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ETSG2019 Bern Programme Page 1 of 6
ETSG 2019 Bern Twenty-first Annual Conference 12-14 September 2019 University of Bern World Trade Institute
All sessions take place in the Eventfabrik Bern, FabrikHalle 12, Fabrikstrasse 12, 3012 Bern
Name of paper presenter appears first. In parallel sessions, the last presenter will take the chair. Times of presentations are subject to change up until the conference itself. Check the time of your presentation on arrival at the conference. Abstracts and links to papers available via the dedicated app (https://whova.com/portal/etsgc_201909) and at https://whova.com/embedded/event/etsgc_201909/ This version: 12 September 2019
Thursday, 12 September 2019
TIME PARALLEL SESSION 1
ROOM 1 LOWER FLOOR
PARALLEL SESSION 2
ROOM 2 LOWER FLOOR
PARALLEL SESSION 3
ROOM 3 LOWER FLOOR
PARALLEL SESSION 4
ROOM 4 FIRST FLOOR
PARALLEL SESSION 5
ROOM 5 FIRST FLOOR
PARALLEL SESSION 6
ROOM 6 FIRST FLOOR
PARALLEL SESSION 7
PLENARY GALLERY SECOND FLOOR
13:30-16:00 REGISTRATION, Ground Floor Entrance
14:00-14:15 WELCOME AND CONFERENCE BRIEFING, Plenary Room, Second Floor
14:15-15:15 PLENARY SESSION 1, Plenary Room, Second Floor Chair: Joseph Francois
Presentation by winner of WTO prize
15:15-15:45 Coffee, Ground Floor
15:45-18:00 A1 REGIONALISM A2 FDI, MNE + FIRM
ORGANIZATION A3 GROWTH A4 TRADE POLICY A5 TRADE THEORY A6 FIRM HETEROGENEITY A7 SERVICES
15:45-16:05
Karen Jackson, Oleksandr Shepotylo The collapse of EU trade relations: a worst-case scenario?
Drazen Derado, Darko Horvatin The impact of FDI on local economic growth with respect of mode of entry and level of innovativeness: case of EU member countries
David Collie The more the merrier: sustaining trade agreements with many countries
Ryo Itoh, Kiyoshi Yonemoto An interregional input-output analysis with the Eaton-Kortum model
Nicola Cortinovis, Jacopo Timini Learning from exporters: establishment-level productivity spillovers in Colombia
Julia Seiermann, Yvan Decreux, Camille Reverdy, Julia Spies The export potential of services
16:05-16:25
Benjamin Pkemei Ng’imor Trade and welfare effects of the East African Community
Jan Simon Schymik Human capitalists and the global division of labor
Maria Sokolova, Alisa Dicaprio, Amelia Santos-Paulino Trade and development distance: a new perspective on the world convergence
Roman Stöllinger Specialisation in tradables: structural current account imbalances beyond trade costs
John Gilbert, Reza Oladi Factor eliminating technical change in a developing economy
Tomohiro Ara Complementarity between firm exporting and firm importing on industry productivity and welfare
Anirudh Shingal, Neha Gupta, Minakshee Das Greenfield investment, services and integration into value chains: evidence from the OECD
16:25-16:45
Maurizio Zanardi, Dakshina G. De Silva, Soon-Cheul Lee, Robert P. McComb The spillover effects of regional trade agreements on trade
Banri Ito Cross-border M&A and urban gravity
Mutascu Mihai A wavelet investigation of Okun’s law in US
John Romalis, Lorenzo Caliendo, Robert C. Feenstra, Alan M. Taylor A second-best argument to promote manufacturing with trade subsidies on intermediate inputs
Laura Werner, Kurmaåÿ Akdoäÿan Sunk costs and exporting behavior: a sectoral analysis
Kazuhiko Oyamada Behavioral characteristics of MRIO-based global AGE models with variable elasticity of substitution between varieties
Camille Reverdy Export potential in services: do policy measures matter?
