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1 Federal Food Policy and Childhood Obesity: Part of the Problem or Solution? Rachel Tolbert Kimbro Elizabeth Rigby* *Authors are listed alphabetically. Rachel Tolbert Kimbro ([email protected] ) is an assistant professor of sociology at Rice University and Elizabeth Rigby ([email protected] ) is an assistant professor of political science at the University of Houston. The authors gratefully acknowledge a RIDGE grant from Mississippi State University’s Southern Rural Development Center, a grant from the University of Kentucky Center for Poverty Research through the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Office of the Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation, grant number 2 U01 PE000002-06, and the Faculty Initiatives Program and Health Economics Program at the James A. Baker Institute for Public Policy at Rice University. The Fragile Families and Child Wellbeing Study was funded by NICHD grant number NIH 5R01HD36916 05 and a consortium of private foundations. In addition, the authors acknowledge the generous support of the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation Health & Society Scholars Program and the excellent research assistance of Jenny Kingsley and Abby Banks-Golub.

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1

Federal Food Policy and Childhood Obesity:

Part of the Problem or Solution?

Rachel Tolbert Kimbro

Elizabeth Rigby*

*Authors are listed alphabetically. Rachel Tolbert Kimbro

([email protected]) is an assistant professor of sociology

at Rice University and Elizabeth Rigby ([email protected]) is

an assistant professor of political science at the

University of Houston. The authors gratefully acknowledge

a RIDGE grant from Mississippi State University’s Southern

Rural Development Center, a grant from the University of

Kentucky Center for Poverty Research through the U.S.

Department of Health and Human Services, Office of the

Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation, grant

number 2 U01 PE000002-06, and the Faculty Initiatives

Program and Health Economics Program at the James A. Baker

Institute for Public Policy at Rice University. The

Fragile Families and Child Wellbeing Study was funded by

NICHD grant number NIH 5R01HD36916 05 and a consortium of

private foundations. In addition, the authors acknowledge

the generous support of the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation

Health & Society Scholars Program and the excellent

research assistance of Jenny Kingsley and Abby Banks-Golub.

2

Abstract

Amid growing concern about childhood obesity, the U.S.

spends billions of dollars on food assistance—providing

meals and subsidizing food purchases. We examine the

relationship between food assistance and Body Mass Index

(BMI) for low-income, young children: a primary target

population for federal food programs and for efforts to

prevent childhood obesity. Our findings indicate that food

assistance may contribute to the childhood obesity problem

in cities with high food prices. We also find that

subsidized meals at school or daycare are beneficial for

children’s weight status, and argue that expanding access

to subsidized meals may be the most effective tool to

combat childhood obesity for poor children.

3

Introduction

With approximately one-third of U.S. children

overweight and 16% obese (1), childhood overweight is a

significant public health issue, and overweight children

are more likely to develop serious health problems (2-7).

Notably, children are struggling with weight problems at

earlier ages, particularly low-income children (8, 9).

Since overweight children are more likely to become

overweight adolescents and adults (10-12), preventing

obesity early in childhood is the most cost-effective

solution for the epidemic (13, 14).

To combat the “obesity epidemic” among America’s young

children, policymakers are experimenting with a range of

novel policy proposals such as regulating food served in

schools, taxing snack foods, and limiting advertising to

children (15-17). Although these proposals garner much of

the media attention on anti-obesity policy, in reality the

federal government is already deeply engaged in food policy

through its $53 billion annual expenditure in food

assistance programs.

During early childhood, low-income children may

participate in all of the primary federal food assistance

programs. This receipt often begins with the Special

Supplemental Nutrition Program for Women, Infants, and

4

Children (WIC), which primarily provides vouchers for

nutritious foods to pregnant women and children up to age

five who are at nutritional risk. If a child’s family

income is below 130 percent of the federal poverty line

(FPL), the family may receive assistance in the form of an

electronic benefits card which may be used to purchase

virtually any food item as part of the Supplemental

Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP), formerly known as the

Food Stamp Program. If a child attends a child care,

healthy snacks and meals may be provided through the Child

and Adult Care Food Program. Once they reach school-age,

low-income children may receive meals as part of the School

Breakfast Program or National School Lunch Program.

