Upload
others
View
4
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Final version
Indicative Business Case
20 February 2019
FEASIBILITY OF ESTABLISHING A NATIONAL NEW-ENERGY DEVELOPMENT CENTRE IN TARANAKI
Commercial In Confidence
CONTENTS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1
Introduction 9
STRATEGIC CASE 12
The current situation 13
The challenges the NNEDC will help overcome 20
Why we need the NNEDC 27
Why Taranaki? 36
What needs to happen to achieve a successful and enduring NNEDC? 41
Strategic alignment 51
Risks, constraints and dependencies 57
ECONOMIC CASE 59
Introduction 60
The long-list of options 62
The investment option 67
Assessment of the investment option 74
FINANCIAL CASE 78
Cost of running the NNEDC 79
Benchmarking 83
Possible funding arrangements for the NNEDC and
energy projects 86
MANAGEMENT CASE 87
Arrangements to establish the NNEDC 88
Establishment “next steps” 89
People and Governance 91
Appendix 1 : Comparison of energy centres from around the world 93
Appendix 2 : A history of energy centres in New Zealand 98
Appendix 3 : What do customers value? 100
Appendix 4 : What the NNEDC could focus on 101
Appendix 5 : Letters of support 104
Appendix 6 : List of tables and figures 117
Commercial In Confidence
PREFACE This report has been prepared for Venture Taranaki by Nick Carlaw and
Jason Leung-Wai from MartinJenkins (Martin, Jenkins & Associates
Limited).
MartinJenkins advises clients in the public, private and not-for-profit sectors.
Our work in the public sector spans a wide range of central and local
government agencies. We provide advice and support to clients in the
following areas:
• public policy
• evaluation and research
• strategy and investment
• performance improvement and monitoring
• business improvement
• organisational improvement
• employment relations
• economic development
• financial and economic analysis.
Our aim is to provide an integrated and comprehensive response to client
needs – connecting our skill sets and applying fresh thinking to lift
performance.
MartinJenkins is a privately owned New Zealand limited liability company.
We have offices in Wellington and Auckland. The company was established
in 1993 and is governed by a Board made up of executive directors Kevin
Jenkins, Michael Mills, Nick Davis, Allana Coulon and Richard Tait, plus
independent director Hilary Poole.
Disclaimer
This Report has been prepared solely for the purposes stated herein and
should not be relied upon for any other purpose. To the fullest extent
permitted by law, we accept no duty of care to any third party in connection
with the provision of this Report. We accept no liability of any kind to any
third party and disclaim all responsibility for the consequences of any third
party acting or refraining to act in reliance on the Report.
We have not been required, or sought, to independently verify the accuracy
of information provided to us. Accordingly, we express no opinion on the
reliability, accuracy, or completeness of the information provided to us and
upon which we have relied.
The statements and opinions expressed herein have been made in good
faith, and on the basis that all information relied upon is true and accurate in
all material respects, and not misleading by reason of omission or otherwise.
We reserve the right, but will be under no obligation, to review or amend this
Report if any additional information, which was in existence on the date of
this Report, was not brought to our attention, or subsequently comes to light.
Commercial In Confidence
Document history
• Draft Business Case version 1, 12 November 2018: Reviewed by
project advisory group.
• Draft Business Case version 2, 16 November 2018: Submitted to
Ministry of Business, Innovation & Employment.
• Draft Business Case version 3, 21 December 2018: Submitted to
Venture Taranaki
1 Commercial In Confidence
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Governments, businesses and communities around the world are taking
action to address one of the major challenges of our time, climate change.
The global energy system must make a fundamental change. New
Zealand has set ambitious targets as part of its contribution to reducing
global emissions and to achieve a more sustainable and low emissions
economy.
New ways of creating and using energy must be developed. As a country,
we must increase the pace of innovation and leverage international
developments in technology to achieve these goals.
Incremental change alone will not get us there fast enough.
This Indicative Business Case examines the challenges that New Zealand
faces in achieving its energy future and the critical role innovation must
play in meeting those challenges and recommends establishing a national
new-energy development centre (NNEDC) in Taranaki.
The energy centre will be an institution of national
importance, playing an integral role in New Zealand’s
science and innovation system by lifting innovation in
new-energy and supporting New Zealand to
transition to a low-emissions economy
Why a National New-Energy
Development Centre is needed, now
The NNEDC will be a hub that contributes to
achieving national and global emissions targets
• A nationally significant institution that is focused on growing new-
energy innovation in New Zealand.
• A leader in helping New Zealand develop an overarching new-energy
strategy, necessary to transition to a low emissions future.
• An energy system integrator that brings new-energy innovation
together across multiple organisations, agencies and locations.
• A focal point for government, the research sector and the private
sector, drawing in the best ideas and technology from overseas.
• A partnership-based hub that provides an engine for growth and
catalyst for change through innovation at scale.
• A lead voice for new-energy solutions within the science and
innovation system.
• A credible and trusted source of evidenced-based, commercially impartial
advice and information to government and industry.
2 Commercial In Confidence
The NNEDC will enable more new-energy innovation
– at faster rates and lower cost and risk
• Better access to infrastructure to develop and test new-energy
technologies.
• A place to pilot new-energy solutions in real world test environments.
• Greater access to public and private funding from within New Zealand
and overseas.
The NNEDC will support a just transition for Taranaki
and grow a more resilient region and economy
• Help to strengthen the resilience of the energy industry by diversifying
energy activity.
• Support economic adjustment in the Taranaki region, which is
significantly exposed in New Zealand’s shift toward a low-emissions
economy.
• Showcase Taranaki and New Zealand as a leader in the development of
new-energy.
What is the NNEDC?
The NNEDC’s vision is:
A globally successful new-energy industry that leads New Zealand
into a low-emissions future
The NNEDC’s mission is:
An organisation of national significance that fosters a new-energy
eco-system to leverage national and global industry knowledge and
specialist expertise to reduce the time, cost, and risk associated with
developing new-energy technologies
The NNEDC’s unique selling point is:
A collaborative and partnership-based approach that leverages a
powerful ecosystem of new-energy leaders, mature companies,
research expertise and government to build, test and deploy new-
energy solutions
The NNEDC will be a nationwide hub that services its customer ecosystem
– made up of industry, government, research expertise and leaders.
Major companies and small and medium-sized enterprises from across
industry and New Zealand will be able to work together in diverse, multi-
functional teams to solve energy challenges by unlocking innovation at
scale.
3 Commercial In Confidence
A hub and spoke model will connect the NNEDC with institutions across
New Zealand and internationally, while also championing new-energy
innovation in Taranaki and harnessing the region’s capability, knowledge
and expertise to build, test and deploy new-energy solutions.
What will the NNEDC do?
The NNEDC will answer the call for more new-energy innovation –
providing a platform for it to occur at a faster pace and with less cost and
risk. At its core, the NNEDC will focus on enablement of product
development, demonstration and deployment of new-energy solutions.
The NNEDC will focus on innovation that contributes
to efforts in New Zealand and globally to transition to
a low-emissions future
The NNEDC’s customer ecosystem in action
4 Commercial In Confidence
The NNEDC will have 6 main functions
• Scanning new-energy research and emerging technologies, and
disseminating information with stakeholders.
• Identifying new-energy opportunities that will deliver regional, national
and global benefits.
• Physical and virtual co-location of industry stakeholders, providing a
shared space and forum for working, meeting and holding events.
• Acting as a hub to exchange knowledge, expertise and capability with
other institutions in New Zealand and internationally.
• Enabling easy access to specialist expertise across government,
industry and the research sectors.
• Facilitating the development, testing and piloting of new-energy
solutions, and connecting these to the market.
• Ensuring the highest safety standards are applied to development and
testing.
• Systematising elements of the commercialisation process, funding
and investment streams and project management.
• Supporting apprenticeships, mentoring programmes, and training
organisations to identify the future capability requirements of the
sector.
• Providing independent and impartial advice to government and
industry to inform thinking around new-energy strategy and policy.
• Working with regulators and industry to reduce potential barriers to
innovation and ensure the application of best practice health and
safety.
• Facilitating tailored access to specialist services to support
commercialisation and funding and to help projects get investment-
ready.
• Providing robust governance to achieve the NNEDC’s purpose and
report on its performance to government and stakeholders.
• Showcasing and promoting new-energy solutions to investors and
other stakeholders, and demonstrating progress towards a low
emissions future.
5 Commercial In Confidence
What will the NNEDC focus on?
The NNEDC will utilise a portfolio
approach to investing in projects to
optimise where it focuses its efforts
(see figure on the right).
The NNEDC is likely to gravitate
towards those projects that it excels
at, building on successful results and
forming deep pockets of expertise.
It is anticipated that the majority of the
NNEDC’s focus will be on energy
projects that involve collaboration and
partnerships with mature companies
and their supply chain network,
although the portfolio approach will
ensure there is space for start-up
ideas that need a strong incubator
focus.
Over time, it is expected that the
NNEDC’s focus will change and
evolve to investigate emerging new-
energy opportunities.
The inherent uncertainty involved with
innovation and the rapidly evolving
global energy solution landscape
means it is impossible to predict
exactly what type of projects the
NNEDC would be involved with in the
future.
The NNEDC’s portfolio approach to energy projects
6 Commercial In Confidence
Why the NNEDC has to be in Taranaki
Taranaki has a strong competitive advantage that makes it the location of choice for new-energy innovation. While other regions have
some of these advantages, only Taranaki can claim them all. The diagram below summarises the rationale for the centre being located
in the Taranaki region.
7 Commercial In Confidence
Governance and people
Governance
Once the NNEDC is operational, a governance board would set the
strategy and oversee the performance of the organisation, supported by a
number of board committees (shown in the figure below).
NNEDC personnel
The success of the NNEDC will depend on the capability and capacity of
its personnel being able to demonstrate the value of the NNEDC within a
short period of time and establish a track record of success, while working
“hand in glove” with a wide range of stakeholders.
Based on initial thinking about how the NNEDC might be organised to
deliver its functions, the energy centre would require approximately 35
delivery staff and 9 management and administrative staff once it is fully
operational.
These personnel levels have been benchmarked against other public
sector agencies and overseas energy centres to check for
reasonableness. A process of detailed organisational design would be
undertaken as part of the transition phase for establishing the NNEDC.
Cost of the NNEDC
The total five-year cost of the NNEDC is estimated to be between $35.2
and $43.6 million. The majority of expenditure is expected to be operating
cost to establish and run the NNEDC, with some capital costs incurred to
setup the NNEDC’s office space. The Business Case presents an option to
provide a co-working environment for stakeholders and laboratory space,
which would result in the cost of the NNEDC being in the upper range of
the cost estimate.
Total cost estimate 2019/20–2023/24
8 Commercial In Confidence
Funding arrangements
Funding NNEDC operations
In the NNEDC’s initial period of operations (Years 1–5), the central
government is likely to be the majority funder of the energy centre’s
establishment and running costs, via grant funding (for example, the
Provincial Growth Fund) or a new parliamentary appropriation.
Local government could contribute significant assets to help establish the
NNEDC, for example providing land to a third-party developer in order to
create a long-term accommodation solution for the NNEDC.
Industry is also expected to provide a level of funding for the NNEDC,
which could include in-kind funding of personnel, use of facilities or other
assets, and delivery of services or specific tasks.
Funding energy projects
At this stage, the NNEDC is not expected to have a role to directly allocate
funding to energy projects – although this could become an objective for
the centre in the longer term.
Rather, energy projects will be funded from project sponsors and
participants who would provide cash contributions and in-kind support. The
NNEDC would contribute by connecting energy projects with government,
industry and international funding and investment opportunities.
Establishing the NNEDC
Key “next steps” to establish the NNEDC
Step 1 would commence once there is sufficient certainty about future
funding arrangements.
9 Commercial In Confidence
INTRODUCTION
A unique opportunity for Taranaki and
New Zealand
Taranaki is an energy-producing region in transition, and has a unique
opportunity to lead New Zealand into a new energy future.
A pivotal role in New Zealand’s low-emissions future
Governments, businesses and communities around the world are taking
action to address one of the major challenges of our time, climate change.
The global energy system must make a fundamental shift away from carbon-
intensive energy sources. New ways of creating and using energy must be
developed. Already, technological advancements are emerging much faster
than expected.
New Zealand has set ambitious targets as part of its contribution to reducing
global emissions. The energy sector has a significant contribution to make to
a more sustainable and low emissions economy.
As a country, we must increase the pace of innovation and leverage
international developments in technology to achieve these goals.
Incremental change alone will not get us there fast enough.
Taranaki has the opportunity to be at the forefront of this transition, driving
change though business innovation and industry collaboration.
The purpose and scope of this Business
Case
This Business Case examines the feasibility of establishing a National New-
Energy Development Centre in Taranaki.
This proposal stemmed from Taranaki’s economic development strategy,
Tapuae Roa: Make Way for Taranaki. The proposed energy centre is part
of a vision for the region to have strong, secure and sustainable energy
industries, and to be an exporter of renewable energy and new-energy ideas
and technologies for the benefit of New Zealand.
The Business Case sets out the strategic, economic, financial and
management cases for establishing an energy centre. It:
• describes the challenges New Zealand faces in achieving its energy
future and the critical role innovation must play in meeting those
challenges
• shows how the energy centre will be an institution of national
importance, playing an integral role in New Zealand’s science and
innovation system by lifting innovation in new-energy and supporting
Taranaki and New Zealand to transition to a low-emissions economy
• describes the focus of the energy centre, including the types of new-
energy projects it would support
• identifies the energy centre’s mission and purpose, the functions it
would deliver, and the governance, funding arrangements and
structures needed to give effect to this.
10 Commercial In Confidence
Key terminology and key players
The terminology we have used
The Business Case uses these key terms in the following way:
• Innovation: The OECD defines innovation as the implementation of a
new or significantly improved product (good or service), or process, a
new marketing method, or a new organisational method in business
practices, workplace organisation or external relations.
We use the concept of the innovation chain, shown below, to describe
the specific activities that make up innovation.
• New-energy refers to sources of energy that are more renewable and
sustainable and/ or have lower emissions than current energy options.
• Renewable energy refers to energy that is collected from renewable
resources and is naturally replenished on a human timescale. The term
is sometimes used interchangeably with clean energy.
BRIEF BACKGROUND: Energy centres around the world
Energy centres exist in a number of countries throughout the world.
This Business Case has examined a number of these energy centres to inform the proposal for the NNEDC in Taranaki, and to think about how the NNEDC could be positioned as part of a global network of energy centres.
The unique selling proposition of energy centres is to enable and de-risk energy innovation, sometimes with a particular focus on a technology (such as marine, wind, solar or electricity energy). A number of energy centres also offer additional services such as laboratory facilities.
All successful energy centres have active government, research and industry participation. In some cases, they are established in legislation (eg the Australian Centre for Renewable Energy).
Funding arrangements involve a mix of central and local government and private sector, with the majority contribution provided by government. Private industry contributes in the form of cash and/or in-kind funding.
Appendix 1 provides a summary of some of the successful energy centres in other countries that we have researched as part of this Business Case.
In New Zealand, two previous attempts have been made to establish an energy centre – one in Ōtaki and one in Taupō. Appendix 2 provides short case studies detailing the history of these energy centres and key lessons that can be applied to the NNEDC.
11 Commercial In Confidence
Key Taranaki and New Zealand players we refer to
Throughout the Business Case we refer to various companies, facilities and
other entities that use, produce, store and distribute energy.
• Energy producers: These are companies that explore in and operate oil
and gas fields, extracting energy for export or for input into other areas such
as electricity generation, direct use, and feedstock into other processes.
• Electricity generators and energy providers: Several significant gas-
based electricity generation facilities are based in Taranaki.1 There is
also a hydro-electric facility on the Patea River and several small hydro
sites in the region.
• Industrial production: Taranaki has significant petrochemical,
engineering and manufacturing capability. Current companies
developing industrial chemicals from gas include Ballance Agri-
Nutrients, Methanex, and AICA (NZ).
• High energy users: Taranaki has several high energy users,
particularly of process heat. These are largely in the food manufacturing
sector and include companies such as Fonterra, ANZCO, Silver Fern
Farms, and Tegel.
• Service and supply chain: Companies with specialist expertise
including in the areas of engineering, health and safety, science and
project management.
• Logistics and transport companies: The region also has large
manufacturing, logistics and transport companies that use significant
amounts of energy to transport goods around the region and country –
for example, Fonterra, TIL, and Symonds Transport.
1 Stratford (Contact Energy), Kapuni (Vector/BOP Energy), Whareroa (Fonterra/Nova Energy, and
McKee (Nova Energy).
12 Commercial In Confidence 31 May 2019 8.51 AM
STRATEGIC CASE
13 Commercial In Confidence
THE CURRENT SITUATION
This section sets the scene for explaining why New Zealand needs
an NNEDC and why Taranaki is best placed to be the national home
of new-energy development. It describes how the global response to
climate change is affecting energy demand and supply, and the
unique role Taranaki plays in New Zealand’s energy system.
The need for change
Climate change is one of the major challenges of our time.
From shifting weather patterns that threaten food production, to rising sea
levels that increase the likelihood of catastrophic flooding and put property at
risk, the impacts of climate change are a major threat to global wellbeing.
While greenhouse gases are naturally occurring and essential to making the
Earth liveable, there are well-established links between humanity’s actions
and the cumulative level of greenhouse gas emissions. The concentration of
greenhouse gases has been rising steadily, along with mean global
temperatures, since the time of the Industrial Revolution. The most abundant
greenhouse gas, carbon dioxide (CO2), is the product of burning fossil
fuels.2
2 http://www.un.org/en/sections/issues-depth/climate-change/ Accessed September 2018.
3 The Paris agreement is the global agreement on climate change, where all countries signed up commit
to take action on climate change. The purpose of the Paris Agreement is to: keep the global average
temperature well below 2 degrees centigrade above pre-industrial levels, while pursuing efforts to limit
“A changing climate will affect our economy, environment and
way of life. While we are uncertain about the pace and scale of
future change we do know that planning for the future means
planning for a different climate.” – Ministry for the Environment
The international response
Governments around the world are taking action to address the effects of
climate change, as well as the new opportunities this affords.
The Paris Agreement
On Earth Day, 22 April 2016, 175 world leaders signed the Paris Agreement
at United Nations Headquarters in New York.3 This was the largest number
of countries ever to sign an international agreement on a single day.
The Paris Agreement built on the Kyoto Protocol, bringing countries together
to combat climate change and adapt to its effects, with greater support to
assist developing countries to do this.
Significant change is underway
It is now widely recognised that, to meet the intensifying climate challenge,
the global energy system must undergo a fundamental transformation –
away from carbon-intensive energy sources to other energy sources.
the temperature increase to 1.5 degrees centigrade; strengthen the ability of countries to deal with the
impacts of climate change; make sure that financial flows support the development of low-carbon and
climate resilient economies.
14 Commercial In Confidence
Many developed and fast-developing countries have begun to take steps to
transition to a low-carbon economy as a competitive and development
priority. They understand that the transition requires far-reaching changes in
technology, finance, policy and societal behaviour.
Governments are developing and implementing policies to meet their
targets. Since 2015, 194 countries have agreed to reduce their greenhouse
gas emissions through policies that address all aspects of energy
transmission, storage and use, not just emissions from electricity
generation.4
Many of the largest economies in the world are among those leading the
transition to renewable energy and low-emission fuel and process
technologies.
For example, China has announced that it will invest $360 billion in
renewable energy by 2020 and has scrapped plans to build 85 coal-fired
power plants.5 European countries are banning new diesel and petrol
vehicles, starting with the Netherlands and Norway from 2025, Germany
from 2030, and France and the UK from 2040.
Manufacturers, suppliers, and customers are looking for low-emission
energy solutions, and this in turn creates opportunities for progressive
countries and regions to develop and test new-energy technologies that
meet those needs.
4 https://www.chiefscientist.gov.au/wp-content/uploads/HydrogenCOAGWhitePaper_WEB.pdf.
Accessed October 2018.
5 https://www.nytimes.com/2017/01/05/world/asia/china-renewable-energy-investment.html. Accessed
September 2018.
CASE STUDY: Japan’s energy strategy
Japan has set itself the goal of cutting emissions (from a 2013 baseline) by
26% in 2030 and 80% in 2050. However, the country imports fossil fuels for
about 94% of its primary energy supply, which makes meeting that goal
extremely challenging.
Japan’s energy strategy identifies hydrogen as a zero-emission fuel that can
be used in power generation, mobility, heating and industrial processes.
