Exercise and Diabetes

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Exercise and Diabetes

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  • Physical Activity of Moderate Intensity andRisk of Type 2 DiabetesA systematic review

    CHRISTIE Y. JEON, BA1

    R. PETER LOKKEN, BA1FRANK B. HU, MD1,2,3

    ROB M. VAN DAM, PHD2

    OBJECTIVE To systematically evaluate the evidence for an association between physicalactivity of moderate intensity and risk of type 2 diabetes.

    RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS We searched EMBASE and Medline throughMarch 2006 and examined reference lists of retrieved articles. We excluded studies that did notassess physical activity of moderate intensity independent of activities of vigorous intensity(more than six times the resting metabolic rate). Information on study design, participantcharacteristics, assessment of physical activity, and outcomes and estimates of associations wereextracted independently by two investigators. We calculated summary relative risks (RRs) usinga random-effects model for the highest versus the lowest reported duration of activities.

    RESULTS We identified 10 prospective cohort studies of physical activity of moderateintensity and type 2 diabetes, including a total of 301,221 participants and 9,367 incident cases.Five of these studies specifically investigated the role of walking. The summary RR of type 2diabetes was 0.69 (95% CI 0.580.83) for regular participation in physical activity of moderateintensity as compared with being sedentary. Similarly, the RR was 0.70 (0.580.84) for regularwalking (typically 2.5 h/week brisk walking) as compared with almost no walking. Theassociations remained significant after adjustment for BMI. Similar associations were observed inmen and women and in the U.S. and Europe.

    CONCLUSIONS These findings indicate that adherence to recommendations to partici-pate in physical activities of moderate intensity such as brisk walking can substantially reduce therisk of type 2 diabetes.

    Diabetes Care 30:744752, 2007

    The prevalence of type 2 diabetes ishigh and expected to increase dra-matically in the U.S. and worldwide(1). Type 2 diabetes is a chronic diseaseassociated with premature mortality andvarious debilitating complications (2). In-tensive treatment regimens can preventsome but not all complications (3). There-fore, primary prevention efforts areclearly needed.

    Moderately intense physical activi-ties, such as walking and gardening, arethe most common forms of activity

    among adults in the U.S. (4) and may bean easily adoptable, relatively safe meansto reduce the risk of type 2 diabetes. Ran-domized trials have shown that physicalactivity alone or in conjunction with di-etary changes can reduce the incidence oftype 2 diabetes (58). However, the in-tensity of activity required remains un-clear because the independent role ofmoderately intense activities has not beendirectly examined in these trials.

    Observational studies have consis-tently reported an inverse association

    between physical activity and type 2 dia-betes, but most of these studies focusedon vigorous activities or physical activityof various intensities combined (e.g.,9,10). In this article, we systematicallyreview the epidemiological evidence onthe association between physical activityof moderate intensity and risk of type 2diabetes.

    RESEARCH DESIGN ANDMETHODS We searched EMBASEand Medline through March 2006 forprospective cohort and cross-sectionalstudies investigating the association be-tween moderately intense physical activ-ity and incidence and prevalence of type 2diabetes. The search terms physical ac-tivity, exercise, and walking wereused in combination with noninsulin de-pendent diabetes mellitus, NIDDM,and type 2 diabetes, and references listsof retrieved articles were examined. Phys-ical activity of moderate intensity was de-fined as requiring a metabolic equivalenttask (MET) score of 3.06.0 (11). OneMET corresponds to the energy expendi-ture during rest (quiet sitting). A typicalactivity of moderate intensity is briskwalking at 5.6 km/h (3.5 miles/h) on a flatsurface requiring 3.8 MET (12). Othercommon activities of moderate intensityinclude playing golf, leisure bicycling at16 km/h (10 miles/h), and gardening(12).

