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Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver Laurie Kaye Nijaki, Ph.D. University of Southern California; Price School of Public Policy Living Economy Salon

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Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver. Living Economy Salon. Laurie Kaye Nijaki , Ph.D. University of Southern California; Price School of Public Policy - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Evergreen Economies:Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Laurie Kaye Nijaki, Ph.D. University of Southern California; Price School of Public Policy University of Michigan; Erb Institute for Global Sustainable Enterprise

Living Economy Salon

Page 2: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Today’s Talk

• 1) Introduction to the Green Economy• 2) Defining Differences in Opportunities• 3) Green Economy Policies: A National

Perspective• 4) Towards a Green Economy Action Plan: A

Focus on Procurement

Page 3: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Part 1

Introduction to the Green Economy

Page 4: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Traditional Development Theory and Defining Progress: Economic Growth and the Urban Environmental Problem

Traditional focus on growth (expanded GDP etc.) as central goal. Environmental degradation is an externality of the pursuit of growth.

Rhetoric: Economy versus Environment.Fuels conflicts between stakeholders around development choices, and the pursuit of quality of life issues.

If we must choose between the economy and environment, can we ever win?

(Source: Campbell, S. JAPA, 1995)

Page 5: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver
Page 6: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Moving Beyond Growth: Sustainable Development Theory

Sustainability/Sustainable Development: Economy, Environment, and Equity. Moving Beyond Growth. (Higgens, 1996; Roberts,2004 et.al.)

Rhetoric: Environment and EconomyNew Strategic Framing around development. (Snow and Benford, 2004)

New benefits through new institutions and new partnerships between historically adversarial groups.

Key Question: How can we establish economic development in communities and also provide effective solutions to environmental degradation? How can we best shape development in a manner that is preservative of equity, environmental, and economic goals?

Sustainability as a “fuzzy concept;” difficulty in measuring and institutionalizing the rhetoric. (Gunder, 2007 et.al)

Page 7: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Why Study the Green Economy?:Green Jobs as a Sustainable Solution?

Operationalize/concretize “sustainability” through concept of green jobs as a new form of economic growth created by new markets and made possible through technological advance. Similarly fueled by the rise of corporate social responsibility, and new niche, consumer-driven markets. (Dahlsrud, 2006, Younger and Tiley, 2006, Hardjona and Klein, 2003)

Green Jobs: “Activities which produce goods and services to measure, prevent, limit, minimize or correct environmental damage to water, air and soil, as well as problems related to waste, noise and ecosystems.” (OECD,2000)

Green jobs are economic opportunities in environmental preservation/remediation.

The green economy may be a new institutional nexus for dealing with development decisions in communities and in providing economic goods to communities while achieving environmental benefits.

Page 8: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Why Study the Green Economy?:Trends in Term “Green Jobs”

In order to understand and build opportunities in this framework, we need to define and systematically examine the “green economy.”

Page 9: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Defining Green Differently

Page 10: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

An Array of Green Actors• Green Producers: Job opportunities directly in the

manufacturing and production of green goods and services

Ex: Solar panel manufacturing, installation of DFP filters on heavy duty vehicles.

• Green Consumers: Job opportunities in companies that include

“environmental sustainability” as part of their operating principals. Theoretically, they are the customer’s of the green producers.

EX: Environmental/sustainability consulting, green restaurant owners and workers

Page 11: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Dimensions of the Green Economy

Source: Nijaki et. al. Employment Development Department Green Jobs Survey, 2010

Page 12: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Green Jobs or Green Washing?

•What jobs are “green jobs”?

•Who determines the standards?

•And, how do we know it’s all reliable? How do we ensure we are getting green jobs and not green washing?

Page 13: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Part 2

Defining Differences in Opportunities in the Green Economy

Page 14: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Are there Differences in Green Economic Opportunities?

• A) Differences in aggregate number of green Jobs.

• B) Differences in “type of green employment.”

Page 15: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

A) Differences in Aggregate Number of green Jobs.

Page 16: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Are there differences in green employment by urban type?

Page 17: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Differences in Green Jobs by Urban Typology

Page 18: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

How Does Green Employment Vary by Urban Type?

SmallPoorTrailing

SmallPoorLeading

SmallRichLeading

BigPoorTrailing

Big Rich Leading

1 2 3 4 50

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

40000

45000

50000

7015.2857

12302.5

17763.3636

42734.3636

46919.9375

Green JobsTotal Green Employment

Page 19: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

SmallPoorTrailing

SmallPoorLeading

SmallRichLeading

BigPoorTrailing

BigRich Leading

1 2 3 4 50

0.005

0.01

0.015

0.02

0.025

0.008

0.01

0.021

0.01

0.013

Green Jobs Per CapitaGreen Employment Per Capita

Page 20: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

B) Differences in “type of green employment.”

