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Fall 2012 Essex Property Trust, Inc.

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Page 1: Fall 2012 Essex Property Trust, Inc. - SNL · 2012-09-27 · Fall 2012 Essex Property Trust, Inc. 2 Table of Contents Pages Section I. Overview 3-5 Section ... 2003-2007, due to more

Fall 2012 Essex Property Trust, Inc.

Page 2: Fall 2012 Essex Property Trust, Inc. - SNL · 2012-09-27 · Fall 2012 Essex Property Trust, Inc. 2 Table of Contents Pages Section I. Overview 3-5 Section ... 2003-2007, due to more

2

Table of Contents

Pages Section I. Overview 3-5 Section II. West Coast Investment Strategy 6-13 Section III. Market Update 14-19 Section IV. How Essex Creates Value 20-26 Section V. Financial Information 27-29

Page 3: Fall 2012 Essex Property Trust, Inc. - SNL · 2012-09-27 · Fall 2012 Essex Property Trust, Inc. 2 Table of Contents Pages Section I. Overview 3-5 Section ... 2003-2007, due to more

3

About Essex Property Trust

Multifamily REIT Supply-constrained coastal markets of California

and Washington 161 properties containing +33,000 units $8.3 billion in total market capitalization(1)

Strategy Drive rent growth on high occupancy Add value through redevelopment Acquire and develop West Coast properties with

above-average growth characteristics Maintain strong balance sheet and financial

flexibility Management Team

Top executives share an average tenure of over 20 years

Southern CA 48% of NOI

Northern CA 34% of NOI

Seattle 18% of NOI

(1) As of 8/31/12.

Page 4: Fall 2012 Essex Property Trust, Inc. - SNL · 2012-09-27 · Fall 2012 Essex Property Trust, Inc. 2 Table of Contents Pages Section I. Overview 3-5 Section ... 2003-2007, due to more

4

Year-to-Date Accomplishments

Reported core FFO growth per share of 22% for the first six month of 2012

Achieved 10.2% same-property NOI growth Increased rents 6.5% on new and renewal leases compared to one year ago.

Acquired five properties totaling 834 units for a total cost of $163 million.

Purchased our partners stake in Essex Skyline for $85 million and realized $2.3 million of promote income.

Started 5 new developments for a total cost of $516 million.

Disposed of two non-core assets for $28 million.

Increased our unencumbered asset pool to over 50% from 43% at year end.

Issued $300 million of unsecured private placement notes at a rate of 3.75% for a 10 year term. The notes represent our debut public bond offering and will be tradable once Essex

Property LP is registered with the SEC which we expect will be within 180 days.

(1) Core FFO excludes items not related to the company’s core business activities and non-recurring items.

(1)

Page 5: Fall 2012 Essex Property Trust, Inc. - SNL · 2012-09-27 · Fall 2012 Essex Property Trust, Inc. 2 Table of Contents Pages Section I. Overview 3-5 Section ... 2003-2007, due to more

5

9.0%

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

ESS CPT PPS EQR AVB UDR CLP HME AIV BRE MAA

2012 Estimated Same-Property NOI Growth

Highest Projected Same-Property NOI Growth for 2012

ESS is projected to lead the peer group in same-property NOI growth in 2012

Peer Avg. 7.0%

Source: Midpoint of Company disclosures. Represents year-over-year growth.

