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DATE
Report
NUMÉRO DE PROJET
FEDERAL POLITICS
August 31st, 2019
2
METHODOLOGY
METHODOLOGY
Web survey using computer-assisted Web interviewing (CAWI) technology.
From August 27th to August 29th, 2019
2,102 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, who have the right to vote in Canada, randomly recruited fromLegerWeb’s online panel.
Using data from the 2016 Census, results were weighted according to age, gender, mother tongue, region and levelof education in order to ensure a representative sample of the population.
No margin of error can be associated with a non-probability sample (Web panel in this case). However forcomparative purposes, a probability sample of 2,102 respondents would have a margin of error of ±2.14%, 19 timesout of 20.
3
METHODOLOGY
Notes on Reading this Report
The numbers presented have been rounded up. However, the numbers before rounding were used to calculate thesums presented and might therefore not correspond to the manual addition of these numbers.
In this report, data in bold red characters indicate a significantly lower proportion than that of other respondents.Conversely, data in bold green characters indicate a significantly higher proportion that that of other respondents.
A more detailed methodology is presented in the annex.
If you have questions about the data presented in this report, please contact Christian Bourque, Associate andExecutive Vice-Present at the following e-mail address: [email protected]
4
FEDERAL VOTING INTENTIONSQ1A/Q1B. If FEDERAL elections were held today, for which political party would you be most likely to vote? Would it be for...?In the event a respondent had no opinion, the following prompting question was asked: Even if you have not yet made up your mind, for which of the following political parties would you be most likely to vote? Would it be for...
Base: All respondents, except for Yves-François Blanchet, Quebecers only (n=1,001)
TOTAL Eligible voters
TOTALDecided voters
ATL QC ON MB/SK AB BC Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+July 25,
2019
Varia-tion
Weighted n = 2,102 1,732 117 412 673 113 194 225 902 830 462 579 692 1,255
Unweighted n = 2,102 1,767 85 837 514 107 107 117 934 833 430 634 703 1,285
...Justin Trudeau's Liberal Party of Canada
28% 34% 48% 34% 39% 20% 17% 35% 36% 32% 33% 30% 38% 33% +1
...Andrew Scheer's Conservative Party of Canada
27% 33% 31% 23% 32% 51% 60% 27% 36% 30% 30% 35% 34% 33% -
...Elizabeth May's Green Party of Canada
10% 12% 15% 11% 11% 12% 9% 14% 9% 15% 11% 13% 10% 13% -1
...Jagmeet Singh's New Democratic Party of Canada
10% 12% 3% 7% 15% 11% 9% 19% 10% 14% 19% 11% 8% 11% +1
...Yves-François Blanchet’s Bloc Québécois
4% 5% - 20% - - - - 4% 5% 2% 5% 7% 4% +1
...Maxime Bernier's People's Party of Canada
3% 3% 3% 4% 3% 3% 4% 3% 4% 2% 4% 4% 2% 4% -1
…for another party 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% -
I would not vote 4% - - - - - - - - - - - - -
I would cancel my vote 1% - - - - - - - - - - - - -
I don’t know 9% - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Refusal 3% - - - - - - - - - - - - -
5
FEDERAL VOTING INTENTIONS IN QUEBEC
TOTAL Eligible voters
TOTALDecided voters
Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+MTL CMA
QC City CMA
Rest of QC
FrancoNon
FrancoMarch
13, 2019Vari-ation
n pondéré = 493 412 215 197 98 137 177 210 39 162 317 94 781
n absolu = 1,001 837 424 413 190 313 334 347 242 248 651 186 819
...Justin Trudeau's Liberal Party of Canada
29% 34% 36% 32% 33% 28% 40% 39% 28% 29% 28% 54% 35% -1
...Andrew Scheer's Conservative Party of Canada
19% 23% 28% 18% 23% 24% 22% 18% 35% 26% 23% 24% 26% -3
...Yves-François Blanchet’sBloc Québécois
17% 20% 18% 22% 10% 20% 26% 20% 15% 22% 25% 3% 17% +3
...Elizabeth May's Green Party of Canada
9% 11% 8% 14% 17% 12% 8% 13% 11% 10% 13% 7% 9% +2
...Jagmeet Singh's New Democratic Party of Canada
6% 7% 5% 9% 12% 7% 4% 7% 3% 8% 6% 9% 7% -
...Maxime Bernier's People's Party of Canada
3% 4% 5% 3% 4% 6% 1% 2% 7% 5% 4% 3% 4% -
…for another party 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 2% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% -
I would not vote 3% - - - - - - - - - - - - -
I would cancel my vote 3% - - - - - - - - - - - - -
I don’t know 10% - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Refusal 1% - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Q1A/Q1B. If FEDERAL elections were held today, for which political party would you be most likely to vote? Would it be for...?In the event a respondent had no opinion, the following prompting question was asked: Even if you have not yet made up your mind, for which of the following political parties would you be most likely to vote? Would it be for...
Base: Quebecers
TRENDS IN VOTING INTENTIONS IN CANADA
6
Elec. 2011 Elec. 2015Feb. 9,2016
May 20,2017
Oct. 28,2018
Dec. 2,2018
March 10,2018
May 16,2018
Nov. 26,2018
Feb. 20,2019
March 20,2019
April 28,2019
June 13,2019
July 25,2019
August21, 2019
August31, 2019
LPC 18,91% 39,47% 49% 46% 42% 40% 38% 39% 39% 34% 31% 27% 29% 33% 33% 34%
CPC 39,62% 31,89% 27% 25% 30% 34% 38% 36% 33% 36% 37% 40% 38% 36% 33% 33%
NDP 30,63% 19,71% 15% 16% 15% 13% 14% 15% 14% 12% 14% 12% 13% 11% 11% 12%
BQ 6,04% 4,66% 3% 5% 4% 4% 5% 2% 4% 5% 4% 5% 4% 4% 4% 5%
GPC 3,91% 3,45% 5% 6% 7% 8% 3% 6% 5% 8% 10% 11% 11% 12% 13% 12%
PPC 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 3%
Others 0,89% 0,82% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Others
7
PARTY FOR WHICH THEY WOULD NEVER VOTE
Q1C. And is there a Federal political party you would never vote for?
Base: All respondents (n=2,102), except for the Bloc Québécois, Quebecers only (n=1,001)
23%
20%
16%
10%
6%
4%
2%
21%
25%
19%
13%
8%
8%
4%
2%
20%
Another party
DNK / Refusal
August 31st, 2019 (n=2,102) July 25th, 2019 (n=1,536)
8
Q1C. And is there a Federal political party you would never vote for?
