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Presented to: Aerospace Control and Guidance Systems Committee By: Stan Pszczolkowski, Manager, System Analysis Division Date: March 1, 2006 Federal Aviation Administration Federal Aviation Administration

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Federal Aviation Administration. Current Events. FAA Met 28 out of 31 FY05 Goals = 90.322…% Ongoing Contract Negotiations NATCA, Air Traffic Controllers PASS, Field Engineers & Technicians - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Federal Aviation Administration

Presented to: Aerospace Control and Guidance Systems Committee

By: Stan Pszczolkowski, Manager, System Analysis Division

Date: March 1, 2006

Federal AviationAdministrationFederal Aviation

Administration

Page 2: Federal Aviation Administration

Aerospace Control and Guidance Systems Committee Briefing 2Federal AviationAdministrationMarch 1, 2006

Current Events

• FAA Met 28 out of 31 FY05 Goals = 90.322…%

• Ongoing Contract Negotiations– NATCA, Air Traffic Controllers– PASS, Field Engineers & Technicians

• Significant Controller Recruitment and Training - Post-1981 Controllers becoming Eligible for Retirement

• Declining Balance of Aviation Trust Fund

• Technology-Based Operational Improvements– Trials of Reduced Separation Minima (30/30) in Southern Pacific Airspace– Area Navigation/Required Navigation Performance (RVAV/RNP) Procedures

Page 3: Federal Aviation Administration

Aerospace Control and Guidance Systems Committee Briefing 3Federal AviationAdministrationMarch 1, 2006

More Current Events• Centralization & Consolidation

– 3 National Operational Service Areas Established– LMR, IT and Accounting– Management of Funds– Analysis of # of Air Route Control Centers (21 Current)– Organizational Straightlining of some Technical Center Functions to

Headquarters

• Began Analysis of Impacts of the Next Generation Air Transportation System Vision on the National Airspace System

• New Project Aircraft: Bombardier Global 5000

Page 4: Federal Aviation Administration

Aerospace Control and Guidance Systems Committee Briefing 4Federal AviationAdministrationMarch 1, 2006

Page 5: Federal Aviation Administration

Aerospace Control and Guidance Systems Committee Briefing 5Federal AviationAdministrationMarch 1, 2006

Next Generation Air Transportation System• Congress Tasked Agencies to Form Senior

Policy Committee– Secretary of Transportation, Chair– Secretary of Defense– Secretary of Homeland Security– Secretary of Commerce– Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy– Administrator of the National Aeronautics and Space

Administration– Administrator of the Federal Aviation Administration

• Established Joint Planning and Development Office (www.jpdo.aero)

– Small and Focused Office– Close Collaboration with Experts in Government and

Private Sector– Delivered “Next Generation Air Transportation System

Integrated Plan” (Meet needs of 2025 and substantial near term benefits.)

Page 6: Federal Aviation Administration

Aerospace Control and Guidance Systems Committee Briefing 6Federal AviationAdministrationMarch 1, 2006

Joint Program and Development Office• Bob Pearce (NASA) Acting Director – Previous Director (also VP for

FAA Air Traffic Organization Operations Planning) Joined Private Industry

• Announced Key NGATS Capabilities – Network-enabled information access– Performance-based services– Assimilation of weather into decision-making (5D data base)– Layered, adaptive security– Aircraft 4D trajectory-based operations – Broad-area precision navigation– Equivalent visual operations– Super density operations

• Requested Accelerated Research and Implementation of Automated Dependant Surveillance Broadcast

• Release Draft “Concept of Operations” and “Enterprise Architecture” in Spring for Agencies’ Review

Page 7: Federal Aviation Administration

Aerospace Control and Guidance Systems Committee Briefing 7Federal AviationAdministrationMarch 1, 2006

Where Does an Enterprise Architecture Fit Into the NAS?

Public Law – U.S. Code<Title 49: Transportation>

National AirspaceSystem

•Mission•Appropriation

• SARP• PANS

ICAO Convention

Public Law – U.S. Code<Title 31: Money and

Finance>

OMB

President’s Budget

“The agency's CPIC process must build from the agency's current EA and its transition to the target architecture.” — OMB A-130OMB A-130: The EA provides a strategy that will enable the agency to support

its current state and also act as the roadmap for transition to its target environment.

Capital Planning Guidance

PerformanceBusinessService

Technical

FEAReference Models

OMB

Exhi

bit 3

00

EA

MissionServices

Infrastructure

FAADOT

OMB A-11

Data

The FAA satisfies its Mission through delivery of Services enabled by Infrastructure that together make up the Enterprise Architecture of the National Airspace System.