ETSG2019 Bern Programme Page 2 of 6
16:45-17:00 Break (no coffee)
17:00-17:20
Jan Schlupp Agglomeration and local spillover effects of US exporters
Bruno Merlevede, Victoria Purice Border regimes and indirect productivity effects from foreign direct investment
Chiara Franco, Roberto Antonietti From inward FDI to economic complexity: a panel cointegration analysis
Viola Lamani, Sophie Drogué, Zoé Colombet, Caroline MéJean Trade in foods: an analysis of the determinants of the structure of food imports by nutritional quality in the French West Indies
Reza Oladi, John Gilbert Labor eliminating technical progress and wage inequality
Alexander Tarasov, Sergey Kokovin, Shamil Sharapudinov, Philip Ushchev A theory of monopolistic competition with horizontally heterogeneous consumers
Carmen D. Álvarez-Albelo, Raúl Hernández-Martín Potential impacts of airfare subsidies for residents on the tourism industry of a remote region
17:20-17:40
Valentina Gullo, Pierluigi Montalbano, Silvia Nenci Re-estimating the EMU trade effect with product fragmentation: a spatial autoregressive Poisson gravity model
Ian Wooton, Andreas Haufler Multinational banks in regulated markets
Ryan Hynes, Ronald B. Davies Where to? Destination’s impact on innovation
Gregory Corcos, Facundo Albornoz, Hector Calvo-Pardo, Emanuel Ornelas Sequential product exporting
Sergey Kichko, Pierre Picard Income heterogeneity, redistribution, and trade
Michael Irlacher, Lisandra Flach, Florian Unger Corporate taxation, multi-product firms, and international trade
Anna Odrobina, Paweł Folfas Patterns and determinants of international trade in R&D services
17:40-18:00
Rafael Cezar, Maéva Silvestrini Impact of the ECB quantitative easing on the French international investment position
Daniele Verdini, Lorenzo Trimarchi, Catherine Fuss China shock, misallocation, and the evolution of aggregate productivity
Russell Hillberry, Ana Margarida Fernandes, Claudia Berg Expediting trade: impact evaluation of an in-house clearance program
Rikard Forslid, Toshihiro Okubo Trade, location and multiproduct firms
18:15-19:45 Apéro: Ground Floor
Friday, 13 September 2019
TIME PARALLEL SESSION 1
ROOM 1 LOWER FLOOR
PARALLEL SESSION 2
ROOM 2 LOWER FLOOR
PARALLEL SESSION 3
ROOM 3 LOWER FLOOR
PARALLEL SESSION 4
ROOM 4 FIRST FLOOR
PARALLEL SESSION 5
ROOM 5 FIRST FLOOR
PARALLEL SESSION 6
ROOM 6 FIRST FLOOR
PARALLEL SESSION 7
PLENARY GALLERY SECOND FLOOR
09:00-10:40 B1 DEVELOPMENT B2 FDI, MNE + FIRM
ORGANIZATION B3 NETWORKS + GLOBAL
VALUE CHAINS B4 TRADE POLICY B5 TRADE THEORY B6 FIRM HETEROGENEITY
B7 SERVICES + POLITICAL ECONOMY
09:00-09:20
Yu Ri Kim, Yasuyuki Todo Individual trade policy preferences: altruism, reciprocity and openness in a developing country context
Konstantin M. Wacker, Sophie T. Schneider Explaining the global landscape of foreign direct investment: knowledge capital, gravity, and institutional distance
Finn Ole Semrau, Frauke Steglich Corporate social responsibility in global value chains: the role of downstreamness and stakeholders’ demand
Pawel Folfas What determines value-added trade?
Tomasz Brodzicki, Jakub Michalek Kwiatkowski The impact of foreign competition on the innovation intensity of manufacturing firms
Milena Kern, Jörg Paetzold, Hannes Winner Cutting red tape for trade in services
09:20-09:40
Elzbieta Czarny, Malgorzata Zmuda Sustainability of competitive performance and sources of competitive advantage in a catching-up economy in the era of globalization
Maria Garcia Vega, Elena Huergo Asymmetric additionalities between R&D outsourcing locations
Jacek Rothert, Davis Katakura, Katherine Smith, Douglas Vanderwerken China’s export effects: a product level analysis of global supply chains, comparative advantage, and crowding out
Hugo Rojas-Romagosa, Joseph F. Francois, Douglas R. Nelson Trade wars and trade disputes: the role of equity and political support
Monika Mrázová, J. Peter Neary IO for export(s)
Redha Fares, AméLie Guillin, Claude Mathieu Exporting and failing firms, a paradox?
