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SRN 1021950
Submission deadline 260811
Project Title Equity Valuation Project of Sinclair IS Pharma
CFA PROJECT
2
Illustrating recent stock price performance over a one year period
Sinclair IS Pharma an international pharmaceutical company recently created though a
merger of IS Pharma and Sinclair Pharma The corporate headquarter are currently in
London UK and its operational headquarters are in Paris France By merging the two which were currently rivals a fully integrated pan
European specialist pharmaceutical company has been emerged The initial announcement of the merger took place in February i
strong buy
Contact Info
Address 1st Floor Whitfield Court
30-32 Whitfield Street
London W1T 2RQ
United Kingdom
Website httpwwwsinclairispharmacom
Tel +44 20 7467 6920
Fax +44 20 7467 6930
Stock price 08122011 23p
Recent stock performance
1 week -34
4 weeks -175
13 weeks -198
52 weeks -331
Analaysts
Consenus
Buy now
(08122011)
at 23 p
3
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
pound M
illio
ns
Yearly Sales IS Pharma Sinclair
iiSinclair IS Pharma is an international pharmaceutical company a merger created from the two companies IS Pharma and
Sinclair Pharma The corporate headquarter are currently in London UK and its operational headquarters are in Paris France By merging the two which were currently rivals a fully integrated pan European specialist pharmaceutical company has been emerged The initial announcement of the merger took place in February 2011 The Company provides solutions to treat
wounds dermatological and oral diseases through surface technology and delivery systems The Company operates in two segments International Operations and Country Operations Its areas in dermatology cover fungal infections acne atopic dermatitis and family dermatology Its areas in wound care covers skin disinfection radiation dermatitis treatment and wounds and burns healing Its areas in oral care cover gingivitis periodontitis mouth ulcers and teething
Main Products include iii
Objectives met by Sinclair include reducing overheads by 15 million compared to 2009 they have developed many new programmes including
Terbinafine spray Kelo-cote line extensions and Flammacerium They have recently secured their French reimbursement for
Atopiclair and its Decapinol deal in US
They currently have 3 new drugs developed 6 medical devices 3 cosmetics and an ongoing upgrade of dossiers and line extensions In addition have been able to acquire further products such as Terbinafine an a thletersquos foot spray which are
targeting specialists Partnerships include a licensed Decapinal deal in the US to Sunstar a deal with Invida for South Eas t Asia and they are aiming for more deals in other regions
Sales Analysis
Sinclair IS Pharma reported sales of pound3290 for the fiscal
year ending June 2011 Representing an increase of 191
versus 2010 when the companyrsquos sales were pound2763 million
($511324)
Appendix a
Competitor analysis- Appendix b
Sinclair IS Pharma operate in the Pharmaceutical preparations sector the analysis compares Sinclair IS Pharma to three other
companies which operate in the pharmaceutical sector in the UK They have 101 employees and sales of pound3290 million which
is much higher than its three comparable companies which sales in US dollars are between $174882 and $295202 per
employee
4
Company Year
Ended
Sales
(poundmillions)
Sales
Growth
SalesEmp
(US )
Largest
Region
Sinclair IS
Pharma Plc
Jun
2011
32897 191 511324 Western
Europe
Allergy
Therapeutics
Plc
Jun
2011
41552 20 174882 Central
Europe
(775)
Eco Animal
Health
Group Plc
Mar
2011
27078 244 295202 China
Japan and
the Indian
subcontinent
(369)
Europe
(631)
Vectura
Group Plc
Mar
2011
42900 79 263074 United
Kingdom
(100)
Appendix C
Stock Performance
In past years the stock has underperformed The fiscal year 2004 the stock traded 15750p at its highest versus 2300p on
81211 The 52 weeks ending 081211 the company was down 331 to 2300p During the past 13 weeks the stock has fallen by 198 and the past 52 weeks has performed far worse than its comparable companies which saw changes between -
126 and 135 During the past 13 weeks the stock has fallen 198 During the past 52 weeks the stock of
Sinclair IS Pharma PLC has performed significantly worse than the three comparable companies which saw
changes between 126 and 135 During the 12 months ending 6302011 the company has experienced
losses totalling 500 p per share Note that the earnings number includes or excludes extraordinary charge or
credit This company is currently trading at 246 times the sales The three companies vary greatly in terms of
price to sales ratio trading from 079 times all the way up to 469 times their annual sales Sinclair IS Pharma
PLC is trading at 065 times book value Since the price to book ratio is less than 1 this means that
theoretically the net value of the assets is greater than the value of a company as a going concern At the end
of 2011 this companys intangible assets were quite sizable at pound12361 million while the total common equity
stood at pound12391 million If these intangible assets were to be excluded the companys price to book ratio
would be significantly higher The companys price to book ratio is lower than that of all three comparable
companies which are trading between 141 and 1526 times book value Summary of company valuations as of (08112012)
Company PE PriceBook PriceSales 52 week price
change
Sinclair IS
Pharma Plc
na 065 246 -331
Allergy
Therapeutics Plc
na 1526 079 1351
Eco Animal
Health Group Plc
708 203 419 457
Vectura Group
Plc
na 141 469 -1259
Dividend Analysis ndash Appendix d
The company has reported not paying dividends in the last 12 months and has reported losses during the previous 12 months it
has not been able to pay any dividend during the previous 6 fiscal years
5
Profitability Analysis- Appendix e
The company has sales of pound329 million in 2011 and the cost of goods sold equate to pound1377 million -418 of sales so gross
profit 528 of sales The gross profit margin is lower than that achieved in 2010 when cost of goods sold totalled 366 of
sales The profit margin was the lowest in 2011 than the previous five years 2009 held a high of 697 The companies
EBITDA WAS $-521 million which equates to -158 sales The EBITDA margin worsened in 2011 As it was -18 of sales in
2010 The three comparable companies have positive EBITDA margins whilst IS Pharma Sinclair had a negative margin for
2011 their earnings before extraordinary items were -pound1167 million or -355 of sales This profit margin is an improvement
for the company which was achieved in 2010 when profit margin was-638 of sales N For the past three years the company
has reported losses for before extraordinary items It was 2009 the company reported profits from ordinary operations which
was pound334 million In 2011 the return on equity was -176 which is significantly better than its return in 2010 of -262
showing new changes involved in the structure of the company could be a positive sign
Profitability Comparison
Company Year Gross Profit
Margin
EBITDA
Margin
Earns before
extraordinary
items
Sinclair IS
Pharma
2011 582 -158 -355
Sinclair IS
Pharma
2010 634 -18 -638
Eco Health
Group Plc
2011 396 208 59
Vectura Group
Plc
2011 967 28 -205
Allergy
Therapeutics
Plc
2011 723 39 -64
Financial Position- Appendix f ampg
The companyrsquos long term debt was pound715 million in June2011 and liabilities were pound3722 million The long term debt to equity
ratio was very low 006 suggesting Sinclair IS Pharma is not efficient in collecting payments Accounts receivable was pound1397
million equivalent to 155 days of sales This is higher than at the end of 2010 when it was 119 days of sales in accounts
receivable The 155 days of accounts receivable is higher than its three comparable companies for the year of 2011
Research and Development
Expenses were pound718000 equivalent to 225 of sales R amp D increased both as a percentage of sales in 2010 in which pound533 00
was spent 19 of sales R amp D of comparable companies were fairly dispersed with IS Pharma Sinclair in the middle
Inventory Analysis
June 2011 the inventory was pound959 million and cost of goods sold was pound1377 million for the year with a turnover of inventory of
14 times per year which is an increase to the previous year The 14 times turnover is higher than its comparable companies
with IS Pharma Sinclair increasing its inventory turnover consecutively for four years
Financial Position
Company Year LT DEBT
EQUITY
DAYS
ACCOUNTS REC
DAYS
INVENTORY
R amp D SALES
Sinclair IS
Pharma
2011 006 155 254 22
Eco Health Group 2011 578 50 224 40
6
Plc
Vectura Group Plc 2011 0 133 107 01
Allergy
Therapeutics Plc
2011 0 48 52 821
Industry Analysis
Pharmaceutical Industry Competition and market dynamic Health Care Sector overview Appendix h
Stocks show a trend of being less responsive to economic change when comparing to those within the general market
Health inflation is on average higher than the inflation rate
The stock value affected by declining health care related industries and higher rates of unemployment
Strong and expanding sector but is dependent on provisions and management of health care related services
Diverse range of operations eg medical equipment insurance and pharmaceutical companies
Competitive industry but quite stable for investors
The pharmaceutical industry can be traced back to the fourteenth century but more focus on it has been since the 1950rsquos As
the growing population ages there is a growing rise in consumer expectations in this area and pharmaceutical companies are
continuing to create unmet medical needs specifically in developing worlds The main funding behind the pharmaceutical
industry is R amp D investment to create novel drugs Health care costs are currently increasing faster than GDP so therefore it is
unsustainable in healthcares systems in both public and private companies creating barriers to entry being erected There is
growing pressure on pricing and reimbursement and customers increasingly want value for money Also R amp D costs are
increasing more than inflation and the number of new drugs entering the market has fallen The drugs are categorized in two
forms high priced niche specialist drugs lsquoblockbustersrsquo and rans
The pharmaceutical industry relies on a set period of patent protection which provides a monopoly on the profits as a reward for
heavily costs of R amp D This period for which the costs are regained has been shortened by the longer time to market due to the
increased regulations and barriers to market entry based around price and reimbursement
The health industry is a multimillion dollar industry and is known to have a safe nature generic when the economy is down
Pharmaceutical companies always are needed as they are a necessity to people They operate from small to large
experimental companies and manufacture create and market licensed drugs for use as medications The sector is subject to a
variety of laws and regulations in regards to patenting testing and ensuring the safety and efficiency when making and
marketing the drugs
Market IS Pharma Sinclair Operates iniv v
PEST ANALYSIS
7
In terms of political awareness the pharmaceutical industry has increasing awareness due to recognition of the implications of
healthcare as a component of social welfare therefore this will increase the social and financial burden of health care for
example the NHS debate in the UK and Medicare in the US
In 2003 the pharmaceutical industry experienced high mergers and acquisitions Their stock value grew by 105 and health
care grew by 125 from 2003 to 2010 The audit value of the industry was recorded at 500 billion dollars and by 2004 Only
information technology has a higher growth rate at 126 The major countries operating pharmaceutical industries are the US
EU and Japan The Market spreads over nine major geographic markets which account for 80 of the sale (US Japan
France Germany UK Italy Canada Brazil and Spain) The US is the fastest growing country since 1995 and accounts for
60 of sales and alone the US grew by 16 in 2000 total the industry to $133 billion dollars making it a key company to the
pharmaceutical market
In terms of the social impact of the pharmaceutical industry health is an important social and personal role in obtaining soc ieties
needs and therefore cannot be underestimated Global epidemics such as the SARS virus and AIDS which has concerned
awareness from the media has resulted in an increased effort to have good government industry society relations
In terms of technologic advance the industry is very competitive and the technological advances and modern application of
science is forcing the players in the industry to adapt quicker than ever in an evolving environment in which they participat e on
The new advances have increased spending on research and development costs for even more advancement
The legal side of the industry is heavily regulated and compliance enforcing as a result heavy regulatory compliance and legal
overheads have to be taken in Which can be said to restrict the vitality of the environment but the government is now
requesting industry applications non regulatory overheads so that there is no discouragement in the challenges from external
markets
Swot analysis
Strengths
Internal industry components provide value quality and service
Low operating overhead Firm fiscal management low staff turnover
and high ROI
Weaknesses
High risk business modelling
Disengaged board of directors
Dated medical equipment and poor branding Poor staff moral
Diseconomies of scale
Opportunities
Recent published research Increase health conscious consumer
Increased demand for product
Change in food and drug administration standards
Decreased employee health care costs
Threats
Increased government regulation Decreased economy
Increase in r amp d costs
Decrease in global population
Low- patents
at first
Medium- after
patents expire
LOW LOW
High ndash advantage
gained by the first
mover
High R amp D
costs and
patents for
market are
limited
Porters five Forces
Pharmaceutical Sector in Europe
8
Pharmaceuticals in Europe
lsquoMarket entry of generic drugs is delayed and there is a decl ine in the number of novel medicines reaching the market
according to the European Commissions final report on competition in the pharmaceutical sector lsquovi
The pharmaceutical sector is vital to the health of Europes citizens and medicines are a major expense Europe spends euro214
billion per year - in retail prices ndash on pharmaceuticals this is 2 of our GDP This means around euro430 per year for every man
woman and child Europes ageing population will only increase the financial constraints on public health budgets At the same
time many patents for the best selling medicines are due to expire in the next few years So forecasting to the future for this
sector it looks to grow
Price differences of pharmaceuticals across the EU are linked to two main factors
differences in expenditure on health (associated with GDP)
differences in pricing policy and regulation
Reasons for growth in the pharmaceutical market
Porter (1990) states that political and economic changes can lead to increased demand conditions for products Demand conditions are one important component of Porterrsquos Diamond This work has been seen as an important addition to the political social technological and economic factors (PEST) which have often been used to scan the changes taking place in the
business environment Porter (1990) also showed that factor conditions are also important in explaining international product ion Factor conditions in
the US are such that there is a skilled labour supply of researchers in this industry the same is true of the UK Due to the value of the pound it has become more expensive to do business in the UK and so firms like GSK are star ting to do more research in the US and Asia
In terms of other factor conditions China and India have an abundant supply of low cost labour India has become a large world supplier of generics and is also trying to move up the value chain by purchasing European and US firms Porterrsquos approach to analysing the global environment also includes related supporting industries which are left out by tradi tional
PEST analysis This includes infrastructure available in the industry of a particular country Governments have increasingly focused on encouraging clusters and science and technology parks offering shared facilities and experience as well as government support UK examples in the pharmaceutical industry include Oxford and Cambridge where various industr ial links
and universities are widely available With regards to the pharmaceutical industry there has been an emergence of new players in the generic sector particularly
from India and Chinav ii
Upgraded to Overweight European Pharmaceuticals
Indicators are rolling over making EU Pharma to overweight consistent with the positive fundamental view on the
sector Lead indicators in major Western markets are rolling over and the pharmaceutical sector has been one of the most negatively correlated to lead indicators The weighting change is further supported by attractive valuation signs of stabilisation in earnings momentum and pharmrsquos position as the biggest underweight for long-only investors
Valuation prices worse than worst case gt80 upside possible European pharma trades near its lowest levels over 20 years on relative 1 year forward PE vs msci Europe The last time pharma traded at similar levels was 1993-1994 the sector outperformed the market by 130 in the years that followed With
valuation implying -12 CARG for unlevered FCFrsquos from 2013 to 2020 we see the possibility of gt8- upside should our view of gt35 CARG materialise
Looking ahead European pharma companies by a large margin are the leaders in emerging markets business diversification and other factors that limit the impact of the industry generics cliff With a number of price effects from US reforms and EU austerity annualising
later this year we expect improved earnings momentum
Prefer EU over us PHARMA
The divergence between developed and emerging markets growth is increasingly apparent favouring EU pharma companies due to their lower US exposures higher EM exposures and better business diversification
Risks for the European pharma sector include 1 the inability to increase or restore R amp D productivity 2 pressures on pricing government reforms
9
3 worse than expected margins as key blockbuster products (eg Plavix Seroquel) generalize during the generics cliff
4 pressures on cash flows from the payment of long term standing legal issues 5 and loss of important growth contributions from emerging marketsviii
WACC- Appendix j
WACC Calculation
Target Capital Structure (1)
Debt to Total Capitalization 309
Equity to Total Capitalization 691
Debt to Equity Ratio 453
Cost of Equity
Risk-free rate (2) 40
Market risk Premium (3) 50
Levered Beta (4) 103
Size Premium (5) 17
Cost of Equity 108
Cost of Debt Cost of Debt 70
Taxes 210
After Tax Cost of Debt 55
WACC 92
Given a weighted average cost of capital of 92 as the minimum rate of return at which IS Pharma Sinclair will produce value
for investors
References
All financial data extracted from IS Parma Sinclair Annual Report 2011 2010 and 2009
Comparable data extracted from yahoocomfinance
i What the merger has brought
This merger illustrates two areas of expertise join together to create a company which is a fully integrate pan European
speciality pharmaceutical which should create a synergy to all its shareholders as opportunities such as cross selling can be
made by combing the two companies portfolios and creating an in house development capability on leveraging the existing
portfolio as well as new developments They also can access prospects in emerging markets which would increase its growth
through existing and new regional strategic partnerships To investors the company will be attractive as it represents
commercialisation of partner for out licensors of European network and has already established routes in emerging markets
Now Sinclair IS Pharma operates as a fully integrated specialty Pharma company with enlarged specialty product portfolio with broader reach and is creating substantial Pharma business They operate as a strong European business and have emerging market partnerships and opportunities with a strong partner of
choice for product distribution The future looks strong for future growth and they have capability to self-fund future development with a reduced risk with enhanced growth profile
10
IS Pharma Sinclair growth strategy is to focus on core products have key product launches and drive their efficiencies They try
to sweat their enlarged portfolio to drive growth and be able to grow a brand led business through its acquisition and
development
iiiMain products Atopicliar - used to the treatment of eczemaatopic dermatitis Decapinol - used in the treatment of gingivitisgum disease Aloclair - used in the treatment of mouth ulcers s
Xclair - used in the treatment of radiation dermatitis Effadiane - for the relief of skin dryness through environmental factors Salinum - for the relief of dry mouth condition caused by a deficiency in saliva production
Papulex - used to treat inflammatory blemishes SPHR980 - used to treat head lice
iv IS Pharma Sinclair webpage presentation lsquo2011 reviewrsquo
v Source httpwwwequitymastercomresearch-itsector-infopharma vi httpwwweubusinesscomtopicspharmasector -inquiry-guide
vii httpwwwims-productivitycomusercustomjournal2008SpringIMSspr08pg14_18pdf
viii UBS Investment Research
Appendices
Appendix a ndash Sales Analysis
Year Sales Growth Cost of Goods sold of sales EBITDA OF SALES EBI OF SALES Employee
Sales per employeed
After tax income per employee
2003 9079000 na 2646000 2914 1641000 0180746778 440000 004846349 29 3130689655 1517241379
2004 2655000 -7076 1520000 5725 -1648000 -0620715631 -2754000 -10372881 25 106200 -110160
2005 6971000 16256 2380000 3414 -1412000 -0202553436 -2669000 -03828719 38 1834473684 -7023684211
2006 11623000 6673 4112000 3538 -2233000 -0192119074 -2836000 -0243999 71 1637042254 -3994366197
2007 23178000 9941 7645000 3298 -2434000 -0105013375 -4208000 -01815515 142 1632253521 -2963380282
2008 30278000 3063 10258000 3388 3996000 0131977013 3337000 011021204 154 1966103896 2166883117
2009 30408000 043 9211000 3029 -825000 -0027131018 -3621000 -01190805 125 243264 -28968
2010 27628000 -914 10100000 3656 -14227000 -0514948603 -17628000 -06380484 97 2848247423 -1817319588
2011 32897000 1907 13765000 4184 -7667000 -0233060765 -1166000 -0035444 101 3257128713 -1154455446
Appendix b - Comparables Comparable Companies Unlevered Beta
Company
Levered Beta (1)
Market Value of Debt (2)
Market Value of Equity (3) Debt Equity
Equity Total Assets
Marginal Tax Rate
SINCLAIR IS PHARMA 052 500 1125 0444444444 0692307692 03
ALLERGY THERAPEUTICS PLC 131 400 868 0460829493 0684542587 03
ECO ANIMAL HEALTH 115 450 7875 0571428571 0636363636 03
VECTURA GROUP 112 375 1125 0333333333 075 03
Median 1135
0452636969 068842514
Mean 1025
0452508961 0690803479
11
(1) From Bloomberg
(2) Book Value of Debt
(3) From Bloomberg (4) Unlevered Beta = Predicted Levered Beta (1 +
DebtEquity) x (1-t))
Relevered Beta
Mean Unlevered Beta
Mean Target Debt Equity
Target Marginal Tax Rate Relevered Beta
Target Company
0779158663 0452508961 03 1025962057
Appendix C ndash Price Analysis year Quarter High Price Low Price Closing Price Quarterly Change 12 months change
2003 Oct - Dec 1435 1205 138 NA NA
2004 Jan - March 1575 138 1445 471 NA
Apr - June 1565 138 14 -311 NA
July - Sep 1175 1015 1 -2857 NA
Oct - Dec 1255 0925 123 2300 -1090
2005 Jan - March 1405 1185 1238 065 -1440
Apr - June 1325 114 132 662 -570
July - Sep 1375 109 1165 -1174 1650
Oct - Dec 1385 114 123 558 000
2006 Jan - March 142 1255 126 244 180
Apr - June 1265 101 1194 -524 -950
July - Sep 1235 097 097 -1876 -1670
Oct - Dec 1195 0995 1087 1206 -1160
2007 Jan - March 1295 103 125 1500 -080
Apr - June 151 116 1215 -280 180
July - Sep 127 0745 085 -3004 -1240
Oct - Dec 086 0635 0705 -1706 -3510
2008 Jan - March 069 032 0363 -4851 -7100
Apr - June 0435 0358 0363 000 -7020
July - Sep 071 0308 0423 1653 -5030
Oct - Dec 045 016 018 -5745 -7450
2009 Jan - March 033 013 0268 4889 -2620
Apr - June 0335 023 025 -672 -3100
July - Sep 0475 0233 044 7600 410
Oct - Dec 047 0315 034 -2273 8890
2010 Jan - March 0354 029 0305 -1029 1400
Apr - June 0325 0241 0265 -1311 600
July - Sep 0297 0245 0275 377 -3750
Oct - Dec 0428 0265 0405 4727 1910
2011 Jan - March 0425 0335 0363 -1037 1890
Apr - June 038 0283 0284 -2176 710
July - Sep 032 0225 0249 -1232 -950
08122011
0213 -1980 -3310
12
Appendix d ndashEarns and Dividend Analysis
EARNINGS AND DIVIDENDS ANALYSIS FundamentalsEarnings amp Dividends Analysis Sinclair IS Pharma PLC
Per Share Pounds SterlingFiscal Year Ends in June
Earnings Per Share Dividends Per Share
12 Months Quarterly Reported Earnings 12 Months Quarterly Reported Dividends
Fiscal Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Years Earnings Change Sep Dec Mar Jun Dividends Change Sep Dec Mar Jun Payout
2003G H 004 nc na na na na 000 nc na na na 000 00
2004DG F 007 nc na na na na 000 nc na na na 000 00
2005D F 005 nc na 004 na 001 000 nc na na na 000 00
2006BD F 005 nc na 003 na 002 000 nc na na na 000 00
2007 AF 005 nc na 003 na 002 000 nc na na na 000 00
2008 AF 004 nc na 001 na 005 000 nc na na na 000 00
2009 F 004 nc na 004 na 008 000 nc na na na 000 00
2010E ACF 014 nc na 013 na 001 000 nc na na na 000 00
2011D ACF 005 nc na 002 na 003 000 nc na na na 000 00
Appendix e - Profitability Analysis
Operating Income Margin
-133 -05 -28 -106 -261
Pretax Income Margin
-664 -133 52 -172 -237
EBIT Margin
-631 -112 64 -166 -232
Net Income Margin
-638 -119 11 -182 -244
Return on Equity - Total
-264 -54 54 -7 -65
Return on Invested Capital
-21 -4 56 -66 -62
Return on Assets
-186 -35 48 -58 -54
Asset Turnover
03 04 04 03 02
Financial Leverage
26 124 109 22 18
Interest Expense on Debt
933000 636000 367000 129000 54000
Effective Tax Rate
Cash Flow Sales
-19 -109 -19 -106 -198
Selling General amp
Administrative Expenses of
652 617 621 715 867
Sales
ResearchExpense amp Development
19 13 28 23 17
OperatingTotal CapitalIncome Return On
-42 21 192 -61 1591
13
Appendix F ndash Balance Sheet data ndash from SPH annual report 2009 -2011
Financial Statement AnalysesBalance Sheet - Five-Year Averages Balance Sheet - (5 Year Averages)
Figures in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007
Assets Total Assets 814 685 567 44
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 22 28 43 42
Cash 22 28 43 42
Short Term Investments 0 0 0 0
Receivables (Net) 94 85 72 51
Inventories -Total 33 25 18 11
Raw Materials 1 07 04 03
Work in Process 01 01 01 0
Finished Goods 23 18 13 09
OtherProgress Payments amp 0 0 0 0
Prepaid Expenses Other Current Assets 09 08 06 04
Current Assets - Total 159 146 139 108
Long Term Receivables 02 02 02 02
InvestmentCompaniesin Associated 0 0 0 0
Other Investments 0 0 0 0
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment 27 22 17 12
Accumulated Depreciation 1 07 05 03
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and 17 15 12 08
Other Assets 636 522 414 322
Deferred Charges 0 0 0 0
Tangible Other Assets 06 05 04 04
Intangible Other Assets 63 517 409 318
Total Assets 814 685 567 44
Liabilities amp Shareholders Equity Total Liabilities amp 814 685 567 44
Shareholders Equity Accounts Payable 54 47 38 28
Short Term Debt amp Current 46 17 1 05
Portion of Long Term Debt Accrued Payroll Income Taxes Payable 01 01 01 02
Dividends Payable Other Current Liabilities 43 36 26 19
Current Liabilities - Total 144 101 75 54
Long Term Debt 25 2 11 02
Long Term Debt Excluding 24 19 1 02
Capitalized Leases
14
Capitalized Lease 01 01 01 01
Obligations Provision for Risks and Charges Deferred Income Deferred Taxes -09 -05 -02 -01
Deferred Taxes - Credit Deferred Taxes - Debit Deferred Tax Liability in Untaxed Reserves Other Liabilities 08 07 07 07
Total Liabilities 172 128 93 67
Non-Equity Reserves 0 0 0 0
Minority Interest 0 0 0 0
Preferred Stock 0 0 0 0
Preferred Stock Issued for ESOP ESOP Guarantees - Preferred Issued Common Equity 642 558 473 373
TotalShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 814 685 567 44
Balance Sheet yr to yr change Financial Statement AnalysesBalance Sheet - Year - Year Change
Ba lance Sheet - (Year to Year Percent Change) Figures are the Percent Changes from the Prior Year Fi scal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Assets Tota l Assets 84 1 232 -38 1476
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 22534 -916 -623 -446 26
Cash 22534 -916 -623 -446 26
Short Term Investments Receivables (Net) 24 -403 1096 -62 636
Inventories -Total 254 126 563 -171 3341
Raw Materials 311 209 668 -167 29727
Work in Process -4 -734 4697 -411 Finished Goods 235 164 438 -165 2242
Progress Payments amp Other Prepaid Expenses Other Current Assets -16 -222 655 376 802
Current Assets - Total 23 -331 603 -187 51
Long Term Receivables
-100 Investment in Associated
Companies Other Investments -100
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment -04 87 109 251 1906
Accumulated Depreciation 227 443 783 19 515
15
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and -198 -101 -75 268 2964
Other Assets 64 121 181 -24 1992
Deferred Charges
Tangible Other Assets 6135 -719 3064 -958 Intangible Other Assets 57 125 177 08 1891
Tota l Assets 84 1 232 -38 1476
Liabilities amp Shareholders Equity
Tota l Liabilities amp 84 1 232 -38 1476
Shareholders Equity
Accounts Payable 109 -148 221 426 49
Short Term Debt amp Current 2944 201 4481 -297 679
Portion of Long Term Debt Accrued Payroll
Income Taxes Payable -957 895 303 -81 19471
Dividends Payable
Other Current Liabilities -00 -56 1529 -68 321
Current Liabilities - Total 769 -37 884 121 51
Long Term Debt -445 112 4839 1403 686
Long Term Debt Excluding -442 129 6933 177 356
Capitalized Leases Capitalized Lease -717 -492 -416 804 180
Obl igations Provis ion for Risks and -714
Charges Deferred Income -896 -216 -566
Deferred Taxes
Deferred Taxes - Credit Deferred Taxes - Debit 537 842 945
Deferred Tax Liability in Untaxed Reserves
Other Liabilities 109
-100 -27 Tota l Liabilities 432 -1 739 165 891
Non-Equity Reserves Minori ty Interest -100
91 120
Preferred Stock Preferred Stock Issued for
ESOP ESOP Guarantees -
Preferred Issued Common Equity -15 16 136 -68 1597
Tota lShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 84 1 232 -38 1476
SPH Balcnce sheet total asset
Figures are expressed as Percent of Total Assets
Total Assets are in millions of Pounds Sterling
Fiscal Year 20100 20090 20080 20070 20060
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Assets
16
Total Assets 936 864 855 694 722
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 2200 01 1200 4000 7000
Cash 2200 01 1200 4000 7000
Short Term Investments 00 00 00 00 00
Receivables (Net) 96 102 173 101 104
Inventories -Total 5100 4400 4000 3100 3600
Raw Materials 16 13 11 08 09
Work in Process 01 01 02 00 01
Finished Goods 3500 3000 2600 2300 26
OtherProgress Payments amp 00 00 00 00 00
Prepaid Expenses
Other Current Assets 11 12 15 11 08
Current Assets - Total 18 159 239 184 218
Long Term Receivables 00 00 00 1700 00
InvestmentCompaniesin Associated 00 00 00 00 00
Other Investments 00 02 00 00 00
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment 3200 3500 3300 3600 2800
Accumulated Depreciation 18 16 11 08 06
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and 14 19 21 28 2200
Other Assets 80600 82000 73900 77100 76100
Deferred Charges 00 00 00 00 00
Tangible Other Assets 07 01 04 01 26 Intangible Other Assets 799 819 736 77 735
Total Assets 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000
Liabilities amp Shareholders
Equity
Total Liabilities amp 93600 86400 85500 694 72200
Shareholders Equity
Accounts Payable 65 63 75 76 51
Short Term Debt amp Current 157 43 36 08 11
Portion of Long Term Debt
Accrued Payroll
Income Taxes Payable 00 02 01 01 05
Dividends Payable
Other Current Liabilities 5900 6400 6800 33 34
Current Liabilities - Total 281 172 18 118 101
Long Term Debt 27 53 48 1 04
Long Term Debt Excluding 27 53 47 07 03
Capitalized Leases
Capitalized Lease 00 01 01 03 02
Obligations
Provision for Risks and 01 04 02
Charges
Deferred Income 00 03 04 12
Deferred Taxes -21 -15 -08 -05 00
Deferred Taxes - Credit
Deferred Taxes - Debit 21 15 08 05
Deferred Tax Liability in
Untaxed Reserves Other Liabilities 03 03 00 24 24
Total Liabilities 291 22 225 159 131
Non-Equity Reserves 00 00 00 00 00
Minority Interest 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock Issued for ESOP ESOP Guarantees - Preferred Issued
17
Common Equity 709 78 775 841 868
TotalShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 100 100 100 100 100
Appendix g- Income statement- figures from Annual report 2009-2011
Income Statement - (4 Year Averages) Figures in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007
Net Sales or Revenues 246 205 149 107
Cost of Goods Sold 83 67 52 37
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization 19 15 12 1
Gross Income 144 122 85 6
Selling General amp Administrative Expenses 164 141 11 82
Other Operating Expenses 0 0 0 0
Operating Expenses - Total 267 224 174 129
Operating Income -2 -19 -24 -22
Extraordinary Credit - Pretax 12 12 08 0
Extraordinary Charge - Pretax 41 14 05 03
Non-Operating Interest Income 01 01 02 02
Reserves - IncreaseDecrease Pretax Equity in Earnings 0 0 0 0
Other IncomeExpense - Net -02 -01 0 01
EarningsAmortizationbefore(EBITDA)Interest Taxes Depreciation amp -31 -06 -07 -12
Earnings before Interest amp Taxes(EBIT) -51 -21 -2 -23
Interest Expense on Debt 04 02 01 0
Interest Capitalized 0 0 0 0
Pretax Income -55 -24 -21 -23
Income Taxes -05 -04 -03 01
Minority Interest 0 0 0 0
Equity in Earnings 0 0 0 0
After Tax Other IncomeExpense 0 0 0 0
Discontinued Operations 0 0 NetDividendsIncome before Extraordinary ItemsPreferred -5 -2 -18 -24
Extraordinary Items amp GainLoss Sale of Assets 0 0 0 0
Preferred Dividend Requirements 0 0 0 0
NetCommonIncome after Preferred Dividends - available to -5 -2 -18 -24
Income Statement revenues
Figures are expressed as Percent of Net Sales or Revenues Net Sales or Revenues are in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Net Sales or Revenues 276 304 303 232 116
Cost of Goods Sold 366 303 339 33 354
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization 116 85 68 61 4
Gross Income 519 612 593 609 606
Selling General amp Administrative Expenses 652 617 621 715 867
Other Operating Expenses 00 00 00 00 00
Operating Expenses - Total 1133 1005 1028 1106 1261
18
Operating Income -133 -05 -28 -106 -261
Extraordinary Credit - Pretax 00 55 135 00 00
Extraordinary Charge - Pretax 482 143 35 71 00
Non-Operating Interest Income 00 00 01 04 24
Reserves - IncreaseDecrease
00
Pretax Equity in Earnings 00 00 00 00 00
Other IncomeExpense - Net -16 -19 -09 07 05
EarningsDepreciationbeforeamp AmortizationInterest Taxes(EBITDA) -515 -27 132 -105 -192
Earnings before Interest amp Taxes(EBIT) -631 -112 64 -166 -232
Interest Expense on Debt 34 21 12 06 05
Interest Capitalized 00 00 00 00 00
Pretax Income -664 -133 52 -172 -237
Income Taxes -26 -14 -58 1 07
Minority Interest 00 00 00 00 00
Equity in Earnings 00 00 00 00 00
After Tax Other IncomeExpense 00 00 00 00 00
Discontinued Operations 00 00 00 00 00
NetItemsPreferredIncome beforeDividendsExtraordinary -638 -119 11 -182 -244
ExtraordinaryAssets Items amp GainLoss Sale of 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Dividend Requirements 00 00 00 00 00
NetavailableIncometo Commonafter Preferred Dividends - -638 -119 11 -182 -244
Appendix h Healthcare industry statistics source Reuters Industry Statistics Stat Notes
stock research rating Hold hellip
Potential saf ety margin 38 hellip
WACC discount rate 7 Low ~ Good f or inv estors
Comparators Stat Notes
rev enue EV multiple 28x High ~ Bad f or inv estors
EBITDA EV multiple 94x High ~ Bad f or inv estors
EBIT EV multiple 129x hellip
Cash f low ev multiple 128x hellip
Book v alue EV multiple 10x Low ~ Good f or inv estors
DISC CASH FLOW Ratios Notes
REVENUE GROWTH 13 High ~ Good f or inv estors
EBITDA MARGIN 26 High ~ Good f or inv estors
EBIT MARGIN 22 High ~ Good f or inv estors
CASH FLOW MARGIN 14 High ~ Good f or inv estors
TAXES RATE 21 hellip
DEBT-EQUITY RATIO 15 Low ~ Good f or inv estors
ROIC 5 Low ~ Bad f or inv estors
RE-inv estment Rate 13 High ~ Bad f or inv estors
WACC discount rate Rates Notes
19
risk f ree rate 4 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
cost of debt 7 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
equity risk premium 5 hellip
debt required return of debt 5 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
required return of equity 7 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
Appendix j- WACC AND DCF
(in million) Actual CAGR Forecast period
2007 2008 2009 2010 (07 -10) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Sales 11 15 21 25 32 27 29 31 33 36
growth 393 376 200 80 80 80 80 80
Total costs 13 17 22 27 27 -23 -25 -27 -29 -31
sales 857 857 857 857 857
EBITDA -3 -1 -1 -1 -27 4 4 4 5 5 margin -290 -40 -34 -49 143 143 143 143 143
Depreciation amp Amortization -1 2 2 4 0 -1 -1 -1 -1
sales 75 -101 -83 -175 18 18 18 18 18
EBIT -2 -2 -2 -6 34 3 4 4 4 5
Taxes (30) 0 0 0 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
Capex -01 45 26 137 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
sales -302 -127 -556 23 23 23 23 23
IncreaseDecrease in NWC -6 -6 -7 32 0 0 0 0