Capital Investment +$$

Agency EAmust

Align WithFEA

Regulations – CFR<Title 14: Aeronautics

and Space>• FAR

Page 8: Federal Aviation Administration

Aerospace Control and Guidance Systems Committee Briefing 8Federal AviationAdministrationMarch 1, 2006

Relationship of Roadmap to Strategic Vision/Planning

F E D E R A L A V I A T I O N A D M I N I S T R A T I O N • A I R T R A F F I C O R G A N I Z A T I O N 2

Enhance Financial D iscip line

2.1 Be bet ter stewards of publ ic f unds

2.5 Increase

ATO product iv ity

2.9 Use financ ial informatio n and tools to manag e

eff ect ively

2.8 Establish construct ive mgmt /labor

relatio nships

2.3 Rebuild credib ility an d t rust with customers an d

owners

2.6 Invest in priorit iz ed solutions that provide p ositive return, on time, on

budget

2.4 Reduc e unit cost of ATO operations

2.2 Make the NAS more cost effective

2.7 T rain or hire need ed skills

1.6 Optimize

service avail abi lity

1.4 Manag e airspac e use and traffic optimally

1.3 Ensure safety and aircr af t separat i on

1.7 Plan and execute well

across organizat io nal u nits

1.1 Ensure airs pace system is safe and

eff icient

1.2 Improve operati ona l

predicta bil ity

1.5 Minimiz e impacts of

weather o n t he operati on

1.8 Enhanc e employee commitment throug h effective lead ership

Achieve Operational Excellence

Increase Capacity Where Needed

Ensure Viable Future

ATO Strategy Map

3.4 Refine separati on standards

3.5 Ident ify and prioritize airspac e and a irport

initiat iv es base d on val ue

3.2 Build capacity safely to meet

deman d

3.1 Support eco nomic growth throu gh safe,

targeted cap acity increas es

3.3 Implement airspac e and

airport cap acity enhancements

3.6 Encourag e innov ative think ing to alig n resourc es with

deman d

4.1 Assure a sustaina ble a nd

af fordable air traf fic system for t he future

4.2 Deliv er a future air traff ic system that

meets customers’ operati ona l nee ds

4.3 Devel op an d execute ATO busin ess pla n

4.5 Develop alt ernat iv e busin ess

concepts for the future

4.4 Coll abor ate with customers,

owners, and other st rategic

partners

4.6 Enhanc e busi ness measurem ent and

predictiv e capa bil ity

4.7 Foster value-driven w orkplace

Versio n 5 20Dec04

Services

Infrastructure FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10

MIS

SION

drive

satisfies

Mis

sion

Roa

dmap

Mis

sion

Roa

dmap

FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10

Service RoadmapService Roadmap

NGAT

S

During the Budget Formulation Process for a Specific FY…Pathway Initiatives Prioritize and Refocus Roadmap Proposed Improvements – There must be 100% mapping from SMP to Roadmaps

• Strategy Map provides Initiatives tied to specific Organization Objectives

Proposed Service/InfrastructureImprovement Initiatives

SMP Pathway Initiative Mapped to Infrastructure

Infrastructure RoadmapInfrastructure Roadmap

• Mission Roadmap provides view of Service/Infrastructure Change (Improvement Initiatives)

drives

Mission Roadmap Improvement Initiatives Influence SMP Objective/Initiative Development

1

23

Page 9: Federal Aviation Administration

Aerospace Control and Guidance Systems Committee Briefing 9Federal AviationAdministrationMarch 1, 2006

Mission RoadmapThe Mission Roadmap establishes the priorities for execution of Organizational Initiatives in two dimensions

– Service Roadmap – shows relationship of service improvement initiatives to service delivery and infrastructure evolution for each service delivery organization

SIInstance

Current New SI

Service Performance Improvements

ServiceEnhancement

ServiceExpansion

Current New II

Infrastructure Performance Improvement• Infrastructure

Enhancement• Infrastructure Expansion

Service Improvement Initiatives

Infrastructure Improvement Initiatives

Infrastructure Roadmap – shows relationship of infrastructure improvementinitiates to service delivery and infrastructure evolution for each servicedelivery organization

Page 10: Federal Aviation Administration

Aerospace Control and Guidance Systems Committee Briefing 10Federal AviationAdministrationMarch 1, 2006

• Motivation – Efficiently accommodate NGATS vision

• Roadmaps– Automation

– Communications

– Surveillance

– Navigation

– Weather

– Facilities

– Mission Support

Infrastructure Roadmaps

Page 11: Federal Aviation Administration

Aerospace Control and Guidance Systems Committee Briefing 11Federal AviationAdministrationMarch 1, 2006

Roadmap Template

11 -- DRAFT --

--D

RA

FT ----D

RAF

T --

-- DRAFT -- -- DRAFT --

Automation Roadmap Assumptions• Automation and Data Convergence is a given

– Infrastructure Cost Savings– Infrastructure Security Enhancements

• NAS DMZ’s established• Identity Management• Security Management

– Platform for NGATS performance• Common Automation Processing• Common Display Subsystem• Common Data

• En Route– Continue with 20 ARTCCs but split “Front-Room”, “Back-Room” equipment

• Deploy ERAM “Back-Rooms” at 4 of 20 ARTCCs to drive 20 “Front-Room” ARTCCs• 20 ARTCC “Front-Rooms” remain until Colocation / Consolidation studies determine optimum

deployment• Terminal

– Converge 170 TRACONS to ~50 Large TRACONS• Traffic Flow

– Continue TFM-M / C-ATM-T infrastructure • Integration and new technology products separate from “safety critical system” Convergence• Planning for later convergence – non safety critical integration

• Maintenance, Monitoring and Control– Converge with automation “Back-Rooms” and integrate security

13 -- DRAFT --

--D

RA

FT ----D

RA

FT -

-

-- DRAFT -- -- DRAFT --

Implem

ent Identity Mgm

t & Security M

gmt

Infrastructure

InitialInfrastructureSecurity.

ERAMR3

ERAMR3

Automation Roadmap

RMMSRMMS

DSRDSR

AIMAIMDMZFor Protected Critical Services

AIM / NOTAMSAIM / NOTAMS

2004 2005 2006 2007l2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016+

Display

NAS

-W

ide

Oce

anic

En R

oute

Term

inal

ERAMBASELINE

R1

ERAMBASELINE

R1

ARTS IIEARTS IIE

RMMSRMMS RMMS

AIM

ERAMR2

ERAMR2

CAPRN

CAPRN

1

3

CAP(Common

Automation Processing)

CAP(Common

Automation Processing)

SWIM

C-ARTSC-ARTS

MEARTSMEARTS

DOTSDOTS

6

4

Dom

ain

Conv

erge

nce

Ana

lysi

s

7

ARTS IIIEARTS IIIE

C-ATM-TWP N

C-ATM-TWP NTF

M

Parts of FDP

2 10TFM-M

BaselineTFM-M

BaselineC-ATM-T

WP2C-ATM-T

WP2C-ATM-T

WP3C-ATM-T

WP3C-ATM-T

WP1C-ATM-T

WP1

CAPR1

CAPR1

Aeronautical Data LinkAeronautical Data Link

CDSS(Common Display Subsystem)

CDSS(Common Display Subsystem)

ECGECG

FDIOFDIO

URET CPURET CP

EBUSEBUS

TMATMA

HCS (G3)•RDP•FDP

HCS (G3)•RDP•FDP

ATOPATOP

ERAM DSERAM DS

ERIDS / IDSERIDS / IDS

ARTS IIIAARTS IIIA

9

STARSSTARS

6

STMSSTMSSMSSMSEFSTSEFSTSARMTARMT

CAPR0

CAPR0

8Establish DM

Z for aggregated set of Critical Functions

Initiate Identity Mgm

t & Security M

gmt

Infrastructure

OceanicTerminalEn Route

CompleteInfra-structureSecurity

5

6MEARTSMEARTS

SWIMSWIM

14 -- DRAFT --

--DR

AFT ----D

RA

FT -

-

-- DRAFT -- -- DRAFT --

Automation Roadmap Decisions

• Decision on TMA Deployment (2005) and Convergence (2010)• Investment decision for TFM-M and C-ATM-T • Investment decision for Terminal Automation Modernization &

Replacement Decision• Investment decision for Aeronautical Data Link • Decision for DOTS Integration into ATOP • Decision on Terminal/En Route/Oceanic Convergence based

on studies conducted 2005-2006• Decision on SWIM Policy/Implementation • Decision for further Automation integration resulting from B/C

ratio, Trade studies, and engineering analysis to establish platform for NGATS

• Decision for further Automation integration resulting from B/Cratio, Trade studies, and engineering analysis to establish platform for NGATS

• Decision for C-ATM-T Convergence into CAP

12

3

456

78

9

10

12 -- DRAFT --

--DRAFT ----

DRAF

T --

-- DRAFT -- -- DRAFT --

Automation ForecastCIP Numb er ATO Se rvice Proje c t Type FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15A01.03-00 Enroute HOST/ Oc e anic Com pute r Syste m Re plac eme nt (HOCSR)4.0 3.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0A01.05-03 Enroute DARC 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0A01.07-01 Enroute En Route Enha nc e me nts 5.9 3.5 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 2.4 2.4A01.09-01 Enroute En Route Syste m Mod ific a tio n 58.3 47.6 34.6 27.7 24.0 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0A01.10-01 Enroute En Route Automa tion Mode rnization (eRAM) 165.3 240.7 292.9 292.5 321.2 197.6 170.2 134.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0A01.10-02 Enroute En Route Automa tion Mode rnization - R-Pos 10.5 19.7 47.3 82.5 35.7 1.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0A01.10-03 Enroute En Route Automa tion Mode rnization- te ch re fresh 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.6 29.1 183.2 171.1 129.0 129.0A01.12-01 Enroute ECG -Build 0 57.6 25.3 1.6 8.4 5.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0A01.12-02 Enroute ECG -Tec h Re fresh 0.0 0.0 4.4 11.7 13.7 4.0 4.7 12.3 19.1 0.0 0.0 0.0A01.13-01 Enroute IATS 2.1 2.5 0.6 0.1 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0A10.03-00 Enroute Adva nc e d Tec hnologie s & Oce a nic Proc ed ure s (ATOP)66.3 47.2 35.1 33.7 52.0 29.7 12.7 9.8 9.6 7.1 0.0 0.0A22.06-00 Enroute FFP1 Sustain 31.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0A24.02-00 Enroute FFP2 Use r Re quest Eva lua tion Tool (URET) 58.8 43.5 73.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0A24.03-00 Enroute FFP2 Tra ffic Ma nag eme nt Ad visor (TMA)- Single Ce nt21.1 28.3 24.0 27.6 23.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0Axxx Enroute Da ta Link Progra m (Automa tion & Comm) 14 50.3 41.2 38.5 38.6 31 10

En Route Sub Total 482.0 461.7 517.8 502.2 530.1 288.0 238.0 228.4 246.9 192.2 131.4 131.4A07.00-00 Flight Se rvic es Opera tional a nd Supp orta bilit y OASIS 19.2 8.9 14.3 20.0 20.0 19.5 11.1 10.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

FSS SubTotal 19.2 8.9 14.3 20.0 20.0 19.5 11.1 10.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0A27.01-00 Opera tions Planning SWIM 14.9 7.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0A27.02-00 Opera tions Planning Sa tellite Te c hnologie s for ATM 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0A27.03-00 Opera tions Planning Simu la tion Ba sed Ac quisition 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0A17.00-00 Re gula tory/Non ATO Aviation Sa fe ty Ana lysis Syste m (ASAS) 6.9 6.8 13.2 13.7 13.9 13.9 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0A20.00-00 Re gula tory/Non ATO Inte grate d Flight Qua lity Assura nc e (IFQA) 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0A25.01-00 Re gula tory/Non ATO Syste m Approa c h for Sa fe ty Ove rsight (SASO) 0.0 0.0 9.2 12.3 12.8 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0A25.01-xx Re gula tory/Non ATO Other AVR Follow-On Pg ms 10.0 22.0 22.0 22.0 24.0 30.0A26.01-00 Re gula tory/Non ATO Aviation Sa fe ty Knowled ge Ma na ge ment Environment0.0 0.0 2.2 4.6 4.6 7.5 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 6.7 6.7

Othe r Automation Subtota l 26.7 16.8 26.6 30.6 31.3 34.1 31.9 30.0 30.0 30.0 30.7 36.7A05.01-02 Syste m Ope ra tions Curre nt ETMS OPS 12.9 7.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0A05.01-06 Syste m Ope ra tions TFM-Infra structure Mod erniza tion 17.9 25.8 56.0 35.4 17.5 5.3 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.0A05.01-10 Syste m Ope ra tions Collab orative Air Tra ffic Ma na ge ment Te c hnologies0.0 0.0 26.6 10.0 7.5 19.7 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0A05.03-06 Syste m Ope ra tions ATM Functiona lity Dev./De ployment - DSP 6.5 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0A08.01-00 Syste m Ope ra tions NAS Airspa c e System Re source 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0A08.01-01 Syste m Ope ra tions NOTAMS 9.2 10.9 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 5.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0A24.04-00 Syste m Ope ra tions FFP2 Colla bora tive De c ision Ma king (CDM) 19.5 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