Since federal food assistance programs, by design,

intervene early in children’s lives and serve the low-

income children who are most likely to be overweight (18),

they hold real potential to combat the obesity epidemic by

reversing early risk factors and setting in place healthy

weight trajectories. The reach of these programs is wide:

one-half of all U.S. children will participate in the

supplemental nutrition program (formerly known as Food

Stamps) alone, including 90% of African-American children

(19). There is also reason, however, to question the

ability of the programs to combat the obesity epidemic

5

(20). These programs were originally designed to encourage

food expenditures at a time when alleviating hunger —

rather than the prevention of obesity — was the primary

policy objective (21). Indeed, mounting evidence suggests

that the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program may be

associated with increased Body Mass Index (BMI) for adult

women (22-25).

To help inform this debate, we examine new data on

young children, ages 3 and 5, who comprise a primary target

population for the various federal food assistance

programs. Since children may receive food assistance

through multiple federal programs during early childhood

and since each program may have a unique effect on

children’s weight, we examine the effect of each type of

food assistance, controlling for simultaneous participation

in the other programs. The young children in our sample

are drawn from twenty of America’s larger cities with

varied costs-of-living, giving us contextual variation

within which we can compare effects of program

participation.

Federal Food Assistance Programs and Children’s Weight:

What Do We Know?

Despite the potential for federal food assistance

programs to assist in efforts to combat childhood obesity,

6

research documenting the effects of these programs on

children’s weight is surprisingly limited and has produced

mixed results (26). Hofferth and Curtin (27) found no

relationship between receipt of three food assistance

programs and older children’s BMI. However, other research

points to a relationship between receipt of federal food

assistance and children’s weight status. Among very young

children, Bitler et al. found that — accounting for

characteristics associated with enrolling in the program —

infants and toddlers who participated in the Special

Supplemental Nutrition Program for Women, Infants, and

Children had healthier weight-for-age (28).

Federally-subsidized school meals have the potential

to enhance children’s nutrition, as the meals must adhere

to nutritional requirements. For example, one study that

estimated effects of both the Supplemental Nutrition

Assistance Program and the National School Lunch Program

found that for girls living in food insecure households

(households without access to adequate food), participation

in the programs reduced weight gain (29). One careful

analysis found the School Breakfast Program to have a

positive effect on children’s nutritional quality (30).

Another study found, however, that children who regularly

ate a school lunch had much higher rates of obesity (31),

7

although this may have been due to other characteristics

relating to food preferences (32).

These mixed findings stem from research that treats

receipt of federal food assistance as the same experience

across different contexts. However, even though

eligibility is set at the federal level, the meaning and

experience of these benefits may differ in places where

food, as well as other expenses, is more or less expensive.

This type of contextual effect was identified by Zhang and

Chen (25), who illustrated how local food prices

contributed to body mass index (BMI) for adult women

receiving Supplemental Nutrition Assistance. These findings

provided a powerful incentive for our current analysis.

How Cost-of-Living May Shape the Effects of Federal Food

Assistance

Underlying any relationship between food assistance

and childhood obesity is the possibility that the use,

value, and effects of food assistance vary in places with

high versus low costs-of-living. When cost-of-living is

high, eligible families likely experience greater need than

eligible families in other communities. As a result, a

poverty-line income of $18,310 (for a family of three) can

be stretched much further in a low-cost-of-living city such

as Nashville than in a high-cost-of-living setting such as

8

Boston. This increased difficulty making ends meet may

lead more eligible families to participate in food

assistance programs (33), and may make receipt of food

assistance more critical for promoting children’s well-

being.

One important aspect of cost-of-living is captured in

food prices. When the local cost of food is higher, the

same food assistance benefit simply buys less food (34,

35). This may lead to substitution of less expensive,

unhealthy foods for more expensive, healthier foods (36).

