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Fifth District Economic Indicators June 2020

Fifth District Economic Indicators - Richmond Fed...Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics Fifth District Industry Structure 3 5.3 8.5 18.2 1.9 5.8 14.1 16.3 10.6 3.9 15.3

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Fifth District Economic IndicatorsJune 2020

Labor Pages

Industry Structure ........................................................................................................... 3-9 Industry Growth ........................................................................................................... 10-16 Payroll Employment ..................................................................................................... 17-23 Unemployment Rate .................................................................................................... 24-30 Labor Force Participation Rate ……………………………………………………………..31-37 Initial Unemployment Claims ....................................................................................... 38-44

Regional Surveys of Business Activity Manufacturing .............................................................................................................. 45-46 Service Sector .................................................................................................................. 47 Survey Comparison ..................................................................................................... 48-49

Income Real Personal Income.................................................................................................. 50-56 Wages and Salaries ..................................................................................................... 57-63

Housing Building Permits, Single-Family Housing ..................................................................... 64-70 House Price Index ...……………………………………………………………….…………71-77 Housing Starts ............................................................................................................. 78-83 Mortgage Delinquency Rates ....................................................................................... 84-90 Mortgage Foreclosure Inventory .................................................................................. 91-97 Mortgage Foreclosure Starts ..................................................................................... 98-104

Table of Contents

2

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

Fifth District Industry Structure

3

5.5

8.7

18.7

2.0

6.5

14.7

16.9

6.6

3.5

16.9

5.6

7.8

17.2

1.6

5.6

16.7

14.6

6.5

4.2

20.1

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22

Natural Resources & Construction

Manufacturing

Trade, Transportation & Utilities

Information

Financial Activities

Professional & Business Services

Education & Health Services

Leisure & Hospitality

Other Services

Government

Employment Share (Percent)

April 2020 U.S.

Fifth District

District of Columbia Industry Structure

4Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

5.5

8.7

18.7

2.0

6.5

14.7

16.9

6.6

3.5

16.9

1.8

0.2

3.8

2.8

4.0

23.0

16.6

4.8

10.6

32.5

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

Natural Resources & Construction

Manufacturing

Trade, Transportation & Utilities

Information

Financial Activities

Professional & Business Services

Education & Health Services

Leisure & Hospitality

Other Services

Government

Employment Share (Percent)

April 2020 U.S.

District of Columbia

Maryland Industry Structure

5

5.5

8.7

18.7

2.0

6.5

14.7

16.9

6.6

3.5

16.9

6.6

4.1

17.1

1.1

5.5

17.6

17.5

6.2

3.6

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20

Natural Resources & Construction

Manufacturing

Trade, Transportation & Utilities

Information

Financial Activities

Professional & Business Services

Education & Health Services

Leisure & Hospitality

Other Services

Government

Employment Share (Percent)

April 2020 U.S.

Maryland

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

North Carolina Industry Structure

6

0.5

5.0

8.7

18.7

2.0

6.5

14.7

16.9

6.6

3.5

16.9

0.1

5.4

10.5

19.3

1.8

6.2

14.8

14.0

6.5

3.2

18.2

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20

Natural Resources & Mining

Construction

Manufacturing

Trade, Transportation & Utilities

Information

Financial Activities

Professional & Business Services

Education & Health Services

Leisure & Hospitality

Other Services

Government

Employment Share (Percent)

April 2020 U.S.

North Carolina

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

South Carolina Industry Structure

7Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

0.5

5.0

8.7

18.7

2.0

6.5

14.7

16.9

6.6

3.5

16.9

0.2

5.3

12.7

19.6

1.4

5.1

13.7

11.9

7.6

3.6

18.9

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20

Natural Resources and Mining

Construction

Manufacturing

Trade, Transportation & Utilities

Information

Financial Activities

Professional & Business Services

Education & Health Services

Leisure & Hospitality

Other Services

Government

Employment Share (Percent)

April 2020 U.S.

South Carolina

Virginia Industry Structure

8

0.5

5.0

8.7

18.7

2.0

6.5

14.7

16.9

6.6

3.5

16.9

0.2

5.3

6.3

16.4

1.8

5.8

19.8

13.6

6.5

4.9

19.4

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20

Natural Resources & Mining

Construction

Manufacturing

Trade, Transportation & Utilities

Information

Financial Activities

Professional & Business Services

Education & Health Services

Leisure & Hospitality

Other Services

Government

Employment Share (Percent)

April 2020 U.S.

Virginia

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

West Virginia Industry Structure

9

0.5

5.0

8.7

18.7

2.0

6.5

14.7

16.9

6.6

3.5

16.9

3.3

4.7

7.0

17.7

1.2

4.3

10.2

19.0

5.8

3.2

23.6

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26

Natural Resources and Mining

Construction

Manufacturing

Trade, Transportation & Utilities

Information

Financial Activities

Professional & Business Services

Education & Health Services

Leisure & Hospitality

Other Services

Government

Employment Share (Percent)

April 2020 U.S.

West Virginia

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

Fifth District Industry GrowthPercent Change in Employment from a Year Ago, NSA

10

-2.8

-13.9

-46.7

-10.3

-6.7

-1.8

-6.6

-8.2

-8.5

-4.9

-11.2

-3.6

-21.3

-47.2

-8.7

-9.0

-1.6

-7.2

-10.6

-10.5

-11.3

-12.9

-50 -45 -40 -35 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0

Government

Other

Leisure & Hospitality

Education & Health Services

Professional & Business Services

Financial Activities

Information

Trade, Transportation & Utilities

Manufacturing

Natural Resources & Construction

Total

YoY % Chg (NSA)

April 2020 U.S. Fifth District

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

District of Columbia Industry GrowthPercent Change in Employment from a Year Ago, NSA

11

-12.9

-11.3

-10.5

-10.6

-7.2

-1.6

-9.0

-8.7

-47.2

-21.3

-3.6

-7.9

-9.5

-14.3

-13.8

4.1

-1.7

-0.4

-8.3

-57.9

0.8

0.9

-70 -60 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10

Total

Natural Resources & Construction

Manufacturing

Trade, Transportation & Utilities

Information

Financial Activities

Professional & Business Services

Education & Health Services

Leisure & Hospitality

Other Services

Government

YoY % Chg (NSA)

April 2020 U.S. District of Columbia

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

Maryland Industry GrowthPercent Change in Employment from a Year Ago, NSA

12

-12.9

-11.3

-10.5

-10.6

-7.2

-1.6

-9.0

-8.7

-47.2

-21.3

-3.6

-12.5

-4.0

-12.1

-10.4

-22.1

-6.7

-7.6

-10.9

-46.3

-24.5

-3.2

-50 -45 -40 -35 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0

Total

Natural Resources & Construction

Manufacturing

Trade, Transportation & Utilities

Information

Financial Activities

Professional & Business Services

Education & Health Services

Leisure & Hospitality

Other Services

Government

YoY % Chg (NSA)

April 2020 U.S. Maryland

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

North Carolina Industry GrowthPercent Change in Employment from a Year Ago, NSA

13

-12.9

-11.7

-11.3

-10.5

-10.6

-7.2

-1.6

-9.0

-8.7

-47.2

-21.3

-3.6

-12.3

-3.5

-5.4

-11.7

-7.7

-6.6

0.7

-8.6

-10.8

-48.9

-19.1

-2.8

-55 -50 -45 -40 -35 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5

Total

Natural Resources & Mining

Construction

Manufacturing

Trade, Transportation & Utilities

Information

Financial Activities

Professional & Business Services

Education & Health Services

Leisure & Hospitality

Other Services

Government

YoY % Chg (NSA)

April 2020 U.S. North Carolina

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

South Carolina Industry GrowthPercent Change in Employment from a Year Ago, NSA

14

-12.9

-11.7

-11.3

-10.5

-10.6

-7.2

-1.6

-9.0

-8.7

-47.2

-21.3

-3.6

-11.6

-2.3

-3.1

-5.0

-6.2

-2.9

-6.1

-10.8

-10.8

-46.5

-11.6

-2.4

-50 -45 -40 -35 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0

Total

Natural Resources & Mining

Construction

Manufacturing

Trade, Transportation & Utilities

Information

Financial Activities

Professional & Business Services

Education & Health Services

Leisure & Hospitality

Other Services

Government

YoY % Chg (NSA)

