Exp Credit Guarantee

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    All rights reserved. Copyright 2008

    Euler Hermes Kreditversicherungs-AG and

    PricewaterhouseCoopers AG WPG.

    Opportunities and development

    in the current global crisis

    Ute Kochlowski-Kadjaia, Euler Hermes Russia

    Moscow, April 21, 2010

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    page 2

    Contents

    Role and Function of Export Credit Agencies(ECAs)

    Crisis Response Consequences for ECAs

    Cover Policy for Russia

    Conclusion

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    page 3

    Mandatary business

    Federal Export Credit GuaranteesBy order and for account of the Federal Republic of

    Germany

    as leading partner

    cooperating as partners to a consortium

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    Interministerial Committee for ExportGuarantees (IMA)

    IMA

    AA

    Federal Foreign OfficeBMWi

    Federal Ministry of

    Economics and

    Technology

    (in charge)

    BMF

    Federal Ministry

    of Finance

    Experts- KfW IPEX-Bank

    - AKA Ausfuhrkredit-Gesellschaft

    - Representatives of export and banking

    ConsortiumEuler Hermes

    PricewaterhouseCoopers

    BMZFederal Ministry for

    Economic

    Cooperation and

    Development

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    Definition Export Credit Guarantees

    Insurance against the political / commercial risks arising abroadinvolved in export business (or export financing)

    transacted by an exporter domiciled in Germany

    provided by the Federal Republic of Germany

    It requires

    the payment of a premium in accordance with the risk involved

    and

    an uninsured portion to be borne by the policy holder

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    Requirements for Export Credit Guarantees

    Business that qualifies for official support

    Export transactions (supply, works/services and financing contracts)

    of a German exporter with goods of mainly German origin involving

    non-marketable risks abroad

    Criteria for the granting of cover are

    that the transaction is eligible for support

    that the risk is justifiable

    that the terms of the contract are in accordance with common

    practice

    that the provisions of the federal budget law are observed

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    NEWLY COVERED BUSINESS

    15.213.2

    10.313.012.2

    7.2

    7.5

    6.7

    7.67.6

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

    Wholeturnover/ Rev. policies

    Specific policies

    in Euro billions

    20.6

    17.0

    19.822.4

    20.7

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    TOP MARKETS FOR NEW GUARANTEES

    165

    12

    210

    845

    649

    447

    678

    703

    716

    971

    1,552

    1,357

    1,479

    2,878

    2,042

    1,353

    1,363

    1,991

    2,066

    2,087

    10. Israel

    9. Romania

    8. Dubai

    7. India

    6. Brazil

    5. China

    4. Turkey

    3. Russia

    2. United States

    1. South Korea

    2009

    2008

    in Euro millions

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    Total: 15,156 EUR millions

    in Euro millions and in %

    BREAKDOWN OF SPECIFIC POLICIESBY TYPE OF SECTORS

    51%

    20%

    12%

    6%

    4%

    3% 2% 1%Infrastructure: 7,659 (51%)

    Processing industry: 3,046 (20%)

    Energy: 1,852 (12%)

    Paper, timber, leather and textileindustry: 943 (6%)

    Services: 611 (4%)

    Mining: 503 (3%)

    Agriculture and food processingindustry: 338 (2%)

    Environmental technology: 149 (1%)

    Oil production and gas gathering: 32(0.2%)

    Chemical industry: 22 (0.1%)

    thereof:

    aircraft: 21%

    ships: 19%

    thereof:

    metal industry: 16%

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    Types of export guarantees extract

    Cover facilities

    Single export cover/tied loan cover (pre and post shipment)

    Framework credit cover

    Revolving buyer credit cover

    Project financing

    Structured financing including countertrade business

    Cover in local currency

    Cover against payment defaults for confirmed L/C

    Whole turnover cover

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    Tied loan cover

    Export contract/deliveryForeign buyerGerman exporter

    German bankLoan contract

    Repayment

    Disbursement of

    buyer credit

    Foreign bank

    If necessary: buyer involvement

    in payment obligationsLocal

    contract

    Types of export guarantees I

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    Framework credit cover

    Targets

    Financial credits for smaller transactions

    More flexible and quicker

    Criteria for cover

    Credit volume

    up to EUR 10m per single transaction

    Currency

    framework and single contract must be the same

    International standards e.g. consensus must be considered

    Types of export guarantees II

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    Revolving buyer credit cover Contract between a German and a foreign bank to finance transactions

    between one German exporter and one foreign importer

    Payment terms on short term basis (up to 12 months, in exceptional cases up

    to 24 months)

    Policy period is one year and will be automatically extended if notice oftermination is not given

    Targets

    Cover ofshort term credits

    More flexible and quicker

    Types of export guarantees III

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    In general:

    Export guarantees are granted to

    promote German export goods, but

    a product receiving a German

    certificate of origin is considered as

    German.

    foreign content is acceptable in

    principle. Local costs and foreign content

    can amount to 30% (base rate) of the

    contact value without any statements.Exceeding the base rate is possible under

    certain circumstances.