    The EMBASE and Medline searcheswere performed independently by two in-vestigators (C.Y.J. and R.P.L.), yielding491 and 488 articles, respectively. Twoadditional relevant articles were found byexamination of reference lists of retrievedarticles. Studies were excluded if they didnot involve human subjects, did notpresent age-adjusted estimates, involvedstudy populations overlapping with otherstudies, or combined moderately intenseactivity with strenuous or light activity.Ten prospective cohort studies (1322)and six cross-sectional studies (2328)were eligible. Because of the large hetero-geneity in exposure and outcome mea-sures for the cross-sectional studies, a

    From the 1Department of Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts; the2Department of Nutrition, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts; and the 3ChanningLaboratory, Harvard Medical School and Brigham and Womens Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts.

    Address correspondence and reprint requests to Rob M. van Dam, Department of Nutrition, HarvardSchool of Public Health, 665 Huntington Ave., Bldg. 2, Boston, MA 02115. E-mail: [email protected].

    Received for publication 1 September 2006 and accepted in revised form 2 December 2006.C.Y.J. and R.P.L. contributed equally to this work.Abbreviations: MET, metabolic equivalent task.A table elsewhere in this issue shows conventional and Systeme International (SI) units and conversion

    factors for many substances.DOI: 10.2337/dc06-1842 2007 by the American Diabetes Association.

    R e v i e w s / C o m m e n t a r i e s / A D A S t a t e m e n t sR E V I E W

    744 DIABETES CARE, VOLUME 30, NUMBER 3, MARCH 2007

  • Table

    1C

    ohortstudies

    ofm

    oderatelyintense

    physicalactivityand

    riskof

    type2

    diabetes

    Leadauthor,

    year(ref.)

    Country

    SexA

    ge(years)

    N/n

    casesM

    oderate-intensityactivity

    Diabetes

    assessment

    Follow-up

    (years)A

    djustments

    Helm

    rich,1991(13)

    U.S.

    M3968

    5,990/202N

    onvigorous(

    5M

    ET

    h)sports

    onlyvs.no

    sportsparticipation;w

    alking:

    15vs.

    5blocks/day

    Self-reportofphysician

    diagnosis14

    Age

    Lynch,1996(14)

    FinlandM

    4260897/46

    Activities

    requiring

    5.5M

    ET

    hfor

    atleast

    2h/w

    eek(yes

    vs.no)

    OG

    TT

    orself-report

    ofantidiabetesm

    edication

    4.2A

    ge,BMI,baseline

    glucoselevel,

    durationofvigorous

    activities

    Hu

    FB,1999(15)

    U.S.

    F4065

    70,912/1,419W

    alkingin

    ME

    Th/w

    eekam

    ongthose

    who

    didnot

    performvigorous

    activities(highest

    10

    ME

    Th/w

    eekvs.low

    est

    0.5M

    ET

    h/week

    quintile)

    Self-reportofphysician

    diagnosis(validated)

    8A

    ge,BMI,sm

    oking,menopausal

    status,hormone

    therapy,parentalhistory

    ofdiabetes,alcoholuse,hypertension,hypercholesterolem

    ia

    Folsom,2000

    (16)U

    .S.F

    556934,257/1,997

    Frequencyofactivities

    6.0

    ME

    Th

    (4

    times/

    week

    vs.rareor

    never)

    Self-reportofphysician

    diagnosis12

    Age,BM

    I,waist-to-hip

    ratio,education,sm

    oking,alcoholuse,horm

    onetherapy

    use,fam

    ilyhistory

    ofdiabetes,dietary

    factorsO

    kada,2000(17)

    JapanM

    35606,013/444

    Weekend

    leisure-time

    activity(gardening,

    home

    repairs,shopping)

    vs.beingsedentary

    duringw

    eekends

    OG

    TT

    10A

    ge,BMI,alcoholuse,sm

    okingstatus,hypertension,parentalhistory

    ofdiabetes,weekday

    physicalactivity

    Wannam

    ethee,2000

    (18)U

    .K.

    M4059

    5,159/196R

    egularw

    alkingor

    recreationalactivities(gardening

    andhom

    erepairs)

    vs.sedentary

    Primary

    carerecords

    16.9A

    ge,BMI,sm

    oking,alcoholuse,socialclass,preexistingcoronary

    heartdisease

    Hu

    FB,2001(19)

    U.S.