April 2020 U.S. South Carolina

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

Virginia Industry GrowthPercent Change in Employment from a Year Ago, NSA

15

-12.9

-11.7

-11.3

-10.5

-10.6

-7.2

-1.6

-9.0

-8.7

-47.2

-21.3

-3.6

-8.9

-6.3

-2.9

-4.3

-7.3

-2.5

1.5

-4.2

-9.9

-41.0

-9.5

-3.2

-50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10

Total

Natural Resources & Mining

Construction

Manufacturing

Trade, Transportation & Utilities

Information

Financial Activities

Professional & Business Services

Education & Health Services

Leisure & Hospitality

Other Services

Government

YoY % Chg (NSA)

April 2020 U.S. Virginia

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

West Virginia Industry GrowthPercent Change in Employment from a Year Ago, NSA

16

-12.9

-11.7

-11.3

-10.5

-10.6

-7.2

-1.6

-9.0

-8.7

-47.2

-21.3

-3.6

-14.2

-10.5

-17.7

-7.6

-13.2

-10.0

-8.2

-8.4

-9.2

-52.1

-19.0

-5.6

-55 -50 -45 -40 -35 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0

Total

Natural Resources & Mining

Construction

Manufacturing

Trade, Transportation & Utilities

Information

Financial Activities

Professional & Business Services

Education & Health Services

Leisure & Hospitality

Other Services

Government

YoY % Chg (NSA)

April 2020 U.S. West Virginia

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

-14

-12

-10

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

YoY % Chg U.S.

Fifth District

Fifth District Payroll Employment

17Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

April 2020

US: -12.9%

FD: -11.3%

District of Columbia Payroll Employment

18

-14

-12

-10

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

YoY % Chg U.S.

District of Columbia

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

April 2020

US: -12.9%

DC: -7.8%

Maryland Payroll Employment

19

-14

-12

-10

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

YoY % Chg U.S.

Maryland

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

April 2020

US: -12.9%

MD: -12.7%

North Carolina Payroll Employment

20

-14

-12

-10

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

YoY % Chg U.S.

North Carolina

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

April 2020

US: -12.9%

NC: -12.4%

South Carolina Payroll Employment

21

-14

-12

-10

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

YoY % Chg U.S.

South Carolina

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

April 2020

US: -12.9%

SC: -11.7%

Virginia Payroll Employment

22

-14

-12

-10

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

YoY % Chg (SA) U.S.

Virginia

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

April 2020

US: -12.9%

VA: -9.0%

West Virginia Payroll Employment

23Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

-16

-14

-12

-10

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

YoY % Chg U.S.

West Virginia

April 2020

US: -12.9%

WV: -14.3%

Fifth District Unemployment Rate

24

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Unemployment Rate (Percent)

U.S.

Fifth District

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

April 2020

US: 14.7%

FD: 11.4%

District of Columbia Unemployment Rate

25

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Percent U.S.

District of Columbia

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

April 2020

US: 14.7%

DC: 11.1%

Maryland Unemployment Rate

26

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Percent U.S.

Maryland

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

April 2020

US: 14.7%

MD: 9.9%

North Carolina Unemployment Rate

27Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

April 2020

US: 14.7%

NC: 12.2%

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Percent U.S.

North Carolina

South Carolina Unemployment Rate

28

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Percent U.S.

South Carolina

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

April 2020

US: 14.7%

SC: 12.1%

Virginia Unemployment Rate

29

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

PercentU.S.

Virginia

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

April 2020

US: 14.7%

VA: 10.6%

West Virginia Unemployment Rate

30

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Percent U.S.

West Virginia

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

April 2020

US: 14.7%

WV: 15.2%

Fifth District Labor Force Participation Rate

31Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

57

58

59

60

61

62

63

64

65

66

67

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Percent U.S.

Fifth District

April 2020

US: 60.2%

FD: 60.2%

District of Columbia Labor Force Participation Rate

32Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

April 2020

US: 60.2%

DC: 69.5%

60

62

64

66

68

70

72

74

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Percent U.S.