Page 6: Fall 2012 Essex Property Trust, Inc. - SNL · 2012-09-27 · Fall 2012 Essex Property Trust, Inc. 2 Table of Contents Pages Section I. Overview 3-5 Section ... 2003-2007, due to more

II. Investment Strategy

Strong West Coast Fundamentals

Anavia – Anaheim, CA

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Why Focus on the West Coast

Robust Rent Growth Rents declined further and recovered

later relative to other major U.S. metros ESS in top projected rent growth markets

through 2016

Strong Job Growth Better than average job growth,

especially in high paying industries Innovative industries drive wealth,

leading to jobs

Favorable Demographics Above-average population growth

West Coast Significance

Contain several “Centers of Innovation” that are global leaders

CA and WA combined has the 6th largest GDP in the world

Via – Sunnyvale, CA

Low Supply New supply remains muted, below 1%

annual addition to residential stock Difficulty to build in our coastal markets

due to restrictive, costly and lengthy entitlement process

Low Homeownership High cost of for-sale housing limits

transitions from renters to home owners (in coastal markets)

Tight lending standards and wide spread

credit issues

+ Strong Demand Limited Supply

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8

Research Driven Approach Identifies Top Markets

Nearly 75% of Essex’s revenues are located in the top projected rent growth markets

Source: Axiometrics

Top Projected Rent Growth Markets

'13-'16 Cumulative % of ESS

Rank MSA Growth Revenue 1 Los Angeles, CA 20.8% 19.6% 2 San Francisco, CA 20.0% 4.2% 3 Phoenix, AZ 19.6% 4 Oakland, CA 19.4% 5.7% 5 Santa Ana-Irvine, CA 19.3% 11.1% 6 San Jose-Santa Clara, CA 18.7% 16.3% 7 Riverside, CA 18.3% 0.5% 8 Denver, CO 18.2% 9 San Diego, CA 18.0% 6.4%

10 Oxnard-Ventura, CA 17.9% 9.5% 11 Newark, NJ-PA 17.7% 12 Nassau-Suffolk, NY 17.2% 13 Washington, DC 17.1% 14 Boston, MA 17.0% 15 Atlanta, GA 16.6%

Top 15 Average 18.4% 73.4% Top 50 Average 15.8% 91.3%

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0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

3.0%

3.5%

4.0%

4.5%

5.0%

San

Fran

cisc

oSa

n Jo

seRa

leig

hHo

usto

nSe

attle

Denv

erAu

stin

Phoe

nix

San

Dieg

oLo

uisv

ille

Cinc

inna

tiO

klah

oma

Salt

Lake

City

Sacr

amen

toIn

land

Em

pire

Port

land

Bost

onO

akla

ndDa

llas

Fort

Wor

th

Job Growth: Favors Essex Markets

Job growth in many Essex markets is exceptionally strong LA job growth improving and expected to be 1%

in 2012 % Job Growth: July 2012

(Year-Over-Year)

Source: BLS

Essex Markets Other Markets - - - National Average

California job growth has improved rapidly over the last few months and now outpaces the U.S. average

ESS Wtd. Avg. = 2.3%

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

Sep

'11

Oct

'11

Nov

'11

Dec

'11

Jan

'12

Feb

'12

Mar

'12

Apr '

12

May

'12

June

'12

July

'12

Aug

'12

% Job Growth : California vs. US (Year-Over-Year)

California US

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10

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

Hous

ton

Aust

in

Dalla

s/Ft

Wor

th

Atla

nta

Phoe

nix

Inla

nd E

mpi

re

Denv

er

Min

neap

olis

Seat

tle

Was

h. D

.C.

Port

land

Las V

egas

Balti

mor

e

Mia

mi

Ora

nge

Coun

ty

Oak

land

Vent

ura

San

Jose

San

Dieg

o

Phill

y

New

Yor

k M

SA

Nas

sau-

Suffo

lk

Chic

ago

San

Fran

cisc

o

Los A

ngel

es

Bost

on

Forecasted Single Family Permits versus Historical Permits as a % of Stock

Other Markets Estimated % of stock for '12-'14 Actual % of stock for '05-'08

Coastal rental markets will have less competition from for-sale as compared to 2003-2007, due to more restrictive lending standards and higher housing costs

Through varying economic cycles, supply remains low – well below 1% of stock in ESS’s markets

Supply: For-Sale Supply Risk Low An

nual

% o

f Sto

ck

Essex Markets Est. % of stock for ‘12-’14 Source: Economy.com and U.S. Census

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11 Source: National Association of Realtors, Dataquick, Essex