    M4075

    37,918/1,058W

    alkingin

    ME

    Th/w

    eek(highest

    vs.lowest

    quintile)

    Self-reportofphysician

    diagnosis(validated)

    10A

    ge,smoking,parentalhistory

    ofdiabetes,hypertension,BM

    I,dietary

    factors,vigorousexercise

    Hu

    G,2003

    (20)Finland

    M/F

    356414,290/373

    Leisure-time

    physicalactivity

    (walking,

    cycling,lightgardening)

    4

    h/week

    vs.less

    Nationalregistries

    12A

    ge,BMI,study

    year,systolicblood

    pressure,smoking

    status,education,other

    physicalactivity

    Weinstein,2004

    (21)U

    .S.F

    45

    37,878/1,361W

    alking(

    4h/w

    eekvs.

    none)Self-report

    ofphysiciandiagnosis

    (validated)6.9

    Age,BM

    I,family

    historyof

    diabetes,alcoholuse,smoking,

    hormone

    therapy,hypertension,hypercholesterolem

    ia,dietaryfactors,treatm

    entgroup,other

    physicalactivityH

    sia,2005(22)

    U.S.

    FPost-

    menopausal

    87,907/2,271W

    alking(highest

    10

    ME

    Th/w

    eekvs.low

    est0

    ME

    Th/w

    eekquintile)

    Self-reportof

    antidiabetesm

    edicaton

    5.1A

    ge,BMI,alcoholuse,education,

    smoking

    status,hypertension,hypercholesterolem

    ia,dietaryfactors

    ME

    T

    work

    metabolic

    rate/restingm

    etabolicrate.O

    GT

    T,oralglucose

    tolerancetest.

    Jeon and Associates

    DIABETES CARE, VOLUME 30, NUMBER 3, MARCH 2007 745

  • meta-analysis was only conducted for thecohort studies.

    Information on study design, partici-pant characteristics, definition of moder-ately intense physical activity, adjustmentsfor potential confounders, and estimatesof associations were abstracted indepen-dently by two investigators (C.Y.J. andR.P.L.). In all studies, estimates of relativerisks (RRs) with information about theirvariance were reported. For studies thatreported more than one level of moder-ately intense activity, the RR for the high-est as compared with the lowest level ofactivity was abstracted.

    Statistical analysisWe used STATA version 9.1 (STATA,College Station, TX) for all statistical anal-yses. Summary measures were calculatedusing random-effects models, which al-low each of the studies to estimate a dif-ferent effect size (29). P values forheterogeneity of study results were calcu-lated using Cochrans Q test (30). Whenavailable, we separately analyzed BMI-unadjusted and -adjusted results from theoriginal studies to assess the role of phys-ical activity independent of its associationwith weight. To examine sources of het-erogeneity, we conducted metaregressionanalysis with the log RR of studies as depen-dent variable and country (U.S./other)and sex (male/female) as independentvariables. We assessed potential publica-tion bias using funnel plots, plots of RRsversus precision, and the Begg (31) andEgger (32) tests.

    RESULTS

    Cohort studiesWe identified 10 cohort studies on phys-ical activity of moderate intensity and riskof type 2 diabetes, including a total of301,221 participants and 9,367 incidentcases. Table 1 shows the characteristics ofthe included studies. Fig. 1 shows the re-sults for moderately intense physical ac-tivity and risk of type 2 diabetes with andwithout adjustment for BMI. For onestudy only BMI-unadjusted (13) and forone study only BMI-adjusted estimateswere presented (22). The summary RR oftype 2 diabetes without BMI adjustmentwas 0.69 (95% CI 0.580.83) for thehighest as compared with the lowest cat-egory of moderate-intensity physical ac-tivity. The BMI-adjusted RR of diabeteswas 0.83 (0.760.90). The P value forheterogeneity in study results was

    0.001 for the BMI-unadjusted and 0.24for the BMI-adjusted estimates.

