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Explorations in Cyber International Relations (ECIR) Explorations in Cyber International Relations OSD Minerva Research Project at Harvard & MIT Layers and levels Models of analysis David D. Clark MIT CSAIL March, 2011

Explorations in Cyber International Relations (ECIR) … in Cyber International Relations Slide 3! OSD Minerva Research Project at Harvard & MIT! A layered model of cyber-space! #

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Explorations in !Cyber International Relations (ECIR)!

Explorations in Cyber International Relations! OSD Minerva Research Project at Harvard & MIT!

Layers and levelsModels of analysis!

David D. Clark!MIT CSAIL!

March, 2011!

Explorations in Cyber International Relations Slide 2! OSD Minerva Research Project at Harvard & MIT!

Review!

•  At  our  last  mee,ng  I  presented  two  tools  of  analysis  for  our  work.  – A  layered  model  of  cyberspace    •  A  model  familiar  to  computer  science.  

– Levels  of  analysis  •  A  model  familiar  to  poli,cal  science.    

•  My  goals  today  – Elaborate  these  models.  – Link  them  together.  

Explorations in Cyber International Relations Slide 3! OSD Minerva Research Project at Harvard & MIT!

A layered model of cyber-space!Logical    

Physical  

Applica,on  

Internet  

Services  

Informa,on  

Web,  etc  

DNS  

TCP/IP  

Ethernet  Op,cal  fiber  

People  

Capital  intensive  Physically  localized  

Highly  plas,c  Recursive  

Strong  boundaries.  

Unregulated  and  diverse  Low  cost  distribu,on  

Blogs,  Youtube,  Wikipedia,  etc.    

Global,  diverse,  balance  of  empowerments  

Individuals  groups,  govts.    

The  net  

Explorations in Cyber International Relations Slide 4! OSD Minerva Research Project at Harvard & MIT!

Cyberspace itself!Logical    

Physical  

Applica,on  

Internet  

Services  

Informa,on  

Web,  etc  

DNS  

TCP/IP  

Ethernet  Op,cal  fiber  

People  

Blogs,  Youtube,  Wikipedia,  etc.    

Individuals  groups,  govts.    

The  net  

Explorations in Cyber International Relations Slide 5! OSD Minerva Research Project at Harvard & MIT!

Review!

•  In  previous  talks,  I  have  discussed  the  importance  of  cataloging  actors,  their  objec,ves,  their  interac,ons,  the  tools  of  interac,on,  and  the  outcomes.  – Which  actors  are  successful  in  shaping  cyberspace  and  its  context,  and  by  what  means?  

– Previous  approach:  case  studies  of  actors  and  their  interac,ons.    

Explorations in Cyber International Relations Slide 6! OSD Minerva Research Project at Harvard & MIT!

Providers of service and content!Logical    

Physical  

Applica,on  

Internet  

Services  

Informa,on  

People  

ISPs:  Comcast,  Level  3  MIT,  etc  

Hotels,  Hot-­‐spots  

Akamai  

Google,  Hollywood,  us…  

Providers  The  net  

Fiber:  SEACOM  

Explorations in Cyber International Relations Slide 7! OSD Minerva Research Project at Harvard & MIT!

Equipment/technology!Logical    

Physical  

Applica,on  

Internet  

Services  

Informa,on  

People  

Routers:  Cisco,  Huawei  

Server  hardware  

Data  centers,  Cloud  providers  

Providers  The  net  

Fiber:  Corning  

Suppliers  

Explorations in Cyber International Relations Slide 8! OSD Minerva Research Project at Harvard & MIT!

Governance (intl)!Logical    

Physical  

Applica,on  

Internet  

Services  

Informa,on  

People  

Providers  The  net   Suppliers  

W3C  

IETF  

IEEE  

Standards  

ITU  

ITU  WSIS  IGF  

Intl  policy  

NANOG  

ICANN  

Explorations in Cyber International Relations Slide 9! OSD Minerva Research Project at Harvard & MIT!

