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Exam 1 Review

Exam 1 Review. Data referenced throughout review The Federal Trade Commission annually rates varieties of domestic cigarettes according to their tar,

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Page 1: Exam 1 Review. Data referenced throughout review The Federal Trade Commission annually rates varieties of domestic cigarettes according to their tar,

Exam 1 Review

Page 2: Exam 1 Review. Data referenced throughout review The Federal Trade Commission annually rates varieties of domestic cigarettes according to their tar,

Data referenced throughout review The Federal Trade Commission annually

rates varieties of domestic cigarettes according to their tar, nicotine, and carbon monoxide content. The United States Surgeon General considers each of these substances hazardous to a smoker's health. Past studies have shown that increases in the tar and nicotine content of a cigarette are accompanied by an increase in the carbon monoxide emitted from the cigarette smoke.

Page 3: Exam 1 Review. Data referenced throughout review The Federal Trade Commission annually rates varieties of domestic cigarettes according to their tar,

Foundations (1)

Are sex, ethnicity and political party categorical or quantitative variables?

Page 4: Exam 1 Review. Data referenced throughout review The Federal Trade Commission annually rates varieties of domestic cigarettes according to their tar,

Foundations (2)

The two branches of statistics are:

______________ and ______________.

Page 5: Exam 1 Review. Data referenced throughout review The Federal Trade Commission annually rates varieties of domestic cigarettes according to their tar,

Foundations (3)

Is oF an interval or ratio measurement? Explain.

Page 6: Exam 1 Review. Data referenced throughout review The Federal Trade Commission annually rates varieties of domestic cigarettes according to their tar,

Foundations (4)

Explain how a statistic and a parameter are related.

Page 7: Exam 1 Review. Data referenced throughout review The Federal Trade Commission annually rates varieties of domestic cigarettes according to their tar,

Foundations (5)

Which of the following variables has the greatest variation?

Variable Mean Median StDev

Tar cont 12.22 12.80 5.67

Nicotine 0.876 0.9000 0.3541

Carbon 12.528 13.000 4.740

Page 8: Exam 1 Review. Data referenced throughout review The Federal Trade Commission annually rates varieties of domestic cigarettes according to their tar,

r, r2, R2 (1)

The correlation measures the ______ and ______ of the linear association between two variables.

Page 9: Exam 1 Review. Data referenced throughout review The Federal Trade Commission annually rates varieties of domestic cigarettes according to their tar,

r, r2, R2 (2) Based on this plot of Nicotine vs. CO level and common

knowledge, do you feel that simple linear regression is a sound choice of analysis in this setting? Explain.

210

20

10

0

Nicotine content (mg)

Car

bo

n m

ono

xid

e c

ont

ent

(m

g)

Page 10: Exam 1 Review. Data referenced throughout review The Federal Trade Commission annually rates varieties of domestic cigarettes according to their tar,

r, r2, R2 (3)

In this study, the correlations between the variables are:Nicotine (x1) and CO (y): 0.977

Tar content (x2) and CO (y): 0.957

Nicotine (x1) and Tar content (x2): 0.926 Which variables would be helpful for

explaining CO levels? Explain any concerns you might have about including both predictors in a multiple regression model?

Page 11: Exam 1 Review. Data referenced throughout review The Federal Trade Commission annually rates varieties of domestic cigarettes according to their tar,

r, r2, R2 (4)

If you find a very strong linear correlation between two variables x and y, would you claim that a causal relationship exists between these variables? Explain.

Page 12: Exam 1 Review. Data referenced throughout review The Federal Trade Commission annually rates varieties of domestic cigarettes according to their tar,

r, r2, R2 (5)

Minitab reports both the R-square and the R-square (adjusted) values for models. Explain why R-square (adjusted) is a better estimate as compared to R-square.

Page 13: Exam 1 Review. Data referenced throughout review The Federal Trade Commission annually rates varieties of domestic cigarettes according to their tar,

Hypothesis Testing (1)

In a hypothesis test, if the p-value = .94 and you have set alpha at .05, would you reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis?

Page 14: Exam 1 Review. Data referenced throughout review The Federal Trade Commission annually rates varieties of domestic cigarettes according to their tar,

Hypothesis Testing (2)

If p < α, you would _____ H0.

Page 15: Exam 1 Review. Data referenced throughout review The Federal Trade Commission annually rates varieties of domestic cigarettes according to their tar,

Hypothesis Testing (3)

If H0 is true and we reject it, we have made a ___________________ error.

Page 16: Exam 1 Review. Data referenced throughout review The Federal Trade Commission annually rates varieties of domestic cigarettes according to their tar,

Hypothesis Testing (4)

In hypothesis testing, if I reject the null hypothesis, can I accept that the research hypothesis is correct? Explain.

Page 17: Exam 1 Review. Data referenced throughout review The Federal Trade Commission annually rates varieties of domestic cigarettes according to their tar,

Hypothesis Testing (5)

When I conduct significance tests for the individual variables in a multiple regression model, what am I testing?

Page 18: Exam 1 Review. Data referenced throughout review The Federal Trade Commission annually rates varieties of domestic cigarettes according to their tar,

Interpreting Regression Results (1)

Based on the sample, the simple linear regression equation to estimate CO from Nicotine Level is:

CO content = 1.66 + 12.4 (Nicotine content)

Identify and interpret the slope in the context of this problem.

Page 19: Exam 1 Review. Data referenced throughout review The Federal Trade Commission annually rates varieties of domestic cigarettes according to their tar,

Interpreting Regression Results (2) have an R-square (adj.) value of 85.1%.

Explain what this means.

Page 20: Exam 1 Review. Data referenced throughout review The Federal Trade Commission annually rates varieties of domestic cigarettes according to their tar,

The F-statistic for the multiple regression model for estimating CO Level from Nicotine and Tar Content is F (2,22) = 124.11, p= 0.00. If α= .01, what do you conclude?

Interpreting Regression Results (3)

Page 21: Exam 1 Review. Data referenced throughout review The Federal Trade Commission annually rates varieties of domestic cigarettes according to their tar,

If I have a simple linear regression model and a multiple regression model to predict the same dependent variable, the Sum of Squares for the model (SSM) increases with the multiple regression model, but the Sum of Squares Total (SST) is equal for both models. Explain why.

Interpreting Regression Results (4)

Page 22: Exam 1 Review. Data referenced throughout review The Federal Trade Commission annually rates varieties of domestic cigarettes according to their tar,

Does each of the following predictor variables contribute significantly to the model? (report the t-value, df, and p-value tests of significance.)

CO content = 3.09 + 0.962 Tar - 2.65 Nicotine

Predictor Coef SE Coef T PConstant 3.0896 0.8438 3.66 0.001Tar cont 0.9625 0.2367 4.07 0.001Nicotine -2.646 3.787 -0.70 0.492

Interpreting Regression Results (5)