Page 21: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Green Economy Clusters

See Appendix for Complete Codes

Page 22: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

The “Type” of Green Economy Differs

Green BuildingTransportation

WasteEnvironmental

Compliance Energy

0

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.1

0.12

0.14

0.16

Green Economy Clusters Per Capita Employment by MSA

San FranciscoBostonLA

Page 23: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Boston-Cambridge-Quincy MSA

53%

25%

11%

2%9%

Green Building and Construction ClusterTransportation and Alternative Fuel Vehicle ClusterWaste, Waste Management, Recycling ClusterEnvironmental Compliance, Sustainablilty Planning, and Pollution Prevention ClusterEnergy Generation, Renewable Energy, Energy Storage Cluster

Page 24: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

San Francisco-Oakland-Freemont MSA

33%

11%

7%1%

47%

Green Building and Construction ClusterTransportation and Alternative Fuel Vehicle ClusterWaste, Waste Management, Recycling ClusterEnvironmental Compliance, Sustainablilty Planning, and Pollution Prevention ClusterEnergy Generation, Renewable Energy, Energy Storage Cluster

Page 25: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Los Angeles-Long Beach-Santa Ana MSA

53%

28%

10%

2%7%

Green Building and Construction ClusterTransportation and Alternative Fuel Vehicle ClusterWaste, Waste Management, Recycling ClusterEnvironmental Compliance, Sustainablilty Planning, and Pollution Prevention ClusterEnergy Generation, Renewable Energy, Energy Storage Cluster

Page 26: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Part 3

Green Economy Policies: A National Perspective

Page 27: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

How Are Cities Taking About Green Jobs?

1 2 3 4 50

50

100

150

200

250

1.2857

42.4 39.1818

6.6

247.8125

Average Frequency Green Jobs References by City Type

Measure Impact of “Discourse”: Frequency of References of “green jobs” on each city’s website.

BigRichLeading

BigPoorTrailing

SmallRichLeading

SmallPoor Leading

SmallPoor Trailing

Page 28: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Type 1: Unsustainable Underdogs

• Little focus on green jobs. No references in city website. • Exception: Omaha

Green Jobs per Capita .008

Total Green Jobs 7,015

Average # Website References 1.2

Green Jobs/Sustainability Program 426

Green Jobs/Environmental Organization 194

Page 29: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Type 2: Struggling Startups

• Specific green jobs programs, but little impact.• Specific websites focused on the green economy. (i.e. City of Tucson)• Focus on workforce development programs-Green Jobs Corps.

(i.e. City of Fresno, City of Miami)• Some Focus on Clean Technology.

(i.e. City of San Antonio Clean Tech, City of Louisville financing programs/revolving loan fund)

Green Jobs Per Capita .010

Total Green Jobs 12,303

Average # Website References 42.4

Green Jobs/Sustainability Program 461

Green Jobs/Environmental Organization

230

Page 30: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Type 3: Green Boutiques

• Well developed programs around the green economy. Green Jobs as a stated goal. (i.e. Minneapolis “green economy” indicator on sustainability plan)

• “clean technology” focus.(i.e. City of San Jose, City of Austin)

Green Jobs per Capita .021

Total Green Jobs 17,763

Average # Website References 39.2

Green Jobs/Sustainability Program 611

Green Jobs/Environmental Organization

197

Page 31: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Type 4: Lagging Leviathans

• Green jobs focus as inconsistent and diverse.• Some focus on workforce development strategies. • Green jobs focus tends to be “project specific.”

(i.e. City of Mesa Solar Energy Park, City of Long Beach green goods movement focus)

Green Jobs per Capita .010

Total Green Jobs 45,530

Average # Website References 6.6

Green Jobs/Sustainability Program 1418

Green Jobs/Environment Organization 199

Page 32: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Type 5: Green Giants

• Concerted and consistent approaches towards the green economy• “clean technology” focused initiatives

(i.e. City of Chicago Clean Tech Jobs Center, City of New York Green Tech and Manufacturing Initiative)

• Workforce development programs.(i.e. “green collared jobs corps” City of Las Vegas, City of Oakland

City of New York jobs former felons)