Unlevered Free Cash Flow -3 -4 5 34 3 3 3 3
WACC 92
Discount Period
05 15 25 35 45
Discount Factor
096 088 080 074 067
Present value of free cash flow 33 2 2 2 2
Terminal Value
Terminal Year Free Cash Flow 3
Perpetuity Growth Rate 30
Terminal Year EBITDA 5
Terminal Value 53
Implied Exit Multiple 108x
Discount Period 50
Discount Factor 06
Present Value of Terminal
Value 34
of Enterprise Value 45
(in million) Actual Forecast period Net Working Capital 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Account receivables 5 7 9 9
Inventory 1 2 3 3
Prepaid expenses and other 0 1 1 1
Total Current Assets 7 10 12 14 6 6 7 7 8
20
sales 617 644 576 553 224 224 224 224 224
Account payable 3 4 5 5
Accrued Liabilities
Other Current Liabilities
Total Current Liabilities 5 8 10 14 -4 -4 -5 -5 -5
sales -505 -503 -493 -585
146 146 146 146 146
Net Working Capital 15 22 27 34
2 2 2 3 3
sales 144 145 133 138 8 8 8 8 8
Input Output
Wacc Calculation Enterprise value
Target Capital Structure (1) Present value of Free Cash Flow 42
Debt to Total Capitalization 309
Equity to Total Capitalization 691 Terminal Value 53
Debt to Equity Ratio 453 Discount Factor 065
Present Value of Terminal Value 34
Cost of Equity of Enterprise Value 45
Risk-free rate (2) 40
Market risk Premium (3) 50 Enterprise value 76
Levered Beta (4) 103 Less Total debt 144 Size Premium (5) 17 Plus Cash and Cash Equi 2
Cost of Equity 108 Net Debt 12
Cost of Debt Implied Equity Value 64
Cost of Debt 70 Outstanding shares 380000000
Taxes 210 Implied share price 000
After Tax Cost of Debt 55 Implied multiples
WACC 92
Enterprise Value 76
SALES 2010 27
(1) Obtained from Beta and Capital Structure tab
EBITDA 2010 4
(2) httpwwwtreasurygovresource-centerdata-chart-centerinterest-ratesPagesTextViewaspxdata=yield
Implied EVSALES 29x
(3) httpwwwftcomcmss030eec02e-03d4-11e1-bbc5-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz1hB0TNS6n
Implied EVEBITDA 200x
(4) Obtained from Beta and Capital Structure tab
(5) Low -Cap Decile size premium based on market capitalization
for growth rate-taken into account a gdp growth rate of 15 and the structure of the company given its recent merge aswell as the financial state of the dcf analysis
Other tables used for analysis
Ratio Analysis
Accounting Ratios Sinclair IS Pharma PLC Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Receivables Turnover 31 35 21 33 15
Receivables - Number of Days 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
Inventory Turnover 24 26 37 32 26
Inventory - Number of Days 1551 1424 986 1139 1425 GrossEquipmentPropertyTurnoverPlant amp 92 10 109 92 58 NetEquipmentPropertyTurnoverPlant amp 21 185 166 117 75
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization of Gross Property Plant
amp 1058 85 737 563 231
21
Equipment Depreciation Depletion amp
Amortization 01 01 01 01 -01
Year to Year Change Depreciation Depletion amp
Amortization 239 254 45 2054 -611
Year to Year Change
Asset Utilization
Figures are expressed as the ratio of Net Sales Net Sales are in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Net Sales 276 304 303 232 116
Cash amp Cash Equivalents 75 03 35 12 433
Short-Term Investments 00 00 00 00 00
Accounts Receivable 327 29 488 304 646
Inventories 173 125 112 93 224
Other Current Assets 36 33 42 33 49
Total Current Assets 61 451 676 551 1352
Totalamp InvestmentsLong Term Receivables 00 05 00 5 00
Long Term Receivables 00 00 00 5 00
CompaniesInvestments in Associated 00 00 00 00 00
Other Investments 00 05 00 00 00
PropertyGross Plant amp Equipment - 109 10 92 109 173
Accumulated Depreciation 62 46 32 23 39
PropertyNet Plant amp Equipment - 48 54 6 85 134
Other Assets 273 233 2089 231 4722
Total Assets 3388 2841 2825 2996 6208
Employee efficiency
Values per Employee are in Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Employees 97 125 154 142 71
Values per Employee Sales 284825 243264 196610 163225 163704
Net Income -181732 -28968 21669 -29634 -39944
Cash Earnings -54216 -26576 -3682 -17225 -32493
Working Capital -97165 -9192 32825 32296 118423
Total Debt 178093 66680 47065 8986 15507
Total Capital 710598 575680 457604 416176 886831
Total Assets 964918 690992 555494 489000 1016254
Year to Year Change per Employee Employees -224 -188 85 100 868
Sales 171 237 205 -03 -108
22
Net Income
-2337 Cash Earnings
Working Capital
-128 16 -727 -192
Total Debt 1671 417 4238 -421 -10
Total Capital 234 258 10 -531 387
Total Assets 396 244 136 -519 325
Fixed Charge Coverage
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
EBITTotal Interest Expense -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITNet Interest -188 -54 56 -1133 EBIT(TotalDiv) Interest Exp + Pfd -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITDividends on Common Shares EBIT(Dividends on Common + Pfd) EBITDATotal Interest Expense -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDANet Interest -154 -13 116 -716 EBITDA(TotalPfd Div) Interest Exp + -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDADividends on Com Shares EBITDA(Dividends on Com + Pfd) Leverage Analysis
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Long Term Debt of EBIT
2133 Long Term Debt of EBITDA
1036
LongAssetsTerm Debt of Total 27 53 48 1 04
LongCapitalTerm Debt of Total 37 64 59 12 05
LongEquityTerm Debt of Com 38 68 62 12 05
Total Debt of EBIT
3734 Total Debt of EBITDA
1814
Total Debt of Total Assets 185 96 85 18 15
Total Debt of Total Capital 251 116 103 22 17
TotalShortDebtTermDebtof Total Capital amp 207 11 99 21 17
TotalEquityDebt of Common 26 124 109 22 18
Minority Interest of EBIT
06 Minority Interest of EBITDA
03
MinorityAssets Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityCapital Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityEquity Interest of Com 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock of EBIT
00 Preferred Stock of EDITDA
00
PreferredAssets Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredCapital Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredEquity Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
23
CommonAssets Equity of Total 709 78 775 841 868
CommonCapital Equity of Total 963 936 941 988 995
Total Capital of Total Assets 736 833 824 851 873
Capital Expenditure of Sales 09 16 05 19 11
FixedEquityAssets of Common 2 24 28 34 25
WorkingCapital Capital of Total -137 -16 72 78 134
Dividend Payout 00 00 00 00 00
FundsTotal DebtFrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
Liquidity Analysis Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
TotalSalesCurrent Assets Net 61 451 676 551 1352
Cash of Current Assets 123 06 51 218 32
CashCurrentamp EquivalentsAssets of 123 06 51 218 32
Quick Ratio 04 06 1 12 17
ReceivablesAssets of Current 536 643 721 552 478
Receivableof days Turnover - number 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
InventoriesAssets of Current 283 278 165 169 166
Inventoryof days Turnover - number 1551 1424 986 1139 1425
InventoryEquivalentsto -Cashnumberamp of days 1561 83 112 4645 6949
Receivables of Total Assets 96 102 173 101 104
Current Ratio 06 09 13 16 22
Total Debt of Total Capital 207 11 99 21 17
FundsCurrentfromLiabilitiesOperations of -20 -224 -37 -299 -316
FundsLong TermfromDebtOperations of -206 -722 -137 -345 -782
FundsTotal Debtfrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
FundsTotal Capitalfrom Operations of -76 -46 -08 -41 -37
Cash Flow (in milllions of Pounds Sterling) Operating Activities -67 0 -36 -15 -29
Financing Activities 265 23 58 -01 54
Investing Activities 179 32 43 06 24
Per Share data
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Sales 017 029 032 025 012
Operating Income -002 0 -001 -003 -003
Pre-tax Income -011 -004 002 -004 -003
NetOperations)Income (Continuing -011 -004 002 -004 -003
Net Income Before Extra Items -011 -004 004 -005 -003
Extraordinary Items 0 0 0 0 0
NetItemsIncome After Extraordinary -011 -004 004 -005 -003
NetCommonIncomeSharesAvailable to -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Fully Diluted Earnings -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Common Dividends 0 0 0 0 0
Cash Earnings -004 -004 -001 -003 -004
Book Value 041 065 071 062 067
24
Retained Earnings 013 035 042 038 042
Assets 058 084 092 074 077
2
Illustrating recent stock price performance over a one year period
Sinclair IS Pharma an international pharmaceutical company recently created though a
merger of IS Pharma and Sinclair Pharma The corporate headquarter are currently in
London UK and its operational headquarters are in Paris France By merging the two which were currently rivals a fully integrated pan
European specialist pharmaceutical company has been emerged The initial announcement of the merger took place in February i
strong buy
Contact Info
Address 1st Floor Whitfield Court
30-32 Whitfield Street
London W1T 2RQ
United Kingdom
Website httpwwwsinclairispharmacom
Tel +44 20 7467 6920
Fax +44 20 7467 6930
Stock price 08122011 23p
Recent stock performance
1 week -34
4 weeks -175
13 weeks -198
52 weeks -331
Analaysts
Consenus
Buy now
(08122011)
at 23 p
3
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
pound M
illio
ns
Yearly Sales IS Pharma Sinclair
iiSinclair IS Pharma is an international pharmaceutical company a merger created from the two companies IS Pharma and
Sinclair Pharma The corporate headquarter are currently in London UK and its operational headquarters are in Paris France By merging the two which were currently rivals a fully integrated pan European specialist pharmaceutical company has been emerged The initial announcement of the merger took place in February 2011 The Company provides solutions to treat
wounds dermatological and oral diseases through surface technology and delivery systems The Company operates in two segments International Operations and Country Operations Its areas in dermatology cover fungal infections acne atopic dermatitis and family dermatology Its areas in wound care covers skin disinfection radiation dermatitis treatment and wounds and burns healing Its areas in oral care cover gingivitis periodontitis mouth ulcers and teething
Main Products include iii
Objectives met by Sinclair include reducing overheads by 15 million compared to 2009 they have developed many new programmes including
Terbinafine spray Kelo-cote line extensions and Flammacerium They have recently secured their French reimbursement for
Atopiclair and its Decapinol deal in US
They currently have 3 new drugs developed 6 medical devices 3 cosmetics and an ongoing upgrade of dossiers and line extensions In addition have been able to acquire further products such as Terbinafine an a thletersquos foot spray which are
targeting specialists Partnerships include a licensed Decapinal deal in the US to Sunstar a deal with Invida for South Eas t Asia and they are aiming for more deals in other regions
Sales Analysis
Sinclair IS Pharma reported sales of pound3290 for the fiscal
year ending June 2011 Representing an increase of 191
versus 2010 when the companyrsquos sales were pound2763 million
($511324)
Appendix a
Competitor analysis- Appendix b
Sinclair IS Pharma operate in the Pharmaceutical preparations sector the analysis compares Sinclair IS Pharma to three other
companies which operate in the pharmaceutical sector in the UK They have 101 employees and sales of pound3290 million which
is much higher than its three comparable companies which sales in US dollars are between $174882 and $295202 per
employee
4
Company Year
Ended
Sales
(poundmillions)
Sales
Growth
SalesEmp
(US )
Largest
Region
Sinclair IS
Pharma Plc
Jun
2011
32897 191 511324 Western
Europe
Allergy
Therapeutics
Plc
Jun
2011
41552 20 174882 Central
Europe
(775)
Eco Animal
Health
Group Plc
Mar
2011
27078 244 295202 China
Japan and
the Indian
subcontinent
(369)
Europe
(631)
Vectura
Group Plc
Mar
2011
42900 79 263074 United
Kingdom
(100)
Appendix C
Stock Performance
In past years the stock has underperformed The fiscal year 2004 the stock traded 15750p at its highest versus 2300p on
81211 The 52 weeks ending 081211 the company was down 331 to 2300p During the past 13 weeks the stock has fallen by 198 and the past 52 weeks has performed far worse than its comparable companies which saw changes between -
126 and 135 During the past 13 weeks the stock has fallen 198 During the past 52 weeks the stock of
Sinclair IS Pharma PLC has performed significantly worse than the three comparable companies which saw
changes between 126 and 135 During the 12 months ending 6302011 the company has experienced
losses totalling 500 p per share Note that the earnings number includes or excludes extraordinary charge or
credit This company is currently trading at 246 times the sales The three companies vary greatly in terms of
price to sales ratio trading from 079 times all the way up to 469 times their annual sales Sinclair IS Pharma
PLC is trading at 065 times book value Since the price to book ratio is less than 1 this means that
theoretically the net value of the assets is greater than the value of a company as a going concern At the end
of 2011 this companys intangible assets were quite sizable at pound12361 million while the total common equity
stood at pound12391 million If these intangible assets were to be excluded the companys price to book ratio
would be significantly higher The companys price to book ratio is lower than that of all three comparable
companies which are trading between 141 and 1526 times book value Summary of company valuations as of (08112012)
Company PE PriceBook PriceSales 52 week price
change
Sinclair IS
Pharma Plc
na 065 246 -331
Allergy
Therapeutics Plc
na 1526 079 1351
Eco Animal
Health Group Plc
708 203 419 457
Vectura Group
Plc
na 141 469 -1259
Dividend Analysis ndash Appendix d
The company has reported not paying dividends in the last 12 months and has reported losses during the previous 12 months it
has not been able to pay any dividend during the previous 6 fiscal years
5
Profitability Analysis- Appendix e
The company has sales of pound329 million in 2011 and the cost of goods sold equate to pound1377 million -418 of sales so gross
profit 528 of sales The gross profit margin is lower than that achieved in 2010 when cost of goods sold totalled 366 of
sales The profit margin was the lowest in 2011 than the previous five years 2009 held a high of 697 The companies
EBITDA WAS $-521 million which equates to -158 sales The EBITDA margin worsened in 2011 As it was -18 of sales in
2010 The three comparable companies have positive EBITDA margins whilst IS Pharma Sinclair had a negative margin for
2011 their earnings before extraordinary items were -pound1167 million or -355 of sales This profit margin is an improvement
for the company which was achieved in 2010 when profit margin was-638 of sales N For the past three years the company
has reported losses for before extraordinary items It was 2009 the company reported profits from ordinary operations which
was pound334 million In 2011 the return on equity was -176 which is significantly better than its return in 2010 of -262
showing new changes involved in the structure of the company could be a positive sign
Profitability Comparison
Company Year Gross Profit
Margin
EBITDA
Margin
Earns before
extraordinary
items
Sinclair IS
Pharma
2011 582 -158 -355
Sinclair IS
Pharma
2010 634 -18 -638
Eco Health
Group Plc
2011 396 208 59
Vectura Group
Plc
2011 967 28 -205
Allergy
Therapeutics
Plc
2011 723 39 -64
Financial Position- Appendix f ampg
The companyrsquos long term debt was pound715 million in June2011 and liabilities were pound3722 million The long term debt to equity
ratio was very low 006 suggesting Sinclair IS Pharma is not efficient in collecting payments Accounts receivable was pound1397
million equivalent to 155 days of sales This is higher than at the end of 2010 when it was 119 days of sales in accounts
receivable The 155 days of accounts receivable is higher than its three comparable companies for the year of 2011
Research and Development
Expenses were pound718000 equivalent to 225 of sales R amp D increased both as a percentage of sales in 2010 in which pound533 00
was spent 19 of sales R amp D of comparable companies were fairly dispersed with IS Pharma Sinclair in the middle
Inventory Analysis
June 2011 the inventory was pound959 million and cost of goods sold was pound1377 million for the year with a turnover of inventory of
14 times per year which is an increase to the previous year The 14 times turnover is higher than its comparable companies
with IS Pharma Sinclair increasing its inventory turnover consecutively for four years
Financial Position
Company Year LT DEBT
EQUITY
DAYS
ACCOUNTS REC
DAYS
INVENTORY
R amp D SALES
Sinclair IS
Pharma
2011 006 155 254 22
Eco Health Group 2011 578 50 224 40
6
Plc
Vectura Group Plc 2011 0 133 107 01
Allergy
Therapeutics Plc
2011 0 48 52 821
Industry Analysis
Pharmaceutical Industry Competition and market dynamic Health Care Sector overview Appendix h
Stocks show a trend of being less responsive to economic change when comparing to those within the general market
Health inflation is on average higher than the inflation rate
The stock value affected by declining health care related industries and higher rates of unemployment
Strong and expanding sector but is dependent on provisions and management of health care related services
Diverse range of operations eg medical equipment insurance and pharmaceutical companies
Competitive industry but quite stable for investors
The pharmaceutical industry can be traced back to the fourteenth century but more focus on it has been since the 1950rsquos As
the growing population ages there is a growing rise in consumer expectations in this area and pharmaceutical companies are
continuing to create unmet medical needs specifically in developing worlds The main funding behind the pharmaceutical
industry is R amp D investment to create novel drugs Health care costs are currently increasing faster than GDP so therefore it is
unsustainable in healthcares systems in both public and private companies creating barriers to entry being erected There is
growing pressure on pricing and reimbursement and customers increasingly want value for money Also R amp D costs are
increasing more than inflation and the number of new drugs entering the market has fallen The drugs are categorized in two
forms high priced niche specialist drugs lsquoblockbustersrsquo and rans
The pharmaceutical industry relies on a set period of patent protection which provides a monopoly on the profits as a reward for
heavily costs of R amp D This period for which the costs are regained has been shortened by the longer time to market due to the
increased regulations and barriers to market entry based around price and reimbursement
The health industry is a multimillion dollar industry and is known to have a safe nature generic when the economy is down
Pharmaceutical companies always are needed as they are a necessity to people They operate from small to large
experimental companies and manufacture create and market licensed drugs for use as medications The sector is subject to a
variety of laws and regulations in regards to patenting testing and ensuring the safety and efficiency when making and
marketing the drugs
Market IS Pharma Sinclair Operates iniv v
PEST ANALYSIS
7
In terms of political awareness the pharmaceutical industry has increasing awareness due to recognition of the implications of
healthcare as a component of social welfare therefore this will increase the social and financial burden of health care for
example the NHS debate in the UK and Medicare in the US
In 2003 the pharmaceutical industry experienced high mergers and acquisitions Their stock value grew by 105 and health
care grew by 125 from 2003 to 2010 The audit value of the industry was recorded at 500 billion dollars and by 2004 Only
information technology has a higher growth rate at 126 The major countries operating pharmaceutical industries are the US
EU and Japan The Market spreads over nine major geographic markets which account for 80 of the sale (US Japan
France Germany UK Italy Canada Brazil and Spain) The US is the fastest growing country since 1995 and accounts for
60 of sales and alone the US grew by 16 in 2000 total the industry to $133 billion dollars making it a key company to the
pharmaceutical market
In terms of the social impact of the pharmaceutical industry health is an important social and personal role in obtaining soc ieties
needs and therefore cannot be underestimated Global epidemics such as the SARS virus and AIDS which has concerned
awareness from the media has resulted in an increased effort to have good government industry society relations
In terms of technologic advance the industry is very competitive and the technological advances and modern application of
science is forcing the players in the industry to adapt quicker than ever in an evolving environment in which they participat e on
The new advances have increased spending on research and development costs for even more advancement
The legal side of the industry is heavily regulated and compliance enforcing as a result heavy regulatory compliance and legal
overheads have to be taken in Which can be said to restrict the vitality of the environment but the government is now
requesting industry applications non regulatory overheads so that there is no discouragement in the challenges from external
markets
Swot analysis
Strengths
Internal industry components provide value quality and service
Low operating overhead Firm fiscal management low staff turnover
and high ROI
Weaknesses
High risk business modelling
Disengaged board of directors
Dated medical equipment and poor branding Poor staff moral
Diseconomies of scale
Opportunities
Recent published research Increase health conscious consumer
Increased demand for product
Change in food and drug administration standards
Decreased employee health care costs
Threats
Increased government regulation Decreased economy
Increase in r amp d costs
Decrease in global population
Low- patents
at first
Medium- after
patents expire
LOW LOW
High ndash advantage
gained by the first
mover
High R amp D
costs and
patents for
market are
limited
Porters five Forces
Pharmaceutical Sector in Europe
8
Pharmaceuticals in Europe
lsquoMarket entry of generic drugs is delayed and there is a decl ine in the number of novel medicines reaching the market
according to the European Commissions final report on competition in the pharmaceutical sector lsquovi
The pharmaceutical sector is vital to the health of Europes citizens and medicines are a major expense Europe spends euro214
billion per year - in retail prices ndash on pharmaceuticals this is 2 of our GDP This means around euro430 per year for every man
woman and child Europes ageing population will only increase the financial constraints on public health budgets At the same
time many patents for the best selling medicines are due to expire in the next few years So forecasting to the future for this
sector it looks to grow
Price differences of pharmaceuticals across the EU are linked to two main factors
differences in expenditure on health (associated with GDP)
differences in pricing policy and regulation
Reasons for growth in the pharmaceutical market
Porter (1990) states that political and economic changes can lead to increased demand conditions for products Demand conditions are one important component of Porterrsquos Diamond This work has been seen as an important addition to the political social technological and economic factors (PEST) which have often been used to scan the changes taking place in the
business environment Porter (1990) also showed that factor conditions are also important in explaining international product ion Factor conditions in
the US are such that there is a skilled labour supply of researchers in this industry the same is true of the UK Due to the value of the pound it has become more expensive to do business in the UK and so firms like GSK are star ting to do more research in the US and Asia
In terms of other factor conditions China and India have an abundant supply of low cost labour India has become a large world supplier of generics and is also trying to move up the value chain by purchasing European and US firms Porterrsquos approach to analysing the global environment also includes related supporting industries which are left out by tradi tional
PEST analysis This includes infrastructure available in the industry of a particular country Governments have increasingly focused on encouraging clusters and science and technology parks offering shared facilities and experience as well as government support UK examples in the pharmaceutical industry include Oxford and Cambridge where various industr ial links
and universities are widely available With regards to the pharmaceutical industry there has been an emergence of new players in the generic sector particularly
from India and Chinav ii
Upgraded to Overweight European Pharmaceuticals
Indicators are rolling over making EU Pharma to overweight consistent with the positive fundamental view on the
sector Lead indicators in major Western markets are rolling over and the pharmaceutical sector has been one of the most negatively correlated to lead indicators The weighting change is further supported by attractive valuation signs of stabilisation in earnings momentum and pharmrsquos position as the biggest underweight for long-only investors
Valuation prices worse than worst case gt80 upside possible European pharma trades near its lowest levels over 20 years on relative 1 year forward PE vs msci Europe The last time pharma traded at similar levels was 1993-1994 the sector outperformed the market by 130 in the years that followed With
valuation implying -12 CARG for unlevered FCFrsquos from 2013 to 2020 we see the possibility of gt8- upside should our view of gt35 CARG materialise
Looking ahead European pharma companies by a large margin are the leaders in emerging markets business diversification and other factors that limit the impact of the industry generics cliff With a number of price effects from US reforms and EU austerity annualising
later this year we expect improved earnings momentum
Prefer EU over us PHARMA
The divergence between developed and emerging markets growth is increasingly apparent favouring EU pharma companies due to their lower US exposures higher EM exposures and better business diversification
Risks for the European pharma sector include 1 the inability to increase or restore R amp D productivity 2 pressures on pricing government reforms
9
3 worse than expected margins as key blockbuster products (eg Plavix Seroquel) generalize during the generics cliff
4 pressures on cash flows from the payment of long term standing legal issues 5 and loss of important growth contributions from emerging marketsviii
WACC- Appendix j
WACC Calculation
Target Capital Structure (1)
Debt to Total Capitalization 309
Equity to Total Capitalization 691
Debt to Equity Ratio 453
Cost of Equity
Risk-free rate (2) 40
Market risk Premium (3) 50
Levered Beta (4) 103
Size Premium (5) 17
Cost of Equity 108
Cost of Debt Cost of Debt 70
Taxes 210
After Tax Cost of Debt 55
WACC 92
Given a weighted average cost of capital of 92 as the minimum rate of return at which IS Pharma Sinclair will produce value
for investors
References
All financial data extracted from IS Parma Sinclair Annual Report 2011 2010 and 2009
Comparable data extracted from yahoocomfinance
i What the merger has brought
This merger illustrates two areas of expertise join together to create a company which is a fully integrate pan European
speciality pharmaceutical which should create a synergy to all its shareholders as opportunities such as cross selling can be
made by combing the two companies portfolios and creating an in house development capability on leveraging the existing
portfolio as well as new developments They also can access prospects in emerging markets which would increase its growth
through existing and new regional strategic partnerships To investors the company will be attractive as it represents
commercialisation of partner for out licensors of European network and has already established routes in emerging markets
Now Sinclair IS Pharma operates as a fully integrated specialty Pharma company with enlarged specialty product portfolio with broader reach and is creating substantial Pharma business They operate as a strong European business and have emerging market partnerships and opportunities with a strong partner of
choice for product distribution The future looks strong for future growth and they have capability to self-fund future development with a reduced risk with enhanced growth profile
10
IS Pharma Sinclair growth strategy is to focus on core products have key product launches and drive their efficiencies They try
to sweat their enlarged portfolio to drive growth and be able to grow a brand led business through its acquisition and
development
iiiMain products Atopicliar - used to the treatment of eczemaatopic dermatitis Decapinol - used in the treatment of gingivitisgum disease Aloclair - used in the treatment of mouth ulcers s
Xclair - used in the treatment of radiation dermatitis Effadiane - for the relief of skin dryness through environmental factors Salinum - for the relief of dry mouth condition caused by a deficiency in saliva production
Papulex - used to treat inflammatory blemishes SPHR980 - used to treat head lice
iv IS Pharma Sinclair webpage presentation lsquo2011 reviewrsquo
v Source httpwwwequitymastercomresearch-itsector-infopharma vi httpwwweubusinesscomtopicspharmasector -inquiry-guide
vii httpwwwims-productivitycomusercustomjournal2008SpringIMSspr08pg14_18pdf
viii UBS Investment Research
Appendices
Appendix a ndash Sales Analysis
Year Sales Growth Cost of Goods sold of sales EBITDA OF SALES EBI OF SALES Employee
Sales per employeed
After tax income per employee
2003 9079000 na 2646000 2914 1641000 0180746778 440000 004846349 29 3130689655 1517241379
2004 2655000 -7076 1520000 5725 -1648000 -0620715631 -2754000 -10372881 25 106200 -110160
2005 6971000 16256 2380000 3414 -1412000 -0202553436 -2669000 -03828719 38 1834473684 -7023684211
2006 11623000 6673 4112000 3538 -2233000 -0192119074 -2836000 -0243999 71 1637042254 -3994366197
2007 23178000 9941 7645000 3298 -2434000 -0105013375 -4208000 -01815515 142 1632253521 -2963380282
2008 30278000 3063 10258000 3388 3996000 0131977013 3337000 011021204 154 1966103896 2166883117
2009 30408000 043 9211000 3029 -825000 -0027131018 -3621000 -01190805 125 243264 -28968
2010 27628000 -914 10100000 3656 -14227000 -0514948603 -17628000 -06380484 97 2848247423 -1817319588
2011 32897000 1907 13765000 4184 -7667000 -0233060765 -1166000 -0035444 101 3257128713 -1154455446
Appendix b - Comparables Comparable Companies Unlevered Beta
Company
Levered Beta (1)
Market Value of Debt (2)
Market Value of Equity (3) Debt Equity
Equity Total Assets
Marginal Tax Rate
SINCLAIR IS PHARMA 052 500 1125 0444444444 0692307692 03
ALLERGY THERAPEUTICS PLC 131 400 868 0460829493 0684542587 03
ECO ANIMAL HEALTH 115 450 7875 0571428571 0636363636 03
VECTURA GROUP 112 375 1125 0333333333 075 03
Median 1135
0452636969 068842514
Mean 1025
0452508961 0690803479
11
(1) From Bloomberg
(2) Book Value of Debt
(3) From Bloomberg (4) Unlevered Beta = Predicted Levered Beta (1 +
DebtEquity) x (1-t))
Relevered Beta
Mean Unlevered Beta
Mean Target Debt Equity
Target Marginal Tax Rate Relevered Beta
Target Company
0779158663 0452508961 03 1025962057
Appendix C ndash Price Analysis year Quarter High Price Low Price Closing Price Quarterly Change 12 months change
2003 Oct - Dec 1435 1205 138 NA NA
2004 Jan - March 1575 138 1445 471 NA
Apr - June 1565 138 14 -311 NA
July - Sep 1175 1015 1 -2857 NA
Oct - Dec 1255 0925 123 2300 -1090
2005 Jan - March 1405 1185 1238 065 -1440
Apr - June 1325 114 132 662 -570
July - Sep 1375 109 1165 -1174 1650
Oct - Dec 1385 114 123 558 000
2006 Jan - March 142 1255 126 244 180
Apr - June 1265 101 1194 -524 -950
July - Sep 1235 097 097 -1876 -1670
Oct - Dec 1195 0995 1087 1206 -1160
2007 Jan - March 1295 103 125 1500 -080
Apr - June 151 116 1215 -280 180
July - Sep 127 0745 085 -3004 -1240
Oct - Dec 086 0635 0705 -1706 -3510
2008 Jan - March 069 032 0363 -4851 -7100
Apr - June 0435 0358 0363 000 -7020
July - Sep 071 0308 0423 1653 -5030
Oct - Dec 045 016 018 -5745 -7450
2009 Jan - March 033 013 0268 4889 -2620
Apr - June 0335 023 025 -672 -3100
July - Sep 0475 0233 044 7600 410
Oct - Dec 047 0315 034 -2273 8890
2010 Jan - March 0354 029 0305 -1029 1400
Apr - June 0325 0241 0265 -1311 600
July - Sep 0297 0245 0275 377 -3750
Oct - Dec 0428 0265 0405 4727 1910
2011 Jan - March 0425 0335 0363 -1037 1890
Apr - June 038 0283 0284 -2176 710
July - Sep 032 0225 0249 -1232 -950
08122011
0213 -1980 -3310
12
Appendix d ndashEarns and Dividend Analysis
EARNINGS AND DIVIDENDS ANALYSIS FundamentalsEarnings amp Dividends Analysis Sinclair IS Pharma PLC
Per Share Pounds SterlingFiscal Year Ends in June
Earnings Per Share Dividends Per Share
12 Months Quarterly Reported Earnings 12 Months Quarterly Reported Dividends
Fiscal Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Years Earnings Change Sep Dec Mar Jun Dividends Change Sep Dec Mar Jun Payout
2003G H 004 nc na na na na 000 nc na na na 000 00
2004DG F 007 nc na na na na 000 nc na na na 000 00
2005D F 005 nc na 004 na 001 000 nc na na na 000 00
2006BD F 005 nc na 003 na 002 000 nc na na na 000 00
2007 AF 005 nc na 003 na 002 000 nc na na na 000 00
2008 AF 004 nc na 001 na 005 000 nc na na na 000 00
2009 F 004 nc na 004 na 008 000 nc na na na 000 00
2010E ACF 014 nc na 013 na 001 000 nc na na na 000 00
2011D ACF 005 nc na 002 na 003 000 nc na na na 000 00
Appendix e - Profitability Analysis
Operating Income Margin
-133 -05 -28 -106 -261
Pretax Income Margin
-664 -133 52 -172 -237
EBIT Margin
-631 -112 64 -166 -232
Net Income Margin
-638 -119 11 -182 -244
Return on Equity - Total
-264 -54 54 -7 -65
Return on Invested Capital
-21 -4 56 -66 -62
Return on Assets
-186 -35 48 -58 -54
Asset Turnover
03 04 04 03 02
Financial Leverage
26 124 109 22 18
Interest Expense on Debt
933000 636000 367000 129000 54000
Effective Tax Rate
Cash Flow Sales
-19 -109 -19 -106 -198
Selling General amp
Administrative Expenses of
652 617 621 715 867
Sales
ResearchExpense amp Development
19 13 28 23 17
OperatingTotal CapitalIncome Return On
-42 21 192 -61 1591
13
Appendix F ndash Balance Sheet data ndash from SPH annual report 2009 -2011
Financial Statement AnalysesBalance Sheet - Five-Year Averages Balance Sheet - (5 Year Averages)
Figures in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007
Assets Total Assets 814 685 567 44
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 22 28 43 42
Cash 22 28 43 42
Short Term Investments 0 0 0 0
Receivables (Net) 94 85 72 51
Inventories -Total 33 25 18 11
Raw Materials 1 07 04 03
Work in Process 01 01 01 0
Finished Goods 23 18 13 09
OtherProgress Payments amp 0 0 0 0
Prepaid Expenses Other Current Assets 09 08 06 04
Current Assets - Total 159 146 139 108
Long Term Receivables 02 02 02 02
InvestmentCompaniesin Associated 0 0 0 0
Other Investments 0 0 0 0
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment 27 22 17 12
Accumulated Depreciation 1 07 05 03
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and 17 15 12 08
Other Assets 636 522 414 322
Deferred Charges 0 0 0 0
Tangible Other Assets 06 05 04 04
Intangible Other Assets 63 517 409 318
Total Assets 814 685 567 44
Liabilities amp Shareholders Equity Total Liabilities amp 814 685 567 44
Shareholders Equity Accounts Payable 54 47 38 28
Short Term Debt amp Current 46 17 1 05
Portion of Long Term Debt Accrued Payroll Income Taxes Payable 01 01 01 02
Dividends Payable Other Current Liabilities 43 36 26 19
Current Liabilities - Total 144 101 75 54
Long Term Debt 25 2 11 02
Long Term Debt Excluding 24 19 1 02
Capitalized Leases
14
Capitalized Lease 01 01 01 01
Obligations Provision for Risks and Charges Deferred Income Deferred Taxes -09 -05 -02 -01
Deferred Taxes - Credit Deferred Taxes - Debit Deferred Tax Liability in Untaxed Reserves Other Liabilities 08 07 07 07
Total Liabilities 172 128 93 67
Non-Equity Reserves 0 0 0 0
Minority Interest 0 0 0 0
Preferred Stock 0 0 0 0
Preferred Stock Issued for ESOP ESOP Guarantees - Preferred Issued Common Equity 642 558 473 373
TotalShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 814 685 567 44
Balance Sheet yr to yr change Financial Statement AnalysesBalance Sheet - Year - Year Change
Ba lance Sheet - (Year to Year Percent Change) Figures are the Percent Changes from the Prior Year Fi scal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Assets Tota l Assets 84 1 232 -38 1476
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 22534 -916 -623 -446 26
Cash 22534 -916 -623 -446 26
Short Term Investments Receivables (Net) 24 -403 1096 -62 636
Inventories -Total 254 126 563 -171 3341
Raw Materials 311 209 668 -167 29727
Work in Process -4 -734 4697 -411 Finished Goods 235 164 438 -165 2242
Progress Payments amp Other Prepaid Expenses Other Current Assets -16 -222 655 376 802
Current Assets - Total 23 -331 603 -187 51
Long Term Receivables
-100 Investment in Associated
Companies Other Investments -100
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment -04 87 109 251 1906
Accumulated Depreciation 227 443 783 19 515
15
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and -198 -101 -75 268 2964
Other Assets 64 121 181 -24 1992
Deferred Charges
Tangible Other Assets 6135 -719 3064 -958 Intangible Other Assets 57 125 177 08 1891
Tota l Assets 84 1 232 -38 1476
Liabilities amp Shareholders Equity
Tota l Liabilities amp 84 1 232 -38 1476