Despite the fall in home prices since 2008, prices remain high in Essex markets

Single-Family Prices Restrict Homeownership

Essex Markets Other Markets

$-

$100,000

$200,000

$300,000

$400,000

$500,000

$600,000

$700,000

$800,000

$900,000

San

Fran

cisc

o

San

Jose

Ora

nge

Coun

ty

NY-

Way

ne-W

hite

Pla

ins

Oak

land

NY:

Nas

sau-

Suffo

lk

San

Dieg

o

New

Yor

k-N

. New

Jers

ey

Was

hing

ton

D.C.

Bost

on M

SA

Seat

tle

Los A

ngel

es

Denv

er

Balti

mor

e

Port

land

Phila

deph

ia

Prov

iden

ce, R

I

Aust

in

Mia

mi/F

t. La

uder

dale

Virg

inia

Bea

ch

Chic

ago

Inla

nd E

mpi

re

Min

neap

olis

Sacr

amen

to

Hous

ton

Dalla

s/Fo

rt W

orth

San

Anto

nio

Phoe

nix

Las V

egas

Atla

nta

Median Single Family Home Prices as of Q2 2012

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12

40%

45%

50%

55%

60%

65%

70%

75%

Min

neap

olis

Vent

ura

Phill

y

Bost

on

Orla

ndo

Chic

ago

Was

h D.

C.

Balti

mor

e

Port

land

Hous

ton

Mia

mi/F

t. La

ud.

Phoe

nix

Dalla

s/Ft

. Wor

th

Denv

er

Atla

nta

Aust

in

Inla

nd E

mpi

re

Seat

tle

San

Jose

San

Dieg

o

San

Fran

cisc

o

New

Yor

k-M

SA

Las V

egas

Los A

ngel

es/O

.C.

Essex Markets are Renter Markets

Low homeownership rates and affordability issues result in more renters and better rent growth

Homeownership Rates as of Q2 12

Essex Markets Other Markets - - - - National Average

Source: U.S. Census

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13

A Tale of Two California’s (Coastal vs. Inland)

California Counties

ESS N. CA Markets

Inland N. CA Markets

ESS S. CA Markets

Inland S. CA

Markets

Population (in millions) 6.0 4.3 16.9 5.1

% renters 43% 40% 47% 33%

Median Household Income $83,030 $60,290 $67,139 $62,088

Median Home Price $439,806 $152,380 $339,964 $167,133

Single Family Affordability 95% 199% 99% 187%

Homes per Foreclosure 1 per 371 1 per 135 1 per 372 1 per 128

Unemployment Rate 8.7% 13.4% 10.6% 12.9%

% of ESS Revenues 32.0% NA 45.5% 0.5%

ESS’s portfolio is located in coastal markets that favor renting versus owning and ultimately leads to superior rent growth prospects

Source: BLS, Census Bureau, National Association of Realtors, DataQuick and Essex. ESS N. CA markets include San Francisco, San Mateo, Santa Clara, Alameda and Contra Costa. ESS S. CA markets include LA, Orange County, San Diego, and Ventura. Each region is an average of the counties that make up the region. (1) Single family affordability equals the ratio of actual median household income to income required to purchase the median home price. <100% indicates less affordable.

(1)

Sacramento San Joaquin

Contra Costa

Alameda

Santa Clara

San Mateo

San Francisco Fresno

Merced

Solano

Stanislaus

Ventura Los Angeles

Orange

San Diego

Riverside

San Bernardino

Kern

Nor

ther

n Ca

lifor

nia

Sout

hern

Cal

iforn

ia

Essex Markets

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III. Market Update

Overview on Seattle, Northern CA, and Southern CA

Essex Skyline – Santa Ana, CA

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15

65

85

105

125

145

165

185

205

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

F

2014

F

Los Angeles: Rents vs Incomes*

Rent-to-Income Ratio LT Avg. Rent-to-Income Ratio

Median Income Market Rents

Rent Growth Forecast Market rents remain 2% below prior peak

levels 23% rent growth expected from ‘13 – ‘15 Annual personal income growth last two

