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Extensions to Basic Coalescent Chapter 4, Part 2

Extensions to Basic Coalescent Chapter 4, Part 2

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Extensions to Basic CoalescentChapter 4, Part 2

Extension 2

• Relax another assumption– > Coalescent with population structure

3/3/2009 COMP 790-Extensions to Basic Coalescent 2

Extension 2

• Finite island model• Assume population is divided into d islands

(demes) of equal size 2N, with total population of 2 N d genes.

• Each island contributes with a fraction m to a pool of migrants from which the island in return receives an equal proportion of migrants.

• Thus all demes can be treated equally

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Extension 2

• Coalescent process with time scaled in units of 2 N d generations.

• Time until first coalescent event is exponentially distributed with parameter

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Extension 2

• Migration rate

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Extension 2

• In total this leads to a rate of Icoal + I migr until the first event. This event is coalescent with probability

• And migration event with probability

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Extension 2

• If coalescent event occurs, deme j is chosen with probability

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Extension 2

• Sample genealogy

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Extension 2

• Coalescent tree in finite island model• T(2,0) is the time for two genes in two

different demes to find a MRCA• T(0,1) is the time for two genes in the same

demes to find MRCA• Two genes cannot find a MRCA until they are

in the same deme and they must do so before one of them migrates

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Extension 2

• Thus

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Extension 2

• When these equations are solved we have

• Variances

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Extension 2

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Extension 2

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Extension 2

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Extension 2

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Basic coalescent (multimodal)

Extension 2

• General models of subdivision• 1. Stepping stone models• Island model assume that a gene from one

island or deme is equally likely to migrate to any other island

• In stepping stone models Equally sized demes are repplaces by demes of arbitrary sizes and rate of migration from deme I to deme j is given

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Extension 2

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Extension 2

• Splitting of populations

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Extension 2

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Thank you

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