Shareholders Equity
Accounts Payable 109 -148 221 426 49
Short Term Debt amp Current 2944 201 4481 -297 679
Portion of Long Term Debt Accrued Payroll
Income Taxes Payable -957 895 303 -81 19471
Dividends Payable
Other Current Liabilities -00 -56 1529 -68 321
Current Liabilities - Total 769 -37 884 121 51
Long Term Debt -445 112 4839 1403 686
Long Term Debt Excluding -442 129 6933 177 356
Capitalized Leases Capitalized Lease -717 -492 -416 804 180
Obl igations Provis ion for Risks and -714
Charges Deferred Income -896 -216 -566
Deferred Taxes
Deferred Taxes - Credit Deferred Taxes - Debit 537 842 945
Deferred Tax Liability in Untaxed Reserves
Other Liabilities 109
-100 -27 Tota l Liabilities 432 -1 739 165 891
Non-Equity Reserves Minori ty Interest -100
91 120
Preferred Stock Preferred Stock Issued for
ESOP ESOP Guarantees -
Preferred Issued Common Equity -15 16 136 -68 1597
Tota lShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 84 1 232 -38 1476
SPH Balcnce sheet total asset
Figures are expressed as Percent of Total Assets
Total Assets are in millions of Pounds Sterling
Fiscal Year 20100 20090 20080 20070 20060
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Assets
16
Total Assets 936 864 855 694 722
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 2200 01 1200 4000 7000
Cash 2200 01 1200 4000 7000
Short Term Investments 00 00 00 00 00
Receivables (Net) 96 102 173 101 104
Inventories -Total 5100 4400 4000 3100 3600
Raw Materials 16 13 11 08 09
Work in Process 01 01 02 00 01
Finished Goods 3500 3000 2600 2300 26
OtherProgress Payments amp 00 00 00 00 00
Prepaid Expenses
Other Current Assets 11 12 15 11 08
Current Assets - Total 18 159 239 184 218
Long Term Receivables 00 00 00 1700 00
InvestmentCompaniesin Associated 00 00 00 00 00
Other Investments 00 02 00 00 00
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment 3200 3500 3300 3600 2800
Accumulated Depreciation 18 16 11 08 06
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and 14 19 21 28 2200
Other Assets 80600 82000 73900 77100 76100
Deferred Charges 00 00 00 00 00
Tangible Other Assets 07 01 04 01 26 Intangible Other Assets 799 819 736 77 735
Total Assets 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000
Liabilities amp Shareholders
Equity
Total Liabilities amp 93600 86400 85500 694 72200
Shareholders Equity
Accounts Payable 65 63 75 76 51
Short Term Debt amp Current 157 43 36 08 11
Portion of Long Term Debt
Accrued Payroll
Income Taxes Payable 00 02 01 01 05
Dividends Payable
Other Current Liabilities 5900 6400 6800 33 34
Current Liabilities - Total 281 172 18 118 101
Long Term Debt 27 53 48 1 04
Long Term Debt Excluding 27 53 47 07 03
Capitalized Leases
Capitalized Lease 00 01 01 03 02
Obligations
Provision for Risks and 01 04 02
Charges
Deferred Income 00 03 04 12
Deferred Taxes -21 -15 -08 -05 00
Deferred Taxes - Credit
Deferred Taxes - Debit 21 15 08 05
Deferred Tax Liability in
Untaxed Reserves Other Liabilities 03 03 00 24 24
Total Liabilities 291 22 225 159 131
Non-Equity Reserves 00 00 00 00 00
Minority Interest 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock Issued for ESOP ESOP Guarantees - Preferred Issued
17
Common Equity 709 78 775 841 868
TotalShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 100 100 100 100 100
Appendix g- Income statement- figures from Annual report 2009-2011
Income Statement - (4 Year Averages) Figures in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007
Net Sales or Revenues 246 205 149 107
Cost of Goods Sold 83 67 52 37
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization 19 15 12 1
Gross Income 144 122 85 6
Selling General amp Administrative Expenses 164 141 11 82
Other Operating Expenses 0 0 0 0
Operating Expenses - Total 267 224 174 129
Operating Income -2 -19 -24 -22
Extraordinary Credit - Pretax 12 12 08 0
Extraordinary Charge - Pretax 41 14 05 03
Non-Operating Interest Income 01 01 02 02
Reserves - IncreaseDecrease Pretax Equity in Earnings 0 0 0 0
Other IncomeExpense - Net -02 -01 0 01
EarningsAmortizationbefore(EBITDA)Interest Taxes Depreciation amp -31 -06 -07 -12
Earnings before Interest amp Taxes(EBIT) -51 -21 -2 -23
Interest Expense on Debt 04 02 01 0
Interest Capitalized 0 0 0 0
Pretax Income -55 -24 -21 -23
Income Taxes -05 -04 -03 01
Minority Interest 0 0 0 0
Equity in Earnings 0 0 0 0
After Tax Other IncomeExpense 0 0 0 0
Discontinued Operations 0 0 NetDividendsIncome before Extraordinary ItemsPreferred -5 -2 -18 -24
Extraordinary Items amp GainLoss Sale of Assets 0 0 0 0
Preferred Dividend Requirements 0 0 0 0
NetCommonIncome after Preferred Dividends - available to -5 -2 -18 -24
Income Statement revenues
Figures are expressed as Percent of Net Sales or Revenues Net Sales or Revenues are in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Net Sales or Revenues 276 304 303 232 116
Cost of Goods Sold 366 303 339 33 354
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization 116 85 68 61 4
Gross Income 519 612 593 609 606
Selling General amp Administrative Expenses 652 617 621 715 867
Other Operating Expenses 00 00 00 00 00
Operating Expenses - Total 1133 1005 1028 1106 1261
18
Operating Income -133 -05 -28 -106 -261
Extraordinary Credit - Pretax 00 55 135 00 00
Extraordinary Charge - Pretax 482 143 35 71 00
Non-Operating Interest Income 00 00 01 04 24
Reserves - IncreaseDecrease
00
Pretax Equity in Earnings 00 00 00 00 00
Other IncomeExpense - Net -16 -19 -09 07 05
EarningsDepreciationbeforeamp AmortizationInterest Taxes(EBITDA) -515 -27 132 -105 -192
Earnings before Interest amp Taxes(EBIT) -631 -112 64 -166 -232
Interest Expense on Debt 34 21 12 06 05
Interest Capitalized 00 00 00 00 00
Pretax Income -664 -133 52 -172 -237
Income Taxes -26 -14 -58 1 07
Minority Interest 00 00 00 00 00
Equity in Earnings 00 00 00 00 00
After Tax Other IncomeExpense 00 00 00 00 00
Discontinued Operations 00 00 00 00 00
NetItemsPreferredIncome beforeDividendsExtraordinary -638 -119 11 -182 -244
ExtraordinaryAssets Items amp GainLoss Sale of 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Dividend Requirements 00 00 00 00 00
NetavailableIncometo Commonafter Preferred Dividends - -638 -119 11 -182 -244
Appendix h Healthcare industry statistics source Reuters Industry Statistics Stat Notes
stock research rating Hold hellip
Potential saf ety margin 38 hellip
WACC discount rate 7 Low ~ Good f or inv estors
Comparators Stat Notes
rev enue EV multiple 28x High ~ Bad f or inv estors
EBITDA EV multiple 94x High ~ Bad f or inv estors
EBIT EV multiple 129x hellip
Cash f low ev multiple 128x hellip
Book v alue EV multiple 10x Low ~ Good f or inv estors
DISC CASH FLOW Ratios Notes
REVENUE GROWTH 13 High ~ Good f or inv estors
EBITDA MARGIN 26 High ~ Good f or inv estors
EBIT MARGIN 22 High ~ Good f or inv estors
CASH FLOW MARGIN 14 High ~ Good f or inv estors
TAXES RATE 21 hellip
DEBT-EQUITY RATIO 15 Low ~ Good f or inv estors
ROIC 5 Low ~ Bad f or inv estors
RE-inv estment Rate 13 High ~ Bad f or inv estors
WACC discount rate Rates Notes
19
risk f ree rate 4 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
cost of debt 7 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
equity risk premium 5 hellip
debt required return of debt 5 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
required return of equity 7 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
Appendix j- WACC AND DCF
(in million) Actual CAGR Forecast period
2007 2008 2009 2010 (07 -10) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Sales 11 15 21 25 32 27 29 31 33 36
growth 393 376 200 80 80 80 80 80
Total costs 13 17 22 27 27 -23 -25 -27 -29 -31
sales 857 857 857 857 857
EBITDA -3 -1 -1 -1 -27 4 4 4 5 5 margin -290 -40 -34 -49 143 143 143 143 143
Depreciation amp Amortization -1 2 2 4 0 -1 -1 -1 -1
sales 75 -101 -83 -175 18 18 18 18 18
EBIT -2 -2 -2 -6 34 3 4 4 4 5
Taxes (30) 0 0 0 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
Capex -01 45 26 137 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
sales -302 -127 -556 23 23 23 23 23
IncreaseDecrease in NWC -6 -6 -7 32 0 0 0 0
Unlevered Free Cash Flow -3 -4 5 34 3 3 3 3
WACC 92
Discount Period
05 15 25 35 45
Discount Factor
096 088 080 074 067
Present value of free cash flow 33 2 2 2 2
Terminal Value
Terminal Year Free Cash Flow 3
Perpetuity Growth Rate 30
Terminal Year EBITDA 5
Terminal Value 53
Implied Exit Multiple 108x
Discount Period 50
Discount Factor 06
Present Value of Terminal
Value 34
of Enterprise Value 45
(in million) Actual Forecast period Net Working Capital 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Account receivables 5 7 9 9
Inventory 1 2 3 3
Prepaid expenses and other 0 1 1 1
Total Current Assets 7 10 12 14 6 6 7 7 8
20
sales 617 644 576 553 224 224 224 224 224
Account payable 3 4 5 5
Accrued Liabilities
Other Current Liabilities
Total Current Liabilities 5 8 10 14 -4 -4 -5 -5 -5
sales -505 -503 -493 -585
146 146 146 146 146
Net Working Capital 15 22 27 34
2 2 2 3 3
sales 144 145 133 138 8 8 8 8 8
Input Output
Wacc Calculation Enterprise value
Target Capital Structure (1) Present value of Free Cash Flow 42
Debt to Total Capitalization 309
Equity to Total Capitalization 691 Terminal Value 53
Debt to Equity Ratio 453 Discount Factor 065
Present Value of Terminal Value 34
Cost of Equity of Enterprise Value 45
Risk-free rate (2) 40
Market risk Premium (3) 50 Enterprise value 76
Levered Beta (4) 103 Less Total debt 144 Size Premium (5) 17 Plus Cash and Cash Equi 2
Cost of Equity 108 Net Debt 12
Cost of Debt Implied Equity Value 64
Cost of Debt 70 Outstanding shares 380000000
Taxes 210 Implied share price 000
After Tax Cost of Debt 55 Implied multiples
WACC 92
Enterprise Value 76
SALES 2010 27
(1) Obtained from Beta and Capital Structure tab
EBITDA 2010 4
(2) httpwwwtreasurygovresource-centerdata-chart-centerinterest-ratesPagesTextViewaspxdata=yield
Implied EVSALES 29x
(3) httpwwwftcomcmss030eec02e-03d4-11e1-bbc5-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz1hB0TNS6n
Implied EVEBITDA 200x
(4) Obtained from Beta and Capital Structure tab
(5) Low -Cap Decile size premium based on market capitalization
for growth rate-taken into account a gdp growth rate of 15 and the structure of the company given its recent merge aswell as the financial state of the dcf analysis
Other tables used for analysis
Ratio Analysis
Accounting Ratios Sinclair IS Pharma PLC Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Receivables Turnover 31 35 21 33 15
Receivables - Number of Days 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
Inventory Turnover 24 26 37 32 26
Inventory - Number of Days 1551 1424 986 1139 1425 GrossEquipmentPropertyTurnoverPlant amp 92 10 109 92 58 NetEquipmentPropertyTurnoverPlant amp 21 185 166 117 75
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization of Gross Property Plant
amp 1058 85 737 563 231
21
Equipment Depreciation Depletion amp
Amortization 01 01 01 01 -01
Year to Year Change Depreciation Depletion amp
Amortization 239 254 45 2054 -611
Year to Year Change
Asset Utilization
Figures are expressed as the ratio of Net Sales Net Sales are in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Net Sales 276 304 303 232 116
Cash amp Cash Equivalents 75 03 35 12 433
Short-Term Investments 00 00 00 00 00
Accounts Receivable 327 29 488 304 646
Inventories 173 125 112 93 224
Other Current Assets 36 33 42 33 49
Total Current Assets 61 451 676 551 1352
Totalamp InvestmentsLong Term Receivables 00 05 00 5 00
Long Term Receivables 00 00 00 5 00
CompaniesInvestments in Associated 00 00 00 00 00
Other Investments 00 05 00 00 00
PropertyGross Plant amp Equipment - 109 10 92 109 173
Accumulated Depreciation 62 46 32 23 39
PropertyNet Plant amp Equipment - 48 54 6 85 134
Other Assets 273 233 2089 231 4722
Total Assets 3388 2841 2825 2996 6208
Employee efficiency
Values per Employee are in Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Employees 97 125 154 142 71
Values per Employee Sales 284825 243264 196610 163225 163704
Net Income -181732 -28968 21669 -29634 -39944
Cash Earnings -54216 -26576 -3682 -17225 -32493
Working Capital -97165 -9192 32825 32296 118423
Total Debt 178093 66680 47065 8986 15507
Total Capital 710598 575680 457604 416176 886831
Total Assets 964918 690992 555494 489000 1016254
Year to Year Change per Employee Employees -224 -188 85 100 868
Sales 171 237 205 -03 -108
22
Net Income
-2337 Cash Earnings
Working Capital
-128 16 -727 -192
Total Debt 1671 417 4238 -421 -10
Total Capital 234 258 10 -531 387
Total Assets 396 244 136 -519 325
Fixed Charge Coverage
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
EBITTotal Interest Expense -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITNet Interest -188 -54 56 -1133 EBIT(TotalDiv) Interest Exp + Pfd -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITDividends on Common Shares EBIT(Dividends on Common + Pfd) EBITDATotal Interest Expense -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDANet Interest -154 -13 116 -716 EBITDA(TotalPfd Div) Interest Exp + -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDADividends on Com Shares EBITDA(Dividends on Com + Pfd) Leverage Analysis
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Long Term Debt of EBIT
2133 Long Term Debt of EBITDA
1036
LongAssetsTerm Debt of Total 27 53 48 1 04
LongCapitalTerm Debt of Total 37 64 59 12 05
LongEquityTerm Debt of Com 38 68 62 12 05
Total Debt of EBIT
3734 Total Debt of EBITDA
1814
Total Debt of Total Assets 185 96 85 18 15
Total Debt of Total Capital 251 116 103 22 17
TotalShortDebtTermDebtof Total Capital amp 207 11 99 21 17
TotalEquityDebt of Common 26 124 109 22 18
Minority Interest of EBIT
06 Minority Interest of EBITDA
03
MinorityAssets Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityCapital Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityEquity Interest of Com 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock of EBIT
00 Preferred Stock of EDITDA
00
PreferredAssets Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredCapital Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredEquity Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
23
CommonAssets Equity of Total 709 78 775 841 868
CommonCapital Equity of Total 963 936 941 988 995
Total Capital of Total Assets 736 833 824 851 873
Capital Expenditure of Sales 09 16 05 19 11
FixedEquityAssets of Common 2 24 28 34 25
WorkingCapital Capital of Total -137 -16 72 78 134
Dividend Payout 00 00 00 00 00
FundsTotal DebtFrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
Liquidity Analysis Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
TotalSalesCurrent Assets Net 61 451 676 551 1352
Cash of Current Assets 123 06 51 218 32
CashCurrentamp EquivalentsAssets of 123 06 51 218 32
Quick Ratio 04 06 1 12 17
ReceivablesAssets of Current 536 643 721 552 478
Receivableof days Turnover - number 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
InventoriesAssets of Current 283 278 165 169 166
Inventoryof days Turnover - number 1551 1424 986 1139 1425
InventoryEquivalentsto -Cashnumberamp of days 1561 83 112 4645 6949
Receivables of Total Assets 96 102 173 101 104
Current Ratio 06 09 13 16 22
Total Debt of Total Capital 207 11 99 21 17
FundsCurrentfromLiabilitiesOperations of -20 -224 -37 -299 -316
FundsLong TermfromDebtOperations of -206 -722 -137 -345 -782
FundsTotal Debtfrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
FundsTotal Capitalfrom Operations of -76 -46 -08 -41 -37
Cash Flow (in milllions of Pounds Sterling) Operating Activities -67 0 -36 -15 -29
Financing Activities 265 23 58 -01 54
Investing Activities 179 32 43 06 24
Per Share data
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Sales 017 029 032 025 012
Operating Income -002 0 -001 -003 -003
Pre-tax Income -011 -004 002 -004 -003
NetOperations)Income (Continuing -011 -004 002 -004 -003
Net Income Before Extra Items -011 -004 004 -005 -003
Extraordinary Items 0 0 0 0 0
NetItemsIncome After Extraordinary -011 -004 004 -005 -003
NetCommonIncomeSharesAvailable to -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Fully Diluted Earnings -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Common Dividends 0 0 0 0 0
Cash Earnings -004 -004 -001 -003 -004
Book Value 041 065 071 062 067
24
Retained Earnings 013 035 042 038 042
Assets 058 084 092 074 077
3
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
pound M
illio
ns
Yearly Sales IS Pharma Sinclair
iiSinclair IS Pharma is an international pharmaceutical company a merger created from the two companies IS Pharma and
Sinclair Pharma The corporate headquarter are currently in London UK and its operational headquarters are in Paris France By merging the two which were currently rivals a fully integrated pan European specialist pharmaceutical company has been emerged The initial announcement of the merger took place in February 2011 The Company provides solutions to treat
wounds dermatological and oral diseases through surface technology and delivery systems The Company operates in two segments International Operations and Country Operations Its areas in dermatology cover fungal infections acne atopic dermatitis and family dermatology Its areas in wound care covers skin disinfection radiation dermatitis treatment and wounds and burns healing Its areas in oral care cover gingivitis periodontitis mouth ulcers and teething
Main Products include iii
Objectives met by Sinclair include reducing overheads by 15 million compared to 2009 they have developed many new programmes including
Terbinafine spray Kelo-cote line extensions and Flammacerium They have recently secured their French reimbursement for
Atopiclair and its Decapinol deal in US
They currently have 3 new drugs developed 6 medical devices 3 cosmetics and an ongoing upgrade of dossiers and line extensions In addition have been able to acquire further products such as Terbinafine an a thletersquos foot spray which are
targeting specialists Partnerships include a licensed Decapinal deal in the US to Sunstar a deal with Invida for South Eas t Asia and they are aiming for more deals in other regions
Sales Analysis
Sinclair IS Pharma reported sales of pound3290 for the fiscal
year ending June 2011 Representing an increase of 191
versus 2010 when the companyrsquos sales were pound2763 million
($511324)
Appendix a
Competitor analysis- Appendix b
Sinclair IS Pharma operate in the Pharmaceutical preparations sector the analysis compares Sinclair IS Pharma to three other
companies which operate in the pharmaceutical sector in the UK They have 101 employees and sales of pound3290 million which
is much higher than its three comparable companies which sales in US dollars are between $174882 and $295202 per
employee
4
Company Year
Ended
Sales
(poundmillions)
Sales
Growth
SalesEmp
(US )
Largest
Region
Sinclair IS
Pharma Plc
Jun
2011
32897 191 511324 Western
Europe
Allergy
Therapeutics
Plc
Jun
2011
41552 20 174882 Central
Europe
(775)
Eco Animal
Health
Group Plc
Mar
2011
27078 244 295202 China
Japan and
the Indian
subcontinent
(369)
Europe
(631)
Vectura
Group Plc
Mar
2011
42900 79 263074 United
Kingdom
(100)
Appendix C
Stock Performance
In past years the stock has underperformed The fiscal year 2004 the stock traded 15750p at its highest versus 2300p on
81211 The 52 weeks ending 081211 the company was down 331 to 2300p During the past 13 weeks the stock has fallen by 198 and the past 52 weeks has performed far worse than its comparable companies which saw changes between -
126 and 135 During the past 13 weeks the stock has fallen 198 During the past 52 weeks the stock of
Sinclair IS Pharma PLC has performed significantly worse than the three comparable companies which saw
changes between 126 and 135 During the 12 months ending 6302011 the company has experienced
losses totalling 500 p per share Note that the earnings number includes or excludes extraordinary charge or
credit This company is currently trading at 246 times the sales The three companies vary greatly in terms of
price to sales ratio trading from 079 times all the way up to 469 times their annual sales Sinclair IS Pharma
PLC is trading at 065 times book value Since the price to book ratio is less than 1 this means that
theoretically the net value of the assets is greater than the value of a company as a going concern At the end
of 2011 this companys intangible assets were quite sizable at pound12361 million while the total common equity
stood at pound12391 million If these intangible assets were to be excluded the companys price to book ratio
would be significantly higher The companys price to book ratio is lower than that of all three comparable
companies which are trading between 141 and 1526 times book value Summary of company valuations as of (08112012)
Company PE PriceBook PriceSales 52 week price
change
Sinclair IS
Pharma Plc
na 065 246 -331
Allergy
Therapeutics Plc
na 1526 079 1351
Eco Animal
Health Group Plc
708 203 419 457
Vectura Group
Plc
na 141 469 -1259
Dividend Analysis ndash Appendix d
The company has reported not paying dividends in the last 12 months and has reported losses during the previous 12 months it
has not been able to pay any dividend during the previous 6 fiscal years
5
Profitability Analysis- Appendix e
The company has sales of pound329 million in 2011 and the cost of goods sold equate to pound1377 million -418 of sales so gross
profit 528 of sales The gross profit margin is lower than that achieved in 2010 when cost of goods sold totalled 366 of
sales The profit margin was the lowest in 2011 than the previous five years 2009 held a high of 697 The companies
EBITDA WAS $-521 million which equates to -158 sales The EBITDA margin worsened in 2011 As it was -18 of sales in
2010 The three comparable companies have positive EBITDA margins whilst IS Pharma Sinclair had a negative margin for
2011 their earnings before extraordinary items were -pound1167 million or -355 of sales This profit margin is an improvement
for the company which was achieved in 2010 when profit margin was-638 of sales N For the past three years the company
has reported losses for before extraordinary items It was 2009 the company reported profits from ordinary operations which
was pound334 million In 2011 the return on equity was -176 which is significantly better than its return in 2010 of -262
showing new changes involved in the structure of the company could be a positive sign
Profitability Comparison
Company Year Gross Profit
Margin
EBITDA
Margin
Earns before
extraordinary
items
Sinclair IS
Pharma
2011 582 -158 -355
Sinclair IS
Pharma
2010 634 -18 -638
Eco Health
Group Plc
2011 396 208 59
Vectura Group
Plc
2011 967 28 -205
Allergy
Therapeutics
Plc
2011 723 39 -64
Financial Position- Appendix f ampg
The companyrsquos long term debt was pound715 million in June2011 and liabilities were pound3722 million The long term debt to equity
ratio was very low 006 suggesting Sinclair IS Pharma is not efficient in collecting payments Accounts receivable was pound1397
million equivalent to 155 days of sales This is higher than at the end of 2010 when it was 119 days of sales in accounts
receivable The 155 days of accounts receivable is higher than its three comparable companies for the year of 2011
Research and Development
Expenses were pound718000 equivalent to 225 of sales R amp D increased both as a percentage of sales in 2010 in which pound533 00
was spent 19 of sales R amp D of comparable companies were fairly dispersed with IS Pharma Sinclair in the middle
Inventory Analysis
June 2011 the inventory was pound959 million and cost of goods sold was pound1377 million for the year with a turnover of inventory of
14 times per year which is an increase to the previous year The 14 times turnover is higher than its comparable companies
with IS Pharma Sinclair increasing its inventory turnover consecutively for four years
Financial Position
Company Year LT DEBT
EQUITY
DAYS
ACCOUNTS REC
DAYS
INVENTORY
R amp D SALES
Sinclair IS
Pharma
2011 006 155 254 22
Eco Health Group 2011 578 50 224 40
6
Plc
Vectura Group Plc 2011 0 133 107 01
Allergy
Therapeutics Plc
2011 0 48 52 821
Industry Analysis
Pharmaceutical Industry Competition and market dynamic Health Care Sector overview Appendix h
Stocks show a trend of being less responsive to economic change when comparing to those within the general market
Health inflation is on average higher than the inflation rate
The stock value affected by declining health care related industries and higher rates of unemployment
Strong and expanding sector but is dependent on provisions and management of health care related services
Diverse range of operations eg medical equipment insurance and pharmaceutical companies
Competitive industry but quite stable for investors
The pharmaceutical industry can be traced back to the fourteenth century but more focus on it has been since the 1950rsquos As
the growing population ages there is a growing rise in consumer expectations in this area and pharmaceutical companies are
continuing to create unmet medical needs specifically in developing worlds The main funding behind the pharmaceutical
industry is R amp D investment to create novel drugs Health care costs are currently increasing faster than GDP so therefore it is
unsustainable in healthcares systems in both public and private companies creating barriers to entry being erected There is
growing pressure on pricing and reimbursement and customers increasingly want value for money Also R amp D costs are
increasing more than inflation and the number of new drugs entering the market has fallen The drugs are categorized in two
forms high priced niche specialist drugs lsquoblockbustersrsquo and rans
The pharmaceutical industry relies on a set period of patent protection which provides a monopoly on the profits as a reward for
heavily costs of R amp D This period for which the costs are regained has been shortened by the longer time to market due to the
increased regulations and barriers to market entry based around price and reimbursement
The health industry is a multimillion dollar industry and is known to have a safe nature generic when the economy is down
Pharmaceutical companies always are needed as they are a necessity to people They operate from small to large
experimental companies and manufacture create and market licensed drugs for use as medications The sector is subject to a
variety of laws and regulations in regards to patenting testing and ensuring the safety and efficiency when making and
marketing the drugs
Market IS Pharma Sinclair Operates iniv v
PEST ANALYSIS
7
In terms of political awareness the pharmaceutical industry has increasing awareness due to recognition of the implications of
healthcare as a component of social welfare therefore this will increase the social and financial burden of health care for
example the NHS debate in the UK and Medicare in the US
In 2003 the pharmaceutical industry experienced high mergers and acquisitions Their stock value grew by 105 and health
care grew by 125 from 2003 to 2010 The audit value of the industry was recorded at 500 billion dollars and by 2004 Only
information technology has a higher growth rate at 126 The major countries operating pharmaceutical industries are the US
EU and Japan The Market spreads over nine major geographic markets which account for 80 of the sale (US Japan
France Germany UK Italy Canada Brazil and Spain) The US is the fastest growing country since 1995 and accounts for
60 of sales and alone the US grew by 16 in 2000 total the industry to $133 billion dollars making it a key company to the
pharmaceutical market
In terms of the social impact of the pharmaceutical industry health is an important social and personal role in obtaining soc ieties
needs and therefore cannot be underestimated Global epidemics such as the SARS virus and AIDS which has concerned
awareness from the media has resulted in an increased effort to have good government industry society relations
In terms of technologic advance the industry is very competitive and the technological advances and modern application of
science is forcing the players in the industry to adapt quicker than ever in an evolving environment in which they participat e on
The new advances have increased spending on research and development costs for even more advancement
The legal side of the industry is heavily regulated and compliance enforcing as a result heavy regulatory compliance and legal
overheads have to be taken in Which can be said to restrict the vitality of the environment but the government is now
requesting industry applications non regulatory overheads so that there is no discouragement in the challenges from external
markets
Swot analysis
Strengths
Internal industry components provide value quality and service
Low operating overhead Firm fiscal management low staff turnover
and high ROI
Weaknesses
High risk business modelling
Disengaged board of directors
Dated medical equipment and poor branding Poor staff moral
Diseconomies of scale
Opportunities
Recent published research Increase health conscious consumer
Increased demand for product
Change in food and drug administration standards
Decreased employee health care costs
Threats
Increased government regulation Decreased economy
Increase in r amp d costs
Decrease in global population
Low- patents
at first
Medium- after
patents expire
LOW LOW
High ndash advantage
gained by the first
mover
High R amp D
costs and
patents for
market are
limited
Porters five Forces
Pharmaceutical Sector in Europe
8
Pharmaceuticals in Europe
lsquoMarket entry of generic drugs is delayed and there is a decl ine in the number of novel medicines reaching the market
according to the European Commissions final report on competition in the pharmaceutical sector lsquovi
The pharmaceutical sector is vital to the health of Europes citizens and medicines are a major expense Europe spends euro214
billion per year - in retail prices ndash on pharmaceuticals this is 2 of our GDP This means around euro430 per year for every man
woman and child Europes ageing population will only increase the financial constraints on public health budgets At the same
time many patents for the best selling medicines are due to expire in the next few years So forecasting to the future for this
sector it looks to grow
Price differences of pharmaceuticals across the EU are linked to two main factors
differences in expenditure on health (associated with GDP)
differences in pricing policy and regulation
Reasons for growth in the pharmaceutical market
Porter (1990) states that political and economic changes can lead to increased demand conditions for products Demand conditions are one important component of Porterrsquos Diamond This work has been seen as an important addition to the political social technological and economic factors (PEST) which have often been used to scan the changes taking place in the
business environment Porter (1990) also showed that factor conditions are also important in explaining international product ion Factor conditions in
the US are such that there is a skilled labour supply of researchers in this industry the same is true of the UK Due to the value of the pound it has become more expensive to do business in the UK and so firms like GSK are star ting to do more research in the US and Asia
In terms of other factor conditions China and India have an abundant supply of low cost labour India has become a large world supplier of generics and is also trying to move up the value chain by purchasing European and US firms Porterrsquos approach to analysing the global environment also includes related supporting industries which are left out by tradi tional
PEST analysis This includes infrastructure available in the industry of a particular country Governments have increasingly focused on encouraging clusters and science and technology parks offering shared facilities and experience as well as government support UK examples in the pharmaceutical industry include Oxford and Cambridge where various industr ial links
and universities are widely available With regards to the pharmaceutical industry there has been an emergence of new players in the generic sector particularly
from India and Chinav ii
Upgraded to Overweight European Pharmaceuticals
Indicators are rolling over making EU Pharma to overweight consistent with the positive fundamental view on the
sector Lead indicators in major Western markets are rolling over and the pharmaceutical sector has been one of the most negatively correlated to lead indicators The weighting change is further supported by attractive valuation signs of stabilisation in earnings momentum and pharmrsquos position as the biggest underweight for long-only investors
Valuation prices worse than worst case gt80 upside possible European pharma trades near its lowest levels over 20 years on relative 1 year forward PE vs msci Europe The last time pharma traded at similar levels was 1993-1994 the sector outperformed the market by 130 in the years that followed With
valuation implying -12 CARG for unlevered FCFrsquos from 2013 to 2020 we see the possibility of gt8- upside should our view of gt35 CARG materialise
Looking ahead European pharma companies by a large margin are the leaders in emerging markets business diversification and other factors that limit the impact of the industry generics cliff With a number of price effects from US reforms and EU austerity annualising
later this year we expect improved earnings momentum
Prefer EU over us PHARMA
The divergence between developed and emerging markets growth is increasingly apparent favouring EU pharma companies due to their lower US exposures higher EM exposures and better business diversification
Risks for the European pharma sector include 1 the inability to increase or restore R amp D productivity 2 pressures on pricing government reforms
9
3 worse than expected margins as key blockbuster products (eg Plavix Seroquel) generalize during the generics cliff
4 pressures on cash flows from the payment of long term standing legal issues 5 and loss of important growth contributions from emerging marketsviii
WACC- Appendix j
WACC Calculation
Target Capital Structure (1)
Debt to Total Capitalization 309
Equity to Total Capitalization 691
Debt to Equity Ratio 453
Cost of Equity
Risk-free rate (2) 40
Market risk Premium (3) 50
Levered Beta (4) 103
Size Premium (5) 17
Cost of Equity 108
Cost of Debt Cost of Debt 70
Taxes 210
After Tax Cost of Debt 55
WACC 92
Given a weighted average cost of capital of 92 as the minimum rate of return at which IS Pharma Sinclair will produce value
for investors
References
All financial data extracted from IS Parma Sinclair Annual Report 2011 2010 and 2009
Comparable data extracted from yahoocomfinance
i What the merger has brought
This merger illustrates two areas of expertise join together to create a company which is a fully integrate pan European
speciality pharmaceutical which should create a synergy to all its shareholders as opportunities such as cross selling can be
made by combing the two companies portfolios and creating an in house development capability on leveraging the existing
portfolio as well as new developments They also can access prospects in emerging markets which would increase its growth
through existing and new regional strategic partnerships To investors the company will be attractive as it represents
commercialisation of partner for out licensors of European network and has already established routes in emerging markets
Now Sinclair IS Pharma operates as a fully integrated specialty Pharma company with enlarged specialty product portfolio with broader reach and is creating substantial Pharma business They operate as a strong European business and have emerging market partnerships and opportunities with a strong partner of
choice for product distribution The future looks strong for future growth and they have capability to self-fund future development with a reduced risk with enhanced growth profile
10
IS Pharma Sinclair growth strategy is to focus on core products have key product launches and drive their efficiencies They try
to sweat their enlarged portfolio to drive growth and be able to grow a brand led business through its acquisition and
development
iiiMain products Atopicliar - used to the treatment of eczemaatopic dermatitis Decapinol - used in the treatment of gingivitisgum disease Aloclair - used in the treatment of mouth ulcers s
Xclair - used in the treatment of radiation dermatitis Effadiane - for the relief of skin dryness through environmental factors Salinum - for the relief of dry mouth condition caused by a deficiency in saliva production
Papulex - used to treat inflammatory blemishes SPHR980 - used to treat head lice
iv IS Pharma Sinclair webpage presentation lsquo2011 reviewrsquo
v Source httpwwwequitymastercomresearch-itsector-infopharma vi httpwwweubusinesscomtopicspharmasector -inquiry-guide
vii httpwwwims-productivitycomusercustomjournal2008SpringIMSspr08pg14_18pdf
viii UBS Investment Research
Appendices
Appendix a ndash Sales Analysis
Year Sales Growth Cost of Goods sold of sales EBITDA OF SALES EBI OF SALES Employee
Sales per employeed
After tax income per employee
2003 9079000 na 2646000 2914 1641000 0180746778 440000 004846349 29 3130689655 1517241379
2004 2655000 -7076 1520000 5725 -1648000 -0620715631 -2754000 -10372881 25 106200 -110160
2005 6971000 16256 2380000 3414 -1412000 -0202553436 -2669000 -03828719 38 1834473684 -7023684211
2006 11623000 6673 4112000 3538 -2233000 -0192119074 -2836000 -0243999 71 1637042254 -3994366197
2007 23178000 9941 7645000 3298 -2434000 -0105013375 -4208000 -01815515 142 1632253521 -2963380282
2008 30278000 3063 10258000 3388 3996000 0131977013 3337000 011021204 154 1966103896 2166883117