Recent evidence suggests that the diets of low-income

Americans are sensitive to price changes such that lower

prices for fruits and vegetables result in more consumption

by adults (37) and smaller increases in BMI for children

(38, 39).

Expectations

Given the different intentions and delivery mechanisms

of these programs, we distinguish among our expectations

for how each program may shape children’s weight

trajectories. Most important is the degree to which the

program provides food assistance in general, or limits this

assistance to particular types of foods. For example, the

Special Supplemental Nutrition Program for Women, Infants,

and Children specifies the types of food that may be

9

purchased, and includes nutrition education. And the

school lunch and breakfast programs have nutritional

guidelines that must be followed. Therefore, we expect a

more protective effect (a negative relationship with BMI)

for these programs due to their more prescriptive

guidelines regarding the foods that can be purchased for or

provided to young children. In contrast, Supplemental

Nutrition Assistance recipients have more flexibility over

consumption choices; thus, we expect this program to do

less to prevent gains in BMI. For the same reason, we

expect local food prices to play a larger role in shaping

the relationship between this program and children’s BMI

than for the other forms of food assistance.

Data

We examine direct and context-dependent effects of

changes in federal food program participation on young

children’s weight status (BMI) using data from the

longitudinal Fragile Families and Child Wellbeing Survey

(FFCWS), waves III and IV. Participating parents and

infants were recruited in 1998-1999 in twenty large U.S.

cities (with populations of 200,000 or more) and sampled

via a stratified random sampling process. Families were

surveyed for the first time in the hospital within 48 hours

of the child’s birth and followed-up when the child was 1

10

year, 3 years, and 5 years old. At the 3- and 5-year

follow-ups (Waves III and IV), a portion of the sample also

participated in the In-Home Longitudinal Study of Pre-

School Aged Children (for more information about the study,

please visit http://www.fragilefamilies.princeton.edu/).

For this paper, we limited the sample to low-income

(below 185% of FPL) children born to U.S.-born parents who

participated in the In-Home portion of the study at both

age 3 (2001-2002) and age 5 (2003-2004) and for whom we had

valid child and mother BMI measurements at both time points

(N=681). Children’s height and weight data were gathered

by trained researchers using standard techniques. BMI for

the children was calculated and converted to the sex-

specific BMI-for-age percentiles issued by the National

Center for Health Statistics of the Centers for Disease

Control and Prevention (40). Other child-, mother-, and

family-demographic characteristics were gathered via self-

report from mothers at each time point. Descriptive

statistics for this sample are presented in Exhibit 1.

[Exhibit 1 about here]

Since children and families may use multiple food

assistance programs concurrently, we generated both a

general measure indicating whether a child received any

form of food assistance as well as three indicator

11

variables, each identifying receipt of one type of food

assistance: (1) the Special Supplemental Nutrition Program

for Women, Infants, and Children, (2) Supplemental

Nutrition Assistance Program, and (3) Child Care/School

Meals (provided in a child care, preschool, kindergarten,

or summer care setting, funded by federal dollars). In

this sample of low-income children (Exhibit 1), 90%

participated in at least one food assistance program at age

3, rising to 93% at age 5. Considering each type of food

assistance: participation in the Special Supplemental

Nutrition Program for Women, Infants, and Children declined

from age 3 (50%) to age 5 (44%); Supplemental Nutrition

Assistance Program participation rates remained fairly

stable — 71% at age 3 and 72% at age 5; and child

care/school meals, provided to 41% of children at age 3,

nearly doubled at age 5 with 80% receiving federally-

subsidized meals at daycare, preschool, or kindergarten.

To explore differences in cost-of-living, we used 2003

American Chamber of Commerce Researchers Association

(ACCRA) (41) data to classify cities into those with, on

average, high and low grocery prices, defined as those with

ACCRA-generated grocery cost-of-living indices above or

below 103. In our sample of 20 cities, we coded the

following as having relatively-low food prices: Austin,

12

Baltimore, Corpus Christi, Indianapolis, Milwaukee,

Nashville, Norfolk, Pittsburgh, San Antonio, and Toledo.

