Essentials of Demand Forecasting and Replenishment for Retail and Distribution

  • Upload
    keimma

  • View
    224

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • 8/13/2019 Essentials of Demand Forecasting and Replenishment for Retail and Distribution

    1/29

  • 8/13/2019 Essentials of Demand Forecasting and Replenishment for Retail and Distribution

    2/29

    2&(3%*4& '5 "#6*(0 7',#$*&3%(8 = 9#:4#(%&;6#(3 > ?

    Introduction

    @;%& 0'$/6#(3 %& 5', :#':4# A;' 6*+# 0#$%&%'(& *

  • 8/13/2019 Essentials of Demand Forecasting and Replenishment for Retail and Distribution

    3/29

    2&(3%*4& '5 "#6*(0 7',#$*&3%(8 = 9#:4#(%&;6#(3 > M

    Table of Contents

    %&'()*+,'-)&.................................................................................................................................................. /

    012 3)#2 )4 %&52&')(6 -& 32'"-# "&* 7-8'(-9+'-)&............................................................................................ :

    !)(2,"8'-&; "&* 32(-&,-(-&,-

  • 8/13/2019 Essentials of Demand Forecasting and Replenishment for Retail and Distribution

    4/29

    2&(3%*4& '5 "#6*(0 7',#$*&3%(8 = 9#:4#(%&;6#(3 > N

    The Role of Inventory in Retail and Distribution

    @;# F*4/# C'/ '55#, C'/, $/&3'6#,& %& 3' :,'F%0# 3;#6 8''0& 5', A;%$;O

    P'(&/6#,& *::,#$%*3# 3;#

  • 8/13/2019 Essentials of Demand Forecasting and Replenishment for Retail and Distribution

    5/29

  • 8/13/2019 Essentials of Demand Forecasting and Replenishment for Retail and Distribution

    6/29

  • 8/13/2019 Essentials of Demand Forecasting and Replenishment for Retail and Distribution

    7/29

    2&(3%*4& '5 "#6*(0 7',#$*&3%(8 = 9#:4#(%&;6#(3 > `

    $'(&/43*(3& A;' 4*$+ 3;# :,':#, 0#:3; '5 #K:#,3% 3' 0#F% 3;#%, 'A(

    :,'$#&& *(0 $,#*3# 3;#%, 'A( A',+54'AE

    S'/, $/,,#(3 &C&3#6& 6*C ('3 5'44'A *44 '5 3;# :,%($%:4#& 0#&$,%

  • 8/13/2019 Essentials of Demand Forecasting and Replenishment for Retail and Distribution

    8/29

  • 8/13/2019 Essentials of Demand Forecasting and Replenishment for Retail and Distribution

    9/29

    2&(3%*4& '5 "#6*(0 7',#$*&3%(8 = 9#:4#(%&;6#(3 > h

    '(4C %(0%$*3', '5 3;# 5/3/,#E @;%& *::,'*$; %8(',#& 3;*3 $'(0%3%'(& %(

    3;# 6*,+#3 6*C ;*F# $;*(8#0B *(0 %(;#,#(34C #4%6%(*3#& 3;#

    :'&&%

  • 8/13/2019 Essentials of Demand Forecasting and Replenishment for Retail and Distribution

    10/29

    2&(3%*4& '5 "#6*(0 7',#$*&3%(8 = 9#:4#(%&;6#(3 > e

    P*/&*4 5',#$*&3%(8 3#$;(%Q/#& :'%(3 '/3 3;# 5*$3',& 3;*3 0,%F# $/&3'6#,&

    3'

  • 8/13/2019 Essentials of Demand Forecasting and Replenishment for Retail and Distribution

    11/29

  • 8/13/2019 Essentials of Demand Forecasting and Replenishment for Retail and Distribution

    12/29

    2&(3%*4& '5 "#6*(0 7',#$*&3%(8 = 9#:4#(%&;6#(3 > ??

    J%3; #+=

  • 8/13/2019 Essentials of Demand Forecasting and Replenishment for Retail and Distribution

    13/29

  • 8/13/2019 Essentials of Demand Forecasting and Replenishment for Retail and Distribution

    14/29

    2&(3%*4& '5 "#6*(0 7',#$*&3%(8 = 9#:4#(%&;6#(3 > ?N

    %(;#,#(3 /(0#,&3*3#6#(3 '5 0#6*(0 F*,%*

  • 8/13/2019 Essentials of Demand Forecasting and Replenishment for Retail and Distribution

    15/29

    2&(3%*4& '5 "#6*(0 7',#$*&3%(8 = 9#:4#(%&;6#(3 > ?Y

    Figure 2.

    @;# 4#53G6'&3 F#,3%$*4 4%(# %( 7%8/,# M ,#:,#(3& 3;# 5',#$*&3 4''+%(8 5,'6

    3'0*C 5',A*,0 3;,'/8; 3%6#E LC 4''+%(8 '(# 4#*0G3%6# 5',A*,0B 3;#

    5',#$*&3%(8 *(0 ,#:4#(%&;6#(3 &'4/3%'( ,#$'8(%D#& 3;*3 3;# (#K3 :/,$;*

    A%44 $'F#, 0#6*(0 I/&3 *53#, 3;# *&'(-& :#*+B 0/,%(8 A;%$; 0#6*(0 %&

    5*44%(8 5*&3E

    @;# :#,5#$3 3%6# 3' :4*$# * ,#:4#(%&;6#(3 ',0#, %& '(# 4#*0 3%6#

  • 8/13/2019 Essentials of Demand Forecasting and Replenishment for Retail and Distribution