years = 4.9% Total Residential Supply Total supply of stock in ‘12 = 0.2% growing

to 0.4% by 2014 Estimated multifamily units delivered in ’12

= 1,700 growing to 6,200 units in ‘14 Job Activity Office net absorption was 1.1% over the last

year 1.6% annual job growth as of July 2012,

Private sector job growth 2.0% Unemployment down 130 basis points year-

over-year in July Trammel Crow developing 20 acre CleanTech

manufacturing site in downtown

Los Angeles Market Review

LT Avg 23%

23% Rent

Growth

Inde

xed

Mar

ket R

ents

and

Med

ian

Inco

mes

Rent

-to-

Med

ian

Inco

me

Ratio

*Rents and incomes indexed to 100 at 1989 Source: Essex Property Trust, BLS, Census Bureau, CB Richard Ellis, Rosen Consulting, Moody’s

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16

Orange County Market Review

Rent Growth Forecast Market rents remain 2% below prior peak

levels 22% rent growth expected from ’13 – ‘15 Rent-to-Median Income Ratio has historically

moved above the long-term average during expansionary periods

Annual personal income growth last two years = 2.9%

Total Residential Supply Total supply of stock in ‘12 = 0.3% growing to

0.6% by 2014 Estimated multifamily units delivered in ’12 =

2,000 growing to 3,000 units in ‘14 Job Activity Office net absorption was 1.5% over last year 2.0% annual job growth as of July 2012 Unemployment rate down 130 bps in July from

one year ago Two mixed use projects (677,000 sf) planned

for North Orange County

65

85

105

125

145

165

185

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

F

2014

F

Orange County: Rents vs Incomes*

Rent-to-Income Ratio LT Avg. Rent-to-Income Ratio

Median Income Market Rents

22% Rent

Growth

LT Avg 20%

Rent

-to-

Med

ian

Inco

me

Ratio

Inde

xed

Mar

ket R

ents

and

Med

ian

Inco

mes

*Rents and incomes indexed to 100 at 1989 Source: Essex Property Trust, BLS, Census Bureau, CB Richard Ellis, Rosen Consulting, Moody’s

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17

Los Angeles and Orange County continue to experience a slow and steady increase in rental rate growth

Southern CA: Steady Recovery Continues

-8.0%

-6.0%

-4.0%

-2.0%

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12

Average Rental Rate Growth (Year-Over-Year)

Los Angeles County Orange County

Source: Essex Property Trust portfolio data

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18

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

F

2014

F

San Jose: Rents vs Incomes*

Rent-to-Income Ratio LT Avg Rent-to-Income Ratio

Median Income Market Rents

Rent Growth Forecast 20% rent growth expected from ‘13 – ‘15 During expansionary periods, the Rent-to-

Median Income Ratio has moved significantly above the long-term average

Annual personal income growth last two years = 9.5%; the highest in the nation

Total Residential Supply Total supply of stock in ‘12 = 0.3% growing

to 0.5% by 2014 Estimated multifamily units delivered in ’12

= 1,100 growing to 3,300 units in ‘14 Job Activity +5 million sf of new office development

announced this summer in N. San Jose 3.5% annual job growth as of July 2012 Total jobs nearing prior peak levels Silicon Valley venture capital represents 42%

of total spending and investment up 12.3% from previous year

San Jose Market Review

20% Rent

Growth

LT Avg 20%

Inde

xed

Mar

ket R

ents

and

Med

ian

Inco

mes

Rent

-to-

Med

ian

Inco

me

Ratio

*Rents and incomes indexed to 100 at 1989 Source: Essex Property Trust, BLS, Census Bureau, CB Richard Ellis, Rosen Consulting, Moody’s

