable law orany relevant stock exchange listing rules the company does not in providing this information undertake any obligation to publicly update orany relevant stock exchange listing rules, the company does not in providing this information undertake any obligation to publicly update orrevise any of the forward looking statements or any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based.
The information contained in this presentation is not investment or financial product advice and is not intended to be used as the basis formaking an investment decision.
Ore Reserves and Mineral Resources Reporting Requirements
As an Australian company with securities listed on the Australian Securities Exchange (“ASX”), Newcrest is subject to Australian disclosure requirements and standards, including the requirements of the Corporations Act and the ASX. Investors should note that it is a requirement of the ASX listing rules that the reporting of Ore Reserves and Mineral Resources in Australia comply with the Australasian Code for Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves (the “JORC Code”) and that Newcrest’s Ore Reserve and Mineral Resource estimates comply with the “JORC Code”. p y
Competent Persons Statement
The information in this presentation that relates to Exploration Results is based on information compiled by Colin Moorhead, EGM Minerals forNewcrest Mining Limited who is a Fellow of The Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy, and a full-time employee of Newcrest MiningLimited. Mr Moorhead has sufficient experience which is relevant to the styles of mineralisation and types of deposits under consideration and
h i i hi h h i d ki lif C P d fi d i h 2004 Edi i f h “JORC C d ” M M h dto the activity which he is undertaking to qualify as a Competent Person as defined in the 2004 Edition of the “JORC Code”. Mr Moorheadconsents to the inclusion in this presentation of the matters based on this information in the form and context in which they appear.
Exploration Target
The potential quantity and grade related to Exploration Targets in this report is conceptual in nature as there has been insufficient exploration to define a Mineral Resource It is uncertain if further exploration will result in the determination of a Mineral Resource
2
to define a Mineral Resource. It is uncertain if further exploration will result in the determination of a Mineral Resource.
Newcrest Mining
LihirGosowong
Head office - Melbourne
Tandai
Manus Island
Wafi-Golpu
Telfer
4th largest gold producer
Li t d th ASX dMt KasiNamosi
Bukina FascoBukina FascoMaliMali Bukina FascoMali
Telfer
Hidden Valley
Listed on the ASX and POMSOX; progressing with TSX listing
YamoussoukroYamoussoukro
AbidjanAbidjanLiberiaLiberia
CÔTE D’IVOIRECÔTE D’IVOIRECÔTE D’IVOIRECÔTE D’IVOIRE
100 km100 km
Yamoussoukro
AbidjanLiberia
CÔTE D’IVOIRECÔTE D’IVOIRE
100 km Cadia Valley
Mines in four countries
Workforce of 18,000
Bonikro Mining Operation
Advanced Project
Workforce of 18,000
Gold production 2.7Moz
C d ti 85ktj
Exploration Copper production 85kt
3
Gold - Store of Wealth
If you had to bury an item of value in a time capsule hi h i l t b d b d hild 50which is only to be opened by your grandchildren 50
years from today, what would it be?