Green Jobs per Capita .014

Total Green Jobs 46,920

Average # Website References 247.8

Green Jobs/Sustainability Program 1577

Green Jobs/Environmental Organization 244

Page 33: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Urban Type Type Characteristics Per Capita Green Jobs

Average # “Green Jobs” Website References

Unsustainable Underdogs

•Small Population•Low Median Income•Trailing sustainability .008 1.2

Struggling Startups •Small Population•Low Median Income•Leading Sustainability

.010 42.4

Green Boutiques •Small Population•High Median Income•Leading Sustainability

.021 39.2

Lagging Leviathans •Large Population•Low Median Income•Trailing Sustainability

.010 6.6

Green Giants •Large Population•High Median Income•Leading Sustainability

.014 247.8

Who’s Generating Green Jobs: Green Leaders and Brown Laggards

Page 35: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Part 4

Towards a Green Economy Action Plan: A Focus on Procurement

Page 36: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Traditional Procurement

• Choosing the Lowest Cost Bid: the contractor who produces the lowest cost service or product estimate in response to a request for proposal (RFP).

• Key Goal: “Obtain the most appropriate and highest quality good and service possible for the least cost.”

• Benefits:– Transparency in choosing bids– Regularity in evaluating bids– Simplicity in decision-making process– Economic efficiency/lowest cost

Page 37: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

What is the Role of Government Procurement?

Source: Nijaki, L. K. and Worrel, G. “Sustainable Procurement at the Local Government Level” International Journal of Public Sector Management, Forthcoming

Page 38: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Types of Procurement: Going Beyond Lowest Cost Estimates

• Purchasing for Economic Development

• Purchasing for Economic Equity

• Purchasing to Achieve Environmental Benefits

Page 39: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Purchasing for Economic Development

• “Buy local” efforts

• Efforts seek to develop local markets through government procurement

• i.e. “Buy America” provisions in ARRA

Page 40: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Purchasing for Social Equity

• Minority/Woman Owned Business Requirements

• Using procurement to create targeted business opportunities.

• i.e. City of Los Angeles MBE/WBE requirements

Page 41: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Purchasing for Environmental Benefits

• Environmentally Preferable Procurement

• Defined as buying “products or services that have a lesser or reduced effect on human health and the environment when compared with competing products or services.” e.g. higher recycled content, energy efficient machines, less toxic products.

• i.e. City of Santa Monica

Page 42: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver
Page 43: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Same City, Different Tracks

An Example: City of San Jose: • Environmental: EPP policy: Procurement of services

and products that reduce toxicity, conserve natural resources, material and energy, maximize recyclability and recycled content.

• Equity: Up to a 5 percent bid preference for minority-owned and woman-owned businesses.

• Economic: Local Preference Policy gives up to 5 percent bid preference for local business enterprises.

Page 44: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Sustainable Procurement: Three “E”s for Green Jobs?

Page 45: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Procurement for Sustainable Local Development

1. Examine current public procurement processes. 2. Define whether or not any of those products could be

manufactured within their locale.3. Analyze whether growth is appropriate for the community in

terms of industrial mix and workforce capabilities. Define occupations and industries.

4. Determine other economic incentives and industry incubation strategies.

5. Implement procurement strategies, considering phase-in priorities and measurement of results. Three major approaches: bureaucratic assistance, bid preferences, and blanket policies.

Page 46: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Bureaucratic Assistance• Offering case management within procurement process for firms

representative of sustainability values.• Advantages:

– Strategic targeting of businesses– Engage “start-ups”, opportunities to bolster innovation– Long term personal and customized support

• Disadvantages:– Long-term vision– Time and resource intensive– Potential for favoritism

• Sample Policies: King County, Washington; Portland and Multnomah County, Oregon

Page 47: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Blanket Policies • Widespread policy incorporating sustainability goals within

procurement decisions.• Advantages:

– Sends strong message.– Ensures outcome and rigorous evaluation of programmatic goals.

• Disadvantages:– May be politically infeasible.– Inflexible in implementation– Threshold levels may de-incentivize attainment of higher

environmental goals.• Sample Policies: Woodbury County, Iowa; San Francisco,

California.

Page 48: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Bid Preferences• Integration of sustainability goals within the ranking of

prospective firms.• Advantages:

– Target particular groups for benefits– Flexibility in meeting multiple outcomes– Layer procurement policies on top of existing system

• Disadvantages:– Favoritism and due to ambiguity– Difficulties in being able to structure preferences to achieve

most sustainable end• Sample Policies: Cal Trans, Marion County, Oregon

Page 49: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Key Challenges

• Political Feasibility and Ensuring Against Favoritism/Transparency

• Training Staff• Evaluating Products and Developing

Implementation Plans • Coordination Between Disparate Departments• Workforce Development and Economic

Development—Equity Considerations

Page 50: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Creating the “tools”

Based upon the results of this research, there is needed to develop a “green economy” growthtool for local green jobs growth. There is a need to create an effective green economy databasefor local communities that can consist of the following toolsets that collectively can indicateavenues of opportunities. Such a tool should be available online.