Those classified as high cost-of-living are: Boston,

Chicago, Detroit, Jacksonville, New York City, Newark,

Oakland, Philadelphia, Richmond, and San Jose.

Analytic Strategy

Because we know that many of the same characteristics

affecting children’s weight also influence whether or not

families are eligible for and use federal food assistance

programs, we had to use a modeling strategy that could

account for these “selection effects.” To do this, we

capitalize on the fact that our data include information on

children, and their families, when they are three-years-

old, as well as five-years-old. We pooled together these

two waves of data collection (681 children observed twice

for a total sample size of 1,362) and included individual-

level fixed-effects to absorb the influence of stable

characteristics of children and families (i.e. race,

parenting capacity) in order to isolate changes in

individual children’s participation in food assistance.

Exhibit 2 presents the dynamics in program

participation across the two time points at ages three and

five. Only 3% of this low-income sample received no form of

food assistance, with most (87%) receiving food assistance

13

at both time points. But, the cases most central to our

analysis are those that switched status during the two time

points (taking up or moving off of food assistance). For

the overall measure of food assistance, only 10% of the

sample changed status. Yet, when we look at the results by

program, larger proportions of the sample changed status

between the two time points: 25% for Special Supplemental

Nutrition Program for Women, Infants, and Children, 24% for

Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, and 49% for

childcare/school meals.

[Exhibit 2 about here]

To capture other factors that may have also changed

between age three and age five, we controlled for a range

of dynamic characteristics that could influence either use

of food assistance or children’s BMI. These factors

included the child’s age; whether the child attended

daycare, preschool, or kindergarten; family structure

(married vs. cohabiting or single); maternal education (did

not graduate high school vs. high school degree and/or some

college); maternal employment (does not work outside the

home vs. works part-time or works full-time); the mother’s

BMI; the mother’s BMI squared in case the effect is not

linear; the household’s income-to-poverty ratio; Temporary

Aid to Needy Families receipt; whether the family lives in

14

public housing; and food insecurity (based on the USDA 18-

item scale which measures a household’s access to food)

(42). Our results were not sensitive to alterative

specifications for our control variables.

Results

Exhibit 3 presents the coefficients from individual-

level fixed effects models examining, first, the basic

relationship between transitions into and out of different

food assistance programs and young children’s BMI (top

panel), and then re-estimating these relationships for

those living in cities with low food prices (middle panel)

versus high food prices (bottom panel).

[Exhibit 3 about here]

The first pair of models examines the effect of movement

onto or off of food assistance, while the second pair of

models disaggregates this measure of participation to

capture whether the child (or her family) receives aid from

the Special Supplemental Program for Women, Infants, and

Children and/or Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program

and/or child care/school meals. We present results, first

for the full sample of low-income children — those living

in families with incomes less than 185% of FPL at both time

points (N=681 children). These children were eligible for

both reduced price lunch and the Special Supplemental

15

program for Women, Infants, and Children. Then we estimate

parallel models for the more disadvantaged sub-set: those

with family incomes at or below 130% of the Federal Poverty

Line who were eligible for free lunch and for Supplemental

Nutrition Assistance Program benefits.

Examining first the relationship between receiving any

food assistance and children’s BMI, we find no significant

relationship across the full sample of 20 cities. Yet, when

we divide these city samples into those with low versus

high food prices, we see a significant relationship for

children with family incomes at or below 130% of Federal

Poverty Line. For these children, we identify a negative

relationship between receiving food assistance and BMI in

cities with low food prices (B = -16.17, se = 7.09) but a

positive relationship in cities with high food prices (B =

15.01, se = 7.14). These findings indicate that food

assistance may contribute to the childhood obesity problem

in cities with high food prices but may serve to protect

children from excessive weight gain in cities with low food

prices.