District of Columbia

Maryland Labor Force Participation Rate

33Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

54

56

58

60

62

64

66

68

70

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Percent U.S.

MarylandApril 2020

US: 60.2%

MD: 64.2%

North Carolina Labor Force Participation Rate

34Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

50

52

54

56

58

60

62

64

66

68

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Percent U.S.

North Carolina

April 2020

US: 60.2%

NC: 56.3%

South Carolina Labor Force Participation Rate

35Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

56

57

58

59

60

61

62

63

64

65

66

67

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Percent U.S.

South Carolina

April 2020

US: 60.2%

SC: 57.8%

Virginia Labor Force Participation Rate

36Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

54

56

58

60

62

64

66

68

70

72

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Percent U.S.

Virginia

April 2020

US: 60.2%

VA: 64.1%

West Virginia Labor Force Participation Rate

37Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

50

52

54

56

58

60

62

64

66

68

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Percent U.S.

West Virginia

April 2020

US: 60.2%

WV: 53.6%

Fifth District Initial Unemployment Claims

38

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

D.C. Initial Unemployment Claims

39

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

Maryland Initial Unemployment Claims

40

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

North Carolina Initial Unemployment Claims

41Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

South Carolina Initial Unemployment Claims

42Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

0

40,000

80,000

120,000

160,000

200,000

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Virginia Initial Unemployment Claims

43Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

West Virginia Initial Unemployment Claims

44

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

Fifth District Manufacturing Survey

45Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Diffusion Index3-month Average

Composite Index

New Orders Index

Shipments Index

Fifth District Manufacturing Survey

46Source: The Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Diffusion Index3-month Average

Composite Index

Employment Index

Fifth District Service Sector Survey

47Source: The Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Diffusion Index3-month Average

Revenues Index

Employment Index

Survey Comparison

48Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond/Institute of Supply Management

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Richmond Manufacturing Survey (Left Axis) ISM Manufacturing (Right Axis)

Survey Comparison

49Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond/Institute of Supply Management

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

-90

-70

-50

-30

-10

10

30

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Richmond Service Sector Survey (Left Axis) ISM Nonmanufacturing (Right Axis)

Fifth District Real Personal Income

50

-5

-4

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

YoY % Chg U.S.

Fifth District

4Q: 2019US: 2.7%

FD: 2.5%

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis/Haver Analytics

District of Columbia Real Personal Income

51Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis/Haver Analytics

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

YoY % Chg U.S.

District of Columbia

4Q: 2019US: 2.7%

DC: 2.1%

Maryland Real Personal Income

52

-5

-4

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

YoY % Chg U.S.

Maryland

4Q: 2019US: 2.7%

MD: 2.2%

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis/Haver Analytics

North Carolina Real Personal Income

53

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

YoY % Chg U.S.

North Carolina

4Q: 2019US: 2.7%

NC: 2.7%

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis/Haver Analytics

South Carolina Real Personal Income

54

-5

-4

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

YoY % Chg U.S.

South Carolina

4Q: 2019US: 2.7%

SC: 3.1%

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis/Haver Analytics

Virginia Real Personal Income

55

-5

-4

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

YoY % Chg U.S.

Virginia

4Q: 2019US: 2.7%

VA: 2.6%

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis/Haver Analytics

West Virginia Real Personal Income

56

-5

-4

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

YoY % Chg U.S.

West Virginia

4Q: 2019US: 2.7%

WV: 0.2%

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis/Haver Analytics

Fifth District Wages and Salaries

57

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

YoY % Chg U.S.

Fifth District

4Q: 2019US: 4.5%

FD: 4.0%

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis/Haver Analytics

District of Columbia Wages and Salaries

58

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

YoY % Chg U.S.

District of Columbia

4Q: 2019US: 4.5%

DC: 3.4%

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis/Haver Analytics

Maryland Wages and Salaries

59

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

YoY % Chg U.S.

Maryland

4Q: 2019US: 4.5%

MD: 4.0%

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis/Haver Analytics

North Carolina Wages and Salaries

60

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

YoY % Chg U.S.

