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Evaluation of Net-centric Command & Control (C2)
Steven L. Forsythe, Ph.D.
Paul North
2
Purpose To describe APL’s approach for evaluating Command and Control (C2) in a hybrid Net-centric environment
Critical Challenges:
Evaluating C2
Evaluating the impact of net-centricity on force effectiveness
3
Specific Objectives
1. Evaluate the extent to which:Net-centricity improves Command and Control (C2) and related applicationsThe GIG infrastructure and Core Services will effectively and efficiently support C2 and related applications
2. In order to achieve objective #1, we need to:Develop a theoretical framework for C2Methodology for net-centric experimentationInfrastructure for net-centric experimentationImproved tools for automated C2 data gathering and analysis
4
Methodology for Net-centric Experimentation• Multi-Resolution Methodology For Net-Centric
Experimentation• Combine models with different levels of resolution to achieve the
needed insights• Constructive, Virtual & Live environments enable trade-offs between
cost, repeatability, and fidelity• Appropriate C2 measures:
• Measures of Performance (MOP)• Measures of Effectiveness (MOE)• Measures of Force Effectiveness (MOFE)
Experiment___________________________________________________
Conjecture____________________________________________________
Design
Analysis
Design Design
Analysis
• Supports the iterative nature of experimentation
5
Multi-resolution Modeling Evaluation Framework (MRMEF)
C2 ServiceServicesC2 ServiceServicesC2 ServiceServices
C2 Gaps and Requirements
MRM Evaluation Framework
GIG Components
C2 Evaluation Results“As Is” C2 Evaluation
Sim
ulat
ion/
Exe
rcis
e En
viro
nmen
t
Net-Centric C2 Evaluation
Operational Environment (OE)
Scenario within OE
Operational Mission
Operational Environment (OE)
Scenario within OE
Operational Mission
Analysis• Compare Net-Centric to “As-Is”• Analyze technical & cost data• Generate recommendations
Services& APPS
“As Is” (Baseline)Net-Centric: Portfolio 1
MOPs:Measures of Performancee.g. Service Latency
Effectiveness Values
MOEs: Measures of Effectivenesse.g. Planning time, quality
MOFEs:Measures of Force Effectivenesse.g. # Terrorist sites destroyed
Net-Centric: Portfolio n
“As Is” (Baseline)Net-Centric: Portfolio 1Net-Centric: Portfolio 1
MOPs:Measures of Performancee.g. Service Latency
Effectiveness Values
MOEs: Measures of Effectivenesse.g. Planning time, quality
MOFEs:Measures of Force Effectivenesse.g. # Terrorist sites destroyed
Net-Centric: Portfolio n
MOPs:Measures of Performancee.g. Service Latency
Effectiveness Values
MOEs: Measures of Effectivenesse.g. Planning time, quality
MOFEs:Measures of Force Effectivenesse.g. # Terrorist sites destroyed
Net-Centric: Portfolio n
ScenarioMission Thread
C2 Processes
EffectivenessAttributes
(MOPs, MOEs, MOFEs)
Physical Layer
Data Link Layer
Network Layer
Transport Layer
Core ServicesC
2 Sy
stem
s
C2
Serv
ices
C2
Serv
ices
C2
Serv
ices
Orc
hest
ratio
n
Dat
a M
odel
User Interface
Physical LayerData Layer
Network LayerTransport Layer
Gateway - Data & Services
Ded
icat
ed S
yste
m
Ded
icat
ed S
yste
m
Ded
icat
ed S
yste
m
Physical LayerData Layer
Network LayerTransport Layer
Gateway - Data & Services
Ded
icat
ed S
yste
m
Ded
icat
ed S
yste
m
Ded
icat
ed S
yste
m
GIG
NGONGOAgenciesAgencies CoalitionCoalition MilitaryMilitary
• Virtual Simulation (Simulations with a Test Bed involving Constructive Simulations with People & HW/SW In-The-Loop)
• Live Simulation (Simulation with real components in an exercise environment)
6
APL C2 Evaluation ObjectivesC2
TheoryNet-Centric C2Methodology
Net-Centric C2Infrastructure
2006
2005
ObjectiveAccepted
TheoreticalFoundation
for C2
Develop Aggregate C2 Model