The second pair of models considers the potential for

different influences for each form of food assistance. For

the models estimated on the full sample across all 20

cities, we see only one significant relationship: a

16

negative impact of receiving child care/school meals on

children’s BMI (B = -4.00, se = 2.00 for those <=185% FPL;

B = -5.10, se = 2.27 for those <=130% of FPL), meaning that

the receipt of meals at school or childcare helps children,

particularly low-income children, maintain a healthy

weight. When we test these relationships in the cities with

low food prices, we see the same pattern for the poorer

sub-set of children (B = -6.31, se = 3.06). Yet, in cities

with higher food prices, we find a positive relationship

between participation in the Supplemental Nutrition

Assistance Program and children’s BMI (B = 7.66, se =

4.44)—suggesting that in areas where food is more

expensive, participation may be contributing to the early

childhood obesity problem.

[Exhibit 4 about here]

These findings are presented visually in Exhibit 4.

The bars labeled “any” capture the expected change in BMI

when children transition onto or off of food assistance

(defined broadly to include any program). The subsequent

sets of bars reflect this relationship for each form of

food assistance. Note that these individual relationships

are smaller because they capture the effect of each

program, controlling for simultaneous receipt of the other

food assistance programs.

17

Conclusion

Our results demonstrate that participation in federal

food assistance programs can affect the BMI of young

children. However, we must distinguish among the multiple

food assistance programs that low-income children may

receive during their early childhood years, as well as the

food environment in which these programs are experienced.

In particular, we find a protective effect from food

assistance programs that subsidize meals as opposed to

those programs that provide financial assistance to

purchase food. This effect is strongest among the low-

income children most at-risk for later weight problems.

This finding suggests that efforts to combat childhood

obesity might be enhanced by increasing access to

subsidized meals through a range of strategies, including:

increasing outreach to child care providers not

participating in the Child and Adult Food Program,

providing school-wide presumptive eligibility for Title I

schools, and instituting summer food programs for school

children and their families. Another anti-obesity strategy

is to increase the nutritional value of food provided by

all the federal food assistance programs, which would

require strengthening nutritional guidelines for subsidized

meals, as well as limiting access to foods of minimal

18

nutritional value as part of the supplemental food

assistance programs.

Yet, our findings also warn of the potential for food

assistance programs to exacerbate the childhood obesity

problem. As mentioned above, this was most likely for the

Supplemental Food Assistance Program—the program that

provides the most broad food choice. In cities with high

food prices — those in which Supplemental Nutrition

Assistance Program benefits provide the least purchasing

power — participation in the Supplemental Nutrition

Assistance Program is related to increases in BMI among the

poorest children. Efforts to prevent childhood obesity need

to take seriously this important role of local context, in

which the same federal program, with the same federal

guidelines and benefit plans, can have a different effect

in some parts of the country compared with others. This

study highlights one such factor: food prices, although we

acknowledge many others that may influence the relationship

between federal food assistance and childhood obesity, such

as: food availability, housing density, and local farmers

markets.

This analysis only begins to unpack the complex

relationships between food assistance and children’s weight

trajectories. We plan to follow these children into the

19

next wave of Fragile Families and Child Wellbeing Study

data (collected when the children are nine years old) in

order to capture the full early childhood period. But, this

initial study highlights the potential for federal food

assistance to serve as part of the early childhood obesity

solution, as well as warns of ways in which federal policy

could undermine other childhood obesity prevention efforts.

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EXHIBIT LIST

EXHIBIT 1 (table)

Caption/Headline: Descriptive Statistics

SOURCE: Authors’ analysis of FFCWS data.

EXHIBIT 2 (table)

Caption/Headline: Percent of FFCWS Children Receiving

Federal Food Assistance

SOURCE: Authors’ analysis of FFCWS data.

EXHIBIT 3 (table)

Caption/Headline: Relationship Between Food Assistance and

Child BMI

SOURCE: Authors’ analysis of FFCWS data.