North Carolina

4Q: 2019US: 4.5%

NC: 4.4%

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis/Haver Analytics

South Carolina Wages and Salaries

61

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

YoY % Chg U.S.

South Carolina

4Q: 2019US: 4.5%

SC: 4.7%

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis/Haver Analytics

Virginia Wages and Salaries

62

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

YoY % Chg U.S.

Virginia

4Q: 2019US: 4.5%

VA: 4.4%

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis/Haver Analytics

West Virginia Wages and Salaries

63Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis/Haver Analytics

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

YoY % Chg U.S.

West Virginia

4Q: 2019US: 4.5%

WV:-1.1%

Fifth District Building PermitsSingle-Family Homes

64

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

YoY % Chg3-month average

U.S.

Fifth District

April 2020US: 5.1%

FD: 9.7%

Source: US Census Bureau/Haver Analytics

Washington, D.C. MSA Building PermitsSingle-Family Homes

65Source: US Census Bureau/Haver Analytics

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

YoY % Chg3-month average

U.S.

Washington, D.C.

April 2020US: 5.1%

DC: -13.0%

Maryland Building PermitsSingle-Family Homes

66

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

YoY % Chg3-month average

U.S.

Maryland

April 2020US: 5.1%

MD:-4.5%

Source: US Census Bureau/Haver Analytics

North Carolina Building PermitsSingle-Family Homes

67

-80

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

YoY % Chg3-month average

U.S.

North Carolina

April 2020US: 5.1%

NC: 13.0%

Source: US Census Bureau/Haver Analytics

South Carolina Building PermitsSingle-Family Homes

68Source: US Census Bureau/Haver Analytics

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

YoY % Chg3-month average

U.S.

South Carolina

April 2020US: 5.1%

SC: 14.4%

Virginia Building PermitsSingle-Family Homes

69Source: US Census Bureau/Haver Analytics

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

YoY % Chg3-month average

U.S.

Virginia

April 2020US: 5.1%

VA: 4.6%

West Virginia Building PermitsSingle-Family Homes

70Source: US Census Bureau/Haver Analytics

-80

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

YoY % Chg 3-month average

U.S.

West Virginia

April 2020US: 5.1%

WV: 8.3%

Fifth District House Price Index—FHFA

71

-9

-6

-3

0

3

6

9

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

YoY % Chg U.S. Fifth District

1Q: 2020US: 5.0%

FD: 5.0%

Source: Federal Housing Finance Agency/Haver Analytics

District of Columbia House Price Index—FHFA

72

-12

-8

-4

0

4

8

12

16

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

YoY % Chg U.S. District of Columbia

1Q: 2020US: 5.0%

DC: 3.8%

Source: Federal Housing Finance Agency/Haver Analytics

Maryland House Price Index—FHFA

73

-12

-10

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

YoY % Chg U.S. Maryland

1Q: 2020US: 5.0%

MD: 4.1%

Source: Federal Housing Finance Agency/Haver Analytics

North Carolina House Price Index—FHFA

74

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

YoY % Chg U.S. North Carolina

1Q: 2020US: 5.0%

NC: 5.5%

Source: Federal Housing Finance Agency/Haver Analytics

South Carolina House Price Index—FHFA

75

-9

-6

-3

0

3

6

9

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

YoY % Chg U.S. South Carolina

1Q: 2020US: 5.0%

SC: 6.0%

Source: Federal Housing Finance Agency/Haver Analytics

Virginia House Price Index—FHFA

76

-10

-6

-2

2

6

10

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

YoY % Chg U.S.

