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The Civil Rights and Civil Liberties Section of the Boston Bar Association and the Boston Lawyer Chapter of the American Constitution Society Present a Panel Discussion on “Voter Integrity or Suppression: The Effect of the New Voting Laws in 2012 and Beyond” Monday, April 29, 2013 - Boston Bar Association Panelists: David Sullivan Justin Levitt Charles Stewart Moderator: Robert Whitney

Experiences in Voter P rotection Efforts: The View from The Trenches David E. Sullivan

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The Civil Rights and Civil Liberties Section of the Boston Bar Association and the Boston Lawyer Chapter of the American Constitution Society Present a Panel Discussion on “ Voter Integrity or Suppression: The Effect of the New Voting Laws in 2012 and Beyond ” - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Experiences in Voter  P rotection Efforts:  The View from The Trenches David E. Sullivan

The Civil Rights and Civil Liberties Section of the Boston Bar Association and the Boston Lawyer Chapter of the American Constitution Society

Present a Panel Discussion on

“Voter Integrity or Suppression:The Effect of the New Voting Laws in 2012

and Beyond”

Monday, April 29, 2013 - Boston Bar Association

Panelists:David Sullivan Justin Levitt

Charles Stewart

Moderator:Robert Whitney

Page 2: Experiences in Voter  P rotection Efforts:  The View from The Trenches David E. Sullivan

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Experiences in Voter Protection Efforts: The View

from The Trenches

David E. Sullivan

Page 4: Experiences in Voter  P rotection Efforts:  The View from The Trenches David E. Sullivan

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Line outside polling station, Aventura, Florida Daily Kos

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Lines outside polling station, West Palm Beach, Florida Palm Beach Post

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Line outside polling station, Columbus, Ohio @finneganlatimes

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Line outside polling station, Cleveland, Ohio @ariberman

Page 8: Experiences in Voter  P rotection Efforts:  The View from The Trenches David E. Sullivan

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Voting Laws, 2012 and BeyondProfessor Justin Levitt

Loyola Law School – Los Angeles

Page 9: Experiences in Voter  P rotection Efforts:  The View from The Trenches David E. Sullivan

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Restrictions in 2011-2012• Felony disenfranchisement FL, IA

• Voter registration drives FL, TX

• Other registration restrictions AL, KS, MI, NH, TN

• Same-day registration ME, MN, OH

• Broad purges CO, FL, IA, TN, TX

• More restrictive ID AL, KS, MS, NH, PA,

RI, SC, TN, TX, WI

• Early/absentee voting limits CO, FL, GA, OH, TN, WV

Page 10: Experiences in Voter  P rotection Efforts:  The View from The Trenches David E. Sullivan

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Restrictions in 2011-2012• Felony disenfranchisement FL, IA

• Voter registration drives FL, TX

• Other registration restrictions AL, KS, MI, NH, TN

• Same-day registration ME, MN, OH

• Broad purges CO, FL, IA, TN, TX

• More restrictive ID AL, KS, MS, NH, PA,

RI, SC, TN, TX, WI

• Early/absentee voting limits CO, FL, GA, OH, TN, WV

Page 11: Experiences in Voter  P rotection Efforts:  The View from The Trenches David E. Sullivan

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The Perfect Storm

Robert King / Newsmakers

Page 12: Experiences in Voter  P rotection Efforts:  The View from The Trenches David E. Sullivan

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2000• Voting technology• Voter information• Recount• Deadlines• Registration problems• Voter purges• Lines• Ballot design• Absentee ballots• Military/overseas ballots

2012• Voting technology• Voter information

• Deadlines• Registration problems• Voter purges• Lines• Ballot design / length• Absentee ballots• Military/overseas ballots• Voter ID• Resource allocation• Challenges• Provisional ballots

• Recount

Page 13: Experiences in Voter  P rotection Efforts:  The View from The Trenches David E. Sullivan

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• Voting technology• Voter information• Recount• Deadlines• Registration problems• Voter purges• Lines• Ballot design (butterfly)• Absentee ballots• Military/overseas ballots

• 16 different lawsuits after election day, in Florida alone

Page 14: Experiences in Voter  P rotection Efforts:  The View from The Trenches David E. Sullivan

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Law on the books, law on the ground

J.D. Pooley / Getty Images

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Barriers to Voting in 2012:What the Public Saw

Professor Charles Stewart IIIMIT

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Three Surveys

• Survey of the Performance of American Elections– 10,200 registered voters on “Election Day”

(200/state + DC)• Cooperative Congressional Election Study

(CCES)– 54,500 adults nationwide

• MIT/Reed College module of the CCES– 2,000 adults nationwide

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VOTER ID

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Voter ID Is Popular2008 2012

All respondents 76% 72%

Democrats 65% 54%African Americans 77% 61%Liberals 58% 42%

Republicans 90% 88%Whites 76% 73%Conservatives 90% 91%

Question: [Do you support requiring] all people to show government issued photo ID when they vote?

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Voter ID Is Popular

2012All respondents 72%

Voting in a privilege (32%) 84%50/50 (11%) 77%Voting is a right (57%) 65%

Question: [Do you support requiring] all people to show government issued photo ID when they vote?

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Racial Disparities Are Real

Any D.L. Valid D.L. Any Passport Valid Passport

White 93% 84% 41% 35%

Black 79% 63% 28% 25%

Hispanic 90% 73% 49% 42%

White – Black 14 19 12 11

White – Hispanic 4 11 -8 -7

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Pollworker Discretion Is an Issue

Strict photo Non-strict photo Non-photo ID No IDAll 65% 60% 36% 16%

White 64% 59% 36% 13%Black 67% 63% 40% 22%Hispanic --- 79% 30% 31%

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WAITING TO VOTE

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Most People Don’t Wait a Long Time

2008 2012Not at all 38% 37%Less than 10 minutes 27% 31%10-30 minutes 19% 20%31-60 minutes 11% 9%More than one hour 6% 3%Average (min.) 15.7 13.1

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The Problem Is Focused on a Few States

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It’s the Same States as 2008

1 102.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.07.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0

2008

1

10

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3.0

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2012

VT

AKSD

WYMENE DE

IA NJMN NMHICTCAMA MSNVKYID WI CO AZPA

ALND OHUTNHRI KS MOWVMT TXILNY INARNCTN

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The Four Factors

• Race• Early voting• Urban/rural• (South)eastern seaboard

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The Four Factors:I: Race

White 11.6Black 23.3Hispanic 18.7Asian Amer. 15.4Native Amer. 13.3Mixed 13.6Other 13.3

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The Four Factors:II & III: Early Voting & Rural/Urban

Pop. density Election Day Early Total1st quartile

(1-75)5.9 4.9 5.7

2nd quartile(75-570)

9.5 11.5 9.9

3rd quartile(570-2739)

12.7 12.5 14.9

4th quartile(2739-34000)

16.0 24.3 17.7

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The Four Factors:IV: (South)eastern Seaboard