37
stimated yearly natural production of all races of adult Chinook Salmon in the Central Valley. 1952 - 1992 - 2003 numbers are from CDFG Grand Tab (February 5, 2004). Baseline numbers (1967 - 1991) ar and Fisher (CDFG, 1994). 0 200000 400000 600000 800000 1000000 1952 1954 1956 1958 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 Production(natural productionof all racesfortheCentral Valley) Adult escapement (Grand Tab) Baseline(M illsand Fisher) 1967-1991 Average = 495,095 1992-2003 Average = 511,462 Estimated number of all races of adult Chinook DRAFT 10-14-04 Goal = 990,000 (Final Restoration Plan)

Figure 1. Estimated yearly natural production of all races of adult Chinook Salmon in the Central Valley. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from

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Page 1: Figure 1. Estimated yearly natural production of all races of adult Chinook Salmon in the Central Valley. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from

Figure 1. Estimated yearly natural production of all races of adult Chinook Salmon in the Central Valley. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from CDFG Grand Tab (February 5, 2004). Baseline numbers (1967 - 1991) are from Mills and Fisher (CDFG, 1994).

0

200000

400000

600000

800000

100000019

52

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

Production (natural production of allraces for the Central Valley)Adult escapement (Grand Tab)

Baseline (Mills and Fisher)

Doubling goal

Baseline

Doubling period

1967-1991 Average= 495,095

1992-2003 Average= 511,462

Est

imat

ed n

umbe

r of

all

rac

es o

f ad

ult C

hino

okDRAFT 10-14-04

Goal = 990,000 (Final Restoration Plan)

Page 2: Figure 1. Estimated yearly natural production of all races of adult Chinook Salmon in the Central Valley. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from

Figure 2. Estimated yearly natural production of adult fall-run Chinook salmon in the Central Valley, and in river escapements. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from CDFG Grand Tab (February 5, 2004). Baseline numbers (1967 - 1991) are from Mills and Fisher (CDFG, 1994).

0

200000

400000

600000

800000

100000019

52

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

Production (natural production of fall-runfor the Central Valley)Adult escapement (Grand Tab)

Baseline (Mills and Fisher)

Doubling goal

Baseline

Doubling period

1967-1991 Average=374,638

1992-2003 Average= 472,880

Est

imat

ed n

umbe

r of

adu

lt o

f fa

ll-r

un C

hino

okDRAFT

Goal = 750,000 (Final Restoration Plan)

10-14-04

Page 3: Figure 1. Estimated yearly natural production of all races of adult Chinook Salmon in the Central Valley. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from

0

50000

100000

150000

200000

250000

1952

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

Production (natural production ofwinter-run for the Central Valley)

Adult escapement (Grand Tab)

Baseline (Mills and Fisher)

Figure 3. Estimated yearly adult natural production, and in river adult escapements of winter-run Chinook salmon in the Central Valley. 1992 - 2003 numbers are from CDFG Grand Tab (February 5, 2004). Baseline numbers (1967-1991) are from Mills and Fisher (CDFG, 1994).

1967-1991 Average = 55,060

1992-2003 Average = 6,284

Est

imat

ed n

umbe

r of

adu

lt w

inte

r-ru

n C

hino

okDRAFT

Goal = 110,000 (Final Restoration Plan)

Data not available

10-14-04

Page 4: Figure 1. Estimated yearly natural production of all races of adult Chinook Salmon in the Central Valley. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

1952

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

Production (natural production of late-fall-runfor the Central Valley)Adult escapement (Grand Tab)

Baseline (Mills and Fisher)

Figure 4. Estimated yearly adult natural production, and in river adult escapements of late-fall-run Chinook salmon in the Central Valley. 1967 – 2003 numbers are from CDFG Grand Tab (February 5, 2004). Baseline numbers (1967 - 1991)are from Mills and Fisher (CDFG, 1994).

1967-1991 Average = 34,764

1992-2003 Average= 19,223

Est

imat

ed n

umbe

r of

adu

lt la

te-f

all C

hino

okDRAFT

Goal = 68,000 (Final Restoration Plan)

Data not available

10-14-04

Page 5: Figure 1. Estimated yearly natural production of all races of adult Chinook Salmon in the Central Valley. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from

Figure 5. Estimated yearly adult natural production, and in river adult escapements of spring-run Chinook salmon in the Central Valley. 1960 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from CDFG Grand Tab (February 5, 2004). Baseline numbers (1967 - 1991) are from Mills and Fisher (CDFG, 1994).