2009 30408000 043 9211000 3029 -825000 -0027131018 -3621000 -01190805 125 243264 -28968
2010 27628000 -914 10100000 3656 -14227000 -0514948603 -17628000 -06380484 97 2848247423 -1817319588
2011 32897000 1907 13765000 4184 -7667000 -0233060765 -1166000 -0035444 101 3257128713 -1154455446
Appendix b - Comparables Comparable Companies Unlevered Beta
Company
Levered Beta (1)
Market Value of Debt (2)
Market Value of Equity (3) Debt Equity
Equity Total Assets
Marginal Tax Rate
SINCLAIR IS PHARMA 052 500 1125 0444444444 0692307692 03
ALLERGY THERAPEUTICS PLC 131 400 868 0460829493 0684542587 03
ECO ANIMAL HEALTH 115 450 7875 0571428571 0636363636 03
VECTURA GROUP 112 375 1125 0333333333 075 03
Median 1135
0452636969 068842514
Mean 1025
0452508961 0690803479
11
(1) From Bloomberg
(2) Book Value of Debt
(3) From Bloomberg (4) Unlevered Beta = Predicted Levered Beta (1 +
DebtEquity) x (1-t))
Relevered Beta
Mean Unlevered Beta
Mean Target Debt Equity
Target Marginal Tax Rate Relevered Beta
Target Company
0779158663 0452508961 03 1025962057
Appendix C ndash Price Analysis year Quarter High Price Low Price Closing Price Quarterly Change 12 months change
2003 Oct - Dec 1435 1205 138 NA NA
2004 Jan - March 1575 138 1445 471 NA
Apr - June 1565 138 14 -311 NA
July - Sep 1175 1015 1 -2857 NA
Oct - Dec 1255 0925 123 2300 -1090
2005 Jan - March 1405 1185 1238 065 -1440
Apr - June 1325 114 132 662 -570
July - Sep 1375 109 1165 -1174 1650
Oct - Dec 1385 114 123 558 000
2006 Jan - March 142 1255 126 244 180
Apr - June 1265 101 1194 -524 -950
July - Sep 1235 097 097 -1876 -1670
Oct - Dec 1195 0995 1087 1206 -1160
2007 Jan - March 1295 103 125 1500 -080
Apr - June 151 116 1215 -280 180
July - Sep 127 0745 085 -3004 -1240
Oct - Dec 086 0635 0705 -1706 -3510
2008 Jan - March 069 032 0363 -4851 -7100
Apr - June 0435 0358 0363 000 -7020
July - Sep 071 0308 0423 1653 -5030
Oct - Dec 045 016 018 -5745 -7450
2009 Jan - March 033 013 0268 4889 -2620
Apr - June 0335 023 025 -672 -3100
July - Sep 0475 0233 044 7600 410
Oct - Dec 047 0315 034 -2273 8890
2010 Jan - March 0354 029 0305 -1029 1400
Apr - June 0325 0241 0265 -1311 600
July - Sep 0297 0245 0275 377 -3750
Oct - Dec 0428 0265 0405 4727 1910
2011 Jan - March 0425 0335 0363 -1037 1890
Apr - June 038 0283 0284 -2176 710
July - Sep 032 0225 0249 -1232 -950
08122011
0213 -1980 -3310
12
Appendix d ndashEarns and Dividend Analysis
EARNINGS AND DIVIDENDS ANALYSIS FundamentalsEarnings amp Dividends Analysis Sinclair IS Pharma PLC
Per Share Pounds SterlingFiscal Year Ends in June
Earnings Per Share Dividends Per Share
12 Months Quarterly Reported Earnings 12 Months Quarterly Reported Dividends
Fiscal Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Years Earnings Change Sep Dec Mar Jun Dividends Change Sep Dec Mar Jun Payout
2003G H 004 nc na na na na 000 nc na na na 000 00
2004DG F 007 nc na na na na 000 nc na na na 000 00
2005D F 005 nc na 004 na 001 000 nc na na na 000 00
2006BD F 005 nc na 003 na 002 000 nc na na na 000 00
2007 AF 005 nc na 003 na 002 000 nc na na na 000 00
2008 AF 004 nc na 001 na 005 000 nc na na na 000 00
2009 F 004 nc na 004 na 008 000 nc na na na 000 00
2010E ACF 014 nc na 013 na 001 000 nc na na na 000 00
2011D ACF 005 nc na 002 na 003 000 nc na na na 000 00
Appendix e - Profitability Analysis
Operating Income Margin
-133 -05 -28 -106 -261
Pretax Income Margin
-664 -133 52 -172 -237
EBIT Margin
-631 -112 64 -166 -232
Net Income Margin
-638 -119 11 -182 -244
Return on Equity - Total
-264 -54 54 -7 -65
Return on Invested Capital
-21 -4 56 -66 -62
Return on Assets
-186 -35 48 -58 -54
Asset Turnover
03 04 04 03 02
Financial Leverage
26 124 109 22 18
Interest Expense on Debt
933000 636000 367000 129000 54000
Effective Tax Rate
Cash Flow Sales
-19 -109 -19 -106 -198
Selling General amp
Administrative Expenses of
652 617 621 715 867
Sales
ResearchExpense amp Development
19 13 28 23 17
OperatingTotal CapitalIncome Return On
-42 21 192 -61 1591
13
Appendix F ndash Balance Sheet data ndash from SPH annual report 2009 -2011
Financial Statement AnalysesBalance Sheet - Five-Year Averages Balance Sheet - (5 Year Averages)
Figures in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007
Assets Total Assets 814 685 567 44
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 22 28 43 42
Cash 22 28 43 42
Short Term Investments 0 0 0 0
Receivables (Net) 94 85 72 51
Inventories -Total 33 25 18 11
Raw Materials 1 07 04 03
Work in Process 01 01 01 0
Finished Goods 23 18 13 09
OtherProgress Payments amp 0 0 0 0
Prepaid Expenses Other Current Assets 09 08 06 04
Current Assets - Total 159 146 139 108
Long Term Receivables 02 02 02 02
InvestmentCompaniesin Associated 0 0 0 0
Other Investments 0 0 0 0
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment 27 22 17 12
Accumulated Depreciation 1 07 05 03
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and 17 15 12 08
Other Assets 636 522 414 322
Deferred Charges 0 0 0 0
Tangible Other Assets 06 05 04 04
Intangible Other Assets 63 517 409 318
Total Assets 814 685 567 44
Liabilities amp Shareholders Equity Total Liabilities amp 814 685 567 44
Shareholders Equity Accounts Payable 54 47 38 28
Short Term Debt amp Current 46 17 1 05
Portion of Long Term Debt Accrued Payroll Income Taxes Payable 01 01 01 02
Dividends Payable Other Current Liabilities 43 36 26 19
Current Liabilities - Total 144 101 75 54
Long Term Debt 25 2 11 02
Long Term Debt Excluding 24 19 1 02
Capitalized Leases
14
Capitalized Lease 01 01 01 01
Obligations Provision for Risks and Charges Deferred Income Deferred Taxes -09 -05 -02 -01
Deferred Taxes - Credit Deferred Taxes - Debit Deferred Tax Liability in Untaxed Reserves Other Liabilities 08 07 07 07
Total Liabilities 172 128 93 67
Non-Equity Reserves 0 0 0 0
Minority Interest 0 0 0 0
Preferred Stock 0 0 0 0
Preferred Stock Issued for ESOP ESOP Guarantees - Preferred Issued Common Equity 642 558 473 373
TotalShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 814 685 567 44
Balance Sheet yr to yr change Financial Statement AnalysesBalance Sheet - Year - Year Change
Ba lance Sheet - (Year to Year Percent Change) Figures are the Percent Changes from the Prior Year Fi scal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Assets Tota l Assets 84 1 232 -38 1476
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 22534 -916 -623 -446 26
Cash 22534 -916 -623 -446 26
Short Term Investments Receivables (Net) 24 -403 1096 -62 636
Inventories -Total 254 126 563 -171 3341
Raw Materials 311 209 668 -167 29727
Work in Process -4 -734 4697 -411 Finished Goods 235 164 438 -165 2242
Progress Payments amp Other Prepaid Expenses Other Current Assets -16 -222 655 376 802
Current Assets - Total 23 -331 603 -187 51
Long Term Receivables
-100 Investment in Associated
Companies Other Investments -100
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment -04 87 109 251 1906
Accumulated Depreciation 227 443 783 19 515
15
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and -198 -101 -75 268 2964
Other Assets 64 121 181 -24 1992
Deferred Charges
Tangible Other Assets 6135 -719 3064 -958 Intangible Other Assets 57 125 177 08 1891
Tota l Assets 84 1 232 -38 1476
Liabilities amp Shareholders Equity
Tota l Liabilities amp 84 1 232 -38 1476
Shareholders Equity
Accounts Payable 109 -148 221 426 49
Short Term Debt amp Current 2944 201 4481 -297 679
Portion of Long Term Debt Accrued Payroll
Income Taxes Payable -957 895 303 -81 19471
Dividends Payable
Other Current Liabilities -00 -56 1529 -68 321
Current Liabilities - Total 769 -37 884 121 51
Long Term Debt -445 112 4839 1403 686
Long Term Debt Excluding -442 129 6933 177 356
Capitalized Leases Capitalized Lease -717 -492 -416 804 180
Obl igations Provis ion for Risks and -714
Charges Deferred Income -896 -216 -566
Deferred Taxes
Deferred Taxes - Credit Deferred Taxes - Debit 537 842 945
Deferred Tax Liability in Untaxed Reserves
Other Liabilities 109
-100 -27 Tota l Liabilities 432 -1 739 165 891
Non-Equity Reserves Minori ty Interest -100
91 120
Preferred Stock Preferred Stock Issued for
ESOP ESOP Guarantees -
Preferred Issued Common Equity -15 16 136 -68 1597
Tota lShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 84 1 232 -38 1476
SPH Balcnce sheet total asset
Figures are expressed as Percent of Total Assets
Total Assets are in millions of Pounds Sterling
Fiscal Year 20100 20090 20080 20070 20060
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Assets
16
Total Assets 936 864 855 694 722
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 2200 01 1200 4000 7000
Cash 2200 01 1200 4000 7000
Short Term Investments 00 00 00 00 00
Receivables (Net) 96 102 173 101 104
Inventories -Total 5100 4400 4000 3100 3600
Raw Materials 16 13 11 08 09
Work in Process 01 01 02 00 01
Finished Goods 3500 3000 2600 2300 26
OtherProgress Payments amp 00 00 00 00 00
Prepaid Expenses
Other Current Assets 11 12 15 11 08
Current Assets - Total 18 159 239 184 218
Long Term Receivables 00 00 00 1700 00
InvestmentCompaniesin Associated 00 00 00 00 00
Other Investments 00 02 00 00 00
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment 3200 3500 3300 3600 2800
Accumulated Depreciation 18 16 11 08 06
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and 14 19 21 28 2200
Other Assets 80600 82000 73900 77100 76100
Deferred Charges 00 00 00 00 00
Tangible Other Assets 07 01 04 01 26 Intangible Other Assets 799 819 736 77 735
Total Assets 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000
Liabilities amp Shareholders
Equity
Total Liabilities amp 93600 86400 85500 694 72200
Shareholders Equity
Accounts Payable 65 63 75 76 51
Short Term Debt amp Current 157 43 36 08 11
Portion of Long Term Debt
Accrued Payroll
Income Taxes Payable 00 02 01 01 05
Dividends Payable
Other Current Liabilities 5900 6400 6800 33 34
Current Liabilities - Total 281 172 18 118 101
Long Term Debt 27 53 48 1 04
Long Term Debt Excluding 27 53 47 07 03
Capitalized Leases
Capitalized Lease 00 01 01 03 02
Obligations
Provision for Risks and 01 04 02
Charges
Deferred Income 00 03 04 12
Deferred Taxes -21 -15 -08 -05 00
Deferred Taxes - Credit
Deferred Taxes - Debit 21 15 08 05
Deferred Tax Liability in
Untaxed Reserves Other Liabilities 03 03 00 24 24
Total Liabilities 291 22 225 159 131
Non-Equity Reserves 00 00 00 00 00
Minority Interest 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock Issued for ESOP ESOP Guarantees - Preferred Issued
17
Common Equity 709 78 775 841 868
TotalShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 100 100 100 100 100
Appendix g- Income statement- figures from Annual report 2009-2011
Income Statement - (4 Year Averages) Figures in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007
Net Sales or Revenues 246 205 149 107
Cost of Goods Sold 83 67 52 37
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization 19 15 12 1
Gross Income 144 122 85 6
Selling General amp Administrative Expenses 164 141 11 82
Other Operating Expenses 0 0 0 0
Operating Expenses - Total 267 224 174 129
Operating Income -2 -19 -24 -22
Extraordinary Credit - Pretax 12 12 08 0
Extraordinary Charge - Pretax 41 14 05 03
Non-Operating Interest Income 01 01 02 02
Reserves - IncreaseDecrease Pretax Equity in Earnings 0 0 0 0
Other IncomeExpense - Net -02 -01 0 01
EarningsAmortizationbefore(EBITDA)Interest Taxes Depreciation amp -31 -06 -07 -12
Earnings before Interest amp Taxes(EBIT) -51 -21 -2 -23
Interest Expense on Debt 04 02 01 0
Interest Capitalized 0 0 0 0
Pretax Income -55 -24 -21 -23
Income Taxes -05 -04 -03 01
Minority Interest 0 0 0 0
Equity in Earnings 0 0 0 0
After Tax Other IncomeExpense 0 0 0 0
Discontinued Operations 0 0 NetDividendsIncome before Extraordinary ItemsPreferred -5 -2 -18 -24
Extraordinary Items amp GainLoss Sale of Assets 0 0 0 0
Preferred Dividend Requirements 0 0 0 0
NetCommonIncome after Preferred Dividends - available to -5 -2 -18 -24
Income Statement revenues
Figures are expressed as Percent of Net Sales or Revenues Net Sales or Revenues are in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Net Sales or Revenues 276 304 303 232 116
Cost of Goods Sold 366 303 339 33 354
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization 116 85 68 61 4
Gross Income 519 612 593 609 606
Selling General amp Administrative Expenses 652 617 621 715 867
Other Operating Expenses 00 00 00 00 00
Operating Expenses - Total 1133 1005 1028 1106 1261
18
Operating Income -133 -05 -28 -106 -261
Extraordinary Credit - Pretax 00 55 135 00 00
Extraordinary Charge - Pretax 482 143 35 71 00
Non-Operating Interest Income 00 00 01 04 24
Reserves - IncreaseDecrease
00
Pretax Equity in Earnings 00 00 00 00 00
Other IncomeExpense - Net -16 -19 -09 07 05
EarningsDepreciationbeforeamp AmortizationInterest Taxes(EBITDA) -515 -27 132 -105 -192
Earnings before Interest amp Taxes(EBIT) -631 -112 64 -166 -232
Interest Expense on Debt 34 21 12 06 05
Interest Capitalized 00 00 00 00 00
Pretax Income -664 -133 52 -172 -237
Income Taxes -26 -14 -58 1 07
Minority Interest 00 00 00 00 00
Equity in Earnings 00 00 00 00 00
After Tax Other IncomeExpense 00 00 00 00 00
Discontinued Operations 00 00 00 00 00
NetItemsPreferredIncome beforeDividendsExtraordinary -638 -119 11 -182 -244
ExtraordinaryAssets Items amp GainLoss Sale of 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Dividend Requirements 00 00 00 00 00
NetavailableIncometo Commonafter Preferred Dividends - -638 -119 11 -182 -244
Appendix h Healthcare industry statistics source Reuters Industry Statistics Stat Notes
stock research rating Hold hellip
Potential saf ety margin 38 hellip
WACC discount rate 7 Low ~ Good f or inv estors
Comparators Stat Notes
rev enue EV multiple 28x High ~ Bad f or inv estors
EBITDA EV multiple 94x High ~ Bad f or inv estors
EBIT EV multiple 129x hellip
Cash f low ev multiple 128x hellip
Book v alue EV multiple 10x Low ~ Good f or inv estors
DISC CASH FLOW Ratios Notes
REVENUE GROWTH 13 High ~ Good f or inv estors
EBITDA MARGIN 26 High ~ Good f or inv estors
EBIT MARGIN 22 High ~ Good f or inv estors
CASH FLOW MARGIN 14 High ~ Good f or inv estors
TAXES RATE 21 hellip
DEBT-EQUITY RATIO 15 Low ~ Good f or inv estors
ROIC 5 Low ~ Bad f or inv estors
RE-inv estment Rate 13 High ~ Bad f or inv estors
WACC discount rate Rates Notes
19
risk f ree rate 4 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
cost of debt 7 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
equity risk premium 5 hellip
debt required return of debt 5 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
required return of equity 7 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
Appendix j- WACC AND DCF
(in million) Actual CAGR Forecast period
2007 2008 2009 2010 (07 -10) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Sales 11 15 21 25 32 27 29 31 33 36
growth 393 376 200 80 80 80 80 80
Total costs 13 17 22 27 27 -23 -25 -27 -29 -31
sales 857 857 857 857 857
EBITDA -3 -1 -1 -1 -27 4 4 4 5 5 margin -290 -40 -34 -49 143 143 143 143 143
Depreciation amp Amortization -1 2 2 4 0 -1 -1 -1 -1
sales 75 -101 -83 -175 18 18 18 18 18
EBIT -2 -2 -2 -6 34 3 4 4 4 5
Taxes (30) 0 0 0 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
Capex -01 45 26 137 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
sales -302 -127 -556 23 23 23 23 23
IncreaseDecrease in NWC -6 -6 -7 32 0 0 0 0
Unlevered Free Cash Flow -3 -4 5 34 3 3 3 3
WACC 92
Discount Period
05 15 25 35 45
Discount Factor
096 088 080 074 067
Present value of free cash flow 33 2 2 2 2
Terminal Value
Terminal Year Free Cash Flow 3
Perpetuity Growth Rate 30
Terminal Year EBITDA 5
Terminal Value 53
Implied Exit Multiple 108x
Discount Period 50
Discount Factor 06
Present Value of Terminal
Value 34
of Enterprise Value 45
(in million) Actual Forecast period Net Working Capital 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Account receivables 5 7 9 9
Inventory 1 2 3 3
Prepaid expenses and other 0 1 1 1
Total Current Assets 7 10 12 14 6 6 7 7 8
20
sales 617 644 576 553 224 224 224 224 224
Account payable 3 4 5 5
Accrued Liabilities
Other Current Liabilities
Total Current Liabilities 5 8 10 14 -4 -4 -5 -5 -5
sales -505 -503 -493 -585
146 146 146 146 146
Net Working Capital 15 22 27 34
2 2 2 3 3
sales 144 145 133 138 8 8 8 8 8
Input Output
Wacc Calculation Enterprise value
Target Capital Structure (1) Present value of Free Cash Flow 42
Debt to Total Capitalization 309
Equity to Total Capitalization 691 Terminal Value 53
Debt to Equity Ratio 453 Discount Factor 065
Present Value of Terminal Value 34
Cost of Equity of Enterprise Value 45
Risk-free rate (2) 40
Market risk Premium (3) 50 Enterprise value 76
Levered Beta (4) 103 Less Total debt 144 Size Premium (5) 17 Plus Cash and Cash Equi 2
Cost of Equity 108 Net Debt 12
Cost of Debt Implied Equity Value 64
Cost of Debt 70 Outstanding shares 380000000
Taxes 210 Implied share price 000
After Tax Cost of Debt 55 Implied multiples
WACC 92
Enterprise Value 76
SALES 2010 27
(1) Obtained from Beta and Capital Structure tab
EBITDA 2010 4
(2) httpwwwtreasurygovresource-centerdata-chart-centerinterest-ratesPagesTextViewaspxdata=yield
Implied EVSALES 29x
(3) httpwwwftcomcmss030eec02e-03d4-11e1-bbc5-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz1hB0TNS6n
Implied EVEBITDA 200x
(4) Obtained from Beta and Capital Structure tab
(5) Low -Cap Decile size premium based on market capitalization
for growth rate-taken into account a gdp growth rate of 15 and the structure of the company given its recent merge aswell as the financial state of the dcf analysis
Other tables used for analysis
Ratio Analysis
Accounting Ratios Sinclair IS Pharma PLC Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Receivables Turnover 31 35 21 33 15
Receivables - Number of Days 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
Inventory Turnover 24 26 37 32 26
Inventory - Number of Days 1551 1424 986 1139 1425 GrossEquipmentPropertyTurnoverPlant amp 92 10 109 92 58 NetEquipmentPropertyTurnoverPlant amp 21 185 166 117 75
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization of Gross Property Plant
amp 1058 85 737 563 231
21
Equipment Depreciation Depletion amp
Amortization 01 01 01 01 -01
Year to Year Change Depreciation Depletion amp
Amortization 239 254 45 2054 -611
Year to Year Change
Asset Utilization
Figures are expressed as the ratio of Net Sales Net Sales are in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Net Sales 276 304 303 232 116
Cash amp Cash Equivalents 75 03 35 12 433
Short-Term Investments 00 00 00 00 00
Accounts Receivable 327 29 488 304 646
Inventories 173 125 112 93 224
Other Current Assets 36 33 42 33 49
Total Current Assets 61 451 676 551 1352
Totalamp InvestmentsLong Term Receivables 00 05 00 5 00
Long Term Receivables 00 00 00 5 00
CompaniesInvestments in Associated 00 00 00 00 00
Other Investments 00 05 00 00 00
PropertyGross Plant amp Equipment - 109 10 92 109 173
Accumulated Depreciation 62 46 32 23 39
PropertyNet Plant amp Equipment - 48 54 6 85 134
Other Assets 273 233 2089 231 4722
Total Assets 3388 2841 2825 2996 6208
Employee efficiency
Values per Employee are in Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Employees 97 125 154 142 71
Values per Employee Sales 284825 243264 196610 163225 163704
Net Income -181732 -28968 21669 -29634 -39944
Cash Earnings -54216 -26576 -3682 -17225 -32493
Working Capital -97165 -9192 32825 32296 118423
Total Debt 178093 66680 47065 8986 15507
Total Capital 710598 575680 457604 416176 886831
Total Assets 964918 690992 555494 489000 1016254
Year to Year Change per Employee Employees -224 -188 85 100 868
Sales 171 237 205 -03 -108
22
Net Income
-2337 Cash Earnings
Working Capital
-128 16 -727 -192
Total Debt 1671 417 4238 -421 -10
Total Capital 234 258 10 -531 387
Total Assets 396 244 136 -519 325
Fixed Charge Coverage
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
EBITTotal Interest Expense -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITNet Interest -188 -54 56 -1133 EBIT(TotalDiv) Interest Exp + Pfd -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITDividends on Common Shares EBIT(Dividends on Common + Pfd) EBITDATotal Interest Expense -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDANet Interest -154 -13 116 -716 EBITDA(TotalPfd Div) Interest Exp + -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDADividends on Com Shares EBITDA(Dividends on Com + Pfd) Leverage Analysis
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Long Term Debt of EBIT
2133 Long Term Debt of EBITDA
1036
LongAssetsTerm Debt of Total 27 53 48 1 04
LongCapitalTerm Debt of Total 37 64 59 12 05
LongEquityTerm Debt of Com 38 68 62 12 05
Total Debt of EBIT
3734 Total Debt of EBITDA
1814
Total Debt of Total Assets 185 96 85 18 15
Total Debt of Total Capital 251 116 103 22 17
TotalShortDebtTermDebtof Total Capital amp 207 11 99 21 17
TotalEquityDebt of Common 26 124 109 22 18
Minority Interest of EBIT
06 Minority Interest of EBITDA
03
MinorityAssets Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityCapital Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityEquity Interest of Com 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock of EBIT
00 Preferred Stock of EDITDA
00
PreferredAssets Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredCapital Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredEquity Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
23
CommonAssets Equity of Total 709 78 775 841 868
CommonCapital Equity of Total 963 936 941 988 995
Total Capital of Total Assets 736 833 824 851 873
Capital Expenditure of Sales 09 16 05 19 11
FixedEquityAssets of Common 2 24 28 34 25
WorkingCapital Capital of Total -137 -16 72 78 134
Dividend Payout 00 00 00 00 00
FundsTotal DebtFrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
Liquidity Analysis Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
TotalSalesCurrent Assets Net 61 451 676 551 1352
Cash of Current Assets 123 06 51 218 32
CashCurrentamp EquivalentsAssets of 123 06 51 218 32
Quick Ratio 04 06 1 12 17
ReceivablesAssets of Current 536 643 721 552 478
Receivableof days Turnover - number 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
InventoriesAssets of Current 283 278 165 169 166
Inventoryof days Turnover - number 1551 1424 986 1139 1425
InventoryEquivalentsto -Cashnumberamp of days 1561 83 112 4645 6949
Receivables of Total Assets 96 102 173 101 104
Current Ratio 06 09 13 16 22
Total Debt of Total Capital 207 11 99 21 17
FundsCurrentfromLiabilitiesOperations of -20 -224 -37 -299 -316
FundsLong TermfromDebtOperations of -206 -722 -137 -345 -782
FundsTotal Debtfrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
FundsTotal Capitalfrom Operations of -76 -46 -08 -41 -37
Cash Flow (in milllions of Pounds Sterling) Operating Activities -67 0 -36 -15 -29
Financing Activities 265 23 58 -01 54
Investing Activities 179 32 43 06 24
Per Share data
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Sales 017 029 032 025 012
Operating Income -002 0 -001 -003 -003
Pre-tax Income -011 -004 002 -004 -003
NetOperations)Income (Continuing -011 -004 002 -004 -003
Net Income Before Extra Items -011 -004 004 -005 -003
Extraordinary Items 0 0 0 0 0
NetItemsIncome After Extraordinary -011 -004 004 -005 -003
NetCommonIncomeSharesAvailable to -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Fully Diluted Earnings -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Common Dividends 0 0 0 0 0
Cash Earnings -004 -004 -001 -003 -004
Book Value 041 065 071 062 067
24
Retained Earnings 013 035 042 038 042
Assets 058 084 092 074 077
4
Company Year
Ended
Sales
(poundmillions)
Sales
Growth
SalesEmp
(US )
Largest
Region
Sinclair IS
Pharma Plc
Jun
2011
32897 191 511324 Western
Europe
Allergy
Therapeutics
Plc
Jun
2011
41552 20 174882 Central
Europe
(775)
Eco Animal
Health
Group Plc
Mar
2011
27078 244 295202 China
Japan and
the Indian
subcontinent
(369)
Europe
(631)
Vectura
Group Plc
Mar
2011
42900 79 263074 United
Kingdom
(100)
Appendix C
Stock Performance
In past years the stock has underperformed The fiscal year 2004 the stock traded 15750p at its highest versus 2300p on
81211 The 52 weeks ending 081211 the company was down 331 to 2300p During the past 13 weeks the stock has fallen by 198 and the past 52 weeks has performed far worse than its comparable companies which saw changes between -
126 and 135 During the past 13 weeks the stock has fallen 198 During the past 52 weeks the stock of
Sinclair IS Pharma PLC has performed significantly worse than the three comparable companies which saw
changes between 126 and 135 During the 12 months ending 6302011 the company has experienced
losses totalling 500 p per share Note that the earnings number includes or excludes extraordinary charge or
credit This company is currently trading at 246 times the sales The three companies vary greatly in terms of
price to sales ratio trading from 079 times all the way up to 469 times their annual sales Sinclair IS Pharma
PLC is trading at 065 times book value Since the price to book ratio is less than 1 this means that
theoretically the net value of the assets is greater than the value of a company as a going concern At the end
of 2011 this companys intangible assets were quite sizable at pound12361 million while the total common equity
stood at pound12391 million If these intangible assets were to be excluded the companys price to book ratio
would be significantly higher The companys price to book ratio is lower than that of all three comparable
companies which are trading between 141 and 1526 times book value Summary of company valuations as of (08112012)
Company PE PriceBook PriceSales 52 week price
change
Sinclair IS
Pharma Plc
na 065 246 -331
Allergy
Therapeutics Plc
na 1526 079 1351
Eco Animal
Health Group Plc
708 203 419 457
Vectura Group
Plc
na 141 469 -1259
Dividend Analysis ndash Appendix d
The company has reported not paying dividends in the last 12 months and has reported losses during the previous 12 months it
has not been able to pay any dividend during the previous 6 fiscal years
5
Profitability Analysis- Appendix e
The company has sales of pound329 million in 2011 and the cost of goods sold equate to pound1377 million -418 of sales so gross
profit 528 of sales The gross profit margin is lower than that achieved in 2010 when cost of goods sold totalled 366 of
sales The profit margin was the lowest in 2011 than the previous five years 2009 held a high of 697 The companies
EBITDA WAS $-521 million which equates to -158 sales The EBITDA margin worsened in 2011 As it was -18 of sales in
2010 The three comparable companies have positive EBITDA margins whilst IS Pharma Sinclair had a negative margin for
2011 their earnings before extraordinary items were -pound1167 million or -355 of sales This profit margin is an improvement
for the company which was achieved in 2010 when profit margin was-638 of sales N For the past three years the company
has reported losses for before extraordinary items It was 2009 the company reported profits from ordinary operations which
was pound334 million In 2011 the return on equity was -176 which is significantly better than its return in 2010 of -262
showing new changes involved in the structure of the company could be a positive sign
Profitability Comparison
Company Year Gross Profit
Margin
EBITDA
Margin
Earns before
extraordinary
items
Sinclair IS
Pharma
2011 582 -158 -355
Sinclair IS
Pharma
2010 634 -18 -638
Eco Health
Group Plc
2011 396 208 59
Vectura Group
Plc
2011 967 28 -205
Allergy
Therapeutics
Plc
2011 723 39 -64
Financial Position- Appendix f ampg
The companyrsquos long term debt was pound715 million in June2011 and liabilities were pound3722 million The long term debt to equity
ratio was very low 006 suggesting Sinclair IS Pharma is not efficient in collecting payments Accounts receivable was pound1397
million equivalent to 155 days of sales This is higher than at the end of 2010 when it was 119 days of sales in accounts
receivable The 155 days of accounts receivable is higher than its three comparable companies for the year of 2011
Research and Development
Expenses were pound718000 equivalent to 225 of sales R amp D increased both as a percentage of sales in 2010 in which pound533 00
was spent 19 of sales R amp D of comparable companies were fairly dispersed with IS Pharma Sinclair in the middle
Inventory Analysis
June 2011 the inventory was pound959 million and cost of goods sold was pound1377 million for the year with a turnover of inventory of
14 times per year which is an increase to the previous year The 14 times turnover is higher than its comparable companies
with IS Pharma Sinclair increasing its inventory turnover consecutively for four years
Financial Position
Company Year LT DEBT
EQUITY
DAYS
ACCOUNTS REC
DAYS
INVENTORY
R amp D SALES
Sinclair IS
Pharma
2011 006 155 254 22
Eco Health Group 2011 578 50 224 40
6
Plc
Vectura Group Plc 2011 0 133 107 01
Allergy
Therapeutics Plc
2011 0 48 52 821
Industry Analysis
Pharmaceutical Industry Competition and market dynamic Health Care Sector overview Appendix h
Stocks show a trend of being less responsive to economic change when comparing to those within the general market
Health inflation is on average higher than the inflation rate
The stock value affected by declining health care related industries and higher rates of unemployment
Strong and expanding sector but is dependent on provisions and management of health care related services
Diverse range of operations eg medical equipment insurance and pharmaceutical companies
Competitive industry but quite stable for investors
The pharmaceutical industry can be traced back to the fourteenth century but more focus on it has been since the 1950rsquos As
the growing population ages there is a growing rise in consumer expectations in this area and pharmaceutical companies are
continuing to create unmet medical needs specifically in developing worlds The main funding behind the pharmaceutical
industry is R amp D investment to create novel drugs Health care costs are currently increasing faster than GDP so therefore it is
unsustainable in healthcares systems in both public and private companies creating barriers to entry being erected There is
growing pressure on pricing and reimbursement and customers increasingly want value for money Also R amp D costs are
increasing more than inflation and the number of new drugs entering the market has fallen The drugs are categorized in two
forms high priced niche specialist drugs lsquoblockbustersrsquo and rans
The pharmaceutical industry relies on a set period of patent protection which provides a monopoly on the profits as a reward for
heavily costs of R amp D This period for which the costs are regained has been shortened by the longer time to market due to the
increased regulations and barriers to market entry based around price and reimbursement
The health industry is a multimillion dollar industry and is known to have a safe nature generic when the economy is down
Pharmaceutical companies always are needed as they are a necessity to people They operate from small to large
experimental companies and manufacture create and market licensed drugs for use as medications The sector is subject to a
variety of laws and regulations in regards to patenting testing and ensuring the safety and efficiency when making and
marketing the drugs
Market IS Pharma Sinclair Operates iniv v
PEST ANALYSIS
7
In terms of political awareness the pharmaceutical industry has increasing awareness due to recognition of the implications of
healthcare as a component of social welfare therefore this will increase the social and financial burden of health care for
example the NHS debate in the UK and Medicare in the US
In 2003 the pharmaceutical industry experienced high mergers and acquisitions Their stock value grew by 105 and health
care grew by 125 from 2003 to 2010 The audit value of the industry was recorded at 500 billion dollars and by 2004 Only
information technology has a higher growth rate at 126 The major countries operating pharmaceutical industries are the US
EU and Japan The Market spreads over nine major geographic markets which account for 80 of the sale (US Japan
France Germany UK Italy Canada Brazil and Spain) The US is the fastest growing country since 1995 and accounts for
60 of sales and alone the US grew by 16 in 2000 total the industry to $133 billion dollars making it a key company to the
pharmaceutical market
In terms of the social impact of the pharmaceutical industry health is an important social and personal role in obtaining soc ieties
needs and therefore cannot be underestimated Global epidemics such as the SARS virus and AIDS which has concerned
awareness from the media has resulted in an increased effort to have good government industry society relations
In terms of technologic advance the industry is very competitive and the technological advances and modern application of
science is forcing the players in the industry to adapt quicker than ever in an evolving environment in which they participat e on
The new advances have increased spending on research and development costs for even more advancement
The legal side of the industry is heavily regulated and compliance enforcing as a result heavy regulatory compliance and legal
overheads have to be taken in Which can be said to restrict the vitality of the environment but the government is now
requesting industry applications non regulatory overheads so that there is no discouragement in the challenges from external
markets
Swot analysis
Strengths
Internal industry components provide value quality and service
Low operating overhead Firm fiscal management low staff turnover
and high ROI
Weaknesses
High risk business modelling
Disengaged board of directors
Dated medical equipment and poor branding Poor staff moral
Diseconomies of scale
Opportunities
Recent published research Increase health conscious consumer
Increased demand for product
Change in food and drug administration standards
Decreased employee health care costs
Threats
Increased government regulation Decreased economy
Increase in r amp d costs
Decrease in global population
Low- patents
at first
Medium- after
patents expire
LOW LOW
High ndash advantage
gained by the first
mover
High R amp D
costs and
patents for
market are
limited
Porters five Forces
Pharmaceutical Sector in Europe
8
Pharmaceuticals in Europe
lsquoMarket entry of generic drugs is delayed and there is a decl ine in the number of novel medicines reaching the market
according to the European Commissions final report on competition in the pharmaceutical sector lsquovi
The pharmaceutical sector is vital to the health of Europes citizens and medicines are a major expense Europe spends euro214
billion per year - in retail prices ndash on pharmaceuticals this is 2 of our GDP This means around euro430 per year for every man
woman and child Europes ageing population will only increase the financial constraints on public health budgets At the same
time many patents for the best selling medicines are due to expire in the next few years So forecasting to the future for this
sector it looks to grow
Price differences of pharmaceuticals across the EU are linked to two main factors
differences in expenditure on health (associated with GDP)
differences in pricing policy and regulation
Reasons for growth in the pharmaceutical market
Porter (1990) states that political and economic changes can lead to increased demand conditions for products Demand conditions are one important component of Porterrsquos Diamond This work has been seen as an important addition to the political social technological and economic factors (PEST) which have often been used to scan the changes taking place in the
business environment Porter (1990) also showed that factor conditions are also important in explaining international product ion Factor conditions in
the US are such that there is a skilled labour supply of researchers in this industry the same is true of the UK Due to the value of the pound it has become more expensive to do business in the UK and so firms like GSK are star ting to do more research in the US and Asia
In terms of other factor conditions China and India have an abundant supply of low cost labour India has become a large world supplier of generics and is also trying to move up the value chain by purchasing European and US firms Porterrsquos approach to analysing the global environment also includes related supporting industries which are left out by tradi tional
PEST analysis This includes infrastructure available in the industry of a particular country Governments have increasingly focused on encouraging clusters and science and technology parks offering shared facilities and experience as well as government support UK examples in the pharmaceutical industry include Oxford and Cambridge where various industr ial links
and universities are widely available With regards to the pharmaceutical industry there has been an emergence of new players in the generic sector particularly
from India and Chinav ii
Upgraded to Overweight European Pharmaceuticals
Indicators are rolling over making EU Pharma to overweight consistent with the positive fundamental view on the
sector Lead indicators in major Western markets are rolling over and the pharmaceutical sector has been one of the most negatively correlated to lead indicators The weighting change is further supported by attractive valuation signs of stabilisation in earnings momentum and pharmrsquos position as the biggest underweight for long-only investors
Valuation prices worse than worst case gt80 upside possible European pharma trades near its lowest levels over 20 years on relative 1 year forward PE vs msci Europe The last time pharma traded at similar levels was 1993-1994 the sector outperformed the market by 130 in the years that followed With