Base: All respondents, except for le Bloc Québécois, Quebecers only (n=1,001)
PARTY FOR WHICH THEY WOULD NEVER VOTE– DETAILED RESULTS
TOTAL ATL QC ON MB/SK AB BC Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+
Weighted n = 2,102 144 493 807 137 236 285 1,021 1,081 567 723 812
Unweighted n = 2,102 100 1,001 601 125 125 150 1,039 1,063 528 768 806
...Justin Trudeau's Liberal Party of Canada
23% 15% 18% 20% 34% 42% 18% 22% 23% 21% 25% 21%
...Andrew Scheer's Conservative Party of Canada
20% 18% 19% 23% 13% 10% 23% 19% 20% 22% 18% 20%
...Maxime Bernier's People's Party of Canada
16% 21% 17% 16% 16% 13% 14% 20% 12% 13% 13% 21%
...Jagmeet Singh's New Democratic Party of Canada
10% 8% 6% 12% 12% 10% 9% 12% 8% 7% 11% 10%
...Elizabeth May's Green Party of Canada 6% 8% 7% 6% 5% 5% 6% 7% 5% 6% 5% 6%
...Yves-François Blanchet’s Bloc Québécois
4% - 17% - - - - 4% 4% 3% 4% 5%
…for another party 2% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 5% 1% 2% 1% 3% 1%
Don’t know 17% 23% 12% 17% 15% 15% 20% 13% 20% 24% 16% 11%
Prefer not to answer 4% 6% 2% 4% 4% 5% 4% 2% 6% 2% 5% 4%
PARTY FOR WHICH THEY WOULD NEVER VOTE– BY VOTING INTENTIONS
9
TOTAL LPC CPC GPC NDP PPC
Weighted n = 2,102 591 576 202 202 56
Unweighted n = 2,102 611 536 202 178 68
...Justin Trudeau's Liberal Party of Canada
23% - 49% 20% 20% 57%
...Andrew Scheer's Conservative Party of Canada
20% 38% - 30% 38% 4%
...Maxime Bernier's People's Party of Canada
16% 26% 11% 20% 20% -
...Jagmeet Singh's New Democratic Party of Canada
10% 10% 16% 12% - 20%
...Elizabeth May's Green Party of Canada 6% 6% 10% - 7% 14%
...Yves-François Blanchet’s Bloc Québécois
4% 7% 4% 2% 2% 4%
…for another party 2% 1% 1% 4% 2% 0%
Don’t know 17% 11% 8% 11% 11% 0%
Prefer not to answer 4% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0%
Q1C. And is there a Federal political party you would never vote for?
Base: Respondents who intend to vote for the LPC, the NDP, the CPC, the PPC or the GPC
10
POSSIBILITY TO VOTE FOR THE GREEN PARTY IN THE UPCOMING ELECTIONS
35%
48%
16%
Possible Out of the question DNK / Refusal
TOTAL ATL QC ON MB/SK AB BC Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+
Weighted n = 2,102 144 493 807 137 236 285 1,021 1,081 567 723 812
Unweighted n = 2,102 100 1,001 601 125 125 150 1,039 1,063 528 768 806
Possible 35% 33% 33% 35% 33% 26% 48% 34% 37% 43% 37% 28%
Out of the question 48% 44% 54% 48% 51% 51% 40% 56% 42% 41% 45% 58%
Do not know / Refusal 16% 22% 13% 17% 16% 23% 12% 11% 22% 16% 19% 14%
Q8. On October 21st, is it possible or out of the question that you will vote for the Green Party of Canada?
Base: All respondents (n=2,102)
11
POSSIBILITY TO VOTE FOR THE GREEN PARTY IN THE UPCOMING ELECTIONS – BY VOTING INTENTION
TOTAL LPC CPC GPC NDP PPC
Weighted n = 2,102 591 576 202 202 56
Unweighted n = 2,102 611 536 202 178 68
Possible 35% 35% 21% 96% 40% 37%
Out of the question 48% 54% 71% 4% 47% 58%
Do not know / Refusal 16% 11% 8% 1% 13% 5%
Q8. On October 21st, is it possible or out of the question that you will vote for the Green Party of Canada?
Base: Respondents who intend to vote for the LPC, the NDP, the CPC, the PPC or the GPC
6%
30%
27%
30%
6%
5%
31%
25%
34%
5%
Very satisfied
Somewhat satisfied
Somewhat dissatisfied
Very dissatisfied
I don't know / Refusal
August 31st, 2019 (n=2,102) July 25th, 2019 (n=1,536)
12
NET SA
TISFIEDN
ET DISSA
TISFIED
August 31st, 2019 July 25th, 2019
August 31st, 2019 July 25th, 2019
37% 36%
57% 58%
Q2. Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied with the Canadian government led by Justin Trudeau?
Base: All respondents
SATISFACTION WITH THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT
13
Q2. Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied with the Canadian government led by Justin Trudeau?
Base: All respondents
SATISFACTION WITH THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT– DETAILED RESULTS
TOTAL ATL QC ON MB/SK AB BC Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+
Weighted n = 2,102 144 493 807 137 236 285 1,021 1,081 567 723 812
Unweighted n = 2,102 100 1,001 601 125 125 150 1,039 1,063 528 768 806
NET SATISFIED 37% 49% 42% 40% 28% 18% 32% 38% 36% 42% 32% 37%
Very satisfied 6% 8% 5% 9% 5% 3% 5% 8% 5% 9% 5% 6%
Somewhat satisfied 30% 41% 37% 32% 24% 15% 26% 30% 30% 34% 27% 31%
NET DISSATISFIED 57% 42% 53% 54% 67% 78% 60% 57% 57% 50% 61% 59%
Somewhat dissatisfied 27% 17% 29% 25% 25% 24% 36% 25% 29% 26% 29% 25%
Very dissatisfied 30% 26% 24% 29% 43% 54% 24% 33% 28% 24% 32% 34%
I don’t know 4% 7% 5% 3% 3% 4% 7% 3% 6% 7% 5% 2%
Refusal 2% 2% 1% 3% 2% 0% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2%
SATISFACTION WITH THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT– BY VOTING INTENTIONS
14
TOTAL LPC CPC GPC NDP PPC
Weighted n = 2,102 591 576 202 202 56
Unweighted n = 2,102 611 536 202 178 68
NET SATISFIED 37% 82% 11% 30% 35% 13%
Very satisfied 6% 18% 2% 3% 3% 2%
Somewhat satisfied 30% 63% 9% 28% 32% 11%
NET DISSATISFIED 57% 16% 87% 69% 61% 87%
Somewhat dissatisfied 27% 15% 25% 42% 39% 17%
Very dissatisfied 30% 1% 62% 27% 22% 69%
I don’t know 4% 2% 1% 0% 4% 0%
Refusal 2% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0%
Q2. Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied with the Canadian government led by Justin Trudeau?
Base: Respondents who intend to vote for the LPC, the NDP, the CPC, the PPC or the GPC
15
TRUDEAU GOVERNMENT’S TRACK RECORD
21%
28%
46%
5%
Rather positive Neither positive nornegative
Rather negative DNK / Refusal
TOTAL ATL QC ON MB/SK AB BC Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+
Weighted n = 2,102 144 493 807 137 236 285 1,021 1,081 567 723 812
Unweighted n = 2,102 100 1,001 601 125 125 150 1,039 1,063 528 768 806
Rather positive 21% 37% 20% 23% 14% 11% 22% 23% 20% 24% 18% 23%
Neither positive nor negative 28% 19% 39% 27% 26% 13% 25% 28% 27% 31% 27% 25%
Rather negative 46% 31% 37% 44% 56% 69% 47% 46% 46% 38% 48% 49%
Do not know / Refusal 5% 13% 3% 5% 4% 7% 6% 4% 7% 7% 8% 3%
Q7. When you think of the 4 years of the Trudeau government, is the government's track record rather positive, rather negative or neither positive nor negative?