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

1952

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

Production (natural production of spring-run for theCentral Valley)Adult escapement (Grand Tab)

Baseline (Mills and Fisher)

Doubling goal

Baseline

Doubling period

1967-1991 Average= 34,706

1992-2003 Average=15,762

Est

imat

ed n

umbe

r of

adu

lt s

prin

g-ru

n C

hino

okDRAFT

Goal = 68,000 (Final Restoration Plan)

Data not available

10-14-04

Page 6: Figure 1. Estimated yearly natural production of all races of adult Chinook Salmon in the Central Valley. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from

Figure 6. Estimated yearly adult natural production, and in river adult escapements of Sacramento River fall-run Chinook salmon. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from CDFG Grand Tab (February 5, 2004). Baseline numbers (1967 - 1991) are from Mills and Fisher (CDFG, 1994).

0

50000

100000

150000

200000

250000

30000019

52

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

Production (natural of fall-run for the SacramentoRiver)Adult escapememt (Grand Tab)

Baseline (Mills and Fisher)

1967-1991 Average= 116,502

1992-2003 Average= 73,973

Est

imat

ed n

umbe

r of

adu

lt f

all-

run

Chi

nook

, DRAFT

Goal = 230,000 (Final Restoration Plan)

Hat

cher

y es

cape

men

t onl

y, 1

952

- 19

55

10-14-04

Page 7: Figure 1. Estimated yearly natural production of all races of adult Chinook Salmon in the Central Valley. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

70000

80000

90000

100000

1952

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

Production (natural production of late-fall run for the Sacramento River)Adult escapememt (Grand Tab)

Baseline (Mills and Fisher)

Doubling goal

Baseline

Doubling period

Doubling goal calculated fromCHINOOKPROD

Figure 7. Estimated yearly adult natural production, and in river adult escapements of Sacramento River late-fall-run Chinook salmon. 1992 -2003 numbers are from CDFG Grand Tab (February 5, 2004). Baseline numbers (1967 - 1991) are from Mills and Fisher (CDFG, 1994). Note that the doubling goal in the Final Restoration Plan is not double the 1967 - 2001arithmetic mean as calculated in CHINOOKPROD.

1967-1991 Average= 34,511

1992-2003 Average= 18,686

Est

imat

ed n

umbe

r of

adu

lt la

te-f

all-

run

Chi

nook

DRAFT

Goal = 44,000 (Final Restoration Plan)

Data not available

10-14-04

Goal = 69,022 (Doubling the 1967 - 2001 mean calculated in CHINOOKPROD)

1996 = 107,1997 = 0

Page 8: Figure 1. Estimated yearly natural production of all races of adult Chinook Salmon in the Central Valley. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

70000

80000

90000

100000

1952

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

Production (natural production of spring-run forthe Sacramento River) above RBDDAdult escapememt (Grand Tab)

Baseline (Mills and Fisher)

Doubling goal

Baseline

Doubling period

Figure 8. Estimated yearly adult natural production, and in river adult escapements of Sacramento River spring-run Chinook salmon. 1992-2003 numbers are from CDFG Grand Tab (February 5, 2004). Baseline numbers (1967 - 1991) are from Mills and Fisher (CDFG, 1994).

1967-1991 Average= 29,649

1992-2003 Average= 583

Est

imat

ed n

umbe

r of

adu

lt s

prin

g-ru

n C

hino

ok

DRAFT

Goal = 59,000 (Final Restoration Plan)

Data not available

10-14-04

Page 9: Figure 1. Estimated yearly natural production of all races of adult Chinook Salmon in the Central Valley. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from

Figure 9. Estimated yearly adult natural production, and in river adult escapements of Sacramento River winter-run Chinook salmon. 1992 - 2003 numbers are from CDFG Grand Tab (February 5, 2004). Baseline numbers (1967 - 1991) are from Mills and Fisher (CDFG, 1994).