valuation implying -12 CARG for unlevered FCFrsquos from 2013 to 2020 we see the possibility of gt8- upside should our view of gt35 CARG materialise
Looking ahead European pharma companies by a large margin are the leaders in emerging markets business diversification and other factors that limit the impact of the industry generics cliff With a number of price effects from US reforms and EU austerity annualising
later this year we expect improved earnings momentum
Prefer EU over us PHARMA
The divergence between developed and emerging markets growth is increasingly apparent favouring EU pharma companies due to their lower US exposures higher EM exposures and better business diversification
Risks for the European pharma sector include 1 the inability to increase or restore R amp D productivity 2 pressures on pricing government reforms
9
3 worse than expected margins as key blockbuster products (eg Plavix Seroquel) generalize during the generics cliff
4 pressures on cash flows from the payment of long term standing legal issues 5 and loss of important growth contributions from emerging marketsviii
WACC- Appendix j
WACC Calculation
Target Capital Structure (1)
Debt to Total Capitalization 309
Equity to Total Capitalization 691
Debt to Equity Ratio 453
Cost of Equity
Risk-free rate (2) 40
Market risk Premium (3) 50
Levered Beta (4) 103
Size Premium (5) 17
Cost of Equity 108
Cost of Debt Cost of Debt 70
Taxes 210
After Tax Cost of Debt 55
WACC 92
Given a weighted average cost of capital of 92 as the minimum rate of return at which IS Pharma Sinclair will produce value
for investors
References
All financial data extracted from IS Parma Sinclair Annual Report 2011 2010 and 2009
Comparable data extracted from yahoocomfinance
i What the merger has brought
This merger illustrates two areas of expertise join together to create a company which is a fully integrate pan European
speciality pharmaceutical which should create a synergy to all its shareholders as opportunities such as cross selling can be
made by combing the two companies portfolios and creating an in house development capability on leveraging the existing
portfolio as well as new developments They also can access prospects in emerging markets which would increase its growth
through existing and new regional strategic partnerships To investors the company will be attractive as it represents
commercialisation of partner for out licensors of European network and has already established routes in emerging markets
Now Sinclair IS Pharma operates as a fully integrated specialty Pharma company with enlarged specialty product portfolio with broader reach and is creating substantial Pharma business They operate as a strong European business and have emerging market partnerships and opportunities with a strong partner of
choice for product distribution The future looks strong for future growth and they have capability to self-fund future development with a reduced risk with enhanced growth profile
10
IS Pharma Sinclair growth strategy is to focus on core products have key product launches and drive their efficiencies They try
to sweat their enlarged portfolio to drive growth and be able to grow a brand led business through its acquisition and
development
iiiMain products Atopicliar - used to the treatment of eczemaatopic dermatitis Decapinol - used in the treatment of gingivitisgum disease Aloclair - used in the treatment of mouth ulcers s
Xclair - used in the treatment of radiation dermatitis Effadiane - for the relief of skin dryness through environmental factors Salinum - for the relief of dry mouth condition caused by a deficiency in saliva production
Papulex - used to treat inflammatory blemishes SPHR980 - used to treat head lice
iv IS Pharma Sinclair webpage presentation lsquo2011 reviewrsquo
v Source httpwwwequitymastercomresearch-itsector-infopharma vi httpwwweubusinesscomtopicspharmasector -inquiry-guide
vii httpwwwims-productivitycomusercustomjournal2008SpringIMSspr08pg14_18pdf
viii UBS Investment Research
Appendices
Appendix a ndash Sales Analysis
Year Sales Growth Cost of Goods sold of sales EBITDA OF SALES EBI OF SALES Employee
Sales per employeed
After tax income per employee
2003 9079000 na 2646000 2914 1641000 0180746778 440000 004846349 29 3130689655 1517241379
2004 2655000 -7076 1520000 5725 -1648000 -0620715631 -2754000 -10372881 25 106200 -110160
2005 6971000 16256 2380000 3414 -1412000 -0202553436 -2669000 -03828719 38 1834473684 -7023684211
2006 11623000 6673 4112000 3538 -2233000 -0192119074 -2836000 -0243999 71 1637042254 -3994366197
2007 23178000 9941 7645000 3298 -2434000 -0105013375 -4208000 -01815515 142 1632253521 -2963380282
2008 30278000 3063 10258000 3388 3996000 0131977013 3337000 011021204 154 1966103896 2166883117
2009 30408000 043 9211000 3029 -825000 -0027131018 -3621000 -01190805 125 243264 -28968
2010 27628000 -914 10100000 3656 -14227000 -0514948603 -17628000 -06380484 97 2848247423 -1817319588
2011 32897000 1907 13765000 4184 -7667000 -0233060765 -1166000 -0035444 101 3257128713 -1154455446
Appendix b - Comparables Comparable Companies Unlevered Beta
Company
Levered Beta (1)
Market Value of Debt (2)
Market Value of Equity (3) Debt Equity
Equity Total Assets
Marginal Tax Rate
SINCLAIR IS PHARMA 052 500 1125 0444444444 0692307692 03
ALLERGY THERAPEUTICS PLC 131 400 868 0460829493 0684542587 03
ECO ANIMAL HEALTH 115 450 7875 0571428571 0636363636 03
VECTURA GROUP 112 375 1125 0333333333 075 03
Median 1135
0452636969 068842514
Mean 1025
0452508961 0690803479
11
(1) From Bloomberg
(2) Book Value of Debt
(3) From Bloomberg (4) Unlevered Beta = Predicted Levered Beta (1 +
DebtEquity) x (1-t))
Relevered Beta
Mean Unlevered Beta
Mean Target Debt Equity
Target Marginal Tax Rate Relevered Beta
Target Company
0779158663 0452508961 03 1025962057
Appendix C ndash Price Analysis year Quarter High Price Low Price Closing Price Quarterly Change 12 months change
2003 Oct - Dec 1435 1205 138 NA NA
2004 Jan - March 1575 138 1445 471 NA
Apr - June 1565 138 14 -311 NA
July - Sep 1175 1015 1 -2857 NA
Oct - Dec 1255 0925 123 2300 -1090
2005 Jan - March 1405 1185 1238 065 -1440
Apr - June 1325 114 132 662 -570
July - Sep 1375 109 1165 -1174 1650
Oct - Dec 1385 114 123 558 000
2006 Jan - March 142 1255 126 244 180
Apr - June 1265 101 1194 -524 -950
July - Sep 1235 097 097 -1876 -1670
Oct - Dec 1195 0995 1087 1206 -1160
2007 Jan - March 1295 103 125 1500 -080
Apr - June 151 116 1215 -280 180
July - Sep 127 0745 085 -3004 -1240
Oct - Dec 086 0635 0705 -1706 -3510
2008 Jan - March 069 032 0363 -4851 -7100
Apr - June 0435 0358 0363 000 -7020
July - Sep 071 0308 0423 1653 -5030
Oct - Dec 045 016 018 -5745 -7450
2009 Jan - March 033 013 0268 4889 -2620
Apr - June 0335 023 025 -672 -3100
July - Sep 0475 0233 044 7600 410
Oct - Dec 047 0315 034 -2273 8890
2010 Jan - March 0354 029 0305 -1029 1400
Apr - June 0325 0241 0265 -1311 600
July - Sep 0297 0245 0275 377 -3750
Oct - Dec 0428 0265 0405 4727 1910
2011 Jan - March 0425 0335 0363 -1037 1890
Apr - June 038 0283 0284 -2176 710
July - Sep 032 0225 0249 -1232 -950
08122011
0213 -1980 -3310
12
Appendix d ndashEarns and Dividend Analysis
EARNINGS AND DIVIDENDS ANALYSIS FundamentalsEarnings amp Dividends Analysis Sinclair IS Pharma PLC
Per Share Pounds SterlingFiscal Year Ends in June
Earnings Per Share Dividends Per Share
12 Months Quarterly Reported Earnings 12 Months Quarterly Reported Dividends
Fiscal Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Years Earnings Change Sep Dec Mar Jun Dividends Change Sep Dec Mar Jun Payout
2003G H 004 nc na na na na 000 nc na na na 000 00
2004DG F 007 nc na na na na 000 nc na na na 000 00
2005D F 005 nc na 004 na 001 000 nc na na na 000 00
2006BD F 005 nc na 003 na 002 000 nc na na na 000 00
2007 AF 005 nc na 003 na 002 000 nc na na na 000 00
2008 AF 004 nc na 001 na 005 000 nc na na na 000 00
2009 F 004 nc na 004 na 008 000 nc na na na 000 00
2010E ACF 014 nc na 013 na 001 000 nc na na na 000 00
2011D ACF 005 nc na 002 na 003 000 nc na na na 000 00
Appendix e - Profitability Analysis
Operating Income Margin
-133 -05 -28 -106 -261
Pretax Income Margin
-664 -133 52 -172 -237
EBIT Margin
-631 -112 64 -166 -232
Net Income Margin
-638 -119 11 -182 -244
Return on Equity - Total
-264 -54 54 -7 -65
Return on Invested Capital
-21 -4 56 -66 -62
Return on Assets
-186 -35 48 -58 -54
Asset Turnover
03 04 04 03 02
Financial Leverage
26 124 109 22 18
Interest Expense on Debt
933000 636000 367000 129000 54000
Effective Tax Rate
Cash Flow Sales
-19 -109 -19 -106 -198
Selling General amp
Administrative Expenses of
652 617 621 715 867
Sales
ResearchExpense amp Development
19 13 28 23 17
OperatingTotal CapitalIncome Return On
-42 21 192 -61 1591
13
Appendix F ndash Balance Sheet data ndash from SPH annual report 2009 -2011
Financial Statement AnalysesBalance Sheet - Five-Year Averages Balance Sheet - (5 Year Averages)
Figures in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007
Assets Total Assets 814 685 567 44
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 22 28 43 42
Cash 22 28 43 42
Short Term Investments 0 0 0 0
Receivables (Net) 94 85 72 51
Inventories -Total 33 25 18 11
Raw Materials 1 07 04 03
Work in Process 01 01 01 0
Finished Goods 23 18 13 09
OtherProgress Payments amp 0 0 0 0
Prepaid Expenses Other Current Assets 09 08 06 04
Current Assets - Total 159 146 139 108
Long Term Receivables 02 02 02 02
InvestmentCompaniesin Associated 0 0 0 0
Other Investments 0 0 0 0
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment 27 22 17 12
Accumulated Depreciation 1 07 05 03
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and 17 15 12 08
Other Assets 636 522 414 322
Deferred Charges 0 0 0 0
Tangible Other Assets 06 05 04 04
Intangible Other Assets 63 517 409 318
Total Assets 814 685 567 44
Liabilities amp Shareholders Equity Total Liabilities amp 814 685 567 44
Shareholders Equity Accounts Payable 54 47 38 28
Short Term Debt amp Current 46 17 1 05
Portion of Long Term Debt Accrued Payroll Income Taxes Payable 01 01 01 02
Dividends Payable Other Current Liabilities 43 36 26 19
Current Liabilities - Total 144 101 75 54
Long Term Debt 25 2 11 02
Long Term Debt Excluding 24 19 1 02
Capitalized Leases
14
Capitalized Lease 01 01 01 01
Obligations Provision for Risks and Charges Deferred Income Deferred Taxes -09 -05 -02 -01
Deferred Taxes - Credit Deferred Taxes - Debit Deferred Tax Liability in Untaxed Reserves Other Liabilities 08 07 07 07
Total Liabilities 172 128 93 67
Non-Equity Reserves 0 0 0 0
Minority Interest 0 0 0 0
Preferred Stock 0 0 0 0
Preferred Stock Issued for ESOP ESOP Guarantees - Preferred Issued Common Equity 642 558 473 373
TotalShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 814 685 567 44
Balance Sheet yr to yr change Financial Statement AnalysesBalance Sheet - Year - Year Change
Ba lance Sheet - (Year to Year Percent Change) Figures are the Percent Changes from the Prior Year Fi scal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Assets Tota l Assets 84 1 232 -38 1476
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 22534 -916 -623 -446 26
Cash 22534 -916 -623 -446 26
Short Term Investments Receivables (Net) 24 -403 1096 -62 636
Inventories -Total 254 126 563 -171 3341
Raw Materials 311 209 668 -167 29727
Work in Process -4 -734 4697 -411 Finished Goods 235 164 438 -165 2242
Progress Payments amp Other Prepaid Expenses Other Current Assets -16 -222 655 376 802
Current Assets - Total 23 -331 603 -187 51
Long Term Receivables
-100 Investment in Associated
Companies Other Investments -100
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment -04 87 109 251 1906
Accumulated Depreciation 227 443 783 19 515
15
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and -198 -101 -75 268 2964
Other Assets 64 121 181 -24 1992
Deferred Charges
Tangible Other Assets 6135 -719 3064 -958 Intangible Other Assets 57 125 177 08 1891
Tota l Assets 84 1 232 -38 1476
Liabilities amp Shareholders Equity
Tota l Liabilities amp 84 1 232 -38 1476
Shareholders Equity
Accounts Payable 109 -148 221 426 49
Short Term Debt amp Current 2944 201 4481 -297 679
Portion of Long Term Debt Accrued Payroll
Income Taxes Payable -957 895 303 -81 19471
Dividends Payable
Other Current Liabilities -00 -56 1529 -68 321
Current Liabilities - Total 769 -37 884 121 51
Long Term Debt -445 112 4839 1403 686
Long Term Debt Excluding -442 129 6933 177 356
Capitalized Leases Capitalized Lease -717 -492 -416 804 180
Obl igations Provis ion for Risks and -714
Charges Deferred Income -896 -216 -566
Deferred Taxes
Deferred Taxes - Credit Deferred Taxes - Debit 537 842 945
Deferred Tax Liability in Untaxed Reserves
Other Liabilities 109
-100 -27 Tota l Liabilities 432 -1 739 165 891
Non-Equity Reserves Minori ty Interest -100
91 120
Preferred Stock Preferred Stock Issued for
ESOP ESOP Guarantees -
Preferred Issued Common Equity -15 16 136 -68 1597
Tota lShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 84 1 232 -38 1476
SPH Balcnce sheet total asset
Figures are expressed as Percent of Total Assets
Total Assets are in millions of Pounds Sterling
Fiscal Year 20100 20090 20080 20070 20060
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Assets
16
Total Assets 936 864 855 694 722
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 2200 01 1200 4000 7000
Cash 2200 01 1200 4000 7000
Short Term Investments 00 00 00 00 00
Receivables (Net) 96 102 173 101 104
Inventories -Total 5100 4400 4000 3100 3600
Raw Materials 16 13 11 08 09
Work in Process 01 01 02 00 01
Finished Goods 3500 3000 2600 2300 26
OtherProgress Payments amp 00 00 00 00 00
Prepaid Expenses
Other Current Assets 11 12 15 11 08
Current Assets - Total 18 159 239 184 218
Long Term Receivables 00 00 00 1700 00
InvestmentCompaniesin Associated 00 00 00 00 00
Other Investments 00 02 00 00 00
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment 3200 3500 3300 3600 2800
Accumulated Depreciation 18 16 11 08 06
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and 14 19 21 28 2200
Other Assets 80600 82000 73900 77100 76100
Deferred Charges 00 00 00 00 00
Tangible Other Assets 07 01 04 01 26 Intangible Other Assets 799 819 736 77 735
Total Assets 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000
Liabilities amp Shareholders
Equity
Total Liabilities amp 93600 86400 85500 694 72200
Shareholders Equity
Accounts Payable 65 63 75 76 51
Short Term Debt amp Current 157 43 36 08 11
Portion of Long Term Debt
Accrued Payroll
Income Taxes Payable 00 02 01 01 05
Dividends Payable
Other Current Liabilities 5900 6400 6800 33 34
Current Liabilities - Total 281 172 18 118 101
Long Term Debt 27 53 48 1 04
Long Term Debt Excluding 27 53 47 07 03
Capitalized Leases
Capitalized Lease 00 01 01 03 02
Obligations
Provision for Risks and 01 04 02
Charges
Deferred Income 00 03 04 12
Deferred Taxes -21 -15 -08 -05 00
Deferred Taxes - Credit
Deferred Taxes - Debit 21 15 08 05
Deferred Tax Liability in
Untaxed Reserves Other Liabilities 03 03 00 24 24
Total Liabilities 291 22 225 159 131
Non-Equity Reserves 00 00 00 00 00
Minority Interest 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock Issued for ESOP ESOP Guarantees - Preferred Issued
17
Common Equity 709 78 775 841 868
TotalShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 100 100 100 100 100
Appendix g- Income statement- figures from Annual report 2009-2011
Income Statement - (4 Year Averages) Figures in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007
Net Sales or Revenues 246 205 149 107
Cost of Goods Sold 83 67 52 37
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization 19 15 12 1
Gross Income 144 122 85 6
Selling General amp Administrative Expenses 164 141 11 82
Other Operating Expenses 0 0 0 0
Operating Expenses - Total 267 224 174 129
Operating Income -2 -19 -24 -22
Extraordinary Credit - Pretax 12 12 08 0
Extraordinary Charge - Pretax 41 14 05 03
Non-Operating Interest Income 01 01 02 02
Reserves - IncreaseDecrease Pretax Equity in Earnings 0 0 0 0
Other IncomeExpense - Net -02 -01 0 01
EarningsAmortizationbefore(EBITDA)Interest Taxes Depreciation amp -31 -06 -07 -12
Earnings before Interest amp Taxes(EBIT) -51 -21 -2 -23
Interest Expense on Debt 04 02 01 0
Interest Capitalized 0 0 0 0
Pretax Income -55 -24 -21 -23
Income Taxes -05 -04 -03 01
Minority Interest 0 0 0 0
Equity in Earnings 0 0 0 0
After Tax Other IncomeExpense 0 0 0 0
Discontinued Operations 0 0 NetDividendsIncome before Extraordinary ItemsPreferred -5 -2 -18 -24
Extraordinary Items amp GainLoss Sale of Assets 0 0 0 0
Preferred Dividend Requirements 0 0 0 0
NetCommonIncome after Preferred Dividends - available to -5 -2 -18 -24
Income Statement revenues
Figures are expressed as Percent of Net Sales or Revenues Net Sales or Revenues are in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Net Sales or Revenues 276 304 303 232 116
Cost of Goods Sold 366 303 339 33 354
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization 116 85 68 61 4
Gross Income 519 612 593 609 606
Selling General amp Administrative Expenses 652 617 621 715 867
Other Operating Expenses 00 00 00 00 00
Operating Expenses - Total 1133 1005 1028 1106 1261
18
Operating Income -133 -05 -28 -106 -261
Extraordinary Credit - Pretax 00 55 135 00 00
Extraordinary Charge - Pretax 482 143 35 71 00
Non-Operating Interest Income 00 00 01 04 24
Reserves - IncreaseDecrease
00
Pretax Equity in Earnings 00 00 00 00 00
Other IncomeExpense - Net -16 -19 -09 07 05
EarningsDepreciationbeforeamp AmortizationInterest Taxes(EBITDA) -515 -27 132 -105 -192
Earnings before Interest amp Taxes(EBIT) -631 -112 64 -166 -232
Interest Expense on Debt 34 21 12 06 05
Interest Capitalized 00 00 00 00 00
Pretax Income -664 -133 52 -172 -237
Income Taxes -26 -14 -58 1 07
Minority Interest 00 00 00 00 00
Equity in Earnings 00 00 00 00 00
After Tax Other IncomeExpense 00 00 00 00 00
Discontinued Operations 00 00 00 00 00
NetItemsPreferredIncome beforeDividendsExtraordinary -638 -119 11 -182 -244
ExtraordinaryAssets Items amp GainLoss Sale of 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Dividend Requirements 00 00 00 00 00
NetavailableIncometo Commonafter Preferred Dividends - -638 -119 11 -182 -244
Appendix h Healthcare industry statistics source Reuters Industry Statistics Stat Notes
stock research rating Hold hellip
Potential saf ety margin 38 hellip
WACC discount rate 7 Low ~ Good f or inv estors
Comparators Stat Notes
rev enue EV multiple 28x High ~ Bad f or inv estors
EBITDA EV multiple 94x High ~ Bad f or inv estors
EBIT EV multiple 129x hellip
Cash f low ev multiple 128x hellip
Book v alue EV multiple 10x Low ~ Good f or inv estors
DISC CASH FLOW Ratios Notes
REVENUE GROWTH 13 High ~ Good f or inv estors
EBITDA MARGIN 26 High ~ Good f or inv estors
EBIT MARGIN 22 High ~ Good f or inv estors
CASH FLOW MARGIN 14 High ~ Good f or inv estors
TAXES RATE 21 hellip
DEBT-EQUITY RATIO 15 Low ~ Good f or inv estors
ROIC 5 Low ~ Bad f or inv estors
RE-inv estment Rate 13 High ~ Bad f or inv estors
WACC discount rate Rates Notes
19
risk f ree rate 4 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
cost of debt 7 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
equity risk premium 5 hellip
debt required return of debt 5 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
required return of equity 7 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
Appendix j- WACC AND DCF
(in million) Actual CAGR Forecast period
2007 2008 2009 2010 (07 -10) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Sales 11 15 21 25 32 27 29 31 33 36
growth 393 376 200 80 80 80 80 80
Total costs 13 17 22 27 27 -23 -25 -27 -29 -31
sales 857 857 857 857 857
EBITDA -3 -1 -1 -1 -27 4 4 4 5 5 margin -290 -40 -34 -49 143 143 143 143 143
Depreciation amp Amortization -1 2 2 4 0 -1 -1 -1 -1
sales 75 -101 -83 -175 18 18 18 18 18
EBIT -2 -2 -2 -6 34 3 4 4 4 5
Taxes (30) 0 0 0 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
Capex -01 45 26 137 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
sales -302 -127 -556 23 23 23 23 23
IncreaseDecrease in NWC -6 -6 -7 32 0 0 0 0
Unlevered Free Cash Flow -3 -4 5 34 3 3 3 3
WACC 92
Discount Period
05 15 25 35 45
Discount Factor
096 088 080 074 067
Present value of free cash flow 33 2 2 2 2
Terminal Value
Terminal Year Free Cash Flow 3
Perpetuity Growth Rate 30
Terminal Year EBITDA 5
Terminal Value 53
Implied Exit Multiple 108x
Discount Period 50
Discount Factor 06
Present Value of Terminal
Value 34
of Enterprise Value 45
(in million) Actual Forecast period Net Working Capital 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Account receivables 5 7 9 9
Inventory 1 2 3 3
Prepaid expenses and other 0 1 1 1
Total Current Assets 7 10 12 14 6 6 7 7 8
20
sales 617 644 576 553 224 224 224 224 224
Account payable 3 4 5 5
Accrued Liabilities
Other Current Liabilities
Total Current Liabilities 5 8 10 14 -4 -4 -5 -5 -5
sales -505 -503 -493 -585
146 146 146 146 146
Net Working Capital 15 22 27 34
2 2 2 3 3
sales 144 145 133 138 8 8 8 8 8
Input Output
Wacc Calculation Enterprise value
Target Capital Structure (1) Present value of Free Cash Flow 42
Debt to Total Capitalization 309
Equity to Total Capitalization 691 Terminal Value 53
Debt to Equity Ratio 453 Discount Factor 065
Present Value of Terminal Value 34
Cost of Equity of Enterprise Value 45
Risk-free rate (2) 40
Market risk Premium (3) 50 Enterprise value 76
Levered Beta (4) 103 Less Total debt 144 Size Premium (5) 17 Plus Cash and Cash Equi 2
Cost of Equity 108 Net Debt 12
Cost of Debt Implied Equity Value 64
Cost of Debt 70 Outstanding shares 380000000
Taxes 210 Implied share price 000
After Tax Cost of Debt 55 Implied multiples
WACC 92
Enterprise Value 76
SALES 2010 27
(1) Obtained from Beta and Capital Structure tab
EBITDA 2010 4
(2) httpwwwtreasurygovresource-centerdata-chart-centerinterest-ratesPagesTextViewaspxdata=yield
Implied EVSALES 29x
(3) httpwwwftcomcmss030eec02e-03d4-11e1-bbc5-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz1hB0TNS6n
Implied EVEBITDA 200x
(4) Obtained from Beta and Capital Structure tab
(5) Low -Cap Decile size premium based on market capitalization
for growth rate-taken into account a gdp growth rate of 15 and the structure of the company given its recent merge aswell as the financial state of the dcf analysis
Other tables used for analysis
Ratio Analysis
Accounting Ratios Sinclair IS Pharma PLC Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Receivables Turnover 31 35 21 33 15
Receivables - Number of Days 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
Inventory Turnover 24 26 37 32 26
Inventory - Number of Days 1551 1424 986 1139 1425 GrossEquipmentPropertyTurnoverPlant amp 92 10 109 92 58 NetEquipmentPropertyTurnoverPlant amp 21 185 166 117 75
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization of Gross Property Plant
amp 1058 85 737 563 231
21
Equipment Depreciation Depletion amp
Amortization 01 01 01 01 -01
Year to Year Change Depreciation Depletion amp
Amortization 239 254 45 2054 -611
Year to Year Change
Asset Utilization
Figures are expressed as the ratio of Net Sales Net Sales are in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Net Sales 276 304 303 232 116
Cash amp Cash Equivalents 75 03 35 12 433
Short-Term Investments 00 00 00 00 00
Accounts Receivable 327 29 488 304 646
Inventories 173 125 112 93 224
Other Current Assets 36 33 42 33 49
Total Current Assets 61 451 676 551 1352
Totalamp InvestmentsLong Term Receivables 00 05 00 5 00
Long Term Receivables 00 00 00 5 00
CompaniesInvestments in Associated 00 00 00 00 00
Other Investments 00 05 00 00 00
PropertyGross Plant amp Equipment - 109 10 92 109 173
Accumulated Depreciation 62 46 32 23 39
PropertyNet Plant amp Equipment - 48 54 6 85 134
Other Assets 273 233 2089 231 4722
Total Assets 3388 2841 2825 2996 6208
Employee efficiency
Values per Employee are in Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Employees 97 125 154 142 71
Values per Employee Sales 284825 243264 196610 163225 163704
Net Income -181732 -28968 21669 -29634 -39944
Cash Earnings -54216 -26576 -3682 -17225 -32493
Working Capital -97165 -9192 32825 32296 118423
Total Debt 178093 66680 47065 8986 15507
Total Capital 710598 575680 457604 416176 886831
Total Assets 964918 690992 555494 489000 1016254
Year to Year Change per Employee Employees -224 -188 85 100 868
Sales 171 237 205 -03 -108
22
Net Income
-2337 Cash Earnings
Working Capital
-128 16 -727 -192
Total Debt 1671 417 4238 -421 -10
Total Capital 234 258 10 -531 387
Total Assets 396 244 136 -519 325
Fixed Charge Coverage
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
EBITTotal Interest Expense -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITNet Interest -188 -54 56 -1133 EBIT(TotalDiv) Interest Exp + Pfd -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITDividends on Common Shares EBIT(Dividends on Common + Pfd) EBITDATotal Interest Expense -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDANet Interest -154 -13 116 -716 EBITDA(TotalPfd Div) Interest Exp + -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDADividends on Com Shares EBITDA(Dividends on Com + Pfd) Leverage Analysis
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Long Term Debt of EBIT
2133 Long Term Debt of EBITDA
1036
LongAssetsTerm Debt of Total 27 53 48 1 04
LongCapitalTerm Debt of Total 37 64 59 12 05
LongEquityTerm Debt of Com 38 68 62 12 05
Total Debt of EBIT
3734 Total Debt of EBITDA
1814
Total Debt of Total Assets 185 96 85 18 15
Total Debt of Total Capital 251 116 103 22 17
TotalShortDebtTermDebtof Total Capital amp 207 11 99 21 17
TotalEquityDebt of Common 26 124 109 22 18
Minority Interest of EBIT
06 Minority Interest of EBITDA
03
MinorityAssets Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityCapital Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityEquity Interest of Com 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock of EBIT
00 Preferred Stock of EDITDA
00
PreferredAssets Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredCapital Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredEquity Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
23
CommonAssets Equity of Total 709 78 775 841 868
CommonCapital Equity of Total 963 936 941 988 995
Total Capital of Total Assets 736 833 824 851 873
Capital Expenditure of Sales 09 16 05 19 11
FixedEquityAssets of Common 2 24 28 34 25
WorkingCapital Capital of Total -137 -16 72 78 134
Dividend Payout 00 00 00 00 00
FundsTotal DebtFrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
Liquidity Analysis Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
TotalSalesCurrent Assets Net 61 451 676 551 1352
Cash of Current Assets 123 06 51 218 32
CashCurrentamp EquivalentsAssets of 123 06 51 218 32
Quick Ratio 04 06 1 12 17
ReceivablesAssets of Current 536 643 721 552 478
Receivableof days Turnover - number 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
InventoriesAssets of Current 283 278 165 169 166
Inventoryof days Turnover - number 1551 1424 986 1139 1425
InventoryEquivalentsto -Cashnumberamp of days 1561 83 112 4645 6949
Receivables of Total Assets 96 102 173 101 104
Current Ratio 06 09 13 16 22
Total Debt of Total Capital 207 11 99 21 17
FundsCurrentfromLiabilitiesOperations of -20 -224 -37 -299 -316
FundsLong TermfromDebtOperations of -206 -722 -137 -345 -782
FundsTotal Debtfrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
FundsTotal Capitalfrom Operations of -76 -46 -08 -41 -37
Cash Flow (in milllions of Pounds Sterling) Operating Activities -67 0 -36 -15 -29
Financing Activities 265 23 58 -01 54
Investing Activities 179 32 43 06 24
Per Share data
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Sales 017 029 032 025 012
Operating Income -002 0 -001 -003 -003
Pre-tax Income -011 -004 002 -004 -003
NetOperations)Income (Continuing -011 -004 002 -004 -003
Net Income Before Extra Items -011 -004 004 -005 -003
Extraordinary Items 0 0 0 0 0
NetItemsIncome After Extraordinary -011 -004 004 -005 -003
NetCommonIncomeSharesAvailable to -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Fully Diluted Earnings -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Common Dividends 0 0 0 0 0
Cash Earnings -004 -004 -001 -003 -004
Book Value 041 065 071 062 067
24
Retained Earnings 013 035 042 038 042
Assets 058 084 092 074 077
5
Profitability Analysis- Appendix e
The company has sales of pound329 million in 2011 and the cost of goods sold equate to pound1377 million -418 of sales so gross
profit 528 of sales The gross profit margin is lower than that achieved in 2010 when cost of goods sold totalled 366 of
sales The profit margin was the lowest in 2011 than the previous five years 2009 held a high of 697 The companies
EBITDA WAS $-521 million which equates to -158 sales The EBITDA margin worsened in 2011 As it was -18 of sales in
2010 The three comparable companies have positive EBITDA margins whilst IS Pharma Sinclair had a negative margin for
2011 their earnings before extraordinary items were -pound1167 million or -355 of sales This profit margin is an improvement
for the company which was achieved in 2010 when profit margin was-638 of sales N For the past three years the company
has reported losses for before extraordinary items It was 2009 the company reported profits from ordinary operations which
was pound334 million In 2011 the return on equity was -176 which is significantly better than its return in 2010 of -262
showing new changes involved in the structure of the company could be a positive sign
Profitability Comparison
Company Year Gross Profit
Margin
EBITDA
Margin
Earns before
extraordinary
items
Sinclair IS
Pharma
2011 582 -158 -355
Sinclair IS
Pharma
2010 634 -18 -638
Eco Health
Group Plc
2011 396 208 59
Vectura Group
Plc
2011 967 28 -205
Allergy
Therapeutics
Plc
2011 723 39 -64
Financial Position- Appendix f ampg
The companyrsquos long term debt was pound715 million in June2011 and liabilities were pound3722 million The long term debt to equity
ratio was very low 006 suggesting Sinclair IS Pharma is not efficient in collecting payments Accounts receivable was pound1397
million equivalent to 155 days of sales This is higher than at the end of 2010 when it was 119 days of sales in accounts
receivable The 155 days of accounts receivable is higher than its three comparable companies for the year of 2011
Research and Development
Expenses were pound718000 equivalent to 225 of sales R amp D increased both as a percentage of sales in 2010 in which pound533 00
was spent 19 of sales R amp D of comparable companies were fairly dispersed with IS Pharma Sinclair in the middle
Inventory Analysis
June 2011 the inventory was pound959 million and cost of goods sold was pound1377 million for the year with a turnover of inventory of
14 times per year which is an increase to the previous year The 14 times turnover is higher than its comparable companies
with IS Pharma Sinclair increasing its inventory turnover consecutively for four years
Financial Position
Company Year LT DEBT
EQUITY
DAYS
ACCOUNTS REC
DAYS
INVENTORY
R amp D SALES
Sinclair IS
Pharma
2011 006 155 254 22
Eco Health Group 2011 578 50 224 40
6
Plc
Vectura Group Plc 2011 0 133 107 01
Allergy
Therapeutics Plc
2011 0 48 52 821
Industry Analysis
Pharmaceutical Industry Competition and market dynamic Health Care Sector overview Appendix h
Stocks show a trend of being less responsive to economic change when comparing to those within the general market
Health inflation is on average higher than the inflation rate
The stock value affected by declining health care related industries and higher rates of unemployment
Strong and expanding sector but is dependent on provisions and management of health care related services
Diverse range of operations eg medical equipment insurance and pharmaceutical companies
Competitive industry but quite stable for investors
The pharmaceutical industry can be traced back to the fourteenth century but more focus on it has been since the 1950rsquos As
the growing population ages there is a growing rise in consumer expectations in this area and pharmaceutical companies are
continuing to create unmet medical needs specifically in developing worlds The main funding behind the pharmaceutical
industry is R amp D investment to create novel drugs Health care costs are currently increasing faster than GDP so therefore it is
unsustainable in healthcares systems in both public and private companies creating barriers to entry being erected There is
growing pressure on pricing and reimbursement and customers increasingly want value for money Also R amp D costs are
increasing more than inflation and the number of new drugs entering the market has fallen The drugs are categorized in two
forms high priced niche specialist drugs lsquoblockbustersrsquo and rans
The pharmaceutical industry relies on a set period of patent protection which provides a monopoly on the profits as a reward for
heavily costs of R amp D This period for which the costs are regained has been shortened by the longer time to market due to the
increased regulations and barriers to market entry based around price and reimbursement
The health industry is a multimillion dollar industry and is known to have a safe nature generic when the economy is down
Pharmaceutical companies always are needed as they are a necessity to people They operate from small to large
experimental companies and manufacture create and market licensed drugs for use as medications The sector is subject to a
variety of laws and regulations in regards to patenting testing and ensuring the safety and efficiency when making and
marketing the drugs
Market IS Pharma Sinclair Operates iniv v
PEST ANALYSIS
7
In terms of political awareness the pharmaceutical industry has increasing awareness due to recognition of the implications of
healthcare as a component of social welfare therefore this will increase the social and financial burden of health care for
example the NHS debate in the UK and Medicare in the US
In 2003 the pharmaceutical industry experienced high mergers and acquisitions Their stock value grew by 105 and health
care grew by 125 from 2003 to 2010 The audit value of the industry was recorded at 500 billion dollars and by 2004 Only
information technology has a higher growth rate at 126 The major countries operating pharmaceutical industries are the US
EU and Japan The Market spreads over nine major geographic markets which account for 80 of the sale (US Japan
France Germany UK Italy Canada Brazil and Spain) The US is the fastest growing country since 1995 and accounts for
60 of sales and alone the US grew by 16 in 2000 total the industry to $133 billion dollars making it a key company to the
pharmaceutical market
In terms of the social impact of the pharmaceutical industry health is an important social and personal role in obtaining soc ieties
needs and therefore cannot be underestimated Global epidemics such as the SARS virus and AIDS which has concerned
awareness from the media has resulted in an increased effort to have good government industry society relations
In terms of technologic advance the industry is very competitive and the technological advances and modern application of
science is forcing the players in the industry to adapt quicker than ever in an evolving environment in which they participat e on
The new advances have increased spending on research and development costs for even more advancement
The legal side of the industry is heavily regulated and compliance enforcing as a result heavy regulatory compliance and legal
overheads have to be taken in Which can be said to restrict the vitality of the environment but the government is now
requesting industry applications non regulatory overheads so that there is no discouragement in the challenges from external
markets
Swot analysis
Strengths
Internal industry components provide value quality and service
Low operating overhead Firm fiscal management low staff turnover
and high ROI
Weaknesses
High risk business modelling
Disengaged board of directors
Dated medical equipment and poor branding Poor staff moral
Diseconomies of scale
Opportunities
Recent published research Increase health conscious consumer
Increased demand for product
Change in food and drug administration standards
Decreased employee health care costs
Threats
Increased government regulation Decreased economy
Increase in r amp d costs
Decrease in global population
Low- patents
at first
Medium- after
patents expire
LOW LOW
High ndash advantage
gained by the first
mover
High R amp D
costs and
patents for
market are
limited
Porters five Forces
Pharmaceutical Sector in Europe
8
Pharmaceuticals in Europe
lsquoMarket entry of generic drugs is delayed and there is a decl ine in the number of novel medicines reaching the market
according to the European Commissions final report on competition in the pharmaceutical sector lsquovi
The pharmaceutical sector is vital to the health of Europes citizens and medicines are a major expense Europe spends euro214
billion per year - in retail prices ndash on pharmaceuticals this is 2 of our GDP This means around euro430 per year for every man
woman and child Europes ageing population will only increase the financial constraints on public health budgets At the same
time many patents for the best selling medicines are due to expire in the next few years So forecasting to the future for this
sector it looks to grow
Price differences of pharmaceuticals across the EU are linked to two main factors
differences in expenditure on health (associated with GDP)
differences in pricing policy and regulation
Reasons for growth in the pharmaceutical market