For Businesses: -Searchable database for city/county procurement requests for proposals. -Searchable database for government incentives related to “green.” -Searchable database for events relevant to the “sustainable business community.” For Governments: -Database of “local” and “nonlocal” businesses offering green products. -Ability for businesses to “pitch” and/or showcase “green” products.-Ability to locate “local businesses” on a map in order to showcase local impacts.-Database for city/county procurement requests that can be done collaboratively across cityboundaries. Such a database can provide resources for cities looking to partner with oneanother, as well as for regional government agencies seeking collaboration.

Page 51: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

For Job-Seekers: -Ability for “green businesses” to post help-wanted adds.This will provide constituents interested in the greeneconomy with needed resources. For Consumers:-Searchable database for products that they may be ableto buy along with government procurement efforts inorder to expand market opportunities and tofoster public-private partnerships leading to theproliferation of sustainable goods.

Page 52: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver
Page 53: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Some Key Resources for Green Jobs Workforce Development Research:

• BLS Green Communities of Practice: • https://greenjobs.workforce3one.org/

• State of California Employment Development Department:

• http://www.labormarketinfo.edd.ca.gov

• Onet Green Occupational Information:• http://www.onetcenter.org/green.html

Page 54: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS?

[email protected]

Page 55: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Questions and Comments?

[email protected]/lauriekaye

Page 56: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

This research examines the green economy at the metropolitan level.

The green economy consists of employment opportunities that areenvironmentally preservative. (i.e. recycling jobs, green building construction, renewable energy generation, energy efficiency auditing)

Research Question:What institutional and governance structure is emerging around the greeneconomy?

Page 57: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Three Key Points:I. The green economy is a significant movement connected to

urban sustainability.

II. The (1) “aggregate” and (2) “type” of green employment differs across metropolitan areas. Different urban “types” may define different opportunities in the green economy. Factors that may matter include: wealth, population size, environmental programs, environmental nonprofit groups.

III. New alliances between stakeholders and new policies are emerging around the green economy at the metropolitan level.

Page 58: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Traditional Development Theory and Defining Progress: Economic Growth and the Urban Environmental Problem

Traditional focus on growth (expanded GDP etc.) as central goal. Environmental degradation is an externality of the pursuit of growth.

Rhetoric: Economy versus Environment. Fuels conflicts between stakeholders around development choices, and the pursuit of quality of life issues. Specifically:

(Source: Campbell, S. JAPA, 1995)

If we must choose between the economy and environment, can we ever win?

Page 59: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver
Page 60: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Moving Beyond Growth: Sustainable Development Theory

Sustainability/Sustainable Development: Economy, Environment, and Equity. Moving Beyond Growth. (Higgens, 1996; Roberts,2004 et.al.)

Rhetoric: Environment and EconomyNew Strategic Framing around development. (Snow and Benford, 2004)

New benefits through new institutions and new partnerships between historically adversarial groups.

Key Question: How can we establish economic development in communities and also provide effective solutions to environmental degradation? How can we best shape development in a manner that is preservative of equity, environmental, and economic goals?

Sustainability as a “fuzzy concept;” difficulty in measuring and institutionalizing the rhetoric. (Gunder, 2007 et.al)

Page 61: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Why Study the Green Economy?:Green Jobs as a Sustainable Solution?

Operationalize/concretize “sustainability” through concept of green jobs as a new form of economic growth created by new markets and made possible through technological advance. Similarly fueled by the rise of corporate social responsibility, and new niche, consumer-driven markets. (Dahlsrud, 2006, Younger and Tiley, 2006, Hardjona and Klein, 2003)

Green Jobs: “Activities which produce goods and services to measure, prevent, limit, minimize or correct environmental damage to water, air and soil, as well as problems related to waste, noise and ecosystems.” (OECD,2000)

Green jobs are economic opportunities in environmental preservation/remediation.

The green economy may be a new institutional nexus for dealing with development decisions in communities and in providing economic goods to communities while achieving environmental benefits.

Page 62: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Why Study the Green Economy?:Trends in Term “Green Jobs”

In order to understand and build opportunities in this framework, we need to define and systematically examine the “green economy.”