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

160000

180000

200000

220000

240000

1952

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

Production (natural production of winter-run for the Sacramento River)Adult escapememt (Grand Tab)

Baseline (Mills and Fisher)

Doubling goal

Baseline

Doubling period

1967-1991 Average= 54,935

1992-2003 Average= 6,284

Est

imat

ed n

umbe

r of

adu

lt w

inte

r-ru

n C

hino

okDRAFT

Goal = 110,000 (Final Restoration Plan)

Data not available

10-14-04

Page 10: Figure 1. Estimated yearly natural production of all races of adult Chinook Salmon in the Central Valley. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

1952

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

Production (natural production of fall-runfor Clear Creek)Adult escapement

Mills and Fisher

Doublinb goal

Baseline

Doubling period

Figure 10. Estimated yearly adult natural production, and in river adult escapements of Clear Creek fall-run Chinook salmon. = data was not available for 1961, 1970-1975, 1979 and 1980. 1992 - 2003 numbers are from CDFG Grand Tab (February 5, 2004). Baseline numbers (1967 - 1991) are from Mills and Fisher (CDFG, 1994).

1967-1991 Average = 3,835

1992-2003 Average= 6,962

DRAFTE

stim

ated

num

ber

of a

dult

fal

l-ru

n C

hino

ok

Goal = 7,100 (Final Restoration Plan)

10-14-04

Page 11: Figure 1. Estimated yearly natural production of all races of adult Chinook Salmon in the Central Valley. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

1952

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

Production (natural production of fall-run forCottonwood Creek)Adult escapement (Grand Tab)

Baseline (Mills and Fisher)

Doubling goal

Baseline

Doubling period

Figure 11. Estimated yearly adult natural production, and in river adult escapements of Cottonwood Creek fall-run Chinook salmon. = data was not available for 1952, 1970 - 1975, 1979 - 1980 and 1993 - 2003. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from CDFG Grand Tab (February 5, 2004). Baseline numbers (1967 - 1991) are from Mills and Fisher (CDFG, 1994).

1952-1991 Average= 2,995

DRAFTE

stim

ated

num

ber

of a

dult

fal

l-ru

n C

hino

ok

Goal = 5,900 (Final Restoration Plan)

1992-2003 Average= 3,999

10-14-04

Page 12: Figure 1. Estimated yearly natural production of all races of adult Chinook Salmon in the Central Valley. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

1600019

52

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

Production (natural production of fall-run for CowCreek)Adult escapement (Grand Tab)

Baseline (Mills and Fisher)

Figure 12. Estimated yearly natural production, and in river escapements of Cow Creek adult fall-run Chinook salmon. = data was not available for 1952, 1961, 1963, 1970 - 1975, 1977 - 1983, and 1992 - 2003. 1952 - 1966 numbers are from CDFG Grand Tab (February 5, 2004). Baseline numbers (1967 - 1991) are from Mills and Fisher (CDFG, 1994).

1967-1991 Average = 2,370

DRAFTE

stim

ated

num

ber

of a

dult

fal

l-ru

n C

hino

ok

Goal = 4,600 (Final Restoration Plan)

10-14-04

1992-2003 Average = 0

Page 13: Figure 1. Estimated yearly natural production of all races of adult Chinook Salmon in the Central Valley. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from

Figure 13. Estimated yearly natural production, and in river escapements of Battle Creek adult fall-run Chinook salmon. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from CDFG Grand Tab (February 5, 2004). Baseline numbers (1967 - 1991) are from Mills and Fisher (CDFG, 1994).

0

50000

100000

150000

200000

250000

300000

350000

400000

1952

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

Production (natural production of fall-run forBattle Creek)Adult escapement (Grand Tab)

Baseline (Mills and Fisher)

Doubling goal

Baseline

Doubling period

Coleman National Fish Hatchery on the creek.Hatchery proportion = 0.9

1967-1991 Average = 5,072

1992-2001 Average= 23,278

DRAFTE

stim

ated

num

ber

of a

dult

fal

l-ru

n C

hino

ok

The high adult escapement numbers compared to production estimates indicates a hatchery contribution to the in-river numbers.

Goal = 10,000 (Final Restoration Plan)

10-14-04

Page 14: Figure 1. Estimated yearly natural production of all races of adult Chinook Salmon in the Central Valley. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

1952

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

Production (natural production of late-fall-run for Battle Creek)

Adult hatchery escapement (Grand Tab)

Baseline (Mills and Fisher)

Figure 14. Estimated yearly natural production calculated from hatchery returns (in river returns were not available), and hatchery returns of Battle Creek adult late-fall-run Chinook salmon. 1992 - 2003 numbers are from CDFG Grand Tab (February 5, 2004). = data was not available for 1952-1968, 1978-1980, 1984 and 2001-2003. Baseline numbers (1967 - 1991) are from Mills and Fisher (CDFG, 1994).