Porter (1990) states that political and economic changes can lead to increased demand conditions for products Demand conditions are one important component of Porterrsquos Diamond This work has been seen as an important addition to the political social technological and economic factors (PEST) which have often been used to scan the changes taking place in the
business environment Porter (1990) also showed that factor conditions are also important in explaining international product ion Factor conditions in
the US are such that there is a skilled labour supply of researchers in this industry the same is true of the UK Due to the value of the pound it has become more expensive to do business in the UK and so firms like GSK are star ting to do more research in the US and Asia
In terms of other factor conditions China and India have an abundant supply of low cost labour India has become a large world supplier of generics and is also trying to move up the value chain by purchasing European and US firms Porterrsquos approach to analysing the global environment also includes related supporting industries which are left out by tradi tional
PEST analysis This includes infrastructure available in the industry of a particular country Governments have increasingly focused on encouraging clusters and science and technology parks offering shared facilities and experience as well as government support UK examples in the pharmaceutical industry include Oxford and Cambridge where various industr ial links
and universities are widely available With regards to the pharmaceutical industry there has been an emergence of new players in the generic sector particularly
from India and Chinav ii
Upgraded to Overweight European Pharmaceuticals
Indicators are rolling over making EU Pharma to overweight consistent with the positive fundamental view on the
sector Lead indicators in major Western markets are rolling over and the pharmaceutical sector has been one of the most negatively correlated to lead indicators The weighting change is further supported by attractive valuation signs of stabilisation in earnings momentum and pharmrsquos position as the biggest underweight for long-only investors
Valuation prices worse than worst case gt80 upside possible European pharma trades near its lowest levels over 20 years on relative 1 year forward PE vs msci Europe The last time pharma traded at similar levels was 1993-1994 the sector outperformed the market by 130 in the years that followed With
valuation implying -12 CARG for unlevered FCFrsquos from 2013 to 2020 we see the possibility of gt8- upside should our view of gt35 CARG materialise
Looking ahead European pharma companies by a large margin are the leaders in emerging markets business diversification and other factors that limit the impact of the industry generics cliff With a number of price effects from US reforms and EU austerity annualising
later this year we expect improved earnings momentum
Prefer EU over us PHARMA
The divergence between developed and emerging markets growth is increasingly apparent favouring EU pharma companies due to their lower US exposures higher EM exposures and better business diversification
Risks for the European pharma sector include 1 the inability to increase or restore R amp D productivity 2 pressures on pricing government reforms
9
3 worse than expected margins as key blockbuster products (eg Plavix Seroquel) generalize during the generics cliff
4 pressures on cash flows from the payment of long term standing legal issues 5 and loss of important growth contributions from emerging marketsviii
WACC- Appendix j
WACC Calculation
Target Capital Structure (1)
Debt to Total Capitalization 309
Equity to Total Capitalization 691
Debt to Equity Ratio 453
Cost of Equity
Risk-free rate (2) 40
Market risk Premium (3) 50
Levered Beta (4) 103
Size Premium (5) 17
Cost of Equity 108
Cost of Debt Cost of Debt 70
Taxes 210
After Tax Cost of Debt 55
WACC 92
Given a weighted average cost of capital of 92 as the minimum rate of return at which IS Pharma Sinclair will produce value
for investors
References
All financial data extracted from IS Parma Sinclair Annual Report 2011 2010 and 2009
Comparable data extracted from yahoocomfinance
i What the merger has brought
This merger illustrates two areas of expertise join together to create a company which is a fully integrate pan European
speciality pharmaceutical which should create a synergy to all its shareholders as opportunities such as cross selling can be
made by combing the two companies portfolios and creating an in house development capability on leveraging the existing
portfolio as well as new developments They also can access prospects in emerging markets which would increase its growth
through existing and new regional strategic partnerships To investors the company will be attractive as it represents
commercialisation of partner for out licensors of European network and has already established routes in emerging markets
Now Sinclair IS Pharma operates as a fully integrated specialty Pharma company with enlarged specialty product portfolio with broader reach and is creating substantial Pharma business They operate as a strong European business and have emerging market partnerships and opportunities with a strong partner of
choice for product distribution The future looks strong for future growth and they have capability to self-fund future development with a reduced risk with enhanced growth profile
10
IS Pharma Sinclair growth strategy is to focus on core products have key product launches and drive their efficiencies They try
to sweat their enlarged portfolio to drive growth and be able to grow a brand led business through its acquisition and
development
iiiMain products Atopicliar - used to the treatment of eczemaatopic dermatitis Decapinol - used in the treatment of gingivitisgum disease Aloclair - used in the treatment of mouth ulcers s
Xclair - used in the treatment of radiation dermatitis Effadiane - for the relief of skin dryness through environmental factors Salinum - for the relief of dry mouth condition caused by a deficiency in saliva production
Papulex - used to treat inflammatory blemishes SPHR980 - used to treat head lice
iv IS Pharma Sinclair webpage presentation lsquo2011 reviewrsquo
v Source httpwwwequitymastercomresearch-itsector-infopharma vi httpwwweubusinesscomtopicspharmasector -inquiry-guide
vii httpwwwims-productivitycomusercustomjournal2008SpringIMSspr08pg14_18pdf
viii UBS Investment Research
Appendices
Appendix a ndash Sales Analysis
Year Sales Growth Cost of Goods sold of sales EBITDA OF SALES EBI OF SALES Employee
Sales per employeed
After tax income per employee
2003 9079000 na 2646000 2914 1641000 0180746778 440000 004846349 29 3130689655 1517241379
2004 2655000 -7076 1520000 5725 -1648000 -0620715631 -2754000 -10372881 25 106200 -110160
2005 6971000 16256 2380000 3414 -1412000 -0202553436 -2669000 -03828719 38 1834473684 -7023684211
2006 11623000 6673 4112000 3538 -2233000 -0192119074 -2836000 -0243999 71 1637042254 -3994366197
2007 23178000 9941 7645000 3298 -2434000 -0105013375 -4208000 -01815515 142 1632253521 -2963380282
2008 30278000 3063 10258000 3388 3996000 0131977013 3337000 011021204 154 1966103896 2166883117
2009 30408000 043 9211000 3029 -825000 -0027131018 -3621000 -01190805 125 243264 -28968
2010 27628000 -914 10100000 3656 -14227000 -0514948603 -17628000 -06380484 97 2848247423 -1817319588
2011 32897000 1907 13765000 4184 -7667000 -0233060765 -1166000 -0035444 101 3257128713 -1154455446
Appendix b - Comparables Comparable Companies Unlevered Beta
Company
Levered Beta (1)
Market Value of Debt (2)
Market Value of Equity (3) Debt Equity
Equity Total Assets
Marginal Tax Rate
SINCLAIR IS PHARMA 052 500 1125 0444444444 0692307692 03
ALLERGY THERAPEUTICS PLC 131 400 868 0460829493 0684542587 03
ECO ANIMAL HEALTH 115 450 7875 0571428571 0636363636 03
VECTURA GROUP 112 375 1125 0333333333 075 03
Median 1135
0452636969 068842514
Mean 1025
0452508961 0690803479
11
(1) From Bloomberg
(2) Book Value of Debt
(3) From Bloomberg (4) Unlevered Beta = Predicted Levered Beta (1 +
DebtEquity) x (1-t))
Relevered Beta
Mean Unlevered Beta
Mean Target Debt Equity
Target Marginal Tax Rate Relevered Beta
Target Company
0779158663 0452508961 03 1025962057
Appendix C ndash Price Analysis year Quarter High Price Low Price Closing Price Quarterly Change 12 months change
2003 Oct - Dec 1435 1205 138 NA NA
2004 Jan - March 1575 138 1445 471 NA
Apr - June 1565 138 14 -311 NA
July - Sep 1175 1015 1 -2857 NA
Oct - Dec 1255 0925 123 2300 -1090
2005 Jan - March 1405 1185 1238 065 -1440
Apr - June 1325 114 132 662 -570
July - Sep 1375 109 1165 -1174 1650
Oct - Dec 1385 114 123 558 000
2006 Jan - March 142 1255 126 244 180
Apr - June 1265 101 1194 -524 -950
July - Sep 1235 097 097 -1876 -1670
Oct - Dec 1195 0995 1087 1206 -1160
2007 Jan - March 1295 103 125 1500 -080
Apr - June 151 116 1215 -280 180
July - Sep 127 0745 085 -3004 -1240
Oct - Dec 086 0635 0705 -1706 -3510
2008 Jan - March 069 032 0363 -4851 -7100
Apr - June 0435 0358 0363 000 -7020
July - Sep 071 0308 0423 1653 -5030
Oct - Dec 045 016 018 -5745 -7450
2009 Jan - March 033 013 0268 4889 -2620
Apr - June 0335 023 025 -672 -3100
July - Sep 0475 0233 044 7600 410
Oct - Dec 047 0315 034 -2273 8890
2010 Jan - March 0354 029 0305 -1029 1400
Apr - June 0325 0241 0265 -1311 600
July - Sep 0297 0245 0275 377 -3750
Oct - Dec 0428 0265 0405 4727 1910
2011 Jan - March 0425 0335 0363 -1037 1890
Apr - June 038 0283 0284 -2176 710
July - Sep 032 0225 0249 -1232 -950
08122011
0213 -1980 -3310
12
Appendix d ndashEarns and Dividend Analysis
EARNINGS AND DIVIDENDS ANALYSIS FundamentalsEarnings amp Dividends Analysis Sinclair IS Pharma PLC
Per Share Pounds SterlingFiscal Year Ends in June
Earnings Per Share Dividends Per Share
12 Months Quarterly Reported Earnings 12 Months Quarterly Reported Dividends
Fiscal Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Years Earnings Change Sep Dec Mar Jun Dividends Change Sep Dec Mar Jun Payout
2003G H 004 nc na na na na 000 nc na na na 000 00
2004DG F 007 nc na na na na 000 nc na na na 000 00
2005D F 005 nc na 004 na 001 000 nc na na na 000 00
2006BD F 005 nc na 003 na 002 000 nc na na na 000 00
2007 AF 005 nc na 003 na 002 000 nc na na na 000 00
2008 AF 004 nc na 001 na 005 000 nc na na na 000 00
2009 F 004 nc na 004 na 008 000 nc na na na 000 00
2010E ACF 014 nc na 013 na 001 000 nc na na na 000 00
2011D ACF 005 nc na 002 na 003 000 nc na na na 000 00
Appendix e - Profitability Analysis
Operating Income Margin
-133 -05 -28 -106 -261
Pretax Income Margin
-664 -133 52 -172 -237
EBIT Margin
-631 -112 64 -166 -232
Net Income Margin
-638 -119 11 -182 -244
Return on Equity - Total
-264 -54 54 -7 -65
Return on Invested Capital
-21 -4 56 -66 -62
Return on Assets
-186 -35 48 -58 -54
Asset Turnover
03 04 04 03 02
Financial Leverage
26 124 109 22 18
Interest Expense on Debt
933000 636000 367000 129000 54000
Effective Tax Rate
Cash Flow Sales
-19 -109 -19 -106 -198
Selling General amp
Administrative Expenses of
652 617 621 715 867
Sales
ResearchExpense amp Development
19 13 28 23 17
OperatingTotal CapitalIncome Return On
-42 21 192 -61 1591
13
Appendix F ndash Balance Sheet data ndash from SPH annual report 2009 -2011
Financial Statement AnalysesBalance Sheet - Five-Year Averages Balance Sheet - (5 Year Averages)
Figures in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007
Assets Total Assets 814 685 567 44
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 22 28 43 42
Cash 22 28 43 42
Short Term Investments 0 0 0 0
Receivables (Net) 94 85 72 51
Inventories -Total 33 25 18 11
Raw Materials 1 07 04 03
Work in Process 01 01 01 0
Finished Goods 23 18 13 09
OtherProgress Payments amp 0 0 0 0
Prepaid Expenses Other Current Assets 09 08 06 04
Current Assets - Total 159 146 139 108
Long Term Receivables 02 02 02 02
InvestmentCompaniesin Associated 0 0 0 0
Other Investments 0 0 0 0
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment 27 22 17 12
Accumulated Depreciation 1 07 05 03
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and 17 15 12 08
Other Assets 636 522 414 322
Deferred Charges 0 0 0 0
Tangible Other Assets 06 05 04 04
Intangible Other Assets 63 517 409 318
Total Assets 814 685 567 44
Liabilities amp Shareholders Equity Total Liabilities amp 814 685 567 44
Shareholders Equity Accounts Payable 54 47 38 28
Short Term Debt amp Current 46 17 1 05
Portion of Long Term Debt Accrued Payroll Income Taxes Payable 01 01 01 02
Dividends Payable Other Current Liabilities 43 36 26 19
Current Liabilities - Total 144 101 75 54
Long Term Debt 25 2 11 02
Long Term Debt Excluding 24 19 1 02
Capitalized Leases
14
Capitalized Lease 01 01 01 01
Obligations Provision for Risks and Charges Deferred Income Deferred Taxes -09 -05 -02 -01
Deferred Taxes - Credit Deferred Taxes - Debit Deferred Tax Liability in Untaxed Reserves Other Liabilities 08 07 07 07
Total Liabilities 172 128 93 67
Non-Equity Reserves 0 0 0 0
Minority Interest 0 0 0 0
Preferred Stock 0 0 0 0
Preferred Stock Issued for ESOP ESOP Guarantees - Preferred Issued Common Equity 642 558 473 373
TotalShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 814 685 567 44
Balance Sheet yr to yr change Financial Statement AnalysesBalance Sheet - Year - Year Change
Ba lance Sheet - (Year to Year Percent Change) Figures are the Percent Changes from the Prior Year Fi scal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Assets Tota l Assets 84 1 232 -38 1476
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 22534 -916 -623 -446 26
Cash 22534 -916 -623 -446 26
Short Term Investments Receivables (Net) 24 -403 1096 -62 636
Inventories -Total 254 126 563 -171 3341
Raw Materials 311 209 668 -167 29727
Work in Process -4 -734 4697 -411 Finished Goods 235 164 438 -165 2242
Progress Payments amp Other Prepaid Expenses Other Current Assets -16 -222 655 376 802
Current Assets - Total 23 -331 603 -187 51
Long Term Receivables
-100 Investment in Associated
Companies Other Investments -100
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment -04 87 109 251 1906
Accumulated Depreciation 227 443 783 19 515
15
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and -198 -101 -75 268 2964
Other Assets 64 121 181 -24 1992
Deferred Charges
Tangible Other Assets 6135 -719 3064 -958 Intangible Other Assets 57 125 177 08 1891
Tota l Assets 84 1 232 -38 1476
Liabilities amp Shareholders Equity
Tota l Liabilities amp 84 1 232 -38 1476
Shareholders Equity
Accounts Payable 109 -148 221 426 49
Short Term Debt amp Current 2944 201 4481 -297 679
Portion of Long Term Debt Accrued Payroll
Income Taxes Payable -957 895 303 -81 19471
Dividends Payable
Other Current Liabilities -00 -56 1529 -68 321
Current Liabilities - Total 769 -37 884 121 51
Long Term Debt -445 112 4839 1403 686
Long Term Debt Excluding -442 129 6933 177 356
Capitalized Leases Capitalized Lease -717 -492 -416 804 180
Obl igations Provis ion for Risks and -714
Charges Deferred Income -896 -216 -566
Deferred Taxes
Deferred Taxes - Credit Deferred Taxes - Debit 537 842 945
Deferred Tax Liability in Untaxed Reserves
Other Liabilities 109
-100 -27 Tota l Liabilities 432 -1 739 165 891
Non-Equity Reserves Minori ty Interest -100
91 120
Preferred Stock Preferred Stock Issued for
ESOP ESOP Guarantees -
Preferred Issued Common Equity -15 16 136 -68 1597
Tota lShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 84 1 232 -38 1476
SPH Balcnce sheet total asset
Figures are expressed as Percent of Total Assets
Total Assets are in millions of Pounds Sterling
Fiscal Year 20100 20090 20080 20070 20060
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Assets
16
Total Assets 936 864 855 694 722
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 2200 01 1200 4000 7000
Cash 2200 01 1200 4000 7000
Short Term Investments 00 00 00 00 00
Receivables (Net) 96 102 173 101 104
Inventories -Total 5100 4400 4000 3100 3600
Raw Materials 16 13 11 08 09
Work in Process 01 01 02 00 01
Finished Goods 3500 3000 2600 2300 26
OtherProgress Payments amp 00 00 00 00 00
Prepaid Expenses
Other Current Assets 11 12 15 11 08
Current Assets - Total 18 159 239 184 218
Long Term Receivables 00 00 00 1700 00
InvestmentCompaniesin Associated 00 00 00 00 00
Other Investments 00 02 00 00 00
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment 3200 3500 3300 3600 2800
Accumulated Depreciation 18 16 11 08 06
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and 14 19 21 28 2200
Other Assets 80600 82000 73900 77100 76100
Deferred Charges 00 00 00 00 00
Tangible Other Assets 07 01 04 01 26 Intangible Other Assets 799 819 736 77 735
Total Assets 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000
Liabilities amp Shareholders
Equity
Total Liabilities amp 93600 86400 85500 694 72200
Shareholders Equity
Accounts Payable 65 63 75 76 51
Short Term Debt amp Current 157 43 36 08 11
Portion of Long Term Debt
Accrued Payroll
Income Taxes Payable 00 02 01 01 05
Dividends Payable
Other Current Liabilities 5900 6400 6800 33 34
Current Liabilities - Total 281 172 18 118 101
Long Term Debt 27 53 48 1 04
Long Term Debt Excluding 27 53 47 07 03
Capitalized Leases
Capitalized Lease 00 01 01 03 02
Obligations
Provision for Risks and 01 04 02
Charges
Deferred Income 00 03 04 12
Deferred Taxes -21 -15 -08 -05 00
Deferred Taxes - Credit
Deferred Taxes - Debit 21 15 08 05
Deferred Tax Liability in
Untaxed Reserves Other Liabilities 03 03 00 24 24
Total Liabilities 291 22 225 159 131
Non-Equity Reserves 00 00 00 00 00
Minority Interest 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock Issued for ESOP ESOP Guarantees - Preferred Issued
17
Common Equity 709 78 775 841 868
TotalShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 100 100 100 100 100
Appendix g- Income statement- figures from Annual report 2009-2011
Income Statement - (4 Year Averages) Figures in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007
Net Sales or Revenues 246 205 149 107
Cost of Goods Sold 83 67 52 37
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization 19 15 12 1
Gross Income 144 122 85 6
Selling General amp Administrative Expenses 164 141 11 82
Other Operating Expenses 0 0 0 0
Operating Expenses - Total 267 224 174 129
Operating Income -2 -19 -24 -22
Extraordinary Credit - Pretax 12 12 08 0
Extraordinary Charge - Pretax 41 14 05 03
Non-Operating Interest Income 01 01 02 02
Reserves - IncreaseDecrease Pretax Equity in Earnings 0 0 0 0
Other IncomeExpense - Net -02 -01 0 01
EarningsAmortizationbefore(EBITDA)Interest Taxes Depreciation amp -31 -06 -07 -12
Earnings before Interest amp Taxes(EBIT) -51 -21 -2 -23
Interest Expense on Debt 04 02 01 0
Interest Capitalized 0 0 0 0
Pretax Income -55 -24 -21 -23
Income Taxes -05 -04 -03 01
Minority Interest 0 0 0 0
Equity in Earnings 0 0 0 0
After Tax Other IncomeExpense 0 0 0 0
Discontinued Operations 0 0 NetDividendsIncome before Extraordinary ItemsPreferred -5 -2 -18 -24
Extraordinary Items amp GainLoss Sale of Assets 0 0 0 0
Preferred Dividend Requirements 0 0 0 0
NetCommonIncome after Preferred Dividends - available to -5 -2 -18 -24
Income Statement revenues
Figures are expressed as Percent of Net Sales or Revenues Net Sales or Revenues are in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Net Sales or Revenues 276 304 303 232 116
Cost of Goods Sold 366 303 339 33 354
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization 116 85 68 61 4
Gross Income 519 612 593 609 606
Selling General amp Administrative Expenses 652 617 621 715 867
Other Operating Expenses 00 00 00 00 00
Operating Expenses - Total 1133 1005 1028 1106 1261
18
Operating Income -133 -05 -28 -106 -261
Extraordinary Credit - Pretax 00 55 135 00 00
Extraordinary Charge - Pretax 482 143 35 71 00
Non-Operating Interest Income 00 00 01 04 24
Reserves - IncreaseDecrease
00
Pretax Equity in Earnings 00 00 00 00 00
Other IncomeExpense - Net -16 -19 -09 07 05
EarningsDepreciationbeforeamp AmortizationInterest Taxes(EBITDA) -515 -27 132 -105 -192
Earnings before Interest amp Taxes(EBIT) -631 -112 64 -166 -232
Interest Expense on Debt 34 21 12 06 05
Interest Capitalized 00 00 00 00 00
Pretax Income -664 -133 52 -172 -237
Income Taxes -26 -14 -58 1 07
Minority Interest 00 00 00 00 00
Equity in Earnings 00 00 00 00 00
After Tax Other IncomeExpense 00 00 00 00 00
Discontinued Operations 00 00 00 00 00
NetItemsPreferredIncome beforeDividendsExtraordinary -638 -119 11 -182 -244
ExtraordinaryAssets Items amp GainLoss Sale of 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Dividend Requirements 00 00 00 00 00
NetavailableIncometo Commonafter Preferred Dividends - -638 -119 11 -182 -244
Appendix h Healthcare industry statistics source Reuters Industry Statistics Stat Notes
stock research rating Hold hellip
Potential saf ety margin 38 hellip
WACC discount rate 7 Low ~ Good f or inv estors
Comparators Stat Notes
rev enue EV multiple 28x High ~ Bad f or inv estors
EBITDA EV multiple 94x High ~ Bad f or inv estors
EBIT EV multiple 129x hellip
Cash f low ev multiple 128x hellip
Book v alue EV multiple 10x Low ~ Good f or inv estors
DISC CASH FLOW Ratios Notes
REVENUE GROWTH 13 High ~ Good f or inv estors
EBITDA MARGIN 26 High ~ Good f or inv estors
EBIT MARGIN 22 High ~ Good f or inv estors
CASH FLOW MARGIN 14 High ~ Good f or inv estors
TAXES RATE 21 hellip
DEBT-EQUITY RATIO 15 Low ~ Good f or inv estors
ROIC 5 Low ~ Bad f or inv estors
RE-inv estment Rate 13 High ~ Bad f or inv estors
WACC discount rate Rates Notes
19
risk f ree rate 4 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
cost of debt 7 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
equity risk premium 5 hellip
debt required return of debt 5 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
required return of equity 7 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
Appendix j- WACC AND DCF
(in million) Actual CAGR Forecast period
2007 2008 2009 2010 (07 -10) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Sales 11 15 21 25 32 27 29 31 33 36
growth 393 376 200 80 80 80 80 80
Total costs 13 17 22 27 27 -23 -25 -27 -29 -31
sales 857 857 857 857 857
EBITDA -3 -1 -1 -1 -27 4 4 4 5 5 margin -290 -40 -34 -49 143 143 143 143 143
Depreciation amp Amortization -1 2 2 4 0 -1 -1 -1 -1
sales 75 -101 -83 -175 18 18 18 18 18
EBIT -2 -2 -2 -6 34 3 4 4 4 5
Taxes (30) 0 0 0 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
Capex -01 45 26 137 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
sales -302 -127 -556 23 23 23 23 23
IncreaseDecrease in NWC -6 -6 -7 32 0 0 0 0
Unlevered Free Cash Flow -3 -4 5 34 3 3 3 3
WACC 92
Discount Period
05 15 25 35 45
Discount Factor
096 088 080 074 067
Present value of free cash flow 33 2 2 2 2
Terminal Value
Terminal Year Free Cash Flow 3
Perpetuity Growth Rate 30
Terminal Year EBITDA 5
Terminal Value 53
Implied Exit Multiple 108x
Discount Period 50
Discount Factor 06
Present Value of Terminal
Value 34
of Enterprise Value 45
(in million) Actual Forecast period Net Working Capital 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Account receivables 5 7 9 9
Inventory 1 2 3 3
Prepaid expenses and other 0 1 1 1
Total Current Assets 7 10 12 14 6 6 7 7 8
20
sales 617 644 576 553 224 224 224 224 224
Account payable 3 4 5 5
Accrued Liabilities
Other Current Liabilities
Total Current Liabilities 5 8 10 14 -4 -4 -5 -5 -5
sales -505 -503 -493 -585
146 146 146 146 146
Net Working Capital 15 22 27 34
2 2 2 3 3
sales 144 145 133 138 8 8 8 8 8
Input Output
Wacc Calculation Enterprise value
Target Capital Structure (1) Present value of Free Cash Flow 42
Debt to Total Capitalization 309
Equity to Total Capitalization 691 Terminal Value 53
Debt to Equity Ratio 453 Discount Factor 065
Present Value of Terminal Value 34
Cost of Equity of Enterprise Value 45
Risk-free rate (2) 40
Market risk Premium (3) 50 Enterprise value 76
Levered Beta (4) 103 Less Total debt 144 Size Premium (5) 17 Plus Cash and Cash Equi 2
Cost of Equity 108 Net Debt 12
Cost of Debt Implied Equity Value 64
Cost of Debt 70 Outstanding shares 380000000
Taxes 210 Implied share price 000
After Tax Cost of Debt 55 Implied multiples
WACC 92
Enterprise Value 76
SALES 2010 27
(1) Obtained from Beta and Capital Structure tab
EBITDA 2010 4
(2) httpwwwtreasurygovresource-centerdata-chart-centerinterest-ratesPagesTextViewaspxdata=yield
Implied EVSALES 29x
(3) httpwwwftcomcmss030eec02e-03d4-11e1-bbc5-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz1hB0TNS6n
Implied EVEBITDA 200x
(4) Obtained from Beta and Capital Structure tab
(5) Low -Cap Decile size premium based on market capitalization
for growth rate-taken into account a gdp growth rate of 15 and the structure of the company given its recent merge aswell as the financial state of the dcf analysis
Other tables used for analysis
Ratio Analysis
Accounting Ratios Sinclair IS Pharma PLC Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Receivables Turnover 31 35 21 33 15
Receivables - Number of Days 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
Inventory Turnover 24 26 37 32 26
Inventory - Number of Days 1551 1424 986 1139 1425 GrossEquipmentPropertyTurnoverPlant amp 92 10 109 92 58 NetEquipmentPropertyTurnoverPlant amp 21 185 166 117 75
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization of Gross Property Plant
amp 1058 85 737 563 231
21
Equipment Depreciation Depletion amp
Amortization 01 01 01 01 -01
Year to Year Change Depreciation Depletion amp
Amortization 239 254 45 2054 -611
Year to Year Change
Asset Utilization
Figures are expressed as the ratio of Net Sales Net Sales are in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Net Sales 276 304 303 232 116
Cash amp Cash Equivalents 75 03 35 12 433
Short-Term Investments 00 00 00 00 00
Accounts Receivable 327 29 488 304 646
Inventories 173 125 112 93 224
Other Current Assets 36 33 42 33 49
Total Current Assets 61 451 676 551 1352
Totalamp InvestmentsLong Term Receivables 00 05 00 5 00
Long Term Receivables 00 00 00 5 00
CompaniesInvestments in Associated 00 00 00 00 00
Other Investments 00 05 00 00 00
PropertyGross Plant amp Equipment - 109 10 92 109 173
Accumulated Depreciation 62 46 32 23 39
PropertyNet Plant amp Equipment - 48 54 6 85 134
Other Assets 273 233 2089 231 4722
Total Assets 3388 2841 2825 2996 6208
Employee efficiency
Values per Employee are in Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Employees 97 125 154 142 71
Values per Employee Sales 284825 243264 196610 163225 163704
Net Income -181732 -28968 21669 -29634 -39944
Cash Earnings -54216 -26576 -3682 -17225 -32493
Working Capital -97165 -9192 32825 32296 118423
Total Debt 178093 66680 47065 8986 15507
Total Capital 710598 575680 457604 416176 886831
Total Assets 964918 690992 555494 489000 1016254
Year to Year Change per Employee Employees -224 -188 85 100 868
Sales 171 237 205 -03 -108
22
Net Income
-2337 Cash Earnings
Working Capital
-128 16 -727 -192
Total Debt 1671 417 4238 -421 -10
Total Capital 234 258 10 -531 387
Total Assets 396 244 136 -519 325
Fixed Charge Coverage
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
EBITTotal Interest Expense -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITNet Interest -188 -54 56 -1133 EBIT(TotalDiv) Interest Exp + Pfd -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITDividends on Common Shares EBIT(Dividends on Common + Pfd) EBITDATotal Interest Expense -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDANet Interest -154 -13 116 -716 EBITDA(TotalPfd Div) Interest Exp + -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDADividends on Com Shares EBITDA(Dividends on Com + Pfd) Leverage Analysis
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Long Term Debt of EBIT
2133 Long Term Debt of EBITDA
1036
LongAssetsTerm Debt of Total 27 53 48 1 04
LongCapitalTerm Debt of Total 37 64 59 12 05
LongEquityTerm Debt of Com 38 68 62 12 05
Total Debt of EBIT
3734 Total Debt of EBITDA
1814
Total Debt of Total Assets 185 96 85 18 15
Total Debt of Total Capital 251 116 103 22 17
TotalShortDebtTermDebtof Total Capital amp 207 11 99 21 17
TotalEquityDebt of Common 26 124 109 22 18
Minority Interest of EBIT
06 Minority Interest of EBITDA
03
MinorityAssets Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityCapital Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityEquity Interest of Com 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock of EBIT
00 Preferred Stock of EDITDA
00
PreferredAssets Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredCapital Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredEquity Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
23
CommonAssets Equity of Total 709 78 775 841 868
CommonCapital Equity of Total 963 936 941 988 995
Total Capital of Total Assets 736 833 824 851 873
Capital Expenditure of Sales 09 16 05 19 11
FixedEquityAssets of Common 2 24 28 34 25
WorkingCapital Capital of Total -137 -16 72 78 134
Dividend Payout 00 00 00 00 00
FundsTotal DebtFrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
Liquidity Analysis Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
TotalSalesCurrent Assets Net 61 451 676 551 1352
Cash of Current Assets 123 06 51 218 32
CashCurrentamp EquivalentsAssets of 123 06 51 218 32
Quick Ratio 04 06 1 12 17
ReceivablesAssets of Current 536 643 721 552 478
Receivableof days Turnover - number 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
InventoriesAssets of Current 283 278 165 169 166
Inventoryof days Turnover - number 1551 1424 986 1139 1425
InventoryEquivalentsto -Cashnumberamp of days 1561 83 112 4645 6949
Receivables of Total Assets 96 102 173 101 104
Current Ratio 06 09 13 16 22
Total Debt of Total Capital 207 11 99 21 17
FundsCurrentfromLiabilitiesOperations of -20 -224 -37 -299 -316
FundsLong TermfromDebtOperations of -206 -722 -137 -345 -782
FundsTotal Debtfrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
FundsTotal Capitalfrom Operations of -76 -46 -08 -41 -37
Cash Flow (in milllions of Pounds Sterling) Operating Activities -67 0 -36 -15 -29
Financing Activities 265 23 58 -01 54
Investing Activities 179 32 43 06 24
Per Share data
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Sales 017 029 032 025 012
Operating Income -002 0 -001 -003 -003
Pre-tax Income -011 -004 002 -004 -003
NetOperations)Income (Continuing -011 -004 002 -004 -003
Net Income Before Extra Items -011 -004 004 -005 -003
Extraordinary Items 0 0 0 0 0
NetItemsIncome After Extraordinary -011 -004 004 -005 -003
NetCommonIncomeSharesAvailable to -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Fully Diluted Earnings -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Common Dividends 0 0 0 0 0
Cash Earnings -004 -004 -001 -003 -004
Book Value 041 065 071 062 067
24
Retained Earnings 013 035 042 038 042
Assets 058 084 092 074 077
6
Plc
Vectura Group Plc 2011 0 133 107 01
Allergy
Therapeutics Plc
2011 0 48 52 821
Industry Analysis
Pharmaceutical Industry Competition and market dynamic Health Care Sector overview Appendix h
Stocks show a trend of being less responsive to economic change when comparing to those within the general market
Health inflation is on average higher than the inflation rate
The stock value affected by declining health care related industries and higher rates of unemployment
Strong and expanding sector but is dependent on provisions and management of health care related services
Diverse range of operations eg medical equipment insurance and pharmaceutical companies
Competitive industry but quite stable for investors
The pharmaceutical industry can be traced back to the fourteenth century but more focus on it has been since the 1950rsquos As
the growing population ages there is a growing rise in consumer expectations in this area and pharmaceutical companies are
continuing to create unmet medical needs specifically in developing worlds The main funding behind the pharmaceutical
industry is R amp D investment to create novel drugs Health care costs are currently increasing faster than GDP so therefore it is
unsustainable in healthcares systems in both public and private companies creating barriers to entry being erected There is
growing pressure on pricing and reimbursement and customers increasingly want value for money Also R amp D costs are
increasing more than inflation and the number of new drugs entering the market has fallen The drugs are categorized in two
forms high priced niche specialist drugs lsquoblockbustersrsquo and rans
The pharmaceutical industry relies on a set period of patent protection which provides a monopoly on the profits as a reward for
heavily costs of R amp D This period for which the costs are regained has been shortened by the longer time to market due to the
increased regulations and barriers to market entry based around price and reimbursement
The health industry is a multimillion dollar industry and is known to have a safe nature generic when the economy is down
Pharmaceutical companies always are needed as they are a necessity to people They operate from small to large
experimental companies and manufacture create and market licensed drugs for use as medications The sector is subject to a
variety of laws and regulations in regards to patenting testing and ensuring the safety and efficiency when making and
marketing the drugs
Market IS Pharma Sinclair Operates iniv v
PEST ANALYSIS
7
In terms of political awareness the pharmaceutical industry has increasing awareness due to recognition of the implications of
healthcare as a component of social welfare therefore this will increase the social and financial burden of health care for
example the NHS debate in the UK and Medicare in the US
In 2003 the pharmaceutical industry experienced high mergers and acquisitions Their stock value grew by 105 and health
care grew by 125 from 2003 to 2010 The audit value of the industry was recorded at 500 billion dollars and by 2004 Only
information technology has a higher growth rate at 126 The major countries operating pharmaceutical industries are the US
EU and Japan The Market spreads over nine major geographic markets which account for 80 of the sale (US Japan
France Germany UK Italy Canada Brazil and Spain) The US is the fastest growing country since 1995 and accounts for
60 of sales and alone the US grew by 16 in 2000 total the industry to $133 billion dollars making it a key company to the
pharmaceutical market
In terms of the social impact of the pharmaceutical industry health is an important social and personal role in obtaining soc ieties
needs and therefore cannot be underestimated Global epidemics such as the SARS virus and AIDS which has concerned
awareness from the media has resulted in an increased effort to have good government industry society relations
In terms of technologic advance the industry is very competitive and the technological advances and modern application of
science is forcing the players in the industry to adapt quicker than ever in an evolving environment in which they participat e on
The new advances have increased spending on research and development costs for even more advancement
The legal side of the industry is heavily regulated and compliance enforcing as a result heavy regulatory compliance and legal
overheads have to be taken in Which can be said to restrict the vitality of the environment but the government is now
requesting industry applications non regulatory overheads so that there is no discouragement in the challenges from external
markets
Swot analysis
Strengths
Internal industry components provide value quality and service
Low operating overhead Firm fiscal management low staff turnover
and high ROI
Weaknesses
High risk business modelling
Disengaged board of directors
Dated medical equipment and poor branding Poor staff moral
Diseconomies of scale
Opportunities
Recent published research Increase health conscious consumer
Increased demand for product
Change in food and drug administration standards
Decreased employee health care costs
Threats
Increased government regulation Decreased economy
Increase in r amp d costs
Decrease in global population
Low- patents
at first
Medium- after
patents expire
LOW LOW
High ndash advantage
gained by the first
mover
High R amp D
costs and
patents for
market are
limited
Porters five Forces
Pharmaceutical Sector in Europe
8
Pharmaceuticals in Europe
lsquoMarket entry of generic drugs is delayed and there is a decl ine in the number of novel medicines reaching the market
according to the European Commissions final report on competition in the pharmaceutical sector lsquovi
The pharmaceutical sector is vital to the health of Europes citizens and medicines are a major expense Europe spends euro214
billion per year - in retail prices ndash on pharmaceuticals this is 2 of our GDP This means around euro430 per year for every man
woman and child Europes ageing population will only increase the financial constraints on public health budgets At the same
time many patents for the best selling medicines are due to expire in the next few years So forecasting to the future for this
sector it looks to grow
Price differences of pharmaceuticals across the EU are linked to two main factors
differences in expenditure on health (associated with GDP)
differences in pricing policy and regulation
Reasons for growth in the pharmaceutical market
Porter (1990) states that political and economic changes can lead to increased demand conditions for products Demand conditions are one important component of Porterrsquos Diamond This work has been seen as an important addition to the political social technological and economic factors (PEST) which have often been used to scan the changes taking place in the
business environment Porter (1990) also showed that factor conditions are also important in explaining international product ion Factor conditions in