Virginia

1Q: 2020US: 5.0%

VA: 4.9%

Source: Federal Housing Finance Agency/Haver Analytics

West Virginia House Price Index—FHFA

77Source: Federal Housing Finance Agency/Haver Analytics

-9

-6

-3

0

3

6

9

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

YoY % Chg U.S. West Virginia

1Q: 2020US: 5.0%

WV: 4.5%

Fifth District Housing Starts

78

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

0

50

100

150

200

250

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

SAAR, thousandsSAAR, thousands Fifth District (Left Axis)

United States (Right Axis)

Source: Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ/Haver Analytics

Maryland Housing Starts

79

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

SAAR, thousandsSAAR, thousands Maryland (Left Axis)

United States (Right Axis)

Source: Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ/Haver Analytics

North Carolina Housing Starts

80

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

SAAR, thousandsSAAR, thousands

North Carolina (Left Axis)

United States (Right Axis)

Source: Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ/Haver Analytics

South Carolina Housing Starts

81Source: Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ/Haver Analytics

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

SAAR, thousandsSAAR, thousands South Carolina (Left Axis)

United States (Right Axis)

Virginia Housing Starts

82

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

SAAR, thousandsSAAR, thousands Virginia (Left Axis)

United States (Right Axis)

Source: Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ/Haver Analytics

West Virginia Housing Starts

83Source: Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ/Haver Analytics

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

SAAR, thousandsSAAR, thousands

West Virginia (Left Axis)

United States (Right Axis)

Fifth District Mortgage Delinquency Rate90+ days delinquent

84

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Percent Conventional Adjustable Rate Mortgages

Total Mortgages

Conventional Fixed Rate Mortgages

1Q: 2020Adjustable Rate: 1.7%

Total: 1.0%Fixed Rate: 0.7%

Source: Mortgage Bankers Association/Haver Analytics

D.C. Mortgage Delinquency Rate90+ days delinquent

85

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Percent Conventional Adjustable Rate Mortgages

Total Mortgages

Conventional Fixed Rate Mortgages

1Q: 2020Adjustable Rate: 1.3%

Total: 0.7%Fixed Rate: 0.5%

Source: Mortgage Bankers Association/Haver Analytics

Maryland Mortgage Delinquency Rate90+ days delinquent

86

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Percent Conventional Adjustable Rate Mortgages

Total Mortgages

Conventional Fixed Rate Mortgages

1Q: 2020Adjustable Rate: 2.4%

Total: 1.2%Fixed Rate: 0.8%

Source: Mortgage Bankers Association/Haver Analytics

North Carolina Mortgage Delinquency Rate90+ days delinquent

87

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Percent Conventional Adjustable Rate Mortgages

Total Mortgages

Conventional Fixed Rate Mortgages

1Q: 2020Adjustable Rate: 1.4%

Total: 0.9%Fixed Rate: 0.7%

Source: Mortgage Bankers Association/Haver Analytics

South Carolina Mortgage Delinquency Rate90+ days delinquent

88

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Percent Conventional Adjustable Rate Mortgages

Total Mortgages

Conventional Fixed Rate Mortgages

1Q: 2020Adjustable Rate: 1.5%

Total: 1.1%Fixed Rate: 0.7%

Source: Mortgage Bankers Association/Haver Analytics

Virginia Mortgage Delinquency Rate90+ days delinquent

89

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Percent Conventional Adjustable Rate Mortgages

Total Mortgages

Conventional Fixed Rate Mortgages

1Q: 2020Adjustable Rate: 1.4%

Total: 0.8%Fixed Rate: 0.5%

Source: Mortgage Bankers Association/Haver Analytics

West Virginia Mortgage Delinquency Rate90+ days delinquent

90

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Percent Conventional Adjustable Rate Mortgages

Total Mortgages

Conventional Fixed Rate Mortgages

1Q: 2020Adjustable Rate: 2.3%

Total: 1.2%Fixed Rate: 1.0%

Source: Mortgage Bankers Association/Haver Analytics

Fifth District Foreclosure Inventory Rate

91

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Percent Conventional Adjustable Rate Mortgages

Total Mortgages

Conventional Fixed Rate Mortgages

1Q: 2020Adjustable Rate: 1.3%

Total: 0.6%Fixed Rate: 0.4%

Source: Mortgage Bankers Association/Haver Analytics

D.C. Foreclosure Inventory Rate

92

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Percent

Conventional Adjustable Rate Mortgages

Total Mortgages

Conventional Fixed Rate Mortgages

1Q:2020Adjustable Rate: 1.6%

Total: 0.8%Fixed Rate: 0.5%

Source: Mortgage Bankers Association/Haver Analytics

Maryland Foreclosure Inventory Rate

93

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Percent Conventional Adjustable Rate Mortgages