Base: All respondents (n=2,102)
16
TRUDEAU GOVERNMENT’S TRACK RECORD– BY VOTING INTENTION
TOTAL LPC CPC GPC NDP PPC
Weighted n = 2,102 591 576 202 202 56
Unweighted n = 2,102 611 536 202 178 68
Rather positive 21% 56% 3% 18% 15% 9%
Neither positive nor negative 28% 37% 16% 26% 36% 7%
Rather negative 46% 7% 80% 53% 48% 83%
Do not know / Refusal 5% 1% 1% 4% 1% 2%
Q7. When you think of the 4 years of the Trudeau government, is the government's track record rather positive, rather negative or neither positive nor negative?
Base: Respondents who intend to vote for the LPC, the NDP, the CPC, the PPC or the GPC
17
BEST PRIME MINISTER
Q3. In your opinion, which federal party leader would make the best Prime Minister of Canada?
Base: All respondents (n=2,102)
Note: The complement to 100% corresponds to “Other,” None of them,” “I don’t know” and “Refusal” responses.
Variation June 25th,
2019
19% 8% 6%26% 4%(-5)(+3) (-1) (-)(-1)
18
31%
48%
21%
30%
51%
18%
Yes No DNK / Not sure
August 31st, 2019 (n=2,102) July 25th, 2019 (n=1,536)
TOTAL ATL QC ON MB/SK AB BC Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+
Weighted n = 2,102 144 493 807 137 236 285 1,021 1,081 567 723 812
Unweighted n = 2,102 100 1,001 601 125 125 150 1,039 1,063 528 768 806
Yes 31% 39% 34% 35% 16% 18% 29% 34% 28% 31% 28% 34%
No 48% 34% 46% 44% 64% 68% 42% 50% 45% 45% 50% 48%
Do not know / Not sure 21% 27% 20% 21% 20% 14% 29% 16% 27% 24% 22% 19%
SECOND MANDATE FOR THE LIBERALS?Q4. In your view, do you feel the Liberals deserve a second mandate?
Base: All respondents
19
SECOND MANDATE FOR THE LIBERALS?– BY VOTING INTENTION
TOTAL LPC CPC GPC NDP PPC
Weighted n = 2,102 591 576 202 202 56
Unweighted n = 2,102 611 536 202 178 68
Yes 31% 83% 4% 14% 28% 4%
No 48% 5% 85% 59% 47% 87%
Do not know / Not sure 21% 12% 11% 27% 25% 9%
Q4. In your view, do you feel the Liberals deserve a second mandate?
Base: Respondents who intend to vote for the LPC, the NDP, the CPC, the PPC or the GPC
20
THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY'S ABILITY TO FORM THE GOVERNMENT
34%
45%
22%
Yes No DNK / Refusal
TOTAL ATL QC ON MB/SK AB BC Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+
Weighted n = 2,102 144 493 807 137 236 285 1,021 1,081 567 723 812
Unweighted n = 2,102 100 1,001 601 125 125 150 1,039 1,063 528 768 806
Yes 34% 29% 29% 33% 43% 50% 28% 41% 27% 36% 33% 32%
No 45% 46% 47% 49% 32% 32% 47% 46% 44% 41% 43% 49%
Do not know / Refusal 22% 26% 24% 19% 25% 19% 25% 13% 30% 23% 24% 19%
Q9. In your view, is the Conservative Party of Canada ready to form the government?
Base: All respondents (n=2,102)
21
THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY'S ABILITY TO FORM THE GOVERNMENT – BY VOTING INTENTION
TOTAL LPC CPC GPC NDP PPC
Weighted n = 2,102 591 576 202 202 56
Unweighted n = 2,102 611 536 202 178 68
Yes 34% 15% 85% 9% 14% 50%
No 45% 76% 5% 76% 69% 25%
Do not know / Refusal 22% 9% 10% 15% 17% 24%
Q9. In your view, is the Conservative Party of Canada ready to form the government?
Base: Respondents who intend to vote for the LPC, the NDP, the CPC, the PPC or the GPC
22
LEADERS’ DEBATES IMPORTANCE IN THEIR DECISION TO SUPPORT A PARTY
46%43%
12%
Yes, they are important No, they are not important DNK / Refusal
TOTAL ATL QC ON MB/SK AB BC Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+
Weighted n = 2,102 144 493 807 137 236 285 1,021 1 081 567 723 812
Unweighted n = 2,102 100 1,001 601 125 125 150 1,039 1 063 528 768 806
Yes, they are important 46% 43% 50% 46% 47% 43% 42% 46% 45% 53% 44% 42%
No, they are not important 43% 44% 44% 42% 39% 44% 43% 46% 40% 29% 46% 49%
Do not know / Refusal 12% 13% 7% 12% 14% 13% 15% 8% 15% 18% 10% 9%
Q5. Are the leaders' debates on television important or not in your decision to support one party or another?
Base: All respondents (n=2,102)
23
LEADERS’ DEBATES IMPORTANCE IN THEIR DECISION TO SUPPORT A PARTY – BY VOTING INTENTION
TOTAL LPC CPC GPC NDP PPC
Weighted n = 2,102 591 576 202 202 56
Unweighted n = 2,102 611 536 202 178 68
Yes, they are important 46% 52% 43% 53% 58% 59%
No, they are not important 43% 42% 50% 39% 32% 41%
Do not know / Refusal 12% 6% 7% 8% 10% 0%
Q5. Are the leaders' debates on television important or not in your decision to support one party or another?
Base: Respondents who intend to vote for the LPC, the NDP, the CPC, the PPC or the GPC
24
PARTICIPATION OF MAXIME BERNIER IN THE LEADERS’ DEBATES
52%
24%
24%
Yes No DNK / Refusal
TOTAL ATL QC ON MB/SK AB BC Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+
Weighted n = 2,102 144 493 807 137 236 285 1,021 1,081 567 723 812
Unweighted n = 2,102 100 1,001 601 125 125 150 1,039 1,063 528 768 806
Yes 52% 49% 50% 54% 48% 55% 49% 54% 50% 52% 52% 52%
No 24% 23% 31% 21% 25% 20% 24% 31% 18% 18% 22% 30%
Do not know / Refusal 24% 28% 19% 24% 27% 24% 27% 15% 32% 29% 26% 18%
Q6. In your opinion, should Maxime Bernier, leader of the People's Party of Canada, participate in the leaders' debates or not?
