Erie County 2040 Long Range

Transportation PlanFinal Report

Adopted By the Erie MPO Coordinating Committee

March 16, 2012

Prepared by the Consultant Team of:

Whitman, Requardt & Associates, LLP

GCCA

Prepared for:

Erie County Department of Planning

The Erie Area Transportation Study Metropolitan Planning Organization (Erie MPO)

Credit/Disclaimer:This report was funded in part through grant(s) from the Federal Highway Administration (and Federal Transit

Administration), US Department of Transportation. The views and opinions of the authors (or agencies expressed herein do not necessarily state or reflect those of the US

Department of Transportation.

AcknowledgementsThe following people and organizations are recognized for their contribution of time and volunteer support through their involvement with the Erie MPO’s Coordinating Committee, Technical Advisory Committee, and Long Range Plan Project Advisory Committee:

Office of Governor Tom CorbettDavid Mitchell

County of ErieBarry Grossman, County ExecutiveJake WelshJohn Morgan

City of ErieJoseph Sinnott, Mayor Brenda SandbergKim GreenRichard WeibelJon TushakEd KissellChuck ScaliseDana BeckJohn ElliotDave DeterRichard GebhardtDaniel Harmon

City of CorryScott Sanford, MayorGerry Dahl

Fairview TownshipPeter Kraus, SupervisorSharon KnollJim Cardman

Harborcreek TownshipTim May, SupervisorJoseph Peck, Supervisor

Lawrence Park TownshipTom Renshaw, CommissionerMark Kiddo, Commissioner

Millcreek TownshipBrian McGrath, SupervisorThomas Hoffman, MPO ChairpersonRichard Morris

Summit TownshipMarlin Coon, SupervisorChristopher Gradler, Supervisor

Wesleyville BoroTerry St. Denny, Council MemberPeter Nye

Erie County Association of BoroughsRichard McGuireCheryl Capela

Erie County Association of Township OfficialsSparky Warner, Supervisor, Wayne TwpMark Corey

Erie Western Pennsylvania Port AuthorityRay SchreckengostAshley Olesen

Erie Metropolitan Transit AuthorityDennis SolenskyRachel Maloney

Erie Regional Airport Authority Christopher RogersRichard Robie

PennDOT Center for Program Development & ManagementLarry ShiffletMichael SchultzKevin McCullough PennDOT Engineering District 1-0William PetitDon HallEmily HansonErin Wiley-Moyers

List of Exhibits ...................................... 4

List of Appendices .................................... 8

Executive Summary..................................... 9

Chapter 1 - Plan Introduction........................ 29

1.1 Overview .............................................................................................................. 311.2 Purpose and Vision ........................................................................................... 351.3 Goals and Objectives ......................................................................................... 371.4 Stakeholders and Roles .................................................................................... 41

Chapter 2 - Transportation Systems, Trends & Issues.. 43

2.1 Key Facts and Statistics .................................................................................... 452.2 Economic Vitality ............................................................................................... 492.3 Multimodal Transportation Safety ................................................................ 552.4 Multimodal Transportation Security ............................................................ 632.5 Multimodal Choices and Connections ........................................................... 672.6 System Sustainability and Livability ............................................................ 992.7 System Efficiency and Preservation ............................................................105

Erie Long Range Transportation Plan Final Report

Erie Long Range Transportation Plan Final Report

Chapter 3 - Blueprint Planning...................... 117

3.1 Overview ............................................................................................................1193.2 Financial Planning ...........................................................................................1213.3 Project Evaluation Criteria ...........................................................................1253.4 Project and Scenario Development .............................................................1313.5 Scenario Analysis .............................................................................................1393.6 Scenario Analysis Summary ..........................................................................171

Chapter 4 - Recommendations and Implementation...... 173

4.1 Preferred Scenario Overview .......................................................................1754.2 Implementation and Funding Schedules ...................................................1814.3 Alternate Future Revenue Scenario / TFAC ..............................................1954.4 Alternate Future Land Use Scenario / Erie Inland Port ........................1974.5 Alternate Future Planning / Aspirations List ...........................................1994.6 Policy-Level Guidance ....................................................................................203