    In five of the cohort studies the spe-cific role of walking was examined(13,15,19,21,22). Figure 2 shows the re-sults for walking and risk of type 2 diabe-tes. The BMI-unadjusted summary RRcomparing the highest with the lowestwalking level was 0.70 (95% CI 0.580.84), and the BMI-adjusted RR was 0.83(0.750.91). P values for heterogeneitywere 0.08 for the BMI-unadjusted and0.68 for the BMI-adjusted estimates. Thereported amount of walking for the refer-ence category was minimal, and theamount in the highest category was atleast 10 MET h/week (15,22), which isequivalent to 2.5 h/week of brisk walk-ing. Amounts of walking of 23 h/week(21), 2.13.8 MET h/week (15), and 5.110.0 MET h/week (22) have also been as-sociated with a significantly lower risk oftype 2 diabetes as compared with beingsedentary.

    All but two studies (16,22) consid-ered confounding by vigorous physicalactivity by adjusting for vigorous activityor excluding participants that engaged invigorous activities. The studies that didnot consider potential confounding byvigorous activity did not consistently re-port stronger or weaker associations thanthe other studies.

    The Egger and Begg tests provided noevidence for publication bias for the BMI-unadjusted (P 0.63 and P 0.84, re-spectively) and BMI-adjusted (P 0.83and P 0.40) association between mod-erately intense physical activity and riskof type 2 diabetes.

    Characteristics of the studypopulationThe inverse association between moder-ately intense physical activity and type 2diabetes was observed in populationsfrom the U.S., Finland, and the U.K. (Ta-ble 1). In the Japanese study by Okada etal. (17), no inverse association was ob-served, but this may have been due to themoderate-intensity activity definition thatwas restricted to weekends, included rel-atively light-intensity activities, and didnot consider duration. We conducted ametaregression analysis for the associa-tion between moderate-intensity physicalactivity and did not find significant differ-ences in results between U.S. and non-U.S. populations (P 0.20). Thesummary RR for the U.S. studies was 0.68(95% CI 0.560.81), while that of thenon-U.S. studies was 0.75 (0.561.00).

    After excluding the study by Okada et al.(17), the RR for non-U.S. studies was 0.66(0.540.80) and the P value for differ-ence by region 0.96. For the BMI-adjusted RRs, the P values for differenceby region was 0.07 before and 0.75 afterexclusion of the study by Okada et al. Wealso evaluated potential differences bysex. The BMI-unadjusted association be-tween moderate-intensity physical activ-ity and diabetes risk was significantlystronger for female (RR 0.58 [95% CI0.510.65]) than for male (0.82 [0.700.96]) cohorts (P 0.04). However, afterexcluding the study by Okada et al., theRR for male cohorts became 0.77 (95% CI0.670.88) and the difference with thefemale cohorts no longer statistically sig-nificant (P 0.36). For the BMI-adjustedRRs, the P values for differences betweenmale and female cohorts was 0.17 beforeand 0.81 after exclusion of the study byOkada et al.

    Cross-sectional studiesSix cross-sectional studies that examinedthe association between moderately in-tense activities and type 2 diabetes or im-paired glucose tolerance (Table 2) wereidentified. Results from two Dutch stud-ies suggested inverse associations for gar-dening and bicycling (which tends to beof easy pace in this population) but not forwalking (24,26). In a French study, par-ticipation in moderately intense house-hold activities was inversely associatedwith type 2 diabetes (25). Two other stud-ies were consistent with an inverse asso-ciation between moderately intenseactivities and type 2 diabetes, but CIswere wide (23,27). In an Australianstudy, 2.5 h/week of moderately intenseactivities as compared with less timespent on these activities tended to be as-sociated with a lower prevalence of abnor-mal glucose metabolism in women butnot in men (28).