Base: All respondents (n=2,102)
25
PARTICIPATION OF MAXIME BERNIER IN THE LEADERS’ DEBATES – BY VOTING INTENTION
TOTAL LPC CPC GPC NDP PPC
Weighted n = 2,102 591 576 202 202 56
Unweighted n = 2,102 611 536 202 178 68
Yes 52% 52% 57% 61% 47% 92%
No 24% 30% 25% 23% 31% 4%
Do not know / Refusal 24% 18% 18% 16% 22% 3%
Q6. In your opinion, should Maxime Bernier, leader of the People's Party of Canada, participate in the leaders' debates or not?
Base: Respondents who intend to vote for the LPC, the NDP, the CPC, the PPC or the GPC
26
BEST POSITIONED PARTI TO DEFEND QUEBEC’S INTERESTS
Q10. Which of the following political parties is best positioned to defend Québec's interests?
Base: Quebecers (n=1,001)
31%
20%
11%
5%
3%
2%
9%
18%
None
DNK / Refusal
27
Q10. Which of the following political parties is best positioned to defend Québec's interests?
Base: Quebecers
BEST POSITIONED PARTI TO DEFEND QUEBEC’S INTERESTS – DETAILED RESULTS
TOTAL Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+
Weighted n = 493 240 253 126 165 202
Unweighted n = 1,001 468 533 245 375 381
...Yves-François Blanchet’s Bloc Québécois
31% 35% 28% 20% 33% 37%
...Justin Trudeau's Liberal Party of Canada
20% 22% 19% 19% 15% 26%
...Andrew Scheer's Conservative Party of Canada
11% 13% 9% 8% 10% 13%
...Maxime Bernier's People's Party of Canada
5% 7% 2% 8% 5% 2%
...Elizabeth May's Green Party of Canada 3% 3% 3% 6% 2% 2%
...Jagmeet Singh's New Democratic Party of Canada
2% 2% 2% 3% 4% 1%
None 9% 8% 10% 9% 13% 6%
Don’t know / Refusal 18% 10% 26% 27% 18% 13%
BEST POSITIONED PARTI TO DEFEND QUEBEC’S INTERESTS – BY VOTING INTENTION
28
TOTAL LPC CPC BQ GPC NDP PPC
n pondéré = 493 141 95 83 46 29 15
n absolu = 1,001 278 209 152 98 57 37
...Yves-François Blanchet’s Bloc Québécois
31% 19% 19% 92% 44% 19% 5%
...Justin Trudeau's Liberal Party of Canada
20% 61% 4% 0% 5% 17% 0%
...Andrew Scheer's Conservative Party of Canada
11% 1% 50% 1% 1% 2% 4%
...Maxime Bernier's People's Party of Canada
5% 2% 7% 0% 2% 2% 64%
...Elizabeth May's Green Party of Canada
3% 1% 0% 0% 24% 4% 4%
...Jagmeet Singh's New Democratic Party of Canada
2% 0% 1% 0% 3% 28% 0%
None 9% 5% 9% 0% 6% 16% 23%
Don’t know / Refusal 18% 10% 10% 6% 15% 12% 0%
Q10. Which of the following political parties is best positioned to defend Québec's interests?
Base: Quebecers who intend to vote for the LPC, the NDP, the CPC, the PPC, the GPC or the BQ
APPENDIX
DETAILED METHODOLOGY
30
Sampling Frame
Participants were randomly selected from LegerWeb’s online panel.
Leger owns and manages an Internet panel that includes more than 400,000 Canadians coast to coast. An online panel consists of Webusers profiled according to different demographic variables. The majority of Leger’s panel members (60%) were randomly recruitedover the phone in the past ten years, which makes this panel very similar to the current Canadian population on a number ofdemographic characteristics. Moreover, 35% of panellists were recruited through affiliate programs and 5% through partner campaignsand programs.
To be eligible, respondents were required to be 18 years of age or older and have the right to vote in Canada.
31
Province Unweighted Weighted
British Columbia 150 285
Alberta 125 236
Saskatchewan 49 63
Manitoba 76 74
Ontario 601 807
Quebec 1,001 493
New Brunswick 44 46
Nova Scotia 27 57
Prince-Edward-Island 8 9
Newfoundland and Labrador 21 32
DETAILED METHODOLOGY
Weighted and Unweighted Sample
The table below presents the geographic distribution of respondents before weighting.
Weighted and Unweighted Sample
The following tables present the demographic distribution of respondents according to gender, age, language (mother tongue), level ofeducation and household income.
The sample thus collected has a minimum weighting factor of 0.079 and a maximum weighting factor of 4.742. The weighted varianceis 0.542.
32
GENDER Unweighted Weighted
Male 1,039 1,021Female 1,063 1,081
AGE Unweighted Weighted
Between 18 and 34 528 567Between 35 and 55 768 72355 or over 806 812
LANGUAGE (MOTHERTONGUE)
Unweighted Weighted
English 1,035 1,410French 831 437Other 233 250
EDUCATION Unweighted Weighted
Primary/secondary school 552 663
College 681 854
University 859 572
DETAILED METHODOLOGY
SURVEY
33
[ASK ALL][SINGLE MENTION]Q0QC. In which province or territory do you live?
AT Q0QCG
A series of questions were then inserted here in order to identify where respondents were from more specifically.
Label Value Attribute Termination
British Columbia 1
Alberta 2
Saskatchewan 3
Manitoba 4
Ontario 5
Quebec 6
New Brunswick 7
Nova Scotia 8
Prince-Edward-Island 9
Newfoundland and Labrador 10
Northwest Territories 11
Yukon 12
Nunavut 13
SURVEY
34
[ASK ALL]
[SINGLE MENTION]
SEXE. Please indicate your sex:
Note: As indicated by Statistics Canada, transgender, transsexual, and intersex Canadians should indicate the sex (male or female) with
which they most associate themselves.
[ASK ALL]
[SINGLE MENTION]
AGE. How old are you?
Label Value Attribute Termination
Male 1
Female 2
Label Value Attribute Termination
Under 18 0 TERMINATE
Between 18 and 24 1
Between 25 and 34 2
Between 35 and 44 3
Between 45 and 54 4
Between 55 and 64 5
Between 65 and 74 6
75 or older 7
I prefer not to answer 99 TERMINATE
SURVEY
35
[ASK ALL][SINGLE MENTION][LIST ORDER: In order]ELI1. Are you at least 18 years old and eligible to vote in Canada?
[ASK ALL][SINGLE MENTION][LIST ORDER: Rotation 1-6]Q1A. If FEDERAL elections were held today, for which political party would you be most likely to vote? Would it be for...?
Label Value Attribute Termination
... Justin Trudeau's Liberal Party of Canada 1
... Jagmeet Singh's New Democratic Party of Canada 2
... Yves-François Blanchet's Bloc Québécois [QC respondents only] 3
... Andrew Scheer's Conservative Party of Canada 4
... Elizabeth May's Green Party of Canada 5
… Maxime Bernier’s People's Party of Canada 6…another party 7 FI would not vote 8 FI would cancel my vote 9 FI don’t know 98 FI prefer not to answer 99 F
Label Value Attribute TerminationYes 1No 2 TERMINATE
SURVEY
36
[ASK ALL][SINGLE MENTION][LIST ORDER: Rotation 1-6]Q1B. Even if you have not yet made up your mind, for which of the following political parties would you be most likely to vote? Would it be for…?