Japan will seek to import hydrogen from low-emission sources, demonstrate
supply chains for hydrogen, and use hydrogen for large-scale dispatchable6
electricity generation. It has numerous targets for mobility, such as 200,000
fuel cell vehicles and 320 hydrogen-refuelling stations by 2025.
For its existing industries, Japan will use hydrogen for energy where
electrification is difficult and invest in developing innovative technologies for
high-efficiency electrolysis, highly efficient energy carriers and low-cost fuel
cells.
Japan’s energy strategy includes building community awareness about the
safety and the significance of hydrogen, in co-operation with local
governments and businesses.
6 Dispatchable generation refers to sources of electricity that can be used on demand at the request
of power grid operators, according to market needs.
15 Commercial In Confidence
The global energy picture
Growing demand
Global demand for energy is growing considerably, and is forecast to climb
by 25% by 2040.7 Emerging economies such as India are a big driver of this
growth. Within the context of climate change there is also an increasing
demand, driven both by customers and regulation, for renewable energy and
low-emission fuels.
Figure 1: Global energy consumption
Source:
https://www.eia.gov/pressroom/presentations/capuano_07242018.pdf Accessed October 2018.
7 2017 Outlook for Energy ExxonMobil.
Supply: The dominance of fossil fuels
Despite the need to move the global energy system away from high-
emission energy sources, the energy supply continues to be dominated by
carbon-based energy sources – coal, oil and natural gas.
Figure 2: Global primary energy supply
Source: https://www.iea.org/statistics/ Accessed October 2018.
16 Commercial In Confidence
The global energy future
Fossil fuels, in particular natural gas and oil, are expected to continue as the
bedrock of the global energy system for some time to come. The current
ratio of global reserves to annual production (a ratio expressed in time) is
more than 50 years for both oil and gas.8
Despite this, investment in new-energy technologies is expected to be
significant. The New Energy Outlook 2018 base scenario forecasts that
US$11.5 trillion will be invested in new power generation capacity globally
between 2018 and 2050. It forecasts that 75% of that investment will go to
wind and solar, and about 15% to other low-emissions technologies such as
hydro and nuclear.9
Demand for electricity is expected to increase significantly,10 driven by
strong growth in electric vehicles and increasing use and application of
digital activity. 11
Cheap renewable energy and improved energy storage (including batteries,
pumped hydro-electric energy storage, and hydrogen) are expected to
fundamentally reshape the electricity system, as the majority of the world
energy supply shifts from fossil fuels in 2017, to renewable energy in 2050.
Figure 3 shows the expected change in global energy supply to 2040.12
Wind and solar technology are expected to provide almost 50% of total
electricity, with hydro, nuclear and other renewables taking total zero-carbon
electricity up to 71%.
8 World Energy Outlook 2017.
9 New Energy Outlook 2018.
10 ExxonMobil estimate that about 55 percent of the world’s energy demand growth over the next quarter
century will be tied to power generation. A consequence of this trend will be a large uptick in demand
for many types of energy used to generate electricity, notably less carbon-intensive sources such as
natural gas, nuclear, solar and wind.
Figure 3: Change in global energy supply
Source: https://www.iea.org/weo2017/ Accessed October 2018.
Predictions for the future make-up of fossil vs renewable/new
fuels vary. However, it’s clear that the fossil fuel share of
energy supply will fall (especially coal), and that there will be
significant investment both in renewable/new-energy
technologies and in innovation to improve energy efficiency
and manage demand.
11 The largest economies in the world (Europe, North America, and China) represent over 70% of new
vehicle sales globally. Some countries have announced an intention to ban cars solely powered by
petrol or diesel (https://qz.com/1341155/nine-countries-say-they-will-ban-internal-combustion-engines-
none-have-a-law-to-do-so/ .Accessed November 2018).
12 New Zealand has a significantly higher proportion of hydro and geothermal energy supply compared to
the global supply profile.
17 Commercial In Confidence
New Zealand: Current situation and
future pathways
New Zealand has the fourth highest renewable share of energy supply in the
OECD. Renewable resources generate about 40% of the energy we use,
and about 80% of our electricity.
In emission levels, New Zealand ranks relatively low internationally, but quite
high when this is measured per capita.
Most of our emissions occur in the agriculture (methane and nitrous oxide)
and energy (carbon dioxide) sectors. Industrial processes, product use, and
waste account for the remainder of emissions, as shown in Figure 4.13
Figure 4: New Zealand’s carbon profile
13 LULUCG is the removal of greenhouse gases resulting from direct human-induced land use, land-use
change, and forestry activities. Graph source:
http://archive.stats.govt.nz/browse_for_stats/environment/environmental-reporting-
The Government is responding boldly to the climate
change challenge
The Government has stated its commitment to 100% renewable electricity
generation in a normal hydrological year by 2035, and a carbon-neutral
economy by 2050.
The Government’s proposed Zero Carbon Bill is expected to set a carbon
target in primary legislation, establish a Climate Change Commission, and
allow the Government to set carbon budgets to help New Zealand reach its
emissions reduction targets.
An amendment to the Crown Minerals Act has stopped any further permits
for new offshore petroleum exploration being granted, and has limited
onshore exploration to Taranaki.
“The coalition Government is taking an important step to
address climate change and create a clean, green and
sustainable future for New Zealand” – Prime Minister Jacinda
Ardern, 12 April 2018
The future energy pathway is uncertain
While New Zealand has clear aspirations for its energy future, the pathway
to achieving this vision is not clear. The technologies that the world – and
New Zealand – needs in order to achieve a low-emissions future may not
series/environmental-indicators/Home/Atmosphere-and-climate/nz-greenhouse-gas-emissions.aspx.
Accessed October 2018.
18 Commercial In Confidence
have been invented yet, or be at an early and unproven stage of
development.
New Zealand also faces unique challenges that are likely to need bespoke
solutions. For example, we have weather patterns that make it challenging
to shift to higher levels of renewable energy while also maintaining security
and supply.
The pace of change is quick
Globally, the pace of technological change in energy is rapid.
Closer to home, the Government has signalled a clear intent to move New
Zealand more quickly to a low-emissions economy.
Earlier strategies included a relatively measured set of activities to reduce
greenhouse gas emissions.14 These have now been superseded by new
policies focused on moving New Zealand to a zero carbon economy more
quickly. The Government is investing heavily in supporting new-energy
projects through the Provincial Growth Fund and the Green Investment
Fund.15
New Zealand can’t do it alone
It is not possible for New Zealand to invent all the technology we need to
achieve our emissions targets. New Zealand will need to introduce
technology developed overseas and adapt it for our unique environmental,
regulatory and commercial contexts.16
14 Such as the New Zealand energy strategy 2011 – 2021 and the New Zealand Energy Efficiency and
Conservation Strategy 2017 – 2022.
15 https://www.energynews.co.nz/news-story/hydrogen/39819/govt-eyes-green-hydrogen-dry-year-cover-
alternative Accessed November 2018.
16 New Zealand Productivity Commission: Low-emissions economy: Final report, 2018.
Already New Zealand is looking to leverage its strengths with the help of
international partners. The New Zealand and Japanese governments have
signed a memorandum to work in partnership to develop hydrogen
technology, the first memorandum of its kind with Japan in the world.
In the commercial sector, one example is a trial by energy generator and
retailer Mercury of a grid-scale battery energy storage system using the
Tesla Powerpack 2 battery. Another example is a pilot hydrogen production
plant being built in Taupō, with technology supplied by Japan's Obayashi
Corp and investment from Tuaropaki Trust.17
Taranaki is the heart of New Zealand’s energy sector
Taranaki plays a significant role in the supply of energy in New Zealand and
has high energy production and industrial use per capita.
All of New Zealand’s oil and gas production occurs in Taranaki. The region
is New Zealand’s largest exporter of energy, which includes all the oil
produced in the region.
All gas is used domestically for either industrial feedstock (though the major
product, methanol, is largely exported), electricity generation, cogeneration,
retail or commercial use.
Oil and gas is a significant contributor to Taranaki’s
economic and social wellbeing
In 2016/17, the region had the highest GDP per capita in New Zealand
($70,863), largely because of the capital-intensive energy sector.18 The oil
17 https://www.stuff.co.nz/business/108075481/giving-oxygen-to-hydrogen. Accessed November 2018.
18 https://www.stats.govt.nz/infographics/new-zealands-regional-economies-2017. Accessed September
2018.
19 Commercial In Confidence
and gas sector represents almost 30% of Taranaki’s economy, accounting
for $2.1 billion of GDP in 2016 and employment of more than 7,000 FTE
jobs.19
The energy sector provides high-income jobs, and supports a significant
portion of the engineering and construction activity based in the region.
The energy sector creates demand for businesses in the supply chain that
are strong in Taranaki, including freight and logistics, fabrication, and
professional services. This has spill-over benefits for other businesses in
Taranaki like accommodation providers, restaurants and retail businesses.
The 2015 study, The Wealth Beneath our Feet: Next Steps, suggests that
for every two people directly employed in the oil and gas sector, one further
job is added by the sector’s indirect and induced impacts.20
Oil and gas activity in Taranaki will continue for some
time – but the long-term outlook is uncertain
The Government’s decision to end offshore oil and gas exploration has
created uncertainty about the scale and longevity of economic activity
generated by the sector. However, there are a number of opportunities
based on existing wells and permits.21 Estimates suggest there are reserves
of about 5–6 years’ annual production for oil and 10–15 years for gas.
The international company Methanex is one of the major users of New
Zealand’s gas as a feedstock in its methanol production process. Earlier this
year, the company signed agreements to receive gas to underpin more than
half of its annual production through to 2029. However, there are limited
opportunities for Methanex beyond 2029 given the available reserves. There
19 https://www.martinjenkins.co.nz/assets/Home/The-wealth-beneath-our-feet-next-steps.pdf Accessed
November 2018.
20 ibid.
will also be limited potential to identify other sources of gas feedstock at a
competitive price.
The significant uncertainty about the level of future activity in the sector is
affecting Taranaki’s service and supply chain sectors. They are acutely
aware that their livelihoods have historically relied on oil and gas exploration
and production, on the distribution of gas, and on the conversion of gas to
electricity and to chemicals. There are risks of labour and capital flight and
risks to business and household confidence in the region.
Looking ahead
Taranaki has long understood the imperative for a global and national
transition to an emissions economy.
While the region has been gearing up to look at new-energy opportunities
through its Tapuae Roa strategy, recent developments have significantly
increased both the urgency of this and the magnitude of the change
required.
Taranaki has a unique opportunity to be at the forefront of this change, by
delivering the thought leadership and the technological development that will
enable New Zealand to transition to a new energy future.
21 Energy companies have exploration activity planned over the next few years. Tamarind Taranaki is
seeking to drill five side-track offshore wells in the Tui Field from 2019. Todd Energy is undertaking
further drilling and hydraulic fracturing of six new wells at the Mangahewa G site. OMV is planning to
drill nine offshore exploration wells during the 2019/20 summer across six permits in the Taranaki
basin. Tag Oil has recently finished drilling at Puketea-1 well in the Puka permit.
20 Commercial In Confidence
THE CHALLENGES THE NNEDC WILL HELP OVERCOME
This section describes how the NNEDC would help to overcome key
challenges New Zealand faces in seeking to achieve its emissions
targets. It explains how the new-energy centre would position
Taranaki at the forefront of energy innovation in New Zealand.
An opportunity to lead the way
The move to a low-emissions economy presents New Zealand with a unique
opportunity to be an international leader in transitional strategies. The
NNEDC gives concrete shape and substance to efforts by Taranaki and
New Zealand to seize this opportunity.
The new-energy centre would play a key role in addressing and overcoming
some central challenges faced by New Zealand in progressing to a new
energy future.
Three key challenges
There are three central challenges that Taranaki’s new-energy centre would
address:
The Government’s expected net zero emissions goal is an
ambitious target
An acceleration of new-energy innovation is needed to
achieve national and global emission targets
New Zealand needs Taranaki to seize the opportunity to be at
the forefront of the transition to a low-emissions future
21 Commercial In Confidence
The Government’s net zero
emissions goal is an ambitious target
Delivering on New Zealand’s energy targets will be challenging. Figure 5
shows the gap between what our net emissions need to be and what our
carbon budget22 needs to be in order to meet the target.
Figure 5: New Zealand’s emissions and targets
http://www.mfe.govt.nz/climate-change/what-government-doing/emissions-reduction-targets/understanding-our-targets.
Accessed November 2018.
22 A carbon budget is a tolerable quantity of greenhouse gas emissions that can be emitted in total over a
specified time to be in line with what is scientifically required to keep global warming and climate
change ‘tolerable’.
The energy sector will play a big role in how we will solve this challenge.
Although New Zealand has high levels of renewable energy by OECD
standards, energy and industrial processes are significant contributors to our
carbon emissions (45% of New Zealand’s 2016 gross emissions profile).23
“It won’t be easy to meet our 2030 target. There will be a cost
to the economy and we’ll need to make changes, that’s why we
say our target is ambitious.” – Ministry for the Environment
The pathway to achieving our energy future is
uncertain
As discussed in the previous section that outlined the current situation, New
Zealand has aspirations for its energy future, but the pathway to achieve this
vision is yet to be developed.
23
www.mfe.govt.nz/sites/default/files/media/Climate%20Change/final_greenhouse_gas_inventory_snaps
hot.pdf. Accessed October 2018.
22 Commercial In Confidence
“Some parts of government … have appreciated the need to
help fund investments in complementary infrastructure and to
support reforms of regulations to encourage low-emissions
innovation and new technologies. Yet the thinking and efforts
have been sporadic and not part of an overarching theme or
strategy for a transition to a low-emissions economy.” –
Productivity Commission
New Zealand’s approach to energy transition is
fragmented
Throughout New Zealand’s science and innovation system, and across the
private sector, a number of organisations are advancing initiatives and
projects with the objective of moving to a low-emissions future.
Much of this progress, however, is happening in a fragmented way, in
different organisations and different regions and places.
The Productivity Commission found that, across government, there is limited
strategic focus and that the low-emissions innovation happening in several
large science and innovation programmes is not well-aligned.24 The
Commission found that New Zealand’s strength in areas of energy research
is not strongly or systematically supported.25
Within New Zealand, there is no central hub responsible for looking across
the production, transmission, storage, distribution and use of all energy
24 Submissions to the Productivity Commission argued there should be much stronger strategic
alignment between Callaghan Innovation and the National Science Challenge in the investments they
are making in the deployment of low-emissions technologies and the transition to a low-emissions
forms, nor for identifying practical opportunities to integrate and use different
energy forms (for example blending other energy sources with natural gas).
No one central organisation is responsible for looking at the ‘big picture’ and
thinking about how to integrate disparate projects for even greater benefit, or
how to spot practical opportunities for new-energy development, or how to
use existing infrastructure and expertise differently.
The future regulatory environment will affect whether
new-energy solutions are feasible
The future regulatory environment for new-energy is uncertain – new
technologies are emerging quickly and, in a number of cases, the application
of those technologies in New Zealand may not have been contemplated yet.
This uncertainty could affect the commercialisation and potential viability of
new-energy technologies.
Future increases to the price of a New Zealand carbon unit would have an
impact on the economics of the energy sector, creating greater incentives to
invest in cleaner technology, and increasing the attractiveness of new-energy
investment that is currently marginal from a financial and economic point of
view.
economy. The New Zealand Venture Investment Fund, the government institution for improving flows
of risk capital to innovative start-ups, has no special focus on low-emissions technologies.
25 New Zealand Productivity Commission: Low-emissions economy: Final report, 2018.
23 Commercial In Confidence
An acceleration of new-energy innovation is needed to achieve national and global emission
targets
In May 2017 the Government asked the Productivity Commission to
investigate how New Zealand could transition to a low-emissions economy.
The final report was released in August last year.26
The report found that innovation will be a key part of how we will meet our
emissions targets, and that there is not enough low-emission innovation
happening at the moment.
“Given the imperative to reduce emissions, the Government
should devote significantly more resources to low-emissions
innovation than the modest current allocation” – New Zealand
Productivity Commission
26 New Zealand Productivity Commission: Low-emissions economy: Final report, 2018.
The report identified three shifts needed to achieve a low-emissions
economy, including the need to transition from fossil fuels, and six
immediate priorities for government. One of these priorities requires
significantly more resources to be devoted to low-emissions innovation, as
shown in the figure below.
Source: New Zealand Productivity Commission: Low-emissions economy: Final report, 2018.
The remainder of this section explores the obstacles to increasing new-energy
innovation in New Zealand. Where we use the term ‘innovation’ in the rest of
this section, we refer to it in a new-energy context, and apply its meaning in a
broad sense, encompassing research, commercialisation and market uptake
activities.
24 Commercial In Confidence
The level of investment in new-energy innovation is low
By OECD standards, the public and private resources devoted to research,
science and innovation in New Zealand are modest. Both New Zealand’s
public- and private-sector investment in research and development as a
share of GDP is well below the OECD average.
The proportion of research and development spending that is aimed at
climate change is low (less than 10% of our total research and development
spend).27 Investment in research to support new-energy innovation is even
less – despite energy contributing to 40% of New Zealand’s carbon profile.
In the private sector, investment in research and development is also low by
international standards. It makes up less than 40% of the total national
investment, compared to an OECD average of 70%.
The private sector faces very real challenges in
achieving new-energy innovation success
Commercial success depends on far more than a good idea. The ability to
develop and finance a solution to a problem requires complementary
expertise such as management, financial, logistical and marketing
capabilities.
The obstacles to getting something to market are many. They include, for
example: the costs of training in new skills; adjusting to new regulatory
frameworks; developing the supporting industries and a reliable supply
chain; demonstrating and communicating the safety and effectiveness of
new technologies to the community; and educating providers of debt and
equity about the technical and commercial dimensions of a new technology.
27 According to the 2016 R&D survey the proportion of total R&D in the broad category of ‘Environment’
is 10% (Stats NZ, 2017c). This category includes many areas other than climate-change mitigation.
New-energy technologies often face additional
complexity – they require significant upfront capital,
and access to infrastructure, engineering, and
commercial capability to bring solutions to market.
For established businesses, this represents a diversion of funds and
resources away from ‘business as usual’, to activities that have much more
uncertain outcomes and a longer-term investment horizon.
A lack of co-ordination and collaboration hampers
new-energy innovation success
Stakeholders provided a number of examples where they had to build their
base of knowledge and form networks from scratch, increasing the overall
cost and time of innovating and limiting their capacity for innovation or the
success of their innovation projects.
No central organisation to identify, connect and share
opportunities and knowledge
There is no central organisation responsible for scanning international
research and technologies, looking for new-energy opportunities, and
feeding that knowledge to the private sector. Although this may happen at
the level of individual businesses, generally New Zealand firms have low
levels of research and development capacity compared to other countries.28
There are limited events and forums to attract international speakers
specialising in new-energy. There is no central organisation that brings
28 The Institution of Professional Engineers New Zealand: Catalysing Economic Growth: Boosting
Innovation Expertise in the Private Sector, 2011.
25 Commercial In Confidence
together ideas, shares approaches, and encourages the collision of new-
energy ideas.
A number of government and private-sector stakeholders commented on the
difficulty they experienced trying to find the right highly specialised research
expertise to support their innovation, both from within New Zealand and
globally.
Difficulty getting access to the capability for
developing, testing and piloting new solutions
Often firms lack access to all of the physical infrastructure and capability that
they need in order to innovate. Firms need to assemble a critical mass of
personnel and build a test environment for developing prototypes. They then
need access to a production environment where they can pilot solutions.
Finding the right partners and negotiating access to infrastructure can be
expensive in both time and money. There is no established mechanism for
stakeholders in the industry to easily connect, work together and learn from
each other.
Limited access to investors for funding innovation
Although the energy industry in Taranaki has strong international
connections, there are limited mechanisms for identifying and attracting
international investors. Firms have to put significant time and effort into
finding potential funders and negotiating funding agreements. This often
requires specialist financial and intellectual property expertise that most
firms do not have in-house.
For businesses with a ‘start-up’ initiative, attracting investment can be even
more complicated. They may have agreements with existing investors that
restrict future funding opportunities. Provisional funding agreements may be
time-limited, making it more urgent to secure additional funding.
The private sector takes considerable innovation risk
but does not capture all of the benefits
For businesses, the rewards from new-energy innovation can be significant.
They may take the form of lower operating costs or higher revenue; more
efficient production; getting new products to market successfully; and
helping to maintain a social licence among the communities the businesses
operate in.
However, while these rewards can be large, the cost of the innovation
investment can still be disproportionate to the rewards, which are risky and
uncertain.