the US are such that there is a skilled labour supply of researchers in this industry the same is true of the UK Due to the value of the pound it has become more expensive to do business in the UK and so firms like GSK are star ting to do more research in the US and Asia
In terms of other factor conditions China and India have an abundant supply of low cost labour India has become a large world supplier of generics and is also trying to move up the value chain by purchasing European and US firms Porterrsquos approach to analysing the global environment also includes related supporting industries which are left out by tradi tional
PEST analysis This includes infrastructure available in the industry of a particular country Governments have increasingly focused on encouraging clusters and science and technology parks offering shared facilities and experience as well as government support UK examples in the pharmaceutical industry include Oxford and Cambridge where various industr ial links
and universities are widely available With regards to the pharmaceutical industry there has been an emergence of new players in the generic sector particularly
from India and Chinav ii
Upgraded to Overweight European Pharmaceuticals
Indicators are rolling over making EU Pharma to overweight consistent with the positive fundamental view on the
sector Lead indicators in major Western markets are rolling over and the pharmaceutical sector has been one of the most negatively correlated to lead indicators The weighting change is further supported by attractive valuation signs of stabilisation in earnings momentum and pharmrsquos position as the biggest underweight for long-only investors
Valuation prices worse than worst case gt80 upside possible European pharma trades near its lowest levels over 20 years on relative 1 year forward PE vs msci Europe The last time pharma traded at similar levels was 1993-1994 the sector outperformed the market by 130 in the years that followed With
valuation implying -12 CARG for unlevered FCFrsquos from 2013 to 2020 we see the possibility of gt8- upside should our view of gt35 CARG materialise
Looking ahead European pharma companies by a large margin are the leaders in emerging markets business diversification and other factors that limit the impact of the industry generics cliff With a number of price effects from US reforms and EU austerity annualising
later this year we expect improved earnings momentum
Prefer EU over us PHARMA
The divergence between developed and emerging markets growth is increasingly apparent favouring EU pharma companies due to their lower US exposures higher EM exposures and better business diversification
Risks for the European pharma sector include 1 the inability to increase or restore R amp D productivity 2 pressures on pricing government reforms
9
3 worse than expected margins as key blockbuster products (eg Plavix Seroquel) generalize during the generics cliff
4 pressures on cash flows from the payment of long term standing legal issues 5 and loss of important growth contributions from emerging marketsviii
WACC- Appendix j
WACC Calculation
Target Capital Structure (1)
Debt to Total Capitalization 309
Equity to Total Capitalization 691
Debt to Equity Ratio 453
Cost of Equity
Risk-free rate (2) 40
Market risk Premium (3) 50
Levered Beta (4) 103
Size Premium (5) 17
Cost of Equity 108
Cost of Debt Cost of Debt 70
Taxes 210
After Tax Cost of Debt 55
WACC 92
Given a weighted average cost of capital of 92 as the minimum rate of return at which IS Pharma Sinclair will produce value
for investors
References
All financial data extracted from IS Parma Sinclair Annual Report 2011 2010 and 2009
Comparable data extracted from yahoocomfinance
i What the merger has brought
This merger illustrates two areas of expertise join together to create a company which is a fully integrate pan European
speciality pharmaceutical which should create a synergy to all its shareholders as opportunities such as cross selling can be
made by combing the two companies portfolios and creating an in house development capability on leveraging the existing
portfolio as well as new developments They also can access prospects in emerging markets which would increase its growth
through existing and new regional strategic partnerships To investors the company will be attractive as it represents
commercialisation of partner for out licensors of European network and has already established routes in emerging markets
Now Sinclair IS Pharma operates as a fully integrated specialty Pharma company with enlarged specialty product portfolio with broader reach and is creating substantial Pharma business They operate as a strong European business and have emerging market partnerships and opportunities with a strong partner of
choice for product distribution The future looks strong for future growth and they have capability to self-fund future development with a reduced risk with enhanced growth profile
10
IS Pharma Sinclair growth strategy is to focus on core products have key product launches and drive their efficiencies They try
to sweat their enlarged portfolio to drive growth and be able to grow a brand led business through its acquisition and
development
iiiMain products Atopicliar - used to the treatment of eczemaatopic dermatitis Decapinol - used in the treatment of gingivitisgum disease Aloclair - used in the treatment of mouth ulcers s
Xclair - used in the treatment of radiation dermatitis Effadiane - for the relief of skin dryness through environmental factors Salinum - for the relief of dry mouth condition caused by a deficiency in saliva production
Papulex - used to treat inflammatory blemishes SPHR980 - used to treat head lice
iv IS Pharma Sinclair webpage presentation lsquo2011 reviewrsquo
v Source httpwwwequitymastercomresearch-itsector-infopharma vi httpwwweubusinesscomtopicspharmasector -inquiry-guide
vii httpwwwims-productivitycomusercustomjournal2008SpringIMSspr08pg14_18pdf
viii UBS Investment Research
Appendices
Appendix a ndash Sales Analysis
Year Sales Growth Cost of Goods sold of sales EBITDA OF SALES EBI OF SALES Employee
Sales per employeed
After tax income per employee
2003 9079000 na 2646000 2914 1641000 0180746778 440000 004846349 29 3130689655 1517241379
2004 2655000 -7076 1520000 5725 -1648000 -0620715631 -2754000 -10372881 25 106200 -110160
2005 6971000 16256 2380000 3414 -1412000 -0202553436 -2669000 -03828719 38 1834473684 -7023684211
2006 11623000 6673 4112000 3538 -2233000 -0192119074 -2836000 -0243999 71 1637042254 -3994366197
2007 23178000 9941 7645000 3298 -2434000 -0105013375 -4208000 -01815515 142 1632253521 -2963380282
2008 30278000 3063 10258000 3388 3996000 0131977013 3337000 011021204 154 1966103896 2166883117
2009 30408000 043 9211000 3029 -825000 -0027131018 -3621000 -01190805 125 243264 -28968
2010 27628000 -914 10100000 3656 -14227000 -0514948603 -17628000 -06380484 97 2848247423 -1817319588
2011 32897000 1907 13765000 4184 -7667000 -0233060765 -1166000 -0035444 101 3257128713 -1154455446
Appendix b - Comparables Comparable Companies Unlevered Beta
Company
Levered Beta (1)
Market Value of Debt (2)
Market Value of Equity (3) Debt Equity
Equity Total Assets
Marginal Tax Rate
SINCLAIR IS PHARMA 052 500 1125 0444444444 0692307692 03
ALLERGY THERAPEUTICS PLC 131 400 868 0460829493 0684542587 03
ECO ANIMAL HEALTH 115 450 7875 0571428571 0636363636 03
VECTURA GROUP 112 375 1125 0333333333 075 03
Median 1135
0452636969 068842514
Mean 1025
0452508961 0690803479
11
(1) From Bloomberg
(2) Book Value of Debt
(3) From Bloomberg (4) Unlevered Beta = Predicted Levered Beta (1 +
DebtEquity) x (1-t))
Relevered Beta
Mean Unlevered Beta
Mean Target Debt Equity
Target Marginal Tax Rate Relevered Beta
Target Company
0779158663 0452508961 03 1025962057
Appendix C ndash Price Analysis year Quarter High Price Low Price Closing Price Quarterly Change 12 months change
2003 Oct - Dec 1435 1205 138 NA NA
2004 Jan - March 1575 138 1445 471 NA
Apr - June 1565 138 14 -311 NA
July - Sep 1175 1015 1 -2857 NA
Oct - Dec 1255 0925 123 2300 -1090
2005 Jan - March 1405 1185 1238 065 -1440
Apr - June 1325 114 132 662 -570
July - Sep 1375 109 1165 -1174 1650
Oct - Dec 1385 114 123 558 000
2006 Jan - March 142 1255 126 244 180
Apr - June 1265 101 1194 -524 -950
July - Sep 1235 097 097 -1876 -1670
Oct - Dec 1195 0995 1087 1206 -1160
2007 Jan - March 1295 103 125 1500 -080
Apr - June 151 116 1215 -280 180
July - Sep 127 0745 085 -3004 -1240
Oct - Dec 086 0635 0705 -1706 -3510
2008 Jan - March 069 032 0363 -4851 -7100
Apr - June 0435 0358 0363 000 -7020
July - Sep 071 0308 0423 1653 -5030
Oct - Dec 045 016 018 -5745 -7450
2009 Jan - March 033 013 0268 4889 -2620
Apr - June 0335 023 025 -672 -3100
July - Sep 0475 0233 044 7600 410
Oct - Dec 047 0315 034 -2273 8890
2010 Jan - March 0354 029 0305 -1029 1400
Apr - June 0325 0241 0265 -1311 600
July - Sep 0297 0245 0275 377 -3750
Oct - Dec 0428 0265 0405 4727 1910
2011 Jan - March 0425 0335 0363 -1037 1890
Apr - June 038 0283 0284 -2176 710
July - Sep 032 0225 0249 -1232 -950
08122011
0213 -1980 -3310
12
Appendix d ndashEarns and Dividend Analysis
EARNINGS AND DIVIDENDS ANALYSIS FundamentalsEarnings amp Dividends Analysis Sinclair IS Pharma PLC
Per Share Pounds SterlingFiscal Year Ends in June
Earnings Per Share Dividends Per Share
12 Months Quarterly Reported Earnings 12 Months Quarterly Reported Dividends
Fiscal Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Years Earnings Change Sep Dec Mar Jun Dividends Change Sep Dec Mar Jun Payout
2003G H 004 nc na na na na 000 nc na na na 000 00
2004DG F 007 nc na na na na 000 nc na na na 000 00
2005D F 005 nc na 004 na 001 000 nc na na na 000 00
2006BD F 005 nc na 003 na 002 000 nc na na na 000 00
2007 AF 005 nc na 003 na 002 000 nc na na na 000 00
2008 AF 004 nc na 001 na 005 000 nc na na na 000 00
2009 F 004 nc na 004 na 008 000 nc na na na 000 00
2010E ACF 014 nc na 013 na 001 000 nc na na na 000 00
2011D ACF 005 nc na 002 na 003 000 nc na na na 000 00
Appendix e - Profitability Analysis
Operating Income Margin
-133 -05 -28 -106 -261
Pretax Income Margin
-664 -133 52 -172 -237
EBIT Margin
-631 -112 64 -166 -232
Net Income Margin
-638 -119 11 -182 -244
Return on Equity - Total
-264 -54 54 -7 -65
Return on Invested Capital
-21 -4 56 -66 -62
Return on Assets
-186 -35 48 -58 -54
Asset Turnover
03 04 04 03 02
Financial Leverage
26 124 109 22 18
Interest Expense on Debt
933000 636000 367000 129000 54000
Effective Tax Rate
Cash Flow Sales
-19 -109 -19 -106 -198
Selling General amp
Administrative Expenses of
652 617 621 715 867
Sales
ResearchExpense amp Development
19 13 28 23 17
OperatingTotal CapitalIncome Return On
-42 21 192 -61 1591
13
Appendix F ndash Balance Sheet data ndash from SPH annual report 2009 -2011
Financial Statement AnalysesBalance Sheet - Five-Year Averages Balance Sheet - (5 Year Averages)
Figures in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007
Assets Total Assets 814 685 567 44
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 22 28 43 42
Cash 22 28 43 42
Short Term Investments 0 0 0 0
Receivables (Net) 94 85 72 51
Inventories -Total 33 25 18 11
Raw Materials 1 07 04 03
Work in Process 01 01 01 0
Finished Goods 23 18 13 09
OtherProgress Payments amp 0 0 0 0
Prepaid Expenses Other Current Assets 09 08 06 04
Current Assets - Total 159 146 139 108
Long Term Receivables 02 02 02 02
InvestmentCompaniesin Associated 0 0 0 0
Other Investments 0 0 0 0
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment 27 22 17 12
Accumulated Depreciation 1 07 05 03
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and 17 15 12 08
Other Assets 636 522 414 322
Deferred Charges 0 0 0 0
Tangible Other Assets 06 05 04 04
Intangible Other Assets 63 517 409 318
Total Assets 814 685 567 44
Liabilities amp Shareholders Equity Total Liabilities amp 814 685 567 44
Shareholders Equity Accounts Payable 54 47 38 28
Short Term Debt amp Current 46 17 1 05
Portion of Long Term Debt Accrued Payroll Income Taxes Payable 01 01 01 02
Dividends Payable Other Current Liabilities 43 36 26 19
Current Liabilities - Total 144 101 75 54
Long Term Debt 25 2 11 02
Long Term Debt Excluding 24 19 1 02
Capitalized Leases
14
Capitalized Lease 01 01 01 01
Obligations Provision for Risks and Charges Deferred Income Deferred Taxes -09 -05 -02 -01
Deferred Taxes - Credit Deferred Taxes - Debit Deferred Tax Liability in Untaxed Reserves Other Liabilities 08 07 07 07
Total Liabilities 172 128 93 67
Non-Equity Reserves 0 0 0 0
Minority Interest 0 0 0 0
Preferred Stock 0 0 0 0
Preferred Stock Issued for ESOP ESOP Guarantees - Preferred Issued Common Equity 642 558 473 373
TotalShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 814 685 567 44
Balance Sheet yr to yr change Financial Statement AnalysesBalance Sheet - Year - Year Change
Ba lance Sheet - (Year to Year Percent Change) Figures are the Percent Changes from the Prior Year Fi scal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Assets Tota l Assets 84 1 232 -38 1476
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 22534 -916 -623 -446 26
Cash 22534 -916 -623 -446 26
Short Term Investments Receivables (Net) 24 -403 1096 -62 636
Inventories -Total 254 126 563 -171 3341
Raw Materials 311 209 668 -167 29727
Work in Process -4 -734 4697 -411 Finished Goods 235 164 438 -165 2242
Progress Payments amp Other Prepaid Expenses Other Current Assets -16 -222 655 376 802
Current Assets - Total 23 -331 603 -187 51
Long Term Receivables
-100 Investment in Associated
Companies Other Investments -100
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment -04 87 109 251 1906
Accumulated Depreciation 227 443 783 19 515
15
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and -198 -101 -75 268 2964
Other Assets 64 121 181 -24 1992
Deferred Charges
Tangible Other Assets 6135 -719 3064 -958 Intangible Other Assets 57 125 177 08 1891
Tota l Assets 84 1 232 -38 1476
Liabilities amp Shareholders Equity
Tota l Liabilities amp 84 1 232 -38 1476
Shareholders Equity
Accounts Payable 109 -148 221 426 49
Short Term Debt amp Current 2944 201 4481 -297 679
Portion of Long Term Debt Accrued Payroll
Income Taxes Payable -957 895 303 -81 19471
Dividends Payable
Other Current Liabilities -00 -56 1529 -68 321
Current Liabilities - Total 769 -37 884 121 51
Long Term Debt -445 112 4839 1403 686
Long Term Debt Excluding -442 129 6933 177 356
Capitalized Leases Capitalized Lease -717 -492 -416 804 180
Obl igations Provis ion for Risks and -714
Charges Deferred Income -896 -216 -566
Deferred Taxes
Deferred Taxes - Credit Deferred Taxes - Debit 537 842 945
Deferred Tax Liability in Untaxed Reserves
Other Liabilities 109
-100 -27 Tota l Liabilities 432 -1 739 165 891
Non-Equity Reserves Minori ty Interest -100
91 120
Preferred Stock Preferred Stock Issued for
ESOP ESOP Guarantees -
Preferred Issued Common Equity -15 16 136 -68 1597
Tota lShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 84 1 232 -38 1476
SPH Balcnce sheet total asset
Figures are expressed as Percent of Total Assets
Total Assets are in millions of Pounds Sterling
Fiscal Year 20100 20090 20080 20070 20060
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Assets
16
Total Assets 936 864 855 694 722
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 2200 01 1200 4000 7000
Cash 2200 01 1200 4000 7000
Short Term Investments 00 00 00 00 00
Receivables (Net) 96 102 173 101 104
Inventories -Total 5100 4400 4000 3100 3600
Raw Materials 16 13 11 08 09
Work in Process 01 01 02 00 01
Finished Goods 3500 3000 2600 2300 26
OtherProgress Payments amp 00 00 00 00 00
Prepaid Expenses
Other Current Assets 11 12 15 11 08
Current Assets - Total 18 159 239 184 218
Long Term Receivables 00 00 00 1700 00
InvestmentCompaniesin Associated 00 00 00 00 00
Other Investments 00 02 00 00 00
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment 3200 3500 3300 3600 2800
Accumulated Depreciation 18 16 11 08 06
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and 14 19 21 28 2200
Other Assets 80600 82000 73900 77100 76100
Deferred Charges 00 00 00 00 00
Tangible Other Assets 07 01 04 01 26 Intangible Other Assets 799 819 736 77 735
Total Assets 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000
Liabilities amp Shareholders
Equity
Total Liabilities amp 93600 86400 85500 694 72200
Shareholders Equity
Accounts Payable 65 63 75 76 51
Short Term Debt amp Current 157 43 36 08 11
Portion of Long Term Debt
Accrued Payroll
Income Taxes Payable 00 02 01 01 05
Dividends Payable
Other Current Liabilities 5900 6400 6800 33 34
Current Liabilities - Total 281 172 18 118 101
Long Term Debt 27 53 48 1 04
Long Term Debt Excluding 27 53 47 07 03
Capitalized Leases
Capitalized Lease 00 01 01 03 02
Obligations
Provision for Risks and 01 04 02
Charges
Deferred Income 00 03 04 12
Deferred Taxes -21 -15 -08 -05 00
Deferred Taxes - Credit
Deferred Taxes - Debit 21 15 08 05
Deferred Tax Liability in
Untaxed Reserves Other Liabilities 03 03 00 24 24
Total Liabilities 291 22 225 159 131
Non-Equity Reserves 00 00 00 00 00
Minority Interest 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock Issued for ESOP ESOP Guarantees - Preferred Issued
17
Common Equity 709 78 775 841 868
TotalShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 100 100 100 100 100
Appendix g- Income statement- figures from Annual report 2009-2011
Income Statement - (4 Year Averages) Figures in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007
Net Sales or Revenues 246 205 149 107
Cost of Goods Sold 83 67 52 37
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization 19 15 12 1
Gross Income 144 122 85 6
Selling General amp Administrative Expenses 164 141 11 82
Other Operating Expenses 0 0 0 0
Operating Expenses - Total 267 224 174 129
Operating Income -2 -19 -24 -22
Extraordinary Credit - Pretax 12 12 08 0
Extraordinary Charge - Pretax 41 14 05 03
Non-Operating Interest Income 01 01 02 02
Reserves - IncreaseDecrease Pretax Equity in Earnings 0 0 0 0
Other IncomeExpense - Net -02 -01 0 01
EarningsAmortizationbefore(EBITDA)Interest Taxes Depreciation amp -31 -06 -07 -12
Earnings before Interest amp Taxes(EBIT) -51 -21 -2 -23
Interest Expense on Debt 04 02 01 0
Interest Capitalized 0 0 0 0
Pretax Income -55 -24 -21 -23
Income Taxes -05 -04 -03 01
Minority Interest 0 0 0 0
Equity in Earnings 0 0 0 0
After Tax Other IncomeExpense 0 0 0 0
Discontinued Operations 0 0 NetDividendsIncome before Extraordinary ItemsPreferred -5 -2 -18 -24
Extraordinary Items amp GainLoss Sale of Assets 0 0 0 0
Preferred Dividend Requirements 0 0 0 0
NetCommonIncome after Preferred Dividends - available to -5 -2 -18 -24
Income Statement revenues
Figures are expressed as Percent of Net Sales or Revenues Net Sales or Revenues are in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Net Sales or Revenues 276 304 303 232 116
Cost of Goods Sold 366 303 339 33 354
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization 116 85 68 61 4
Gross Income 519 612 593 609 606
Selling General amp Administrative Expenses 652 617 621 715 867
Other Operating Expenses 00 00 00 00 00
Operating Expenses - Total 1133 1005 1028 1106 1261
18
Operating Income -133 -05 -28 -106 -261
Extraordinary Credit - Pretax 00 55 135 00 00
Extraordinary Charge - Pretax 482 143 35 71 00
Non-Operating Interest Income 00 00 01 04 24
Reserves - IncreaseDecrease
00
Pretax Equity in Earnings 00 00 00 00 00
Other IncomeExpense - Net -16 -19 -09 07 05
EarningsDepreciationbeforeamp AmortizationInterest Taxes(EBITDA) -515 -27 132 -105 -192
Earnings before Interest amp Taxes(EBIT) -631 -112 64 -166 -232
Interest Expense on Debt 34 21 12 06 05
Interest Capitalized 00 00 00 00 00
Pretax Income -664 -133 52 -172 -237
Income Taxes -26 -14 -58 1 07
Minority Interest 00 00 00 00 00
Equity in Earnings 00 00 00 00 00
After Tax Other IncomeExpense 00 00 00 00 00
Discontinued Operations 00 00 00 00 00
NetItemsPreferredIncome beforeDividendsExtraordinary -638 -119 11 -182 -244
ExtraordinaryAssets Items amp GainLoss Sale of 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Dividend Requirements 00 00 00 00 00
NetavailableIncometo Commonafter Preferred Dividends - -638 -119 11 -182 -244
Appendix h Healthcare industry statistics source Reuters Industry Statistics Stat Notes
stock research rating Hold hellip
Potential saf ety margin 38 hellip
WACC discount rate 7 Low ~ Good f or inv estors
Comparators Stat Notes
rev enue EV multiple 28x High ~ Bad f or inv estors
EBITDA EV multiple 94x High ~ Bad f or inv estors
EBIT EV multiple 129x hellip
Cash f low ev multiple 128x hellip
Book v alue EV multiple 10x Low ~ Good f or inv estors
DISC CASH FLOW Ratios Notes
REVENUE GROWTH 13 High ~ Good f or inv estors
EBITDA MARGIN 26 High ~ Good f or inv estors
EBIT MARGIN 22 High ~ Good f or inv estors
CASH FLOW MARGIN 14 High ~ Good f or inv estors
TAXES RATE 21 hellip
DEBT-EQUITY RATIO 15 Low ~ Good f or inv estors
ROIC 5 Low ~ Bad f or inv estors
RE-inv estment Rate 13 High ~ Bad f or inv estors
WACC discount rate Rates Notes
19
risk f ree rate 4 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
cost of debt 7 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
equity risk premium 5 hellip
debt required return of debt 5 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
required return of equity 7 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
Appendix j- WACC AND DCF
(in million) Actual CAGR Forecast period
2007 2008 2009 2010 (07 -10) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Sales 11 15 21 25 32 27 29 31 33 36
growth 393 376 200 80 80 80 80 80
Total costs 13 17 22 27 27 -23 -25 -27 -29 -31
sales 857 857 857 857 857
EBITDA -3 -1 -1 -1 -27 4 4 4 5 5 margin -290 -40 -34 -49 143 143 143 143 143
Depreciation amp Amortization -1 2 2 4 0 -1 -1 -1 -1
sales 75 -101 -83 -175 18 18 18 18 18
EBIT -2 -2 -2 -6 34 3 4 4 4 5
Taxes (30) 0 0 0 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
Capex -01 45 26 137 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
sales -302 -127 -556 23 23 23 23 23
IncreaseDecrease in NWC -6 -6 -7 32 0 0 0 0
Unlevered Free Cash Flow -3 -4 5 34 3 3 3 3
WACC 92
Discount Period
05 15 25 35 45
Discount Factor
096 088 080 074 067
Present value of free cash flow 33 2 2 2 2
Terminal Value
Terminal Year Free Cash Flow 3
Perpetuity Growth Rate 30
Terminal Year EBITDA 5
Terminal Value 53
Implied Exit Multiple 108x
Discount Period 50
Discount Factor 06
Present Value of Terminal
Value 34
of Enterprise Value 45
(in million) Actual Forecast period Net Working Capital 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Account receivables 5 7 9 9
Inventory 1 2 3 3
Prepaid expenses and other 0 1 1 1
Total Current Assets 7 10 12 14 6 6 7 7 8
20
sales 617 644 576 553 224 224 224 224 224
Account payable 3 4 5 5
Accrued Liabilities
Other Current Liabilities
Total Current Liabilities 5 8 10 14 -4 -4 -5 -5 -5
sales -505 -503 -493 -585
146 146 146 146 146
Net Working Capital 15 22 27 34
2 2 2 3 3
sales 144 145 133 138 8 8 8 8 8
Input Output
Wacc Calculation Enterprise value
Target Capital Structure (1) Present value of Free Cash Flow 42
Debt to Total Capitalization 309
Equity to Total Capitalization 691 Terminal Value 53
Debt to Equity Ratio 453 Discount Factor 065
Present Value of Terminal Value 34
Cost of Equity of Enterprise Value 45
Risk-free rate (2) 40
Market risk Premium (3) 50 Enterprise value 76
Levered Beta (4) 103 Less Total debt 144 Size Premium (5) 17 Plus Cash and Cash Equi 2
Cost of Equity 108 Net Debt 12
Cost of Debt Implied Equity Value 64
Cost of Debt 70 Outstanding shares 380000000
Taxes 210 Implied share price 000
After Tax Cost of Debt 55 Implied multiples
WACC 92
Enterprise Value 76
SALES 2010 27
(1) Obtained from Beta and Capital Structure tab
EBITDA 2010 4
(2) httpwwwtreasurygovresource-centerdata-chart-centerinterest-ratesPagesTextViewaspxdata=yield
Implied EVSALES 29x
(3) httpwwwftcomcmss030eec02e-03d4-11e1-bbc5-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz1hB0TNS6n
Implied EVEBITDA 200x
(4) Obtained from Beta and Capital Structure tab
(5) Low -Cap Decile size premium based on market capitalization
for growth rate-taken into account a gdp growth rate of 15 and the structure of the company given its recent merge aswell as the financial state of the dcf analysis
Other tables used for analysis
Ratio Analysis
Accounting Ratios Sinclair IS Pharma PLC Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Receivables Turnover 31 35 21 33 15
Receivables - Number of Days 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
Inventory Turnover 24 26 37 32 26
Inventory - Number of Days 1551 1424 986 1139 1425 GrossEquipmentPropertyTurnoverPlant amp 92 10 109 92 58 NetEquipmentPropertyTurnoverPlant amp 21 185 166 117 75
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization of Gross Property Plant
amp 1058 85 737 563 231
21
Equipment Depreciation Depletion amp
Amortization 01 01 01 01 -01
Year to Year Change Depreciation Depletion amp
Amortization 239 254 45 2054 -611
Year to Year Change
Asset Utilization
Figures are expressed as the ratio of Net Sales Net Sales are in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Net Sales 276 304 303 232 116
Cash amp Cash Equivalents 75 03 35 12 433
Short-Term Investments 00 00 00 00 00
Accounts Receivable 327 29 488 304 646
Inventories 173 125 112 93 224
Other Current Assets 36 33 42 33 49
Total Current Assets 61 451 676 551 1352
Totalamp InvestmentsLong Term Receivables 00 05 00 5 00
Long Term Receivables 00 00 00 5 00
CompaniesInvestments in Associated 00 00 00 00 00
Other Investments 00 05 00 00 00
PropertyGross Plant amp Equipment - 109 10 92 109 173
Accumulated Depreciation 62 46 32 23 39
PropertyNet Plant amp Equipment - 48 54 6 85 134
Other Assets 273 233 2089 231 4722
Total Assets 3388 2841 2825 2996 6208
Employee efficiency
Values per Employee are in Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Employees 97 125 154 142 71
Values per Employee Sales 284825 243264 196610 163225 163704
Net Income -181732 -28968 21669 -29634 -39944
Cash Earnings -54216 -26576 -3682 -17225 -32493
Working Capital -97165 -9192 32825 32296 118423
Total Debt 178093 66680 47065 8986 15507
Total Capital 710598 575680 457604 416176 886831
Total Assets 964918 690992 555494 489000 1016254
Year to Year Change per Employee Employees -224 -188 85 100 868
Sales 171 237 205 -03 -108
22
Net Income
-2337 Cash Earnings
Working Capital
-128 16 -727 -192
Total Debt 1671 417 4238 -421 -10
Total Capital 234 258 10 -531 387
Total Assets 396 244 136 -519 325
Fixed Charge Coverage
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
EBITTotal Interest Expense -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITNet Interest -188 -54 56 -1133 EBIT(TotalDiv) Interest Exp + Pfd -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITDividends on Common Shares EBIT(Dividends on Common + Pfd) EBITDATotal Interest Expense -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDANet Interest -154 -13 116 -716 EBITDA(TotalPfd Div) Interest Exp + -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDADividends on Com Shares EBITDA(Dividends on Com + Pfd) Leverage Analysis
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Long Term Debt of EBIT
2133 Long Term Debt of EBITDA
1036
LongAssetsTerm Debt of Total 27 53 48 1 04
LongCapitalTerm Debt of Total 37 64 59 12 05
LongEquityTerm Debt of Com 38 68 62 12 05
Total Debt of EBIT
3734 Total Debt of EBITDA
1814
Total Debt of Total Assets 185 96 85 18 15
Total Debt of Total Capital 251 116 103 22 17
TotalShortDebtTermDebtof Total Capital amp 207 11 99 21 17
TotalEquityDebt of Common 26 124 109 22 18
Minority Interest of EBIT
06 Minority Interest of EBITDA
03
MinorityAssets Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityCapital Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityEquity Interest of Com 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock of EBIT
00 Preferred Stock of EDITDA
00
PreferredAssets Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredCapital Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredEquity Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
23
CommonAssets Equity of Total 709 78 775 841 868
CommonCapital Equity of Total 963 936 941 988 995
Total Capital of Total Assets 736 833 824 851 873
Capital Expenditure of Sales 09 16 05 19 11
FixedEquityAssets of Common 2 24 28 34 25
WorkingCapital Capital of Total -137 -16 72 78 134
Dividend Payout 00 00 00 00 00
FundsTotal DebtFrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
Liquidity Analysis Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
TotalSalesCurrent Assets Net 61 451 676 551 1352
Cash of Current Assets 123 06 51 218 32
CashCurrentamp EquivalentsAssets of 123 06 51 218 32
Quick Ratio 04 06 1 12 17
ReceivablesAssets of Current 536 643 721 552 478
Receivableof days Turnover - number 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
InventoriesAssets of Current 283 278 165 169 166
Inventoryof days Turnover - number 1551 1424 986 1139 1425
InventoryEquivalentsto -Cashnumberamp of days 1561 83 112 4645 6949
Receivables of Total Assets 96 102 173 101 104
Current Ratio 06 09 13 16 22
Total Debt of Total Capital 207 11 99 21 17
FundsCurrentfromLiabilitiesOperations of -20 -224 -37 -299 -316
FundsLong TermfromDebtOperations of -206 -722 -137 -345 -782
FundsTotal Debtfrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
FundsTotal Capitalfrom Operations of -76 -46 -08 -41 -37
Cash Flow (in milllions of Pounds Sterling) Operating Activities -67 0 -36 -15 -29
Financing Activities 265 23 58 -01 54
Investing Activities 179 32 43 06 24
Per Share data
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Sales 017 029 032 025 012
Operating Income -002 0 -001 -003 -003
Pre-tax Income -011 -004 002 -004 -003
NetOperations)Income (Continuing -011 -004 002 -004 -003
Net Income Before Extra Items -011 -004 004 -005 -003
Extraordinary Items 0 0 0 0 0
NetItemsIncome After Extraordinary -011 -004 004 -005 -003
NetCommonIncomeSharesAvailable to -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Fully Diluted Earnings -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Common Dividends 0 0 0 0 0
Cash Earnings -004 -004 -001 -003 -004
Book Value 041 065 071 062 067
24
Retained Earnings 013 035 042 038 042
Assets 058 084 092 074 077
7
In terms of political awareness the pharmaceutical industry has increasing awareness due to recognition of the implications of
healthcare as a component of social welfare therefore this will increase the social and financial burden of health care for
example the NHS debate in the UK and Medicare in the US
In 2003 the pharmaceutical industry experienced high mergers and acquisitions Their stock value grew by 105 and health
care grew by 125 from 2003 to 2010 The audit value of the industry was recorded at 500 billion dollars and by 2004 Only
information technology has a higher growth rate at 126 The major countries operating pharmaceutical industries are the US
EU and Japan The Market spreads over nine major geographic markets which account for 80 of the sale (US Japan
France Germany UK Italy Canada Brazil and Spain) The US is the fastest growing country since 1995 and accounts for
60 of sales and alone the US grew by 16 in 2000 total the industry to $133 billion dollars making it a key company to the
pharmaceutical market
In terms of the social impact of the pharmaceutical industry health is an important social and personal role in obtaining soc ieties
needs and therefore cannot be underestimated Global epidemics such as the SARS virus and AIDS which has concerned
awareness from the media has resulted in an increased effort to have good government industry society relations
In terms of technologic advance the industry is very competitive and the technological advances and modern application of
science is forcing the players in the industry to adapt quicker than ever in an evolving environment in which they participat e on
The new advances have increased spending on research and development costs for even more advancement
The legal side of the industry is heavily regulated and compliance enforcing as a result heavy regulatory compliance and legal
overheads have to be taken in Which can be said to restrict the vitality of the environment but the government is now
requesting industry applications non regulatory overheads so that there is no discouragement in the challenges from external
markets
Swot analysis
Strengths
Internal industry components provide value quality and service
Low operating overhead Firm fiscal management low staff turnover
and high ROI
Weaknesses
High risk business modelling
Disengaged board of directors
Dated medical equipment and poor branding Poor staff moral
Diseconomies of scale
Opportunities
Recent published research Increase health conscious consumer
Increased demand for product
Change in food and drug administration standards
Decreased employee health care costs
Threats
Increased government regulation Decreased economy
Increase in r amp d costs
Decrease in global population
Low- patents
at first
Medium- after
patents expire
LOW LOW
High ndash advantage
gained by the first
mover
High R amp D
costs and
patents for
market are
limited
Porters five Forces
Pharmaceutical Sector in Europe
8
Pharmaceuticals in Europe
lsquoMarket entry of generic drugs is delayed and there is a decl ine in the number of novel medicines reaching the market
according to the European Commissions final report on competition in the pharmaceutical sector lsquovi
The pharmaceutical sector is vital to the health of Europes citizens and medicines are a major expense Europe spends euro214
billion per year - in retail prices ndash on pharmaceuticals this is 2 of our GDP This means around euro430 per year for every man
woman and child Europes ageing population will only increase the financial constraints on public health budgets At the same
time many patents for the best selling medicines are due to expire in the next few years So forecasting to the future for this
sector it looks to grow
Price differences of pharmaceuticals across the EU are linked to two main factors
differences in expenditure on health (associated with GDP)
differences in pricing policy and regulation
Reasons for growth in the pharmaceutical market
Porter (1990) states that political and economic changes can lead to increased demand conditions for products Demand conditions are one important component of Porterrsquos Diamond This work has been seen as an important addition to the political social technological and economic factors (PEST) which have often been used to scan the changes taking place in the
business environment Porter (1990) also showed that factor conditions are also important in explaining international product ion Factor conditions in
the US are such that there is a skilled labour supply of researchers in this industry the same is true of the UK Due to the value of the pound it has become more expensive to do business in the UK and so firms like GSK are star ting to do more research in the US and Asia
In terms of other factor conditions China and India have an abundant supply of low cost labour India has become a large world supplier of generics and is also trying to move up the value chain by purchasing European and US firms Porterrsquos approach to analysing the global environment also includes related supporting industries which are left out by tradi tional
PEST analysis This includes infrastructure available in the industry of a particular country Governments have increasingly focused on encouraging clusters and science and technology parks offering shared facilities and experience as well as government support UK examples in the pharmaceutical industry include Oxford and Cambridge where various industr ial links
and universities are widely available With regards to the pharmaceutical industry there has been an emergence of new players in the generic sector particularly
from India and Chinav ii
Upgraded to Overweight European Pharmaceuticals
Indicators are rolling over making EU Pharma to overweight consistent with the positive fundamental view on the
sector Lead indicators in major Western markets are rolling over and the pharmaceutical sector has been one of the most negatively correlated to lead indicators The weighting change is further supported by attractive valuation signs of stabilisation in earnings momentum and pharmrsquos position as the biggest underweight for long-only investors
Valuation prices worse than worst case gt80 upside possible European pharma trades near its lowest levels over 20 years on relative 1 year forward PE vs msci Europe The last time pharma traded at similar levels was 1993-1994 the sector outperformed the market by 130 in the years that followed With
valuation implying -12 CARG for unlevered FCFrsquos from 2013 to 2020 we see the possibility of gt8- upside should our view of gt35 CARG materialise
Looking ahead European pharma companies by a large margin are the leaders in emerging markets business diversification and other factors that limit the impact of the industry generics cliff With a number of price effects from US reforms and EU austerity annualising
later this year we expect improved earnings momentum
Prefer EU over us PHARMA
The divergence between developed and emerging markets growth is increasingly apparent favouring EU pharma companies due to their lower US exposures higher EM exposures and better business diversification
Risks for the European pharma sector include 1 the inability to increase or restore R amp D productivity 2 pressures on pricing government reforms
9
3 worse than expected margins as key blockbuster products (eg Plavix Seroquel) generalize during the generics cliff
4 pressures on cash flows from the payment of long term standing legal issues 5 and loss of important growth contributions from emerging marketsviii