Governments!Logical    

Physical  

Applica,on  

Internet  

Services  

Informa,on  

People  Providers  

The  net  

Suppliers   Standards   Govts  Intl  policy  

Explorations in Cyber International Relations Slide 10! OSD Minerva Research Project at Harvard & MIT!

Users!Logical    

Physical  

Applica,on  

Internet  

Services  

Informa,on  

People  Providers  

The  net  

Suppliers   Standards   Govts  

Businesses   Ci,zens   NGOs,  etc.   Illegi,mates  

Intl  policy  

Explorations in Cyber International Relations Slide 11! OSD Minerva Research Project at Harvard & MIT!

Action: providers!Logical    

Physical  

Applica,on  

Internet  

Services  

Informa,on  

People  Providers  

The  net  

Suppliers   Standards   Govts  

Money:  While  all  providers  purchase  equipment  to  make  cyberspace,  lower  

layers  are  capital  intensive.  

Design  requirements  

Influence:  lobby,  filings,  etc.  

Adver,sing  

Businesses   Ci,zens   NGOs,  etc.   Illegi,mates  

Collabora,on  with  the  law.  

Strategic  alliance,  

partnership;  discriminatory  nego,a,on  

Intl  policy  

Explorations in Cyber International Relations Slide 12! OSD Minerva Research Project at Harvard & MIT!

Action: legitimate users!Logical    

Physical  

Applica,on  

Internet  

Services  

Informa,on  

People  Providers  

The  net  

Suppliers   Standards   Govts  

Businesses   Ci,zens   NGOs,  etc.   Illegi,mates  

Compe,,ve  purchasing  

Demand,  usage  

Complaint  

Advocacy  

Corporate  influence  

Intl  policy  

Explorations in Cyber International Relations Slide 13! OSD Minerva Research Project at Harvard & MIT!

Action: government!Logical    

Physical  

Applica,on  

Internet  

Services  

Informa,on  

People  Providers  

The  net  

Suppliers   Standards   Govts  

Businesses   Ci,zens   NGOs,  etc.   Illegi,mates  

Direct  par,cipa,on,  

research  funding  

Law  enforcement  

Par,cipa,on,  so\  power,  

ins,tu,onal  design  

Regula,on  

Purchasing,  FIPS  

Intl  policy  

Explorations in Cyber International Relations Slide 14! OSD Minerva Research Project at Harvard & MIT!

Case studies!

•  These  three  “influence  pictures”  are  somewhat  anecdotal.    

•  As  part  of  research,  need  to  provide  robust  grounding.  – What  tools  are  used?  

– Which  are  effec,ve?  – What  are  the  range  of  mo,va,ons.    

•  Research  by  Jesse  Sowell  to  make  this  work  rigorous.    

Explorations in Cyber International Relations Slide 15! OSD Minerva Research Project at Harvard & MIT!

Interactions!

•  If  we  drew  all  the  arrows  from  all  the  case  studies:  – The  picture  would  be  impossible  to  understand.  –  It  would  emphasize  the  dynamic  nature  of  the  interac,ons.    •  Many  cycles  among  the  actors.    

•  Current  research  approach:  – Use  basic  SD  and  agent-­‐based  tools  to  try  to  capture  which  cycles  of  interac,on  are  the  most  salient.  Research  of  Chintan  Vaishnav.  

Explorations in Cyber International Relations Slide 16! OSD Minerva Research Project at Harvard & MIT!

Levels of analysis!

•  The  other  tool,  familiar  to  poli,cal  science.  – But  extended  in  fundamental  ways.  

Explorations in Cyber International Relations Slide 17! OSD Minerva Research Project at Harvard & MIT!

IR levels of analysis!

Global  

Interna,onal  

State  

Individual  

Explorations in Cyber International Relations Slide 18! OSD Minerva Research Project at Harvard & MIT!

Adding in private actors!