Page 63: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Defining Green Differently

Page 64: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

How to Study the Green Economy?

Page 65: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

How does green employment vary from one metropolitan area to another?

What might account for such variation?

What might be correlated with, or an indicator of, opportunities in the green economy?

Page 66: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Part 1: Macro Analysis

Sample: 55 largest cities and corresponding MSAs

Page 67: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

A. Defining Institutional Factors What institutional factors may be correlated with, or be indicators of, green employment opportunities at the sub-national scale? Green Jobs (source: Brookings Institution)

Institutional Factors:

-Population-Wealth/Median Income-Strength of Environmental Nonprofits (source: National Center Charitable Statistics)-Environmental Programs/Sustainability Programs (source: Portney, 2011)

55 largest cities and corresponding MSAs

Page 68: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

1. What is the relationship between the level of economic development and the presence of green

jobs? a) Correlation

r=.485

b) T-test:High vs. Low Median IncomeMedian income=46968.24

If median income >=46967.24Mean Green Jobs=42340.5714

If median Income <46967.23Mean Green Jobs=22202.9118.

t score=2.466, p=.019 The number of green jobs is statistically

significantly different for those MSAs that have median incomes greater than or equal to 46968.24.

r=.485

High Median Incomes are Correlated with High Green Employment.

Tota

l Gre

en E

mpl

oym

ent

Median Income

Page 69: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

2. What is the Relationship Between Sustainability Programs and Green Jobs?

Mixed Evidence Relating Higher Levels of Sustainability With Higher Levels of Green Employment

1. K. Portney 2011 Sustainability Index 2. Sustainelane.com sustainability Index

T test between “top cities”Mean of top cities: 55039.2Mean of rest: 24303.52

P=.032

See: Ourgreencities.com for complete index of 33 factors.

See sustainelane.com for complete index

Tota

l Gre

en E

mpl

oym

ent

Total Sustainability Programs

Page 70: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

3. What is the relationship between green jobs andstrength of environmental nonprofit organizations?

GreenJobs=4019.716+.185.1Eorgs

P (eorgs)=.000

R=.877(p=.00)Rsquare=.601

Similar, results with: -total number environmental contributions: r=.665 -total revenue: r=.602

Strong Relationship between Environmental Nonprofits and Green Employment

Number of Environmental Nonprofits

Tota

l Gre

en E

mpl

oym

ent

Page 71: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Predicting Green Employment

GreenJobs: Brooking Institute Quantification

Regression2: GREENJOBS= -24257.684+.008Pop+.520Mincome+44.763enviroorgs+10217.805Sustaine

Regression3:GREENJOBS=-30818.167+.008Population+.679Mincome+50.98Envirorgs

Rsquaredregression2=.861Metropolitan Statistical Areas

Tota

l Gre

en E

mpl

oym

ent

Page 72: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

B. Developing the Typology

Page 73: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Urban Typology

Page 74: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Cities by Urban Type

Page 75: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

1 2 3 4 50

5000000

10000000

15000000

20000000

25000000

30000000

35000000

40000000

Population

⏎⏎

1 2 3 4 50

5

10

15

20

25

30

Sustainability1 2 3 4 5

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

Median Income

Page 76: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

C. How Does Green Employment Vary by Urban Type?

SmallPoorTrailing

SmallPoorLeading

SmallRichLeading

BigPoorTrailing

Big Rich Leading

1 2 3 4 50

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

40000

45000

50000

7015.2857

12302.5

17763.3636

42734.3636

46919.9375

Green JobsTotal Green Employment

Page 77: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

SmallPoorTrailing

SmallPoorLeading

SmallRichLeading

BigPoorTrailing

BigRich Leading

1 2 3 4 50

0.005

0.01

0.015

0.02

0.025

0.008

0.01

0.021

0.01

0.013

Green Jobs Per CapitaGreen Employment Per Capita

Page 78: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Environmental Nonprofits by Urban Type

SmallPoorTrailing

SmallPoorLeading

SmallRichLeading

LargePoorTrailing

LargeRichLeading

1 2 3 4 50

50

100

150

200

250

36

55

91

174

215

Environmental Organizations

Page 79: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

D. How Are Cities Taking About Green Jobs?

1 2 3 4 50

50

100

150

200

250

1.2857

42.4 39.1818

6.6

247.8125

Average Frequency Green Jobs References by City Type

Measure Impact of “Discourse”: Frequency of References of “green jobs” on each city’s website.