Goal = 550 (Final Restoration Plan)

Coleman National Fish Hatchery on the creek.Hatchery proportion = 0.9

1967-1991 Average = 275

1992-2003 Average= 644

DRAFTE

stim

ated

num

ber

of a

dult

late

-fal

l-ru

n C

hino

ok10-14-04

The high adult escapement numbers compared to production estimates indicates a hatchery contribution to the in-river numbers.

Page 15: Figure 1. Estimated yearly natural production of all races of adult Chinook Salmon in the Central Valley. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

1952

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

Production (natural production of fall-run forPaynes Creek)Adult escapement (Grand Tab)

Baseline (Mills and Fisher)

Figure 15. Estimated yearly natural production, and in river escapements of Paynes Creek adult fall-run Chinook salmon. = data was not available for 1952 - 1964, 1967 - 1968, 1970 - 1981, and 1905 - 2003. 1965-1966 numbers are from CDFG Grand Tab (February 5, 2004). Baseline numbers (1967 - 1991) are from Mills and Fisher (CDFG, 1994).

1965-1991 Average = 167

DRAFTE

stim

ated

num

ber

of a

dult

fal

l-ru

n C

hino

ok

Goal = 330 (Final Restoration Plan)

1992-2003 Average = 0

10-14-04

Page 16: Figure 1. Estimated yearly natural production of all races of adult Chinook Salmon in the Central Valley. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

1000019

52

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

Production (natural production of fall-run for Antelope Creek)Adult escapement (Grand Tab)

Baseline (Mills and Fisher)

Figure 16. Estimated yearly natural production, and in river escapements of Antelope Creek adult fall-run Chinook salmon. = data was not available for 1952, 1959, 1961, 1978 - 1980, 1987,1990, 1991, and 1993 - 2003. 1952 - 1967 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from CDFG Grand Tab (February 5, 2004). Baseline numbers (1967 - 1991) are from Mills and Fisher (CDFG, 1994).

1967-1991 Average = 364

DRAFTE

stim

ated

num

ber

of a

dult

fal

l-ru

n C

hino

ok

Goal = 720 (Final Restoration Plan)

10-14-04

1992-2003 Average = 0

Page 17: Figure 1. Estimated yearly natural production of all races of adult Chinook Salmon in the Central Valley. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

1952

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

Production (natural production of fall-run for Deer Creek)

Adult escapement (Grand Tab)

Baseline (Mills and Fisher)

Figure 17. Estimated yearly natural production, and in river escapements of Deer Creek adult fall-run Chinook salmon. = data was not available for 1955, 1961, 1990 - 1992, 1995, 1996, and 1999 - 2003. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from CDFG Grand Tab (February 5, 2004). Baseline numbers (1967 - 1991) are from Mills and Fisher (CDFG, 1994).

1967-1991 Average = 769

1992-2003 Average= 1,051

DRAFTE

stim

ated

num

ber

of a

dult

fal

l-ru

n C

hino

ok

Goal = 1,500 (Final Restoration Plan)

10-14-04

Page 18: Figure 1. Estimated yearly natural production of all races of adult Chinook Salmon in the Central Valley. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

16000

18000

20000

1952

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

Production (natural production of spring-run for Deer Creek)Adul escapement (Grand Tab)

Baseline (Mills and Fisher)

Figure 18. Estimated yearly natural production, and in river escapements of Deer Creek adult spring-run Chinook salmon. = data was not available for 1952 - 1962, 1965 - 1969, 1977, 1979, 1984, and 1988. 1952 - 1966, and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from CDFG Grand Tab (February 5, 2004). Baseline numbers (1967 - 1991) are from Mills and Fisher (CDFG, 1994).