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L I S T O F E X H I B I T SExhibit ES.1 – Erie County 2040 LRTP Preferred Scenario Project Map ........................................................................... 15Exhibit ES.2 – Erie County 2040 LRTP Preferred Scenario Project List ............................................................................ 16Exhibit ES.2 – Erie County 2040 LRTP Preferred Scenario Project List (cont’d) .............................................................. 17Exhibit ES.3 - Erie LRTP Total Projected Funding (Year of Expenditure $000’s) ............................................................. 19Exhibit ES.4 – Project Programming Summary / State Bridge .......................................................................................... 21Exhibit ES.5 – Project Programming Summary / Local Bridge ......................................................................................... 22Exhibit ES.6 – Project Programming Summary / Transit .................................................................................................. 22Exhibit ES.7 – Project Programming Summary / Enhancements ...................................................................................... 23Exhibit ES.8 – Project Programming Summary / Interstate .............................................................................................. 23Exhibit ES.9 – Project Programming Summary / Highway ................................................................................................ 24Exhibit ES.9 – Project Programming Summary / Highway (cont’d) ................................................................................. 25Exhibit ES.10 – Project Programming Summary / Highway-Rail Crossings ..................................................................... 25Exhibit ES.11 – Project Programming Summary / Signals & ITS ..................................................................................... 26Exhibit ES.12 – Project Programming Summary / Airport (Corry-Lawrence) ................................................................. 26Exhibit ES.13 – Project Programming Summary / Airport (Erie International) .............................................................. 27Exhibit ES.13 – Project Programming Summary / Airport (Erie International) (cont’d) ............................................... 28Exhibit 2.1.1 - Worker Residence Summary......................................................................................................................... 45Exhibit 2.1.2 - Means of Transportation to Work ............................................................................................................... 46Exhibit 2.1.3 - Top County Destinations .............................................................................................................................. 46Exhibit 2.1.4 - Top Recreational Destinations..................................................................................................................... 47Exhibit 2.2.1 - Erie County Population Changes from 1950 to 2010 ................................................................................. 50Exhibit 2.2.2 - Municipal Population Projections ............................................................................................................... 51Exhibit 2.2.3 - Erie County Employment Projections .......................................................................................................... 52Exhibit 2.2.4 - Economic Development Needs ..................................................................................................................... 54Exhibit 2.3.1 - Crash Related Injuries (2005-2009) ............................................................................................................ 56Exhibit 2.3.2 - Crash-Related Injuries (2009 Only) ............................................................................................................. 56Exhibit 2.3.3 - 2005-2009 Crash summary By Crash Frequency ........................................................................................ 58Exhibit 2.3.4 - Erie County School Locations ...................................................................................................................... 61Exhibit 2.5.1 - Roadway System Mileage ............................................................................................................................. 68Exhibit 2.5.2 - Roadway Functional Classification ............................................................................................................. 69Exhibit 2.5.3 - Traffic Volume (Countywide) ....................................................................................................................... 72Exhibit 2.5.4 - Traffic Volume (Urban Areas) ...................................................................................................................... 73Exhibit 2.5.5 - 2010 Baseline Level Of Service .................................................................................................................... 74Exhibit 2.5.6 - 2040 No-Build Level Of Service ................................................................................................................... 75Exhibit 2.5.7 - Existing Trail Network ................................................................................................................................. 77Exhibit 2.5.8 - Annual EMTA Ridership (Passengers) ......................................................................................................... 80Exhibit 2.5.9 - Annual Greyhound Ridership (Passengers) ................................................................................................. 82