This is because successful innovation brings about other benefits that are
captured by the energy industry and the wider economy. The development
of new-energy technologies improves the resilience of the energy industry
and the level of productivity within the economy. New-energy advancements
reduce emissions, and this delivers benefits to communities and the
environment. New Zealand’s reputation on the global stage is enhanced,
being seen as a country that can meet its emissions goals and as a leader in
technology development.
Lack of innovation could prevent us leveraging our
competitive advantages to full effect
New Zealand starts the transition to new-energy with some strong
competitive advantages over our global counterparts. In the electricity
sector, for example, we have one of the highest penetration rates for smart
meters, very high levels of renewable energy generation, and a forward-
looking regulatory regime.
However, low rates of new-energy innovation mean that we risk making
smaller advancements than our overseas competitors, potentially losing
export opportunities and domestic competitiveness.
26 Commercial In Confidence
New Zealand needs Taranaki to seize the opportunity to be at the forefront of the transition to a low
emissions future
The transition to a new low-emissions future has already begun for Taranaki
and New Zealand.
Taranaki has the opportunity to be the national face of new-energy and
champion the region as the place to develop new-energy technologies.
Time is of the essence, particularly given the relatively short length of forecast
oil and gas reserves. 10–15 years (the estimate for gas reserves) is not long
given the significance of the economic transformation required.
The region must act quickly to build a strong platform for transition, and this will
require the NNEDC to play a key role, working collaboratively with communities
and all arms of government – local, regional and central.
This platform would help to lead the re-tooling of Taranaki’s energy industry
and its network of supply chain businesses. Otherwise there is a risk that
businesses will leave the region and skills will move on. Once these skills
have left the region and New Zealand, they will be very hard to attract back.
27 Commercial In Confidence
WHY WE NEED THE NNEDC
This section sets out the rationale and the need for
the NNEDC. It describes the benefits the new-
energy centre will deliver nationally, to the Taranaki
region, and globally. A separate section on page 36
explains why the NNEDC needs to be based in
Taranaki.
A new centre of national
significance
Taranaki’s NNEDC will establish itself as an organisation
of national significance – it will drive and support the
development of new-energy solutions to reduce national
and global emissions and it will place Taranaki at the
centre of a national energy transition with direct benefits
for the local economy.
28 Commercial In Confidence
1 A nationally significant organisation that contributes to achieving national and global emissions targets
A healthier planet for future generations
New-energy solutions are fundamental to making the transformation away
from carbon-intensive energy sources. The environmental benefits of this
shift – which will come about because of innovation – are truly global in
scope, and are also key to New Zealand’s future competitiveness and global
market access.
An institution of national significance that is focused
on growing new-energy innovation in New Zealand
New Zealand has clear aspirations for its energy future and an urgent need
to build the pathway to achieve this vision. The NNEDC will play a valuable
role in helping New Zealand to develop an overarching new-energy strategy
to transition to a low-emissions future.
Once this pathway is established, the NNEDC will be the strategic glue that
brings new-energy innovation together across different organisations and
locations within and across government, the research sector and the private
sector, drawing in the best ideas and technology from overseas.
Acting as the hub, the NNEDC will help achieve a more joined-up approach
to new-energy innovation and reduce the risk of duplication of that
innovation effort within New Zealand and with energy centres overseas.
Seamless energy teams and projects will work in partnership to provide an
engine for growth and catalyst for change through innovation at scale.
29 Source: K. Smith (2006); The Treasury (2008).
“Identification of innovation opportunities – opportunities are
rarely obvious and often emerge from a complex interplay
between government, businesses, financial systems and
research infrastructures. Exploiting opportunities is not usually
an automatic market process, but an action.”29
Adding value to New Zealand’s science and
innovation system
Organisations within New Zealand’s science and innovation system are
progressing different initiatives and projects with the objective of moving to a
low-emissions future. The NNEDC will work collaboratively with these
institutions – including Callaghan Innovation, universities and CRIs – filling a
niche role within the national science and innovation system that grows new-
energy innovation and leverages the strength of the Taranaki region to
develop, build and test new-energy solutions.
A focus on global new-energy solutions, as well as
national and regional solutions
New-energy innovation need not be limited to the New Zealand context.
While technological advancements in areas like tidal energy production may
not have an immediate application in New Zealand, they could contribute to
energy solutions for other countries.
29 Commercial In Confidence
Contributions to global new-energy innovation will help to cement New
Zealand’s international standing both as a technology developer and as an
international citizen that takes its environmental responsibilities seriously.
New-energy solutions that are developed in New Zealand for overseas
markets open up export opportunities and contribute to new engines of
growth for the national economy.
A source of trusted advice about new-energy
The NNEDC will provide a source of evidence-based, commercially impartial
advice to government and industry.
Working with these stakeholders, the NNEDC will help to ensure the
application of new-energy technology complies with regulatory requirements
and with best practice for health and safety.
The NNEDC can advise on how future new-energy technologies might be
applied in New Zealand. This will help identify potential regulatory issues
and shape future regulatory approaches, with the goal of reducing
uncertainty for innovators and barriers to innovation.
30 https://www.productivity.govt.nz/sites/default/files/At%20a%20glance_Low-
emissions%20economy_0.pdf. Accessed October 2018.
“While the form, timing and impact of innovation are highly
uncertain, a country’s policies and institutions significantly
affect its innovation performance. These policies and
institutions need to enable and encourage researchers and
businesses to both create and deploy new low-emissions
technologies.” – New Zealand Productivity Commission30
30 Commercial In Confidence
Supporting a just transition for Taranaki and growing a more resilient region and economy
The NNEDC, as a key driver for the development of new-energy
technologies, will help to retain high-quality jobs in Taranaki and enhance
the attractiveness of the region for investment.
Helping to strengthen the resilience of the energy
industry by diversifying energy activity
New-energy innovation will enable New Zealand to develop new solutions
and adapt technology advancements from overseas to our local conditions.
These new solutions and technologies will help to diversify Taranaki’s – and
New Zealand’s – energy sector. This will open up further opportunities for
change and enable the industry to transition away from its reliance on
carbon-based energy.
Increasing the use of external knowledge for
commercial purposes
Arming key individuals, leadership and stakeholders with international
connections and experience would be critical to balance out New Zealand’s
relatively low levels of absorptive capacity – that is, the ability to recognise
the value of new information, assimilate it, and apply it commercially.
The NNEDC would help to achieve this by scanning international and
domestic research and advancements, and disseminating valuable
knowledge to its stakeholders. The NNEDC would help New Zealand
31 https://www.productivity.govt.nz/sites/default/files/At%20a%20glance_Low-
emissions%20economy_0.pdf. Accessed October 2018.
businesses understand how this information can be applied to new-energy
innovation and, ultimately, commercial ends.
“Innovation is core to the transition (and can lead to wider
productivity benefits)” – New Zealand Productivity
Commission31
A leading contributor to Taranaki’s transition to a low-
emissions future
The energy transition has already begun for Taranaki and New Zealand. The
NNEDC will work alongside communities and government to make a critical
contribution by helping to accelerate this transition. It will create
opportunities through innovation that will result in new types of activity for
the region’s energy businesses and the supply chain network.
For businesses that have historically relied on the oil and gas industry, the
new centre will provide a platform to retool, helping these firms to reinvent
what they do and pivot into new processes and products that continue to
make use of their assets.
Taranaki will be better placed to retain its existing expertise and attract new
talent to the region. The new centre will help support a critical mass of
diverse energy-related businesses in the region.
31 Commercial In Confidence
Showcasing Taranaki and New Zealand as a leader in the
development of new-energy
The NNEDC will showcase Taranaki and New Zealand on a global stage as
leaders in new-energy development. It will capture the story of a successful
energy transition.
By demonstrating how businesses are reinventing what they do to produce
and use energy differently, the NNEDC will help maintain a social licence
within the community. The new centre will also be a place where the
community and individuals can experience new technologies and learn
about the role that communities and the public can have in an energy
transition.
Helping the region identify and meet its skill needs
Taranaki has very strong apprenticeship, training and mentoring
programmes, and these maintain a highly skilled workforce across the
region. The NNEDC will work closely with industry to help shape future
apprenticeship and training programmes, drawing on the centre’s knowledge
about emerging new-energy technologies and what a new energy pathway
might look like.
32 Commercial In Confidence
Enabling more new-energy
innovation, at a faster pace and
with less cost and risk
“Innovation comes in many forms and is unpredictable. Yet it is
the closest thing to a ‘silver bullet’ to enable humanity to meet
the challenge of avoiding damaging climate change. It also
provides an opportunity to combine the low-emissions
transition with improvements in national wellbeing.” – New
Zealand Productivity Commission32
Understanding the ‘big picture’ and using it to
encourage more innovation
The NNEDC will be a hub of knowledge, providing a ‘helicopter view’ of the
various new-energy projects, research programmes, and technology
advancements underway, both within New Zealand and overseas. The
NNEDC will apply this knowledge to:
• identify potential opportunities to adapt overseas technology to New
Zealand’s unique geographic, energy and regulatory contexts
32 https://www.productivity.govt.nz/sites/default/files/At%20a%20glance_Low-
emissions%20economy_0.pdf. Accessed October 2018.
• identify gaps in our progress toward a low-emissions future that need to
be filled by new-energy innovation
• connect different new-energy projects together, so that they can explore
new opportunities that integrate solutions and achieve greater benefits
• reduce the risk of duplication of effort on new-energy projects in New
Zealand and overseas
• connect stakeholders in the same ecosystem, enabling them to work
together to solve problems and develop solutions
• look across the production, transmission, distribution and use of all
energy forms for opportunities to integrate and use energy forms in
different ways.
Increasing collaboration and shared learning
The NNEDC will provide a central place – both in terms of a physical space
and a virtual location – for domestic and international expertise to come
together so that ideas, knowledge and lessons can be shared.
This ‘better together’ approach would leverage a mix of expertise – from
applied researchers, supply chain networks, energy businesses and
government. Successful innovation also requires expertise in management,
project planning, logistics, finance and marketing, and the NNEDC would
help ensure that that expertise is available.
The NNEDC will make it easier for new-energy projects to find the right type
of specialised expertise, either from within New Zealand or overseas. By
leveraging its networks, credibility and strong new-energy brand, the
33 Commercial In Confidence
NNEDC will enable a shared learning environment for:
• established institutions in New Zealand that are involved in new-energy
innovation
• the international new-energy industry, including energy centres in other
countries.
The NNEDC would work to break down industry silos and encourage the
collision of ideas. This would enable partnerships to form more quickly and
with less cost, meaning more resources can be focused directly on the
innovation activity.
Better access to infrastructure to develop solutions
Through its strong regional, national and international networks, the NNEDC
will facilitate the access to physical infrastructure that new-energy projects
need in order to develop, test and pilot new technologies. Quicker access to
infrastructure, as well as to supply chain capability, will reduce the time and
cost required for innovation.
This would also enable infrastructure providers to contribute directly to the
development of new-energy projects. The NNEDC would ensure that new
technologies are tested and deployed according to best-practice health and
safety standards.
A place to test solutions in the real world
The NNEDC would facilitate ready access to ‘real-world’ test environments
when projects are piloting new solutions, possibly including, for example,
access to groups of households in the local community. Projects will be
encouraged to club together to test solutions and increase the speed of
development. These ‘test-beds’ will enable multiple projects to demonstrate
seamless end-to-end solutions to industry and potential investors.
Greater access to funding
The NNEDC would increase the level of investment in new-energy
innovation by leveraging its credibility to build connections with potential
funders and co-ordinating access to existing funding mechanisms and
grants.
The NNEDC would:
• use its credibility and international connections to attract potential
foreign investors to new-energy projects in Taranaki and New Zealand
• provide government with increased assurance that applications for
public funding for new-energy projects are high-priority, have a high
chance of success, are strategically aligned with government priorities,
and will deliver national and regional benefits
• provide a central place for Taranaki- and New Zealand-based
institutions and businesses to club together and pool cash and in-kind
funding
• a place to showcase what is possible to domestic and internal
investors, and open doors to further opportunities.
The NNEDC will support businesses in accessing funding by helping them
prepare Business Cases and feasibility studies, and educating providers of
debt and equity about the technical and commercial dimensions of a new
technology.
34 Commercial In Confidence
Case study: What a typical energy project might look like
Based in New Plymouth, First Gas is New Zealand’s largest owner of gas
pieplines, with 2,504 kms of high pressure gas transmission pipes and
around 4,800 kms of gas distribution pipes in the North Island – serving
over 300,000 industrial, commercial and residential customers.
The company wants to explore how its existing gas network and
infrastructure could be used in a low emissions economy, examining
whether its network can be converted to transport hydrogen and/ or blends
of hydrogen and natural gas in the future.
There are many questions for First Gas to answer in order to understand
whether this is feasible. This assessment represents a major undertaking
for the company, requiring ring-fenced resources and a project-based
approach that would sit outside of its “business-as-usual” activities.
And it is exactly the type of energy project that the NNEDC would help to
deliver.
Working seamlessly with FirstGas, its supply chain, regulators and
technical expertise in New Zealand and overseas, the NNEDC would help
First Gas to answer:
• how the gas transmission and distribution infrastructure would cope
with hydrogen and what changes would be needed? Would pipes
corrode quicker, valves and pumps work properly, or gas meters need
adapting?
• what are the regulatory issues, including design codes and gas quality
specifications, and how do you prove the safety case for transporting
hydrogen to regulators and the community?
• what would any changes mean for the end-users of natural gas – will
household appliances and industrial plants that are powered by
natural gas continue to work effectively and safely?
The NNEDC would also “join the dots”, connecting this work with other
energy projects, and identifying the next-level opportunities that would
open up for New Zealand if the nation had access to infrastructure to
reliably transmit and distribute hydrogen.
35 Commercial In Confidence
CASE STUDY: How the NNEDC would enable start-ups to innovateNew digital models for energy management
In a new-energy future, increasing amounts of local supply will come from the
likes of solar panels and wind turbines and supply power to both the national
grid and local communities. Digital solutions will optimise how and when
energy is generated, stored and used at a ‘micro’, or household, level – for
example, intelligent systems will tell household batteries to charge up on windy
days and to draw their power on days that are cloudy and still.
A group in Taranaki, Auckland and Wellington is developing digital energy
models to optimise and automate this type of energy management. It is
complex and challenging work and the slow pace can be frustrating at times.
A viable solution requires input and buy-in from electricity generators, retailers
and consumers. Credibility is key for opening doors and building relationships,
and for getting access to third-party infrastructure and data to develop and test
solutions. The fast pace of technological change means it takes time to stay
connected with innovation underway elsewhere and to think about how these
future solutions could integrate and line up multiple parties or emergent
technologies in a single pilot or test bed. Funding is a constant challenge.
In the future, the NNEDC will support these types of projects to create an
environment where innovation will flourish and succeed. In preparing this
Business Case we worked with the project team that is developing the data
model to compare and contrast two scenarios – one where an NNEDC
supports and adds value to new-energy technology development, and another
scenario where the project team is left to innovate on its own.
How the NNEDC will add value
• Support to identify and access specialist expertise in government, and
across the research sector and private sector.
• A central place for domestic and international expertise in the same
ecosystem to come together, share ideas and knowledge, and learn from
each other. Ready access to real-world test environments to pilot
solutions (including households in the local community), where
multiple innovators can leverage each other’s resources and achieve
results faster.
• A collaborative environment for projects to develop and test solutions
together, providing opportunities to leverage project resources, learn
together and increase the speed of development.
• A central ‘helicopter view’ of the different new-energy projects underway,
to spot gaps and identify new opportunities, and connect with other
projects to integrate solutions and achieve further benefit.
• A place to showcase the possible to domestic and internal investors, and
open doors to further opportunities. Projects can club together to
demonstrate seamless end-to-end solutions.
The contrast with a scenario with no NNEDC
• New Zealand’s new-energy innovators have to spend more money than
overseas competitors and progress more slowly, potentially losing global
first-mover advantages and export opportunities. This squanders our
competitive advantage from our high smart meter penetration and
renewable energy generation, and our forward-looking regulatory regime.
• Individual projects work in isolation on their particular piece of the puzzle,
with limited opportunities for working together to leverage resources,
share findings, or integrate solutions for greater benefit.
• A lot more time, effort and cost is incurred getting individual projects up
and running, meaning fewer resources are available to dedicate to
innovation.
• Projects have to rely on their own connections, knowledge and resources
to find specialist expertise, negotiate access to equipment and
infrastructure, and set up their own test environment.
• Projects spend a lot of time looking for investors and lack credibility to
open doors to funding opportunities. There is a constant challenge in
having to sell an overall future vision of which their project is just one part.
36 Commercial In Confidence
WHY TARANAKI?
Is Taranaki the right place for the
NNEDC? What is Taranaki’s competitive
advantage? Why shouldn’t the energy
centre be in a different region?
The question ‘Why Taranaki?’ was frequently
canvassed during the development of this Business
Case. Answers were often framed around Taranaki’s
strengths, in particular those developed from the oil and
gas industry.
While those strengths are part of the answer, there is
much more to consider. This ‘bigger picture’ provides a
compelling case for locating the NNEDC in Taranaki
rather than other regions in New Zealand.
Figure 6. The case for locating the NNEDC in Taranaki
37 Commercial In Confidence
Taranaki’s strengths will help drive
new-energy innovation
Taranaki has a strong competitive advantage that should make it the
location of choice for new-energy innovation. While other regions can claim
to have some of these advantages, only Taranaki can claim them all.
Experience and acceptance
Taranaki has been in the energy game for a long time, with the first well
drilled next to the Moturoa oil seeps in 1865. Since then the energy industry
in Taranaki has grown significantly. The region is the only place in New
Zealand where there are producing wells.
The Taranaki community is positive, energetic, and pragmatic when it comes
to energy-based activity. Having lived with the oil and gas industry for over a
hundred years, and seeing first-hand the benefits and opportunities the
sector has provided, there is an understanding and a willingness within the
region that enables it to engage in energy-based activity.
Local and regional government has been responsible for ensuring that the
energy industry can operate effectively and responsibly in Taranaki. It
understands and has built up expertise around regulating and supporting the
energy sector.
The region is an active supporter of the energy sector, and the region’s
leaders are willing to be a test-bed for potential new-energy solutions.
The NNEDC has the support of the Tapuae Roa Regional Steering
Committee, which includes the New Plymouth District Council, South
33 There are three representatives from Ngā Iwi o Taranaki, recognising the three major waka that
arrived in Taranaki: Tokomaru, Kurahaupō and Aotea.
Taranaki District Council, Stratford District Council, Taranaki Regional
Council and Ngā Iwi o Taranaki.33
Established energy businesses
Taranaki is home to many companies that form both the potential customer
base for developing new technologies, the means for testing and
demonstrating new technologies, and the end users of the new
technologies.
As New Zealand’s largest exporter of energy overseas and a key player in
generating and distributing energy, Taranaki has strong businesses across
the energy value chain, both upstream and downstream. This includes:
• the energy production companies that explore for and operate oil and
gas fields
• the electricity generators and energy providers
• several high energy users, particularly of process heat
• engineering and construction activity directly connected to energy
production, transmission and export activities
• service and supply chain sectors, including freight and logistics,
fabrication, and professional services.
International connections in the energy sector
Many energy businesses in Taranaki, and their employees, have strong
energy connections around the world.
The NNEDC will leverage these strong business-to-business and peer-to-
peer connections, including with international centres who are leaders in
38 Commercial In Confidence
new-energy solutions – Scotland, the Netherlands, Denmark and Norway in
particular.
The NNEDC will also build on established networks with research
institutions and universities overseas. For example, Taranaki
smart/micro/grid experts have strong connections with Oxford University.
Human capital
Taranaki’s energy industry is skilled at developing, adopting and adapting
advanced technologies to improve its competitiveness.
Taranaki has the people with the skills and capability to support
development in new-energy technology and infrastructure. In particular, the
region has a highly skilled energy sector workforce, including:
• world-class engineering design and project management
• expertise in manufacturing, on- and off-shore fabrication, and
construction
• energy-focused professional services
• health and safety expertise, including experience of working safely with
hazardous materials, gases, drilling for oil and gas, and high voltage
power
• operations and maintenance skills that could be re-directed, retrained
and re-tooled for future new-energy industries
• significant capability in petrochemical and industrial chemical
manufacturing.
Taranaki also has very strong apprenticeship, training and mentoring
initiatives that support the sector and maintain its highly skilled workforce.
This includes through the Engineering Taranaki Consortium apprentice
scheme.
High-performing energy infrastructure
The region has established infrastructure for energy generation and
electricity and gas distribution.