Maximillian Mantei, Adriana Espes Pizarro Is the glass half empty or half full? Rethinking negative and positive listing in trade in services agreements
09:40-10:00
Davide Del Prete, Michele Di Maio, Aminur Rahman Private firms amidst the war: evidence from Libya
Ben Ferrett, Ian Wooton Targeting FDI
Ilaria Salvati Firms’ participation to global value chains and employment growth
Julien Gourdon Rules of origins and third market effect on developing countries
Benedikt Zoller-Rydzek Trade, labor markets and intellectual property rights protection
Baptiste Souillard Competition and corporate tax avoidance: evidence from the China shock
Martin Falk, Yang Yang Hotels benefit from stricter Airbnb regulations
10:00-10:20
Volker Nitsch Internal conflict and external trade: evidence from Kenya
Pavel Chakraborty Bank ownership, monetary policy and exports: evidence from a firm-bank matched dataset
Veredigna Macatangay Ledda Drivers of export growth in international production networks: evidence from Southeast Asia
Adriana Rocio Cardozo Silva, Inmaculada Martã The impact of FTAs on MENA exports of intermediate and final goods
Laurence Wicht The margin of importing sectors in the gains from trade
Tinatin Akhvlediani Impact of ICT on export performances of firms
Antonella Nocco, Michele Giuranno Trade tariff, wage gap and public spending
10:20-10:40
Dorothee Hillrichs, Gonzague Vannoorenberghe Inferring within-country inequality from trade data
Dimitris Exadaktylos, Massimo Riccaboni, Armando Rungi The impact of foreign managers on productivity: evidence from the United Kingdom
Oscar Lemmers Capturing heterogeneity in global value chains: how to slice and dice?
Mattia Di Ubaldo, Ingo Borchert Go ahead and trade: the effect of uncertainty removal in the EU’s GSP scheme
Michael Renfrew The trade-design nexus: measuring the influence of depth and flexibility in ASEAN trade agreement design
Zuzanna Studnicka, Martina Lawless, Peter Neary Explaining the volume of south-north trade in Ireland: gravity and firms in the era between the Good Friday Agreement and Brexit
Hoda Assem Political tensions and international trade
ETSG2019 Bern Programme Page 3 of 6
10:40-11:10 Coffee, Ground Floor
11:10-12:50 C1 DEVELOPMENT C2 FDI, MNE + FIRM
ORGANIZATION C3 NETWORKS + GLOBAL
VALUE CHAINS C4 TRADE POLICY C5 TRADE THEORY C6 FIRM HETEROGENEITY C7 POLITICAL ECONOMY
11:10-11:30
Timothy Yaw Acheampong, Beata Udvari Escaping the middle income trap: the role of international trade
Stefan Kornitzky, Hartmut Egger, Elke Jahn The foreign ownership wage premium: new evidence from a large German dataset
Raphael Chiappini, Cyrielle Gaglio, Sarah Guillou Digital intensity and trade performance
Sylvain Perillat The export potential indicator: an assessment of its predictive power
Laszlo Erdey, Jozsef Gall, Adam Markus, Tibor Tokes Changes in the trade patterns of the UK in a global perspective
Jan Jakub Michael, Andrzej Cieslik, Krzysztof Szczygielski What matter for firms’ participation in GVCs in Central and East European countries?
Serge Shikher Gender and income inequality in United States tariff burden
11:30-11:50
Yue Teng The recent trends of developing countries’ terms of trade under the new global economic hierarchy
Mara Giua, Riccardo Crescenzi, Marco Di Cataldo FDI inflows in European regions: what role for investment promotion agencies?
Keiko Ito, Kenta Ikeuchi, Chiara Criscuolo, Jonathan Timmis, Antonin Bergeaud Global value chains and domestic innovation
Lars Nilsson, Michał Gulczyński EU imports and the use of preferences under the EU - Korea FTA
Holger Breinlich, Harald Fadinger, Volker Nocke, Nicolas Schutz Gravity in oligopoly
Silvia Bertarelli The impact of non-linear pricing in input markets on industry productivity and importing
Philipp J.H. Schroeder, Christian Bjørnskov, Martin Rode Stolper-Samuelson with democratization
11:50-12:10
Yunzhi Zhang, Inmaculada Martã Trade, GVC, FDI: development aid as internationalization strategy?