Total Mortgages

Conventional Fixed Rate Mortgages

1Q: 2020Adjustable Rate: 2.1%

Total: 1.0%Fixed Rate: 0.7%

Source: Mortgage Bankers Association/Haver Analytics

North Carolina Foreclosure Inventory Rate

94

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Percent Conventional Adjustable Rate Mortgages

Total Mortgages

Conventional Fixed Rate Mortgages

1Q: 2020Adjustable Rate: 0.9%

Total: 0.5%Fixed Rate: 0.4%

Source: Mortgage Bankers Association/Haver Analytics

South Carolina Foreclosure Inventory Rate

95

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Percent Conventional Adjustable Rate Mortgages

Total Mortgages

Conventional Fixed Rate Mortgages

1Q: 2020Adjustable Rate: 1.2%

Total: 0.8%Fixed Rate: 0.5%

Source: Mortgage Bankers Association/Haver Analytics

Virginia Foreclosure Inventory Rate

96

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Percent Conventional Adjustable Rate Mortgages

Total Mortgages

Conventional Fixed Rate Mortgages

1Q: 2020Adjustable Rate: 0.8%

Total: 0.4%Fixed Rate: 0.2%

Source: Mortgage Bankers Association/Haver Analytics

West Virginia Foreclosure Inventory Rate

97

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Percent Conventional Adjustable Rate Mortgages

Total Mortgages

Conventional Fixed Rate Mortgages

1Q: 2020Adjustable Rate: 0.8%

Total: 0.8%Fixed Rate: 0.5%

Source: Mortgage Bankers Association/Haver Analytics

Fifth District Foreclosure Starts Rate

98

0

1

2

3

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Percent Conventional Adjustable Rate Mortgages

Total Mortgages

Conventional Fixed Rate Mortgages

1Q: 2020Adjustable Rate: 0.3%

Total: 0.2%Fixed Rate: 0.1%

Source: Mortgage Bankers Association/Haver Analytics

D.C. Foreclosure Starts Rate

99

0

1

2

3

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Percent Conventional Adjustable Rate Mortgages

Total Mortgages

Conventional Fixed Rate Mortgages

1Q: 2020Adjustable Rate: 0.3%

Total: 0.2%Fixed Rate: 0.1%

Source: Mortgage Bankers Association/Haver Analytics

Maryland Foreclosure Starts Rate

100

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Percent Conventional Adjustable Rate Mortgages

Total Mortgages

Conventional Fixed Rate Mortgages

1Q: 2020Adjustable Rate: 0.4%

Total: 0.2%Fixed Rate: 0.2%

Source: Mortgage Bankers Association/Haver Analytics

North Carolina Foreclosure Starts Rate

101

0

1

2

3

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Percent Conventional Adjustable Rate Mortgages

Total Mortgages

Conventional Fixed Rate Mortgages

1Q: 2020Adjustable Rate: 0.3%

Total: 0.2%Fixed Rate: 0.1%

Source: Mortgage Bankers Association/Haver Analytics

South Carolina Foreclosure Starts Rate

102

0

1

2

3

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Percent Conventional Adjustable Rate Mortgages

Total Mortgages

Conventional Fixed Rate Mortgages

1Q: 2020Adjustable Rate: 0.3%

Total: 0.2%Fixed Rate: 0.1%

Source: Mortgage Bankers Association/Haver Analytics

Virginia Foreclosure Starts Rate

103

0

1

2

3

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Percent Conventional Adjustable Rate Mortgages

Total Mortgages

Conventional Fixed Rate Mortgages

1Q: 2020Adjustable Rate: 0.3%

Total: 0.2%Fixed Rate: 0.1%

Source: Mortgage Bankers Association/Haver Analytics

West Virginia Foreclosure Starts Rate

104Source: Mortgage Bankers Association/Haver Analytics

0

1

2

3

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Percent Conventional Adjustable Rate Mortgages

Total Mortgages

Conventional Fixed Rate Mortgages

1Q: 2020Adjustable Rate: 0.4%

Total: 0.3%Fixed Rate: 0.1%