1967-1991 Average= 3,298

1992-2003 Average= 2,997

DRAFTE

stim

ated

num

ber

of a

dult

spr

ing-

run

Chi

nook

Goal = 6,500 (Final Restoration Plan)

10-14-04

Page 19: Figure 1. Estimated yearly natural production of all races of adult Chinook Salmon in the Central Valley. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

70000

1952

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

Production (natural production of fall-run forMill Creek)Adult escapement (Grand Tab)

Baseline (Mills anf Fisher)

Figure 19. Estimated yearly natural production, and in river escapements of Mill Creek adult fall-run Chinook salmon. = data was not available for 1990, 1995 - 1996, and 1999 - 2001. 1952 -1966 and 1992 – 2003 numbers are from CDFG Grand Tab (February 5, 2004). Baseline numbers (1967 – 1991) are from Mills and Fisher (CDFG, 1994).

1967-1991 Average = 2,137

1992-2003 Average= 2,716

DRAFTE

stim

ated

num

ber

of a

dult

fal

l-ru

n C

hino

ok

Goal = 4,200 (Final Restoration Plan)

10-14-04

Page 20: Figure 1. Estimated yearly natural production of all races of adult Chinook Salmon in the Central Valley. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

1952

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

Production (natural production of spring-runfor Mill Creek)Adult escapement (Grand Tab)

Baseline (Mills and Fisher)

Figure 20. Estimated yearly natural production, and in river escapements of Mill Creek adult spring-run Chinook salmon. = data was not available for 1952 - 1959, 1965 - 1969, 1976, 1979, and 1983. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from CDFG Grand Tab (February 5, 2004). Baseline numbers (1967 - 1991) are from Mills and Fisher (CDFG, 1994).

1967-1991 Average = 2,220

1992-2003 Average= 1,282

DRAFTE

stim

ated

num

ber

of a

dult

fal

l-ru

n C

hino

ok

Goal = 4,400 (Final Restoration Plan)

10-14-04

Page 21: Figure 1. Estimated yearly natural production of all races of adult Chinook Salmon in the Central Valley. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

900019

52

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

Production (natural production of fall-run formiscellaneous creeks)Adult escapement (Grand Tab)

Baseline (Mills and Fisher)

Doubling goal

Baseline

Doubling period

Figure 21. Estimated yearly natural production of miscellaneous creeks adult fall-run Chinook salmon above RBDD. = data was not available for 1952, 1961 - 1963, 1971 - 1975, and 1977 - 2003. 1952 - 2003 numbers are from CDFG Grand Tab (February 5, 2004). Baseline numbers (1967 - 1991) are from Mills and Fisher (CDFG, 1994).

1967-1991 Average = 553

DRAFTE

stim

ated

num

ber

of a

dult

fal

l-ru

n C

hino

ok Miscellaneous creeks above RBDD include Spring Gulch, China Gulch, Olney, Ash, Stillwater, and Inks creeks (Mills and Fisher). Bear Creek numbers are included in the Mills and Fisher numbers, but not sited as one of the miscellaneous creeks.

Goal = 1,100 (Final Restoration Plan)

1992-2003 Average = 0

10-14-04

Page 22: Figure 1. Estimated yearly natural production of all races of adult Chinook Salmon in the Central Valley. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from

Figure 22. Estimated yearly natural production of miscellaneous creeks adult fall-run Chinook salmon below RBDD. = data was not available for 1960-1968, 1970, 1978, 1979, and 1985 - 2003. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from CDFG Grand Tab (February 5, 2004). Baseline numbers (1967 - 1991) are from Mills and Fisher (CDFG, 1994).

1967 - 1991 Average = 498

DRAFTE

stim

ated

num

ber

of a

dult

fal

l-ru

n C

hino

ok

Miscellaneous creeks between RBDD and Princeton Ferry include Salt, Craig, Dye, Toomes, Thomes, Coyote, Stoney, and Singer Creek. These creeks are not included in Mills and Fisher, but listed in Grand Tab.

Goal = not set (Final Restoration Plan)

1992-2003 Average = 0

10-14-04

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

1200019

52

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

Production (natural production of fall-run for miscellaneous creeks)Adult escapement (Grand Tab)

Baseline (Mills and Fisher)

Page 23: Figure 1. Estimated yearly natural production of all races of adult Chinook Salmon in the Central Valley. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

1952

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

Production (natural production of fall-run for Butte Creek)Adult escapement (Grand Tab)

Baseline (Mills and Fisher)

Figure 23. Estimated yearly natural production, and in river escapements of Butte Creek adult fall-run Chinook salmon. = data was not available for 1952 - 1964, 1966 - 1970, 1973, 1977, 1979 - 1982, 1984, 1986,1987, 1990 -1994, and 2001. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from CDFG Grand Tab (February 5, 2004). Baseline numbers (1967 – 1991) are from Mills and Fisher (CDFG, 1994).