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19

75

100

125

150

175

200

225

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

20%

22%

24%

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

F

2014

F

Seattle: Rents vs Incomes*

Rent-to-Income Ratio LT Avg. Rent-to-Income Ratio

Median Income Market Rents

Rent Growth Forecast Market rents 2% above prior peak levels 20% rent growth expected from ’13 – ‘15 Annual personal income growth last two

years = 5.4% Total Residential Supply Total supply of stock in ‘12 = 0.5% growing

to 0.9% by 2014 Estimated multifamily units delivered in ’12

= 2,300 growing to 4,500 units in ‘14 Job Activity Office net absorption was 2.6% over the last

year 3.1% annual job growth as of April 2012 Unemployment down to 7.5% from peak of

9.7% Vulcan repositioning capital to continue

redevelopment of South Lake Union

Seattle Market Review

LT Avg 17%

Rent

-to-

Med

ian

Inco

me

Ratio

Inde

xed

Mar

ket R

ents

and

Med

ian

Inco

mes

20% Rent

Growth

*Rents and incomes indexed to 100 at 1989 Source: Essex Property Trust, BLS, Census Bureau, CB Richard Ellis, Rosen Consulting, Moody’s

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IV. Core Competencies

How Essex Creates Value

Bella Villagio – San Jose, CA

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75125175225275325375425475525

Sep-

02

Jan-

03

May

-03

Sep-

03

Jan-

04

May

-04

Sep-

04

Jan-

05

May

-05

Sep-

05

Jan-

06

May

-06

Sep-

06

Jan-

07

May

-07

Sep-

07

Jan-

08

May

-08

Sep-

08

Jan-

09

May

-09

Sep-

09

Jan-

10

May

-10

Sep-

10

Jan-

11

May

-11

Sep-

11

Jan-

12

May

-12

Peer Average ESS MSCI US REIT (RMS)

An innovative management team responsive to changing market dynamics with the ability to source and structure unique opportunities within the multifamily space

Disciplined underwriting, rigorous analysis, and total return driven

Source: SNL Financial. Represents the value of a $100 investment and reinvestment of dividends. As of Sept. 14, 2012. Peer Average includes ten multifamily REITs.

Investing Strategy Leads to Superior Total Returns

o Investment strategy has led to superior value creation for shareholders over the past 10 years

$457

$322

$299

10-Year Total Return

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Year to Date Acquisitions - $248 Million Total Cost

Park Catalina – Los Angeles, CA $23.7 million

90 units

The Huntington – Huntington Beach, CA $48.3 million

276 units

Montebello – Kirkland, WA $52 million 248 units

Essex Skyline – Santa Ana, CA $85 million (purchased JV interest)

349 units

Delano/Bon Terra – Redmond, WA $32 million 120 units 22

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9 Developments Under Construction – $934 Million Total Cost

Expo (formerly Queen Anne) – Seattle, WA 64th and Christie – Emeryville, CA 900 Folsom – San Francisco, CA

260 Fifth – San Francisco, CA

Lync (formerly West Dublin) – Dublin, CA

Fountain at La Brea – West Hollywood, CA Epic (formerly Cadence) – San Jose, CA

Santa Monica at La Brea – West Hollywood, CA

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24

Current Development Pipeline

Development Strategy: Preference for shovel ready, fully entitled land, with construction commencing soon

after closing of the land Form joint venture partners to moderate future funding commitments and increase ROIC Target initial returns at a 20% premium to current acquisition cap rates (based on today’s

rents) to justify development risk

Pipeline: Nine communities under construction with an estimated total cost of $934 million Essex share of the total cost is $546 million Estimated initial returns on the current pipeline are +6% based on today’s rents Pipeline expected to create significant value for shareholders based on current market

cap rates Expected deliveries:

2012 $76.0 million - 275 units 2013 $286.1 million - 878 units 2014 $571.9 million - 1,342 units