C2 Review MRMEF:Constructive
MRMEF:Constructive,
& Virtual Simulation
MRMEF:Constructive,
Virtual,Live
Data Gatheringand Analysis
Manual DataGathering
Automated Data
Gathering
Integrated intoNet-Centric Applications
APL GIG Testbed
Mini-GIG
Distributed, Integrated
Red/Black GIG Testbed
7
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Experiment Run Number
Exec
utio
n Ti
me
(Sec
onds
))
Find PatternCreate Workspace
FY05: Performed Initial Measurements of Web Service & Human-in-the-loop (HITL) Execution Time
Process Decomposition via Scenario Modeling
1
4
Buy WME Move Launcher
Move WME
Prep Launch Site
Assemble Launch
Detect Activity Increase Monitoring
Threat Assessment & COA Development via COIs
Deter Sale
Destroy Launcher
Deter SiteDestroy Missile
Destroy WME
Terrorist Arrange
WME Purchase
Terrorist ActivitiesDeterrent Activities
Decomposed Scenario-based Activities
S t a r t
B u y W M D
M o v e W M E
L a u n c h M is s ileA s s e m b le a n d
T r u e
F a ls e
f a ile d
M is s ile la u n c h e d b u t
D a t a C o lle c t io nN u m b e r o f S t r ik e s
S t r ik e
M is s ile a n d W M E
A s s e m b le M is s ile
M o v e M is s ile
A c t iv it yD e t e c t B u y
A c t iv it ie s b e g inO r ig in a l
D u p lic a t e
A c t io n T e a m sC r e a t e C r is is
C A T f o r m e d
I n t e r c e p t
p la n D e t u r e a c t io n sO r ig in a l
D u p lic a t e
S a le A c t io nC o m p le t e D e t u r e
T r u e
F a ls e
D e t u r e S a le
S a le D e t u r e d
E n d S a le
S a le c o m p le t e d
N e u t r a liz e W M E
T r u e
F a ls e
P r o b a b ilit y o f s u c c e s sN e u t r iliz e W M E
W M E N e u t r iliz e d
E n d W M E
W M E a r r iv e s
A c t io n sP la n W M E
O r ig in a l
D u p lic a t e O r ig in a l
D u p lic a t e
A c t io nP la n M is s ile
in T r a n s itN e u t r a liz e M is s ile
O r ig in a l
D u p lic a t e
P la n S it e A c t io n
N eu t r aliz e S it e
P la n I M D
D is p o s e 8
T r u e
F a ls e
P r o b a b lit y o f S u c c e s sn e u t r a liz e d M is s ile
M is s ile n e u t r a liz e d
e n d M is s ile
M is s ile a r r iv e s
T r u e
F a ls e
P r o b a b lilt yN e u t r a liz e S it e
S it e N e u t r a liz e d
E n d s it e
S it e N o t N e u t r a liz e dp ic t u r e a d ju s t m e n t
A s s ig n 3
L o a d o n t o b o a t 1
lo a d o n t o b o a t 2
M is s ileC h a n g e p ic t u r e t o
o n e
v a r ia b le t o m in u ss e t N O S a le
V a r ia b le t o o n eA d ju s t N o S a le
T r u e
F a ls e
a r r iv e sc o m p le t e b e f o r e W M E
Y e s m in u s 1
S e t N o W M E t o
T r u e
F a ls e
D e c id e 8
T r u e
F a ls e
B e f o r e A r r iv a l t o Y e s ie m in u s 1
A d ju s t N o M is s ile
T r u e
F a ls e
A s s e m b ly ?N e u t r a liz e S it e P r io r t o
T r u e
F a ls e
S t o p p in g M is s ileI s I M D C a p a b le o f
T r u e
F a ls e
M is s ile R e lia b ilit y
T r u e
F a ls e
n e u t r a liz a t io nC h e c k o n W M E
N o ie o n e
A d ju s t N o W M E t o
T r u e
F a ls e
N e u t r a liz a t io nC h e c k o n M is s ile
t o o n eA d ju s t N o M is s ile
T r u e
F a ls e
n e u t r a liz a t io nC h e c k f o r S it e
o n eA d ju s t N o S it e t o
D is p o s e 1 4
T r u e
F a ls e
v a r ia b leC h e c k o n N o S a le
m in u s o n e
A d ju s t N o S it e t o
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0 0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Constructive Simulation
Red Force Processes
Blue Force Processes
2 3Created two web servicesMeasured service and HITL execution time
TimingResults
Application Execution Time
8
Theoretical Framework for C2
• Synthesize and aggregate current C2 models• OODA• MAAPPER• Enterprise Theory of C2 (EC2) developed by Jay Bayne,
Echelon 4 integrates:• Systems Engineering (Cybernetics)• Organizational Theory• Cognitive Science