EXHIBIT 4 (figure)

Caption/Headline: Relationship between BMI and Receipt of

Food Assistance Program

SOURCE: Authors’ analysis of FFCWS data.

26

Exhibit 1: Descriptive Statistics

Min. Max. 3 yrs 5 yrs

BMI (percentile) 0 99.99 62.08 (30.40) 65.45 (28.57)

Any Food Assistance 0 1 0.90 0.93

WIC 0 1 0.50 0.44

SNAP 0 1 0.71 0.72

CC/School Meals 0 1 0.41 0.80

Child Age 32 76 37.55 (2.99) 63.42 (2.94)

In CC/School 0 1 0.53 0.75

Mom Married 0 1 0.13 0.13

Mom Cohab. 0 1 0.21 0.13

Mom HS Degree 0 1 0.38 0.39

Mom College 0 1 0.20 0.21

Mom Work 2 0 1 0.20 0.20

Mom Work 3 0 1 0.25 0.30

Mom BMI 16 66 30.81 (7.73) 31.60 (8.04)

Poverty Ratio 0 8.8 .73 (.50) 0.75 (.50)

Receive TANF 0 1 0.45 0.40

Live in Public Housing 0 1 0.23 0.10

Food Insecure 0 1 0.24 0.23

Range Mean (sd)

Source: Authors' analysis of FFCWS data. Sample limited to those with

family incomes at or below 185% of poverty line at both time points

(N=681 children)

27

Exhibit 2: Percent of FFCWS Children Receiving Federal Food

Assistance

No

Receipt

Constant

Receipt

Changed

Receipt

No

Receipt

Constant

Receipt

Changed

Receipt

Food Assistance

Any program 3% 87% 10% 2% 91% 7%

WIC 40% 34% 25% 38% 36% 27%

SNAP 16% 59% 24% 12% 67% 20%

Meals 15% 36% 49% 13% 37% 51%

Note: Values may not equal 100% due to rounding.

Source: Authors' analysis using FFCWS data.

Income < = 185% FPL Income < = 130% FPL

28

Exhibit 3: Relationship between Food Assistance and Child BMI

Forms of Assistance

Any Assistance

<=185% <=130% <=185% <=130%

All Cities

Any Program 0.28 0.53

(3.70) (5.02)

WIC -1.06 0.35

(2.31) (2.47)

SNAP 0.35 1.83

(2.42) (2.92)

Meals -4.00 * -5.10 *

(2.00) (2.27)

N (observations) 1362 1104 1362 1104

N (children) 681 552 681 552

Cities w/Low Food Prices

Any Program -0.67 -16.17 *

(5.00) (7.09)

WIC -0.27 -0.50

(3.48) (3.79)

SNAP -1.91 -0.59

(3.22) (3.73)

Meals -4.16 -6.31 *

(2.76) (3.06)

N (observations) 712 556 712 556

N (children) 356 278 356 278

Cities w/High Food Prices

Any Program 0.94 15.01 *

(5.20) (7.14)

WIC -1.63 0.13

(3.21) (3.39)

SNAP 3.13 7.66 +

(3.88) (4.44)

Meals -4.00 -3.24

(3.00) (3.29)

N (observations) 650 548 650 548

N (children) 325 274 325 274

Note: Coefficients from OLS regression models with individual-level fixed effects.

All models also control for childrens's age and child care/school attendance;

Mother's marital status, education, employment status, TANF receipt, and BMI; and

families' income-to-poverty ratio, public housing, and food insecurity

Source: Authors’ analysis using FFCWS data.

29

Exhibit 4: Relationship between BMI and Receipt

of Food Assistance Program

Note: Bars represent coefficients from Exhibit 2 estimated for

children with family incomes <= 130% of FPL, * = p<.05, + = p<.10.

Source: Authors' analysis using FFCWS data.

-20

-10

0

10

20

Any WIC SNAP Meals

All Cities Low Food Prices High Food Prices