BigRichLeading

BigRichTrailing

SmallRichLeading

SmallPoor Leading

SmallPoor Trailing

Page 80: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Type 1: Unsustainable Underdogs

• Little focus on green jobs. No references in city website. • Exception: Omaha

Green Jobs per Capita .008

Total Green Jobs 7,015

Average # Website References 1.2

Green Jobs/Sustainability Program 426

Green Jobs/Environmental Organization 194

Page 81: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Type 2: Struggling Startups

• Specific green jobs programs, but little impact.• Specific websites focused on the green economy. (i.e. City of Tucson)• Focus on workforce development programs-Green Jobs Corps.

(i.e. City of Fresno, City of Miami)• Some Focus on Clean Technology.

(i.e. City of San Antonio Clean Tech, City of Louisville financing programs/revolving loan fund)

Green Jobs Per Capita .010

Total Green Jobs 12,303

Average # Website References 42.4

Green Jobs/Sustainability Program 461

Green Jobs/Environmental Organization

230

Page 82: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Type 3: Green Boutiques

• Well developed programs around the green economy. Green Jobs as a stated goal. (i.e. Minneapolis “green economy” indicator on sustainability plan)

• “clean technology” focus.(i.e. City of San Jose, City of Austin)

Green Jobs per Capita .021

Total Green Jobs 17,763

Average # Website References 39.2

Green Jobs/Sustainability Program 611

Green Jobs/Environmental Organization

197

Page 83: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Type 4: Lagging Leviathans

• Green jobs focus as inconsistent and diverse.• Some focus on workforce development strategies. • Green jobs focus tends to be “project specific.”

(i.e. City of Mesa Solar Energy Park, City of Long Beach green goods movement focus)

Green Jobs per Capita .010

Total Green Jobs 45,530

Average # Website References 6.6

Green Jobs/Sustainability Program 1418

Green Jobs/Environment Organization 199

Page 84: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Type 5: Green Giants

• Concerted and consistent approaches towards the green economy• “clean technology” focused initiatives

(i.e. City of Chicago Clean Tech Jobs Center, City of New York Green Tech and Manufacturing Initiative)

• Workforce development programs.(i.e. “green collared jobs corps” City of Las Vegas, City of Oakland

City of New York jobs former felons)

Green Jobs per Capita .014

Total Green Jobs 46,920

Average # Website References 247.8

Green Jobs/Sustainability Program 1577

Green Jobs/Environmental Organization 244

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Urban Type Type Characteristics Per Capita Green Jobs

Average # “Green Jobs” Website References

Unsustainable Underdogs

•Small Population•Low Median Income•Trailing sustainability .008 1.2

Struggling Startups •Small Population•Low Median Income•Leading Sustainability

.010 42.4

Green Boutiques •Small Population•High Median Income•Leading Sustainability

.021 39.2

Lagging Leviathans •Large Population•Low Median Income•Trailing Sustainability

.010 6.6

Green Giants •Large Population•High Median Income•Leading Sustainability

.014 247.8

Who’s Generating Green Jobs: Green Leaders and Brown Laggards

Page 86: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Part 3: Case Study Analysis

Case Study Selection:

Page 87: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver
Page 88: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Case Study Analysis Methodology

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A) Economic Analysis:Quantifying the Green Economy

How can green economy be quantified within existing labor market information system?

Green Industries: -Type of Firm-Measured by NAICS codes

Green Occupations:-What one Does -Measured by SOC codes

KEY CHALLENGE:Having an abundance of employment opportunities in an occupation or industry indicates opportunities. However, there is no green “industry” or “occupation.”Need to developing Green Economy Clusters Based Upon Industry and Occupational Analysis…

Page 90: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Green Economy Clusters

See Appendix for Complete Codes

Page 91: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

The “Type” of Green Economy Differs

Green BuildingTransportation

WasteEnvironmental

Compliance Energy

0

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.1

0.12

0.14

0.16

Green Economy Clusters Per Capita Employment by MSA

San FranciscoBostonLA

Page 92: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Boston-Cambridge-Quincy MSA

53%

25%

11%

2%9%

Green Building and Construction ClusterTransportation and Alternative Fuel Vehicle ClusterWaste, Waste Management, Recycling ClusterEnvironmental Compliance, Sustainablilty Planning, and Pollution Prevention ClusterEnergy Generation, Renewable Energy, Energy Storage Cluster

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San Francisco-Oakland-Freemont MSA