• Key concepts:• The same C2 structure and processes occur at all levels of an
organization• Consistent relationships among C2 actors• A standard approach to C2 allows
• Efficiencies of C2 tool development & training• Better interoperability • Enhanced operations
9
Developed Aggregate C2 Process Model
Combined process elements from existing C2 modelsSituational awareness, planning, and execution apply recursively to all levels of command
InformationSharing (IS)InformationSharing (IS)
CL-2, PT-1
InformationSharing (IS)InformationSharing (IS)
InformationSharing (IS)InformationSharing (IS)
InformationSharing (IS)InformationSharing (IS)
CL-2, PT-2
CL-2, PT-n
IntentGuidance
PolicySA
E P
SASA
EE PP
IPo
G
SA
E P
IPo
G
SA
E P
SASA
EE PP
IPo
G
SA
E P
SASA
EE PP
IPo
G
SA: Monitor, Analyze, Assess, Predict
E:Approve, Exe
cute,
R
epor
t
P:D
evelop, Evaluate, Decide,
Disseminate
SA = Situational AssessmentKey
P = PlanningE = ExecutionI = IntentG = GuidancePo = PolicyCL = Command LevelPT = Participant
SA = Situational AssessmentKey
P = PlanningE = ExecutionI = IntentG = GuidancePo = PolicyCL = Command LevelPT = Participant
Define,
Plan,
CL-1, PT-1
Asse
ss,
10
FY06: Infrastructure for Experimentation
Agent-based simulation used as controllable scenario-generator
Joint Semi-Automated Forces simulation (JSAF)Supports agent-based free play Provides data to data fusion and visualization applications
Ground truthEntity perception
Interacts with other simulations and SOA-based applications via:Web-service/HLA translation interfaceHLA (High Level Architecture)DIS (Distributed Interactive Simulation)
Experiment architecture and infrastructure supports automated data collection based on metrics related to:
Systems/Technology Operational C2 processes
New Tools Enhance APL’s Experimental Capabilities
11
Functional C2 Experimentation Architecture
Infrastructure
Experiment Control and Analysis
C2 Operations
DataCollection
• Network state• Stimulus state• Service
Performance• Application
metrics
• HSI / SME Observations
• Info Flow Observations
• Control Actions
• Network Infrastructure• Services & Applications• Experiment stimulus• Infrastructure Metrics• Simulation
-Juniper M10i-Juniper M10i
-Juniper M10i-Juniper M10i
-Juniper M10i-Juniper M10i-Cisco 7606-Cisco 7606
-Cisco 7606-Cisco 7606
-Cisco 7606-Cisco 7606
Cisco 3825 Cisco 3825
Classified
Unclassified
HAIPE
HAIPEHAIPE HAIPE
Cisco 3845 Cisco 3845
PublicInternet
FY06 InfrastructureGIG Test Bed
Cisco 3825 Cisco 3825
Firewall
End user application
End user application
End user application
End user application
Monitoring (AmberPoint) and
Management
Collaboration and messaging(.NET, J2EE,
LCS, IWS, VoIP, Jabber, MeetingPlace)
ServiceMediation (BizTalk)
Discovery (UDDI)
End user application
End user application
Security (NCES Security)
Monitoring (AmberPoint) and
Management
Collaboration and messaging(.NET, J2EE,
LCS, IWS, VoIP, Jabber, MeetingPlace)
ServiceMediation (BizTalk) Security
(NCES Security) Discovery (UDDI)
Cisco 3560G
Cisco 3560G
Cisco 3560G
Cisco 3560G
Ixia Traffic
Generator PS 1800e
PS1800e
PS 1800e
PS 1800e
PS Hurricane
PS Hurricane
1GbE IPv4 Backbone
Observe Control Observe
• C2/Decision Events• Collaboration Activities• Cognitive Actions
Scenario/Stimulus Stimulus Control
Stimulus Control Decision Activities
Stimulus Management
12
Experiment ImplementationVignette 1 Example
Cntl
C2 Cell - PETCMonitor perceived
C2/tracks
Direct ISR,
WPN
Coord MSEL Inject
Observations
Cntl
Wpn Shooter Cell - TomahawkMSEL Injet
Observations
Cntl
MSEL Inject
Observations
Cntl
MSEL Inject
Observations
CAOC/TACCCntl
ISR/Fusion Cell -MSEL Inject
Observations
Monitor and control weapon
Ship Fire unit
Sample Ground Truth and drive SA via perceived track data.