[ASK ALL][SINGLE MENTION][LIST ORDER: Rotation 1-6]Q1C. And it there a Federal political party you would never vote for?
Label Value Attribute Termination
... Justin Trudeau's Liberal Party of Canada 1
... Jagmeet Singh's New Democratic Party of Canada 2
... Yves François Blanchet's Bloc Québécois [QC respondents only] 3
... Andrew Scheer's Conservative Party of Canada 4
... Elizabeth May's Green Party of Canada 5
… Maxime Bernier’s People's Party of Canada 6…another party 7 FI would not vote 8 FI would cancel my vote 9 FI don’t know 98 FI prefer not to answer 99 F
Label Value Attribute Termination
... Justin Trudeau's Liberal Party of Canada 1
... Jagmeet Singh's New Democratic Party of Canada 2
... Yves François Blanchet's Bloc Québécois [QC respondents only] 3
... Andrew Scheer's Conservative Party of Canada 4
... Elizabeth May's Green Party of Canada 5
… Maxime Bernier’s People's Party of Canada 6…another party 7 FI don’t know 8 FI prefer not to answer 9 F
SURVEY
37
[ASK ALL][SINGLE MENTION][LIST ORDER : In order]Q2. Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied with the Canadian government led by Justin Trudeau?
[ASK ALL][SINGLE MENTION][LIST ORDER : Random 1-5]Q3. In your opinion, which federal party leader would make the best Prime Minister of Canada?
Label Value Attribute Termination
Justin Trudeau 1
Jagmeet Singh 2
Andrew Scheer 3
Elizabeth May 4
Maxime Bernier 5
Other 6
None 7
I don’t know 98 F
Prefer not to answer 99 F
Label Value Attribute Termination
Very satisfied 1
Somewhat satisfied 2
Somewhat dissatisfied 3
Very dissatisfied 4
I don’t know 98 F
Prefer not to answer 99 F
SURVEY
38
[ASK ALL][SINGLE MENTION][LIST ORDER : In order]Q4. In your view, do you feel the Liberals deserve a second mandate?
[ASK ALL][SINGLE MENTION][LIST ORDER : In order]Q5. Are the leaders' debates on television important or not in your decision to support one party or another?
[ASK ALL][SINGLE MENTION][LIST ORDER : In order]Q6. In your opinion, should Maxime Bernier, leader of the People's Party of Canada, participate in the leaders' debates or not?
Label Value Attribute Termination
Yes 1
No 2
I don’t know / I’m not sure 98 F
Label Value Attribute Termination
Yes, they are important 1
No, they are not important 2
I don’t know / I prefer not to answer 98 F
Label Value Attribute Termination
Yes 1
No 2
I don’t know / I prefer not to answer 98 F
SURVEY
39
[ASK ALL][SINGLE MENTION][LIST ORDER : In order]Q7 When you think of the 4 years of the Trudeau government, is the government's track record rather positive, rather negative or neither positive nor negative?
[ASK ALL][SINGLE MENTION][LIST ORDER : In order]Q8. On October 21, is it possible or out of the question that you will vote for the Green Party of Canada?
[ASK ALL][SINGLE MENTION][LIST ORDER : In order]Q9. In your view, is the Conservative Party of Canada ready to form the government?
Label Value Attribute Termination
Rather positive 1
Neither positive nor negative 2
Rather negative 98 F
I don’t know / I prefer not to answer
Label Value Attribute Termination
Possible 1
Out of the question 2
I don’t know / I prefer not to answer 98 F
Label Value Attribute Termination
Yes 1
No 2
I don’t know / I prefer not to answer 98 F
SURVEY
40
[ASK QUEBECERS ONLY][SINGLE MENTION][LIST ORDER : Rotation 1-6]Q10. Which of the following political parties is best positioned to defend Québec's interests?
[ASK ALL][SINGLE MENTION] SCOL. What is the highest level of education that you have completed (diploma obtained)?
Label Value Attribute Termination
... Justin Trudeau's Liberal Party of Canada 1
... Jagmeet Singh's New Democratic Party of Canada 2
... Yves François Blanchet's Bloc Québécois 3
... Andrew Scheer's Conservative Party of Canada 4
... Elizabeth May's Green Party of Canada 5
… Maxime Bernier’s People's Party of Canada 6
None 8
I don’t know / I prefer not to answer 98 F
Label Value Attribute Termination
Elementary 1
High school: general or vocational training 2
College: general pre-university programs or technical programs 3
University 4
I prefer not to answer 9
SURVEY
41
[ASK ALL]
[SINGLE MENTION]
LANGU. What is the language you first learned at home in your childhood and that you still understand?
[ASK ALL]
[SINGLE MENTION]
ENFAN. Are there any children under 18 years old living in your household?