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L I S T O F E X H I B I T SExhibit 2.5.10 - Statewide Rail Network & Freight Volumes .............................................................................................. 83Exhibit 2.5.11 - Freight Intermodal Network...................................................................................................................... 84Exhibit 2.5.12 - Annual Amtrak Ridership (Total Boardings & Alightings Out of Erie Station) ...................................... 87Exhibit 2.5.13 - 2010 Amtrak Travel To/From Boston Out of Erie Station ....................................................................... 87Exhibit 2.5.14 - 2010 Amtrak Travel To/From New York Out of Erie Station ................................................................... 88Exhibit 2.5.15 - 2010 Amtrak Travel to/From Chicago Out of Erie Station ...................................................................... 88Exhibit 2.5.16 - Annual Trips to/From Erie International Airport (Total Enplanements and Deplanements) .............. 91Exhibit 2.5.17 - Annual Air Traffic At Erie International Airport (Total Operations) ..................................................... 91Exhibit 2.6.1 - Transportation Prioritization from Online Survey ...................................................................................101Exhibit 2.6.2 - Transportation Needs from Online Survey ................................................................................................101Exhibit 2.7.1 – Erie County SD Bridge Summary (based on Bridge Count) ......................................................................107Exhibit 2.7.2 – Erie County SD Bridge Summary (based on Deck Area) ...........................................................................107Exhibit 2.7.3 – Erie County 2010 Pavement Smoothness Targets (% of Miles Tested) ....................................................109Exhibit 2.7.4 – Erie County 2010 Pavement Smoothness Summary ..................................................................................109Exhibit 2.7.5 – Erie County 2010 Pavement Smoothness Summary (% Miles per IRI Rating) ........................................110Exhibit 2.7.6 - Erie County 2010 Pavement Smoothness Summary (% of Miles Tested) .................................................110Exhibit 2.7.7 - Countywide Coordinated Signal Systems ...................................................................................................111Exhibit 2.7.8 - Erie County Traffic Signal Map (Countywide) ...........................................................................................112Exhibit 2.7.9 - Erie County Traffic Signal Map (Urbanized Areas) ...................................................................................113Exhibit 3.2.1 - 2040 Erie MPO LRTP Estimated Funding ($000’s) ................................................................................. 122Exhibit 3.2.2 - Comparison Between Total 2040 Erie LRTP & Total 2030 Erie LRTP Projected Funding ($000’s) .......122Exhibit 3.2.3 - Net Present Value of 2040 Erie LRTP Funding ($000’s) ...........................................................................123Exhibit 3.3.1 - Evaluation Category Weightings for Decision Lens ..................................................................................126Exhibit 3.3.2 – Evaluation Criteria Weightings for Decision Lens ....................................................................................126Exhibit 3.3.3 – Project Evaluation Criteria and Rating Scales .........................................................................................127Exhibit 3.3.3 – Project Evaluation Criteria and Rating Scales (cont’d) ...........................................................................128Exhibit 3.3.3 – Project Evaluation Criteria and Rating Scales (cont’d) ...........................................................................129Exhibit 3.4.1 - Pre-Screened Project Breakdown (300+ Candidates) ...............................................................................132Exhibit 3.4.2 - Candidate Project Rankings (Per Decision Lens) and Scenario Inclusion ...............................................135Exhibit 3.4.2 - Candidate Project Rankings (Per Decision Lens) and Scenario Inclusion (cont’d) .................................136Exhibit 3.4.2 - Candidate Project Rankings (Per Decision Lens) and Scenario Inclusion (cont’d) .................................137Exhibit 3.4.2 - Candidate Project Rankings (Per Decision Lens) and Scenario Inclusion (cont’d) .................................138Exhibit 3.5.1 – Overall Network Vehicle Hours of Delay ...................................................................................................139Exhibit 3.5.2 – 2040 Automobile and Truck User Benefits ................................................................................................139Exhibit 3.5.3 – Representative Benchmark Locations for Various System Wide Performance Measures.......................140Exhibit 3.5.4 – 2010 Baseline Truck Travel Time Contour I-79 @ US 6N ........................................................................141Exhibit 3.5.5 – 2040 No-Build Truck Travel Time Contour I-79 @ US 6N ........................................................................142