Nesma Ali, Joel Stiebale Foreign direct investment, markups, prices and productivity: evidence from India
Lucia Tajoli, Enrico Marvasi Who exports matters: the role of country centrality in product trade networks
Luca Macedoni, Ariel Weinberger Quality misallocation, trade, and regulations
Badis Tabarki Structural gravity and welfare in general equilibrium: symmetry and homotheticity fail, asymmetry and non-homotheticity prevail
Juyoung Cheong, Seeun Jung Trade liberalization and heterogeneous effects on wages
Philipp Harms, Nils Steiner The China Shock and the nationalist backlash against globalization: attitudinal evidence from the British Household Panel Survey
12:10-12:30
Andżelika Kuźnar The role of digitalization and new technologies in increasing the innovativeness and competitiveness of Poland
Philipp Herkenhoff, Sebastian Krautheim The international organization of production in the regulatory void
Michele Mancini, Alessandro Borin Measuring what matters in global value chains and value-added trade
Inmaculada Martinez-Zarzoso, Santiago Chelala Trade agreements and technology transfer
Kan Yue China shock and export quality upgrading
Rui Zhang, Chen Daisy Sun Market interdependence through shared suppliers: theory and evidence
Michael David Blanga-Gubbay The Protectionist Alliance: firms, trade unions, and the backlash on globalization
12:30-12:50
Birgit Meyer, Julian Donaubauer, Rainer Thiele Does foreign aid help improve access to FDI?
Angelos Theodorakopoulos Technology transfers and learning effects within firm boundaries
Pijus Krūminas, Egidijus Rybakovas, Agnė Paliokaitė Global value chains and middle income trap in Central and Eastern Europe
Panagiotis Tsitsoglou, Grigoris Zarotiadis Analyzing economic policy responses: the case of commercial diplomacy
Francesco Guerra, Carl Gaigné, Stéphane Turolla Product quality and export volatility in international trade: an empirical assessment
Ahmed Boutorat, Marcel Van Den Berg, Anne-Peter Alberda Dissecting carry-along trade: what’s in the bundle?
Julian Hinz, Robert Gold, Julian Hinz, Michele Valsecchi To Russia with love? The impact of sanctions on elections
12:50-14:00 Lunch, Ground Floor
14:00-14:25 ROWE Young Economists Prize, Plenary Room, Second Floor Chair: Maurizio Zanardi
14:25-14:30 Break (no coffee)
14:30-16:30 D1 DEVELOPMENT +
ENVIRONMENT D2 FDI, MNE + FIRM
ORGANIZATION D3 NETWORKS + GLOBAL
VALUE CHAINS D4 TRADE POLICY D5 TRADE THEORY D6 FIRM HETEROGENEITY
D7 POLITICAL ECONOMY + FIRM HETEROGENEITY
14:30-14:50
Hendrik Wiard Kruse, Thais Nunez-Rocha, Camélia Turcu Infrastructure aid and resource trade: altruism and commercial interest
Iulia Siedschlag, Mattia Di Ubaldo Could spillovers from multinationals affect the trade activities of local firms?
Alessandro Ferrari Global value chains and the business cycle
Mustapha Douch, Jun Du, Enrico Vanino Defying gravity? Policy uncertainty and trade diversion
Udo Kreickemeier, Hartmut Egger, Christoph Moser, Jens Wrona Exporting and offshoring with monopsonistic competition
Mai Nguyen, Jozef Konings Labor cost pass-through into prices and firm export status
Manuel Flores Interstate conflict as bilateral trade policy
14:50-15:10
Ana Lucia Abeliansky, Javier Barbero, Ernesto Rodrã ICTs quality and quantity and the extensive margin of trade
Christian Volpe Martincus, Jerónimo Carballo, Ignacio Marra de Artiñano Linkages with multinationals and domestic firms’ performance: opening the black box
Aobo Jiang, Gaaitzen De Vries , Oscar Lemmers , Shang-Jin Wei Productivity and specialization in global value chains: firm-level evidence
Lionel G. Fontagné, Houssin Guimbard, Gianluca Orefice Product-level trade elasticities
Peter Neary, Céline Carrere, Monika Mrázová Gravity without apologies: the science of elasticities, distance, and trade
Rebecca Freeman, Tommaso Aquilante Economic integration and UK firm-destination-market export duration
Isabelle Rabaud, Volker Nitsch Under attack: terrorism and international trade in France, 2014-16
15:10-15:30
Yong Tan, Joel Rodrigue, Dan Shen Exporting, abatement, and firm-level emissions: evidence from China’s accession to the WTO
Jackie M.L. Chan, Chih-Sheng Hsieh Network learning effects in cross-border mergers and acquisitions
Enxhi Tresa Spillover effects of cumulative tariffs in global value chains
Allan Soerensen Export promotion and intra-industry reallocations
David Torun, Reto Foellmi, Ulrich Schetter Path dependency in international trade
Torje Hegna Misallocation and markups: concentrating on productivity dispersion in Norway
Italo Colantone, Massimo Anelli, Piero Stanig We were the robots: automation and voting behavior in Western Europe
ETSG2019 Bern Programme Page 4 of 6
15:30-15:50
Laura Birg, Jan S. Voßwinkel Green consumers, emission taxes, and firm relocation
Monika Sztajerowska International investment, trade and tax agreements and multinational activity
Philipp Meinen, Simone Cigna, Patrick Schulte, Nils Steinhoff The impact of US tariffs against China on US imports: evidence for trade diversion?