SysOps Automation Subtotal 67.0 64.5 92.6 55.4 35.0 35.0 35.0 30.8 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0A01.14-01 Te chnic a l Op era tions EMAC 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0A14.00-00 Te chnic a l Op era tions Instrume nt Ap proa c h Proc ed ures Automa tion (IAPA)2.0 2.1 5.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0A14.01-00 Te chnic a l Op era tions Na tional Ae ro na utic a l Cha rting Offic e (NACO) 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Te chOps Automation Subtotal 4.0 3.1 6.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0A01.11-01 Te rmina l FDIO Re pla ce me nt 0.0 0.0 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.6A03.04-01 Te rmina l Te rmina l Susta inment 24.9 28.8 37.0 17.0 17.0 17.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0A03.04-02 Te rmina l Inte rim Tower Displa ys 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0A04.01-00 Te rmina l STARS - Pha se 1- De ve lopm ent & Proc ureme nt 118.8 108.0 75.2 33.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0A04.01-01 Te rmina l STARS - Pha se 1 - Te c h Re fresh 0.0 0.0 5.3 18.5 19.7 22.7 22.0 22.0 22.0 22.0 22.0 22.0A04.01-02 Te rmina l STARS Phase 1- Termina l Enha nc eme nt s 0.0 0.0 2.7 17.2 31.5 24.7 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0A04.05-00 Te rmina l Te rmina l Automa tion Mode rniza tion -Pha se 2 & 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.5 65.0 181.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0A08.02-01 Te rmina l IDS for Terminal Fa c ilite s 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Te rminal Automation Subtota l 148.1 136.8 122.5 98.5 135.5 247.7 209.4 199.4 199.5 199.5 199.6 199.6

Starting Automa tion Total 747.1 691.8 780.3 682.6 694.1 563.4 461.8 423.0 443.4 399.7 347.7 347.7Ta ke s 4.4 39.4 110.2 209.7 201.7 209.3 399.3 368.1 326.0 326.0Adds 24.0 57.8 60.9 63.5 75.6 68.0 47.0 39.0 45.0

Ava ila ble from Automa tio n 4.4 15.4 52.4 148.8 138.2 133.7 331.3 321.1 287.0 281.0

Final Automation Tota l 747.1 691.8 775.9 667.2 641.7 414.6 323.6 289.3 112.1 78.6 60.7 66.7

1 3 -- D R A F T - -

--D

RA

FT

----D

RA

FT

--

-- D R A F T - - - - D R A F T --

A u to m a t io n C o s t P r o f i le w i th C o n v e rg e n c e

P ro je c t Ty p e F Y0 7 F Y0 8 FY0 9 FY 1 0 FY 1 1 F Y1 2 FY1 3 FY1 4 FY1 5Fin a l A u t o m a tio n To ta l 6 5 7 . 2 6 3 4 . 2 3 9 4 . 9 2 9 8 . 6 2 5 2 . 3 7 5 . 1 4 1 . 6 2 1 . 7 2 1 . 7

C o n v e rg e n c e (C A P, C D SS , S W IM , In fo S e c , Fa c i lit ie s ) 1 0 7 . 2 1 4 4 . 1 3 8 3 . 3 3 6 9 . 3 3 8 0 . 0 5 4 0 . 1 5 4 6 . 7 5 9 5 .8 6 3 8 . 1

E n R o u t e w / C o n v e rg e n c e 4 9 0 . 5 5 1 6 . 4 2 8 4 . 0 2 3 3 . 3 2 1 6 . 1 4 4 . 6 2 1 . 1 2 . 4 2 . 4S y s O p s w / C o n v e rg e n c e 4 5 . 4 2 7 . 5 1 5 . 3 2 0 . 0 1 5 .8 1 0 . 0 1 0 . 0 1 0 . 0 1 0 . 0Te r m in a l w / C o n v e rg e n c e 7 0 . 8 3 9 . 0 4 2 . 0 1 2 . 4 2 . 4 2 . 5 2 . 5 2 . 6 2 . 6

0. 0

10 0 . 0

20 0 . 0

30 0 . 0

40 0 . 0

50 0 . 0

60 0 . 0

70 0 . 0

80 0 . 0

F Y 0 7 F Y 0 8 F Y 0 9 F Y 1 0 F Y 11 F Y 1 2 F Y 1 3 F Y 1 4 F Y 1 5

S y s O p s w /C o n ver g e nc e

Te rm i n al w /C o n ve rg e nc e

E n R o u t e w /C o n ve r g en c e

C o n ve rge n c e (C A P , C D S S , S W IM ,In fo S e c , F a c i li t ie s )

Assumptions, Drivers

System Evolution, Decision Milestones

Cost Forecast, Cost Profile

Iterate to meet Target Cost Profile