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Building a Balanced Portfolio of International Exploration and Production Assets
Exploration: Investing for Growth
22006 Capital Markets Day
Presentation Contents
Appendices: Explanation of Core Plays
Angus McCossWrap-up and Thanks
Jerry JarvisNew Ventures: Supporting Regional Growth and Feeding New Ventures Funnel
John McKennaAsia: High-Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeed
Manu WopeSouth and East Africa: Unlocking and Developing the Potential of Exciting Core Plays
Robin SutherlandWest Africa: Technology, Programme Execution and Expansion creates Opportunities
Jan MaierNorth Africa: Building for the Future with Global Knowledge and Dedicated Skills
Chris FlavellEurope: Plenty Still to Play For
Angus McCossExploration Growth Strategy
PresenterSection
32006 Capital Markets Day 3
Angus McCossGeneral Manager Exploration
Exploration Growth Strategy
42006 Capital Markets Day
Global Resources
Historic Oil Prices (Brent Crude)
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
$80
$90
Oct-00 Oct-01 Oct-02 Oct-03 Oct-04 Oct-05 Oct-06
Pric
e ($
/bbl)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Gboe
1930 1950 1970 1990 2010 2030 2050
Discoveries – 1930 onwards
?
Past
Future
Production
□ Era of easy to find oil and gas is over−Geological fundamentals
□ High energy price outlook−High demand & accustomed consumers
−Service Cos accustomed to high rates
− Producers have new price expectations
−High price acreage in bid rounds
− Political tensions, Middle East & Nigeria
−Higher national takes
− Technical development challenges
□ Stiff competition for resources− Talent
−Quality affordable acreage
□ Opportunities for independents−Niches to apply experience
−Majors shedding portfolio tails
52006 Capital Markets Day
An illustration of the impact of Prospect Scale
20-25% of Resources inIndependent’s Campaigns
� Risk Spread� Follow-up� Sustainable
75-80% of Resources inMajor’s Lucky Strike
� High Opportunity Cost� ‘Hit-or-Miss’ Rare Prize� Diminishing Big Game
Majors focussed on the few remaining Big Prospects
Majors less efficient developing small fields
Opportunities abound for Tullow in sustainable mid-scale campaigns
Prospectivity(million boe / 100,000 sq km)
High
1000
500
250
125
63
31
16
8
4
2
Medium
100
50
25
13
6
3
2
1
Low
10
5
3
1
1
Efficiency Threshold
62006 Capital Markets Day
Geology outranks geography
Access difficult
Risk management
Material interest
Material prospects (in decline)
Cyclic investment, into and within E&P
Skewed success– Hit or miss wildcatting (1:10)– Failing to push the envelope (9:10)
Industry Tullow
□ Core plays & geological skills□ Geological focus within global footprint
□ Relationships & independence□ 3 longstanding regional operating hubs
□ Execution of strategic campaigns□ Culture, Creativity, Control□ Screen → Evaluate & Validate → Deliver
□ 50% average prospect interest (47%)
□ Right-sized with follow-up
□ Balanced portfolio funnel□ Steady funnel feed (>170 leads/prospects)
□ Balance of high-impact & near-infrastructure□ 6:11 wells, 55% success YTD
Cyclic recruitment □ Professional development (50 staff)
Exploration: Fundamentally Finding Oil & Gas
72006 Capital Markets Day
Clear Growth Strategy
Group Growth Strategy□ Extend proven business models and capabilities into viable growth environments
□ Proactive portfolio management maintaining balance between portfolio segments
Corporate Growth Strategy□ Acquisition of complementary value-enhancing E&P portfolios
□ Capture corporate opportunities, which improve the value chain
Brownfield Growth Strategy□ Acquisition of nearby P&D assets profitably extending infrastructure and field life
□ High-grade P&D portfolio to boost production during most profitable periods
Exploration Growth Strategy□ A balance of near-infrastructure and high-impact exploration for oil and gas
□ Building on knowledge - expansion based on core plays and skills− Forward positioning through global understanding of core plays