1967-1991 Average = 779

1992-2001 Average= 2,140

DRAFTE

stim

ated

num

ber

of a

dult

fal

l-ru

n C

hino

ok

Goal = 1,500 (Final Restoration Plan)

10-14-04

Page 24: Figure 1. Estimated yearly natural production of all races of adult Chinook Salmon in the Central Valley. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

40000

45000

1952

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

Production (natural production of spring-runfor Butte Creek)Adult escapement (Grand Tab)

Baseline (Mills and Fisher)

Figure 24. Estimated yearly natural production, and in river escapements of Butte Creek adult spring-run Chinook salmon. 1952- 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from CDFG Grand Tab (February 5, 2004). = data was not available for 1952 - 1959, and 1991. Baseline numbers (1967 - 1991) are from Mills and Fisher (CDFG, 1994).

1967-1991 Average = 1,032

1992-2003 Average= 11,266

DRAFTE

stim

ated

num

ber

of a

dult

spr

ing-

run

Chi

nook

The Butte Creek is one of the tributaries where restoration work has been conducted since 1996.

Goal = 2,000 (Final Restoration Plan)

10-14-04

Page 25: Figure 1. Estimated yearly natural production of all races of adult Chinook Salmon in the Central Valley. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from

0

200

400

600

800

100019

52

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

Production (natural production of fall-run for BigChico Creek)Adult escapement (Grand Tab)

Baseline (Mills and Fisher)

Doubling goal

Baseline

Figure 25. Estimated yearly natural production, and in river escapements of Big Chico Creek adult fall-run Chinook salmon. = data was not available for 1952 - 1956, 1958 - 1982, and 1986 - 2003. 1952 - 1967 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from CDFG Grand Tab (February 5, 2004). Baseline numbers (1967 - 1991) are from Mills and Fisher (CDFG, 1994).

1967-1991 Average = 242

DRAFTE

stim

ated

num

ber

of a

dult

fal

l-ru

n C

hino

ok

Goal = 800 (Final Restoration Plan)

1992-2003 Average = 0

10-14-04

Page 26: Figure 1. Estimated yearly natural production of all races of adult Chinook Salmon in the Central Valley. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from

0

200

400

600

800

100019

52

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

Production (natural production of spring-run for BigChico Creek)

Adult escapement (Grand Tab)

Figure 26. Estimated yearly natural production, and in river escapements of Big Chico Creek adult spring-run Chinook salmon. = data was not available for 1952 - 1961, 1970, 1972,1975 - 1976, 1978 - 1983, 1986 - 1992, and 2002. 1952 - 2003 numbers are from CDFG Grand Tab (February 5, 2004).

Goal = has not been set. Mills and Fisher did not list this run; data was from Grand Tab only.

1967-1991 Average = 144

DRAFTE

stim

ated

num

ber

of a

dult

spr

ing-

run

Chi

nook

1992-2003 Average = 161

10-14-04

Page 27: Figure 1. Estimated yearly natural production of all races of adult Chinook Salmon in the Central Valley. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from

0

50000

100000

150000

200000

250000

30000019

52

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

Production (natural production of fall-run forthe Feather River)Adult escapement (Grand Tab)

Baseline (Mills and Fisher)

Doubling goal

Baseline

Doubling period

Figure 27. Estimated yearly natural production, and in river escapements of Feather River adult fall-run Chinook salmon. In-river escapements were not available for 1990 and 1998. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from CDFG Grand Tab (February 5, 2004). Baseline numbers (1967 - 1991) are from Mills and Fisher (CDFG, 1994).