4
Store of Value
3 000
Indexed Gold, CPI and Dow Jones MovementsUSD/oz
2,000
2,500
3,000
1,000
1,500
0
500
Since its free float in 1973, gold has consistently beaten inflation
Gold USD US CPI Dow Jones Industrial Average
Since its free float in 1973, gold has consistently beaten inflation “From ’01 to ’04, a period where inflation fell from 2.8% to 1%. Gold rallied >50%. … Gold,
as a hoarding vehicle has a scarcity factor that can see its price appreciate significantly. Even in a deflationary period.” – Merrill Lynch Jan 2009
5
Source: Bloomberg
Gold is forever
Gold is the only real long term currency – every currency exchangeable into gold
Gold Inventory(Thousand Tonnes)
31
28
51kt in existing in-ground reserves*
20 m
86
28 Liquidity- 2,800t
produced vs. trading
20 m
204
volumes 1,500t / day
20 m
6
*Source: USGS
Discovery Rates are Declining
7
60 years of supply
Mine production - 2,800 tonnes per annum 59 000 tonnes in storage 59,000 tonnes in storage 86,000 tonnes in jewellery
BHP Billiton
Barrick
Market Value (US$b)
US Gold Reserve
Apple
Global Gold
Global Financials
Global Materials
Global Mining Sector
US Gold Reserve
0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000
Aggregate Gold Produced
Global Financials
8
Source: Bloomberg
Central Banks have Resumed Buying
600Tonnes
Net official sector sales and purchases
Mexico: 100t
200
400
600 Mexico: 100tRussia: 87tThailand: 53tSouth Korea: 40t
*
-200
0
200 South Korea: 40tBolivia: 14tChina: 450t++India: 200t
-600
-400
India: 200t+
Sri Lanka,Bangladesh,
-800
Bangladesh,Philippines,Kazakhstan,Mauritius
* 2011 data is preliminar
Source: Thomson Reuters GFMS, World Gold Council
9
* 2011 data is preliminary
ETF Investment Continues to Build
US$/oz Moz
80
90
1,800
2,000
50
60
70
1,200
1,400
1,600
30
40
800
1,000
10
20
400
600
Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12
ETF Gold Holdings (RHS) Gold price
10
Source: Bloomberg, ANZ Research
Why gold prices will continue to stay strong
US$ remains the global currency but faces devaluation:US National Debt $15+ trillion– US National Debt $15+ trillion
– US gold reserve US$450B– US Federal Reserve continuing to ease monetary policy– Pay debt through tax and devaluation of US$
European economies in poor shape European economies in poor shape– Recapitalisation of Government and Bank debt– Future of the Euro currency?
Capital surplus to the emerging economies– Where to invest excess money?
Political tensions continue
11
Gold companies will correlate with gold prices
Gold Correlation - 1 year Gold Correlation - 10 year
1.00 1.00
0.80
1.001.00 1.00
0.91 0.94 0.91
0.80
1.00
0.54
0.410.40
0.60
0 20
0.40
0.60
(0.03)(0.20)
0.00
0.20
(0.20)
0.00
0.20
( )
Analyst price forecasts remain substantially below spot gold price
12Source: Bloomberg
y p y p g p
Gold Companies - a better investment than pure gold
High Gold priceHighvalue Reserve life
LTO Management
Cost positionGrowth
LowGold price exposure
+ Dividendsvalue
13
+ Growth
Gold – 10% of Australian Exportsp
Value of Australia’s Top 10 Commodity Exports
Gold $18.9B 10%
Agricultural Products
$10.1B 5%
Other Metal & Minerals
$161.6B 85%
Combined Value $190.6B
14
Source: BREE: Australian Commodities, December Quarter 2011: 2011-12 Forecast
ABARES: Agricultural Commodities, December Quarter 2011: 2011-12 Forecast
Australian Gold Industry Cycle
1,6012,000 Market Cap (A$m) ‐ 10th January 2012
24,645A$M
1,263 1,185 1,182933 852 711 667 654 621 601 490 478 470 424 393 303 303500
1,000
1,500
0
3 099
1,002
1,302
100012001400 Market Cap (A$m) – 10 years ago
3,099A$M
98 71 64 54 28 13 2
564405
16061 28 25 24 19 9 7 3 3200
4006008001000
0
Subsequent transaction
15Source: Bloomberg
Subsequent transaction
Currency pay rise for everyone!