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25

Redevelopment and Selective Repositioning

Capitalize on the strategy of owning Class B quality assets in A locations, which provides a greater potential to unlock value and reposition a community for better growth

Focus on rent justified improvements to maximize NOI and value

Centre Pointe (formerly The Bluffs II) San Diego, CA

224 units $9.7 million renovation cost

$43,300 cost per unit 9-10% estimated return

Before After

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26

Diversified Sources of Equity

Co-investment platform provides highest return on invested capital 20% of total portfolio units falls under co-investments Attractive risk adjusted returns via promoted interest

Fund II • 14 properties with dispositions in 2012-2014

• $600 million of assets at book value

Programmatic JVs • Wesco I – $432 million of assets at book value

• Wesco II – $175 million preferred equity investment - at book value

• CPPIB – four developments (1,538 units)

JV with Local Developers • Expo (formerly Queen Anne) (275 units)

• Fountain at La Brea (187 units) • Santa Monica at La Brea (184 units)

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V. Financial Information

Key Financials and 2012 Guidance

Via – Sunnyvale, CA

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28

Conservatively Proportioned & Flexible Balance Sheet

Leverage: 30% on a debt to total market capitalization basis (one of the lowest of the multifamily peer group)

Debt: Debt to adjusted EBITDA is approximately 7.0X Liquidity: Over $800 million in available liquidity from cash on hand, marketable securities, and unused

balance on our line of credit and term loan NOI: Unencumbered NOI of approximately 50% at June 30, 2012 versus 35% at year end 2010 Debt Maturity: Limited near term with less than 10% of debt coming due over the next 3 years Investment Grade Ratings:

S&P: BBB - Stable Moody’s: Baa2 - Stable Fitch: BBB - Positive

Source: Company filings as of 6/30/12

Secured Debt, 19%

Credit Facility, 3%

Preferred Stock, 1%

Equity, 69%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Capital Stack

Unsecured Debt, 8%

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2012 Guidance Assumptions

Original Guidance Current Guidance

National GDP Forecast 2.6% 2.2%

National Job Growth 1.3% 1.3%

ESS Job Growth 1.4% 1.6%

Same-Property Revenue Growth 5-7% 6-7%

Same-Property Expense Growth 2-3% 1-2%

Same-Property NOI Growth 7-9% 8.5-9.5%

Projected Total FFO Per Share Growth (midpoint) +15.3% +16.7%

Acquisitions $300-$500 million +$500 million

Development starts 2 new starts 4 new starts

Dispositions $100 million $100 million

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Key Strengths

Proven management team with superior performance track record

Innovative and diverse investment strategies within the multifamily sector

Demonstrated core underwriting and operating competencies generating durable long term results

416 on Broadway - Glendale, CA

Santee Court - Los Angeles, CA

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Safe Harbor Disclosure

Certain statements in this presentation, which are not historical facts, may be considered forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. The forward looking statements, some of which can be identified by terms and phrases such as “forecast”, “estimate”, “expect”, “anticipate”, “should”, “could”, “may”, and similar expressions, reflect the current views of Essex Property Trust, Inc. (“Essex” or the “Company”) and its affiliates with respect to future events and are subject to risks and uncertainties. Such forward-looking statements involve the risk that actual results could be materially different from those described in such forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause actual results to be materially different are discussed under the caption “Risk Factors” in Item 1A of the Company’s Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2011. All forward-looking statements and reasons why results may differ included in this presentation are made of the date hereof, and we assume no obligation to update any such forward-looking statements or reasons why actual results may differ.

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For additional information, please contact the Company’s Investor Relations department at (650) 849-1600.

Fourth & U – Berkeley, CA

416 on Broadway – Glendale, CA Joule – Seattle, WA Reveal – Woodland Hills, CA

Axis 2300 – Irvine, CA

Arbors at Park Rose – Oxnard, CA

101 San Fernando – San Jose, CA