Label Value Attribute Termination
French 1
English 2
Other 3
English and French 7
French and other 4
English and other 5
Other and other 6
I prefer not to answer 9
Label Value Attribute Termination
Yes 1
No 2
I prefer not to answer 9
CROSSED TABLES
42
FED - Federal voting intentions with leaners
No:1 GENDER AGE (1) AGE (2) FRANCOPHONE REGION FEDERAL VOTING INTENTIONS
B1 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes No Atlantic Québec Ontario Prairies Alberta BC LPC NDP BQ CPC GPC PPC Other
FED
Weighted Total 2102 1021 1081 228 339 332 390 367 446 567 723 812 437 1660 144 493 807 137 236 285 591 202 86 573 202 56 22
Unweighted Total : 2102 1039 1063 210 318 345 423 363 443 528 768 806 831 1268 100 1001 601 125 125 150 611 178 156 532 202 68 20
LPC 28% 32% 25% 29% 25% 24% 25% 33% 32% 27% 24% 33% 26% 29% 39% 29% 32% 16% 14% 27% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
NDP 10% 9% 11% 14% 16% 12% 6% 6% 7% 15% 9% 6% 5% 11% 2% 6% 12% 9% 7% 15% 0% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
BQ 4% 4% 4% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 2% 4% 6% 18% 0% 0% 17% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 97% 0% 0% 0% 0%
CPC 27% 32% 23% 22% 26% 26% 29% 25% 32% 25% 28% 29% 19% 30% 25% 19% 26% 42% 49% 21% 0% 0% 3% 100% 0% 0% 0%
GPC 10% 8% 11% 13% 7% 11% 10% 9% 9% 9% 11% 9% 10% 9% 12% 9% 9% 10% 7% 11% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% 0% 0%
PPC 3% 4% 2% 1% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 2% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% 0%
...another party 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 3% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
I would not vote 4% 4% 4% 7% 6% 5% 3% 4% 2% 6% 4% 3% 3% 5% 3% 3% 5% 1% 4% 8% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
I would cancel my vote 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 3% 0% 0% 3% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
I don't know 9% 5% 14% 12% 8% 9% 13% 10% 6% 9% 11% 8% 10% 9% 11% 10% 8% 13% 9% 10% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
I prefer not to answer 3% 2% 4% 2% 2% 3% 4% 3% 4% 2% 4% 4% 2% 3% 5% 1% 3% 4% 5% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
FEDX - Federal voting intentions among decided
No:2 GENDER AGE (1) AGE (2) FRANCOPHONE REGION FEDERAL VOTING INTENTIONS
B1 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes No Atlantic Québec Ontario Prairies Alberta BC LPC NDP BQ CPC GPC PPC Other
FEDX
Weighted Total 1732 902 830 181 280 274 305 301 391 462 579 692 362 1369 117 412 673 113 194 225 591 202 86 573 202 56 22
Unweighted Total : 1767 934 833 164 266 294 340 309 394 430 634 703 691 1075 85 837 514 107 107 117 611 178 156 532 202 68 20
LPC 34% 36% 32% 36% 31% 29% 31% 40% 36% 33% 30% 38% 31% 35% 48% 34% 39% 20% 17% 35% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
NDP 12% 10% 14% 17% 20% 15% 7% 8% 7% 19% 11% 8% 6% 13% 3% 7% 15% 11% 9% 19% 0% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
BQ 5% 4% 5% 1% 3% 4% 6% 6% 7% 2% 5% 7% 22% 0% 0% 20% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 97% 0% 0% 0% 0%
CPC 33% 36% 30% 28% 32% 32% 37% 31% 37% 30% 35% 34% 23% 36% 31% 23% 32% 51% 60% 27% 0% 0% 3% 100% 0% 0% 0%
GPC 12% 9% 15% 16% 8% 14% 13% 11% 10% 11% 13% 10% 12% 11% 15% 11% 11% 12% 9% 14% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% 0% 0%
PPC 3% 4% 2% 1% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 4% 4% 2% 4% 3% 3% 4% 3% 3% 4% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% 0%
Other 1% 1% 1% 0% 2% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 3% 2% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
CROSSED TABLES (CONTINUED)
43
And is there a federal political party you would never vote for?
No:3 GENDER AGE (1) AGE (2) FRANCOPHONE REGION FEDERAL VOTING INTENTIONS
B1 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes No Atlantic Québec Ontario Prairies Alberta BC LPC NDP BQ CPC GPC PPC Other
CP1C
Weighted Total 2102 1021 1081 228 339 332 390 367 446 567 723 812 437 1660 144 493 807 137 236 285 591 202 86 573 202 56 22
Unweighted Total : 2102 1039 1063 210 318 345 423 363 443 528 768 806 831 1268 100 1001 601 125 125 150 611 178 156 532 202 68 20
...Justin Trudeau's Liberal Party of Canada
23% 22% 23% 16% 25% 27% 23% 21% 21% 21% 25% 21% 21% 23% 15% 18% 20% 34% 42% 18% 0% 20% 27% 49% 20% 57% 24%
...Jagmeet Singh's New Democratic Party of Canada
10% 12% 8% 7% 7% 12% 10% 8% 12% 7% 11% 10% 7% 11% 8% 6% 12% 12% 10% 9% 10% 0% 8% 16% 12% 20% 3%
...Yves-François Blanchet's Bloc Québécois
4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 6% 3% 4% 5% 11% 2% 0% 17% 0% 0% 0% 0% 7% 2% 1% 4% 2% 4% 0%
...Andrew Scheer's Conservative Party of Canada
20% 19% 20% 24% 20% 16% 19% 22% 18% 22% 18% 20% 20% 19% 18% 19% 23% 13% 10% 23% 38% 38% 25% 0% 30% 4% 19%
...Elizabeth May's Green Party of Canada
6% 7% 5% 6% 6% 5% 6% 9% 4% 6% 5% 6% 6% 6% 8% 7% 6% 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 5% 10% 0% 14% 8%
...Maxime Bernier's People's Party of Canada
16% 20% 12% 13% 12% 14% 13% 17% 24% 13% 13% 21% 19% 15% 21% 17% 16% 16% 13% 14% 26% 20% 25% 11% 20% 0% 6%
...another party 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 4% 1% 0% 1% 3% 1% 1% 2% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 5% 1% 2% 1% 1% 4% 0% 20%
I don't know 17% 13% 20% 27% 23% 16% 17% 13% 10% 24% 16% 11% 12% 18% 23% 12% 17% 15% 15% 20% 11% 11% 8% 8% 11% 0% 21%
I prefer not to answer 4% 2% 6% 2% 2% 4% 5% 4% 4% 2% 5% 4% 3% 4% 6% 2% 4% 4% 5% 4% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0%
Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied with the Canadian government led by Justin Trudeau?
No:4 GENDER AGE (1) AGE (2) FRANCOPHONE REGION FEDERAL VOTING INTENTIONS
B1 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes No Atlantic Québec Ontario Prairies Alberta BC LPC NDP BQ CPC GPC PPC Other
CP2
Weighted Total 2102 1021 1081 228 339 332 390 367 446 567 723 812 437 1660 144 493 807 137 236 285 591 202 86 573 202 56 22
Unweighted Total : 2102 1039 1063 210 318 345 423 363 443 528 768 806 831 1268 100 1001 601 125 125 150 611 178 156 532 202 68 20
TOTAL SATISFIED 37% 38% 36% 44% 41% 31% 33% 40% 35% 42% 32% 37% 41% 36% 49% 42% 40% 28% 18% 32% 82% 35% 29% 11% 30% 13% 9%
Very satisfied 6% 8% 5% 9% 8% 6% 4% 7% 6% 9% 5% 6% 4% 7% 8% 5% 9% 5% 3% 5% 18% 3% 3% 2% 3% 2% 0%
Somewhat satisfied 30% 30% 30% 35% 33% 25% 29% 33% 29% 34% 27% 31% 36% 29% 41% 37% 32% 24% 15% 26% 63% 32% 26% 9% 28% 11% 9%
TOTAL DISSATISFIED 57% 57% 57% 45% 53% 62% 60% 56% 62% 50% 61% 59% 54% 58% 42% 53% 54% 67% 78% 60% 16% 61% 67% 88% 69% 87% 79%
Somewhat dissatisfied 27% 25% 29% 27% 25% 26% 32% 24% 26% 26% 29% 25% 30% 26% 17% 29% 25% 25% 24% 36% 15% 39% 35% 25% 42% 17% 30%
Very dissatisfied 30% 33% 28% 18% 28% 36% 28% 31% 36% 24% 32% 34% 24% 32% 26% 24% 29% 43% 54% 24% 1% 22% 32% 63% 27% 69% 49%
I don’t know 4% 3% 6% 9% 5% 5% 5% 3% 2% 7% 5% 2% 4% 5% 7% 5% 3% 3% 4% 7% 2% 4% 3% 1% 0% 0% 12%
I prefer not to answer 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 3% 2% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0%
CROSSED TABLES (CONTINUED)
44
In your opinion, which federal party leader would make the best Prime Minister of Canada?