Timo Walter, Benjamin Jung Trade liberalization and income inequality in Germany
Hartmut Egger, Simone Habermeyer How preferences shape the welfare and employment effects of trade
Sebastian Krautheim, Pamina Koenig, Claudius Löhnert , Thierry Verdier International trade, global sourcing and the geography of social activism
Frauke Steglich, Holger Görg, Thilo Kroeger, Horst Raff Importing, exporting, and firm-level volatility in India
15:50-16:10
Jan S. Voßwinkel, Laura Birg Cross-border externalities of emission taxation
Taiji Furusawa, Jay Pil Choi, Jota Ishikawa Transfer pricing and tax competition
Aleksandra Nacewska-Twardowska Factory Europe’s changes in trade and GVC
Holger Görg, Sourafel Girma Is there anything to be gained from export processing? Micro-econometric evidence from China
Maria Persson, Christian Soegaard, Anna Welander Tärneberg A border in the sea? The effect of major infrastructure development on bilateral trade
Evgenii Monastyrenko Currency depreciation and quality downgrading
Rosa Portela Forte, Andreia Botelho The impact of debt on a firm performance: the moderating role of internationalization
16:10-16:30
Harry Wardana, Laura Márquez-Ramos Exports and (multiple) border-crossing inputs: evidence from Indonesia
Filippo Boeri Outward FDI and local labour markets: evidence from matched employer-employee data
Ana Cuadros, Antonio Navas, Jordi Paniagua Moving ideas across borders: migrant inventors, patents and FDI
Ning Meng, Meredith Crowley, Huasheng Song Trade policy shocks and flexible multi-product exporters
Bastien Alvarez, Gianluca Orefice, Farid Toubal European integration and regional labour market dynamics
Philippe Bontems Not too costly: how cost flexibility influences firm behavior
Nicholas Kozeniauskas, Spencer Lyon Demand learning, customer capital, and exporter dynamics
16:30-17:00 Coffee, Ground Floor
17:00-17:45 PLENARY SESSION 2, Plenary Room, Second Floor Chair: Ian Wooton
Mahdi Ghodsi, Oliver Reiter, Roman Stöllinger, Robert Stehrer Robotization, employment, and industrial growth intertwined across value chains
19:30 Reception: Gurten Pavillon, Gurtenpark
Saturday, 14 September 2019
TIME PARALLEL SESSION 1
ROOM 1 LOWER FLOOR
PARALLEL SESSION 2
ROOM 2 LOWER FLOOR
PARALLEL SESSION 3
ROOM 3 LOWER FLOOR
PARALLEL SESSION 4
ROOM 4 FIRST FLOOR
PARALLEL SESSION 5
ROOM 5 FIRST FLOOR
PARALLEL SESSION 6
ROOM 6 FIRST FLOOR
PARALLEL SESSION 7
PLENARY GALLERY SECOND FLOOR
09:00-10:40 E1 LABOUR E2 FDI, MNE + FIRM
ORGANIZATION
E3 NETWORKS + GLOBAL VALUE CHAINS + FDI
E4 TRADE POLICY E5 TRADE THEORY +
ECONOMIC GEOGRAPHY
E6 FIRM HETEROGENEITY E7 TRADE POLICY
09:00-09:20
Hildegunn Kyvik Nordas, Magnus Lodefalk, Aili Tang Trade and jobs: Swedish labor market dynamics
Amélie Guillin, Anne-Laure Delatte, Vincent Vicard Grey zones in international investment transactions
Andrea Linarello, Luca Citino The impact of Chinese import competition on Italian manufacturing
Joseph Francois, Peter Egger, Miriam Manchin Bindings, policy risk, and market access in services