Global  

Interna,onal  

State  

Individual  

Private  sector  actors  

Collec,ve  actors  come  with  many  scopes:  • Local  to  a  state  • Trans-­‐na,onal  • “Going  for  Global”  

The  “belongs  to”  arrows  do  not  strongly  apply  to  collec,ve  private  actors.    

Scop

e  

Degree  of  state  involvement  

Explorations in Cyber International Relations Slide 19! OSD Minerva Research Project at Harvard & MIT!

Using this model!

•  This  model  can  be  a  tool  of  analysis  to  characterize  problems:  –  Causes  of  war,  nature  of  spam,  climate  change.  

•  Some  problems  may  suggest  a  framing  at  mul,ple  levels,  some  (like  climate  change)  seem  to  have  a  natural  level  where  their  analysis  must  necessarily  go.    

•  This  model  can  also  be  a  tool  to  explore  the  space  of  solu,ons.    –  A  proposed  solu,on  that  is  at  a  lower  level  than  the  “natural”  level  of  the  problem  may  not  be  effec,ve.    

Explorations in Cyber International Relations Slide 20! OSD Minerva Research Project at Harvard & MIT!

Curing spam!

Global  

Interna,onal  

State  

Individual  

Private  sector  actors  

Install  a  spam  filter  

Pass  laws  

Discuss  at  ITU  

Abandon  email;  Use  IM  

Establish  Spamhaus  

Explorations in Cyber International Relations Slide 21! OSD Minerva Research Project at Harvard & MIT!

Some actors move the locus!

Global  

Interna,onal  

State  

Individual  

Private  sector  actors  

Advocacy  groups  

Advocacy  groups  adempt  to  take  issues  at  the  individual  level  and  elevate  them  to  state-­‐level  issues.    

• Privacy  

Such  ac,on  may  rebalance  the  power  among  the  actors.    

Explorations in Cyber International Relations Slide 22! OSD Minerva Research Project at Harvard & MIT!

Private order!

Global  

Interna,onal  

State  

Individual  

Private  sector  actors  Administra,ve  organiza,on  

States  delegate  regula,on  to  collec,ve  actors:    • FASB  • UL  • D&B  

U.S.  Congress  and  agencies.  

Explorations in Cyber International Relations Slide 23! OSD Minerva Research Project at Harvard & MIT!

Asymmetric contention!

•  When  actors  of  different  sorts  contend,  they  use  different  tools,  leading  to  asymmetric  conten,on.    –  States  pass  laws  and  enter  into  contracts.  

•  Military  is  confounded…  

–  U.N.  organiza,ons  convene  summits  and  pass  resolu,ons.    States  use  tools  of  diplomacy,  such  as  consensus  building  and  stalling.    

–  Companies  lobby,  form  larger  collec,ves  for  clout,  fund  preferred  outcomes.    

–  Advocacy  groups  protest.  

Explorations in Cyber International Relations Slide 24! OSD Minerva Research Project at Harvard & MIT!

States differ in their control!

Global  

Interna,onal  

State  

Individual  

Private  sector  actors  

Chinese  ISPs  

US  views  ISPs  are  (largely)  private  actors.    Other  na,ons  such  as  China  view  ISPs  as  full  agents  of  the  state.  

Interac,ons  among  these  ISPs  may  have  an  asymmetric  feel.    

U.S.  ISPs  

Explorations in Cyber International Relations Slide 25! OSD Minerva Research Project at Harvard & MIT!

Contention over DNS!

Global  

Interna,onal  

State  

Individual  

Private  sector  actors  ICANN  

US  delegate  DNS  regula,on  to  ICANN.  Claims  it  is  “global”.  

State  and  non-­‐state  actors  contest  the  legi,macy  of  this  at  WSIS  and  IGF.  

“Internet”  companies  back  ICANN  

U.S.  Dept    of  Commerce  

WSIS/IGF  

Internet-­‐based  firms  Other  na,ons  

Explorations in Cyber International Relations Slide 26! OSD Minerva Research Project at Harvard & MIT!