Taranaki has the capability and infrastructure to extract, process and move
liquid fuels. This is both for export, through Port Taranaki, and within New
Zealand through the high-pressure transmission pipelines operated by
FirstGas.
High-quality, established infrastructure is available to develop and test new-
energy solutions. For example, existing pipes can be used for testing the
distribution of alternative energy forms.
Taranaki also has very good connections to the national electricity grid,
making the region a natural home for innovation that connects electrons and
molecules – the two basic forms of energy.
Exemplary safety record
Taranaki-based firms have significant health and safety expertise, backed by
many years of experience of working safely with hazardous materials,
gases, drilling for oil and gas, and high voltage power.
Be Safe Taranaki is an example of the region’s leadership and commitment
to raising safety standards in the wider work environment and community. A
collaboration involving oil and gas companies and the supply chain network,
this initiative is considered a ‘best in breed’ in New Zealand and has helped
make health and safety an integral component of the region’s industrial
DNA.
Ready access to gas
With its role in filling the gap in periods when energy demand is higher than
supply, and as a potential energy source contributing to new-energy
39 Commercial In Confidence
opportunities, gas can and will play a role both in the transition to, and in the
development of, clean energy projects.
Taranaki is the only region in New Zealand that has ready access to an
existing gas supply. Gas could potentially be shipped into New Zealand, but
there too Taranaki has a critical advantage: Taranaki would be the logical
place to import gas because of its the existing infrastructure, including the
port, while importing gas into other regions would require significant new
investment in infrastructure.
All of New Zealand’s oil and gas producing wells are located in Taranaki.
This provides the means to test new storage solutions to combat dry energy
periods and explore geothermal technologies.
The best location for connecting electrons and
molecules
The combination of Taranaki’s infrastructure connections – as the centre of
the country’s gas infrastructure and with its very good connections to the
national electricity grid – make it the best place in the country to explore
solutions that connect the two forms of energy, electrons and molecules.
Examples of this could include exploring hydrogen opportunities that use
electrons to make molecules.
Access to a range of natural resources to support
new-energy innovation
Taranaki is well known for its oil and gas resources, but is also rich in other
natural resources that can support and enable new-energy innovation.
34 https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=10377659. Accessed November
2018.
Offshore, the region has a shallow ocean ridge that could provide a good
location for trialling marine and tidal energy solutions.
The region also has good wind, demonstrated by the planned Waverley wind
farm, located between Pātea and Waverley in South Taranaki. Advances in
geothermal technologies are opening up the possibility that abandoned oil
wells could generate electricity or provide a heat source for direct industrial
applications and geothermal heat pumps.34
40 Commercial In Confidence
Leading Taranaki’s transition to a
low-emissions economy
The regional transition story is another important part of the answer to the
‘Why Taranaki?’ question. Already, businesses in the region have started
the transition to a low-emissions economy. Taranaki engineering expertise
has supported the Christchurch rebuild efforts. Supply chain firms with
excellent health and safety credentials are being commissioned to carry out
work around gas and electricity infrastructure in other parts of the country.
The NNEDC will make a critical contribution to accelerating this transition. It
will create opportunities that will result in new activity for businesses that
have historically relied on the oil and gas industry, and who are now looking
to reinvent what they do and pivot into new processes and products that
continue to utilise their assets, intellectual property and skilled labour.
Located regionally but highly connected
nationally and internationally
The NNEDC will also need to leverage the region’s digital and transport links
to enable strong partnerships with expertise across New Zealand and
internationally.
The NNEDC will be a hub for new-energy innovation activities underway
across the country, and it will support new-energy innovation in regions
outside of Taranaki. It will exchange knowledge and work with:
• established institutions in New Zealand that are involved in new-energy
innovation
• organisations with applied research capability around the country and
overseas
• the international new-energy industry, including energy centres in other
countries.
Taranaki has the connectivity – both digital and physical – to ensure that
these partnerships can flourish. The main centres in Taranaki have
broadband access and sufficient bandwidth to provide effective
communications.
New Plymouth has reliable regional air services that provide daily
connections to New Zealand’s main international hubs in Auckland,
Wellington and Christchurch, as well as to Nelson. These allow access to all
regions in New Zealand that have scheduled air services, as well as
international connections.
A BRIEF BACKGROUND: Just Transition
Just Transition is a framework initially developed by the union movement
in the 1990s. In the Taranaki context, it is a direct recognition of the
Government’s decisions on oil and gas exploration. It is a commitment to
work together with the region to manage these impacts in a just and
inclusive way.
The Just Transition will help develop pathways to a low-emissions
economy; identify, create and support new jobs, skills and investments;
and provide a better understanding of how the transition to a new-energy
future might impact different communities.
41 Commercial In Confidence
WHAT NEEDS TO HAPPEN TO ACHIEVE A SUCCESSFUL AND ENDURING NNEDC?
This section defines the investment objectives – a set of statements
that describe the desired outcomes for the proposed investment in
the NNEDC, and the critical elements for achieving a successful and
enduring NNEDC.
THE APPROACH TAKEN IN this section draws on:
• a large number of discussions and workshops with stakeholders
in Taranaki and across the energy sector
• reviews of overseas and New Zealand-based energy centres
and research institutes, including lessons learnt from the New
Zealand Clean Energy Centre in Taupō, the Otaki Clean
Technology Centre and Park, and Taranaki’s proposal to
establish a Regional Research Institute
• literature reviews about how best to support and encourage
innovation in an energy context.
42 Commercial In Confidence
Investment objectives – what does
success look like?
This Business Case specifies a set of investment objectives that set out the
desired outcomes for the proposed investment – what success looks like.
The investment objectives have been developed with significant input from
key stakeholders, including energy companies and supply chain companies,
central and local government and representatives from the research sector.
What is needed to achieve a successful
NNEDC in Taranaki
The following seven crucial elements must be in place in order to achieve
the two investment objectives. These elements are discussed in more detail
on the following pages.
Carve out a value-adding role for the NNEDC
Be clear about what the NNEDC’s functions are
Focus on new-energy projects that will deliver regional,
national and global benefits
Get key stakeholders on-board from Day One
Establish an enduring customer ecosystem
Ensure the NNEDC has sufficient government backing and is
financially sustainable
Create a strong new-energy brand
Investment objectives
Objective 1:
Establish a nationally significant institution that increases the rate of successful new-energy innovation in order to help achieve national and global emissions targets
Objective 2:
Utilise Taranaki’s skills, capability and infrastructure to help lead the region’s transition to a low-emissions economy
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
43 Commercial In Confidence
Carve out a value-adding role for the NNEDC
New Zealand’s science and innovation system is fundamental to
improving economic, environmental, social and cultural outcomes
in this country. OECD evidence shows that knowledge production
and innovation are key contributors to long-term economic growth
and social progress.35
The NNEDC – as a significant contributor to new-energy innovation
– has the opportunity to carve out an important value-adding role
within the national science and innovation system, working
collaboratively alongside government agencies, education and
research organisations, and commercial entities.
The NNEDC will need to avoid duplicating the roles of other
organisations within the science and innovation system, or
competing head-on with energy centres overseas. Rather, its role
will be to harness these pockets of expertise, ideas and skills, and
to convert these into scalable new-energy innovations.
The Economic Case (see page 59) will consider what the
purpose of the NNEDC should be. It will look at alternative
options for how the NNEDC could add value within the
science and innovation system. It makes the case that the new
centre’s primary role should be in the demonstration and
commercialisation phases, with some activity in the research
and market uptake phases.
35 https://www.mbie.govt.nz/info-services/science-innovation/research-and-data/pdf-library/2016-
science-and-innovation-system-performance-report.pdf. Accessed November 2018.
Be clear about what the NNEDC’s functions are
A hallmark of successful energy centres in other countries is a clear
service offering. Businesses, investors and other organisations know
exactly what the energy centre is “selling”, and how it can alleviate their
pain-points. They can see how they will benefit by being an active part of
the customer ecosystem.
In the case of the NNEDC, we have given careful thought as to how
stakeholders would benefit from a Taranaki-based energy centre, and the
functions that the NNEDC would need to deliver in order to give effect to
this.
A workshop was held with stakeholders from the energy sector and the
Taranaki region to identify possible functions, based on what would deliver
the highest value to those stakeholders. This information was
supplemented with analysis of the current issues identified, the functions of
energy centres in other countries and learnings from the earlier attempts to
set up energy centres in Taupō and Ōtaki.
The figure below sets out the main functions that were identified. In
the Economic Case, we explore this list further and develop a more
comprehensive list, taking into account scope and scale. We then
identify the optimal set of functions that the NNEDC should deliver.
2 1
44 Commercial In Confidence
Focus on new-energy projects that will deliver
regional, national and global benefits
At the moment, New Zealand’s future energy pathway is uncertain, and
technology advancements are moving at a fast pace. It is not possible to
predict what the predominant energy forms and types of technologies will
be in the future.
It is important that the NNEDC encourages a broad range of new-energy
innovation, allowing lots of different solutions to be explored, and does not
try to direct efforts too narrowly in any one particular area (although this
needs to be balanced against the risk that the centre tries to be everything
to everyone).
Governance and decision-making support
We recommend the NNEDC follows the lead of successful energy centres
overseas and establishes governance to set priority areas of focus and
guide decision-making.
A portfolio approach would support the decision-making by providing a
framework to optimise the mix of projects that the NNEDC would support
within the funding available and maximise the rate of successful
innovation.
In the Economic Case, we provide a ‘starter for 10’ to illustrate
what a possible portfolio approach might look like. We also
look at the types of energy projects that could make up the
centre’s initial focus.
Narrowing the focus over time as New Zealand’s energy
transition pathway becomes clearer
We expect that the NNEDC’s focus will change and evolve over time. New-
energy opportunities will emerge that will need to be investigated. Also, the
NNEDC is likely to gravitate towards those projects that it is good at,
building on successful results and forming deep pockets of expertise.
This, coupled with the inherent uncertainty involved with innovation, means
it is impossible to predict exactly what the NNEDC would support in the
future.
Get key strategic partners on-board from Day One
In 2007, a New Zealand Clean Energy Centre was established in Taupō
(there is a case study about this energy centre on page 98). One of the key
lessons learnt from this energy centre was the need to secure active
support from major stakeholders from Day 1.
3
4
45 Commercial In Confidence
This early support is needed to provide credibility and attract other
stakeholders to achieve a critical mass (the customer ecosystem) – similar
in concept to the role that an anchor tenant plays in a new commercial
property development.
In the case of the Taupō energy centre, a number of stakeholders actively
supported the centre from the outset, but several large, locally-based
organisations did not, including Mighty River Power, Contact Energy and
GNS. As a result, the energy centre struggled to gain a critical mass of
stakeholder support from the outset, and struggled to deliver on its
promised value proposition.
Establish an enduring customer ecosystem
A centre of gravity for the NNEDC – one of the single most critical things
for unleashing its success – will be the new centre’s ability to attract
stakeholders and maintain high levels of participation from them over time.
Each stakeholder will need to derive value from the NNEDC and, in return,
provide something of value back to the centre. The collective involvement
of all of the stakeholders in the NNEDC will create the customer ecosystem
and the NNEDC’s ‘reason for being’.
Research shows the make-up of customer ecosystems in energy centres
around the world tend to be relatively similar. However, the size and mix of
each ecosystem varies according to the purpose of the centre and the
functions it is tasked with delivering.
Generally, the customer ecosystem consists of a range of businesses
(including ‘big-energy’ professional services providers, supply chain
companies and start-ups), investors, research organisations and
government agencies. In the case of the NNEDC, the ecosystem will also
include local government and Māori stakeholders.
Another important point is that the customer ecosystem is not limited by
physical location. The participation of stakeholders from other New
Zealand regions and from overseas is needed to ensure an exchange of
technology and capability with the NNEDC. The new centre’s ecosystem
can also include its competitors – the NNEDC would support the
development of new-energy products and services through both
competition and cooperation.
Not surprisingly, the areas of greatest value to stakeholders are consistent
with international research findings. A Danish study, for example, found
that customers of clean-tech energy centres most valued the ability to
participate in development projects (the results of this study are
summarised in Appendix 3).
Table 1 lists the main stakeholder groups that would make up the
customer ecosystem and indicates how they would derive value from
the NNEDC. This table is based on information provided by
stakeholders engaged for the development of this Business Case,
from across the Taranaki region and from the energy industry and
government.
A number of stakeholders provided letters of support for establishing
the NNEDC, including from mature energy companies, crown
research institutes, organisations in the applied research sector, and
companies in the energy supply chain (refer Appendix 5 for the
letters of support that were received).
5
46 Commercial In Confidence
Table 1: Stakeholders in the customer ecosystem
Stakeholder group
The NNEDC would provide this customer group with…
In return the NNEDC would get… P
riv
ate
in
du
str
y
Big energy companies
This customer group needs innovation to solve problems
and socialise licence to operate in order to be profitable
and a good corporate citizen
• a mechanism to tackle difficult energy problems and
explore opportunities for commercial benefit at a
faster pace and with less cost and risk, to future
proof business activity, reduce emissions, or
increase profitability
• a means of co-operating on projects of mutual benefit
• an opportunity to gain early insight into new projects
and innovations, occurring in New Zealand and
overseas
• access to the latest market intelligence and research
in the new-energy space
• an avenue to demonstrate good corporate citizenship
and maintain social licence to operate
• secure positive brand alignment with the NNEDC and
its goals and aspirations
• a way to attract and retain capability in Taranaki, so that
there is continued access to expertise, high quality
infrastructure and a viable supply chain network
• credibility
• challenging problems that need to be solved (which
attract other stakeholders to the ecosystem)
• access to infrastructure for development, testing and
piloting
• funding and/ or in-kind support (access to capability
and infrastructure)
• commercial partners for taking products to market
• access to the international energy community to
identify, adapt and translate new technologies for
New Zealand and Taranaki
Supply chain
This customer group needs Business activity, Future
proof business In order to remain in NZ (international
shareholders) and increase turnover
• valuable opportunities to participate in the development,
testing and piloting of solutions
• increased access and exposure to big energy customers
• an opportunity to gain early insight into new projects and
innovations, occurring in New Zealand and overseas
• further opportunities to deploy and then maintain
solutions in the ‘production’ environment
• increased levels of business activity during a period of
transition and the ability to continue to build value in
their businesses
• a platform to retool and reinvent what they do and pivot
into new processes and products that continue to make
use of their assets
• access to the latest market intelligence and research in
the new-energy space
• highly skilled expertise with successful track records
operating safely in the energy industry
• access to infrastructure for development, testing and
piloting
• credibility
47 Commercial In Confidence
Stakeholder group
The NNEDC would provide this customer group with…
In return the NNEDC would get…
Pri
va
te i
nd
us
try
‘Start-up’ businesses
This customer group needs to develop and
commercialise in order to commercialise their products
and services
• connections to business partners and investors,
government and private sector in a seamless energy-
focused ecosystem
• de-risked process to get from concept through to
commercialisation
• access to suppliers, end users, and industry
• access to live prospects for funding and investment,
including credibility access to connect with international
investors
• access to infrastructure to develop, test and deploy
solutions
• access to the latest market intelligence and research in
the new-energy space
• an opportunity to gain early insight into new projects and
innovations, occurring in New Zealand and overseas
• credibility
• opportunities that will attract commercial partners to
the customer ecosystem
Res
ea
rch
org
an
isa
tio
ns
Tertiary education sector
This customer group needs visibility of process, direction
around needs, and alignment with research in order to
transfer knowledge and plan transitional training needs and
provide wrap-around training services
• direction on new-energy-related programme
development
• certainty around future investment need
• credibility
• specialist expertise, knowledge and capability from
within New Zealand and overseas to help solve new-
energy problems and enable innovation
• support to develop a knowledge base of national and
international new-energy research and projects
underway
• support to identify possible opportunities and
emerging areas of technology development
• access to the international research and innovation
community to identify, adapt and translate new
technologies for New Zealand and Taranaki
Applied research sector (domestic and
international)
This customer group needs challenging, fundable problems to solve in order to achieve their research
objectives and grow their knowledge
• connections to business partners and investors,
government and private sector in a seamless energy-
focused ecosystem
• fundable and challenging new-energy problems to work
on as part of a seamless energy team comprising
industry and government stakeholders
• access to live prospects for funding and investment
• an opportunity to gain early insight into new projects and
innovations, occurring in New Zealand and overseas
48 Commercial In Confidence
Stakeholder group
The NNEDC would provide this customer group with…
In return the NNEDC would get…
Go
ve
rnm
en
t Central government
This customer group needs a mechanism to increase
new-energy innovation in order to break the dependence
from the carbon dependent economy and meet emission
targets, and work in partnership with Taranaki to achieve a
‘just’ transition.
• connections to industry and research expertise in New
Zealand and overseas in a seamless energy-focused
ecosystem
• a mechanism to drive change through increased levels
of new-energy innovation
• national and globally derived solutions that increase
new-energy output and adoption
• co-ordination of new-energy innovation for regional,
national and global benefit
• impartial advice on the new-energy future, emerging
applications of new-energy technology and early
indication of potential regulatory barriers to innovation
• diversified energy industry
• credibility
• access to the world stage, including to foreign
investors and export partners
• funding and active support
Local government
This customer group needs to promote and enhance the
attractiveness of Taranaki as a test bed for new-energy
technologies for New Zealand and strengthen the resilience
of the region’s economy and communities.
• connections to industry and research expertise in
New Zealand and overseas in a seamless energy-
focused ecosystem
• connection with the innovation ecosystem in
Taranaki, including proposed innovation precinct
• tourism, branding, repositioning
• talent retention, retooling
• national flagship entity in Taranaki
• diversified energy industry
• credibility
• access to the world stage, including to foreign
investors and export partners
• funding and active support from Taranaki leaders
49 Commercial In Confidence
Ensure the NNEDC has sufficient government
backing and is financially sustainable
The NNEDC will need government backing in order for the centre to be
sustainable and effective. In addition to being a provider of funding, the
government also controls regulatory and other levers that can enable and
amplify the activities of the NNEDC.
Without this support, the NNEDC could never become an organisation of
national significance in any meaningful way, and Taranaki and New
Zealand would lose an opportunity to accelerate the transition to a new-
energy future.
A review of energy centres overseas shows that public funding makes up
most of their total funding requirements, providing capital investment for
services such as laboratories, as well as meeting the centres’ operating
costs. In some cases, public funding is available for energy centres to
make grants or loans to projects.
In return for its government backing, the NNEDC will deliver national and
regional benefits that justifies the level of public funding.
We expect that the NNEDC would also generate revenue from the private
sector, although much less than its public funding. The private sector might
provide this contribution in the form of cash or in-kind support.
Create a strong new-energy brand
A review of the “lessons learnt” by other energy centres reinforces the
importance of developing a strong national identity and international
presence.
In 2010, a Clean Energy Centre and Park was established in Ōtaki, north
of Wellington (Appendix 2 has a short case study about this energy
centre). Stakeholders involved with the centre assigned significant value to
the prospect of the centre having a high level of credibility, however it
struggled to achieve this over time. Without it, stakeholders found they
could not build high-quality networks or reduce barriers to getting markets
to adopt their products and services.
6 7
50 Commercial In Confidence
Intervention logic for establishing a NNEDC Figure 7 sets out the inputs to the NNEDC and the activities, outputs and outcomes that will be delivered.
Figure 7: Intervention logic
51 Commercial In Confidence
STRATEGIC ALIGNMENT
The NNEDC aligns with and contributes to
economic and social development
strategies at an international, national, and
regional level.
International alignment
The Paris Agreement’s central aim is to
strengthen the global response to the
threat of climate change by keeping the
global temperature rise this century less
than 2 degrees Celsius above pre-
industrial levels and to pursue efforts to
limit the temperature increase even further
to 1.5 degrees Celsius.
New Zealand has signed up to the Paris
Agreement.
36 https://www.beehive.govt.nz/release/megan-woods-petroleum-conference-speech. Accessed October
2018.
National alignment
The New Zealand government has signalled a clear intent to move New
Zealand more quickly to a lower emissions economy.
Emissions targets
The Government has a number of policy targets related to the energy sector,
including for electricity generation to be 100%-renewable by 2035 (in an
average hydrological year and as long as security of supply can be
maintained), and net zero carbon emissions by 2050.36
There are currently three greenhouse gas emissions targets:
• An unconditional 2020 target – to reach 5% below our 1990
greenhouse gas emissions levels (UN Framework Convention for
Climate Change)
• A 2030 target – New Zealand’s Nationally Determined Contribution
(NDC) under the Paris Accord to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by
30% below 2005 levels (Paris Agreement)
• A 2050 long-term target – to reduce greenhouse gas emissions to
50% below 1990 levels. This target will be revised as part of the
Government’s Zero Carbon Bill to net zero emissions by 2050, and is
likely to be the key target for New Zealand’s energy future.37
37 http://www.mfe.govt.nz/climate-change/what-government-doing/new-zealands-emissions-reduction-
targets/about-our-emissions#2050. Accessed October 2018.