No:5 GENDER AGE (1) AGE (2) FRANCOPHONE REGION FEDERAL VOTING INTENTIONS
B1 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes No Atlantic Québec Ontario Prairies Alberta BC LPC NDP BQ CPC GPC PPC Other
CP3
Weighted Total 2102 1021 1081 228 339 332 390 367 446 567 723 812 437 1660 144 493 807 137 236 285 591 202 86 573 202 56 22
Unweighted Total : 2102 1039 1063 210 318 345 423 363 443 528 768 806 831 1268 100 1001 601 125 125 150 611 178 156 532 202 68 20
Justin Trudeau 26% 29% 23% 25% 19% 24% 25% 30% 29% 22% 24% 30% 28% 25% 39% 30% 28% 14% 14% 21% 78% 9% 18% 3% 8% 5% 3%
Jagmeet Singh 6% 6% 7% 13% 9% 6% 5% 5% 4% 10% 5% 5% 3% 7% 3% 4% 9% 7% 4% 9% 2% 48% 3% 2% 5% 0% 0%
Andrew Scheer 19% 21% 17% 14% 13% 17% 19% 19% 28% 13% 18% 24% 16% 20% 17% 15% 17% 32% 37% 12% 0% 3% 6% 65% 2% 4% 0%
Elizabeth May 8% 8% 8% 8% 9% 10% 7% 7% 6% 9% 9% 6% 7% 8% 9% 7% 9% 5% 7% 8% 3% 7% 7% 3% 52% 1% 0%
Maxime Bernier 4% 6% 2% 4% 6% 4% 5% 3% 2% 5% 4% 2% 4% 4% 1% 5% 3% 7% 3% 6% 1% 0% 4% 5% 1% 61% 6%
Other 3% 3% 2% 1% 3% 2% 2% 3% 4% 3% 2% 4% 4% 3% 0% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 11% 2% 2% 0% 46%
None 12% 14% 9% 8% 15% 13% 14% 11% 9% 12% 14% 10% 15% 11% 7% 15% 13% 8% 11% 8% 5% 9% 30% 10% 14% 11% 23%
I don't know 20% 12% 28% 26% 24% 20% 22% 19% 14% 25% 21% 16% 21% 20% 22% 20% 16% 19% 20% 31% 9% 21% 20% 10% 15% 18% 22%
I prefer not to answer 2% 1% 4% 1% 2% 4% 1% 3% 3% 1% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 4% 2% 3% 0% 0% 2% 1% 2% 0% 0%
In your view, do you feel the Liberals deserve a second mandate?
No:6 GENDER AGE (1) AGE (2) FRANCOPHONE REGION FEDERAL VOTING INTENTIONS
B1 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes No Atlantic Québec Ontario Prairies Alberta BC LPC NDP BQ CPC GPC PPC Other
CP4
Weighted Total 2102 1021 1081 228 339 332 390 367 446 567 723 812 437 1660 144 493 807 137 236 285 591 202 86 573 202 56 22
Unweighted Total : 2102 1039 1063 210 318 345 423 363 443 528 768 806 831 1268 100 1001 601 125 125 150 611 178 156 532 202 68 20
Yes 31% 34% 28% 35% 28% 27% 29% 33% 34% 31% 28% 34% 32% 31% 39% 34% 35% 16% 18% 29% 83% 28% 22% 4% 14% 4% 2%
No 48% 50% 45% 37% 50% 48% 51% 46% 49% 45% 50% 48% 49% 47% 34% 46% 44% 64% 68% 42% 5% 47% 58% 85% 59% 87% 83%
I don’t know / I’m not sure 21% 16% 27% 28% 22% 25% 20% 21% 17% 24% 22% 19% 19% 22% 27% 20% 21% 20% 14% 29% 12% 25% 20% 11% 27% 9% 15%
Are the leaders' debates on television important or not in your decision to support one party or another?
No:7 GENDER AGE (1) AGE (2) FRANCOPHONE REGION FEDERAL VOTING INTENTIONS
B1 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes No Atlantic Québec Ontario Prairies Alberta BC LPC NDP BQ CPC GPC PPC Other
CP5
Weighted Total 2102 1021 1081 228 339 332 390 367 446 567 723 812 437 1660 144 493 807 137 236 285 591 202 86 573 202 56 22
Unweighted Total : 2102 1039 1063 210 318 345 423 363 443 528 768 806 831 1268 100 1001 601 125 125 150 611 178 156 532 202 68 20
Yes, they are important 46% 46% 45% 57% 50% 45% 43% 41% 43% 53% 44% 42% 48% 45% 43% 50% 46% 47% 43% 42% 52% 58% 53% 43% 53% 59% 44%
No, they are not important 43% 46% 40% 22% 34% 44% 48% 49% 49% 29% 46% 49% 46% 42% 44% 44% 42% 39% 44% 43% 42% 32% 43% 50% 39% 41% 56%
I don't know / I prefer not to answer
12% 8% 15% 21% 15% 10% 9% 10% 9% 18% 10% 9% 6% 13% 13% 7% 12% 14% 13% 15% 6% 10% 4% 7% 8% 0% 0%
CROSSED TABLES (CONTINUED)
45
In your opinion, should Maxime Bernier, leader of the People's Party of Canada, participate in the leaders' debates or not?No:8 GENDER AGE (1) AGE (2) FRANCOPHONE REGION FEDERAL VOTING INTENTIONS
B1 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes No Atlantic Québec Ontario Prairies Alberta BC LPC NDP BQ CPC GPC PPC Other
CP6
Weighted Total 2102 1021 1081 228 339 332 390 367 446 567 723 812 437 1660 144 493 807 137 236 285 591 202 86 573 202 56 22
Unweighted Total : 2102 1039 1063 210 318 345 423 363 443 528 768 806 831 1268 100 1001 601 125 125 150 611 178 156 532 202 68 20
Yes 52% 54% 50% 46% 57% 55% 49% 55% 49% 52% 52% 52% 50% 53% 49% 50% 54% 48% 55% 49% 52% 47% 50% 57% 61% 92% 84%
No 24% 31% 18% 17% 19% 21% 23% 24% 35% 18% 22% 30% 31% 22% 23% 31% 21% 25% 20% 24% 30% 31% 38% 25% 23% 4% 10%I don't know / I prefer not to answer
24% 15% 32% 37% 24% 24% 28% 21% 16% 29% 26% 18% 19% 25% 28% 19% 24% 27% 24% 27% 18% 22% 12% 18% 16% 3% 6%
When you think of the 4 years of the Trudeau government, is the government's track record rather positive, rather negative or neither positive nor negative?