    CONCLUSIONS In our meta-analysis of 10 prospective cohort studies,a substantial inverse association was ob-served between physical activity of mod-erate intensity and risk of type 2 diabetes.Those who regularly engaged in physicalactivity of moderate intensity had 30%lower risk of type 2 diabetes as comparedwith sedentary individuals. A similar de-crease in diabetes risk was observed whenwe specifically examined regular walking.After adjustment for BMI, the reduction indiabetes risk remained substantial (17%)

    Physical activity and type 2 diabetes

    746 DIABETES CARE, VOLUME 30, NUMBER 3, MARCH 2007

  • for both regular moderately intense activ-ity and walking.

    Significant inverse associations wereobserved in both men and women and in

    both U.S. and Northern European co-horts. Most studies were conducted inpredominantly white populations. Nosignificant association between moderate-

    intensity physical activity and type 2 dia-betes was observed in the two studies thatreported results for other ethnic groups,but this may have been due to the light

    Figure 1RRs for total physical activity of moderate intensity and incidence of type 2 diabetes for individual cohort studies and all studies combinedwithout adjustment for BMI (A) and with adjustment for BMI (B). RR comparing the highest with the lowest reported level of moderate-intensityactivity are shown in Table 1. Filled bars and open diamonds indicate 95% CIs. The size of the squares corresponds to the weight of the study in themeta-analysis.

    Jeon and Associates

    DIABETES CARE, VOLUME 30, NUMBER 3, MARCH 2007 747

  • definition of activity (17) and limited sta-tistical power as a result of lower numbersfor nonwhites (22). In the Diabetes Pre-vention Program, the lifestyle interven-tion that focused on both diet and

    physical activity resulted in a similar re-duction in incidence of type 2 diabetes inparticipants of African-American, His-panic, American-Indian, and Asian eth-nicity as compared with whites (6,33).

    Results from cross-sectional studieswere generally consistent with an inverseassociation between moderately intensephysical activity and type 2 diabetes. Re-sults were more heterogeneous than for

    Figure 2RRs for walking and incidence of type 2 diabetes for individual cohort studies and all studies combined without adjustment for BMI (A)and with adjustment for BMI (B). RR comparing the highest with the lowest reported level of walking are shown in Table 1. Filled bars and opendiamonds indicate 95% CIs. The size of the squares corresponds to the weight of the study in the meta-analysis.

    Physical activity and type 2 diabetes

    748 DIABETES CARE, VOLUME 30, NUMBER 3, MARCH 2007

  • Table

    2C

    ross-sectionalstudiesof

    moderately

    intensephysicalactivity

    andrisk

    oftype

    2diabetes

    Leadauthor,

    year(ref.)

    Country

    SexA

    ge(years)

    N/n

    casesO

    utcome

    assessment

    Classification

    moderate-

    intensityactivity

    OR

    (95%C

    I)A

    djustments

    James,1998

    (23)U

    .S.M

    /F3055

    916/78T

    ype2

    diabetes:FBGor

    useof

    antidiabetesm

    edicationW

    alkingfor

    15

    min

    ata

    time

    orhom

    em

    aintenance/gardeningvs.inactive

    0.51(0.201.28)

    Age,sex,education,BM

    I,w

    aist-to-hipratio

    Baan,1999(24)

    Netherlands

    M5575

    503/69T

    ype2

    diabetes:2-hpostload

    glucoseor

    useofantidiabetes

    medication

    Walking

    (285

    vs.60

    min/w

    eek)1.45

    (0.633.32)A

    ge,BMI,w

    aist-to-hipratio,

    family

    historyofdiabetes,

    smoking

    Bicycling(yes

    vs.no)0.26

    (0.140.49)G

    ardening(yes

    vs.no)0.56

    (0.291.06)F

    5575513/49

    Same

    asm

    aleparticipants

    Walking

    (270

    vs.45

    min/w

    eek)1.05

    (0.472.36)Sam

    eas

    male

    participants

    Bicycling(yes

    vs.no)0.37

    (0.180.78)G

    ardening(yes

    vs.no)0.46

    (0.211.01)D

    efay,2001(25)