    16/29

    2&(3%*4& '5 "#6*(0 7',#$*&3%(8 = 9#:4#(%&;6#(3 > ?^

    ', ,#$#%F%(8 4'$*3%'( *(0 2(4)(="&,2 96 O+

  • 8/13/2019 Essentials of Demand Forecasting and Replenishment for Retail and Distribution

    17/29

  • 8/13/2019 Essentials of Demand Forecasting and Replenishment for Retail and Distribution

    18/29

    2&(3%*4& '5 "#6*(0 7',#$*&3%(8 = 9#:4#(%&;6#(3 > ?a

    #*$; ',0#, %& lMdE S'/ :*C *( *00%3%'(*4 l?E^d '5 %(3#,(*4 $'&3B '(

    *F#,*8#B 3' ,#$#%F# #*$; Z[\ 4%(# '( 3;# ',0#,E

    7%8/,# N &;'A& 3;# ,#4*3%'(&;%:

  • 8/13/2019 Essentials of Demand Forecasting and Replenishment for Retail and Distribution

    19/29

    2&(3%*4& '5 "#6*(0 7',#$*&3%(8 = 9#:4#(%&;6#(3 > ?h

    &;'/40 $'F#, *3 4#*&3 3;# *6'/(3 '5 3%6#

  • 8/13/2019 Essentials of Demand Forecasting and Replenishment for Retail and Distribution

    20/29

  • 8/13/2019 Essentials of Demand Forecasting and Replenishment for Retail and Distribution

    21/29

    2&(3%*4& '5 "#6*(0 7',#$*&3%(8 = 9#:4#(%&;6#(3 > Md

    L* '( 3;%& #K*6:4#B C'/ $*( # 3;*3 %5 C'/ $*,,C F#( 0*C&- &/::4C '5

    &*5#3C &3'$+ '(

  • 8/13/2019 Essentials of Demand Forecasting and Replenishment for Retail and Distribution

    22/29

    2&(3%*4& '5 "#6*(0 7',#$*&3%(8 = 9#:4#(%&;6#(3 > M?

    R"#,+#"'2 "& N(*2( 4)( X",1 OYZ V)+d## ]+6

    @'0*C-& ',0#, (##0& 3' $'(3*%( #F#,C Z[\ %( 3;# &/::4%#, 4%(# 3;*3

    ,#Q/%,#& %66#0%*3# ,#:4#(%&;6#(3E Z3%44B 0/# 3' #$'('6%$&B ('3 #F#,C Z[\

    (##0& 3'

  • 8/13/2019 Essentials of Demand Forecasting and Replenishment for Retail and Distribution

    23/29

    2&(3%*4& '5 "#6*(0 7',#$*&3%(8 = 9#:4#(%&;6#(3 > MM

    R#3-& / *(3%5,##D# *& *( #K*6:4#E @;# 4#*0 3%6# %& F#( 0*C&E S'/ A*(3

    C'/, &*5#3C &3'$+ 3' $'F#, 3;,## 0*C&- &/::4CE S'/ 3C:%$*44C ',0#, 5,'6

    3;%& &/::4%#, A##+4CB &' C'/-44 ',0#, F#( 0*C&- &/::4CB &%($# A# ,

    F#( 0*C& * A##+E

    J# #&3%6*3# A##+4C 0#6*(0 '5 ?YBddd $*&B ', *( *F#,*8# '5 MBddd$*& * 0*CE

    @;# V,0#, @,%88#, c'%(3 %& MdBddd $*&E f@;*3-& ?YBddd $*& 3' $'F#, 3;#

    A##+

  • 8/13/2019 Essentials of Demand Forecasting and Replenishment for Retail and Distribution

    24/29

    2&(3%*4& '5 "#6*(0 7',#$*&3%(8 = 9#:4#(%&;6#(3 > MN

    7', * ,#3*%4#, ', 0%&3,%

  • 8/13/2019 Essentials of Demand Forecasting and Replenishment for Retail and Distribution

    25/29

  • 8/13/2019 Essentials of Demand Forecasting and Replenishment for Retail and Distribution

    26/29

  • 8/13/2019 Essentials of Demand Forecasting and Replenishment for Retail and Distribution

    27/29

    2&(3%*4& '5 "#6*(0 7',#$*&3%(8 = 9#:4#(%&;6#(3 > M`

    J;#( * A#44G

  • 8/13/2019 Essentials of Demand Forecasting and Replenishment for Retail and Distribution

    28/29

    2&(3%*4& '5 "#6*(0 7',#$*&3%(8 = 9#:4#(%&;6#(3 > Ma

    W43;'/8; %(F#(3',C %& /&/*44C 3;# 4*,8#&3 *& '5 *(C ,#3*%4 ',A;'4#&*4# $'6:*(CB 5#A 3': #K#$/3%F#& %( 0%&3,%

  • 8/13/2019 Essentials of Demand Forecasting and Replenishment for Retail and Distribution

    29/29

    2&(3%*4& '5 "#6*(0 7',#$*&3%(8 = 9#:4#(%&;6#(3 > Mh

    ,%8;35/44C &'E R#F#,*8%(8 '/, #K:#,%#($# %( %6:4#6#(3%(8 3;'/&*(0& '5

    &/$$#&&5/4 $'6:*(%#&B '/, %6:4#6#(3*3%'( *::,'*$; *(0 R%5#R%(# *&&/,#

    3;*3 C'/, 5',#$*&3%(8 *(0 ,#:4#(%&;6#(3 :,'5#&&%'(*4& ('3 '(4C ;*F# 3;#

    ,%8;3 3''4& *(0 &/::',3 3' 6*+# $'(&%&3#(34C