− Rapid and robust evaluation of short-lived opportunities
82006 Capital Markets Day
Global Exploration Staff Experience
London
Cape Town
Dublin
50 Geologists and Geophysicists□ London (HQ and Europe, 15)
□ Dublin (Asia/South America, 18)
□ Cape Town (Africa, 17)
92006 Capital Markets Day
Know How: Applied Technology and Exploration Ethos
□ Open to majors and independents−Evolutionary e.g. PSDM, Chemostrat
−Revolutionary e.g. CSEM, TRT
□ Right deployment−Right technology / methodology
−Right timing / scaling
□ ‘Joined-up’ workflows−G&G integration e.g. Petrel
−E2P (Exploration to Production)
−Context awareness e.g. CI, GIS
□ Proprietary insights− Team work in a creative culture
− Local knowledge leveraged globally
−Assured technical excellence
Sch
lum
ber
ger
Pet
rel
3D Seismic Salt Dome
102006 Capital Markets Day
Core Plays
Rift Basins
Proven 1er play
1st class source
Simplicity
Trapping
Sealing
Fold Belts
Proven 1er play
1st class trap
Follow up
Imaging
Drilling
Strat Traps
Proven 1er play
1st class upside
Back yard
Plumbing
Targeting
Salt Basins
Proven 1er play
1st class seal
Diversity
Imaging
Depth conversion
112006 Capital Markets Day
Core Plays
Central North Sea
South Viking Graben
Indus Basin
Gulf of Kutch
Cambay Basin
Bengal Basin
Assam Arakan
East African Rift
Orange BasinKwanza Basin
Lwr. Congo Basin
Rio Muni Basin
Rio del Rey Basin
Côte d’Ivoire– Tano Basin
Senegal – Mauritania Basin
Morondava Basin
SE Falklands Basin
Southern North Sea
Potwar Basin
Guyane Basin
Suriname Basin
122006 Capital Markets Day
‘Atlantic Twins’ and ‘Step Outs’
□ Experience in Europe, Africa and Asia is stepped out into contiguous analogous basins
□ Atlantic margin experience in Europe and Africa transfers to twin basins in the Americas
132006 Capital Markets Day
Hardman Acquisition Doubles Prospective Acreage
Mauritania – Step Out in Core Plays□ Eight contiguous licences with significant exploration potential
□ Proven offshore hydrocarbon province with play diversity and prospective trends
□ Low exploration well density
Uganda – Control in Core Plays□ Operational control of Albertine Basin
□ Control pace and strategy of exploration campaign
□ Increases exposure to significant upside following early success
Tanzania – Step Out in Core Plays□ High impact exploration step out in East Africa
□ Hydrocarbon systems: Msimbati / Mkindani oil seeps & Mnazi Bay gas discovery
□ Diverse oil and gas potential in familiar plays
142006 Capital Markets Day
Hardman Acquisition Fits Growth Strategy
Suriname – Near-Infrastructure with Upside□ Stratigraphic traps in Uitkijk blocks adjacent to Tambaredjo heavy oil field
□ Low cost tie-backs to existing infrastructure
□ Upside potential in Coronie block
Guyane – Atlantic Twin within Core Plays□ Leveraging West African geological expertise into twin Atlantic basin
□ High impact exploration potential
□ Substantial Matamata prospect and Kawana Eastern Basin plays
Falkland Islands– Atlantic Twin within Core Plays□ High risk high reward prospects identified
□ Oil shows and flows from Malvinas Basin wells
□ Diverse trap types with Atlantic margin analogues
152006 Capital Markets Day
STRAT TRAPS
SALT BASINS
EUROPE
RIFT BASINS
STRAT TRAPS
SALT BASINS
AFRICA
FOLD BELTS
RIFT BASINS
ASIA
Global Experience in Core Plays Feeding the Business Funnel
ScreenScreen Evaluate & ValidateEvaluate & Validate DeliverDeliver Development
& ProductionDevelopment& Production
Over 170 leads and prospects currently in funnel
162006 Capital Markets Day
Exploration Business Funnel: Well Balanced
Oil
Gas
High Impact
Near -Infrastructure
Oil : Gas
□ Balanced portfolio feeds balanced business
□ Range of international oil contracts
□ Feeding profitable regional gas businesses
High Impact : Near-Infrastructure
□ Spread of risk profile & chance of success
□ Chance to change the scale of Tullow
□ Increased certainty of lower-cost supply
Number ofLeads &
Prospects
Number ofLeads &
Prospects
Over 170 leads and prospects