33%

11%

7%1%

47%

Green Building and Construction ClusterTransportation and Alternative Fuel Vehicle ClusterWaste, Waste Management, Recycling ClusterEnvironmental Compliance, Sustainablilty Planning, and Pollution Prevention ClusterEnergy Generation, Renewable Energy, Energy Storage Cluster

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Los Angeles-Long Beach-Santa Ana MSA

53%

28%

10%

2%7%

Green Building and Construction ClusterTransportation and Alternative Fuel Vehicle ClusterWaste, Waste Management, Recycling ClusterEnvironmental Compliance, Sustainablilty Planning, and Pollution Prevention ClusterEnergy Generation, Renewable Energy, Energy Storage Cluster

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Green Economy Cluster Boston-Cambridge-Quincy MSA San Francisco-Oakland-Freemont MSA Los Angeles-Long Beach-Santa Ana MSA

Green Building and Construction Cluster

ArchitectsElectrical EngineersLandscape Engineers

ArchitectsArchitectural draftersCivil EngineersLandscape architectsRoofersRough carpentersUrban and Regional Planers

Urban and Regional Planners

Transportation and Alternative Fuel Vehicles

None Bus driversFreight forwardersTransportation engineers

Freight Forwarders

Waste, Waste Management, Recycling

None Hazardous material Worker None

Environmental Compliance, Sustainability Planning, Pollution Prevention

Construction managerGreen marketersMarketing managersLogistics managersArchitecture engineering managerFinancial analystsElectrical engineersRobotics engineersEtc.

Green marketersArchitecture engineering managerWater resource specialistsWholesale/retail buyersEnergy auditorsSustainability specialistsFinancial quantitative analystRisk management specialistsEtc.

None

Energy Generation, Renewable Energy Storage Cluster

Biofuels production managersCivil engineers

Securities and commodities tradersCivil engineersInvestment underwritersEnergy brokers

None

Page 96: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

B. Institutional Analysis of 3 MSAs

Page 97: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Boston-Cambridge-Quincy MSA

San Francisco-Oakland-Freemont MSA

Los Angeles-Long Beach-Santa Ana MSA

Green Building and Construction Cluster

Zoning Code RequirementCool RoofsGreen LeaseEnergy RetrofitGreen Contractor Institute

SF Existing Building RetrofitsSF Clean Energy FundEastbay Green Energy WatchOakland Green Building OrdinanceOakland Build it Green ProgramOakland Construction and Debris Waste OrdinanceOakland Civil Building OrdinanceOakland Green Resources Center

Green Building Retrofit Ordinance Green Building Policy

Transportation and Alternative Fuel Cluster

EV Boston Fleet Purchases

Oakland Climate Action Plan Clean Air Action Plan Clean Fleet Purchases

Waste, Waste Management, and Recycling Cluster

Integrated Waste Management Plan

SF Zero Waste PolicyAlameda County Waste Management

Renew LASolid Waste Integrated Waste Management Plan

Environmental Compliance, Sustainability Planning, and Pollution Prevention

Boston Buying PowerGreen LeaseEnergy Rating

SF Green Business ProgramSF Greenspace Programs

Green ProcurementGreen Business ProgramLow Impact Development

Energy Generation, Renewable Energy,Energy Storage Cluster

Newmarket Eco-Industrial ProjectBoston Innovation DistrictGreentech BostonSolar BostonClimate CommissionRenew BostonRenewable Portfolio Standard

Energy SFSF Energy WatchGoSolar SFSF Cleanenergy Task ForceOakland Climate Action PlanBiodiesel Action Task Force

Green LA/DWP plan/Renewable Energy ProcurementSolarLA PlanClimate Plan (Green LA Mayoral Plan)

Page 98: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

What Stakeholders are Important?

Labor

Environmental

JusticeBusiness

Environment

Social Justice

Page 99: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Green Economy Alliances

Green Collared Jobs Coalition: -Labor-Social Justice-Environmental Justice

Green Business Associations:

-Environment -Business

Page 100: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Boston Los Angeles San FranciscoGreen Collared Job Coalitions

-Green Justice Coalition

-Los Angeles Apollo Alliance/SCOPE

-Oakland Climate Action Alliance-Local Clean Energy Alliance

Green Business Associations

-US Green Building Council Local Chapter-BALLE

-US Green Building Council Local Group-BALLE/Green Business Networking-Green Think Tank Coalition-Sustainable Business Council-Los Angeles Business Council

-US Green Building Council Local Chapter-Bay Area Climate Collaborative-Business Council on Climate Action-Sustainable Silicon Valley

Government-Driven Groups

-Climate Action Partnership

-Clean Tech Los Angeles-Porttech Los Angeles

-East Bay Green Corridor Partnership-Oakland Climate Action Plan-San Francisco Clean Tech Council

Page 101: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Conclusions• 1) The “green economy” is an impactful, emerging

rhetorical framework at the sub-national scale. It centers on the simple idea of targeting economic opportunities in environmental preservation. New approaches, framings of issues, and alliances are possible given the new emergence of values.