    FranceM

    60

    1,113/213T

    ype2

    diabetes:FBGor

    useof

    antidiabetesm

    edicationU

    sualintensityof

    householdactivities

    (moderate

    vs.light)

    0.67(0.480.94)

    None

    F

    601,419/132

    Same

    asm

    aleparticipants

    Usualintensity

    ofhousehold

    activities(m

    oderatevs.light)

    0.61(0.400.95)

    None

    vanD

    am,

    2002(26)

    Netherlands

    M6989

    424/90IG

    Tor

    newly

    detectedtype

    2diabetes:O

    GT

    TT

    akingw

    alks(

    20m

    in/day

    vs.none)0.92

    (0.461.88)A

    ge,otherphysicalactivities

    Bicycling(

    20m

    in/dayvs.none)

    0.37(0.200.70)

    Gardening

    (20

    min/day

    vs.none)0.33

    (0.160.66)

    Com

    be,2004

    (27)France

    M2074

    3,759/299N

    ewly

    detectedtype

    2diabetes:

    FBGW

    alking

    1h/day

    (yesvs.no)

    0.81(0.641.04)

    None

    Dunstan,2004

    (28)A

    ustraliaM

    25

    8,299/1,555(m

    enand

    wom

    en)IFG

    ,IGT

    ,ornew

    lydetected

    type2

    diabetes:OG

    TT

    Walking

    andother

    moderate-intensity

    activities(

    2.5vs.

    2.5

    h/week)

    0.96(0.661.40)

    Age,sex,education,fam

    ilyhistory

    ofdiabetes,sm

    oking,dietaryfactors,

    TV

    watching,w

    aistcircum

    ferenceF

    25

    Same

    asm

    aleparticipants

    Walking

    andother

    moderate-intensity

    activities(

    2.5vs.

    2.5

    h/week)

    0.73(0.531.01)

    Same

    asm

    aleparticipants

    FBP,fastingblood

    glucose;IFG,im

    pairedfasting

    glucose;IGT

    ,impaired

    glucosetolerance;O

    GT

    T,oralglucose

    tolerancetest.

    Jeon and Associates

    DIABETES CARE, VOLUME 30, NUMBER 3, MARCH 2007 749

  • the prospective studies, possibly as a re-sult of the smaller study sizes and differ-ences in the activity classification. In twocross-sectional studies of Dutch elderly,no association was observed for walking,whereas other moderately intense activi-ties were inversely association with type 2diabetes (24,26). This lack of associationfor walking may have reflected a loweraverage walking pace in these elderlypopulations. A brisk usual walking pacewas associated with a substantially lowerrisk of type 2 diabetes compared with aneasy pace in two U.S. studies (15,19).

    Strengths and limitations of the dataBecause our meta-analysis included onlyobservational studies, it is possible thatthe summary estimates were influencedby confounding and other biases. Al-though all studies adjusted for age, not alladjusted for known or suspected diabetesrisk factors such as dietary factors, alcoholconsumption, cigarette smoking, andwaist-to-hip ratio. The inverse associationwas similar in studies with the most com-plete adjustment for confounding, but wecannot fully exclude residual confound-ing by unmeasured or imprecisely mea-sured diabetes risk factors. Lack ofadjustment for light-intensity physical ac-tivity or sedentary activities may also haveresulted in residual confounding (15,19).Furthermore, the included studies mostlyfocused on leisure time physical activity,but commuting and occupational activi-ties can also contribute importantly to theaccumulation of moderately intensephysical activity for the reduction of dia-betes risk (20,34).

    The prospective design of the cohortstudies and low loss to follow-up in moststudies reduced the likelihood of selec-tion bias. Some misclassification of mod-erate-intensity physical activity probablyoccurred, but it seems unlikely that thismisclassification differed by future diabe-tes outcome, and it can thus be expectedto have biased estimates of associationstoward the null. In the studies that reliedupon self-report of a physicians diagnosisof diabetes, differences in detection of di-abetes associated with physical activitycould have led to diagnostic bias. This isunlikely given that several cross-sectionalstudies measured glucose concentrationsin all participants, and restriction tosymptomatic cases did not substantiallyaffect the results in a cohort study (15).We did not find any evidence of publica-tion bias based on the Egger and Begg testand the funnel plot. However, the power

    of these tests is known to be limited (35),and we cannot fully exclude the possibil-ity that publication bias has affected ourresults.