52 Commercial In Confidence
The Zero Carbon Bill is expected to: set a net zero carbon target in primary
legislation; establish a Climate Change Commission; and allow the
Government to set carbon budgets to help New Zealand reach its emissions
reduction targets.
There is a significant body of wider legislation that impacts on the energy
sector. In addition to the Resource Management Act 199138 and the Energy
Efficiency and Conservation Act 2000, the Energy Innovation (Electric
Vehicles and Other Matters) Amendment Act 2017 seeks to improve energy
efficiency and address climate change in carbon-intensive sectors,
particularly in process heat and transport.
Exploration
An amendment to the Crown Minerals Act has been introduced into
Parliament to stop any further new offshore petroleum exploration permits
from being granted, and has limited onshore exploration to Taranaki.
Exploring alternative energy sources
On 23 October 2018, the Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment
and Japan’s Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry signed a
memorandum that signalled New Zealand’s interest in working in partnership
with Japan to develop hydrogen technology.
38 The Resource Management Act requires, among other things, that proposed electricity generation
plants must be granted a resource consent before they can be built.
39 New Zealand Productivity Commission: Low-emissions economy: Final report, 2018.
Just transition
The Government has established a dedicated Just Transitions Unit within
MBIE to focus on an active partnership between central government,
councils, Māori, communities and business to develop plans for and manage
the transition to a low-emissions economy.
Productivity Commission inquiry
In May 2017 the Government asked the Productivity Commission to
investigate how New Zealand could transition to a low-emissions economy.
The final report was released in August last year.39
The report identifies three shifts that are necessary for achieving a low-
emissions economy.40
Figure 8. Three shifts to achieve a low-emissions economy
The report found the Government needs to prioritise the following actions to
achieve those three key shifts at the right scale and pace:
• Establish a comprehensive and durable climate change policy
framework, including separate legislated long-term targets for short-
40 https://www.productivity.govt.nz/sites/default/files/At%20a%20glance_Low-
emissions%20economy_0.pdf. Accessed October 2018.
53 Commercial In Confidence
and long-lived gases; a series of successive emissions budgets; and an
independent Climate Change Commission
• Reform the New Zealand Emissions Trading Scheme and apply some
form of emissions pricing to methane from agriculture and waste
• Devote significantly more resources to low-emissions innovation and
technology to account for the long timeframes involved in bringing
innovative ideas to fruition.
New Zealand’s science and innovation
landscape
The NNEDC – which is the focus of this Business Case – will have a role
within New Zealand’s science and innovation system, working alongside a
number of government agencies, research organisations and commercial
entities. The following are some of the main organisations in this system:
• Crown Research Institutes (CRIs) have a range of objectives that
include carrying applied research into ways to reduce or absorb
emissions and/or driving innovation and economic growth around
energy supply and demand.
• New Zealand’s universities carry out both ‘blue sky and targeted
research.
Universities will often partner with other organisations to undertake
research and commercialisation activities in fields that are relevant to
the NNEDC. These other institutions include the MacDiarmid Institute
for Advanced Materials and Nanotechnology, the Electric Power
Engineering Centre and the Product Accelerator.
Universities also have their own entities for commercialising innovations
and technology, such as Auckland University’s UniServices.
• Callaghan Innovation exists to accelerate the growth, scale, intensity,
and success of innovation in New Zealand, and to encourage firms to
invest in research and development and achieve export growth.
• Several organisations have a specific climate change and emissions
focus in other industries, such as agricultural and forestry. The New
Zealand Agricultural Greenhouse Gas Research Centre (NZAGRC)
and the Pastoral Greenhouse Gas Research Consortium (PGgRc)
research ways to curb agricultural greenhouse gases. Motu Economic
and Public Policy Research is a non-government trust that has a
programme of research on climate-change impacts and mitigation,
including forestry, agriculture and emissions pricing.
• Regional Research Institutes are independently governed private or
not-for-profit organisations that seek to benefit regions outside the main
population centres and enhance regional advantages by stimulating
leading-edge, industrially exploitable and commercially focused
research.
• In addition, education and research institutes have formed various
organisations to advance research and development objectives. A
prominent new-energy example is the National Energy Research
Institute (NERI), which aims to stimulate, promote and co-ordinate
high-quality energy research and education within New Zealand.
Investment in research and development
Research and Development funding
Most of the research carried out by research organisations is funded directly
or indirectly by government. In 2015, the New Zealand Government spent
$1.32 billion in 2015 on support for science and innovation. Government
funding broadly flows through two main channels.
54 Commercial In Confidence
• Research funding to tertiary education institutions – Administered
through the Tertiary Education Commission with policy advice from the
Ministry of Education.
• Support for public-good research and business – Recipients include
Crown Research Institutes, businesses, universities, and other private-
and public-sector researchers. This is administered through MBIE’s
Science and Innovation Directorate.
Investment funds
The government has several investment funds that are strategically aligned
with the NNEDC. Three of these – the Provincial Growth Fund, the Green
Investment Fund and the New Zealand Venture Investment Fund – are
summarised below.
• The Provincial Growth Fund is a central government commitment to
invest $1 billion each year for three years to lift productivity potential in
the provinces.
The Fund’s priorities are to enhance economic development
opportunities, create sustainable jobs, enable Māori to reach their full
potential, boost social inclusion and participation, build resilient
communities, and help meet New Zealand’s climate change targets.
• The Green Investment Fund is an independent fund that will receive a
$100 million capital injection from central government.
The Fund will work with businesses, infrastructure owners and investors
to co-invest in initiatives that reduce greenhouse gas emissions and
provide a financial return.
• The New Zealand Venture Investment Fund has $245 million of funds
that are invested into innovative New Zealand-origin start-up ventures
and high-growth potential companies.
Regional alignment
Taranaki has embarked on a journey to enable and support the region’s
stakeholders to identify and deliver on its economic development goals. The
National New-Energy Development Centre was identified through the
process as a key action to contribute to the realisation of the Tapuae Roa
strategy.
Tapuae Roa – The Taranaki Regional
Economic Development Strategy
The Taranaki region was included in the Government’s Regional Economic
Development Programme in late 2016. Tapuae Roa: Make Way for
Taranaki, the Taranaki Regional Economic Development Strategy, was
launched the following year, in August 2017.
The strategy was developed through a partnership
consisting of the region’s four councils, Ngā iwi o
Taranaki, Venture Taranaki, local business leaders
and central government.
The strategy set out the mission, vision and goals
for the regional economic development strategy,
and the values underpinning and driving
engagement. It identified the approach in relation to
the key enablers and growth sectors.
The strategy set out the objectives and frameworks
and provided the evidence base from which to
develop a set of actions. These actions were identified and refined through
the next phase of the strategy – the Action Plan.
55 Commercial In Confidence
Tapuae Roa Action Plan
The Tapuae Roa Action Plan was launched in April
2018. While the strategy analysed the issues, the
Action Plan refined the approach identified in the
strategy to better align activity, allowing actions to be
identified, stakeholders to be determined, and a lead
agency to be nominated to progress it.
In particular, the Action Plan revised the approach
into eight areas, grouped into Futures and
Foundations. It also set out the delivery mechanisms
in terms of leadership and oversight.
The four futures consists of three sectors with global
opportunities where Taranaki has a competitive advantage – energy, food
and tourism; and the Māori economy – where the eight iwi that whakapapa
to the Maunga are progressing their own economic aspirations, largely
within their rohe, which is mainly in Taranaki.
There are four foundations to these futures, shown in Figure 9.
Figure 9: Tapuae Roa – Make Way for Taranaki
56 Commercial In Confidence
The Action Plan identified key actions within each of these eight areas, but
also pulled together key players within each of these areas. These action
groups have worked together to refine their own opportunities and
challenges and develop their own action plans, guided by the vision and
frameworks of the Tapuae Roa strategy.
Energy futures
A group of key stakeholders, led by two members of
the Tapuae Roa Lead Team, collaborated around
Energy Futures and an Action Plan was released in
March 2018.
Energy Futures identifies ‘new-energy’ as central to
the region’s future prosperity, to allow Taranaki to
achieve its Energy Futures vision, which is that
“Taranaki is home to strong, secure,
sustainable energy and petrochemical
industries, and exporting renewable energy,
new-energy ideas, solutions and technologies.”
The focus of the Energy Futures Action Plan is to provide the pathway to a
sustainable energy, low-emissions future, building on existing regional
strengths.
The establishment of a National New-Energy Development Centre was
identified as a key recommendation in the Energy Futures component of the
Action Plan.
57 Commercial In Confidence
RISKS, CONSTRAINTS AND DEPENDENCIES
The following tables set out the risks, constraints and dependencies of a National New-Energy Development Centre. Impacts are described as either low,
medium or high. In this context, a ‘risk’ is the chance of something happening that will have an impact on achieving the NNEDC (see Table 2).
Table 2: Risks of investment
Risk Impact Likelihood
The NNEDC does not achieve sufficient direct and indirect support from government. There is a risk the NNEDC will not have
sufficient funding and backing from government to achieve its minimum efficient scale, meaning the new centre is unable to deliver
on its value proposition and is not enduring. There is also risk that the government’s broader policy settings are not fully aligned to
the purpose of the centre.
High Medium
The stakeholder ecosystem is not established or enduring. Historically, a number of large businesses that produce energy, or
use it as a feedstock, have had their own in-house research and development capabilities to facilitate innovation. There is risk these
stakeholders will not recognise the benefits of the NNEDC, and that their non-participation will negatively impact the attractiveness of
the NNEDC for other stakeholders (for example, the supply chain network).
High Medium
The NNEDC is unable to achieve the desired level of change. The NNEDC will have a very challenging role. It will need high
calibre governance, management and operational staff and achieve buy-in from a wide range of stakeholders to help lead the
transition to a low-emissions future. There is risk that stakeholders and projects continue to work in silos, losing one of the key
benefits of the centre.
High Medium
58 Commercial In Confidence
‘Constraints’ are limits within which the investment in a NNEDC must be delivered.
Constraints
The objectives of New Zealand’s science and innovation system, and the roles of the institutions within the system
The level of available funding, including from government and private sector sources
The demand for new-energy innovation (including the long-term pipeline of projects and activity)
‘Dependencies’ are any actions or developments required of others and outside the scope of this programme, and on which the success of the investment
proposal depends.
National dependencies
The collaborative approach with government and Taranaki to achieve a ‘just transition’ for the region
The full raft of measures that make up the national response to achieving New Zealand’s emissions targets
Regional dependencies
The Innovation ecosystem. Within the talent, enterprise and innovation action plan is a proposal to develop the region’s innovation ecosystem, which may include an
innovation precinct and future food hub. There are likely to be advantages to both of these initiatives from leveraging personnel and resources and exploring possible co-
location options.
Connection with other regional actions. The Māori Economy Action Plan has a strong focus on positioning Māori to participate in future-focused industries, particularly in
areas of science, technology, engineering, arts, mathematics, innovation and digital (STEAMID). While the NNEDC is focused on the energy industry, it relies on capability in
the STEAMID areas.
Food Futures Taranaki has several large food companies that are significant users of energy. There is a strong potential to align projects that will allow these companies to
test and apply solutions that would benefit their businesses and provide them with a new competitive advantage.
59 Commercial In Confidence
ECONOMIC CASE
60 Commercial In Confidence
INTRODUCTION
How we will make our argument
The Economic Case describes the process we followed to arrive at the
investment option of establishing an NNEDC. This involved building a long-
list of options based on key choices about the purpose, functions and focus
of the NNEDC.
The Economic Case sets out an assessment of the investment option
against a range of criteria, including the investment objectives and how the
option is expected to deliver the anticipated benefits – which would not be
realised under an option not to invest.
The economic case consists of three parts:
1 The long-list of options: The long-list describes the range of potential
options in terms of three primary dimensions of choice – the purpose of
the NNEDC, the functions it could carry out, and the types of new-
energy initiatives it could focus on. The ‘innovation chain’ formed the
framework for generating the range of potential options along each
dimension, ensuring the thinking was guided by where the NNEDC
would fit in relation to New Zealand’s science and innovation system, as
well as the elements of success identified in the Strategic Case, and
factors relevant to the NNEDC being located in Taranaki.
2 The investment option: We describe the development of the proposed
investment option and the rationale for decisions about the purpose,
functions and focus of the NNEDC. Decisions about the centre’s
purpose largely dictated the kind of functions the NNEDC would deliver,
while the changing context in which the NNEDC will operate meant that
decisions about the focus were as much about ensuring robust
decision-making processes as identifying specific areas of focus.
The Economic Case focuses on the decision whether or not to invest in the NNEDC
As we have developed the Business Case, it is has become clear that
the main choice is whether or not to invest in establishing a National
New-Energy Development Centre, rather than choosing among a
range of different scenarios for the NNEDC. As a result, the Economic
Case differs from a more traditional Business Case, where a wider
range of short-list options are assessed to determine the preferred
way forward.
The economic case presents two main options:
Option 1: No NNEDC
This option represents the status quo and provides a ‘base case’
against which to compare Option 2.
Option 2: The option to establish an NNEDC in
Taranaki
This is the main alternative option (referred to in this Economic Case
as the ‘investment option’). The NNEDC will develop new-energy
solutions to reduce national and global emissions and position
Taranaki at the centre of a national energy transition.
A variation on this option (called Option 2b) enables the NNEDC to
provide additional functionality.
61 Commercial In Confidence
How other energy centres have attempted to measure their economic benefit
We undertook a desk-based review to explore how overseas
energy centres measured their economic benefit, to see if we could
find a robust methodology that could be replicated to assess the
feasibility of establishing a NNEDC.
The Business Research Division at the Leeds School of Business
was commissioned to measure the economic benefit of the
National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) for the United
States Department of Energy.
This analysis used a methodology that was previously developed
by a consortium of United States government-funded scientific
laboratories to measure an earlier commercialisation venture.
While this approach represented the most robust methodology that
we could find, it had significant limitations in terms of the types of
benefits that it measured.
The study used an economic input-output model to quantify the
regional- and national-level impacts from the NREL’s operating
expenditures, construction, off-site employee effects and
secondary effects.
What it did not capture however were the benefits associated with
the purpose of the centre – the innovation and the successful
energy projects that the centre enabled.
3 The assessment of the investment option: The complexity and
uncertainty around the NNEDC meant that a cost-benefit analysis did
not make sense for this Business Case. Instead, to ensure a thorough
assessment, a range of criteria were used to evaluate the investment
option: the investment objectives, critical success factors, the Provincial
Growth Fund strategic objectives, and the Government’s Budget 2019
wellbeing priorities. We also identified how the NNEDC would deliver on
the expected benefits summarised in the Strategic Case.
41 https://www.nrel.gov/about/assets/pdfs/nrel-economic-impact-report-may2015.pdf. Accessed
December 2018.
41
62 Commercial In Confidence
THE LONG-LIST OF OPTIONS
What are the key choices?
The dimensions and framework
The long-list is a big menu of choice, summarising the full range of possible
options for the NNEDC. In the Business Case, this list demonstrates that all
options – good and bad – have been considered.
We have created the long-list of options from:
• stakeholder discussions
• reviews of overseas- and New Zealand-based energy centres and
research institutes
• reviews of research about how best to support product development
and commercialisation in an energy context.
The long-list of options is underpinned by three main dimensions of choice,
shown in the figure on the right. Decisions about the main choices open up a
further set of options about the NNEDC’s funding arrangements, its
approach to service delivery, and how quickly and in what order the centre’s
functions can be established.
We have applied frameworks to guide our thinking about different options,
including the innovation chain (shown on the next page).
63 Commercial In Confidence
We have used the concept of the innovation chain as a framework for
thinking about where the NNEDC would fit in relation to New Zealand’s
science and innovation system. The innovation chain is shown below and
used in the Economic Case to explore different options for what the NNEDC
could look like.
The long-list of options
Pages 64–66 set out the long-list of options according to the three main
dimensions of choice. The long-list is presented in a series of tables, where
the different cells in a given row of a table set out different options (so each
table should be read from left to right). Some options are mutually exclusive,
while some options can be combined together.
64 Commercial In Confidence
Research Development Demonstration Deployment Market accumulation Diffusion
The purpose of the NNEDC could be to undertake science and knowledge accumulation.
The purpose of the NNEDC could be to apply knowledge through pilot, demonstration and first commercial-scale projects.
The purpose of the NNEDC could be to sell technologies on the open market and compete with more mature products.
Research Development Demonstration Deployment Market accumulation Diffusion
Early research and technology development
Pathway to commercialisation Promoting market uptake
• Undertake research
• Fund research
• Identify opportunities that could be commercialised by looking across government, businesses, and the financial and research sectors
• Build the knowledge base of national and international ideas and technology (grow absorptive capacity)
• Fund product development and commercialisation
• Capability and/or facilities to develop solutions and pilot new technologies
• Systematise product design and development, and project management
• Expert advice around marketing, finance and management services
• Prepare feasibility and Business Cases for grant funding and to get investment ready
• Developing and owning intellectual property for commercial purposes
• Selling products in the market place
• Implement systems for standardisation, testing and certification
Connecting and completing the customer ecosystem
Opening doors to form domestic and international relationships between firms, investors, researchers and governments
• Connect the applied research sector (eg universities, CRIs and Product Accelerator) with new-energy challenges and opportunities
• Facilitate product development, demonstration and deployment by:
- connecting to domestic trial customers
- connecting with energy and engineering capability
- getting access to infrastructure
65 Commercial In Confidence
Research Development Demonstration Deployment Market accumulation Diffusion
• Connect sources and opportunities for all stages of financing, from proof-of-concept funding through to post-commercialisation expansion, including foreign direct investment
• Facilitate national and international exchanges of knowledge and ideas, expertise and capability
• Co-location of stakeholders in the ecosystem through tenancy arrangements and/or shared space
• Education and community engagement, demonstrating what’s possible, and influencing consumer behaviours
Showcasing the opportunities
Demonstrating what is possible and promoting new-energy solutions through marketing, forums, events and conferences
• Promote Taranaki and New Zealand as places where new-energy solutions can be developed and commercialised
• Promote investment opportunities to lenders, investors and venture capitalists
• Promote export opportunities
• Promote and educate the community about energy innovations
Being a trusted advisor
Targeted, tailored advice at specific stages of the innovation chain
• Analysis and insights based on national and international sector data for those who need it
• Work with regulators and industry to identify best practice and ensure efficient, safe, and practical trialling and implementation of technologies, and standards development.
• Guide industry and training organisations to re-tool and/or refine technical capability, and help to identify the future capability requirements
• Independent advice to government to inform new-energy strategy and policy
• Advice on IP, funding and partnership arrangements (linked to incubator support as described above)
Making sure the NNEDC focuses on the right things
• Governance
• Investment criteria
• Evaluation and reporting
66 Commercial In Confidence
Forms of energy the NNEDC could focus on
Different ways to focus on a particular type or form of energy
Breadth of what the NNEDC supports
• Hydrogen
• Carbon (carbon capture, storage and use)
• Marine: tidal; offshore wind
• Electricity: demand response; smart grid; micro-grid
• Solar
• Wind
• Waste to energy
• Geothermal
• Bioenergy/ biofuel
• Extent to which technology:
- is created new
- adapted from international sources to a New Zealand context
- translated from one industry to another
• Stage of energy use
- Production (including process heat)
- Storage
- Distribution (eg moving new-energy around existing infrastructure)
- Direct use (including higher end-use)
• Lower energy emissions (eg synfuels, biofuels) versus energy replacement (eg electricity, hydrogen)
• Narrow and deep focus versus broad and wide support
• Number of initiatives (many versus few)
• Extent to which initiatives are:
- investigator-led (eg opportunities identified through new research)
- industry-led (led by companies in the industry)
- mission-led (addressing New Zealand’s energy challenge)
The Business Case focuses on these first three dimensions. Other dimensions of choice need to be informed by
consultation with stakeholders, which will be the next step in the development of the full Business Case. These
choices will strongly inform the Financial and Management Cases.