• 2) Not all places are equally positioned for green economic growth. Differences in the aggregate number and type (occupation/industry mix) of green jobs exists in different cities/metropolitan areas.

Page 102: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Conclusions

• 3) Institutional factors may explain differences:-wealth/income-the strength of nonprofits

-population-sustainability programs and policies

• 4) Policies are generally correlated with differences in industry-based and occupationally-based opportunities. San Francisco is well positioned in energy. Boston is well positioned in green building. Los Angeles may offer opportunities in manufacturing.

Page 103: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Conclusions• 5) New alliances are emerging as two distinct regimes around the

implementation of green economy goals. – “Green collared jobs alliances” between labor organizations and the

environmental/social justice community push for access to job training in accessible economic opportunities often focused on energy retrofits.

– “Green business associations” of businesses and mainstream environmental organizations tend to advocate for high-road employment in high tech industries related to the green economy. The emergent “green business association” appears to be more highly connected with government interests.

Page 104: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

1. Future Research PlansGreen economy policy-specific analysis. Understanding specifics of policyimplementation and understanding what policies work in differentinstitutional realities.

Case Study Selection by Policy Type, i.e.:• Land-use Approaches• Financing Mechanisms• Workforce Development Strategies

Questions: How can such policies be structured? What types of Institutions/institutional design is necessary/effective

in shaping these particular policies at the sub-national scale? What stakeholder groups are most active and integrated in the process?

Page 105: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

2. Future Research PlansAnalysis of green economy in different geographies including cities internationally,and at the state level.

Questions: What institutional factors might account for differences in the magnitude and type of green employment

opportunities state-wide? What range of “green economy” policies could be employed at the state scale to bolster opportunities

around the green economy? How can environmental and economic development policies be restructured or reframed to provide

market opportunities in environmental preservation/remediation?

Dependent Variable: Quantification of Green EmploymentIndependent Variables: Institutional Factors including

-measures of relative wealth -data on government expenditures-political characteristics -interest group environment through identification by stakeholders statewide

Page 106: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

3. Future Research PlansFurther analysis of green economy stakeholders. Green jobs provide a potentially powerful selective benefit for communitiesby creating employment opportunities in reducing GHGs and cleaning upEnvironmental blight.

Questions: What is the nature and distribution of green business associations domestically? What

institutional factors may account for the rise of green business associations in metropolitan areas?

How does the green jobs movement interact with the broader environmental movement, environmental justice movement, and climate change mitigation/adaptation efforts?

How can climate change mitigation be reframed as an “economic opportunity” and how does this relate to equity considerations in the integration of environmental and economic benefits? How can the issue framing and institutions related to the “green economy” be used to infuse equity considerations and community benefits from climate change mitigation?

Page 107: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Dissertation StatusTheory Development (complete)Part 1: Analysis of 55 metropolitan statistical areas (complete)Part 2: Case Study Analysis (in progress)

San Francisco-Oakland-Freemont (complete)Boston-Cambridge-Quincy (complete)☐Los Angeles-Long Beach-Santa Ana (economic analysis

complete)☐Conclusion Section (in progress)

Page 108: Evergreen Economies: Green Local Procurement Policy as a Sustainable Economic Driver

Appendix

• Additional Slides From Part 2• Additional Slides From Part 3

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Appendix: Part 1

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Part 2: Case Selection

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Case Selection: Green Collared Jobs Groups

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Case Selection: Sustainability Rankings

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Case Selection: Green Business Associations

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Green Economy Cluster 1: Green Building and Construction

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Green Economy Cluster 2: Transportation and Alternative Fuel Vehicles

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Green Economy Cluster 3: Waste, Waste Management, Recycling

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Green Economy Cluster 4:Environmental Compliance, Sustainability Planning, Pollution Prevention

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Green Economy Cluster 5:Energy Generation, Renewable Energy, Energy Storage

Energy Generation, Renewable Energy, Enerorage

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The “Type” of Green Economy Differs

Green Building Transportation Waste Environmental Compliance Energy 0

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

Green Economy Cluster Per Capita Establishments by MSA

San FranciscoBostonLA