Nicola Daniele Coniglio, Davide Vurchio, Nicola Cantore, Michele Clara On the evolution of comparative advantage: path-dependent versus path-defying changes
Miriam Kohl, Philipp Moritz Richter Unilateral tax policy in the open economy
Kyung In Hwang Tariffs, retailers, and consumer prices
09:20-09:40
Robert Genthner, Krisztina Kis-Katos Local labor market effects of FDI regulation in Indonesia
Anwar S. Adem Imports, FDI spillovers and firm performance
Amat Adarov, Robert Stehrer Implications of foreign direct investment, capital formation and structure for global value chains
Nan Xu The distortionary impacts of rules of origin on labor market and country welfare
Inga Heiland, Andreas Moxnes, Karen Helene Ulltveit-Moe, Yuan Zi Trade from space
Vincent Rebeyrol, Aksel Erbahar Trade elasticities and CAT exports
Luca Salvatici, Alessandro Antimiani, David Laborde Optimal aggregators of distortions in GTAP
09:40-10:00
Anna Maria Falzoni, Federica Maggi, Giulio Bosio Does economic complexity matter for job polarization? Evidence from the Italian local labor market.
Huan Yang Cross-border M&A and the performance of acquirer: in the presence of the origin effect and heterogeneous treatment
Alexander Jaax, Enrico Vanino The link between FDI in services and trade diversification: evidence from Mexico
Pamela Bombarda, Elisa Gamberoni Diagonal cumulation and sourcing decisions
Marius Brülhart, Klaus Desmet, Gian-Paolo Klinke The shrinking advantage of market potential
Sotiris Blanas, Catherine Fuss, Maurizio Zanardi International sourcing, domestic labour costs and producer prices
Haiou Mao Value-added trade potential between EU and China: magnitude and factors
10:00-10:20
Qianqian Wang Trade liberalization and regional wage inequality: with Firpo, Fortin and Lemieux (FFL) decomposition method
Gerard Masllorens, Peter Egger, Katharina Erhardt The impact of investment treaties on firm ownership
Marta Bisztray The effect of FDI on local suppliers: evidence from Audi in Hungary
Hirofumi Okoshi, Hiroshi Mukunoki Tariff elimination versus tax avoidance: free trade agreements and transfer pricing
Magdalena Słok-Wódkowska, Katarzyna Åšledziewska The EU’s regional trade agreements and the challenges of international electronic commerce
Lena Sheveleva Minimal model of multi-product firms
Joschka Wanner, Mario Larch, Aiko F. Schmeißer A tale of (almost) 1001 coefficients: deep and heterogeneous effects of the EU-Turkey customs union
ETSG2019 Bern Programme Page 5 of 6
10:20-10:40
Lourenco Paz, John Ssozi The effects of Chinese imports on female workers in the Brazilian manufacturing sector
Alexandros Ragoussis, Trang Thu Tran Growing differently? Origins and growth paths of multinational enterprises in developing countries
Carlo Altomonte, Tommaso Sonno, Domenico Favoino, Monica Morlacco Market power under heterogeneous financial frictions
Blanca Jimenez-Garcia Do bilateral trade agreements promote trade unevenly? Evidence from 102 bilateral trade agreements.