No:9 GENDER AGE (1) AGE (2) FRANCOPHONE REGION FEDERAL VOTING INTENTIONS
B1 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes No Atlantic Québec Ontario Prairies Alberta BC LPC NDP BQ CPC GPC PPC Other
CP7
Weighted Total 2102 1021 1081 228 339 332 390 367 446 567 723 812 437 1660 144 493 807 137 236 285 591 202 86 573 202 56 22
Unweighted Total : 2102 1039 1063 210 318 345 423 363 443 528 768 806 831 1268 100 1001 601 125 125 150 611 178 156 532 202 68 20
Rather positive 21% 23% 20% 28% 21% 18% 17% 24% 22% 24% 18% 23% 20% 22% 37% 20% 23% 14% 11% 22% 56% 15% 14% 3% 18% 9% 12%
Neither positive nor negative 28% 28% 27% 33% 30% 27% 27% 26% 25% 31% 27% 25% 38% 25% 19% 39% 27% 26% 13% 25% 37% 36% 36% 16% 26% 7% 19%
Rather negative 46% 46% 46% 29% 43% 47% 49% 47% 51% 38% 48% 49% 40% 47% 31% 37% 44% 56% 69% 47% 7% 48% 50% 80% 53% 83% 60%
I don't know / I prefer not to answer
5% 4% 7% 9% 5% 8% 7% 3% 3% 7% 8% 3% 3% 6% 13% 3% 5% 4% 7% 6% 1% 1% 0% 1% 4% 2% 9%
On October 21, is it possible or out of the question that you will vote for the Green Party of Canada?
No:10 GENDER AGE (1) AGE (2) FRANCOPHONE REGION FEDERAL VOTING INTENTIONS
B1 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes No Atlantic Québec Ontario Prairies Alberta BC LPC NDP BQ CPC GPC PPC Other
CP8
Weighted Total 2102 1021 1081 228 339 332 390 367 446 567 723 812 437 1660 144 493 807 137 236 285 591 202 86 573 202 56 22
Unweighted Total : 2102 1039 1063 210 318 345 423 363 443 528 768 806 831 1268 100 1001 601 125 125 150 611 178 156 532 202 68 20
Possible 35% 34% 37% 47% 40% 38% 35% 31% 26% 43% 37% 28% 31% 36% 33% 33% 35% 33% 26% 48% 35% 40% 28% 21% 96% 37% 43%
Out of the question 48% 56% 42% 34% 45% 43% 46% 51% 63% 41% 45% 58% 53% 47% 44% 54% 48% 51% 51% 40% 54% 47% 60% 71% 4% 58% 48%
I don't know / I prefer not to answer
16% 11% 22% 19% 15% 19% 19% 18% 11% 16% 19% 14% 15% 17% 22% 13% 17% 16% 23% 12% 11% 13% 12% 8% 1% 5% 9%
In your view, is the Conservative Party of Canada ready to form the government?
No:11 GENDER AGE (1) AGE (2) FRANCOPHONE REGION FEDERAL VOTING INTENTIONS
B1 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes No Atlantic Québec Ontario Prairies Alberta BC LPC NDP BQ CPC GPC PPC Other
CP9
Weighted Total 2102 1021 1081 228 339 332 390 367 446 567 723 812 437 1660 144 493 807 137 236 285 591 202 86 573 202 56 22
Unweighted Total : 2102 1039 1063 210 318 345 423 363 443 528 768 806 831 1268 100 1001 601 125 125 150 611 178 156 532 202 68 20
Yes 34% 41% 27% 34% 38% 33% 33% 29% 35% 36% 33% 32% 29% 35% 29% 29% 33% 43% 50% 28% 15% 14% 21% 85% 9% 50% 3%
No 45% 46% 44% 39% 42% 44% 42% 52% 47% 41% 43% 49% 46% 45% 46% 47% 49% 32% 32% 47% 76% 69% 58% 4% 76% 25% 85%I don't know / I prefer not to answer
22% 13% 30% 26% 21% 22% 25% 20% 18% 23% 24% 19% 26% 20% 26% 24% 19% 25% 19% 25% 9% 17% 21% 10% 15% 24% 12%
CROSSED TABLES (CONTINUED)
46
Which of the following political parties is best positioned to defend Québec's interests?
No:12 GENDER AGE (1) AGE (2) FRANCOPHONE REGION FEDERAL VOTING INTENTIONS
B1 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes No Atlantic Québec Ontario Prairies Alberta BC LPC NDP BQ CPC GPC PPC Other
CP10
Weighted Total 493 240 253 50 76 79 85 90 112 126 165 202 380 113 0 493 0 0 0 0 141 29 86 92 46 15 3
Unweighted Total : 1001 468 533 93 152 184 191 172 209 245 375 381 783 218 0 1001 0 0 0 0 278 57 156 205 98 37 6
...Justin Trudeau's Liberal Party of Canada
20% 22% 19% 13% 22% 18% 12% 27% 25% 19% 15% 26% 16% 36% 0% 20% 0% 0% 0% 0% 61% 17% 0% 4% 5% 0% 0%
...Jagmeet Singh's New Democratic Party of Canada
2% 2% 2% 4% 2% 4% 3% 1% 1% 3% 4% 1% 3% 1% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 28% 0% 1% 3% 0% 13%
...Yves-François Blanchet's Bloc Québécois
31% 35% 28% 18% 22% 34% 33% 35% 38% 20% 33% 37% 38% 9% 0% 31% 0% 0% 0% 0% 19% 19% 93% 17% 44% 5% 25%
...Andrew Scheer's Conservative Party of Canada
11% 13% 9% 3% 11% 11% 10% 12% 14% 8% 10% 13% 11% 10% 0% 11% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 1% 51% 1% 4% 5%
...Elizabeth May's Green Party of Canada
3% 3% 3% 10% 3% 1% 3% 3% 2% 6% 2% 2% 3% 3% 0% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 4% 0% 0% 24% 4% 0%
...Maxime Bernier's People's Party of Canada
5% 7% 2% 10% 7% 5% 4% 4% 1% 8% 5% 2% 4% 7% 0% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 2% 0% 8% 2% 64% 0%
None 9% 8% 10% 6% 11% 12% 14% 5% 7% 9% 13% 6% 9% 10% 0% 9% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5% 16% 0% 9% 6% 23% 23%
I don't know / I prefer not to answer
18% 10% 26% 36% 22% 15% 21% 14% 12% 27% 18% 13% 17% 24% 0% 18% 0% 0% 0% 0% 10% 12% 6% 10% 15% 0% 34%
EMPLOYEES CONSULTANTS
400 75
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MONTREAL | QUEBEC | TORONTO | EDMONTON | CALGARY | PHILADELPHIA
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• International ResearchWorldwide Independent Network (WIN)
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OUR SERVICES
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OUR CREDENTIALS
Leger is a member of ESOMAR (European Society for Opinion
and Market Research), the global association of opinion polls
and marketing research professionals. As such, Leger is
committed to applying the international ICC/ESOMAR code of
Market, Opinion and Social Research and Data Analytics.
Leger is also member of the Insights Association, the American
Association of Marketing Research Analytics.
Leger is a member of the Canadian Research Insights Council (CRIC), the industry association for the market/survey/insights research industry.
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@leger360 /LegerCanada /company/leger360 @leger360leger360.com