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L I S T O F E X H I B I T SExhibit 3.5.6 – 2040 Scenario 1 Truck Travel Time Contour I-79 @ US 6N .....................................................................143Exhibit 3.5.7 – 2040 Scenario 2 Truck Travel Time Contour I-79 @ US 6N .....................................................................144Exhibit 3.5.8 – 2040 Scenario 3 Truck Travel Time Contour I-79 @ US 6N .....................................................................145Exhibit 3.5.9 – 2010 Baseline Truck Travel Time Contour I-90 @ US 6N ........................................................................146Exhibit 3.5.10 – 2040 No-Build Truck Travel Time Contour I-90 @ US 6N ......................................................................147Exhibit 3.5.11 – 2040 Scenario 1 Truck Travel Time Contour I-90 @ US 6N ...................................................................148Exhibit 3.5.12 – 2040 Scenario 2 Truck Travel Time Contour I-90 @ US 6N ...................................................................149Exhibit 3.5.13 – 2040 Scenario 3 Truck Travel Time Contour I-90 @ US 6N ...................................................................150Exhibit 3.5.14 – 2010 Baseline Truck Travel Time Contour I-90 @ I-86 ..........................................................................151Exhibit 3.5.15 – 2040 No-Build Truck Travel Time Contour I-90 @ I-86 .........................................................................152Exhibit 3.5.16 – 2040 Scenario 1 Truck Travel Time Contour I-90 @ I-86 ......................................................................153Exhibit 3.5.17 – 2040 Scenario 2 Truck Travel Time Contour I-90 @ US I-86 .................................................................154Exhibit 3.5.18 – 2040 Scenario 3 Truck Travel Time Contour I-90 @ I-86 ......................................................................155Exhibit 3.5.19 – Daily Transit Ridership ............................................................................................................................156Exhibit 3.5.20 – Total Population within 20 Minutes of Regional Attraction ..................................................................156Exhibit 3.5.21 – Total Population within 20 Minutes of Waterfront Access ....................................................................157Exhibit 3.5.22 – Number of Jobs within 20 Minutes of Environmental Justice Locations ...............................................157Exhibit 3.5.23 – Network Vehicle Miles Traveled at LOS D, E, F (Percent) .......................................................................158Exhibit 3.5.24 – Network Vehicle Hours Traveled at LOS D, E, F (Percent) .....................................................................158Exhibit 3.5.25 – 2010 Baseline Level of Service .................................................................................................................159Exhibit 3.5.26 – 2040 No-Build Level of Service ................................................................................................................160Exhibit 3.5.27 – 2010 Scenario 1 Level of Service .............................................................................................................161Exhibit 3.5.28 – 2040 Scenario 2 Level of Service .............................................................................................................162Exhibit 3.5.29 – 2010 Scenario 3 Level of Service .............................................................................................................163Exhibit 3.5.30 – Network Intersections Operating at LOS D-F .........................................................................................164Exhibit 3.5.31 – Overall Network Vehicle Hours of Delay (Hours per Year) ....................................................................165Exhibit 3.5.32 – Percentage of Erie County Population by Travel Time to Downtown Erie ...........................................165Exhibit 3.5.33 – 2010 Baseline Auto Travel Time Contour Bayfront Area .......................................................................166Exhibit 3.5.34 – 2040 No-Build Auto Travel Time Contour Bayfront Area ......................................................................167Exhibit 3.5.35 – 2040 Scenario 1 Auto Travel Time Contour Bayfront Area ...................................................................168Exhibit 3.5.36 – 2040 Scenario 2 Auto Travel Time Contour Bayfront Area ...................................................................169Exhibit 3.5.37 – 2040 Scenario 3 Auto Travel Time Contour Bayfront Area ...................................................................170Exhibit 3.6.1 - Overall Summary of Scenario-Specific Project Variations ........................................................................171Exhibit 3.6.2 - Overall Summary of Scenario-Specific Advantages by Evaluation Category...........................................172Exhibit 4.1.1 – Erie County 2040 LRTP Preferred Scenario Project Map .........................................................................176Exhibit 4.1.2 – Erie County 2040 LRTP Preferred Scenario Project List ..........................................................................177Exhibit 4.1.2 – Erie County 2040 LRTP Preferred Scenario Project List (cont’d) ............................................................178

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Exhibit 4.1.3 – Delay and Level of Service Benefits of the Preferred Scenario ................................................................180Exhibit 4.2.1 - Erie LRTP Total Projected Funding (Year of Expenditure $000’s) ...........................................................181Exhibit 4.2.2 – Initial Candidates for Operational Improvement Line Item ....................................................................183Exhibit 4.2.3 – Initial Candidates for Erie County Traffic Signal Program .....................................................................184Exhibit 4.2.4 – Initial Candidates for Future Transportation-Related Studies ................................................................185Exhibit 4.2.5 – Project Programming Summary / State Bridge ........................................................................................186Exhibit 4.2.6 – Project Programming Summary / Local Bridge .......................................................................................187Exhibit 4.2.7 – Project Programming Summary / Transit ................................................................................................187Exhibit 4.2.8 – Project Programming Summary / Enhancements ....................................................................................188Exhibit 4.2.9 – Project Programming Summary / Interstate ............................................................................................188Exhibit 4.2.10 – Project Programming Summary / Highway ............................................................................................189Exhibit 4.2.10 – Project Programming Summary / Highway (cont’d) .............................................................................190Exhibit 4.2.11 – Project Programming Summary / Highway-Rail Crossings ...................................................................190Exhibit 4.2.12 – Project Programming Summary / Signals & ITS ...................................................................................191Exhibit 4.2.13 – Project Programming Summary / Airport (Corry-Lawrence) ...............................................................191Exhibit 4.2.14 – Project Programming Summary / Airport (Erie International) ............................................................192Exhibit 4.2.14 – Project Programming Summary / Airport (Erie International) (cont’d) .............................................193Exhibit 4.3.1 - Erie LRTP Total Projected Funding with TFAC Estimate (Year of Expenditure $000’s) .........................196Exhibit 4.5.1 – Erie County 2040 LRTP Project Aspirations Map .....................................................................................200Exhibit 4.5.2 – Erie County 2040 LRTP Project Aspirations List ......................................................................................201Exhibit 4.5.2 – Erie County 2040 LRTP Project Aspirations List (cont’d) ........................................................................202

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List of Appendices

NOTE: All appendices have been included in electronic PDF-format only, located on an enclosed CD at the back of this report.

A. 2040 Erie LRTP Plan References / Supporting DocumentsB. Erie MPO 2011 Local Bridge Eligibility ListC. Erie MPO 2011 Local Federal Aid Route Eligibility ListD. Transportation Improvement ProgramE. Public Involvement

L I S T O F A P P E N D I C E S