Katharina Erhardt, Peter Egger, Davide Suverato Jobs come and go: trade, labor markets, and the age trap
Porjai Chalermsook Skills and export wage premium: evidence from Finnish manufacturing firms
Anne-Celia Disdier, Lionel Fontagné, Enxhi Tresa International trade and public procurement-related protection
10:40-11:10 Coffee, Ground Floor
11:10-12:50 F1 LABOUR F2 FDI, MNE + FIRM
ORGANIZATION F3 FIRM
HETEROGENEITY F4 TRADE POLICY
F5 ECONOMIC GEOGRAPHY
F6 FIRM HETEROGENEITY F7 TRADE POLICY
11:10-11:30
Simon Galle, Linnea Lorentzen The unequal effects of trade, automation, and labor reallocation
Nihal Yildirim Mizrak The evolution of foreign direct investments in Turkey and its effects on employment: a comparative analysis
Ruben Dewitte, Glenn Rayp, Bruno Merlevede Gains from trade: demand, supply and idiosyncratic uncertainty
Carmen Fillat-Castejon Thresholds on demand-enhancing and cost-increasing effects of technical barriers to trade
Marta Santamaria The gains from reshaping infrastructure
Jun Du, Jim Love, Enrico Vanino Learning by intermittent exporting: transaction level evidence from France
Mathieu Parenti, Gonzague Vannoorenberghe A simple theory of deep trade integration
11:30-11:50
Louise Johannesson, Hildegunn Kyvik Nordã¥S Trade and gender wage gaps in services and manufacturing: the case of India
Daniel Steffen, Preetha Kalambaden The effect of outward foreign direct investments on home employment: evidence using Swiss firm-level data
Michael Henry, Pavel Chakraborty, Rahul Singh Mark-ups and quality adjustments to Chinese import competition: evidence from India
Lorenzo Trimarchi, Chad Bown , Paola Conconi, Aksel Erbahar Trade Protection along Supply Chains
Ron Davies, Igor Bagayev, Dieter Kogler Innovation and the technological content of trade
Aya Elewa Mixed market structure and product-mix of exporters
Agelos Delis, Christos Ioannidis, Michalis Stamatogiannis The effect of foreign demand and the exchange rate on UK exports
11:50-12:10
Carsten Eckel, Stephen Ross Yeaple Too much of a good thing? Labor market imperfections as a source of exceptional exporter performance
Armando Rungi, Greg Morrison, Fabio Pammolli Global ownership and hierarchies of firms: that which is essential is invisible to the eye
Dea Tusha, Shawn W. Tan FDI spillovers and the role of labour market restrictions in Moldova
Lucile Henry, Ole Boysen From UK land-bridge to sea route: Irish agri-food exports to the EU, transport modes and Brexit
Thi Thanh Ha Doan, Huong Quynh Nguyen Trade reform, economic decentralization and the evolution of agglomeration in Vietnamese manufacturing
Glenn Rayp, Ruben Dewitte, Michel Dumont, Peter Willemé Gains from parameters? Heterogeneity in the productivity distribution and international trade
Nihal Tuncer Terregrossa, Ferda Karagöz The structural transformation of bilateral trade relations between Germany and Turkey
12:10-12:30
Krisztina Kis-Katos, Feicheng Wang, Minghai Zhou Gender effects of trade liberalization: manufacturing job creation in China
Bin Ni, Yang Liu Outward FDI and firm-level employment dynamics in Japanese manufacturing firms
Cristian Ugarte, Marco Fugazza, Monika Mrazova, Marcelo Olarreaga On the heterogeneous effects of market-access barriers: evidence from small and large Peruvian exporters
Florian Hälg Mutual recognition and exporting: evidence from Swiss-EU trade integration
Enrico Vanino Spatial externalities of trade defence instruments
Dennis Cremers, Marcel Van Den Berg, Charles Van Marrewijk, Tom Notten, Leen Prenen Import behavior and export performance: firm-level evidence from the Netherlands
Francesco Paolo Conteduca, Ekaterina Kazakova Assessing the role of FDI restrictions in emerging market economies
12:30-12:50
Stefano Meneto Does import competition affect regional labour market performance? Empirical evidence from France
Manuel Tong Koecklin, Iulia Siedschlag The impact of the UK's EU exit on the attractiveness of Northern Ireland to FDI and associated job creation effects
Thang Nguyen-Quoc Does local industrial structure matter for export survival?
