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Estimation of emissions from aviation EMEP/ANCAT/CORINAIR, TRENDS & “Austrian” methodology Manfred KALIVODA, psiA-Consult GmbH, Vienna/Austria [email protected] EEA Workshop Greenhouse Gases from Aviation –17/18-5-04

Estimation of emissions from aviation EMEP/ANCAT/CORINAIR, TRENDS & “Austrian” methodology Manfred KALIVODA, psiA-Consult GmbH, Vienna/Austria [email protected]

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Estimation of emissions from aviation EMEP/ANCAT/CORINAIR, TRENDS & “Austrian” methodology

Manfred KALIVODA,psiA-Consult GmbH, Vienna/[email protected]

EEA Workshop Greenhouse Gases from Aviation –17/18-5-04

Manfred T. KALIVODA 2EEA Workshop Greenhouse Gases 17/18-5-04

Topics

Some basics on Methodology MEET EMEP/UNECE/ANCAT Austrian best practice TRENDS Conclusion

Manfred T. KALIVODA 3EEA Workshop Greenhouse Gases 17/18-5-04

Purpose of emission air traffic inventories

National Policy,int. ReportingMechanism(Corinair, IPCC,..) Global

Climate Modelling

Local Air Quality

Manfred T. KALIVODA 4EEA Workshop Greenhouse Gases 17/18-5-04

IFRInstrument Flight RulesG

ATMILITARY CIVIL

OATOperational Air

Traffic

Com

bat

VFRVisual Flight

Rules

Tran

spor

t

Trai

ner

PIS

TON

TU

RBO

PRO

PJ ET &

T URBOFAN

HEL

ICO

PTER

LOCAL / GROUND

RELATED

LOCAL / GROUND

RELATEDGLOBAL / ' HIGH ALTITUDE '

Flight Rules

Engine Char.

Impact

Traffic DataTraffic Characteristics

Traffic CharacteristicsBasic EIs

Categorisation of Air Traffic

Manfred T. KALIVODA 5EEA Workshop Greenhouse Gases 17/18-5-04

ClimbClimb DescentDescentCruiseCruise

IFR Flights (Instrument Flight Rules)

+Activities Apt A+Activities Apt A•Start up EnginesStart up Engines•Taxi outTaxi out•Take offTake off

+Activities +Activities Apt BApt B

•LandingLanding•Taxi inTaxi in•APUAPU

MEET Methodology

Manfred T. KALIVODA 6EEA Workshop Greenhouse Gases 17/18-5-04

ground related enroute

<3000 ft >3000 ftmovements kg-fuel

short distance movements kg-fuellong distance movements kg-fuel

emissions

Inter-national

old/ new fleetDomestic

0%

100%

200%

300%

400%

500%

600%

700%

Fuel/CO2/SO2 CO NOx NMVOC CH4 N2O

100% B737-400

B737 < 1000nm < B747

100% B767

B737 < 1000km < B747

100% B747-400

EMEP/ANCAT/CORINAIR - very simple methodology

Manfred T. KALIVODA 7EEA Workshop Greenhouse Gases 17/18-5-04

EMEP/ANCAT/CORINAIR - simple & detailed methodology

ground related enroute

<3000 ft >3000 ftDomestic movements per a/c type distance per a/c typeInternational movements per a/c type distance per a/c typecheck sum:

detailed emissions

total fuel consumption

ground related enroute

<3000 ft >3000 ftDomestic movements per a/c type kg-fuelInternational movements per a/c type kg-fuel

simple emissions

Manfred T. KALIVODA 8EEA Workshop Greenhouse Gases 17/18-5-04

Austrian best practice

Air Traffic Control Data for 1995, 1998, 2000 Radar Data = actual routes of actual flights ATC way points within Austrian ATC area, great circle outside