    MechanismsWe found a significant inverse associationbetween moderately intense physical ac-tivity and type 2 diabetes that persistedafter adjustment for BMI. In line with thisfinding, biological mechanisms have beenidentified for beneficial effects of physicalactivity on glucose metabolism indepen-dent of body fatness. Exercise has beenshown to increase insulin-stimulated gly-cogen synthesis through an increased rateof insulin-stimulated glucose transport byGLUT4 glucose transporters and in-creased glycogen synthase activity (36).In addition, elevated capillary prolifera-tion in muscles, increased muscle mass,and a higher proportion of more insulin-sensitive types of muscle fibers may con-tribute to beneficial effects of physicalactivity on insulin sensitivity (37).

    Findings from intervention studiesNo large randomized trials have specifi-cally investigated the effect of increasingphysical activity of moderate intensity onincidence of type 2 diabetes. A random-ized trial of moderate-intensity physicalactivity in individuals with a family his-tory of diabetes did not find a significantreduction in incidence of type 2 diabetesafter 2 years, but compliance with theprogram was poor and the number of par-ticipants small (n 37 in the exerciseprogram) (38). In a 2-year randomizedcontrolled trial in 179 individuals withtype 2 diabetes, counseling to achieve 10MET h/ week of moderately intense phys-ical activity resulted in significantly re-duced body weight and fasting glucoseand A1C concentrations (39). In a posthoc analysis, a significant reduction inA1C was observed for participants thatincreased 1120 MET h/week, but greaterbeneficial effects were observed in thosewho increased their activity with 2130MET h/week (39). Several randomizedcontrolled trials tested the effects of briskwalking on glucose metabolism in indi-viduals without diabetes (40 42). In-creased walking resulted in reducedplasma insulin (40,41) or glucose (42)concentrations after 1224 weeks.

    A Chinese trial in individuals withimpaired glucose tolerance found thatthose randomized at the clinic level to acombination of moderate and vigorousactivities had a 47% reduction in inci-

    dence of type 2 diabetes as compared withthe control group (7). A post hoc analysisof the Finnish Diabetes Prevention Studyexamined the association between walk-ing during follow-up and incidence oftype 2 diabetes. After adjustment forother activities, dietary factors, and BMI,at least 2.5 h/week of walking for exercisewas associated with a 63% lower risk oftype 2 diabetes as compared with 1h/week (43). In addition, an increase inwalking intensity was associated with alower risk of type 2 diabetes.

    RecommendationsOur systematic review indicates that reg-ular participation in moderately intensephysical activity is associated with a sub-stantially lower risk of type 2 diabetes.The association was partly independent ofBMI, suggesting that moderate-intensityphysical activity can reduce the risk oftype 2 diabetes even in those who do notachieve weight loss. Findings from severalprospective studies (15,21,22,43) indi-cate that 30 min or more of daily moder-ate-intensity activity, as recommended inmultiple U.S. guidelines (11,44), can sub-stantially reduce the risk of type 2 diabe-tes as compared with being sedentary.Moderately intense activity as defined inguidelines (3.0 6.0 MET h) (11) in-cludes walking at brisk pace but not walk-ing at an easy or casual pace (12), andwalking at brisk pace also seems prefera-ble for the prevention of type 2 diabetes(15,19,43). Further studies are needed todefine more specifically what combina-tions and duration and pace are optimalfor reducing the risk of type 2 diabetes.However, given that only 31% of adults inthe U.S. currently meet the general phys-ical activity recommendations (45), ef-forts to prevent type 2 diabetes shouldstrongly emphasize the benefit of moder-ately intense physical activities and en-courage wider participation in theseactivities.

    References1. Wild S, Roglic G, Green A, Sicree R, King

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