A potentially useful elaboration!

Global  

Interna,onal  

State  

Individual  

Non-­‐profit    actors  

Scop

e  

Degree  of  state  involvement  

Profit-­‐seeking  actors  

Explorations in Cyber International Relations Slide 27! OSD Minerva Research Project at Harvard & MIT!

Combining the models!

•  Actors  can  be  posi,oned  within  both  models  – As  can  “issues”  and  “solu,ons”.  

Explorations in Cyber International Relations Slide 28! OSD Minerva Research Project at Harvard & MIT!

The matrix!

Individual     State   Interna.onal   Global   Non-­‐profits   Profit-­‐seeking  

People  

Informa,on  

Applica,ons  

Services  

Internet  

Physical  

Logical  

Explorations in Cyber International Relations Slide 29! OSD Minerva Research Project at Harvard & MIT!

Examples of issues!

Individual     State   Interna.onal   Global   Non-­‐profits   Profit-­‐seeking  

People   Digital  divide   Advocacy   Off-­‐shoring  

Informa,on   Privacy;  Peer  produc,on  

Censorship   Takedown;  IPR,    

Spam   Wikileaks   Aggrega,on  

Applica,ons   Peer  produc,on  

Lawful  intercept;  blocking  

Control  

Services   Blocking  DNS   Authority  over  DNS  

Internet   Home  network  mgt.  

Network  neutrality  

Physical   Home  wiring   Facili,es  unbundling  

Satellite  orbit  spectrum  

Facili,es  investment  

Logical  

Explorations in Cyber International Relations Slide 30! OSD Minerva Research Project at Harvard & MIT!

Controlling spam!

Individual     State   Interna.onal   Global   Non-­‐profits   Profit-­‐seeking  

People  

Informa,on   Filter   Pass  laws;  authorize  private  ac,on  

Discuss   Spamhaus   Filter  

Applica,ons   Block  ports  

Services   Block  DNS  

Internet   Disconnect  ISPs  

Disconnect  ISPs;Iden,fy  BOTs  

Physical  

Logical  

Explorations in Cyber International Relations Slide 31! OSD Minerva Research Project at Harvard & MIT!

Lessons!

•  This  (and  other)  examples  suggest  the  following:  – Remedies  can  be  implemented  at  different  levels  and  layers.  

•  Remedies  at  different  levels  (e.g.  individual  vs.  state)  may  or  may  not  be  effec,ve.    – Want  to  understand  issues.    

•  Remedies  at  different  layers  are  o\en  either  ineffec,ve  or  “blunt  instruments”.    

Explorations in Cyber International Relations Slide 32! OSD Minerva Research Project at Harvard & MIT!

Examples of institutions!

Individual     State   Interna.onal   Global   Non-­‐profits   Profit-­‐seeking  

People   FTC  (consumer  protec,on)  

EFF,  CDT  

Informa,on   Copyright  Censors  

 WIPO   Spamhaus;   Google,  NetFlix,  etc.  

Applica,ons   Freegate   W3C;  Open  so\ware  

Facebook,  Twider  

Services   ICANN*  (DNS)  

DynDNS,  DNS  registrars  

Internet   Agencies  as  ISPs  

NANOG;  IETF   ISPs  

Physical   State-­‐owned  facili,es  

IEEE  802   Fiber,  satellite,  etc.  

IGF  

ITU

Wikipedia  

Logical  

Explorations in Cyber International Relations Slide 33! OSD Minerva Research Project at Harvard & MIT!

Summary!

•  Who  governs  the  Internet?  – Unask  the  ques,on.  Malformed  as  asked.  

•  Ask  instead  more  structured  ques,ons:  – Who  governs  informa,on  and  its  flow?  – Who  governs  the  design  of  applica,ons?  – Who  governs  physical  deployment?  

– How  are  these  aspects  related  •  Our  matrix  is  a  first  cut  at  structuring  this  analysis.