30 aircraft categories Calculation according to MEET & ARTEMIS (turbo

prop) functions 1: DISTANCES for climb, cruise, descent 2: Emissions from TAXI OUT (OS2) 3: Emissions from TAKE OFF (OS3) 4: Emissions from CLIMB (OS4) 5: Emissions from CRUISE (OS5) 6: Emissions from DESCENT (OS6) 7: Emissions from LANDING (OS7) 8: Emissions from TAXI IN (OS8)

Manfred T. KALIVODA 9EEA Workshop Greenhouse Gases 17/18-5-04

Austrian best practice: AvioMEET inventory tool

Manfred T. KALIVODA 10EEA Workshop Greenhouse Gases 17/18-5-04

EMEP/ANCAT/CORINAIR – comparison for Vienna apt

LTO total 1998 for VIE

0%

100%

200%

Fuel NOx HC CO

very simpledetailedATC

Manfred T. KALIVODA 11EEA Workshop Greenhouse Gases 17/18-5-04

EMEP/ANCAT/CORINAIR – comparison for total emissions

0%

100%

200%

300%

400%

500%

600%

Fuel NOx HC

very simple

improved very simple

simple

detailed

best practice

Manfred T. KALIVODA 12EEA Workshop Greenhouse Gases 17/18-5-04

TRENDS methodology - input

Spatial aggregation 250 most important airports in Europe NUTS 2 regions include EU candidates with same level of detail regional aggregation for the rest of world

35 aircraft categories Eurocontrol CFMU data (1996-2001)

Central Flow Management Data = Flight plans: scheduled not actual flights

AEA traffic actiovity database (1975-1995) movements, veh.km, pkm, seat-km tkm per country and year

Eurocontrol STATFORE data (2001-2015) movements per region/country and year

Manfred T. KALIVODA 13EEA Workshop Greenhouse Gases 17/18-5-04

Eurocontrol CFMU data per flightdep apt (ICAO apt code)dest apt (ICAO apt code)a/c type (ICAO a/c descriptor)

apt conversion listICAO apt code TRENDS „location code“

a/c conversion listICAO a/c descriptor TRENDS „a/c categories“

Eurocontrol aggregated data:number of flights for a period per a/c category per „city pair“ (dep. location /dest. Location [+GC distance])

Eurocontrol CFMU data for TRENDS

Manfred T. KALIVODA 14EEA Workshop Greenhouse Gases 17/18-5-04

Allocation

Country A: LTO Departure A1-B2 Cruise A1-B2 LTO Arrival B2-A1

Country B: LTO Departure B2-A1 Cruise B2-A1 LTO Arrival A1-B2

50%

50%

Manfred T. KALIVODA 15EEA Workshop Greenhouse Gases 17/18-5-04

TRENDS methodology – calculation & results

Emission factors MEET & ARTEMIS (turbo props) EMEP/UNECE/ANCAT Annual correction factor for technology changes according

to the MEET forecast AvioPoll (MS-Access) calculation tool Database with output categories

short, medium, longhaul (500|1000km) domestic, intra EU, extra EU international ground related (<1000m), enroute (>1000m) passenger, cargo (estimate) Traffic indicators: pkm, tkm

Manfred T. KALIVODA 16EEA Workshop Greenhouse Gases 17/18-5-04

TRENDS methodology – AvioPoll database system

Manfred T. KALIVODA 17EEA Workshop Greenhouse Gases 17/18-5-04

Conclusion

EMEP/UNECE/ANCAT & Austrian best practice are used for national emission reporting purposes only

TRENDS Database goes beyond reporting: transport activity & indicators

NEEDS All emission factors are based on certification data,

ARTEMIS collects actual emissions under everyday conditions will be ready when?

All emission factors represent about year 1995 fleet update needed for new fleet composition

Engine start up emissions (unburned fuel) is not covered yet by EMEP/UNECE/ANCAT

Do we want a harmonised data source for activity data for all EU-25 countries? Can it be Eurocontrol data?

Thank you for your attention

Manfred KALIVODApsiA-Consult GmbH, [email protected]

EEA Workshop Greenhouse Gases from Aviation –17/18-5-04