Feather River State Fish Hatchery on the river. Hatchery proportion = 0.4

1967-1991 Average= 84,318

1992-2003 Average= 131,161

DRAFTE

stim

ated

num

ber

of a

dult

fal

l-ru

n C

hino

ok

Goal = 170,000 (Final Restoration Plan)

Hat

cher

y es

cape

men

t on

ly

10-14-04

Page 28: Figure 1. Estimated yearly natural production of all races of adult Chinook Salmon in the Central Valley. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

1952

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

Production (natural production of fall-runfor the Yuba River)Adult escapement (Grand Tab)

Baseline (Mills and Fisher)

Doubling goal

Baseline

Doubling period

Figure 28. Estimated yearly natural production, and in river escapements of Yuba River adult fall-run Chinook salmon. 1967-1991 baseline numbers are from Mills and Fisher (CDFG, 1994). 1952 - 1966 and 1992-2003 numbers are from CDFG Grand Tab (February 5, 2004). = data was not available for 1952.

1967-1991 Average= 33,541

1992-2003 Average= 44,087

DRAFTE

stim

ated

num

ber

of a

dult

fal

l-ru

n C

hino

ok

Goal = 66,000 (Final Restoration Plan)

10-14-04

Page 29: Figure 1. Estimated yearly natural production of all races of adult Chinook Salmon in the Central Valley. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

70019

52

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

Production (natural production of fall-runfor the Bear River)

Adult escapement (Grand Tab)

Figure 29. Estimated yearly natural production, and in river escapements of Bear River adult fall-run Chinook salmon. = data was not available for 1952 - 1983, and 1985 - 2003. Numbers are from CDFG Grand Tab (February 5, 2004).

1967-1991 Average = 637

DRAFTE

stim

ated

num

ber

of a

dult

fal

l-ru

n C

hino

ok

Goal = 450 (Final Restoration Plan)

10-14-04

Page 30: Figure 1. Estimated yearly natural production of all races of adult Chinook Salmon in the Central Valley. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from

0

50000

100000

150000

200000

25000019

52

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

Production (natural production of fall-run forthe American River)Adult escapement (Grand Tab)

Baseline (Mills and Fisher)

Doubling goal

Baseline

Doubling period

Figure 30. Estimated yearly natural production, and in river escapements of American River adult fall-run Chinook salmon. 1952 - 1966, and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from CDFG Grand Tab (February 5, 2004). Baseline numbers (1967 - 1991) are from Mills and Fisher (CDFG, 1994).

Nimbus State Fish Hatchery on the river.Hatchery proportion = 0.4

1967-1991 Average=81,476

1992-2003 Average= 147,151

DRAFTE

stim

ated

num

ber

of a

dult

fal

l-ru

n C

hino

ok

Goal = 160,000 (Final Restoration Plan)

10-14-04

Page 31: Figure 1. Estimated yearly natural production of all races of adult Chinook Salmon in the Central Valley. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

1952

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

Production (natural production of fall-run for the Mokelumne River)Adult escapement

Mills and Fisher

Figure 31. Estimated yearly natural production, and in river escapements of Mokelumne River adult fall-run Chinook salmon. In river escapement numbers were not available for 2001. 1952 – 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from CDFG Grand Tab (February 5, 2004). Baseline numbers (1967 - 1991) are from Mills and Fisher (CDFG, 1994).

Mokelumne River State Fish Hatchery on the river.Hatchery proportion = 0.4

1967 - 1991 Average= 4,700

1992-2003 Average= 8,836

DRAFTE

stim

ated

num

ber

of a

dult

fal

l-ru

n C

hino

ok

Goal = 9,300 (Final Restoration Plan)

Hat

cher

y es

cape

men

t on

ly

10-14-04

Page 32: Figure 1. Estimated yearly natural production of all races of adult Chinook Salmon in the Central Valley. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from

Figure 32. Estimated yearly natural production, and in river escapements of Cosumnes River adult fall-run Chinook salmon. = data was not available for 1952, 1959, 1961, 1976-1977, 1982, 1986, 1987, 1989 - 1997, and 1999 - 2003. 1952-2003 numbers are from CDFG Grand Tab (February 5, 2004). Baseline numbers (1967 - 1991) are from Mills and Fisher (CDFG, 1994).

1967-1991 Average = 1,697

DRAFTE

stim

ated

num

ber

of a

dult

fal

l-ru

n C

hino

ok

Goal = 3,300 (Final Restoration Plan)

1992-2003 Average= 652

10-14-04

0

3000

6000

9000

12000

15000

1952

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

Production (natural production of fall-runfor the Cosumnes River)Adult escapement (Grand Tab)

Baseline (Mills and Fisher)

Doubling goal

Baseline

Doubling period

Page 33: Figure 1. Estimated yearly natural production of all races of adult Chinook Salmon in the Central Valley. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from

Figure 33. Estimated yearly natural production of Calaveras River adult winter-run Chinook salmon. = data was not available for 1952 - 1974, 1977, 1979 – 1983, and 1985 - 2003. 1952 - 2003 numbers are from CDFG Grand Tab (February 5, 2004). Baseline numbers from Mills and Fisher (CDFG, 1994) were not available.