172006 Capital Markets Day
Exploration Business Funnel: Prudent Diversity, with Focus
Africa
Asia
Europe
Salt Basins
Strat Traps
Rift Basins
Foldbelts
Other
Three Regional operating hubs
□ Influence through relationships & networks
□ Cost control & economies of scale
□ Africa has abundance of good opportunities
Four Core Plays
□ Enables leverage & development of skills
□ Experience & knowledge transfer maximised
□ Focus on prolific global plays
Number ofLeads &
Prospects
Number ofLeads &
Prospects
Over 170 leads and prospects
182006 Capital Markets Day
Global Exploration Leadership Team
Head ofExploration
Angus McCoss
Head ofExploration
Angus McCoss
Europe Exploration
ManagerChris Flavell
Europe Exploration
ManagerChris Flavell
North AfricaExploration
ManagerJan Maier
North AfricaExploration
ManagerJan Maier
West AfricaExploration
ManagerRobin Sutherland
West AfricaExploration
ManagerRobin Sutherland
S & E AfricaExploration
ManagerManu Wope
S & E AfricaExploration
ManagerManu Wope
AsiaExploration
ManagerJohn McKenna
AsiaExploration
ManagerJohn McKenna
GlobalNew
VenturesJerry Jarvis
GlobalNew
VenturesJerry Jarvis
GlobalGeophysics
ManagerJoe Mongan
GlobalGeophysics
ManagerJoe Mongan
GlobalGeological
AdviserJerome Kelly
GlobalGeological
AdviserJerome Kelly
GlobalPortfolioManager
Bob Winter
GlobalPortfolioManager
Bob Winter
GlobalExploration
AdviserDoug Cherry
GlobalExploration
AdviserDoug Cherry
Focused Delivery in Business Units Balanced Overview in Global Team
Assist / Challenge / Assure
Business UnitsCAPE TOWN (Africa 17)DUBLIN (Asia 15+3)
LONDON (HQ & Europe 15)
50 Professional Geologists and Geophysicists
192006 Capital Markets Day
Areas of Responsibility
EuropeChris Flavell
EuropeChris Flavell
North AfricaJan Maier
North AfricaJan Maier
West AfricaRobin Sutherland
West AfricaRobin Sutherland
S.E. AfricaManu WopeS.E. Africa
Manu Wope
AsiaJohn McKenna
AsiaJohn McKenna
Regional Managers□ Execute existing ventures□ ‘Step Out’ growth□ Support new ventures□ Existing ventures funnel
New Ventures – Jerry Jarvis□ Screens and ranks all basins
□ New region entry
□ Supports regional growth
□ Global new ventures funnel
202006 Capital Markets Day
Europe
EuropeChris Flavell
EuropeChris Flavell
□ High value, near-infrastructure exploration, with excellent success rate in past 4 years
□ Focussed exploration strategy on core stratigraphic and salt basin plays
□ Forward programme to build upon proven strengths as we expand area of operations
212006 Capital Markets Day
North Africa
North AfricaJan Maier
North AfricaJan Maier
□ Application of global skill set to stratigraphic, salt and rift plays offshore
□ Huge potential for hydrocarbon resource delivery from Core Plays in the region
□ Extension of Tullow footprint to Atlantic ‘Twin’ basins through Hardman acquisition
222006 Capital Markets Day
West Africa
West AfricaRobin Sutherland
West AfricaRobin Sutherland
□ Very active exploration programme on existing licences
□ Strong drive for expansion based on West Africa experience
□ Application of best available technology is key
232006 Capital Markets Day
South and East Africa
S.E. AfricaManu WopeS.E. Africa
Manu Wope
□ Success through basis-wide strategy in the Albert Graben
□ Leveraging core competencies and experience from Uganda to other rift basins
□ Hardman acquisition adds prove Rovuma Basin in Tanzania
□ Building regional position and on course to deliver reserves
242006 Capital Markets Day
Asia
AsiaJohn McKenna
AsiaJohn McKenna
□ High impact opportunities
□ Emerging energy markets with demand currently outstripping supply
□ Potential to leverage core competencies to help satisfy strong local demand
□ Lively acreage turnover presents farm in opportunities
252006 Capital Markets Day
New Ventures
New VenturesJerry Jarvis
□ Rapid controlled growth through focused exploration business development
□ Leveraging competencies and core plays with global oversight
□ Rigorous and timely evaluation support, applying a global perspective