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Prepared in partnership with 2014 Q2
European High Yield & Leveraged Loan Report
Market Highlights and Commentary ............. 1
1. Leveraged Finance Overview .................... 3 1.1. European Leveraged Issuance by Type ................. 3 1.2. European Leveraged Issuance by Percentage ...... 3 1.3. European Leveraged Issuance Average Deal Size 3 1.4. Bank Credit Standards ........................................... 3 1.5. Factors Affecting Bank Credit Standards ............... 3 1.6. Loan Demand ......................................................... 3 1.7. Factors Affecting Loan Demand ............................. 4 1.8. Global Comparison – High Yield Issuance ............. 4
2. Issuance – Leveraged Loans ..................... 5 2.1. European Leveraged Loan Issuance By Loan Type
............................................................................... 5 2.2. European Leveraged Loan Issuance by Industry
Sector .................................................................... 5 2.3. Forward Pipeline of Leveraged Loan Market ......... 5 2.4. S&P ELLI Total Institutional Loans Outstanding..... 5 2.5. S&P ELLI Ratings Diversiication ............................ 5 2.6. Distribution of Leveraged Loan Secondary Market Bids
............................................................................... 5 2.7. Institutional and Pro Rata Spreads ......................... 6 2.8. Mezzanine Spread ................................................. 6
3. Issuance – High Yield Bonds Overview .... 7 3.1. European HY Bond Issuance, Developed and
Emerging Market .................................................... 7 3.2. European HY Bond Issuance, Sponsored vs.
Corporate ............................................................... 7 3.3. European Corporate Bonds Outstanding ............... 7 3.4. European Corporate Bonds Maturity Wall .............. 7 3.5. European Corporate HY Bonds Outstanding By Sector
............................................................................... 7 3.6. European Corporate HY Bonds Outstanding by
Current Rating ........................................................ 7 3.7. European Corporate Bond Issuance by Rating ...... 8 3.8. European Corporate Bond Issuance by Tenor ....... 8 3.9. European HY Use of Proceeds .............................. 8 3.10. European HY Issuance, Secured Share .............. 8
4. Issuance – European Developed Market High Yield Bonds ............................................ 8
4.1. European Developed Market HY Bond Issuance ... 8 4.2. European Developed Market HY Issuance by Currency
............................................................................... 8 4.3. European Developed Market HY Issuance by Industry
............................................................................... 9 4.4. European Developed Market HY Issuance by Country
of Risk .................................................................... 9 4.5. European Developed Market HY Issuance, Fixed vs.
Floating .................................................................. 9 4.6. European Developed Market HY Issuance, Sponsored
vs. Corporate ......................................................... 9 4.7. European Developed Market HY Rating Distribution at
Issuance................................................................. 9 4.8. European Developed Market Corporate Bonds
Outstanding ............................................................ 9 4.9. European Developed Market HY Bond Issuance ... 10
5. Issuance – European Emerging Market High Yield Bonds .................................................... 14
5.1. European Emerging Market HY Bond Issuance ..... 14 5.2. European Emerging Market HY Bond Issuance by
Currency ................................................................ 14 5.3. European Emerging Market HY Issuance by Industry
............................................................................... 14
5.4. European Emerging Market HY Issuance by Country of Risk ........................................................................ 14
5.5. European Emerging Market HY Issuance, Fixed vs. Floating................................................................... 14
5.6. European Emerging Market HY Issuance, Sponsored vs. Corporate .......................................................... 14
5.7. European Emerging Market HY Rating Distribution at Issuance ................................................................. 15
5.8. European Emerging Market Corporate Bonds Outstanding ............................................................ 15
5.9. Emerging Market HY Bond Issuance ...................... 15
6. Credit Quality ............................................. 16 6.1. European HY Default Rate ..................................... 16 6.2. Developed Europe Issuer Rating Actions ............... 16 6.3. Emerging Europe Issuer Rating Actions ................. 16 6.4. Developed European Industry Rating Actions by # of
Ratings ................................................................... 16 6.5. Emerging European Industry Rating Actions by # of
Ratings ................................................................... 16 6.6. European Defaults .................................................. 16
7. Relative Value ............................................. 17 7.1. European HY Bonds, Cash vs. Synthetic ............... 17 7.2. European Leveraged Loans, Cash vs. Synthetic .... 17
8. Total Return ................................................ 17 8.1. European HY Bond Total Return ............................ 17 8.2. European Leveraged Loan Total Return ................ 17 8.3. Asset Class Total Return, Quarter .......................... 17
Annex .............................................................. 18
Disclaimer ....................................................... 21
European Leveraged Finance, Second Quarter 2014Highlights and Market Environment Highlights
European leveraged finance issuance (leveraged loans and high yield bonds) rose in 2Q’14, with €93.6 billion issued, a 103.1% increase quarter-over-quarter (q-o-q) and an 88.3% increase year-over-year (y-o-y). The increase q-o-q stems from the increase in high yield bond issuance, which experienced a surge during the second quarter of 2014, despite continued turmoil in eastern Europe; the high yield share of the leveraged finance market rose to 62.2%, up from 56.1% in 1Q’14.
Market and Economic Environment According to the July 2014 European Central Bank lend-ing survey, credit standards for all loan categories eased in net terms in the second quarter of 2014. More notably, for the first time since the second quarter of 2007, euro area banks reported a net easing of credit standards on loans to enterprises in the second quarter of 2014. Across firm size, credit standards were eased both for loans to large enterprises and for loans to small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). Regarding loan maturity, credit stand-ards for both short-term and long-term loans were eased. Despite the easing during the quarter the European Cen-tral Bank stated that the level of credit standards is still relatively high.
The net demand for loans increased in the second quarter. For the first time since the second quarter of 2011, fi-nancing needs related to fixed investment contributed, al-beit on a marginal basis, positively to the demand for loans to enterprises.
Issuance Issuance: Leveraged Loans
Leveraged loan issuance, including first lien, second lien, and mezzanine financing, rose in the second quarter to €35.4 billion, up 75.2% q-o-q (€20.2 billion) and 80.2% y-o-y. Amend-and-extend (“A&E”) transactions continue to take place, with slightly less than a quarter of deals in the second quarter structured as such (21.4% by euro amount), a decrease from the first quarter (30.9%).
In the second quarter, no mezzanine loans and €1.3 billion in second liens were financed. Spreads at pricing for insti-tutional loans widened by 3.4 basis points (bps) while spreads for pro rata loans tightened by 10.8 bps. Mezza-nine loan spreads remained unchanged at 668.7 bps.
According to Dealogic, the leading sector in leveraged loan issuance for the second quarter of 2014 was food and beverage (€9.68 billion), followed by telecommunica-tions (€4.64 billion) and construction and building (€2.71 billion). The largest deal was a €3.00 billion deal by Nu-mericable Group for repayment of debt and new acquisi-tions.
The share of deals aimed to refinance and/or repay debt fell q-o-q and y-o-y, falling to 40.0% of all deals by euro amount in the second quarter, compared to 62.0% in 1Q’14 and 65.7% in 2Q’13.
European CLO outstandings, including SME deals, de-clined by 22.9% on an annualized basis in the second quarter, ending June 2014 at €186.1 billion. Non-SME CLOs shrank at an annualized rate of 27.4% in 2Q’14 while SME CLOs decreased only by an annualized 0.2%.
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
200
250
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
650
Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14
Basis PointsBasis Points
Source: Dealogic, AFME, SIFMA
Institutional SpreadsJul. 2009 - Jun. 2014
Widest difference (bps, right) FranceGermany NetherlandsSpain United Kingdom
-150
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14
Basis Points
Source: Dealogic, AFME, SIFMA
Pro Rata SpreadsJul. 2009 - Jun. 2014
Widest difference (bps, right)FranceGermanyNetherlandsSpainUnited Kingdom
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
€ Billions
Source: AFME, SIFMA
European CLO Outstanding2002:Q3 - 2014:Q2
SMENon-SME CLO
1 AFME High Yield Division
Second Quarter 2014
Issuance: High Yield Bonds Primary issuance in 2Q’14 totalled €58.21 billion on 107 deals, an increase of 125.0% and 93.7%, respectively, q-o-q and y-o-y. Issuance from developed market Europe rose in the second quarter but, given the lingering turmoil in eastern Europe, issuance from emerging market Europe fell.
According to Standard and Poor’s, some $4.2 trillion of European corporate debt (44% of global debt) is expected to mature between 2014 and 2019.1 The rating agency noted that “some recent signs that the economy is moving in the right direction are encouraging, but the uncertainty caused by geopolitical instability, both within and outside of Europe, could give investors pause. For example, the current situation in Ukraine is very delicate, and investor concerns over this conflict could impede some European companies' financing and refinancing prospects.”
Primary issuance in developed market Europe in the sec-ond quarter was €57.19 billion on 102 deals, while in emerging market Europe primary issuance was €1.01 bil-lion on 5 deals.
In second quarter 2014, average deal sizes from developed market Europe rose from first quarter, with an average of €932.0 million per deal in 2Q’14 (€655.9 million for 1Q’14). Average deal sizes for emerging market Europe also rose to €560.7 million in 2Q’14 from €406.4 million in 1Q’14.
High yield issuance for refinancing and/or repayment of debt in developed market Europe increased q-o-q but de-creased y-o-y, representing 54.6% of all issuance by euro amount in 2Q’14, compared to 27.7% in 1Q’14 and 54.8%, in 2Q’13. In emerging market Europe, refinancing and/or repayment of debt deals increased q-o-q and y-o-y, representing 39.3% of issuance by euro amount in 2Q’14, up from 0% in 1Q’14 and from 13.7% in 2Q’13.
There was no issuance of senior secured structures in the second quarter 2014 in developed market Europe, alt-hough secured structures remain prevalent, representing 21.8% of deals by euro amount in 2Q’14. Secured struc-tures were absent in emerging market Europe in 2Q’14.
The proportion of USD-denominated issuance increased in 2Q’14, representing 33.8% of all issuance by euro amount, compared to 17.2% in 1Q’14 and 43.2% in 2Q’13. USD-denominated issuance in emerging market Europe rose to represent 41.1% by euro amount, com-pared to 27.4% in the previous quarter, while USD-denominated issuance in developed market Europe also increased to 33.7% of all issuance by euro amount from 16.7% in the prior quarter.
1 Standard and Poor’s, Europe Refinancing Study, Nearly $4.2 Trillion of Rated Corporate Debt Is Expected to Mature by 2019, 24 July, 2014.
Returns & Credit Quality Emerging markets equities led returns in the second quar-ter (5.64%) followed by US distressed high yield (5.54%) and US equities (4.69%). European leveraged loans, how-ever, performed poorly, returning 0.52% as the worst per-forming asset class.
High-yield bond default rates fell in the second quarter, with S&P reporting 1.5% (down from 1.8% end-March). One bond-related default was reported in the second quarter: Baghlan Group FZCO.
According to S&P, upgrades exceeded downgrades in de-veloped market Europe, with 43 upgrades and 17 down-grades. Upgrades were concentrated largely in financial in-stitutions (12 upgrades), with the balance distributed across the sector spectrum. Downgrades were concentrat-ed among metals, mining & steel (3 downgrades), while the remainder also distributed across sectors.
Conversely, downgrades exceeded upgrades in emerging market Europe, with four upgrades and 14 downgrades. Five financial institutions, three oil and gas producers, two sovereigns, two transportation firms and two utility com-panies were downgraded in the second quarter.
2 AFME High Yield Division
Second Quarter 2014
1. Leveraged Finance Overview 1.1. European Leveraged Issuance by Type 1.2. European Leveraged Issuance by Percentage
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
YTD 2013 2014
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q2
€ Billions
Sources: Dealogic, Thomson Reuters LPC
European Leveraged Issuance2006 - 2014:Q2
Leveraged Loans
Europe Developed HY
Europe EM HY
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
YTD 2013 2014
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q2
Percentage
Sources: Dealogic, Thomson Reuters LPC
European Leveraged Issuance2006 - 2014:Q2
Leveraged Loans
Europe Developed HY
Europe EM HY
1.3. European Leveraged Issuance Average Deal Size
1.4. Bank Credit Standards1
0.00
100.00
200.00
300.00
400.00
500.00
600.00
700.00
800.00
900.00
1000.00
YTD 2013 2014
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q2
€ Millions
Sources: Dealogic, Thomson Reuters LPC
European Leveraged Issuance Average Size2006 - 2014:Q2
Leveraged Loans
Europe Developed HY
Europe EM HY
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
Jul-09 Jul-10 Jul-11 Jul-12 Jul-13 Jul-14
Net Percentage
Source: ECB
Bank Credit StandardsJul. 2009 - Jul. 2014
SME
Large Enterprises
Overall
1.5. Factors Affecting Bank Credit Standards2 1.6. Loan Demand3
-10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2
Competition from Banks
Expectations Regarding Economic Activity
Market Financing
Bank Liquidity Position
Competition from Non-Banks
Industry or Firm-Specific Outlook
Costs to Bank Capital Position
Bank Access to Market Financing
Risk on Collateral Demanded
Net
P
erce
ntag
e
Source: ECB
Factors Affecting Bank Credit StandardsJul. 2014
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
Jul-09 Jul-10 Jul-11 Jul-12 Jul-13 Jul-14
Net Percentage
Source: ECB
Loan DemandJul. 2009 - Jul. 2014
SME
Large Enterprises
Overall
1 A positive net percentage number signifies tightening bank credit; a negative net percentage number signifies easing credit. 2 A positive net percentage signifies the factor contributed to tightening credit standards; a negative net percentage signifies the factor contributed to easing credit standards. 3 A positive net percentage signifies increased demand; a negative net percentage signifies decreased demand.
3 AFME High Yield Division
Second Quarter 2014
1.7. Factors Affecting Loan Demand4
-5 0 5 10 15
Internal Financing
Debt Issuance
Fixed Investment
Loans from Other Banks
Loans from Non-Banks
Equity Issuance
M&A, Restruturing
Debt Restructuring
Inventories, Working Capital
Net
P
erce
ntag
e
Source: ECB
Factors Affecting Loan DemandJul. 2014
1.8. Global Comparison – High Yield Issuance
Prior€ Billions Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Full Year Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Full Year 2012United States 44.7 50.9 95.7 57.9 48.7 51.9 37.8 196.3 212.9Asia Pacific 8.4 7.8 16.2 15.6 10.8 4.9 10.2 41.4 30.2Europe 28.5 62.1 90.6 36.9 34.4 23.5 27.2 122.0 82.8
20132014
4 A positive net percentage signifies a factor that contributed to higher demand; a negative net percentage signifies a factor that contributed to lower demand.
4 AFME High Yield Division
Second Quarter 2014
2. Issuance – Leveraged Loans 2.1. European Leveraged Loan Issuance By Loan Type
2.2. European Leveraged Loan Issuance by Industry Sector
0
50
100
150
200
250
YTD 2013 2014
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q2
€ Billions
Source: Dealogic, Thomson Reuters LPC
Leveraged Loan Issuance by Loan Type2006 - 2014:Q2
Mezzanine
2nd Lien
1st Lien
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0
Food & BeverageTelecommunications
Construction/BuildingFinance
Oil & GasProfessional Services
ChemicalsHealthcareMachinery
Leisure & RecreationRetail
Real Estate/PropertyConsumer Products
Metal & SteelComputers & Electronics
Transportation
EU
R B
illio
ns
Source: Dealogic
Leveraged Loan Issuance by Industry2014:Q2
2.3. Forward Pipeline of Leveraged Loan Market 2.4. S&P ELLI Total Institutional Loans Outstanding
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12 Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14
€ Billions
Source: Standard & Poor's LCD
Forward Pipeline of Leveraged Loan MarketJun. 2012 - Jun. 2014
Europe
US
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
140.0
160.0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
€ Billions
Source: Standard & Poor's LCD
S&P ELLI Total Institutional Loans Outstanding2007 - 2014:Q2
2.5. S&P ELLI Ratings Diversiication 2.6. Distribution of Leveraged Loan Secondary Mar-
ket Bids
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Percentage
Source: Standard & Poor's LCD
S&P ELLI Ratings Diversification2007 - 2014:Q2
NR
Other
B
BB
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
80.00
90.00
100.00
Jan-11 May-11 Sep-11 Jan-12 May-12 Sep-12 Jan-13 May-13 Sep-13 Jan-14 May-14
Bid
Source: Thomson Reuters LPC/SMi
Distribution of EMEA Leveraged Secondary Loan Market BidsJan. 2011 - Jun. 2014
>10090-10080-9070-80< 70
5 AFME High Yield Division
Second Quarter 2014
2.7. Institutional and Pro Rata Spreads 2.8. Mezzanine Spread
250
300
350
400
450
500
Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14
Basis Points
Source: Dealogic, AFME, SIFMA
Institutional and Pro Rata SpreadsJul. 2009 - Jun. 2014
Institutional
Pro Rata
500
600
700
800
900
1000
1100
1200
Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14
Basis Points
Source: Dealogic, AFME, SIFMA
Mezzanine SpreadJul. 2009 - Jun. 2014
Mezzanine
6 AFME High Yield Division
Second Quarter 2014
3. Issuance – High Yield Bonds Overview 3.1. European HY Bond Issuance, Developed and Emerging Market
3.2. European HY Bond Issuance, Sponsored vs. Corporate
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
YTD 2013 2014
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q2
# of Deals€ Billions
Sources: Dealogic, Thomson Reuters LPC
European HY Issuance, Developed and Emerging Markets2006 - 2014:Q2
Europe Emerging HY
Europe DevelopedHY
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
YTD 2013 2014
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q2
Percentage
Sources: Dealogic, Thomson Reuters LPC
European HY Issuance, Sponsored vs Corporate2006 - 2014:Q2
Europe Corporate
Europe LBO
EM Corporate
EM LBO
3.3. European Corporate Bonds Outstanding 3.4. European Corporate Bonds Maturity Wall
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
2013 2013 2013 2013 2014 2014
€ Billions
Sources: Bloomberg, AFME, SIFMA
European Corporate Bonds Outstanding, Developed and Emerging Europe2013:Q1 - 2014:Q2
NR HY IG
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
€ Billions
Source: Bloomberg, AFME, SIFMA
European Corporate Maturity Wall2014:Q2
Other CurrenciesGBPUSDEUR
3.5. European Corporate HY Bonds Outstanding By Sector
3.6. European Corporate HY Bonds Outstanding by Current Rating
Utilities4%
Technology1%
Materials14%
Industrials6% Health Care
2%Governments
1%
Financials37%
Energy3%
Consumer Staples4%
Consumer Discretionary
12%
Communications16%
Others0%
European HY Corporate Bonds Outstanding by Sector2014:Q2
Sources: Bloomberg, AFME, SIFMA
0
50
100
150
200
250
BB+ BB BB- B+ B B- CCC+ CCC RemainingHY
€ Billions
Source: Bloomberg, AFME, SIFMA
European HY Outstanding by Current Rating2014:Q2
7 AFME High Yield Division
Second Quarter 2014
3.7. European Corporate Bond Issuance by Rating 3.8. European Corporate Bond Issuance by Tenor
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
Developed Emerging
EUR Billions
Sources: Bloomberg, Dealogic, Moody's, Standard and Poor's, Fitch Ratings
European HY Issuance by Rating2014:Q2
BB B CCC NA/NR
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
<5 Years 5 - 7 Years 8 - 10 Years 10+ Years Other
EUR Billions
Sources: Bloomberg, Dealogic, Moody's, Standard and Poor's, Fitch Ratings
European HY Issuance by Tenor2014:Q2
3.9. European HY Use of Proceeds 3.10. European HY Issuance, Secured Share
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
YTD 2013 2014
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q2
Source: Dealogic, AFME/SIFMA
European HY Issuance By Use of Proceeds2006 - 2014:Q2
OtherRestructuringRepay Debt/RefinancingLBO/MBOGeneral Corporate PurposesAcquisitions
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
YTD 2013 2014
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q2
€ Billions
Sources: Bloomberg, Dealogic
European HY Issuance, Senior Secured, Secured, and Senior Unsecured2010 - 2014:Q2
OtherSecuredSenior UnsecuredSenior Secured% Secured (right)
4. Issuance – European Developed Market High Yield Bonds 4.1. European Developed Market HY Bond Issuance 4.2. European Developed Market HY Issuance by
Currency
0
50
100
150
200
250
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
100.0
YTD 2013 2014
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q2
# of Deals€ Billions
Source: Dealogic
European Developed Market HY Bond Issuance2006 - 2014:Q2
Europe Developed HY# of Deals (Right)
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
100.0
YTD 2013 2014
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q2
€ Billions
Source: Dealogic
European Developed Market HY Issuance by Currency2006 - 2014:Q2
Other
USD
GBP
EUR
8 AFME High Yield Division
Second Quarter 2014
4.3. European Developed Market HY Issuance by Industry
4.4. European Developed Market HY Issuance by Country of Risk
0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0
MiningProfessional Services
AgribusinessPublishing
Real Estate/PropertyTransportation
Forestry & PaperHealthcareAuto/Truck
Computers & ElectronicsUtility & Energy
ChemicalsDining & LodgingFood & Beverage
Construction/BuildingMachinery
Metal & SteelRetail
Consumer ProductsOil & Gas
FinanceTelecommunications
€B
illio
ns
Source: Dealogic
European Developed Market HY Issuance by Industry2014:Q2
0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 18.0 20.0
BelgiumSwitzerland
NorwaySpain
FinlandLuxembourg
PortugalSweden
NetherlandsGreeceIreland
GermanyUnited Kingdom
ItalyFrance
€B
illio
ns
Source: Dealogic
European Developed Market HY Issuance by Country of Risk2014:Q2
4.5. European Developed Market HY Issuance, Fixed vs. Floating
4.6. European Developed Market HY Issuance, Sponsored vs. Corporate
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
100.0
YTD 2013 2014
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q2
€ Billions
Source: Dealogic
European Developed Market HY Bond Issuance, Fixed vs Floating2006 - 2014:Q2
FloatingFixed
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
YTD 2013 2014
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q2
€ Billions
Source: Dealogic
European Developed Market HY Issuance, Sponsored vs Corporate2006 - 2014:Q2
Europe LBO
Europe Corporate
4.7. European Developed Market HY Rating Distribu-tion at Issuance
4.8. European Developed Market Corporate Bonds Outstanding
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
2011 2012 2013 2014
Source: Dealogic, AFME/SIFMA
European Developed Market HY Rating Distrbution at Issuance2011:Q1 - 2014:Q2
NA/NR CCC B BB
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
Developed Europe
€ Billions
Sources: Bloomberg, AFME, SIFMA
European Corporate Bonds Outstanding, Developed Europe2014:Q2
Investment GradeHigh YieldNon-Rated
9 AFME High Yield Division
Second Quarter 2014
4.9. European Developed Market HY Bond Issuance
Issuer Industry Group Date CurrencyAmount
(Millions) Coupon Moodys S&P FitchInternational Personal Finance plc Finance 01/04/2014 EUR 300 5.750 NA NA BB+Tecnocom Telecomunicaciones y Energia SA Computers & Electronics 01/04/2014 EUR 35 6.500 NA NA NAVirgin Media Secured Finance plc Telecommunications 01/04/2014 GBP 175 6.250 Ba3 NA BB+SSAB Swedish Steel AB Metal & Steel 03/04/2014 EUR 350 3.875 NA BB- NATullow Oil plc Oil & Gas 03/04/2014 USD 650 6.250 B1 BB- NAStonegate Pub Co Financing plc Dining & Lodging 03/04/2014 GBP 260 5.750 B2 B+ NA
03/04/2014 GBP 140 6M LIBOR + 475 B2 B+ NAEnQuest plc Oil & Gas 04/04/2014 USD 650 7.000 B3 B NAFinanciere Quick SAS Dining & Lodging 04/04/2014 EUR 440 3M EURIBOR + 475 B3 B- NA
04/04/2014 EUR 155 3M EURIBOR + 750 Caa2 CCC NACegedim SA Computers & Electronics 07/04/2014 EUR 125 6.750 NA B+ NABanca Popolare di Vicenza Scarl Finance 07/04/2014 EUR 201 2.750 NA NA BBWind Acquisition Finance SA Telecommunications 08/04/2014 EUR 1,750 7.000 Caa1 B B-
08/04/2014 USD 2,800 7.375 Caa1 B B-ghd Bond plc Professional Services 08/04/2014 GBP 165 7.000 B3 B- NAGulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd Oil & Gas 08/04/2014 EUR 250 13.000 NA NA NABMBG Bond Finance SCA Construction/Building 09/04/2014 EUR 315 3M EURIBOR + 500 B1 B+ B+Allied Irish Banks plc Finance 09/04/2014 EUR 500 2.750 B1 BB BBBGrand City Properties SA Real Estate/Property 10/04/2014 EUR 150 6.250 NA BB+ NAImmobiliare Grande Distribuzione SpA - IGD Real Estate/Property 10/04/2014 EUR 150 3.875 NA NA NASocieta per Azioni Esercizi Aeroportuali - SEA Transportation 14/04/2014 EUR 300 3.125 NA NA NACGG Oil & Gas 14/04/2014 EUR 400 5.875 B1 B+ NAHydra Dutch Holdings 2 BV Food & Beverage 15/04/2014 EUR 210 3M EURIBOR + 550 B2 B NAPiaggio & C SpA Auto/Truck 16/04/2014 EUR 142 4.625 Ba3 NA NA
16/04/2014 EUR 108 4.625 Ba3 NA NAKedrion SpA Healthcare 16/04/2014 EUR 300 4.625 NA NA NATeamsystem SpA Computers & Electronics 16/04/2014 EUR 130 7.375 B2 B- NASGD SA Consumer Products 17/04/2014 EUR 350 5.625 NA B B3AB Optique Developpement SAS Retail 17/04/2014 EUR 365 5.625 B2 B BB-Lion/Seneca France 2 SAS Retail 17/04/2014 EUR 75 7.875 Caa2 CCC+ CCC+Altice SA Telecommunications 23/04/2014 USD 2,900 7.750 B3 B NA
23/04/2014 EUR 2,075 7.250 B3 B NANumericable Group Telecommunications 23/04/2014 USD 2,400 4.875 Ba3 B+ NA
23/04/2014 USD 4,000 6.000 Ba3 B+ NA23/04/2014 EUR 1,000 5.375 Ba3 B+ NA23/04/2014 USD 1,375 6.250 Ba3 B+ NA23/04/2014 EUR 1,250 5.625 Ba3 B+ NA
InterXion Holding NV Computers & Electronics 24/04/2014 EUR 150 6.000 B2 B+ NACerba European Lab Healthcare 24/04/2014 EUR 80 7.000 B2 B+ BB-GasLog Ltd Transportation 24/04/2014 NOK 500 3M NIBOR +550 NA NA NANBG Finance plc Finance 25/04/2014 EUR 750 4.375 Caa1 NA B-Banco Espirito Santo SA Finance 28/04/2014 EUR 750 2.625 B3 NR NACGG Oil & Gas 28/04/2014 USD 500 6.875 B1 B+ NAMedi-Partenaires SAS Healthcare 29/04/2014 EUR 110 7.000 NA NA NAConstellium NV Metal & Steel 30/04/2014 EUR 300 4.625 Ba3 BB- NA
30/04/2014 USD 400 5.750 Ba3 BB- NAPublic Power Corp SA Utility & Energy 30/04/2014 EUR 200 4.750 NA B NA
30/04/2014 EUR 500 5.500 NA B NAMizzen Bondco Ltd Finance 30/04/2014 GBP 200 7.000 B2 B B-Bank of Ireland (Governor & Co of) Finance 30/04/2014 EUR 750 2.000 Ba3 BB+ NAIntralot Capital Luxembourg SA Computers & Electronics 30/04/2014 EUR 250 6.000 B1 B+ BB-Novacap SAS Chemicals 01/05/2014 EUR 310 3M EURIBOR + 500 B2 B NAIntegrated Dental Holdings Ltd - IDH Healthcare 06/05/2014 GBP 100 3M LIBOR + 500 B2 B BB-IMA Industria Macchine Automatiche SpA Machinery 06/05/2014 EUR 40 3.875 NA NA NA
06/05/2014 EUR 40 4.375 NA NA NASchaeffler Finance BV Machinery 08/05/2014 EUR 500 2.750 Ba2 BB- NA
08/05/2014 EUR 500 3.250 B1 B NA08/05/2014 USD 700 4.250 Ba2 BB- NA08/05/2014 EUR 500 3.500 Ba2 BB- NA
R&R Ice Cream plc Food & Beverage 08/05/2014 GBP 315 5.500 B2 B NAAerCap Ireland Capital Ltd Finance 08/05/2014 USD 400 2.750 Ba2 BB+ BB+
08/05/2014 USD 1,100 3.750 Ba2 BB+ BB+08/05/2014 USD 1,100 4.500 Ba2 BB+ BB+
Paroc Group Oy Construction/Building 09/05/2014 EUR 200 6.250 B2 B NA09/05/2014 EUR 230 3M EURIBOR + 525 B2 B NA
†PIK (Payment in Kind); ‡Debut issue Source: Bloomberg, Dealogic 10
AFME High Yield Division Second Quarter 2014
Issuer Industry Group Date CurrencyAmount
(Millions) Coupon Moodys S&P FitchHellenic Petroleum Finance plc Oil & Gas 09/05/2014 USD 400 4.625 NA NA NABPE Financiaciones SA Finance 12/05/2014 EUR 50 3M EURIBOR + 100 Ba3 NA BB+KCA Deutag UK Finance plc Oil & Gas 13/05/2014 USD 375 7.250 B3 B NATizir Ltd Mining 13/05/2014 USD 125 9.000 NA NA NAVeneto Banca ScpA Finance 13/05/2014 EUR 500 4.000 NA BB NAGlasstank BV Consumer Products 14/05/2014 EUR 185 8.500 Caa1 CCC NAJohnston Press plc Publishing 14/05/2014 GBP 220 8.625 B3 B NAGenel Energy Finance Ltd Oil & Gas 14/05/2014 USD 500 7.500 NA NA NAMotor Oil Finance plc Oil & Gas 15/05/2014 EUR 350 5.125 NA NA NAOvako AB Metal & Steel 16/05/2014 EUR 300 6.500 B3 B NAMatalan Finance plc Retail 16/05/2014 GBP 342 6.875 B2 B- NA
16/05/2014 GBP 150 8.875 Caa2 CCC NAGlobal Rig Company ASA Oil & Gas 19/05/2014 USD 120 9.000 NA NA NAProspector Finance II SA Oil & Gas 19/05/2014 USD 100 7.750 NA NA NAInmarsat Finance plc Telecommunications 20/05/2014 USD 1,000 4.875 Ba2 BB+ NAXefin Lux SCA Construction/Building 21/05/2014 EUR 325 3M EURIBOR + 375 Ba3 NA NAInternational Personal Finance plc Finance 21/05/2014 EUR 40 4.250 NA BB+ NABrakes Capital Food & Beverage 21/05/2014 GBP 257 7.125 B3 B- NA
21/05/2014 EUR 150 3M EURIBOR + 500 B3 B- NAGalapagos SA (Germany) Metal & Steel 23/05/2014 EUR 325 3M EURIBOR + 475 B1 B NA
23/05/2014 EUR 200 5.375 B1 B NAGalapagos Holding SA Metal & Steel 23/05/2014 EUR 250 7.000 Caa1 CCC+ NAMoy Park (Bondco) plc Agribusiness 23/05/2014 GBP 200 6.250 B1 B NASmurfit Kappa Acquisitions Forestry & Paper 28/05/2014 EUR 500 3.250 Ba2 BB+ BBOfficine Maccaferri SpA Construction/Building 29/05/2014 EUR 200 5.750 B2 B NASolor Bioenergi Holding AS Utility & Energy 29/05/2014 SEK 950 3M STIB +500 NA NA NACABB GmbH Chemicals 30/05/2014 EUR 175 3M EURIBOR + 475 B2 B NA
30/05/2014 EUR 235 5.250 B2 B NA30/05/2014 EUR 175 6.875 Caa1 CCC+ NA
Ardagh Finance Holdings SA Consumer Products 05/06/2014 USD 710 8.625 Caa2 CCC+ NA05/06/2014 EUR 250 8.375 Caa2 CCC+ NA
Hema Bondco I BV Retail 10/06/2014 EUR 315 6.250 NA B+ NA10/06/2014 EUR 250 3M EURIBOR + 525 NA B+ NA
Hema Bondco II BV Retail 10/06/2014 EUR 150 8.500 NA B- NADestia Oy Construction/Building 10/06/2014 EUR 65 3M EURIBOR + 450 NA NA NADry Mix Solutions Investissements SAS Construction/Building 11/06/2014 EUR 550 3M EURIBOR + 425 B2 B NALadbrokes Group Finance plc Finance 11/06/2014 GBP 100 5.125 NA BB NADigiPlex Fet ASA Computers & Electronics 11/06/2014 NOK 500 3M NIBOR +400 NA NA NASelecta Group BV Retail 12/06/2014 EUR 350 6.500 B2 B+ NA
12/06/2014 CHF 245 6.500 B2 B+ NABibby Offshore Services plc Oil & Gas 12/06/2014 GBP 175 7.500 B2 B+ NAAvanti Communications Group plc Telecommunications 12/06/2014 USD 150 10.000 Caa1 B NAAlpha Credit Group plc Finance 12/06/2014 EUR 500 3.375 Caa1 CCC+ B-HEMA BV Retail 12/06/2014 EUR 85 11.250 NA NA NAXcite Energy Ltd Oil & Gas 12/06/2014 USD 135 12.000 NA NA NAGunnebo Troax AB Metal & Steel 12/06/2014 EUR 70 3M EURIBOR + 550 NA NA NADometic Group AB Consumer Products 19/06/2014 EUR 314 9.500 Caa2 CCC NAR&R Ice Cream plc Food & Beverage 19/06/2014 EUR 150 4.750 B2 B NA
19/06/2014 AUD 152 8.250 B2 B NAERB Hellas plc Finance 19/06/2014 EUR 500 4.250 Caa2 CCC+ B-Ardagh Packaging Finance plc Consumer Products 20/06/2014 USD 1,110 3M LIBOR + 300 Ba3 B+ NA
20/06/2014 USD 440 6.000 Caa1 CCC+ NA20/06/2014 EUR 1,155 4.250 Ba3 B+ NA
BUT SAS Retail 20/06/2014 EUR 180 7.375 B3 B BAccor SA Dining & Lodging 23/06/2014 EUR 900 4.125 NA BB BBDebenhams plc Retail 23/06/2014 GBP 225 5.250 Ba3 BB- NAWind Acquisition Finance SA Telecommunications 24/06/2014 EUR 2,100 4.000 Ba3 BB BB-
24/06/2014 USD 1,900 4.750 Ba3 NA BB-24/06/2014 EUR 575 3M EURIBOR + 400 Ba3 BB BB-
Boparan Finance plc Food & Beverage 25/06/2014 GBP 250 5.250 B1 B+ NA25/06/2014 GBP 330 5.500 B1 B+ NA25/06/2014 EUR 300 4.375 B1 B+ NA
†PIK (Payment in Kind); ‡Debut issue Source: Bloomberg, Dealogic 11 AFME High Yield Division
Second Quarter 2014
12 AFME High Yield Division
Second Quarter 2014
Issuer Industry Group Date CurrencyAmount
(Millions) Coupon Moodys S&P FitchNovafives SAS Machinery 25/06/2014 EUR 200 3M EURIBOR + 400 B1 BB- NA
25/06/2014 EUR 380 4.500 B1 BB- NACNH Industrial Capital LLC Finance 25/06/2014 USD 500 3.375 Ba2 BB NAHellenic Petroleum Finance plc Oil & Gas 25/06/2014 EUR 325 5.250 NA NA NAExmar NV Transportation 26/06/2014 NOK 700 3M NIBOR +450 NA NA NASamvardhana Motherson Automotive Systems Gro Auto/Truck 26/06/2014 EUR 500 4.125 NA BB+ NAGrupo Isolux Corsan Finance BV Construction/Building 26/06/2014 EUR 250 6.625 NA B B+Pfleiderer AG Construction/Building 27/06/2014 EUR 322 7.875 Caa1 CCC+ NAArcelorMittal SA Metal & Steel 30/06/2014 EUR 600 2.875 Ba1 BB+ BB+
†PIK (Payment in Kind); ‡Debut issue Source: Bloomberg, Dealogic
13 AFME High Yield Division
Second Quarter 2014
5. Issuance – European Emerging Market High Yield Bonds 5.1. European Emerging Market HY Bond Issuance 5.2. European Emerging Market HY Bond Issuance
by Currency
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
20.0
YTD 2013 2014
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q2
# of Deals€ Billions
Source: Dealogic
European Emerging Market HY Bond Issuance2006 - 2014:Q2
Europe Emerging HY
# of Deals (Right)
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
YTD 2013 2014
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q2
€ Billions
Source: Dealogic
European Emerging Market HY Issuance by Currency2006 - 2014:Q2
Other
USD
GBP
EUR
5.3. European Emerging Market HY Issuance by In-dustry
5.4. European Emerging Market HY Issuance by Country of Risk
0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8
Telecommunications
Finance
€ Billions
Source: Dealogic
European Emerging Market HY Issuance by Industry2014:Q2
0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4
Serbia
Russian Federation
Azerbaijan
€ Billions
Source: Dealogic
European Emerging Market HY Issuance by Country of Risk2014:Q2
5.5. European Emerging Market HY Issuance, Fixed vs. Floating
5.6. European Emerging Market HY Issuance, Spon-sored vs. Corporate
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
20.0
YTD 2013 2014
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q2
€ Billions
Source: Dealogic
European Emerging Market HY Bond Issuance, Fixed vs Floating2006 - 2014:Q2
FloatingFixed
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
20.0
YTD 2013 2014
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q2
€ Billions
Source: Dealogic
European Emerging Market HY Issuance, Sponsored vs Corporate2006 - 2014:Q2
EM LBO
EM Corporate
14 AFME High Yield Division
Second Quarter 2014
5.7. European Emerging Market HY Rating Distribu-tion at Issuance
5.8. European Emerging Market Corporate Bonds Outstanding
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
2011 2012 2013 2014
Source: Dealogic, AFME/SIFMA
European Emerging Market HY Rating Distrbution at Issuance2011:Q2 - 2014:Q2
NA/NR CCC B BB
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Emerging Europe
€ Billions
Sources: Bloomberg, AFME, SIFMA
European Corporate Bonds Outstanding, Emerging Europe2014:Q2
Investment GradeHigh YieldNon-Rated
5.9. Emerging Market HY Bond Issuance
Issuer Industry Group Date Currency Amount
(Millions) Coupon Moodys S&P FitchABH Financial Ltd Finance 04/06/2014 EUR 350 5.500 NA BB- BB+International Bank of Azerbaijan - IBA Finance 05/06/2014 USD 500 5.625 Ba3 NA BBAdria Topco BV Telecommunications 19/06/2014 EUR 175 8.250 NA NA NA
†PIK (Payment in Kind); ‡Debut issue Source: Bloomberg, Dealogic
15 AFME High Yield Division
Second Quarter 2014
6. Credit Quality 6.1. European HY Default Rate 6.2. Developed Europe Issuer Rating Actions1
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
Apr-12 Jul-12 Oct-12 Jan-13 Apr-13 Jul-13 Oct-13 Jan-14 Apr-14
Percent
Source: Standard & Poor's
European HY Default Rate (LTM)Jul. 2012 - Jun. 2014
S&P
Moodys
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
0
50
100
150
200
250
YTD 2013 20142008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q2
# Of Issuers
Source: Standard & Poor's
S&P Developed Europe Issuer Rating Actions2008 - 2014:Q2
UpgradesDowngradesDowngrade/Upgrade Ratio (Right)
6.3. Emerging Europe Issuer Rating Actions2 6.4. Developed European Industry Rating Actions by
# of Ratings
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
0
50
100
150
200
250
YTD 2013 20142008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q2
# Of Issuers
Source: Standard & Poor's
S&P Emerging Europe Issuer Rating Actions2008 - 2014:Q2
UpgradesDowngradesDowngrade/Upgrade Ratio (Right)
0 5 10 15
AutomotiveCapital Goods
Chemicals, Packaging and Environmental ServicesConsumer ProductsFinancial Institutions
Forest Products and Building MaterialsHigh Technology
Home/real estate CompaniesInsurance
Media and EntertainmentMetals, Mining and Steel
Oil and Gas Exporation and ProductionRetail/Restaurants
SovereignTelecommunications
TransportationUtility
S&P Developed Europe Issuer Rating Actions by # of Ratings 2014:Q2
Downgrades
Upgrades
Source: Standard & Poor's
6.5. Emerging European Industry Rating Actions by # of Ratings
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
FinancialInstitutions
Oil and GasExporation and
Production
Sovereign
Transportation
Utility
S&P Emerging Europe Issuer Rating Actions by # of Ratings 2014:Q2
Downgrades
Upgrades
Source: Standard & Poor's
6.6. European Defaults
Issuer Industry Group Country Date Reported By ReasonBaghlan Group FZCO Diversified Azerbaijan April 2014 S&P Missed Coupon
Source: Moody's, Standard & Poor's
1 Numbers include both corporate and sovereigns. 2 Numbers include both corporate and sovereigns.
16 AFME High Yield Division
Second Quarter 2014
7. Relative Value 7.1. European HY Bonds, Cash vs. Synthetic 7.2. European Leveraged Loans, Cash vs. Synthetic
-50.0
0.0
50.0
100.0
150.0
200.0
250.0
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14
Basis Points
Sources: Markit
Bonds, Cash vs. SyntheticJul. 2012 - Jun. 2014
HY SpreadiBoxx EUR HYiTraxx XO 5Y
80.0
85.0
90.0
95.0
100.0
105.0
110.0
Jul-12 Nov-12 Mar-13 Jul-13 Nov-13 Mar-14
Price/Bid
Sources: Thomson Reuters LPC, Markit
Loans, Cash vs. SyntheticJul. 2012 - Jun. 2014
LevX Senior
Euro Lev Top 40
8. Total Return 8.1. European HY Bond Total Return 8.2. European Leveraged Loan Total Return
-40.0
-20.0
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
2013 2014
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Q2
Percentage
Source: Bank of America-Merrill Lynch
European High Yield Total Return 2008 - 2014:Q2
-40.0
-30.0
-20.0
-10.0
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
2013 20142008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Q2
Percentage
Source: Standard and Poor's LCDELLI EUR-denominated only unavailable for 2003 and 2004.
European Leveraged Loan Total Return 2008 - 2014:Q2
ELLI
ELLI (EUR-denominated only)
8.3. Asset Class Total Return, Quarter
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Euro HY CCC and Lower…U.S. Municipal
Euro Fallen Angel HYGlobal Fallen Angel HY
Euro HY B RatedEuro High Yield
U.S. HYU.S. Corporates
Euro HY BB ratedU.S. HY Distressed
EMU Covered BondsEMU Financial Corporates
U.S. Mortgages 30YU.S. TreasuriesEMU ABS/MBS
S&P 500U.S. ABS/MBS
Russell 2000S&P ELLIMCSI EM
Per
cent
age
Asset Class Total Returns2014:Q2
Source: BofA-ML, Bloomberg
17 AFME High Yield Division
Second Quarter 2014
Summary of the Methodologies Adopted for this Report
1. Leveraged Issuance – Overview 1.1. – 1.3. Leveraged Loans and High Yield Bonds Leveraged loan data are sourced from Thomson Reuters LPC and Dealogic.
Leveraged loan data from Thomson Reuters LPC are de-fined primarily as having sub-investment grade ratings and/or a margin spread minimum of 200 basis points (spread minimums will vary from year to year to make Thomson LPC’s cutoff). Leveraged loan aggregates will in-clude first lien, second lien, and mezzanine financing. Dis-crepancies in Thomson Reuters LPC data are due to rounding and/or currency rate of exchange.
Leveraged loan data from Dealogic are defined primarily as coming from a leveraged or highly leveraged European deal; loan tranches must have sub-investment grade ratings, or, if unrated, a margin spread minimum of 125 basis points over a benchmark (e.g., Euribor, LIBOR). Under these guidelines, sub-investment grade-rated loans with a margin spread of less than 125 basis points are included. Deals must be European and are inclusive of both devel-oped and emerging market Europe as defined in high yield criteria in Section 3. Deals must also be marketed either in Europe or in the United States. Loans not EUR-denominated are converted to EUR as of credit date for purposes of aggregation. Aggregates include new money as well as non-new money deals.
Criteria for high yield bond transactions can be found in Section 3, 4, and 5.
1.4. – 1.7. Bank Lending Surveys Data for loan demand and credit standards are sourced from the ECB’s bank lending survey. Graph numbers are net percentages of reporting banks.
1.8. Global Comparison – High Yield Issuance Data for global high yield issuance are sourced from Dea-logic. Asian deals are inclusive of Japan and Australia.
2. Issuance – Leveraged Loans 2.1. – 2.2. Leveraged loan issuance data are sourced primarily from Dealogic and Thomson Reuters LPC. For more details on qualifying criteria, please refer to section 1.
2.3. Forward Pipeline of Leveraged Loan Market Forward leveraged loan pipeline data are sourced from S&P LCD.
2.4. S&P ELLI Total Institutional Loans Outstand-ing Total institutional loan outstanding data are sourced from S&P LCD and are outstanding loans in the S&P ELLI in-dex.
2.5. S&P ELLI Ratings Diversification S&P ELLI ratings diversification are the percentages of currently outstanding loans in S&P’s ELLI index that are rated accordingly. Data are provided by S&P LCD.
2.6. Leveraged Loan Secondary Market Bids European leveraged trading volumes are sourced from Thomson Reuters LPC and are percentage of volume by bid price.
2.7. – 2.8. Loan Spreads Loan spread data are sourced from Dealogic under our cri-teria for leveraged loans (see Section 1). For purposes of loan spread calculations, deals marketed in the US are ex-cluded. Spreads are a weighted average of spread margin on new leveraged issuance on a rolling twelve months ba-sis, and are typically benchmarked to LIBOR or EURI-BOR. Institutional loan spread data are inclusive of 2nd lien; pro rata spreads include all revolvers and term loan A (Tla).
3. Issuance – High Yield Bonds Overview High yield bond transactions are sourced primarily from Dealogic, with supplemental information sourced from Bloomberg. High yield transactions are defined as transac-tions with a Dealogic “effective” rating of equal or less than BB+, and may include unrated transactions based on issuer and desk notes. Split-junk rated transactions are gen-erally excluded.
European issuance, inclusive of both emerging market Eu-rope and developed market Europe, are defined as an issue having a Dealogic “deal nationality” as well as “nationality of risk” within Europe issued in the euro, foreign, and global markets; deals marketed locally are excluded. Sover-eign, sub-sovereign, and supranational parent issuers are excluded from issuance, as well as ABS/MBS issuers.
Emerging market Europe and developed market European issuance are defined by nationality of risk, rather than na-tionality of deal, and although primarily sourced from Dea-logic, are ultimately subject to AFME’s discretion. Emerg-ing and developed market issuance are mutually exclusive and will contain no overlap unless otherwise mentioned.
European emerging market bonds are further defined with having a minimum deal size of €75.0 million; deals on the same day from the same issuer are aggregated for the pur-pose of meeting this minimum. Russian ruble (RUB)-denominated issuance are excluded due to differences in
18 AFME High Yield Division
Second Quarter 2014
terms and documentation; as of 4Q’10 this criteria no longer applies and may be included on a case by case basis.
3.2. European HY Issuance by Sponsor Data for high yield issuance by sponsor are sourced from Dealogic. LBO deals are defined as all high yield transac-tions whose issuer parent is a public or private finance enti-ty (i.e., a financial sponsor), regardless of use of proceeds.
3.3. – 3.6. European Corporate Bonds Outstand-ing Data for European corporate outstanding are sourced from Bloomberg and AFME/SIFMA estimates. Criteria for European corporate bonds are: bonds must be placed in the domestic, euro, foreign, and global markets with na-tionality of incorporation from a European developed or emerging market country as defined by AFME. Corporate bonds exclude all structured notes, covered bonds, war-rants, deposit notes, receipts, and certificates of deposit. All currencies are included and have been converted to EUR at time of pricing and/or issue.
High-yield ratings are sourced from Bloomberg’s compo-site rating, which is an average of all available ratings from four rating agencies: Moody’s, Standard and Poor’s, Fitch Ratings, or DBRS. Split-rated securities may be included in high yield numbers due to this.
Corporate bonds outstanding include certain securities that may be considered corporate securitisations or structured finance securities; while all effort is made to exclude the latter, the former will be counted toward the corporate bonds outstanding total, and will subsequently overlap to some extent to AFME structured finance outstanding numbers.
3.7. European Corporate Bond Issuance by Rat-ing Data for HY issuance by rating are sourced from Dealogic, Bloomberg, and the three rating agencies. The composite rating is determined by the lowest rating assigned by either Moody’s, Standard and Poor’s, or Fitch Ratings.
3.8. European Corporate Bond Issuance by Tenor Data for HY issuance by tenor are sourced from Dealogic. “Other” includes perpetuals.
3.9. European HY Issuance By Use of Proceeds Data for HY issuance by use of proceeds are sourced from Dealogic and aggregated for the purposes of this calcula-tion. Please refer to Section 3 for criteria on high yield is-sue inclusion.
3.10. European HY Issuance, Senior Secured Share Data for HY issuance by seniority are sourced from Dea-logic and Bloomberg. “Senior Unsecured” totals include all bonds that are senior but not senior secured.
4. Issuance – European Developed Market High Yield Bonds 4.1. – 4.7.,4.9 High yield bond issuance data are sourced from Dealogic. For further criteria on how high yield issuance are defined, please refer to section 3.
Developed European issuance are deals predominantly from western Europe and includes deals from Andorra, Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Switzerland, Germany, Denmark, Spain, Estonia, Finland, France, Faroe Islands, United Kingdom, Guernsey, Gibraltar, Greenland, Greece, Isle of Man, Ireland, Iceland, Italy, Jersey, Liechtenstein, Luxembourg, Monaco, Malta, Montenegro, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, San Marino, and Sweden.
4.8. European Developed Market Corporate Bonds Outstanding Data for corporate bonds outstanding are sourced from Bloomberg. Please refer to Section 3 for criteria and meth-odology.
5. Issuance – European Emerging Market High Yield Bonds 5.1. – 5.7., 5.9. High yield bond issuance data are sourced from Dealogic. Criteria for all high yield issuance are found in section 3.
Emerging market European issuance deals are predomi-nantly from eastern Europe but will also additionally in-clude Turkey, the Russian Federation, Kazakhstan, Turk-menistan, Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, Azerbaijan, and Kyrgyz-stan. Certain sub-investment grade countries are not in-cluded in the emerging market total, including, among oth-ers, Iceland and Greece.
5.8. European Emerging Market Corporate Bonds Outstanding Data for corporate bonds outstanding are sourced from Bloomberg. Please refer to Section 3 for criteria and meth-odology.
6. Credit Quality 6.1. European HY Default Rate European HY bond default rates are sourced from S&P and are on a trailing 12 month basis.
“Europe” for the S&P default rate is defined to include Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Channel Islands, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portu-gal, Slovak Republic, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and the United Kingdom. Countries are subject to revision.
6.2. – 6.3. European Issuer Rating Actions European issuer upgrades and downgrades are sourced from S&P. The breakdown by emerging market and devel-oped Europe are from AFME’s definition of developed and emerging markets and would be, under S&P’s guide-
19 AFME High Yield Division
Second Quarter 2014
lines, a combination of both European and EMEA rating actions. Multiple downgrades of a single issuer are counted separately. Rating actions are inclusive of both corporate (both credit and merger-related) as well as sovereign rat-ings.
6.4. – 6.5. European Issuer Rating Actions by # of Rating Actions Rating actions are sourced from S&P. Breakdown by emerging market and developed Europe are from AFME’s definition of developed and emerging markets and would be, under S&P’s guidelines, a combination of both Euro-pean and EMEA rating actions.
6.6. European Defaults Defaults reported by either Moody’s or Standard and Poor’s in the European bond markets and loan markets, when available.
7. Cash and Synthetic 7.1. – 7.2. Loans and Bonds, Cash and Synthetic Data are sourced from Markit and Thomson Reuters LPC. High yield bond cash and synthetic spreads from Markit; European leveraged loan cash bid prices from Thomson Reuters LPC, and European leveraged loans synthetic pric-es from Markit.
8. Total Return 8.1. European HY Bond Total Return European HY bond total return data are sourced from the Bank of America-Merrill Lynch’s Euro High Yield Index (HE00). The index tracks the performance of EUR-denominated below-investment-grade corporate debt pub-licly issued in the euro domestic or Eurobond markets. Qualifying securities must have a below-investment-grade rating and an investment-grade rated country of risk. Qual-ifying securities must have at least one year remaining term to maturity, fixed coupon schedule and minimum amount outstanding of €100 million. Original issue zero coupon bonds, “global securities” (debt issued simultaneously in the Eurobond and euro domestic markets), 144a securities and pay-in-kind securities, including toggle notes, qualify for inclusion in the index. Callable perpetual securities qualify provided they are at least one year from the first call date. Fixed-to-floating rate securities also qualify provided they are callable within the fixed rate period and are at least one year from the last call prior to the date the bond transi-tions from a fixed to a floating rate security. Defaulted, warrant-bearing and euro legacy currency securities are ex-cluded from the index.
8.2. European Leveraged Loan Total Return Total return data are provided by S&P LCD and are total returns from S&P’s ELLI index, both ELLI and EUR-denominated ELLI. Total returns for ELLI EUR-denominated data are unavailable for 2003 and 2004.
8.3. Asset Class Total Return (Cash Basis) Total returns are sourced from respective index owners and Bank of America-Merrill Lynch’s indices.
20 AFME High Yield Division
Second Quarter 2014
Disclaimer The information and opinion commentary in this High Yield and Leveraged Loan Report (Report) was prepared by the leveraged finance division of the Association for Fi-nancial Markets in Europe (AFME) and the Securities In-dustry and Financial Markets Association (SIFMA). AFME and SIFMA believe that the information in the Report, which has been obtained from multiple sources believed to be reliable, is reliable as of the date of publication. In no event, however, does either of AFME and SIFMA make any representation as to the accuracy or completeness of such information. AFME and SIFMA have no obligation to update, modify or amend the information in this Report or to otherwise notify readers if any information in the Re-port becomes outdated or inaccurate. AFME and SIFMA will make every effort to include updated information as it becomes available and in subsequent reports. As infor-mation is collected from multiple sources and estimates by the individual sources may differ from one another, esti-mates for similar types of data could vary within the Re-port.
21 AFME High Yield Division
Second Quarter 2014
AFME
Gary Simmons, Director
www.afme.eu
SIFMA
Kyle Brandon, Managing Director, Director of Research
Justyna Podziemska, Senior Associate, Research www.sifma.org
www.afme.eu