Service delivery approach Staging of establishment Operational funding for the NNEDC
For each function, there is choice about whether:
• it is delivered in-house with limited contracting out
• a mixed model, with in-house resources and services contracted out and/or delivered in partnership with other organisations
• the function is fully contracted out to a third party
For the NNEDC, there is choice about whether:
• phase by functions – limited functions are fulfilled at the beginning, with additional choice about function scale
• big bang – all functions are implemented at the same time
Economic characteristics of the NNEDC’s functions help to inform the mix of:
• government, versus
• private funding
Funding for initiatives that the NNEDC is supporting
Choice about whether this occurs by:
• administering grant funding
• directing or coordinating private or government funding
• a mix of both.
67 Commercial In Confidence
THE INVESTMENT OPTION
How was the investment option
developed?
The approach to identifying the investment option began with considering
the NNEDC’s purpose. It is critical that the NNEDC has a clearly identified,
unique role that adds value to New Zealand’s science and innovation
system. This decision about purpose strongly informs the choices about the
NNEDC’s functions.
The choice about the kind of new-energy initiatives the NNEDC would focus
on is largely independent of decisions about its purpose and functions. The
initiatives the NNEDC focuses on may change over time, so the Business
Case focuses on determining what kind of process would provide ongoing
support for robust decisions, as well as identifying some potential initial
areas of focus.
Decisions on each of the key choice dimensions were guided by the
investment objectives and critical success factors, the elements of success
identified in the Strategic Case, and factors relevant to the NNEDC being
located in Taranaki.
Purpose: Focusing the NNEDC on product
development, demonstration and deployment
There is a strong case for the NNEDC to focus on activities in the middle of
the innovation chain, as shown in Figure 10.
Figure 10: Purpose of the NNEDC in relation to the innovation chain
Why does it make sense for the NNEDC to focus on product
development, demonstration and deployment?
The NNEDC would play to Taranaki’s strengths, making use of the region’s
capability and expertise to build, test and deploy solutions to new-energy
problems.
There would be strong alignment between the objectives of the NNEDC and
the objectives of organisations within the public sector (including
universities, Callaghan Innovation and GNS). The NNEDC would also
complement other organisations that have strong innovation and
68 Commercial In Confidence
commercialisation objectives (these other organisations are often supported
by government funding). Examples include the Product Accelerator.
The NNEDC would play a lead role in connecting new-energy projects with
expertise in research institutions and private industry to enable new-energy
innovation.
The NNEDC would not seek to undertake new-energy research (the far left
of the innovation chain) because this capability and capacity is already
delivered through the national science and innovation system by universities
and CRIs. However, the NNEDC could have some involvement in this area,
through collaborating and co-ordinating with these organisations and
disseminating research throughout the NNEDC’s customer ecosystem, and
also through helping to influence which research gets done.
Likewise, the NNEDC would not focus on selling new-energy technologies in
the market (the far right of the innovation chain). At this stage of innovation,
it is expected that commercial partnerships would be introducing new
solutions into the market, and that these commercial partnerships would be
far more successful at this than the NNEDC.
Functions: Delivering on the purpose
The decision to focus on product development, demonstration and
deployment strongly informs the choices about which functions the NNEDC
would carry out.
There are five core functions the NNEDC needs to carry out if it is to
successfully deliver the activities in the middle of the innovation chain:
1 Early research and technology development: identify opportunities
that could be commercialised, and build the knowledge base of national
and international ideas and technology.
2 Connecting and completing the ecosystem: attracting and opening
doors to form domestic and international relationships between firms,
investors, researchers and governments.
3 Pathway to commercialisation: support product development and
commercialisation from the development of solutions to piloting of new
technologies to helping initiatives get ‘investment ready’.
4 Trusted advisor: targeted, tailored advice, largely on activities in the
innovation chain where the NNEDC is specialising.
5 Making sure NNEDC focuses on the right things: robust governance
to achieve strategic objectives and report and monitor on the NNEDC’s
performance.
69 Commercial In Confidence
Some further choice
There are additional functions the NNEDC could carry out under this
scenario which require a specialised built physical space.
This introduces a possible dependency with the Innovation Precinct project,
(described in the Strategic Case), with potential to co-locate with the
NNEDC.
Two of these additional functions build on the core functions listed above.
They are:
6 Connecting and completing the eco-system: in addition to the core
functions, there could be co-location of industry stakeholders.
7 Pathway to commercialisation: in addition to other support provided
along the pathway to commercialisation, the NNEDC could provide a
laboratory space for developing and testing new-energy solutions.
And introducing a third, new function:
8 Showcasing the opportunities: providing a space for the NNEDC to
engage with the community and hold events and conferences.
New-energy initiatives: a portfolio approach
As highlighted in the Strategic Case, the future energy pathway is uncertain
and the pace of technological change is fast. Some of the technologies that
will enable a low emissions future are yet to be invented – we therefore
expect the NNEDC to focus on different types of energy projects over time.
The Business Case focuses on describing a robust method for assessing
options to support strategic decision making, and provides a view on what
some of the new-energy projects will be. This is instead of defining a specific
set of energy types and initiatives that the NNEDC must focus on.
The NNEDC would use a portfolio approach, to optimise where it focuses its
efforts. Figure 11 provides a ‘starter for 10’ to illustrate what a possible
portfolio approach might look like. It draws on approaches by other energy
centres and findings from the Productivity Commission report.
A later section of the Economic Case, on page 73, discusses the focus of
the NNEDC in more detail, looking at the types of energy projects that could
make up the centre’s initial focus.
70 Commercial In Confidence
Figure 11: A portfolio approach to determining which energy initiatives the NNEDC supports
71 Commercial In Confidence
So what does the investment option look like? This section provides an illustration of the investment option, building on the
description of the choices described above – the NNEDC’s purpose, its key
functions, and potential initial areas of focus for new-energy initiatives.
What is the NNEDC?
The NNEDC will focus on new-energy innovation that contributes to efforts
in New Zealand and globally to transition to a low-emissions future.
The centre will be a national
hub where major companies
and small and medium-
sized enterprises from
across industry and New
Zealand come together to
work in partnership with
government, research
expertise and leaders.
Diverse energy teams will
create change by unlocking
innovation at scale.
At the same time,
championing new-energy
innovation in Taranaki and
harnessing the region’s
capability, expertise and
knowledge to build, test and
deploy new-energy
solutions.
The NNEDC’s vision is:
A globally successful new-energy industry that leads New Zealand into
a low-emissions future
The NNEDC’s mission is:
An organisation of national significance that fosters a new-energy eco-
system to leverage national and global industry knowledge and
specialist expertise to reduce the time, cost, and risk associated with
developing new-energy technologies
The NNEDC’s unique selling point is:
The collaboration and partnership approach that leverages a powerful
ecosystem of new-energy leaders, mature companies, research
expertise and government to build, test and deploy new-energy
solutions.
72 Commercial In Confidence
What does the NNEDC do?
There are, at a minimum, five core functions the NNEDC will need to carry
out if the new centre is to successfully support the development,
demonstration and deployment of new-energy initiatives.
• Scanning new-energy research and emerging technologies, and
pushing information to stakeholders.
• Identifying new-energy opportunities that will deliver regional, national
and global benefits.
• Developing a knowledge base of accessible new-energy research and
technology.
• Identifying and facilitating access to the right type of specialist expertise
in the applied research sector (for example, universities and CRIs, and
the Energy Efficiency and Conservation Authority) to help solve new-
energy problems.
• Facilitating the development, testing and piloting of energy solutions by:
- Acting as a hub to exchange knowledge, expertise and capability with
other regions and countries
- Connecting new-energy projects that are underway within New
Zealand and overseas
- Identifying the right expertise in Taranaki’s supply chain
- Facilitating access to Taranaki’s energy infrastructure
- Connecting pilot projects with domestic trial customers
- Ensuring the highest safety standards are applied to
development and testing.
• Systematising elements of the commercialisation process and
project management.
• Connecting sources of funding and investment opportunities for all
stages of financing, from proof-of-concept funding through to pilot,
including foreign direct investment.
• Supporting apprenticeship and mentoring programmes, and training
organisations to identify the future capability requirements for the industry.
• Independent, commercially impartial advice to government to inform
thinking around new-energy strategy and policy.
• Working with regulators and industry to reduce potential regulatory
barriers to innovation and ensure best practice health and safety is
applied to the trialling and implementation of new-energy technologies.
• Facilitating tailored access to specialist services to support
commercialisation (including advisory services in marketing, finance and
management), and preparing feasibility and business cases for grant
funding and to help projects get investment-ready.
• Providing robust governance to achieve the NNEDC’s purpose and report
and monitor on the NNEDC’s performance to government and
stakeholders.
73 Commercial In Confidence
What else could the NNEDC do?
Depending on decisions relating to the Innovation Precinct project and the
availability of suitable physical space, the following are also possible
options:
• Co-location of industry stakeholders. This could be in the form of a
closed tenancy or subscription-based office space, or providing a
shared space for meetings and holding events. This service could
provide a source of revenue for the NNEDC.
• A dedicated laboratory space for developing and testing new-
energy solutions. Solutions are expected to be developed and tested
on-site at the premises of the supply chain businesses or other
organisations. However, this assumption needs to be tested as part of
the next stage of detailed planning. There is also a possibility for the
NNEDC to provide on-site laboratory facilities.
• A place to engage with the community. The NNEDC could have a
dedicated space for stakeholders – including businesses and new-
energy projects – to encourage and facilitate networking (the
importance of this function was a key learning from the Ōtaki Clean
Energy Centre). The facility would also showcase new-energy solutions
and demonstrate how they are working towards a low emissions future.
What will the NNEDC focus on?
The NNEDC will focus on innovation that contributes
to efforts in New Zealand and globally to transition to
a low-emissions future
We have gained valuable insight into the types of energy projects that the
NNEDC will support through our engagement with stakeholders in the
development of the Business Case, combined with an understanding of
some of the unique challenges New Zealand will face on its journey to a low-
emissions future.
It is likely that the majority of the energy projects in the NNEDC’s portfolio
will involve a combination of energy forms and consider multiple ways that
energy infrastructure can be used within the context of the New Zealand and
global energy systems.
We also anticipate the majority of the NNEDC’s focus will be on energy
projects that involve collaboration and partnerships with mature companies
and their supply chain network, rather than new start-up ventures.
The case study on page 34 illustrates an example of what we expect will be
a ‘typical’ energy project supported by the NNEDC.
It is important to note that, notwithstanding the comments above, the
NNEDC’s portfolio approach will also give priority to projects that may be
more narrow in focus, for example on a particular energy type or application
of use. There will also be space in the portfolio for start-up ideas that need a
strong incubator focus.
Appendix 4 contains a summary of information that may help to inform the
future areas of focus for the NNEDC.
74 Commercial In Confidence
ASSESSMENT OF THE INVESTMENT OPTIONWhat are the criteria for assessing the
investment option?
Recommendation is based on an assessment against
a range of criteria
A cost benefit analysis is traditionally used to assess the short-list options
and identify the preferred approach. However, this investment proposal
involves a high level of uncertainty. There is no way to know for sure what
success would look like and how to quantify the benefits of the proposal.
This is a similar problem to what the government faced when it was
considering whether or not to invest in the Regional Research Institute
initiative. To address this, we have used a criteria-based approach to
consider and assess the merits of investing in the NNEDC in Taranaki.
We have considered the case for the NNEDC against a range of different
criteria, as set out below.
Ability to achieve investment objectives
The investment objectives were identified in the Strategic Case and are
restated below:
Criteria
Investment objective
Objective 1: Establish a nationally significant institution that increases the rate of successful new-energy innovation to help achieve New Zealand’s emissions targets
Objective 2: Utilise Taranaki’s skills, capability and infrastructure to help lead the region’s transition to a low-emissions economy
Assessment against critical success factors
The critical success factors were developed using the BBC guidelines and
then tailored to the specifics of the NNEDC investment proposal. The critical
success factors are summarised in the table below.
A relative weighting was applied to each of the critical success factors.
‘Strategic fit and business needs’ was seen as the most important, followed
by ‘potential achievability’, ‘potential affordability’ and ‘potential value for
money’. It is expected the NNEDC would have limited need for services from
third-party providers, and therefore supplier capacity and capability is a less
important critical success factor.
Critical success
factors Proposal-specific critical success factors
Strategic fit and
business needs
How well the investment option meets the needs of Taranaki,
government and stakeholders, and helps to protect the environment.
Potential value
for money
How well the option delivers value for money (that is, generates the
optimal mix of potential benefits, costs and associated risks).
Supplier capacity
and capability
How well the option matches the ability of potential suppliers to deliver
the required services.
Potential
affordability
How far the investment option can access public funding to enable
new-energy innovation.
How far the operating costs can be met from likely available funding.
Potential
achievability
How well the option:
• is able to increase new-energy innovation for global, national and
regional benefit
• is able to attract and maintain stakeholders in its innovation
ecosystem
• matches the level of available skills required for successful delivery.
75 Commercial In Confidence
Assessment against Provincial Growth Fund criteria
We used the Provincial Growth Fund criteria to assess the alignment of the
investment option with the Government’s priorities for provincial investment
more generally.
Provincial Growth Fund strategic objectives
Creating jobs, leading to sustainable economic growth
Increasing social inclusion and participation
Enabling Māori to realise aspirations in all aspects of the economy
Encouraging environmental sustainability and helping New Zealand meet climate
change commitments alongside productive use of land, water and other resources
Improving resilience, particularly of critical infrastructure, and by diversifying our
economy
Wellbeing impacts
Budget 2019 is known as the Wellbeing Budget, broadening the focus
beyond economic and fiscal policy by using the Treasury's Living Standards
Framework to inform the Government's investment priorities and funding
decisions. We have considered how the investment option impacts on the
wellbeing domains, four capitals and how the NNEDC will build resilience
and mitigate risk.
Wellbeing domains
Civic engagement and governance Jobs and earnings
Cultural identity Knowledge and skills
Environment Health
Safety Social connections
Subjective wellbeing Income and consumption
Time-use Housing
Four capitals
Financial Human
Natural Social
76 Commercial In Confidence
What is the assessment of the
investment option?
Stakeholders have worked together closely to determine the practical
implications of establishing an NNEDC in Taranaki, and to analyse how the
NNEDC would benefit the Taranaki region and New Zealand and contribute
to global efforts to reduce emissions.
Ability to meet investment objectives
Through the process described above it was clear that the option to
establish a NNEDC in Taranaki meets the investment objectives.
The NNEDC would fill a niche role within New Zealand’s national science
and innovation system, acting as a hub and working collaboratively with
institutions and businesses here and overseas to grow new-energy
innovation in New Zealand.
By harnessing the region’s capability and expertise, the NNEDC will provide
a platform for the Taranaki region to retool and help businesses to reinvent
what they do and pivot into new processes and products.
Assessment against critical success factors
In terms of strategic fit and business needs, the NNEDC meets the
investment objectives, related businesses needs and demonstrates strong
alignment with national and regional objectives and strategies – from the
government’s objective for a low emissions future, the Productivity
Commission’s recommendations for more innovation, and Taranaki’s
Tapuae Roa Action Plan which identifies the need for an energy centre.
The investment option provides value for money, which is the mix of
potential benefits, costs and risks. A clear set of functions are identified that
will enable the NNEDC to deliver on its mission and vision. Additional
functions that may require significant capital investment, such as a purpose-
built laboratory, can be considered as a separate investment proposal at a
later stage.
The investment option is achievable. The NNEDC can be implemented in
such a way that it is not too big or overly ambitious at the beginning, and
scaled up over time as it achieves a successful track record, attracting new
stakeholders to its ecosystem and supporting an increasing number of
complex energy projects.
Assessment against Provincial Growth Fund
criteria
The investment option aligns to all five of the criteria of the Provincial Growth
Fund, with strong alignment to two of the criteria in particular.
At its heart, the NNEDC seeks to achieve environmental sustainability by
helping New Zealand to meet its climate change commitments, exploring
new-energy opportunities that, once realised, will allow us to use our
resources in new and better ways.
The NNEDC will strengthen the region’s resilience by helping to diversify the
energy industry beyond oil and gas, generating new business activity
through new-energy innovation, enabling opportunities to export new-energy
technology, and retool the supply chain network. The NNEDC will help
industry to shape its future apprenticeship and training programmes to
maintain a highly skilled and sought after workforce in the region.
77 Commercial In Confidence
Wellbeing analysis
Lifting knowledge and skills
Facilitating the exchange of knowledge and specialist expertise
The NNEDC’s core role is to facilitate the exchange of domestic and
international new-energy knowledge and specialist expertise within and
across industry. This will reduce the overall cost and time required for
innovating, and it will increase stakeholders’ capacity for innovation and the
success of their innovation projects. Individual firms will not have to build
knowledge bases and networks from scratch, nor struggle to access the
infrastructure needed to develop new technologies.
Growing the knowledge base
The NNEDC will increase firm-level engagement and investment, leading to
new knowledge and skills being created and dispersed in firms and across
sectors, for Taranaki and New Zealand.
Serving as a catalyst, the NNEDC will remove barriers to new-energy
innovation. It will facilitate access to investment funding for capital-intensive
activities, enable quicker and easier access to sophisticated research and
engineering acumen, and support the development and prototyping of new
solutions.
Attracting and retaining new knowledge, skills and investments
to Taranaki and New Zealand
The NNEDC will promote Taranaki as a place to achieve meaningful
innovations in new-energy technologies. The centre will share knowledge of
government’s investments, showcase local investments and technology
advancements, and enable access to innovation infrastructure and
networks.
Individuals and firms from across New Zealand and offshore will benefit from
their association with the NNEDC through energy projects and by becoming
directly involved in new business opportunities derived through the centre’s
activities. These same participants will also bring new knowledge and
opportunities into the region for others to exploit and benefit from.
For businesses that have historically relied on the oil and gas industry, the
new centre will provide a platform for retooling and continuing to make use
of their assets.
Directing the transfer of knowledge to other organisations and
regions in New Zealand
The NNEDC will pro-actively disperse new knowledge to participants and
regions in the New Zealand economy that are also investigating new-energy
developments.
The energy centre’s activities will also drive spill-over benefits. It will draw
connections between similar activities and attract national input for them. It
will also benefit local citizens living and working in proximity to the energy
centre by providing exposure to innovation and enterprise activities.
Growing jobs and earnings
The NNEDC will enable firms and their employees in Taranaki and across
New Zealand to avoid job and earnings losses by transitioning into new-
energy business opportunities.
The NNEDC will work closely with Taranaki’s strong apprenticeship, training
and mentoring programmes to help shape future skills development.
A healthier environment
Increased levels of successful new-energy innovation will enable New
Zealand to develop solutions and adapt overseas technology advancements
to New Zealand conditions. This will help diversify Taranaki’s – and the
country’s – energy industry, and enable the industry to transition away from
its reliance on carbon-based energy.
78 Commercial In Confidence 31 May 2019 8.51 AM
FINANCIAL CASE
79 Commercial In Confidence
COST OF RUNNING THE NNEDC
Distinguishing the cost of running the NNEDC from the cost
of energy projects
Most of the finance case is focused on the costs associated with
running the NNEDC, rather than the costs associated with delivering
energy projects. Given the uncertainty about what the future energy
projects might be, we have not attempted to provide any cost estimate
for these. In the section on potential funding arrangements, we do
identify some possible funding options for energy projects, as well as
outlining how the NNEDC could be funded.
Approach to estimating the running costs
The financial case estimates the cost of the NNEDC, using both top-down
and bottom-up analysis. The top-down analysis has compared the proposed
NNEDC to public-sector agencies that are similar in size and scale and to
overseas energy centres.
The bottom-up analysis used a purpose-built financial model that estimated
operating and capital cost over five years from 2019/20 to 2024/25 (the
period over which the NNEDC would be established and achieve a steady
state of operations).
The financial model is based on a number of assumptions, including the
NNEDC’s service delivery approach (for example, reflecting choice about
when the NNEDC would “buy in” services versus using its own staff), the
number and type of FTE employees needed to carry out the NNEDC’s
functions, and the type of administrative and support services that the
energy centre would use.
We have given careful thought to these assumptions, analysing the nature of
the NNEDC functions; examining various approaches to service delivery in
other organisations, and drawing on our own expertise in organisational
design.
Page 81 summarises the main assumptions that we have used to estimate
the cost of the NNEDC. The Management Case provides further detail about
these assumptions, including:
• the implementation plan (which informs the establishment cost)
• the governance arrangements for the NNEDC
• the number of personnel that would work for the NNEDC and the types
of job positions that would be needed.
Cost estimate 2019/20–2023/24
The following page sets out the estimate of the NNEDC’s running costs in
delivering the functions that are presented in the economic case for
Options 2 and 2b.
