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EUROPEAN PHOTOVOLTAIC INDUSTRY ASSOCIATION Giorgia Concas - Policy Advisor
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26 June 2013
EUROPEAN PHOTOVOLTAIC INDUSTRY ASSOCIATION
Giorgia ConcasPolicy Advisor
Perspectives for PV installations on commercial and industrial buildings in Europe
PERSPECTIVES FOR PV INSTALLATIONS ON COMMERCIAL AND INDUSTRIAL BUILDINGS IN EUROPE
GBE FACTORY PROJECT, 26 JUNE 2013
Who is EPIA?
Page 2
PERSPECTIVES FOR PV INSTALLATIONS ON COMMERCIAL AND INDUSTRIAL BUILDINGS IN EUROPE
GBE FACTORY PROJECT, 26 JUNE 2013
More than 70 GW installed in 10 years!
PV in Europe
Page 3
PERSPECTIVES FOR PV INSTALLATIONS ON COMMERCIAL AND INDUSTRIAL BUILDINGS IN EUROPE
GBE FACTORY PROJECT, 26 JUNE 2013
PV market segmentation in Europe
Page 4
The share of roof-top installations has increased and now it represents nearly 70% of themarketCommercial and industrial installations represent nearly half of the market
Residential: ≤ 3 kWCommercial: ≤ 100 kW
Industrial: ≤ 500 kWGround mounted: ≤2.5 MW
PERSPECTIVES FOR PV INSTALLATIONS ON COMMERCIAL AND INDUSTRIAL BUILDINGS IN EUROPE
GBE FACTORY PROJECT, 26 JUNE 2013
EPIA’s scenarios for future PV market growth in Europe
Page 5
Roof-top segments will be predominant in Europe
PERSPECTIVES FOR PV INSTALLATIONS ON COMMERCIAL AND INDUSTRIAL BUILDINGS IN EUROPE
GBE FACTORY PROJECT, 26 JUNE 2013
Decreasing PV prices
Opportunities for PV on commercial and industrial buildings
Page 6
Source: Competing in the Energy Sector, EPIA, 2011
PERSPECTIVES FOR PV INSTALLATIONS ON COMMERCIAL AND INDUSTRIAL BUILDINGS IN EUROPE
GBE FACTORY PROJECT, 26 JUNE 2013
Increasing retail electricity prices
Opportunities for PV on commercial and industrial buildings
Page 7
Source: Competing in the Energy Sector, EPIA, 2011
PERSPECTIVES FOR PV INSTALLATIONS ON COMMERCIAL AND INDUSTRIAL BUILDINGS IN EUROPE
GBE FACTORY PROJECT, 26 JUNE 2013
Self-consumption rates are high in commercial and industrial buildings
Opportunities for PV on commercial and industrial buildings
Page 8
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AT BE-F BE-W CZ DE-North
DE-South
EL-North
EL-South
ES-North
ES-South
FR-North
FR-South
IT-North
IT-South
NL PT UK-South
Avg. share of self-consumption in the commercial sector for 2 different Load Profiles
Source: PV PARITY project
PERSPECTIVES FOR PV INSTALLATIONS ON COMMERCIAL AND INDUSTRIAL BUILDINGS IN EUROPE
GBE FACTORY PROJECT, 26 JUNE 2013
Financial incentives (covering PVoperation) (net-metering and FIT) willprobably be progressively phased outInstruments to decrease PV CAPEX willbe necessary: Renewable PortfolioStandards? ESCOs?Instruments to decrease the cost ofcapital will be neededNeed to facilitate access to « tailor-made » loans
Challenges for PV on commercial and industrial buildings
Page 9
10% 2%
65%
4%
18%
1%
2012 PV development drivers
Self-consumption
Net-metering
FIT
ROC/RPS
Grants
Competitive PV
gg
Source: EPIA internal calculations
PERSPECTIVES FOR PV INSTALLATIONS ON COMMERCIAL AND INDUSTRIAL BUILDINGS IN EUROPE
GBE FACTORY PROJECT, 26 JUNE 2013
The European Investment Bank can in principle support PV projects:• investment cost < 25 M EUR: the EIB provides intermediate loans through banks and other
intermediaries… but lending decision and specific conditions remain with the intermediaryinstitutions
• Investment cost < 25 M EUR and borne by an SME: the « Green Initiative » funding and technicalassistance
• Investment cost > 25 M EUR (e.g. a group of separate PV projects): the EIB provides grants (> 2billion EUR between 2002 and 2013)
Possibility of ring-fenced budget for low carbon projects, including PV, as of 2014 withinstructural funds.
Examples of EU financing tools
Page 10
PERSPECTIVES FOR PV INSTALLATIONS ON COMMERCIAL AND INDUSTRIAL BUILDINGS IN EUROPE
GBE FACTORY PROJECT, 26 JUNE 2013
Increasing PV competitiveness against retail electricity prices
Opportunities for PV on commercial and industrial buildings
Page 11
0
0,05
0,1
0,15
0,2
0,25
0,3
0,35
900 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600
LCOE RES
2011 RES
UK
GERM
ANY
FRAN
CE ITAL
Y
SPAI
N
LCOE - Residential at 1,8 EUR/Wp – 4,4% WACC – Comparison with electricity retail prices (gridcosts and taxes are compensated) Source: PV PARITY project
26 June 2013
THANK YOU FORYOUR ATTENTION
European Photovoltaic Industry AssociationRenewable Energy HouseRue d’Arlon 63-67, 1040 Brussels - BelgiumT +32 (0)2 465 38 84 - F +32 (0)2 400 10 [email protected] - www.epia.org