1967 -1991 Average = 780

DRAFTE

stim

ated

num

ber

of a

dult

win

ter-

run

Chi

nook

Goal = 2,200 (Final Restoration Plan)

10-14-04

1992-2003 Average = 00

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

1952

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

Production (natural production of winter-run for the Calaveras River)

Adult escapement

Page 34: Figure 1. Estimated yearly natural production of all races of adult Chinook Salmon in the Central Valley. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

10000019

52

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

Production (natural production of fall-run for theStanislaus River)Adult escapement (Grand Tab)

Baseline (Mills and Fisher)

Doubling goal

Baseline

Doubling period

Figure 34. Estimated yearly natural production, and in river escapements of Stanislaus River adult fall-run Chinook salmon. 1952 – 1966, and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from CDFG Grand Tab (February 5, 2004). Baseline numbers (1967 - 1991) are from Mills and Fisher (CDFG, 1994). = data was not available for 1982.

1967-1991 Average = 10,977

1992-2003 Average= 7,750

DRAFTE

stim

ated

num

ber

of a

dult

fal

l-ru

n C

hino

ok

Goal = 22,000 (Final Restoration Plan)

10-14-04

Page 35: Figure 1. Estimated yearly natural production of all races of adult Chinook Salmon in the Central Valley. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

1952

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

Production (natural production of fall-run for the Tuolumne River)Adult escapement (Grand Tab)

Baseline (Mills and Fisher)

Doubling goal

Baseline

Doubling period

Figure 35. Estimated yearly natural production, and in river escapements of Tuolumne River adult fall-run Chinook salmon. 1952 - 1966, and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from CDFG Grand Tab (February 5, 2004). Baseline numbers (1967 - 1991) are from Mills and Fisher (CDFG, 1994).

1967-1991 Average= 19,044

1992-2003 Average= 10,977

DRAFTE

stim

ated

num

ber

of a

dult

fal

l-ru

n C

hino

ok

Goal = 38,000 (Final Restoration Plan)

10-14-04

Page 36: Figure 1. Estimated yearly natural production of all races of adult Chinook Salmon in the Central Valley. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

5000019

52

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

Production (natural production of fall-runfor the Merced River)Adult escapement (Grand Tab)

Baseline (Mills and Fisher)

Doubling goal

Baseline

Doubling period

Figure 36. Estimated yearly natural production, and in river escapements of Merced River adult fall-run Chinook salmon. 1952 - 1966, and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from CDFG Grand Tab (February 5, 2004). = data was not available for 1952 - 1953, and 1955 - 1956. Baseline numbers (1967 - 1991) are from Mills and Fisher (CDFG, 1994).

Merced River State Fish Hatchery on the river.Hatchery proportion = 0.1

1967-1991 Average = 9,052

1992-2003 Average= 9,684

DRAFTE

stim

ated

num

ber

of a

dult

fal

l-ru

n C

hino

ok

Goal = 18,000 (Final Restoration Plan)

10-14-04

Page 37: Figure 1. Estimated yearly natural production of all races of adult Chinook Salmon in the Central Valley. 1952 - 1966 and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

160000

18000019

52

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

Production (natural production for SanJoaquin System fall run)Adult escapement (Grand Tab)

Baseline (Mills and Fisher)

Baseline

Doubling period

Figure 37. Estimated yearly natural production, and in river escapements of San Joaquin System adult fall-run Chinook salmon. The San Joaquin System is the sum of the Stanislaus, Tuolumne, and Merced Rivers. 1952 - 1966, and 1992 - 2003 numbers are from CDFG Grand Tab (February 5, 2004). Baseline numbers (1967 - 1991) are from Mills and Fisher (CDFG, 1994).

1967 - 1991 Average = 38,635 1992 -2003

Average= 28,410

DRAFTE

stim

ated

num

ber

of a

dult

fal

l-ru

n C

hino

ok

Goal = has not been set

10-14-04