Over five years from 2019/20 to 2023/24, the total cost is estimated to be
between $35.2 and $43.6 million. The cost estimate is presented using a
range to reflect the level of uncertainty about the future cost, in particular in
the out years.
Most of the expenditure for Option 2 is expected to be operating cost to
establish and run the NNEDC, with some capital costs incurred to set up the
NNEDC’s office space. Most of the additional cost associated with Option 2b
is capital expenditure to provide a co-working environment for stakeholders
and set up a laboratory space, as well as some ongoing operating cost to
maintain and run the laboratory.
80 Commercial In Confidence
Figure 12: Total cost estimate 2019/20–2023/24
Table 3: Operating and capital cost estimate
Figure 13: Key cost items
lower range upper range lower range upper range lower range upper range lower range upper range lower range upper range lower range upper range
Operating expenses
Personnel costs 3.060 3.740 4.320 5.280 5.130 6.270 5.130 6.270 5.130 6.270
Staff salaries
ACC and superannuation
Operating costs 1.350 1.650 2.160 2.640 2.610 3.190 2.610 3.190 2.610 3.190
Recruitment
Training
Accommodation
HR, finance and legal services
Travel
Evaluation and monitoring
Commercialisation advice
Laboratory operations
Social media, networking and engagement
Depreciation - - 0.003 0.003 0.045 0.055 0.045 0.055 0.045 0.055
Total operating expenses 4.410 5.390 6.483 7.923 7.785 9.515 7.785 9.515 7.785 9.515 34.248 41.858
Capital investment
Leasehold improvements 0.036 0.044 0.540 0.660 - - - - - -
Laboratory set-up 0.388 1.076
Total capital investment 0.036 0.044 0.540 0.660 0.388 1.076 - - - - 0.964 1.780
TOTAL COST 4.446 5.434 7.023 8.583 8.173 10.591 7.785 9.515 7.785 9.515 35.211 43.639
Years 1-52020/21
Year 1
2019/20
Year 2 Year 5 and ongoing
2023/24
TOTALYear 3
2021/22
Year 4
2022/23
81 Commercial In Confidence
Modelling assumptions and notes
Level of certainty of cost estimates
The cost estimates presented in the Business Case are based on the most
up-to-date information available. They are likely to change over time as
further detail is developed about how the NNEDC will operate.
The Business Case takes this level of uncertainty into account by presenting
the cost estimate using an upper and lower range of +/- 10%.
The management case discusses the work the establishment group will do
to undertake further cost analysis and develop a detailed budget for the
NNEDC and organisational design (see page 88).
Personnel cost
• The personnel cost assumes a staffing complement from Year 3
onwards of 35 delivery staff and 9 management and administrative
staff. Staffing levels increase from Years 1 to 3, reflecting an expected
staff recruitment profile.
• The bottom-up analysis has identified approximately how many delivery
staff will be needed to carry out the energy centre’s functions and how
senior they will need to be. These roles are described in the
management case (see page 91).
• The number and type of management positions is based on initial
thinking about how the NNEDC might be organised to deliver its
functions. Detailed organisational design work will be done as part of
the transition phase for establishing the NNEDC.
• Roles are designed at relatively senior levels. This reflects the need for
leaders with high capability who can engage with a range of senior
stakeholders within New Zealand and overseas. It also reflects the
need to compete for high-calibre expertise with overseas energy
centres and the wider energy sector. The personnel cost is
benchmarked against other public-sector agencies and overseas
energy centres to make sure it is reasonable (see page 83).
Operating costs
• Recruitment cost is based on a percentage of salary cost for new staff
who join the NNEDC and an assumed level of annual turnover.
• Accommodation expenditure includes the cost of leasing building
space. The NNEDC would be housed in temporary accommodation in
Year 1.
In Year 2, the NNEDC would move into its permanent accommodation.
This lease cost is based on the upper end of the range of New
Plymouth’s commercial office market, reflecting the expected quality of
the NNEDC’s permanent accommodation. The leased space would be
bigger than the temporary accommodation, providing additional office
space for stakeholders to co-locate with the NNEDC and an open,
shared space for showcasing and holding events.
• HR, finance, legal and ICT costs are based on a per-FTE rate identified
in Treasury’s benchmarking of public-sector agencies.
• The NNEDC is assumed to have a higher than average travel
requirement. This is because it will have core networking and facilitating
functions and will be required to work closely with stakeholders from
across New Zealand and overseas.
• Training costs are set as a percentage of staff salary cost and are
comparable to other public-sector organisations.
• The NNEDC will purchase services from third parties to:
- evaluate and monitor how effectively it is delivering on its intended
purpose
- support the NNEDC in producing publications
82 Commercial In Confidence
- maintain a social media presence
- hold events and conferences
- provide energy projects with advice on commercialisation.
Leasehold improvement cost
The NNEDC’s temporary accommodation in Year 1 would require a small,
leasehold improvement.
In Year 2, the NNEDC would incur a more significant leasehold improvement
to prepare for its permanent accommodation. This cost is based on the
upper end of the range of office fit-out and improvement cost.
The portion of the leasehold cost (and the ongoing operating costs) that
relate to the shared, open space is co-funded by other building tenants who
would also use and benefit from the space.
Laboratory cost
In Year 3, the NNEDC would establish laboratory facilities. The capital
expenditure required to set-up the facility and the operational costs to
maintain it are based on the middle of the range for setting up and running
laboratory costs for academic facilities.
83 Commercial In Confidence
BENCHMARKING
We have compared the NNEDC against a group of public sector agencies
and overseas energy centres to put the NNEDC’s forecast expenditure and
staffing levels into perspective (see Table 4).
Table 4: Benchmarking
Comparator organisations Relevant factors
Public-sector organisations
Serious Fraud Office
Similar numbers of personnel to NNEDC Ministry for Pacific Peoples
Ministry for Women
Overseas energy centres
Australian Renewable Energy
Agency Overseas energy centres with a national focus and
functions similar to the NNEDC (see Appendix 1 for
a list of each centre’s functions), and where financial
information is publicly available
Ore Catapult (UK)
National Renewable Energy
Laboratory (US)
42 The figures that are used for the NNEDC reflect a scenario where the energy centre has been
established successfully and has reached a steady state of operations.
The NNEDC’s annual operating cost is forecast to be
comparable to public-sector agencies but well below
that of overseas energy centres
Figure 14 shows that the NNEDC’s annual operating expenditure is
comparable to the group of public-sector agencies, but that it is only a third
of ARENA’s and Ore Catapult’s operating cost, and 2% of that of the
National Renewable Energy Laboratory. The figures exclude any grant
funding given to energy projects.42
Figure 14: Benchmarking 2017 annual operating expenditure
84 Commercial In Confidence
The NNEDC is estimated to have fewer staff than
overseas energy centres
Figure 15 shows the NNEDC’s number of staff and average personnel cost
per staff member in relation to the comparator organisations. Only one of
those other organisations had a lower personnel cost per staff member.
Compared to the overseas energy centres, the NNEDC has significantly
fewer personnel: half that of ARENA, one third that of Ore Catapult, and only
3% of the National Renewable Energy Laboratory’s total staffing
complement.
Figure 15: Benchmarking personnel
43 This cohort consists of agencies with fewer than 500 FTEs and operating costs of more than $100
million.
The costs of the NNEDC’s administrative and support
services are expected to be comparable to other small
public-sector agencies
Figure 16 compares the NNEDC against the small agency cohort in
Treasury’s benchmarking of administrative and support services (BASS).43
Although this data is for the 2016/17 financial year (the most recent period
for which the benchmarking exercise was done), it provides a useful
comparison of the NNEDC’s non-personnel costs against other public-sector
agencies.
Figure 16 shows that the NNEDC’s administrative and support services
costs, as a percentage of its annual operating cost, is forecast to be
between the median and lower quartile of the cohort. This reflects the fact
that the NNEDC is smaller than other agencies in the cohort and it is more
difficult for it to achieve economies of scale compared to a larger
organisation in that cohort.
85 Commercial In Confidence
Figure 16: Benchmarking administrative and support services
Overseas energy centres have a high proportion of
government funding
Figure 17 shows that two of the three comparator energy centres are fully
funded by government. The third centre, Ore Catapult, is 85% funded by
government, with commercial revenue making up the balance.
Table 7 in Appendix 1 summarises funding information for a larger cohort of
energy centres. Although there is limited information publicly available,
government appears to be the largest funder for these other energy centres
too, and the amount of public funding appears to be significant.
Figure 17: Benchmarking proportion of government funding
The approach to funding energy projects varies
across different energy centres
Most energy centres help stakeholders access existing government funding
and connect projects with investors and industry funding, but do not directly
allocate public funding themselves.
The Australia Renewable Energy Agency (ARENA) is one example of an
energy centre that does allocate public funding for projects. ARENA’s grant
funding responsibilities are established by legislation, and the agency has
been delegated $2 billion to invest in renewable energy projects until 2022.
In 2018, ARENA allocated $176 million of this funding to energy projects.
86 Commercial In Confidence
POSSIBLE FUNDING ARRANGEMENTS FOR THE NNEDC AND ENERGY PROJECTS
This section summarises possible options for funding the NNEDC’s
operations and the energy projects that it supports.
Funding the NNEDC’s operations
In the NNEDC’s initial period of operations (Years 1–5), central government
is likely to fund most of the energy centre’s establishment and running costs,
through grant funding (for example, the Provincial Growth Fund) or a new
parliamentary appropriation.
Local government could contribute significant assets to help establish the
NNEDC, as well as a cash contribution toward ongoing costs. In the
management case, we set out a scenario where the council provides land to
a third-party developer in order to create a long-term accommodation
solution for the NNEDC.
Industry is also expected to provide some funding for the NNEDC. As well
as monetary support, this could include providing in-kind funding by
supplying personnel, allowing the use of facilities or other assets, and
delivering services or specific tasks.
Any short-term funding carries a risk that the NNEDC will be unable to enter
into long-term contracts (for example accommodation leases) or attract and
retain high-quality staff. To mitigate this risk, a key stakeholder such as local
government could underwrite the NNEDC.
Beyond Year 5, central government is still expected to be a major funder of
the NNEDC, but there would be increasing possibility for a greater
proportion of the funding to come from industry and other sources.
Funding energy projects
At this stage, the NNEDC’s role is not expected to include directly allocating
funding to energy projects – although this could become an objective for the
centre in the longer term.
Instead, energy projects will be funded from a variety of other sources.
Project sponsors and participants would provide cash contributions and in-
kind support. The nature of these funding arrangements would vary project
by project.
To supplement these contributions, the NNEDC would connect energy projects
with opportunities for funding and investment by government, industry and
international sources. Possible examples include:
• public funding from a Vote appropriation, grant funding from the
Provincial Growth Fund, or investments made by the New Zealand
Venture Investment Fund or the Green Investment Fund (see page 53
for information on these funds and their intended purpose)
• contributions from universities, public-good research organisations,
Crown Research Institutes, and other private- and public-sector
researchers – based here or overseas
• private investments made for commercial purposes by organisations or
individuals based in New Zealand or overseas.
87 Commercial In Confidence
MANAGEMENT CASE
88 Commercial In Confidence 31 May 2019 8.51 AM
ARRANGEMENTS TO ESTABLISH THE NNEDC
The NNEDC would be established using a project-based approach (in this
section we use the term “establishment project”).
Figure 18 summarises the proposed governance and delivery
arrangements for the project. The project owners would be the Venture
Taranaki Board of Trustees. They would provide public accountability for
the project and also the governance expertise needed to successfully
establish the NNEDC. The board would be accountable for establishing the
NNEDC successfully, and would:
• approve the establishment plan to operationalise the NNEDC
• approve key establishment decisions until the chairperson of the
NNEDC governance board is appointed
• facilitate the appointment of the chairperson to the NNEDC’s
governance board.
Venture Taranaki would be the contracting party for any funding
agreements to establish the NNEDC and with employees and suppliers
that the project needs to engage.
An advisory board would maintain oversight of the delivery of the project
and provide assurance to the board of trustees that the project is on track.
The stakeholder reference group would provide an open channel of
communication between NNEDC stakeholders and the establishment
project to make sure the project delivers on stakeholders’ expectations.
This group would also provide the “voice of the customer” to inform the
board of trustees’ decision-making.
A dedicated programme manager would carry out the bulk of the work to
establish the NNEDC, supported by a small establishment team.
The establishment project would conclude once the NNEDC is operational.
Figure 18: Transition arrangements
89 Commercial In Confidence
ESTABLISHMENT “NEXT STEPS”
The figure below summarises the key “next steps” to establish the NNEDC,
with further detail on each of the steps following the diagram. Step 1 would
commence once there is sufficient establishment funding and agreement
of ongoing funding arrangements.
Immediate next steps (eg 2–6 months)
1 NNEDC stakeholders, once there is agreement to proceed, sign a
memorandum of understanding that:
- identifies the members of the establishment project advisory
group, including the chair of the group
- identifies the members of the stakeholder advisory group
- sets the “go–live” date for the NNEDC
- confirms agreement in-principle to the proposed funding
arrangements (including cash and in-kind support).
2 The establishment project advisory group, the programme manager
(along with any project team members) and stakeholder advisory
group are appointed.
3 The programme manager develops an establishment plan that sets
out the detailed approach for operationalising the NNEDC, for
endorsement by the project advisory group and approval by the
Venture Taranaki board.
The establishment plan would be endorsed by the NNEDC
stakeholder reference group and approved by the Venture Taranaki
board of trustees.
Among other things, the establishment plan would include further
analysis and decision making on:
- the detailed transition budget
- a short-term funding plan, including in-kind and cash
contributions from government and industry stakeholders
90 Commercial In Confidence
- income and expenditure budgets for years 1–4
- milestone goals for the NNEDC for years 1–4
- benefits measurement plan
- approach to determining the NNEDC legal form
- expected employment arrangements for permanent NNEDC
personnel
- short-term accommodation arrangements
- a vision for longer-term accommodation needs and a plan to
achieve this
- provision of administrative support services.
4 The stakeholder advisory group develops the stakeholder
engagement plan to build a critical mass of active support for the
NNEDC. The engagement plan covers the period of the establishment
project and the early operations of the NNEDC.
Medium-term next steps (eg 6–12 months)
5 The establishment plan and the stakeholder engagement plans are
implemented.
6 The Venture Taranaki board of trustees works collaboratively with
stakeholders to identify nominees for the chairperson and members of
the NNEDC governance board. The legal entity for the NNEDC is
established and a chairperson appointed to the NNEDC governance
board.
7 Negotiate a five year funding agreement with the Crown and local
government.
8 Supported by the establishment project, the NNEDC board:
- determines the governance board arrangements in accordance
with best governance practice
- appoints a chief executive to the NNEDC
- develops an action plan for the first 90-days of the NNEDC’s
operations, to enable the NNEDC to “hit the ground running”
9 The chief executive confirms the NNEDC’s operating model and
undertakes organisational design, and starts recruiting for key roles.
10 The Venture Taranaki board of trustees and the NNEDC chairperson
agree a plan to hand over any remaining establishment activities to
the NNEDC.
91 Commercial In Confidence
PEOPLE AND GOVERNANCE
Governance
Once the NNEDC is operational, the governance board would set the
strategy and oversee the performance of the organisation, supported by a
number of board committees (shown in the figure below).
Energy project committee
The energy project committee would have an important role within the
NNEDC. Responsible for the strategy and process for prioritising and
selecting energy projects, its objective will be to ensure formal and
transparent arrangements are in place to achieve the optimal portfolio of
energy projects.
The committee would review the energy project pipeline and monitor the
progress of projects against KPIs and milestones. The committee would also
review lessons learnt from projects, both successful and unsuccessful ones.
This will ensure the NNEDC is actively learning how to grow its capabilities
so that it can enable successful innovation.
The role of NPDC in enabling possible accommodation options
The New Plymouth District Council (NPDC) understands the critical
role that local governments play in the success of overseas energy
centres; not only in terms of leadership but in practical ways that
assist in the establishment of the energy centre and enable its
ongoing success.
In New Plymouth, the NPDC sees the NNEDC becoming a flagship
facility in the city’s central business district, playing a key role in
revitalising the area.
To this end, and subject to formal approvals, the council would
consider leveraging some of its key central city landholdings and
assets so that the vision of a flagship facility can be realised.
92 Commercial In Confidence
NNEDC personnel
The success of the NNEDC will depend on the capability and
capacity of its personnel. They will need to demonstrate the value
of the NNEDC within a short period and establish a track record
of success, while working very closely with a wide range of
stakeholders.
The approach to identifying capability and capacity need
As noted in the financial case, a bottom-up analysis has identified
approximately how many staff will be needed to carry out the
NNEDC’s functions and how senior they should be. This analysis
was benchmarked against public-sector organisations and
overseas energy centres to check that it is reasonable. The
number and type of management positions was based on initial
thinking about how the NNEDC might be organised to deliver
those functions.
The figure on the right indicates the NNEDC’s personnel
requirements and the services the energy centre would purchase
from third parties.
Importantly, until further organisational design has been
completed this view is indicative only. It is expected that, in
practice, some of these personnel and services would be
provided by stakeholders as in-kind funding.
93 Commercial In Confidence
APPENDIX 1: COMPARISON OF ENERGY CENTRES FROM AROUND THE WORLD
Combining insights from stakeholders who have visited energy centres in other countries with our own desk-based research, we have explored other energy
centres. In the tables below, we highlight the key attributes of a small sample of seven successful energy centres, looking at:
• the purpose or mission statement of the energy centre
• the main functions that it delivers to its customers
• how the energy centre is funded, and whether it is responsible for allocating any grant
funding
• the main stakeholders that make up the customer eco-system.
Table 5 summarises the key features of each energy centre and their mission and vision statements.
Table 5: Comparison of energy centres: Purpose/ mission statement
Jurisdiction Key notes Mission statement
Australian Renewable Energy
Agency
https://arena.gov.au/about/
Australia Established on 1 July 2012 by The Australian Renewable
Energy Agency Act 2011, taking responsibility for a number of
programs and projects managed by the Australian Centre for
Renewable Energy, the Department of Resources, Energy and
Tourism, and the Australian Solar Institute
Mission: To enable more renewables and lower emissions by
driving innovation and commercialisation.
Purpose: To accelerate Australia’s shift affordable and reliable
renewable energy.
Provides funding for projects with demonstrated feasibility and
potential commercialisation, builds and supports networks, and
shares knowledge insights and data from funded projects.
ORE Catapult
https://ore.catapult.org.uk/about-us/
United Kingdom The Offshore Renewable Energy Catapult was established in
2013 by the UK Government and is one of a network of
Catapults set up by Innovate UK in high growth industries. It is
the UK’s leading innovation centre for offshore renewable
energy.
Vision: By 2023, we will be the world’s leading offshore renewable
energy technology centre.
Mission: To accelerate the creation and growth of UK companies in
the offshore renewable energy sector, with particular focus on
supporting:
• testing and validation
• research and innovation
• improving operation and performance.
94 Commercial In Confidence
Jurisdiction Key notes Mission statement
New Energy Coalition
https://newenergycoalition.org/about-
us/
The Netherlands The New Energy Coalition is a knowledge and network
organisation for energy transition.
Located on a large university campus, the New Energy
Coalition shares office space in the Energy Transition Centre
alongside other energy focused organisations.
Mission: To provide a substantial contribution at national and
international level to the energy transition by accelerating the
energy transition by providing: 1. scientific breakthroughs 2.
breakthroughs in industrial applications, processes and products 3.
breakthroughs in people’s thinking and actions, and 4.
breakthroughs in the manner of innovation.
European Marine Energy Centre
http://www.emec.org.uk/about-us/
United Kingdom Provides developers of both wave and tidal energy
technologies.
Established in 2003, EMEC was set up by a grouping of public
sector organisations following a recommendation by the House
of Commons Science and Technology Committee in 2001.
Office space is shared on a university campus. The centre
runs a purpose-built, accredited open-sea testing facility that
connects up to 5 different marine or tidal pilots at one time.
Vision: A globally successful marine energy industry as part of a
clean energy system
Mission: Reducing the time, cost, and risk associated with the
development of marine energy technologies, maximising the use of
our bespoke facilities, industry knowledge, and unprecedented
experience.
ECN part of TNO
https://www.ecn.nl/home/
The Netherlands TNO and ECN have clustered their strengths in ECN part of
TNO.
TNO was founded by law in 1932 to enable business and
government to apply knowledge. They are an independent
organisation, separate from any part of government, university
or company.