Laura Hering, Sandra Poncet, Julien Gourdon, Stephanie Monjon Trade policy repercussions: the role of local product space: evidence from China
Guzin Emel Akkus The sectoral employment effects of international trade and productivity in the manufacturing industry of Turkey
Andrea Ariu Fighting gravity: goods and services traders against distance
Wolfgang Lechthaler, Mariya Mileva The dynamic and distributional aspects of import tariffs
12:50-14:00 Lunch, Ground Floor
14:00-15:40 G1 LABOUR G2 FDI, MNE + FIRM
ORGANIZATION G3 MIGRATION G4 TRADE POLICY
G5 ECONOMIC GEOGRAPHY
G6 FIRM HETEROGENEITY G7 TRADE POLICY
14:00-14:20
Hedieh Aghelmaleki, Ronald Bachmann, Joel Stiebale The China shock, employment protection, and European jobs
Nevine El-Mallakh, Maria Bas The effect of FDI liberalization on manufacturing firms’ technology upgrading
Barthelemy Bonadio Migrants, trade and market access: an analysis of US states
Loe Franssen, Ahmed Boutorat, Tommy Span The impact of trade missions on export market entry
Javier Quintana Gonzalez Import competition, regional divergence and the rise of the skilled city
Astrid Krenz The gender gap in international trade: female-run firms and the exporter productivity premium
Angie Mounir, Ahmed Boutorat, Loe Franssen, Marcel Van Den Berg Exporting for better or for worse? Occasional exporters in the Netherlands
14:20-14:40
Giulia Sabbadini, Léa Marchal Import competition, firms’ growth and immigrant workers
Apoorva Gupta, Richard Kneller, Maria Garcia-Vega Fire-sale FDI and firm performance: evidence from Spain
Tobias Mueller, Andrea Ariu, Tuan Nguyen How do labor markets adjust to immigration? The role of firm heterogeneity in a regional setting
Giulia Felice, Emanuele Forlani, Giorgio Barba Navaretti, Paolo Giorgio Garella Non-tariff measures and competitiveness
Helge Zille The effect of violent conflicts on trade with third-party countries: evidence from a country-triadic analysis
Per Botolf Maurseth, Hege Medin Internet use, intermediaries and international trade
Christian Soegaard, Robin Naylor The effects of entry in oligopolistic trade with bargained input prices
ETSG2019 Bern Programme Page 6 of 6
14:40-15:00
Tibor Besedes, Seung Hoon Lee, Tongyang Yang Trade liberalization and female welfare: dimensions of adjustment in the United States
Vladimir Tyazhelnikov, Edwin Jiang Shadow offshoring and complementarity in product space
Lea Marchal, Claire Naiditch, Betül Simsek How aid impacts migration flows once again
Sofia Gouveia, Anthony Macedo, João Rebelo A fractional econometric approach applied to wine exports
Dennis Novy, Holger Breinlich, João Santos Silva Trade, gravity and aggregation
Yoshinori Kurokawa, Zhe Chen Do exporters respond to both tariffs and nominal exchange rates? Evidence from Chinese firm-product data
Volodymyr Shportyuk, Veronika Movchan The impact of TBT harmonization with the EU norms on Ukraine’s international trade
15:00-15:20
Jeanne Tschopp, German Pupato, Ben Sand Estimating the gains from trade in frictional local labor markets
Domenico Favoino Vertical integration and relational ties: the case for Italian consortia
Eva Hagsten, Martin Falk Potential of European universities as hosts for Marie Curie grantees
Christophe Charlier, Patrice Bougette Subsidies and countervailing measures in the EU biofuel industry: a welfare analysis
Wolfgang Keller, Simon Janssen, Hale Utar, Ehsan Vallizadeh Technology hub or periphery? An analysis of structural change in the German coal belt
Lu Han The mutable geography of Firms’ international trade: evidence and macroeconomic implications
Amrei Stammann, Julian Hinz, Joschka Wanner Bias-corrected dynamic fixed effects estimation of the extensive margin of trade
15:20-15:40
Leandro Navarro Uncertainty in global sourcing: learning, sequential offshoring, and selection patterns
Robert Owen, Bernard Franck Human Capital Formation, International Migration and Incentives in a Heterogeneous
Oleksandr Shepotylo, Karen Jackson Risky business: trade and political stability along the Belt and Road
Mario Larch, Matthias Flückiger, Erik Hornung, Markus Ludwig, Allard Mees Roman transport network connectivity and economic integration
Selim Cagatay The impacts of the possible TTIP agreement on Turkey’s foreign trade
15:40-16:10 Coffee, Ground Floor
16:10-16:15 Conference announcements, Plenary Room, Second Floor
16:15-17:00 PLENARY SESSION 3, Plenary Room, Second Floor Chair: Joseph Francois Cecilia Bellora, Lionel Fontagné
Shooting oneself in the foot? Trade war and global value chains