1 000
1.100
$800
$900Cash Cost – World (US$/oz)
0 800
0.900
1.000
$600
$700
$800
US$
:A$)
oz)
Cash Cost – Australia (US$/oz)Exchange Rate
0.600
0.700
0.800
$400
$500
nge
Rat
e (U
Cos
t (U
S$/o
0.400
0.500
0.600
$100
$200
$300
Exch
anC
0.300$0
$100
Year
16
Source: GFMS Gold Survey, Bloomberg
Gross Value Add per Hour Worked
17
Labour Productivity=
100
dex
1985
–86
Ind
Source: AMMA: Productivity in the Mining Sector
18
Sou ce oduct ty t e g Secto
Challenge of Geographic Spread
MALAYSIAMALAYSIA
PHILIPPINESPHILIPPINES
Manado
TernatePAPUA NEW GUINEAPAPUA NEW GUINEAGosowong
LihirManus Is
Singapore
MALAYSIAMALAYSIA
Jakarta
Port Moresby
INDONESIAINDONESIATandai
Mt K iFIJIFIJI
Wafi-GolpuHidden Valley
Port Hedland Suva
AUSTRALIAAUSTRALIA
Namosi
Mt Kasi
Telfer
Broome Cairns
Alice Springs
PerthKalgoorlie
Brisbane
Orange
AUSTRALIAAUSTRALIA
Cadia Valley
Melbourne
SydneyAdelaide
DomesticInternationalCharter
19
Newcrest operation/project
Fewer discoveries, grades are declining
Average grade of gold mined and discovered (1950-10)
Volume and average size of global goldDiscoveries (1997- 08) ( )
100g/t Au
Average grade of gold mined
( )
Billions of ounces
160Average size of discovery
10
Average grade of gold discoveredAverage grade of gold mined
120
Total gold discoveredAverage size of discovery
1
80
1
40
1950
2010
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
0.100706050403020100999897 08
# of major discoveries 10 10 5 3 6 2 7 6 5 2 1 0
20
Source: MEG Gold Sector Review
Mines deeper and bigger
3500
Underground Mine Depth - metres (1950-2017)
1500
2000
2500
3000
depr
th (m
etre
s)
Andina (UG)
El Teniente
Grasberg
Kidd Creek
General trends:
Mines are getting deeper
0
500
1000
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
Min
e Mount Isa
Palabora
Source: Newcrest M ining
g g p
Ore grades are declining
Material movement ratesSource: Newcrest M ining
Open Pit Mine Depth - metres (1950-2017)
Material movement rates have increased
600
800
1,000
1,200
pth
(met
res)
Bingham Canyon
Chuquicamata
Collahuasi
0
200
400
950
956
962
968
974
980
986
992
998
2004
2010
2016
Min
e D
ep
Escondida
Grasberg
21
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2
Source: Newcrest M ining
Compiled :Wood Mackenzie
Future Underground
Rock Factory Underground
>25Mt t• Continuous• Increased rates• Reduced capital
>25Mtpa rates<$5/t minedLower cut offs
Integrated Continuous Machines
• Lower op costs
Loaders <10m to Mobile Crusher
Loaders <50mLoaders <50m to Ore Passes
22
Loaders >150m to Crusher
Energy Consumption Increases with Finer Sizing
23
Newcrest Working Together with Others
+ Many Others+ Many Others
24
PNG, Wafi-Golpu JV – Wafi Transfer Zone
Seven Drill rigsPLAN VIEW
Zimake
Targeting further growth of the Golpu porphyryBavaga
Accelerated drilling campaign within the Wafi Transfer Zone
Zenapu
Nambonga Miapilli
• Kesiago,• Zimake
Kesiago
Hekeng
Nambonga
Wafi
pGolpu
26 6M A & 9 0Mt C
2011 WAFI-GOLPURESOURCE(1)
• Mt Tonn
Mt Tonn
Pekumbe
Kesiago
Copper/gold
26.6Moz Au & 9.0Mt Cu
25
(1) Newcrest Annual Statement of Mineral Resources & Ore Reserves to June 30, 2011. Resource figures quoted on 100% basis.
Mt Tonn4 km
Copper/goldtarget area
Wafi-Golpu – Growth of a world class Copper/Gold district
2009 2011
Copper/Gold district
Surface Surface
Diatreme Diatreme
800 m
2009 GOLPU RESOURCE(1)
163Mt @ 800 m
+1900 m
163Mt @0.57 g/t Au & 1.1% Cu 3.0 Moz Au & 1.7 Mt Cu
2011 GOLPURESOURCE(2)
870 Mt @0 69 g/t Au &
1.7 Mt Cu
300 m
~800 m
0.69 g/t Au &1.03% Cu19.3 Moz Au &9.0 Mt Cu
26(1) Newcrest Annual Statement of Mineral Resources & Ore Reserves to June 30, 2009(2) Newcrest Annual Statement of Mineral Resources & Ore Reserves to June 30, 2011.
Resource figures quoted on 100% basis.
Crushing and screeningMill building
Vertimill
Flotation areaThickening
27Cadia Valley Operations
28Broken Ore in Drawpoint - Cadia East
29Lihir MOPU Project - Autoclave Building
30
Autoclave VesselNeutralisation, Cyanidation Adsorption Circuit
31Lihir MOPU Project - Oxygen Plant