Vision: Accelerate the energy transition together with knowledge
institutions, companies and the government so that in 2050 the
Netherlands will have an energy regime free of CO2 emissions. The
energy transition also offers the Dutch business community the
opportunity to lead the way and to export their innovative products
and thus contribute to the energy transition worldwide.
China National Renewable Energy
Centre
http://www.cnrec.org.cn/english
China China National Renewable Energy Centre (CNREC) is the
national institution for assisting China’s energy authorities in
renewable energy (RE) policy research, and industrial
management and coordination.
NREC’s establishment is an important part of the Sino-Danish
Renewable Energy Development Programme, a joint effort
between China and Denmark which aims a developing the RE
technology and the capability of the authorities to manage the
rapid development for renewable energy in China.
As a think tank and knowledge centre, CNREC will become a state-
level non-profit institute with high reputation in RE field through
development of excellent research tool and methodology; and as
the business supportive institute for the RE industry, CNREC
should, through capacity building activities, develop into a
comprehensive service force, creating collaboration among industry,
education and research in the field of RE, in order to push the
development of the national RE industry in a healthy and constant
manner.
National renewable energy
laboratory
https://www.nrel.gov/
USA The National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) is the
U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE’s) primary national
laboratory for renewable energy and energy efficiency
research.
The National Renewable Energy Laboratory is managed for
the U.S. Department of Energy's Office of Energy Efficiency
and Renewable Energy by the Alliance for Sustainable Energy,
LLC, a partnership between Battelle and MRIGlobal.
NREL advances the science and engineering of energy efficiency,
sustainable transportation, and renewable power technologies and
provides the knowledge to integrate and optimize energy systems.
95 Commercial In Confidence
Table 6 provides a high level summary of the main functions that each energy centre delivers.
Table 6: Comparison of energy centres: Functions
Key functions
Policy support
to government
Connecting
stakeholders,
building
networks
Undertake
and/ or
disseminate
research
Enable
demonstration and
commercialisation
Promote market
uptake
Laboratory for
developing and
testing
Advisory services
(either
commercialisation
or technology
focussed)
Physical co- -
location with
stakeholders
Australian Renewable
Energy Agency ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
ORE Catapult
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
New Energy Coalition
✓ ✓ Education
✓
European Marine Energy
Centre ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
ECN part of TNO
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
ECN undertakes
testing
✓ Strong consulting
aspect
China National Renewable
Energy Centre ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
National renewable energy
laboratory ✓ ✓ Education
✓ ✓ ✓
96 Commercial In Confidence
We attempted to identify the funding arrangements and determine whether or not the energy centres allocated any grant funding to energy projects, however
this was not possible to achieve by way of a desk-based exercise. Table 7 summarises the limited funding information that we could glean (noting that it does
not provide a full funding picture). What was clear in our research is that government contributes a significant proportion of total funding to these energy
centres, and that the amount of public funding provided is significant.
Table 7: Comparison of energy centres: Funding arrangements
Notes about funding arrangements
Australian Centre for Renewable
Energy
Jointly manages a $200 million Clean Energy Innovation Fund with the Clean Energy Finance Corporation (CEFC).
Part of a broader $2 billion government funding package over 9 years (to 2022). Investments guided by General Funding Strategy, approved by Minister,
with annual investment plans.
ORE Catapult Labs worth £250 million.
Innovate UK Core Funding £15.025 million and commercial income of £3.987 million.
New Energy Coalition The Energy Valley Foundation is financed on a project basis by a large group of strategic partners from the business community, knowledge institutions,
and the government.
European Marine Energy Centre To date, around £34 million of government funding has been invested in the Centre by the Scottish Government, Highlands and Islands Enterprise, The
Carbon Trust, UK Government, Scottish Enterprise, the European Union and Orkney Islands Council.
The centre comprises approximately 10-15 FTE staff.
The purpose-built, accredited open-sea testing facilities cost approximately £10 million to build.
ECN part of TNO Annual report in Dutch.
China National Renewable
Energy Centre
No publically available information.
National renewable energy
laboratory
More than 80% of NREL’s funding is through the Department of Energy’s Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy. Total funding information not
publically available.
97 Commercial In Confidence
Table 8 shows that the majority of energy centres take a broad approach to what they focus on.
Table 8: Comparison of energy centres: Main areas of focus
Wide focus,
with no area of
speciality
Narrow focus on a particular energy form
Hydrogen Oil and gas Marine/ tidal Electricity/ smart
grid/ micro grid
Solar Wind Waste to energy
Australian Centre for
Renewable Energy
✓ Priorities in any
given year set
through
Investment Plan
ORE Catapult
✓
New Energy Coalition
European Marine Energy
Centre
✓
ECN
✓
China National Renewable
Energy Centre
✓
National renewable energy
laboratory
✓
98 Commercial In Confidence
APPENDIX 2: A HISTORY OF ENERGY CENTRES IN NEW ZEALAND
Case study: New Zealand Clean Energy Centre
After 7 years in the making, the New Zealand Clean Energy Centre opened in 2007,
at the northern gateway to Taupō on State Highway 1.
The purpose of the New Zealand Clean Energy Centre was to accelerate New
Zealand’s adoption of clean, renewable energy solutions by having innovative clean
energy businesses working alongside each other developing and creating
opportunities.
Run by the New Zealand Clean Energy Trust, the Centre had a strong focus on
innovation and delivered a number of functions:
• business development and incubation of energy-related businesses
• technical assistance to increase the uptake of renewable energy opportunities
in the region and nationally
• business cluster with tenants from the biomass, geothermal and solar sectors
• exhibition, conference and event centre
• ‘working laboratory’ showcase for clean energy technology in practice such as
biomass, geothermal, solar, wind and hydro solutions.
Key stakeholders included the Lake Taupō Development Company, Energy for
Industry, Fitzroy Engineering, Taupō District Council, iwi, Tūwharetoa Māori Trust
Board and Meridian.
The centre secured $8m funding, with government committing $2 million through
New Zealand Trade and Enterprise's Major Regional Initiative Fund, and industry
and local government providing the other $6 million. New Zealand Clean Energy
Trust employed three full-time staff – a chief executive, programme manager and
executive assistant.
The New Zealand Clean Energy Centre opened a purpose built $1.2 million
building on land provided by the Taupō District Council showcasing efficiency and
future-proofing. Rent from the tenants funded the Centre’s personnel and
operating expenditure.
Figure 19: New Zealand Clean Energy Centre in Taupō
Why Taupō? The Centre was a regional initiative with a national scope, leveraging
the area’s geothermal and bio-energy resources and capability.
Key lessons learnt:
• Get key partners on board from Day 1. Although a number of key
stakeholders were actively engaged with the Centre, several large local energy
organisations were not, including Mighty River Power, Contact and GNS (the
later supported the Centre, but had its own competing service offering).
• Ownership and governance is everything. After a couple of years of
operating successfully, a change in strategic direction meant that some
stakeholders drifted away from the Centre and, after a while, there was little
reason for the tenants to remain.
Although not a lesson learnt per se, there is a question about whether a new building
was the best way to start the Centre off. While it provided a high quality physical
space and attracted tenants and generated revenue, finding land and undertaking
the build took considerable effort – potentially taking focus away from getting major
partners on-board from Day 1, and using up precious funding.
99 Commercial In Confidence
Case study: Ōtaki Clean Energy Centre
The Clean Technology Centre was established in 2010 as a joint venture
between Wellingtons’ regional economic development agency, Grow
Wellington and the Kāpiti Coast District Council.
The Centre provided an environment for the commercialisation of clean
technology research, with a focus on cutting edge clean technologies such
as solar, biofuels, waste-to-energy and renewable power generation. The
Centre was established as the centre-piece of a Clean Technology Park and
was designed to provide:
• co-location of growing clean tech companies
• use of a light industrial area
• incubation services, and access to other innovation programmes in the
region
• links to research and skills development programmes
• relationships with research and tertiary institutions, the science
community and investors
• international linkages.
One of the centre's most high- profile projects was a $200,000 electric
rubbish truck, commissioned by Kāpiti Coast District Council, which was
assembled and tested at the centre.
Why Ōtaki? A lower cost option with physical space available, but still close
to main centres.
Key stakeholders included Grow Wellington, Kāpiti Coast District Council,
Energise Ōtaki, Ōtaki Energy and a number of clean technology companies,
including Blended Fuel Solutions Ltd, Nufuels Ltd, Green Earth/Emergency
Compost Toilet, RAWL and Starscopes.
The Centre was initially funded by Grow
Wellington, Kāpiti Coast District Council, and NZTE.
In 2014, Grow Wellington withdrew support for the
Centre, citing a failure to achieve results for
ratepayers. One of the resident companies, Blended
Fuel Solutions Ltd took over operation of the Centre
and moved to a new site within Ōtaki.
Key lessons learnt:
• Research and tertiary institutions need to be involved. Though
reportedly strong engagement by research groups and tertiary
institutions when the centre was announced, little traction was gained in
establishing relationships with research and tertiary institutions, the
science community over time.
• Make sure the services and facilities are aligned with target
customers. There was a mismatch between the Centre’s emphasis on
incubator services and the needs of “later-stage” firms that made up the
majority of the centre’s membership.
• Networking doesn’t happen by accident. Networking between
member companies was considered more incidental (passive) than a
matter of design, and companies wanted a more structured approach
beyond Centre membership, to include outside peers, potential
partners, investors, customers, institutions (tertiary and research),
regional and national ED economic development agencies and
professional service providers.
100 Commercial In Confidence
APPENDIX 3: WHAT DO CUSTOMERS VALUE?
In 2011, a Danish study44 examined
which types of functions were most
highly valued by customers of clean-
tech “cluster support organisations”.
This study provides a useful basis
for considering the relative merits of
the different types of functions that
the NNEDC could perform.
The figure on the right shows that
customers most valued the ability to
participate in development projects,
and that a one-stop source for
business information was given the
lowest priority.
44 “Cleantech – with the customer in focus – The Golden Egg of Danish economy 2011 – with inspiration
from seven cases”, Brøndum and Fliess, June 2011.
101 Commercial In Confidence
APPENDIX 4: WHAT THE NNEDC COULD FOCUS ON This section provides a high level summary of information to inform
possible opportunities for the NNEDC to focus on. It includes analysis from
the Energy Futures Action Plan and a large number of discussions with
stakeholders as part of the development of this Business Case.
For ease of reading, we have attempted to group opportunities according
to energy form, however it is important to note that many projects will
involve a combination of energy forms and ways in which energy is
produced, stored, transported or used. Opportunities may be global,
national or regional in focus.
It is also relevant to consider these opportunities in light of the current
energy context: the future energy pathway is uncertain; the pace of
technology advancement is quick; future technologies are yet to be
invented; New Zealand has some unique challenges to overcome in order
to increase its renewable energy levels; and, for these reasons, the focus
of the NNEDC needs to be broad and is expected to shift over time.
Energy form Opportunity
Synfuels, biofuels • Technologies that leverage existing infrastructure and vehicle
assets provide transitional solutions for both energy security and
a degree of net emission reduction.
• Mature alternative fuel solutions such as methanol. For example,
Methanex runs its entire vessel fleet on methanol to meet new
International Maritime Organisation fuel standards, which take
from 2020.
• Opportunities identified in Taranaki’s Action Plan.
Waste to energy • Waste to energy typically takes the form of generation, collection
and use of biogas (primarily a mixture of methane, carbon
dioxide and hydrogen sulphide); or thermal energy production.
• Area of opportunity identified in Taranaki’s Action Plan.
Energy form Opportunity
Electricity
• A significant amount of research and development is being
conducted globally.
• Submissions in the Productivity Commission report suggested
focussing innovation activity on generating and storing
electricity using small, grid-connected devices (distributed
energy), and improving demand response and developing the
smart grid. Submissions also focussed on digitisation (from
both an integration, and measurement and behavioural
change perspective) – relevant, but not limited to application in electricity network, and to integrate smart and micro grid
technologies.
• Taranaki’s Action Plan identified smart grid and micro-grid
technologies as an area of focus.
• A few examples of New Zealand investment include:
- PowerNet are developing a micro-grid remote area power
supply for South Island farming operation
- University of Canterbury has a 6-year research programme
studying the electricity network based on uptake of solar
panels and electric vehicles (Powerco was one of the major
co-funders).
Low carbon energy carriers: production, storage and distribution
• Low carbon energy carriers (eg “green” ammonia, hydrogen)
have the potential to provide true zero emission transport
solutions, large scale renewable energy storage (managing the
intermittency challenge), a major reduction of industrial GHG
emissions, and large scale renewable energy export potential.
• The core technology required to produce, store, and distribute
hydrogen has matured to the point where staged deployment
of ecosystems is accelerating globally. However, emerging
technologies such as liquid organic hydrogen carriers (LOHC),
methane cracking and photo-chemical hydrogen production
will warrant further development. “Green” ammonia requires
significantly more development to be economic.
102 Commercial In Confidence
Energy form Opportunity
Geothermal
energy
production
• The New Zealand Geothermal Association’s Geoheat Strategy
Action Plan identifies possible geothermal energy projects.
• Advances in geothermal technologies are opening up the
possibility that abandoned oil wells could generate electricity
or provide a heat source for direct industrial applications and
geothermal heat pumps.
• Productivity Commission report suggested this as an area of
focus.
Marine, tidal and off-shore wind energy generation
• A significant amount of research and development is being
conducted globally.
• Area of opportunity identified in Taranaki’s Action Plan.
Taranaki has significant off-shore capability that can be
adapted to developing wave technology (eg expertise with
long-run loading buoys), and the southern ridge of Taranaki
coastline is relatively shallow water, which can be used to trial
solutions.
• Some examples of investment in New Zealand include:
- EHL Solutions in Taranaki designing wave energy
generator and has a working prototype developed from
research grants from the US Department of Energy to study
wave energy in Hawaii
- Government funded research in ‘offshore wave energy
converter feasibility in Taranaki’ to University of Auckland
- Between 2008-2012, Callaghan Innovation received
science funding of $3.02 million to investigate a technology
from harnessing the NZ ocean surface waves that surround
New Zealand.
Hydrogen • Hydrogen is typically produced from fossil fuels (dirty
hydrogen), but new technology and falling wind and solar
costs are making electrolysis from water a more viable option
(green hydrogen).
• A significant amount of research and development is being
conducted globally.
• Examples of New Zealand opportunities include hydrogen as:
- a way to store renewable energy for use during dry months,
for example Transpower suggested using surplus power in
Energy form Opportunity
summer to make hydrogen, which could then be stored as
ammonia and burned during winter.
- a fuel to generate electricity, for example to power peaker plants during periods of high energy use
- a fuel blended with natural gas for household and industrial use
- a fuel for vehicles, particularly for the heavy vehicle fleet
- an export opportunity, using renewable energy to produce
and export green hydrogen
- a transition energy option, making ‘dirty’ hydrogen using
natural gas and storing the CO2 using carbon capture
technologies.
• Hydrogen may be able to be transported using existing high
pressure gas network.
• Government has indicated hydrogen could play a key role in
helping to meet low emissions goals. The government has
signed a memorandum with Japan to advance hydrogen
opportunities. Some examples of government investment
include:
- $0.9 million in Hiringa Energy and its partners develop zero
emission hydrogen transport fuel. A memorandum of
understanding has been signed with TIL Logistics
- $1 million in highly efficient solar-to-hydrogen energy
conversion based on innovative nanophotonic platforms
- between 2008-2012 Callaghan Innovation received science
funding of $3.0 million to investigate a stand-alone unit to
produce hydrogen using electrolysis technology.
• Commercial sector is exploring opportunities involving
hydrogen, for example:
- a collection of firms, including Hiringa Energy and majority
owner of the 112 MW Mokai geothermal power station
Tuaropaki Trust, are investigating the fuel’s commercial
potential
- a pilot hydrogen production plant is being built in Taupō,
with technology supplied by Japan's Obayashi Corp and
investment from Tuaropaki Trust.
103 Commercial In Confidence
Energy form Opportunity
Carbon-based
energy • A significant amount of research is being conducted globally
and in New Zealand on emission reduction technologies such
as carbon capture and storage, carbon capture and use, and
low/zero carbon alternatives for industrial processes.
• Submissions in the Productivity Commission report suggested
focussing innovation activity on replacing fossil-fuel process
heat with renewable sources in areas such as milk drying,
other food processing and cement, as well as decarbonising
the heavy transport fleet.
• Opportunities identified in Taranaki’s Action Plan focussed on
low emission industrial processes, and low carbon energy
carriers.
• Between 2012-2014 $2.5 million funding for research was
awarded to 3 research organisations on carbon capture and
storage.
Materials as a form for energy storage
• Area of focus suggested in the Productivity Commission
report.
Batteries and fuel cells
• Roll-out of EV infrastructure and light vehicle technology has accelerated in recent years with strong central government support.
• Existing battery technologies have limited practicality/commerciality for regional applications due to range, weight, and recharge time requirements.
• Taranaki’s Action Plan identified zero emission transport for
passenger vehicle fleet using batteries and fuel cells.
104 Commercial In Confidence
APPENDIX 5: LETTERS OF SUPPORT
A number of stakeholders provided letters of support for the establishment
of the NNEDC (refer Table 9), indicating how they expect to actively
engage with the energy centre in the future and the benefits that they see
the NNEDC providing to Taranaki and New Zealand. A copy of the letters
are included in the appendix.
Table 9: Stakeholders providing letters of support
Stakeholder group Stakeholder
Local government New Plymouth District Council, Office of the Mayor
http://www.newplymouthnz.com/
Big energy companies OMV https://www.omv.com/en
Methanex https://www.methanex.com/
PowerCo https://www.powerco.co.nz/
Balance https://ballance.co.nz/
Firstgas https://firstgas.co.nz/
Todd Energy https://toddenergy.co.nz/
Supply chain BTW Company https://www.btw.nz/
Energy and Industrial Group http://www.energyindustrial.co.nz/
Fitzroy Engineering http://www.fitzroyengineering.com/
BECCA https://www.beca.com/
Entec https://www.entec.co.nz/
Worley Parsons https://www.worleyparsons.com/
Engineering Taranaki Consortium (ETC)
http://engineeringtaranaki.co.nz/
Companies with new-
energy initiatives
underway
Hiringa Energy https://www.hiringa.co.nz/
EHL https://www.ehlsolutions.com/
Applied research
sector
New Energy Research Institute (NERI) https://www.neri.org.nz/
GNS Science https://www.gns.cri.nz/
The MacDiarmid Institute https://macdiarmid.ac.nz/
105 Commercial In Confidence
Copies of letters of support received
Local government
Mature energy companies
Mature energy companies
106 Commercial In Confidence
Mature energy companies
107 Commercial In Confidence
108 Commercial In Confidence
109 Commercial In Confidence
Supply chain companies
110 Commercial In Confidence
111 Commercial In Confidence
112 Commercial In Confidence
113 Commercial In Confidence
Companies with new-energy initiatives underway
114 Commercial In Confidence
Applied research sector
115 Commercial In Confidence
.
116 Commercial In Confidence
117 Commercial In Confidence
APPENDIX 6: LIST OF TABLES AND FIGURES
TABLES
Table 1: Stakeholders in the customer ecosystem 46
Table 2: Risks of investment 57
Table 3: Operating and capital cost estimate 80
Table 4: Benchmarking 83
Table 5: Comparison of energy centres: Purpose/ mission
statement 93
Table 6: Comparison of energy centres: Functions 95
Table 7: Comparison of energy centres: Funding
arrangements 96
Table 8: Comparison of energy centres: Main areas of focus 97
Table 9: Stakeholders providing letters of support 104
FIGURES
Figure 1: Global energy consumption 15
Figure 2: Global primary energy supply 15
Figure 3: Change in global energy supply 16
Figure 4: New Zealand’s carbon profile 17
Figure 5: New Zealand’s emissions and targets 21
Figure 6. The case for locating the NNEDC in Taranaki 36
Figure 7: Intervention logic 50
Figure 8. Three shifts to achieve a low-emissions economy 52
Figure 9: Tapuae Roa – Make Way for Taranaki 55
Figure 10: Purpose of the NNEDC in relation to the innovation chain 67
Figure 11: A portfolio approach to determining which energy initiatives
the NNEDC supports 70
Figure 12: Total cost estimate 2019/20–2023/24 80
Figure 13: Key cost items 80
Figure 14: Benchmarking 2017 annual operating expenditure 83
Figure 15: Benchmarking personnel 84
Figure 16: Benchmarking administrative and support services 85
Figure 17: Benchmarking proportion of government funding 85
Figure 18: Transition arrangements 88
Figure 19: New Zealand Clean Energy Centre in Taupō 98