UAV Gnd Station
“Edge User” - SOFAssess Situation
Provide ISR, CDE, PID
Direct Aimpoints
SOF
Stratcom – Strategic Lab Monitor C2/SA and provide National assets ISR
Cntl
Scenario Stimulus - JSAFProvide Ground Truth –OPFOR, SOF, other platforms
Strat ParticipantsCntl
MSEL Inject
Observations
Sub /TomahawkComm w/SOF
WPN shooter and control
Sub Fire unitCntl
Maintain Info Flow and collect metrics
IWS, JABBER, DCAT, WEEMC, Collabspace
NCES
CPAS, AmberpointServers + M&M
Cntl
MSEL Inject
Observations
GIG Testbed
+ CNTL net
CNTL VLAN
GIG”network”
13
Scenario OverviewBased on the MRM Evaluation Framework develop two scenario vignettes for current CEIVignette 1 – Global Strike
Information was received regarding the planned meeting of a high value target (HVT) in a mountainous village of Middle East countryA COA was developed and will be executed to insert a SOF team to either a) capture the target or b) eliminate the target via a Tomahawk strike
Vignette 4 – Emergency Disaster ResponseAn accident at the Calvert Cliffs Nuclear Power Plant resulted in the release of a radioactive plumeA COA was developed and will be executed to evacuate the surrounding community as quickly as possible in a manner that minimizes the evacuee’s exposure to the plume during the evacuation process
14
Operational Context Vignette 1
Participants:
Friendly: C2 node, ISR cell, Weapon Shooter, SOF team
OPFOR: Terrorist Cell meeting, Terrorist forces in area
Non-Combatants: local population
Goal:
Strike Terrorist Cell meeting.
Manage C2/ISR and strike assets. Minimize casualties to friendly forces and non-combatants.
Execute C2 processes and procedures stimulated by:
1. OPFOR actions
2. non-combatant actions.
15
Sample C2 Experiments:Vignette 1, Experiment 1
Evaluate if there is there a significant operational escape and avoid advantage to providing SOF teams with red force position information via fused ground track data vs. local sensing of red force positions (e.g. visual, motion sensors, etc.)Technology Focus: Data Fusion vs. local sensingOperational Focus: Effect on probability of enemy avoidanceMeasurements
Measures of Effectiveness (MOEs)# of red force (RF) detection events# of SOF team compromise events# of successful Tomahawk engagement events# of successful target destruction eventsProbabilities of each of the above
Measures of Performance (MOPs)Ground track update rateAccuracy of fused vs. simulation ground truth RF position data
16
Operational Context Vignette 4Participants:
Maryland EOC, Arlington EOC, USS WASP, Local Chiefs of Police, local population
Goal:
Evacuate the area surrounding the Calvert Cliffs Nuclear Power plant following a disaster
Manage evacuation assets from both Federal and State agencies. Minimize civilian casualties.
Execute C2 processes and procedures stimulated by:
1. Nuclear Plume movement
2. Evacuee actions
3. Traffic accidents
TBDCool Graphics
Calvert Cliff’sNuclear Power Plant
USS Wasp600 bed hospital
Helicopter refueling
Maryland EOC
Arlington EOC
EvacuationRoutes
17
Evaluate whether the availability of radioactive plume tracking data to the MD EOC allows that team to make better evacuation decisions compared with in-the-field reports of radioactive measurementsTechnology Focus: Data Fusion vs. local sensingOperational Focus: Effect on evacuation decision-making success
Proposed Measurements:Measures of Effectiveness (MOEs)
% of evacuees exposed to the plumeOf those exposed, degree of exposure to the radioactive plumeLevel of SA in the EOC regarding the plume location at defined periods of timeLevel of SA in the field regarding the plume location at defined periods of time
Measures of Performance (MOPs)Time to alter evacuation flow after a shift in plume directionResponse time of the weather web service to requests for weather/plume updates by the simulation tool# of communication events needed to establish effective SA regarding the plume location at defined periods of time
Sample C2 Experiments:Vignette 4, Experiment 1
18
Why Conduct Evaluations?
Supports value-based selection of net-centric services
Guides architecture decisions regarding core service selection, GIG capabilities & performance requirements, etc.
Helps define/refine net-centric implementation standards (NCIDS)