FDI in Multi-brand Retail Dangerous for India Aug 10, 2011 - EnGLISH

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  • 8/2/2019 FDI in Multi-brand Retail Dangerous for India Aug 10, 2011 - EnGLISH

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    August 10, 2011

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    Authos emb le

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    What this presentation will cover

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    Lets st t with lesson fom the s

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    eet one of histoys olific huntes

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    The American buffalo

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    The American buffalo

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    The American buffalo

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    The American buffalo

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    The American buffaloWhy didnt nyone se k out?

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    The American buffaloWhy didnt nyone se k out?

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    Lessons for us in the FDI context

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    A few comments to set the contextand explain the perspective of thisesenttion

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    Time horizon

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    No speculation

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    Comparison with China is wrong

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    Comparison with China is wrong

    not

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    Indian situation is unique

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    Indian situation is unique

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    od ys inco ect n tive

    WRONGRETAIL IN THEWEST IS FLAWED!

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    Big Capital vs Democratic Capital

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    Let us examine the implications ofFDI in multi-brand retail

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    1) Who are we letting into the country?

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    Who are we letting in?

    Largest Indian company isabout half the the size ofthe smallest of these four!

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    Who are we letting in?

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    Who are we letting in?

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    Who are we letting in?Want evidence?

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    Who are we letting in?

    More on this specious argument later.)

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    2) Big Foreign Retail is a game ofconcentration and domination

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    Concentration and domination

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    Concentration and dominationGrocery Retail Brand shares by country

    Country Top retail brands MarketShare Market Shareof top brands Year

    Europe

    Sweden ICA Stores 50% 2010

    COOP 20%

    Axfood AB 16% 86%

    Germany Metro 2009

    Edeka

    Rewe

    Schwarz

    Tegelmann 75%

    Belgium Carrefour 29% 2009

    Delhaize 25%Colruyt 25% 79%

    UK Tesco 30% 2009

    Asda 17%

    Sainsbury 16% 63%

    France Carrefour 25% 2009

    Le Clerc 17%Mosquetaries 13% 55%

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    Concentration and dominationGrocery Retail Brand shares by country

    Country Top retail brandsMarketShare

    Marketshare oftopbrands Year

    North America

    Canada Loblaw Cos 37 2010

    Sobeys Inc 18

    Metro 14 69%US Wal-Mart 2009

    Kroger

    Target 30%

    Other Markets

    Australia Woolworth 46% 2010

    Coles 32% 78%

    Mexico Walmart 47% 2010

    Soriana 14%

    Commercial Mexicana 9% 70%

    Brazil Carrefour 14% 2009

    Cia. Brasileira de Distribuicao 13%

    Walmart 10% 38%

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    Concentration and dominationGrocery Retail Brand shares by country

    Country Top retail brandsMarketShare

    MarketShare oftopbrands Year

    Asia

    Thailand CP-All (Part of 7-Eleven) 11% 2010

    Tesco Lotus 9%

    SHV Makro 5%

    Big C-Casino Group 5%

    Central Retail 2% 32%

    Indonesia Carrefour 2010

    Alfamart

    Indomart

    Matahari

    Makro Indonesia 15%

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    Concentration and dominationSources:

    http://www.brassicastoday.com/en/france-hypermarket-and-supermarket-chains-redefine-their-strategies-to-attract-consumers.aspxhttp://www.brassicastoday.com/en/france-hypermarket-and-supermarket-chains-redefine-their-strategies-to-attract-consumers.aspxhttp://www.brassicastoday.com/en/france-hypermarket-and-supermarket-chains-redefine-their-strategies-to-attract-consumers.aspxhttp://www.brassicastoday.com/en/france-hypermarket-and-supermarket-chains-redefine-their-strategies-to-attract-consumers.aspxhttp://www.brassicastoday.com/en/france-hypermarket-and-supermarket-chains-redefine-their-strategies-to-attract-consumers.aspxhttp://www.brassicastoday.com/en/france-hypermarket-and-supermarket-chains-redefine-their-strategies-to-attract-consumers.aspxhttp://www.brassicastoday.com/en/france-hypermarket-and-supermarket-chains-redefine-their-strategies-to-attract-consumers.aspxhttp://www.brassicastoday.com/en/france-hypermarket-and-supermarket-chains-redefine-their-strategies-to-attract-consumers.aspxhttp://www.brassicastoday.com/en/france-hypermarket-and-supermarket-chains-redefine-their-strategies-to-attract-consumers.aspxhttp://www.brassicastoday.com/en/france-hypermarket-and-supermarket-chains-redefine-their-strategies-to-attract-consumers.aspxhttp://www.brassicastoday.com/en/france-hypermarket-and-supermarket-chains-redefine-their-strategies-to-attract-consumers.aspxhttp://www.brassicastoday.com/en/france-hypermarket-and-supermarket-chains-redefine-their-strategies-to-attract-consumers.aspxhttp://www.brassicastoday.com/en/france-hypermarket-and-supermarket-chains-redefine-their-strategies-to-attract-consumers.aspxhttp://www.brassicastoday.com/en/france-hypermarket-and-supermarket-chains-redefine-their-strategies-to-attract-consumers.aspxhttp://www.brassicastoday.com/en/france-hypermarket-and-supermarket-chains-redefine-their-strategies-to-attract-consumers.aspxhttp://www.brassicastoday.com/en/france-hypermarket-and-supermarket-chains-redefine-their-strategies-to-attract-consumers.aspxhttp://www.brassicastoday.com/en/france-hypermarket-and-supermarket-chains-redefine-their-strategies-to-attract-consumers.aspxhttp://www.brassicastoday.com/en/france-hypermarket-and-supermarket-chains-redefine-their-strategies-to-attract-consumers.aspxhttp://www.brassicastoday.com/en/france-hypermarket-and-supermarket-chains-redefine-their-strategies-to-attract-consumers.aspxhttp://www.brassicastoday.com/en/france-hypermarket-and-supermarket-chains-redefine-their-strategies-to-attract-consumers.aspxhttp://www.brassicastoday.com/en/france-hypermarket-and-supermarket-chains-redefine-their-strategies-to-attract-consumers.aspxhttp://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/27/britain-grocers-kantar-idUKLDE73Q0TP20110427http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/27/britain-grocers-kantar-idUKLDE73Q0TP20110427http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/27/britain-grocers-kantar-idUKLDE73Q0TP20110427http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/27/britain-grocers-kantar-idUKLDE73Q0TP20110427http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/27/britain-grocers-kantar-idUKLDE73Q0TP20110427http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/27/britain-grocers-kantar-idUKLDE73Q0TP20110427http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/27/britain-grocers-kantar-idUKLDE73Q0TP20110427http://www.narga.net.au/documents/2010/NARGA_lowres_web.pdf
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    Concentration and domination

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    3) Big Retail is about control, andsqueezing costs on the supply side.

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    It is about control squeezing suppliers

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    It is about squeezing suppliers

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    It is about squeezing suppliers

    Farmprice Retail price Whatfarmers inUSA get

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    It is against national security

    Lesson

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    It is against national securityLessons in protecting national security from the USA:

    Lesson

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    It will destroy employment

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    It will destroy employment

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    It will destroy employment

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    It will destroy employment

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    It will destroy employmentHow Big Retail reduces storesUS experience

    USApopulationTotal retailestablishments IndependentsChainstores1951 155 mn 1,770,000 1,600,000 105,0002011 312 mn 1,500,000 1,145,000 350,000

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    It will destroy employment

    Number ofretail outletsclosedChief WageEarnerslosing jobs

    Number oflivesaffected1 of losses 130,000 250,000 12.5 lakhs30 oflosses in 10years

    39lakhs 75lakhs 3.75crs.

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    It will destroy employmentOffshoring of jobs:

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    It will destroy employmentOffshoring of jobs:

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    6) Big Foreign Retail will increaseprices to consumers.

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    It will increase prices

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    It will increase prices

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    7) Big Foreign Retail will displaceexisting players, not create new.

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    It will displace, not create new markets

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    8) Multi-brand retail is not just aboutfood grocery, it is about all products.

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    It is about all products

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    It is about all products

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    9) There is massive ongoinginvestment in Retail from within.

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    Massive investment in Retail

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    Massive investment in Retail

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    10) ig Foeign Retils im ct onbuilding supply chain infrastructurewill be minimal.

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    Minimal impact on supply chain

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    Minimal impact on supply chain

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    11) ow should we otect ndisinterests against Big Foreign Retail?

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    otecting ndis inteests

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    otecting ndis inteests

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    otecting ndis inteestsLessons from Japan:

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    otecting ndis inteestsLessons from Germany:

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    otecting ndis inteests

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    Nothing is fundamentally wrong

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    Nothing is fundamentally wrong

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    Thank You