    Foreign ContentInclusion of non-German sub deliveries

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    Background

    Main supply and subcontracting deliveries will be covered by one credit insurer

    The value of the subcontracting deliveries will be reinsured by the credit insurer

    for goods sourced from his country

    Resulting in

    One policyholder One credit insurer

    One cover

    One cover scheme

    = One stop shop

    Foreign Content Reinsurance I

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    ASHRA (Israel)

    Atradius (Netherlands)

    CESCE (Spain)

    COFACE (France)

    COSEC (Portugal) ECGD (Great Britain)

    EDC (Canada)

    EFIC (Australia)

    EGAP (Czech Republic)

    EKF (Denmark) EKN (Sweden)

    FINNVERA (Finland)

    GIEK (Norway)

    KUKE (Poland)

    NEXI (Japan)

    ODL (Luxemburg)

    OeKB (Austria) ONDD (Belgium)

    SACE (Italy)

    SERV (Switzerland)

    SID (Slovenia)

    US Ex-Im Bank (U.S.A)

    German ECA: 21 reinsurance agreements with other

    ECAs

    Foreign Content Reinsurance II

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    Contents

    Role and Function of Export Credit Agencies (ECAs)

    Crisis Response Consequences for ECAs

    Cover Policy for Russia

    Conclusion

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    Challenge for ECAs

    The major challenge for ECAs in a world characterised by afinancial and increasingly economic crisis is to find a balancebetween

    ... a prudent and responsibleadministration of the German

    governments and taxpayers

    money

    grant cover after a thorough

    evaluation of the risks involved

    and the objective of promotingthe economy, in our caseespecially German exports

    accept risks despite the global

    economic turbulences

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    Crisis response Consequences on ECAs I

    During the crisis ECAs were forced to act counter-cyclically andflexibly.

    Substantial increase in demand for ECA cover in combination with ECArelated government action against the crisis

    ECAs are approached by new customers and are getting involved in new

    industry sectors and/or buyer countries such as EU and other OECD

    countries

    Cover is sought for risks that used to be perceived as save

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    Crisis response Consequences on ECAs II

    Governments response with new/amended insuranceproducts and cover policies in order to facilitate exportfinance

    (Re-)Entry of ECAs in the field of marketable risks (shortterm cover for EU and OECD countries) due to restrictions ofthe private credit insurance market

    ECAs are extending their umbrella rather than closing it

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    Crisis response New and amended products I

    German Government launched a package of new coverregulations embedded in the Economic Stimulus Plan II.

    Supplier Credit Guarantee

    Increased percentage of cover up to 95 % to reduce refinancing costs

    Credit Confirmation Risk Cover

    Newly established instrument to stabilize L/C business

    Banks can insure themselves against the risks involved in the

    confirmation of a letter of credit that has been issued to finance an export

    transaction by a German company

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    Crisis response New and amended products II

    German Government launched a package of new coverregulations embedded in the Economic Stimulus Plan II.

    Contract Bonding Increased single limit of cover from EUR 80 to EUR 300 million to ease

    exporters liquidity position, as it helps to ease the pressure on theexporters credit line

    Securitisation Guarantee in relation to the KfW Refinancing Program

    Facilitating access to long-term funding for banks arrangingHermescovered transactions.

    Banks sell their covered receivables (from existing and new loans) to KfWand make fresh funds available for the financing of new business coveredunder Federal Export Credit Guarantees

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    The crisis so far

    Despite a double-digit decrease in German exports in 2009 as well ascancellations and postponement of many projects cover volume is

    expected to rise

    Both standard and new products contributed to this result

    During the crisis, ECA-covered financing has gained tremendous

    importance

    ECAs have proved to be a reliable partner and will continue giving

    support to maintain and where necessary restore trust in globalfinancial systems and trade relationships.

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    Policies regarding the analyses of banks I

    Apart from generally accepted banks, still case by case analysis

    No general rejection of any CIS country

    Detailed information regarding ownership structure

    In-depth insight into the respective banks risk management

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    Policy regarding analysis of banks II

    Financial Statements (preferentially according to IFRS) for 3rd

    Quarter 2008 Securities portfolio

    Detailed overview of liquidity situation

    Exposure to currency risks

    - Matching Maturities

    - Proportion of Loans to customers in foreign currencies and assessment

    of customers ability to pay back such loans

    Detailed overview of Loans to Individuals

    Exposure to real estate sector

    Impairment provisions

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    page 26

    Contents

    Role and Function of Export Credit Agencies (ECAs)

    Crisis Response Consequences for ECAs

    Cover Policy for Russia

    Conclusion

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    Russia cover policy

    Generally open for short-term transactions (examination of creditworthiness)Criteria / securities for credit business transactions:

    - State guarantee

    - Corporate risk

    Additional securities not required in cases of excellent standing of the buyer

    - Bank guarantee

    Generally accepted banks: 15 banks such as VTB, Sberbank,

    Vnesheconombank, Gazprombank or Alfa Bank

    Other banks on a case-by-case basis (about 50 banks so far)

    In general involvement of the Russian buyer in the payment obligations

    Premium category 4

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    Russia cover volume for recent years

    1.420

    1.7922.015

    3.249

    2.878

    1.991

    2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

    short term long term total

    (in million EUR)

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    German ECA underwriting volume(long term) for Russia by type of security

    716

    61

    29

    25

    50

    32

    35

    37

    37

    32

    17

    75

    36

    50

    6361

    47

    68

    23

    2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

    (30.09.)

    State Guarantees Bank Securities Corporate Risk

    %

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    Russia recent experience

    Only very few covered banks have not been able to meet theirobligations so far

    Strong effort by the Russian government to support system relevant

    banks

    Further consolidation of the banking sector is nevertheless to be

    expected in 2009

    Russia will remain a major partner in the years to come

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    page 31

    Contents

    Role and Function of Export Credit Agencies (ECAs)

    Crisis Response Consequences for ECAs

    Cover Policy for Russia

    Conclusion

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    Conclusion

    Due to the current challenges and difficulties ECA-covered financing has

    gained tremendous importance.

    ECAs will be a reliable partner and will give support to maintain and where

    necessary restore trust in global financial systems and trade relationships.

    Russia and CIS will remain major partners also in the years to come.

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    Thank you for your attention!

    Further information is provided under:

    Hotline: +49 (0) 40/88 34-90 00

    [email protected]

    Vorname Name

    Unternehmen

    Tel.:

    E-Mail: