EUR/MWh of Buyers volume - for ... · Borzesti 7 RO Coal 194 01.08.2017 30.10.2018 Brazi 5 RO Gas 98 01.05.2018 31.10.2018 Brazi 6 RO Gas 98 01.05.2018 31.10.2018 Kozloduy G10 BG

HUPX+SEE SPOT SUPPORT WWW.BALKANENERGY.COM

1 This service is free until 15.10.2018

Hour 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Price 43 43 43 43 42 45 49 53 57 57 59 63 62 60 54 58 60 61 63 71 65 57 50 48

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1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

EUR/MWh +500 MW Buyers

+400 MW Buyers

+300 MW Buyers

+200 MW Buyers

+100 MW Buyers

Price

-100 MW Buyers

-200 MW Buyers

-300 MW Buyers

-400 MW Buyers

-500 MW Buyers

HUPX hourly price change In case of increase/decrease

of Buyers volume - for 12.10.2018

HUPX Forecast for 15.10.2018Update at 12.10.2018 - 09:00 CET

Base: 69 EUR/MWh

Peak: 76.5 EUR/MWh


Base: 43.9 EUR/MWh

Peak: 47.3 EUR/MWh


Base: 54.4 EUR/MWh

Peak: 60.4 EUR/MWh

Data download available on our Power Portal

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1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

EUR/MWh

+500 MW Buyers

+400 MW Buyers

+300 MW Buyers

+200 MW Buyers

+100 MW Buyers

-500 MW Buyers

-400 MW Buyers

-300 MW Buyers

-200 MW Buyers

-100 MW Buyers

HUPX relative price change in case of increase/decrease

of Buyers volume - for 12.10.2018

Day-ahead and Week-ahead HUPX forecast

HUPX+SEE SPOT Support

www.portal.balkanenergy.com

This service is free until 15.10.2018. For subscriptions, contact us on [email protected]

After 15.10.2018, service will be available for free only after 11:30h each day, after HUPX bids submission deadline

43 43 43 43 42 45

49 53

57 57 59 63 62 60

54 58 60 61 63

71

65

57

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90

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

13-Oct-18 HUPX base HUPX peak

Week-ahead forecast summary

Week 42 at average October temperatures

Base: 66.8 EUR/MWh

Peak: 85.4 EUR/MWh

Full Week-ahead report: pages 12-13

HUPX Forecast for Week 42Update at 12.10.2018 - 08:30 CET

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27-8 28-8 29-8 30-8 31-8 01-9 02-9

Base Peak


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http://portal.balkanenergy.com/files/weekly-forecast.pdf


2

Balkan Energy Your reliable source of energy info

This service is free until 15.10.2018

Market arbitration profits and spreads

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

EUR/MWh AT > HU (price spread - daily capacity cost AT>HU)

12.10. (FRI) 11.10. (THU) 10.10. (WED)

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

EUR/MWh HU > HR (price spread - daily capacity cost HU>HR)

12.10. (FRI) 11.10. (THU) 10.10. (WED)

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

EUR/MWh HU > GR (price spread - daily capacity cost HU>SR, SR>MK, MK>GR)

12.10. (FRI) 11.10. (THU) 10.10. (WED)

FRI THU WED TUE MON SUN SAT

AT > HU 12.10. 11.10. 10.10. 09.10. 08.10. 07.10. 06.10.

Base 8.37 12.90 10.80 0.26 8.64 -1.34 -0.17

Peak 10.97 14.43 13.80 3.22 13.03 1.42 -0.38

HU > HR 12.10. 11.10. 10.10. 09.10. 08.10. 07.10. 06.10.

Base -2.35 2.67 -0.72 4.24 -0.38 0.90 -1.23

Peak -2.85 2.39 -1.38 5.45 -0.16 -2.13 -1.79

HU > GR 12.10. 11.10. 10.10. 09.10. 08.10. 07.10. 06.10.

Base -2.72 -2.85 -6.77 -5.02 -3.48 0.96 3.96

Peak -5.23 -6.68 -15.20 -9.62 -6.49 0.75 3.62

Arbitration profit (spread, daily capacity, EUR/MWh)

* before price: one or more hours with zero ATC was offered for that product, on daily auction

ATC = 0 : whole product had zero ATC on daily auctions

FRI THU WED TUE MON SUN SAT

AT - HU 12.10. 11.10. 10.10. 09.10. 08.10. 07.10. 06.10.

Base -8.70 -13.55 -11.58 -1.10 -9.68 0.42 -1.64

Peak -11.40 -15.29 -14.92 -4.41 -14.57 -2.76 -2.31

HU - HR 12.10. 11.10. 10.10. 09.10. 08.10. 07.10. 06.10.

Base 1.29 -3.81 -0.47 -5.32 -0.46 -1.58 0.42

Peak 2.21 -3.24 0.46 -6.21 -0.53 1.42 1.37

HU - GR 12.10. 11.10. 10.10. 09.10. 08.10. 07.10. 06.10.

Base -1.57 -1.48 4.80 2.00 -0.85 -15.25 -9.07

Peak 4.59 6.10 14.78 9.16 6.21 -10.01 -4.96

Price spread (EUR/MWh)


3



Live outage info TPPs Type MW Event From To

Isalnita G8 RO Coal -147 Outage 12.10.2018, 00:00 12.10.2018, 23:59

ACTIVE Unplanned outages relevant for 15.10.2018

TPPs Type MW Event From To

Turceni 7 RO Coal 317 Outage 28.09.2018, 08:00 14.10.2018, 23:59

Maritsa 3 G2 BG Coal 227 Outage 11.10.2018, 02:00 12.10.2018, 02:00

Mintia G3 RO Coal -110 Outage 11.10.2018, 00:00 11.10.2018, 23:59

RECENT Unplanned outages relevant for past 3 daysTPPs Type MW Event From To

Matrai G3 HU Coal -120 Outage 10.10.2018, 00:00 10.10.2018, 06:00

Paks G3 HU Nuclear -114 Outage 10.10.2018, 03:00 10.10.2018, 20:30

TES G5 SLO Coal 305 Outage 05.10.2018, 21:0011.10.2018, 05:00

?(delayed)

Rovinari G4 RO Coal 330 Outage 07.10.2018, 20:00 10.10.2018, 15:00

Thermal unit outages and maintenances

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000HU+ExYU+AL (HUPX region) - MW out of operation

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

9-Oct 10-Oct 11-Oct Today D+1 14-Oct 15-Oct 16-Oct 17-Oct 18-Oct 19-Oct

Romania - MW out of operation

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800Bulgaria - MW out of operation

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500Slovakia - MW out of operation

9-Oct 10-Oct 11-Oct 12-Oct 13-Oct 14-Oct 15-Oct 16-Oct 17-Oct 18-Oct 19-Oct

HU+ExYU+AL 2,442 2,556 2,192 1,762 1,592 1,592 1,808 1,808 1,808 1,808 1,808

Romania 2,468 2,138 2,248 2,285 2,138 2,138 1,690 1,690 1,690 1,690 1,690

Bulgaria 1,343 1,343 1,570 1,343 1,343 1,343 1,343 1,343 1,343 1,343 1,343

Slovakia 470 470 470 470 470 470 470 470 470 470 470


4



Planned outages for Week 42

TPPs Type MW From To

Dunamenti G15 HU Gas 156 15.10.2018 28.11.2018


Kolubara G5 SER Coal 110 15.07.2018 29.10.2018

Djerdap 1 G2 SER Hydro 176 03.09.2018 31.12.2018


RHE B.Basta G4 SER Pump 105 11.10.2018 31.10.2018

TENT A G2 SER Coal 210 12.09.2018 31.10.2018

Stanari G 1 BA Coal 250 29.09.2018 11.10.2018

Kakanj G 7 BA Coal 100 01.10.2018 11.10.2018

Ugljevik G1 BA Coal 300 09.10.2018 02.11.2018

Mochovce TG1 Sk Nuclear 235 15.09.2018 30.10.2018


Turceni G5 RO Coal 313 11.10.2018 10.11.2018

Bucuresti S 4 RO Gas 84 18.08.2018 15.10.2018

Iernut 6 Ro Gas 188 14.08.2018 31.12.2018

Mintia 6 RO Coal 195 01.09.2018 30.11.2018

Craiova 2 G1 RO Coal 131 23.06.2018 15.10.2018

Borzesti 7 RO Coal 194 01.08.2017 30.10.2018

Brazi 5 RO Gas 98 01.05.2018 31.10.2018

Brazi 6 RO Gas 98 01.05.2018 31.10.2018

Kozloduy G10 BG Nuclear 1000 15.09.2018 25.10.2018

Maritsa 2 G8 BG Coal 343 17.08.2018 20.11.2018

Planned in next 30 days

TPPs Type MW from to

Kelenfoldi HU Gas 125 01.04.2018 11.10.2018

Lorinci HU OIl 170 08.10.2018 12.10.2018







TENT A G2 SER Coal 210 12.09.2018 31.10.2018

Kolubara G5 SER Coal 110 15.07.2018 29.10.2018

Stanari G 1 BA Coal 250 29.09.2018 11.10.2018

Kakanj G 7 BA Coal 100 01.10.2018 11.10.2018


Turceni G5 RO Coal 313 11.10.2018 10.11.2018

Turceni G3 RO Coal 330 01.11.2018 30.11.2018

Brazi 5 RO Gas 98 01.05.2018 31.10.2018

Brazi 6 RO Gas 98 01.05.2018 31.10.2018

Isalnita 7 RO Coal 295 17.09.2018 21.10.2018

Iernut 6 Ro Gas 188 14.08.2018 31.12.2018

Craiova 2 G1 RO Coal 131 23.06.2018 15.10.2018


Borzesti 7 RO Coal 194 01.08.2017 31.10.2018

Bucuresti V 2 RO Gas 113 01.10.2018 31.12.2018


Mintia 6 RO Coal 195 01.09.2018 30.11.2018

Maritsa 2 G8 BG Coal 343 17.08.2018 20.11.2018

Kozloduy G10 BG Nuclear 1000 15.09.2018 25.10.2018



Planned outages relevant for 13-15.10.2018

TPPs Type MW From To

Lorinci HU OIl 170 08.10.2018 12.10.2018

Stanari G 1 BA Coal 250 29.09.2018 11.10.2018

Kakanj G 7 BA Coal 100 01.10.2018 11.10.2018


Turceni G5 RO Coal 313 11.10.2018 10.11.2018



Kelenfoldi HU Gas 125 01.04.2018 11.10.2018



Isalnita 7 RO Coal 295 17.09.2018 21.10.2018


5



Temperature forecast

0

5

10

15

20

25

06-10 07-10 08-10 09-10 10-10 11-10 12-10 D.A. 14-10 15-10

HU+exYU+AL

max avg min

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

06-10 07-10 08-10 09-10 10-10 11-10 12-10 D.A. 14-10 15-10

RO - Bucharest

max avg min

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

06-10 07-10 08-10 09-10 10-10 11-10 12-10 D.A. 14-10 15-10

BG - Sofia

max avg min

10

15

20

25

30

06-10 07-10 08-10 09-10 10-10 11-10 12-10 D.A. 14-10 15-10

GR - Athens

max avg min

Regional consumption weighted average temperature

MAX AVG MIN LT max LT avg LT min

06-10 21.5 14.9 8.9 17.4 12.6 8.2

07-10 21.8 16.1 11.4 17.4 12.6 8.2

08-10 20.9 15.6 10.9 17.4 12.6 8.2

09-10 23 16.3 10.4 17.4 12.6 8.2

10-10 22.7 15.5 9.2 17.4 12.6 8.2

11-10 22.4 15.1 9.2 17.4 12.6 8.2

12-10 22.3 15.1 9.2 17.4 12.6 8.2

D.A. 22.3 14.9 8.7 17.4 12.6 8.2

14-10 21.3 14.3 8.6 17.4 12.6 8.2

15-10 21.3 14.2 8.4 17.4 12.6 8.2

HU+exYU+AL


06-10 20 13.6 8 18 11.9 6.5

07-10 20 13.8 8 18 11.9 6.5

08-10 21 14.2 8 18 11.9 6.5

09-10 22 14.9 9 18 11.9 6.5

10-10 21 15.3 11 18 11.9 6.5

11-10 22 15.7 11 18 11.9 6.5

12-10 22 15.9 11 18 11.9 6.5

D.A. 20 15 11 18 11.9 6.5

14-10 19 13.2 8 18 11.9 6.5

15-10 21 13.3 7 18 11.9 6.5

Romania


06-10 21 12.9 6 17.1 11.3 7.1

07-10 23 13.8 7 17.1 11.3 7.1

08-10 22 14.7 9 17.1 11.3 7.1

09-10 20 12.4 6 17.1 11.3 7.1

10-10 20 12.1 5 17.1 11.3 7.1

11-10 19 12.2 6 17.1 11.3 7.1

12-10 19 12.7 7 17.1 11.3 7.1

D.A. 19 12.3 7 17.1 11.3 7.1

14-10 18 10.8 5 17.1 11.3 7.1

15-10 20 11.3 5 17.1 11.3 7.1

Bulgaria


06-10 23 19.7 17 24.1 19 16

07-10 24 19.3 15 24.1 19 16

08-10 24 20.2 17 24.1 19 16

09-10 24 19.2 15 24.1 19 16

10-10 23 19.8 18 24.1 19 16

11-10 22 19.3 17 24.1 19 16

12-10 21 19 17 24.1 19 16

D.A. 22 19.5 18 24.1 19 16

14-10 22 19 17 24.1 19 16

15-10 21 18.4 16 24.1 19 16

Greece


6



Temperature deviation forecast

Deviation against long term monthly average

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

06-10 07-10 08-10 09-10 10-10 11-10 12-10 D.A. 14-10 15-10

HU+exYU+AL

max avg

0

1

2

3

4

5

06-10 07-10 08-10 09-10 10-10 11-10 12-10 D.A. 14-10 15-10

RO - Bucharest

max avg

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

06-10 07-10 08-10 09-10 10-10 11-10 12-10 D.A. 14-10 15-10

BG - Sofia

max avg

-4

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

06-10 07-10 08-10 09-10 10-10 11-10 12-10 D.A. 14-10 15-10

GR - Athens

avg min

MAX AVG

06-10 4.1 2.3

07-10 4.4 3.5

08-10 3.5 3.0

09-10 5.6 3.7

10-10 5.3 2.9

11-10 5.0 2.5

12-10 4.9 2.5

D.A. 4.9 2.3

14-10 3.9 1.7

15-10 3.9 1.6

HU+exYU+AL

MAX AVG

06-10 2.0 1.7

07-10 2.0 1.9

08-10 3.0 2.3

09-10 4.0 3.0

10-10 3.0 3.4

11-10 4.0 3.8

12-10 4.0 4.0

D.A. 2.0 3.1

14-10 1.0 1.3

15-10 3.0 1.4

Romania

MAX AVG

06-10 3.9 1.6

07-10 5.9 2.5

08-10 4.9 3.4

09-10 2.9 1.1

10-10 2.9 0.8

11-10 1.9 0.9

12-10 1.9 1.4

D.A. 1.9 1.0

14-10 0.9 -0.5

15-10 2.9 0.0

Bulgaria

MAX AVG

06-10 -1.1 0.7

07-10 -0.1 0.3

08-10 -0.1 1.2

09-10 -0.1 0.2

10-10 -1.1 0.8

11-10 -2.1 0.3

12-10 -3.1 0.0

D.A. -2.1 0.5

14-10 -2.1 0.0

15-10 -3.1 -0.6

Greece


7



Consumption forecast

MW average

12,000

13,000

14,000

15,000

16,000

17,000

18,000

06-10 07-10 08-10 09-10 10-10 11-10 12-10 D.A.

HU+exYU+AL

peak offpeak

5,000

5,500

6,000

6,500

7,000

7,500

06-10 07-10 08-10 09-10 10-10 11-10 12-10 D.A.

Romania

peak offpeak

3,000

3,200

3,400

3,600

3,800

4,000

4,200

4,400

4,600

06-10 07-10 08-10 09-10 10-10 11-10 12-10 D.A.

Bulgaria

peak offpeak

4,000

4,500

5,000

5,500

6,000

06-10 07-10 08-10 09-10 10-10 11-10 12-10 D.A.

Greece

peak offpeak

MW Peak Offpeak

06-10 15,958 13,939

07-10 15,219 13,057

08-10 16,587 13,896

09-10 16,533 14,022

10-10 16,901 14,571

11-10 16,881 14,579

12-10 16,691 14,108

D.A. 16,031 13,995

HU+exYU+AL

MW Peak Offpeak

06-10 6,554 6,022

07-10 5,855 5,592

08-10 7,202 6,135

09-10 7,214 6,352

10-10 7,268 6,403

11-10 7,361 6,461

12-10 7,166 6,325

D.A. 6,518 5,978

Romania

MW Peak Offpeak

06-10 4,049 3,571

07-10 4,006 3,450

08-10 4,341 3,662

09-10 4,353 3,791

10-10 4,286 3,762

11-10 4,317 3,785

12-10 4,318 3,736

D.A. 4,063 3,587

Bulgaria

MW Peak Offpeak

06-10 5,579 4,636

07-10 5,110 4,399

08-10 5,738 4,681

09-10 5,789 4,800

10-10 5,819 4,796

11-10 5,650 4,694

12-10 5,759 4,788

D.A. 5,575 4,507

Greece


8



Consumption forecast

Consumption changes compared to the day with minimal consumption in last 7 day, MW average

0

500

1000

1500

2000

06-10 07-10 08-10 09-10 10-10 11-10 12-10 D.A.

HU+exYU+AL

peak offpeak

0

500

1000

1500

2000

06-10 07-10 08-10 09-10 10-10 11-10 12-10 D.A.

Romania

peak offpeak

0

100

200

300

400

06-10 07-10 08-10 09-10 10-10 11-10 12-10 D.A.

Bulgaria

peak offpeak

0

200

400

600

800

06-10 07-10 08-10 09-10 10-10 11-10 12-10 D.A.

Greece

peak offpeak

MW Peak Offpeak

06-10 739 882

07-10 0 0

08-10 1,368 839

09-10 1,314 965

10-10 1,682 1,514

11-10 1,662 1,522

12-10 1,472 1,051

D.A. 812 938

HU+exYU+AL

MW Peak Offpeak

06-10 699 430

07-10 0 0

08-10 1,347 543

09-10 1,359 760

10-10 1,413 811

11-10 1,506 869

12-10 1,311 733

D.A. 663 386

Romania

MW Peak Offpeak

06-10 43 121

07-10 0 0

08-10 335 212

09-10 347 341

10-10 280 312

11-10 311 335

12-10 312 286

D.A. 57 137

Bulgaria

MW Peak Offpeak

06-10 469 237

07-10 0 0

08-10 628 282

09-10 679 401

10-10 709 397

11-10 540 295

12-10 649 389

D.A. 465 108

Greece


9



Wind and solar forecast

MW average

RO Solar GR Solar

Peak Offpeak Peak Offpeak Peak Offpeak Peak Offpeak Peak Offpeak Peak Peak

09-10 570 440 0 0 86 167 150 120 910 670 350 790

10-10 660 1020 0 10 72 142 270 250 1060 890 250 860

11-10 900 1230 10 20 26 52 340 300 990 890 310 820

12-10 1000 1460 10 30 84 109 350 310 990 910 400 540

D.A. 1550 1750 10 10 80 163 380 320 870 800 390 710

14-10 1560 1720 50 30 24 46 290 250 520 550 340 730

15-10 860 1250 50 60 26 32 240 190 480 420 320 640

16-10 740 880 10 30 68 83 70 110 320 310 310 760

Romania Wind Hungary Wind Croatia Wind Greece WindBulgaria Wind

0

500

1000

1500

2000

09-10 10-10 11-10 12-10 D.A. 14-10 15-10 16-10

RO wind

peak offpeak

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

09-10 10-10 11-10 12-10 D.A. 14-10 15-10 16-10

HU-wind

HU offpeak peak

0

50

100

150

200

09-10 10-10 11-10 12-10 D.A. 14-10 15-10 16-10

HR-wind

peak offpeak

0

100

200

300

400

09-10 10-10 11-10 12-10 D.A. 14-10 15-10 16-10

BG-wind

peak offpeak

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

09-10 10-10 11-10 12-10 D.A. 14-10 15-10 16-10

GR-wind

peak offpeak

0

100

200

300

400

500

09-10 10-10 11-10 12-10 D.A. 14-10 15-10 16-10

RO solar peak average

0

200

400

600

800

1000

09-10 10-10 11-10 12-10 D.A. 14-10 15-10 16-10

GR solar peak average


10



Hydro generation forecasts

Probability for activation of the pump storage generation - %

Precipitation: additional run-of-river capacity activation - % chance

Danube flow: forecast and the long term average - m3/s

Precipitation (mm)

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

06-10 07-10 08-10 09-10 10-10 11-10 12-10 D.A. 14-10 15-10 16-10

Romania exYU+AL

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

06-10 07-10 08-10 09-10 10-10 11-10 12-10 D.A. 14-10 15-10 16-10

Danube m3 flow long term average

0

2

4

6

8

10

06-10 07-10 08-10 09-10 10-10 11-10 12-10 D.A. 14-10 15-10 16-10

Precipitation, mm

Maribor, SLO Dubrovnik, HR Nis, SR

Belgrade, SR Bacau, RO Sibiu, RO

Maribor Dubrovnik Nis Beograd Bacau Sibiu

06-10 0.0 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

07-10 4.5 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

08-10 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

09-10 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

10-10 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

11-10 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

12-10 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

D.A. 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

14-10 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

15-10 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0

16-10 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0


11



NTC and NTC changes

Day-ahead NTC 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

AT>HU 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800

AT>SI 950 950 950 950 950 950 950 950 950 950 950 950 950 950 950 950 950 950 950 950 950 950 950 950

SK>HU 1200 1200 1200 1200 1200 1200 1200 1200 1200 1200 1200 1200 1200 1200 1200 1200 1200 1200 1200 1200 1200 1200 1200 1200

CZ>SK 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000

RO>HU 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600

UA>HU 455 455 455 455 455 455 455 455 455 455 455 455 455 455 455 455 455 455 455 455 455 455 455 455

SI>IT 663 663 663 663 663 663 654 740 748 737 737 737 684 684 684 746 746 746 748 748 748 733 733 623

IT>SI 680 680 680 680 680 680 680 660 660 660 660 660 660 660 660 660 660 660 660 660 660 660 660 680

SI>HR 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300

HR>SI 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300

RO>SR 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500

BG>SR 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350

SR>HU 700 700 700 700 700 700 700 700 700 700 700 700 700 700 700 700 700 700 700 700 700 700 700 700

HU>SR 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500

RS>HR 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550

HR>RS 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450

BH>SR 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450

BH>HR 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800

SR>MK 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500

MK>GR 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250

BG>MK 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350

BG>GR 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450

GR>ITA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

ITA>GR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

13-Oct-18

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

AT>HU 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200

AT>SI 0 0 0 0 0 0 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 0 0 0 0

SK>HU 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

CZ>SK 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

RO>HU 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50

UA>HU 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

SI>IT -13 -13 -13 -13 -13 -13 -25 -51 -43 -60 -60 -60 -90 -90 -90 -21 -21 -21 72 68 64 49 49 46

IT>SI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

SI>HR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

HR>SI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

RO>SR 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

BG>SR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

SR>HU 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

HU>SR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

RS>HR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

HR>RS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

BH>SR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

BH>HR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

SR>MK 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

MK>GR 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250

BG>MK 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350

BG>GR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

GR>ITA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

ITA>GR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

NTC change comparing to previous day


12



*Data download available on Power Portal: www.portal.balkanenergy.com

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

27-8 28-8 29-8 30-8 31-8 01-9 02-9

Base Peak

Week 42 at average October temperatures Price Base Peak

08-10 72.2 85.4

09-10 72.2 85.4

10-10 72.2 85.4

11-10 72.2 85.4

12-10 72.2 85.4

13-10 57.5

14-10 48.8

Week 42 66.8 85.4


Base: 66.8 EUR/MWh

Peak: 85.4 EUR/MWh

Comment:

Assumed Italian Week 42 at 76.25 EUR/MWh and assumed German Week 42 at 54.62 EUR/MWh

13

15

17

19

21

23

25

27

MON TUE WED THU FRI SAT SUN

HU+exYU+AL (weekly max temperatures)

WK41 WK42

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23


RO - Bucharest (weekly max temperatures)

WK41 WK42

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23


BG - Sofia (weekly max temperatures)

WK41 WK42

19

20

21

22

23

24

25


GR - Athens (weekly max temperatures)

WK41 WK42

Temperature forecast

Regional consumption weighted average temperature

HUPX Forecast for Week 42Update at 12.10.2018 - 08:30 CET

http://www.portal.balkanenergy.com


13



NTC forecast and changes

WK42 MON TUE WED THU FRI SAT SUN

15-10 16-10 17-10 18-10 19-10 20-10 21-10

AT>SI 800 800 800 800 800 800 800

AT>HU 300 300 300 300 300 300 300

CZ>SK 1700 1700 1700 1700 1700 1700 1700

SK>HU 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300

UA>HU 455 455 455 455 455 455 455

RO>RS 500 500 350 350 350 450 450

RO>HU 550 550 500 500 500 550 550

RO>BG 350 350 350 350 350 350 350

HU>RS 700 700 700 700 700 700 700

RS>HU 800 800 800 800 800 800 800

BG>RS 400 400 400 350 350 350 350

BG>MK 0 0 0 350 350 250 250

BA>RS 450 450 450 450 450 600 600

BA>HR 800 800 800 800 800 800 800

SR>AL 250 250 250 250 250 250 250

ME>AL 450 450 450 450 450 450 450

RS>ME 500 500 500 500 500 500 500

RS>HR 550 550 550 550 550 550 550

RS>SR 500 500 500 500 500 500 500

AL>GR 250 250 250 250 250 250 250

MK>GR 0 0 0 250 250 250 250

BG>GR 450 450 450 450 450 450 450

WK42 - MON TUE WED THU FRI SAT SUN

WK41 15-10 16-10 17-10 18-10 19-10 20-10 21-10

AT>SI 50 50 50 50 50 0 0

AT>HU 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

CZ>SK 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

SK>HU 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

UA>HU 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

RO>RS 100 100 -50 -50 -50 -50 -50

RO>HU 0 0 -50 -50 -50 -50 -50

RO>BG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

HU>RS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

RS>HU 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

BG>RS 0 0 0 -50 -50 0 0

BG>MK 0 0 0 350 350 -100 -100

BA>RS 0 0 0 0 0 150 150

BA>HR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

SR>AL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

ME>AL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

RS>ME 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

RS>HR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

RS>SR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

AL>GR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

MK>GR 0 0 0 250 250 0 0

BG>GR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

NTC change comparing to previous week

Documents

EUR/MWh of Buyers volume - for ... · Borzesti 7 RO Coal 194 01.08.2017 30.10.2018 Brazi 5 RO Gas 98 01.05.2018 31.10.2018 Brazi 6 RO Gas 98 01.05.2018 31.10.2018 Kozloduy G10 BG