WACC- Appendix j
WACC Calculation
Target Capital Structure (1)
Debt to Total Capitalization 309
Equity to Total Capitalization 691
Debt to Equity Ratio 453
Cost of Equity
Risk-free rate (2) 40
Market risk Premium (3) 50
Levered Beta (4) 103
Size Premium (5) 17
Cost of Equity 108
Cost of Debt Cost of Debt 70
Taxes 210
After Tax Cost of Debt 55
WACC 92
Given a weighted average cost of capital of 92 as the minimum rate of return at which IS Pharma Sinclair will produce value
for investors
References
All financial data extracted from IS Parma Sinclair Annual Report 2011 2010 and 2009
Comparable data extracted from yahoocomfinance
i What the merger has brought
This merger illustrates two areas of expertise join together to create a company which is a fully integrate pan European
speciality pharmaceutical which should create a synergy to all its shareholders as opportunities such as cross selling can be
made by combing the two companies portfolios and creating an in house development capability on leveraging the existing
portfolio as well as new developments They also can access prospects in emerging markets which would increase its growth
through existing and new regional strategic partnerships To investors the company will be attractive as it represents
commercialisation of partner for out licensors of European network and has already established routes in emerging markets
Now Sinclair IS Pharma operates as a fully integrated specialty Pharma company with enlarged specialty product portfolio with broader reach and is creating substantial Pharma business They operate as a strong European business and have emerging market partnerships and opportunities with a strong partner of
choice for product distribution The future looks strong for future growth and they have capability to self-fund future development with a reduced risk with enhanced growth profile
10
IS Pharma Sinclair growth strategy is to focus on core products have key product launches and drive their efficiencies They try
to sweat their enlarged portfolio to drive growth and be able to grow a brand led business through its acquisition and
development
iiiMain products Atopicliar - used to the treatment of eczemaatopic dermatitis Decapinol - used in the treatment of gingivitisgum disease Aloclair - used in the treatment of mouth ulcers s
Xclair - used in the treatment of radiation dermatitis Effadiane - for the relief of skin dryness through environmental factors Salinum - for the relief of dry mouth condition caused by a deficiency in saliva production
Papulex - used to treat inflammatory blemishes SPHR980 - used to treat head lice
iv IS Pharma Sinclair webpage presentation lsquo2011 reviewrsquo
v Source httpwwwequitymastercomresearch-itsector-infopharma vi httpwwweubusinesscomtopicspharmasector -inquiry-guide
vii httpwwwims-productivitycomusercustomjournal2008SpringIMSspr08pg14_18pdf
viii UBS Investment Research
Appendices
Appendix a ndash Sales Analysis
Year Sales Growth Cost of Goods sold of sales EBITDA OF SALES EBI OF SALES Employee
Sales per employeed
After tax income per employee
2003 9079000 na 2646000 2914 1641000 0180746778 440000 004846349 29 3130689655 1517241379
2004 2655000 -7076 1520000 5725 -1648000 -0620715631 -2754000 -10372881 25 106200 -110160
2005 6971000 16256 2380000 3414 -1412000 -0202553436 -2669000 -03828719 38 1834473684 -7023684211
2006 11623000 6673 4112000 3538 -2233000 -0192119074 -2836000 -0243999 71 1637042254 -3994366197
2007 23178000 9941 7645000 3298 -2434000 -0105013375 -4208000 -01815515 142 1632253521 -2963380282
2008 30278000 3063 10258000 3388 3996000 0131977013 3337000 011021204 154 1966103896 2166883117
2009 30408000 043 9211000 3029 -825000 -0027131018 -3621000 -01190805 125 243264 -28968
2010 27628000 -914 10100000 3656 -14227000 -0514948603 -17628000 -06380484 97 2848247423 -1817319588
2011 32897000 1907 13765000 4184 -7667000 -0233060765 -1166000 -0035444 101 3257128713 -1154455446
Appendix b - Comparables Comparable Companies Unlevered Beta
Company
Levered Beta (1)
Market Value of Debt (2)
Market Value of Equity (3) Debt Equity
Equity Total Assets
Marginal Tax Rate
SINCLAIR IS PHARMA 052 500 1125 0444444444 0692307692 03
ALLERGY THERAPEUTICS PLC 131 400 868 0460829493 0684542587 03
ECO ANIMAL HEALTH 115 450 7875 0571428571 0636363636 03
VECTURA GROUP 112 375 1125 0333333333 075 03
Median 1135
0452636969 068842514
Mean 1025
0452508961 0690803479
11
(1) From Bloomberg
(2) Book Value of Debt
(3) From Bloomberg (4) Unlevered Beta = Predicted Levered Beta (1 +
DebtEquity) x (1-t))
Relevered Beta
Mean Unlevered Beta
Mean Target Debt Equity
Target Marginal Tax Rate Relevered Beta
Target Company
0779158663 0452508961 03 1025962057
Appendix C ndash Price Analysis year Quarter High Price Low Price Closing Price Quarterly Change 12 months change
2003 Oct - Dec 1435 1205 138 NA NA
2004 Jan - March 1575 138 1445 471 NA
Apr - June 1565 138 14 -311 NA
July - Sep 1175 1015 1 -2857 NA
Oct - Dec 1255 0925 123 2300 -1090
2005 Jan - March 1405 1185 1238 065 -1440
Apr - June 1325 114 132 662 -570
July - Sep 1375 109 1165 -1174 1650
Oct - Dec 1385 114 123 558 000
2006 Jan - March 142 1255 126 244 180
Apr - June 1265 101 1194 -524 -950
July - Sep 1235 097 097 -1876 -1670
Oct - Dec 1195 0995 1087 1206 -1160
2007 Jan - March 1295 103 125 1500 -080
Apr - June 151 116 1215 -280 180
July - Sep 127 0745 085 -3004 -1240
Oct - Dec 086 0635 0705 -1706 -3510
2008 Jan - March 069 032 0363 -4851 -7100
Apr - June 0435 0358 0363 000 -7020
July - Sep 071 0308 0423 1653 -5030
Oct - Dec 045 016 018 -5745 -7450
2009 Jan - March 033 013 0268 4889 -2620
Apr - June 0335 023 025 -672 -3100
July - Sep 0475 0233 044 7600 410
Oct - Dec 047 0315 034 -2273 8890
2010 Jan - March 0354 029 0305 -1029 1400
Apr - June 0325 0241 0265 -1311 600
July - Sep 0297 0245 0275 377 -3750
Oct - Dec 0428 0265 0405 4727 1910
2011 Jan - March 0425 0335 0363 -1037 1890
Apr - June 038 0283 0284 -2176 710
July - Sep 032 0225 0249 -1232 -950
08122011
0213 -1980 -3310
12
Appendix d ndashEarns and Dividend Analysis
EARNINGS AND DIVIDENDS ANALYSIS FundamentalsEarnings amp Dividends Analysis Sinclair IS Pharma PLC
Per Share Pounds SterlingFiscal Year Ends in June
Earnings Per Share Dividends Per Share
12 Months Quarterly Reported Earnings 12 Months Quarterly Reported Dividends
Fiscal Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Years Earnings Change Sep Dec Mar Jun Dividends Change Sep Dec Mar Jun Payout
2003G H 004 nc na na na na 000 nc na na na 000 00
2004DG F 007 nc na na na na 000 nc na na na 000 00
2005D F 005 nc na 004 na 001 000 nc na na na 000 00
2006BD F 005 nc na 003 na 002 000 nc na na na 000 00
2007 AF 005 nc na 003 na 002 000 nc na na na 000 00
2008 AF 004 nc na 001 na 005 000 nc na na na 000 00
2009 F 004 nc na 004 na 008 000 nc na na na 000 00
2010E ACF 014 nc na 013 na 001 000 nc na na na 000 00
2011D ACF 005 nc na 002 na 003 000 nc na na na 000 00
Appendix e - Profitability Analysis
Operating Income Margin
-133 -05 -28 -106 -261
Pretax Income Margin
-664 -133 52 -172 -237
EBIT Margin
-631 -112 64 -166 -232
Net Income Margin
-638 -119 11 -182 -244
Return on Equity - Total
-264 -54 54 -7 -65
Return on Invested Capital
-21 -4 56 -66 -62
Return on Assets
-186 -35 48 -58 -54
Asset Turnover
03 04 04 03 02
Financial Leverage
26 124 109 22 18
Interest Expense on Debt
933000 636000 367000 129000 54000
Effective Tax Rate
Cash Flow Sales
-19 -109 -19 -106 -198
Selling General amp
Administrative Expenses of
652 617 621 715 867
Sales
ResearchExpense amp Development
19 13 28 23 17
OperatingTotal CapitalIncome Return On
-42 21 192 -61 1591
13
Appendix F ndash Balance Sheet data ndash from SPH annual report 2009 -2011
Financial Statement AnalysesBalance Sheet - Five-Year Averages Balance Sheet - (5 Year Averages)
Figures in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007
Assets Total Assets 814 685 567 44
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 22 28 43 42
Cash 22 28 43 42
Short Term Investments 0 0 0 0
Receivables (Net) 94 85 72 51
Inventories -Total 33 25 18 11
Raw Materials 1 07 04 03
Work in Process 01 01 01 0
Finished Goods 23 18 13 09
OtherProgress Payments amp 0 0 0 0
Prepaid Expenses Other Current Assets 09 08 06 04
Current Assets - Total 159 146 139 108
Long Term Receivables 02 02 02 02
InvestmentCompaniesin Associated 0 0 0 0
Other Investments 0 0 0 0
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment 27 22 17 12
Accumulated Depreciation 1 07 05 03
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and 17 15 12 08
Other Assets 636 522 414 322
Deferred Charges 0 0 0 0
Tangible Other Assets 06 05 04 04
Intangible Other Assets 63 517 409 318
Total Assets 814 685 567 44
Liabilities amp Shareholders Equity Total Liabilities amp 814 685 567 44
Shareholders Equity Accounts Payable 54 47 38 28
Short Term Debt amp Current 46 17 1 05
Portion of Long Term Debt Accrued Payroll Income Taxes Payable 01 01 01 02
Dividends Payable Other Current Liabilities 43 36 26 19
Current Liabilities - Total 144 101 75 54
Long Term Debt 25 2 11 02
Long Term Debt Excluding 24 19 1 02
Capitalized Leases
14
Capitalized Lease 01 01 01 01
Obligations Provision for Risks and Charges Deferred Income Deferred Taxes -09 -05 -02 -01
Deferred Taxes - Credit Deferred Taxes - Debit Deferred Tax Liability in Untaxed Reserves Other Liabilities 08 07 07 07
Total Liabilities 172 128 93 67
Non-Equity Reserves 0 0 0 0
Minority Interest 0 0 0 0
Preferred Stock 0 0 0 0
Preferred Stock Issued for ESOP ESOP Guarantees - Preferred Issued Common Equity 642 558 473 373
TotalShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 814 685 567 44
Balance Sheet yr to yr change Financial Statement AnalysesBalance Sheet - Year - Year Change
Ba lance Sheet - (Year to Year Percent Change) Figures are the Percent Changes from the Prior Year Fi scal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Assets Tota l Assets 84 1 232 -38 1476
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 22534 -916 -623 -446 26
Cash 22534 -916 -623 -446 26
Short Term Investments Receivables (Net) 24 -403 1096 -62 636
Inventories -Total 254 126 563 -171 3341
Raw Materials 311 209 668 -167 29727
Work in Process -4 -734 4697 -411 Finished Goods 235 164 438 -165 2242
Progress Payments amp Other Prepaid Expenses Other Current Assets -16 -222 655 376 802
Current Assets - Total 23 -331 603 -187 51
Long Term Receivables
-100 Investment in Associated
Companies Other Investments -100
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment -04 87 109 251 1906
Accumulated Depreciation 227 443 783 19 515
15
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and -198 -101 -75 268 2964
Other Assets 64 121 181 -24 1992
Deferred Charges
Tangible Other Assets 6135 -719 3064 -958 Intangible Other Assets 57 125 177 08 1891
Tota l Assets 84 1 232 -38 1476
Liabilities amp Shareholders Equity
Tota l Liabilities amp 84 1 232 -38 1476
Shareholders Equity
Accounts Payable 109 -148 221 426 49
Short Term Debt amp Current 2944 201 4481 -297 679
Portion of Long Term Debt Accrued Payroll
Income Taxes Payable -957 895 303 -81 19471
Dividends Payable
Other Current Liabilities -00 -56 1529 -68 321
Current Liabilities - Total 769 -37 884 121 51
Long Term Debt -445 112 4839 1403 686
Long Term Debt Excluding -442 129 6933 177 356
Capitalized Leases Capitalized Lease -717 -492 -416 804 180
Obl igations Provis ion for Risks and -714
Charges Deferred Income -896 -216 -566
Deferred Taxes
Deferred Taxes - Credit Deferred Taxes - Debit 537 842 945
Deferred Tax Liability in Untaxed Reserves
Other Liabilities 109
-100 -27 Tota l Liabilities 432 -1 739 165 891
Non-Equity Reserves Minori ty Interest -100
91 120
Preferred Stock Preferred Stock Issued for
ESOP ESOP Guarantees -
Preferred Issued Common Equity -15 16 136 -68 1597
Tota lShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 84 1 232 -38 1476
SPH Balcnce sheet total asset
Figures are expressed as Percent of Total Assets
Total Assets are in millions of Pounds Sterling
Fiscal Year 20100 20090 20080 20070 20060
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Assets
16
Total Assets 936 864 855 694 722
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 2200 01 1200 4000 7000
Cash 2200 01 1200 4000 7000
Short Term Investments 00 00 00 00 00
Receivables (Net) 96 102 173 101 104
Inventories -Total 5100 4400 4000 3100 3600
Raw Materials 16 13 11 08 09
Work in Process 01 01 02 00 01
Finished Goods 3500 3000 2600 2300 26
OtherProgress Payments amp 00 00 00 00 00
Prepaid Expenses
Other Current Assets 11 12 15 11 08
Current Assets - Total 18 159 239 184 218
Long Term Receivables 00 00 00 1700 00
InvestmentCompaniesin Associated 00 00 00 00 00
Other Investments 00 02 00 00 00
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment 3200 3500 3300 3600 2800
Accumulated Depreciation 18 16 11 08 06
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and 14 19 21 28 2200
Other Assets 80600 82000 73900 77100 76100
Deferred Charges 00 00 00 00 00
Tangible Other Assets 07 01 04 01 26 Intangible Other Assets 799 819 736 77 735
Total Assets 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000
Liabilities amp Shareholders
Equity
Total Liabilities amp 93600 86400 85500 694 72200
Shareholders Equity
Accounts Payable 65 63 75 76 51
Short Term Debt amp Current 157 43 36 08 11
Portion of Long Term Debt
Accrued Payroll
Income Taxes Payable 00 02 01 01 05
Dividends Payable
Other Current Liabilities 5900 6400 6800 33 34
Current Liabilities - Total 281 172 18 118 101
Long Term Debt 27 53 48 1 04
Long Term Debt Excluding 27 53 47 07 03
Capitalized Leases
Capitalized Lease 00 01 01 03 02
Obligations
Provision for Risks and 01 04 02
Charges
Deferred Income 00 03 04 12
Deferred Taxes -21 -15 -08 -05 00
Deferred Taxes - Credit
Deferred Taxes - Debit 21 15 08 05
Deferred Tax Liability in
Untaxed Reserves Other Liabilities 03 03 00 24 24
Total Liabilities 291 22 225 159 131
Non-Equity Reserves 00 00 00 00 00
Minority Interest 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock Issued for ESOP ESOP Guarantees - Preferred Issued
17
Common Equity 709 78 775 841 868
TotalShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 100 100 100 100 100
Appendix g- Income statement- figures from Annual report 2009-2011
Income Statement - (4 Year Averages) Figures in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007
Net Sales or Revenues 246 205 149 107
Cost of Goods Sold 83 67 52 37
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization 19 15 12 1
Gross Income 144 122 85 6
Selling General amp Administrative Expenses 164 141 11 82
Other Operating Expenses 0 0 0 0
Operating Expenses - Total 267 224 174 129
Operating Income -2 -19 -24 -22
Extraordinary Credit - Pretax 12 12 08 0
Extraordinary Charge - Pretax 41 14 05 03
Non-Operating Interest Income 01 01 02 02
Reserves - IncreaseDecrease Pretax Equity in Earnings 0 0 0 0
Other IncomeExpense - Net -02 -01 0 01
EarningsAmortizationbefore(EBITDA)Interest Taxes Depreciation amp -31 -06 -07 -12
Earnings before Interest amp Taxes(EBIT) -51 -21 -2 -23
Interest Expense on Debt 04 02 01 0
Interest Capitalized 0 0 0 0
Pretax Income -55 -24 -21 -23
Income Taxes -05 -04 -03 01
Minority Interest 0 0 0 0
Equity in Earnings 0 0 0 0
After Tax Other IncomeExpense 0 0 0 0
Discontinued Operations 0 0 NetDividendsIncome before Extraordinary ItemsPreferred -5 -2 -18 -24
Extraordinary Items amp GainLoss Sale of Assets 0 0 0 0
Preferred Dividend Requirements 0 0 0 0
NetCommonIncome after Preferred Dividends - available to -5 -2 -18 -24
Income Statement revenues
Figures are expressed as Percent of Net Sales or Revenues Net Sales or Revenues are in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Net Sales or Revenues 276 304 303 232 116
Cost of Goods Sold 366 303 339 33 354
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization 116 85 68 61 4
Gross Income 519 612 593 609 606
Selling General amp Administrative Expenses 652 617 621 715 867
Other Operating Expenses 00 00 00 00 00
Operating Expenses - Total 1133 1005 1028 1106 1261
18
Operating Income -133 -05 -28 -106 -261
Extraordinary Credit - Pretax 00 55 135 00 00
Extraordinary Charge - Pretax 482 143 35 71 00
Non-Operating Interest Income 00 00 01 04 24
Reserves - IncreaseDecrease
00
Pretax Equity in Earnings 00 00 00 00 00
Other IncomeExpense - Net -16 -19 -09 07 05
EarningsDepreciationbeforeamp AmortizationInterest Taxes(EBITDA) -515 -27 132 -105 -192
Earnings before Interest amp Taxes(EBIT) -631 -112 64 -166 -232
Interest Expense on Debt 34 21 12 06 05
Interest Capitalized 00 00 00 00 00
Pretax Income -664 -133 52 -172 -237
Income Taxes -26 -14 -58 1 07
Minority Interest 00 00 00 00 00
Equity in Earnings 00 00 00 00 00
After Tax Other IncomeExpense 00 00 00 00 00
Discontinued Operations 00 00 00 00 00
NetItemsPreferredIncome beforeDividendsExtraordinary -638 -119 11 -182 -244
ExtraordinaryAssets Items amp GainLoss Sale of 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Dividend Requirements 00 00 00 00 00
NetavailableIncometo Commonafter Preferred Dividends - -638 -119 11 -182 -244
Appendix h Healthcare industry statistics source Reuters Industry Statistics Stat Notes
stock research rating Hold hellip
Potential saf ety margin 38 hellip
WACC discount rate 7 Low ~ Good f or inv estors
Comparators Stat Notes
rev enue EV multiple 28x High ~ Bad f or inv estors
EBITDA EV multiple 94x High ~ Bad f or inv estors
EBIT EV multiple 129x hellip
Cash f low ev multiple 128x hellip
Book v alue EV multiple 10x Low ~ Good f or inv estors
DISC CASH FLOW Ratios Notes
REVENUE GROWTH 13 High ~ Good f or inv estors
EBITDA MARGIN 26 High ~ Good f or inv estors
EBIT MARGIN 22 High ~ Good f or inv estors
CASH FLOW MARGIN 14 High ~ Good f or inv estors
TAXES RATE 21 hellip
DEBT-EQUITY RATIO 15 Low ~ Good f or inv estors
ROIC 5 Low ~ Bad f or inv estors
RE-inv estment Rate 13 High ~ Bad f or inv estors
WACC discount rate Rates Notes
19
risk f ree rate 4 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
cost of debt 7 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
equity risk premium 5 hellip
debt required return of debt 5 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
required return of equity 7 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
Appendix j- WACC AND DCF
(in million) Actual CAGR Forecast period
2007 2008 2009 2010 (07 -10) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Sales 11 15 21 25 32 27 29 31 33 36
growth 393 376 200 80 80 80 80 80
Total costs 13 17 22 27 27 -23 -25 -27 -29 -31
sales 857 857 857 857 857
EBITDA -3 -1 -1 -1 -27 4 4 4 5 5 margin -290 -40 -34 -49 143 143 143 143 143
Depreciation amp Amortization -1 2 2 4 0 -1 -1 -1 -1
sales 75 -101 -83 -175 18 18 18 18 18
EBIT -2 -2 -2 -6 34 3 4 4 4 5
Taxes (30) 0 0 0 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
Capex -01 45 26 137 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
sales -302 -127 -556 23 23 23 23 23
IncreaseDecrease in NWC -6 -6 -7 32 0 0 0 0
Unlevered Free Cash Flow -3 -4 5 34 3 3 3 3
WACC 92
Discount Period
05 15 25 35 45
Discount Factor
096 088 080 074 067
Present value of free cash flow 33 2 2 2 2
Terminal Value
Terminal Year Free Cash Flow 3
Perpetuity Growth Rate 30
Terminal Year EBITDA 5
Terminal Value 53
Implied Exit Multiple 108x
Discount Period 50
Discount Factor 06
Present Value of Terminal
Value 34
of Enterprise Value 45
(in million) Actual Forecast period Net Working Capital 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Account receivables 5 7 9 9
Inventory 1 2 3 3
Prepaid expenses and other 0 1 1 1
Total Current Assets 7 10 12 14 6 6 7 7 8
20
sales 617 644 576 553 224 224 224 224 224
Account payable 3 4 5 5
Accrued Liabilities
Other Current Liabilities
Total Current Liabilities 5 8 10 14 -4 -4 -5 -5 -5
sales -505 -503 -493 -585
146 146 146 146 146
Net Working Capital 15 22 27 34
2 2 2 3 3
sales 144 145 133 138 8 8 8 8 8
Input Output
Wacc Calculation Enterprise value
Target Capital Structure (1) Present value of Free Cash Flow 42
Debt to Total Capitalization 309
Equity to Total Capitalization 691 Terminal Value 53
Debt to Equity Ratio 453 Discount Factor 065
Present Value of Terminal Value 34
Cost of Equity of Enterprise Value 45
Risk-free rate (2) 40
Market risk Premium (3) 50 Enterprise value 76
Levered Beta (4) 103 Less Total debt 144 Size Premium (5) 17 Plus Cash and Cash Equi 2
Cost of Equity 108 Net Debt 12
Cost of Debt Implied Equity Value 64
Cost of Debt 70 Outstanding shares 380000000
Taxes 210 Implied share price 000
After Tax Cost of Debt 55 Implied multiples
WACC 92
Enterprise Value 76
SALES 2010 27
(1) Obtained from Beta and Capital Structure tab
EBITDA 2010 4
(2) httpwwwtreasurygovresource-centerdata-chart-centerinterest-ratesPagesTextViewaspxdata=yield
Implied EVSALES 29x
(3) httpwwwftcomcmss030eec02e-03d4-11e1-bbc5-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz1hB0TNS6n
Implied EVEBITDA 200x
(4) Obtained from Beta and Capital Structure tab
(5) Low -Cap Decile size premium based on market capitalization
for growth rate-taken into account a gdp growth rate of 15 and the structure of the company given its recent merge aswell as the financial state of the dcf analysis
Other tables used for analysis
Ratio Analysis
Accounting Ratios Sinclair IS Pharma PLC Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Receivables Turnover 31 35 21 33 15
Receivables - Number of Days 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
Inventory Turnover 24 26 37 32 26
Inventory - Number of Days 1551 1424 986 1139 1425 GrossEquipmentPropertyTurnoverPlant amp 92 10 109 92 58 NetEquipmentPropertyTurnoverPlant amp 21 185 166 117 75
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization of Gross Property Plant
amp 1058 85 737 563 231
21
Equipment Depreciation Depletion amp
Amortization 01 01 01 01 -01
Year to Year Change Depreciation Depletion amp
Amortization 239 254 45 2054 -611
Year to Year Change
Asset Utilization
Figures are expressed as the ratio of Net Sales Net Sales are in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Net Sales 276 304 303 232 116
Cash amp Cash Equivalents 75 03 35 12 433
Short-Term Investments 00 00 00 00 00
Accounts Receivable 327 29 488 304 646
Inventories 173 125 112 93 224
Other Current Assets 36 33 42 33 49
Total Current Assets 61 451 676 551 1352
Totalamp InvestmentsLong Term Receivables 00 05 00 5 00
Long Term Receivables 00 00 00 5 00
CompaniesInvestments in Associated 00 00 00 00 00
Other Investments 00 05 00 00 00
PropertyGross Plant amp Equipment - 109 10 92 109 173
Accumulated Depreciation 62 46 32 23 39
PropertyNet Plant amp Equipment - 48 54 6 85 134
Other Assets 273 233 2089 231 4722
Total Assets 3388 2841 2825 2996 6208
Employee efficiency
Values per Employee are in Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Employees 97 125 154 142 71
Values per Employee Sales 284825 243264 196610 163225 163704
Net Income -181732 -28968 21669 -29634 -39944
Cash Earnings -54216 -26576 -3682 -17225 -32493
Working Capital -97165 -9192 32825 32296 118423
Total Debt 178093 66680 47065 8986 15507
Total Capital 710598 575680 457604 416176 886831
Total Assets 964918 690992 555494 489000 1016254
Year to Year Change per Employee Employees -224 -188 85 100 868
Sales 171 237 205 -03 -108
22
Net Income
-2337 Cash Earnings
Working Capital
-128 16 -727 -192
Total Debt 1671 417 4238 -421 -10
Total Capital 234 258 10 -531 387
Total Assets 396 244 136 -519 325
Fixed Charge Coverage
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
EBITTotal Interest Expense -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITNet Interest -188 -54 56 -1133 EBIT(TotalDiv) Interest Exp + Pfd -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITDividends on Common Shares EBIT(Dividends on Common + Pfd) EBITDATotal Interest Expense -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDANet Interest -154 -13 116 -716 EBITDA(TotalPfd Div) Interest Exp + -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDADividends on Com Shares EBITDA(Dividends on Com + Pfd) Leverage Analysis
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Long Term Debt of EBIT
2133 Long Term Debt of EBITDA
1036
LongAssetsTerm Debt of Total 27 53 48 1 04
LongCapitalTerm Debt of Total 37 64 59 12 05
LongEquityTerm Debt of Com 38 68 62 12 05
Total Debt of EBIT
3734 Total Debt of EBITDA
1814
Total Debt of Total Assets 185 96 85 18 15
Total Debt of Total Capital 251 116 103 22 17
TotalShortDebtTermDebtof Total Capital amp 207 11 99 21 17
TotalEquityDebt of Common 26 124 109 22 18
Minority Interest of EBIT
06 Minority Interest of EBITDA
03
MinorityAssets Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityCapital Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityEquity Interest of Com 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock of EBIT
00 Preferred Stock of EDITDA
00
PreferredAssets Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredCapital Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredEquity Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
23
CommonAssets Equity of Total 709 78 775 841 868
CommonCapital Equity of Total 963 936 941 988 995
Total Capital of Total Assets 736 833 824 851 873
Capital Expenditure of Sales 09 16 05 19 11
FixedEquityAssets of Common 2 24 28 34 25
WorkingCapital Capital of Total -137 -16 72 78 134
Dividend Payout 00 00 00 00 00
FundsTotal DebtFrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
Liquidity Analysis Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
TotalSalesCurrent Assets Net 61 451 676 551 1352
Cash of Current Assets 123 06 51 218 32
CashCurrentamp EquivalentsAssets of 123 06 51 218 32
Quick Ratio 04 06 1 12 17
ReceivablesAssets of Current 536 643 721 552 478
Receivableof days Turnover - number 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
InventoriesAssets of Current 283 278 165 169 166
Inventoryof days Turnover - number 1551 1424 986 1139 1425
InventoryEquivalentsto -Cashnumberamp of days 1561 83 112 4645 6949
Receivables of Total Assets 96 102 173 101 104
Current Ratio 06 09 13 16 22
Total Debt of Total Capital 207 11 99 21 17
FundsCurrentfromLiabilitiesOperations of -20 -224 -37 -299 -316
FundsLong TermfromDebtOperations of -206 -722 -137 -345 -782
FundsTotal Debtfrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
FundsTotal Capitalfrom Operations of -76 -46 -08 -41 -37
Cash Flow (in milllions of Pounds Sterling) Operating Activities -67 0 -36 -15 -29
Financing Activities 265 23 58 -01 54
Investing Activities 179 32 43 06 24
Per Share data
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Sales 017 029 032 025 012
Operating Income -002 0 -001 -003 -003
Pre-tax Income -011 -004 002 -004 -003
NetOperations)Income (Continuing -011 -004 002 -004 -003
Net Income Before Extra Items -011 -004 004 -005 -003
Extraordinary Items 0 0 0 0 0
NetItemsIncome After Extraordinary -011 -004 004 -005 -003
NetCommonIncomeSharesAvailable to -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Fully Diluted Earnings -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Common Dividends 0 0 0 0 0
Cash Earnings -004 -004 -001 -003 -004
Book Value 041 065 071 062 067
24
Retained Earnings 013 035 042 038 042
Assets 058 084 092 074 077
8
Pharmaceuticals in Europe
lsquoMarket entry of generic drugs is delayed and there is a decl ine in the number of novel medicines reaching the market
according to the European Commissions final report on competition in the pharmaceutical sector lsquovi
The pharmaceutical sector is vital to the health of Europes citizens and medicines are a major expense Europe spends euro214
billion per year - in retail prices ndash on pharmaceuticals this is 2 of our GDP This means around euro430 per year for every man
woman and child Europes ageing population will only increase the financial constraints on public health budgets At the same
time many patents for the best selling medicines are due to expire in the next few years So forecasting to the future for this
sector it looks to grow
Price differences of pharmaceuticals across the EU are linked to two main factors
differences in expenditure on health (associated with GDP)
differences in pricing policy and regulation
Reasons for growth in the pharmaceutical market
Porter (1990) states that political and economic changes can lead to increased demand conditions for products Demand conditions are one important component of Porterrsquos Diamond This work has been seen as an important addition to the political social technological and economic factors (PEST) which have often been used to scan the changes taking place in the
business environment Porter (1990) also showed that factor conditions are also important in explaining international product ion Factor conditions in
the US are such that there is a skilled labour supply of researchers in this industry the same is true of the UK Due to the value of the pound it has become more expensive to do business in the UK and so firms like GSK are star ting to do more research in the US and Asia
In terms of other factor conditions China and India have an abundant supply of low cost labour India has become a large world supplier of generics and is also trying to move up the value chain by purchasing European and US firms Porterrsquos approach to analysing the global environment also includes related supporting industries which are left out by tradi tional
PEST analysis This includes infrastructure available in the industry of a particular country Governments have increasingly focused on encouraging clusters and science and technology parks offering shared facilities and experience as well as government support UK examples in the pharmaceutical industry include Oxford and Cambridge where various industr ial links
and universities are widely available With regards to the pharmaceutical industry there has been an emergence of new players in the generic sector particularly
from India and Chinav ii
Upgraded to Overweight European Pharmaceuticals
Indicators are rolling over making EU Pharma to overweight consistent with the positive fundamental view on the
sector Lead indicators in major Western markets are rolling over and the pharmaceutical sector has been one of the most negatively correlated to lead indicators The weighting change is further supported by attractive valuation signs of stabilisation in earnings momentum and pharmrsquos position as the biggest underweight for long-only investors
Valuation prices worse than worst case gt80 upside possible European pharma trades near its lowest levels over 20 years on relative 1 year forward PE vs msci Europe The last time pharma traded at similar levels was 1993-1994 the sector outperformed the market by 130 in the years that followed With
valuation implying -12 CARG for unlevered FCFrsquos from 2013 to 2020 we see the possibility of gt8- upside should our view of gt35 CARG materialise
Looking ahead European pharma companies by a large margin are the leaders in emerging markets business diversification and other factors that limit the impact of the industry generics cliff With a number of price effects from US reforms and EU austerity annualising
later this year we expect improved earnings momentum
Prefer EU over us PHARMA
The divergence between developed and emerging markets growth is increasingly apparent favouring EU pharma companies due to their lower US exposures higher EM exposures and better business diversification
Risks for the European pharma sector include 1 the inability to increase or restore R amp D productivity 2 pressures on pricing government reforms
9
3 worse than expected margins as key blockbuster products (eg Plavix Seroquel) generalize during the generics cliff
4 pressures on cash flows from the payment of long term standing legal issues 5 and loss of important growth contributions from emerging marketsviii
WACC- Appendix j
WACC Calculation
Target Capital Structure (1)
Debt to Total Capitalization 309
Equity to Total Capitalization 691
Debt to Equity Ratio 453
Cost of Equity
Risk-free rate (2) 40
Market risk Premium (3) 50
Levered Beta (4) 103
Size Premium (5) 17
Cost of Equity 108
Cost of Debt Cost of Debt 70
Taxes 210
After Tax Cost of Debt 55
WACC 92
Given a weighted average cost of capital of 92 as the minimum rate of return at which IS Pharma Sinclair will produce value
for investors
References
All financial data extracted from IS Parma Sinclair Annual Report 2011 2010 and 2009
Comparable data extracted from yahoocomfinance
i What the merger has brought
This merger illustrates two areas of expertise join together to create a company which is a fully integrate pan European
speciality pharmaceutical which should create a synergy to all its shareholders as opportunities such as cross selling can be
made by combing the two companies portfolios and creating an in house development capability on leveraging the existing
portfolio as well as new developments They also can access prospects in emerging markets which would increase its growth
through existing and new regional strategic partnerships To investors the company will be attractive as it represents
commercialisation of partner for out licensors of European network and has already established routes in emerging markets
Now Sinclair IS Pharma operates as a fully integrated specialty Pharma company with enlarged specialty product portfolio with broader reach and is creating substantial Pharma business They operate as a strong European business and have emerging market partnerships and opportunities with a strong partner of
choice for product distribution The future looks strong for future growth and they have capability to self-fund future development with a reduced risk with enhanced growth profile
10
IS Pharma Sinclair growth strategy is to focus on core products have key product launches and drive their efficiencies They try
to sweat their enlarged portfolio to drive growth and be able to grow a brand led business through its acquisition and
development
iiiMain products Atopicliar - used to the treatment of eczemaatopic dermatitis Decapinol - used in the treatment of gingivitisgum disease Aloclair - used in the treatment of mouth ulcers s
Xclair - used in the treatment of radiation dermatitis Effadiane - for the relief of skin dryness through environmental factors Salinum - for the relief of dry mouth condition caused by a deficiency in saliva production
Papulex - used to treat inflammatory blemishes SPHR980 - used to treat head lice
iv IS Pharma Sinclair webpage presentation lsquo2011 reviewrsquo
v Source httpwwwequitymastercomresearch-itsector-infopharma vi httpwwweubusinesscomtopicspharmasector -inquiry-guide
vii httpwwwims-productivitycomusercustomjournal2008SpringIMSspr08pg14_18pdf
viii UBS Investment Research
Appendices
Appendix a ndash Sales Analysis
Year Sales Growth Cost of Goods sold of sales EBITDA OF SALES EBI OF SALES Employee
Sales per employeed
After tax income per employee
2003 9079000 na 2646000 2914 1641000 0180746778 440000 004846349 29 3130689655 1517241379
2004 2655000 -7076 1520000 5725 -1648000 -0620715631 -2754000 -10372881 25 106200 -110160
2005 6971000 16256 2380000 3414 -1412000 -0202553436 -2669000 -03828719 38 1834473684 -7023684211
2006 11623000 6673 4112000 3538 -2233000 -0192119074 -2836000 -0243999 71 1637042254 -3994366197
2007 23178000 9941 7645000 3298 -2434000 -0105013375 -4208000 -01815515 142 1632253521 -2963380282
2008 30278000 3063 10258000 3388 3996000 0131977013 3337000 011021204 154 1966103896 2166883117
2009 30408000 043 9211000 3029 -825000 -0027131018 -3621000 -01190805 125 243264 -28968
2010 27628000 -914 10100000 3656 -14227000 -0514948603 -17628000 -06380484 97 2848247423 -1817319588
2011 32897000 1907 13765000 4184 -7667000 -0233060765 -1166000 -0035444 101 3257128713 -1154455446
Appendix b - Comparables Comparable Companies Unlevered Beta
Company
Levered Beta (1)
Market Value of Debt (2)
Market Value of Equity (3) Debt Equity
Equity Total Assets
Marginal Tax Rate
SINCLAIR IS PHARMA 052 500 1125 0444444444 0692307692 03
ALLERGY THERAPEUTICS PLC 131 400 868 0460829493 0684542587 03
ECO ANIMAL HEALTH 115 450 7875 0571428571 0636363636 03
VECTURA GROUP 112 375 1125 0333333333 075 03
Median 1135
0452636969 068842514
Mean 1025
0452508961 0690803479
11
(1) From Bloomberg
(2) Book Value of Debt
(3) From Bloomberg (4) Unlevered Beta = Predicted Levered Beta (1 +
DebtEquity) x (1-t))
Relevered Beta
Mean Unlevered Beta
Mean Target Debt Equity
Target Marginal Tax Rate Relevered Beta
Target Company
0779158663 0452508961 03 1025962057
Appendix C ndash Price Analysis year Quarter High Price Low Price Closing Price Quarterly Change 12 months change
2003 Oct - Dec 1435 1205 138 NA NA
2004 Jan - March 1575 138 1445 471 NA
Apr - June 1565 138 14 -311 NA
July - Sep 1175 1015 1 -2857 NA
Oct - Dec 1255 0925 123 2300 -1090
2005 Jan - March 1405 1185 1238 065 -1440
Apr - June 1325 114 132 662 -570
July - Sep 1375 109 1165 -1174 1650
Oct - Dec 1385 114 123 558 000
2006 Jan - March 142 1255 126 244 180
Apr - June 1265 101 1194 -524 -950
July - Sep 1235 097 097 -1876 -1670
Oct - Dec 1195 0995 1087 1206 -1160
2007 Jan - March 1295 103 125 1500 -080
Apr - June 151 116 1215 -280 180
July - Sep 127 0745 085 -3004 -1240
Oct - Dec 086 0635 0705 -1706 -3510
2008 Jan - March 069 032 0363 -4851 -7100
Apr - June 0435 0358 0363 000 -7020
July - Sep 071 0308 0423 1653 -5030
Oct - Dec 045 016 018 -5745 -7450
2009 Jan - March 033 013 0268 4889 -2620
Apr - June 0335 023 025 -672 -3100
July - Sep 0475 0233 044 7600 410
Oct - Dec 047 0315 034 -2273 8890
2010 Jan - March 0354 029 0305 -1029 1400
Apr - June 0325 0241 0265 -1311 600
July - Sep 0297 0245 0275 377 -3750
Oct - Dec 0428 0265 0405 4727 1910
2011 Jan - March 0425 0335 0363 -1037 1890
Apr - June 038 0283 0284 -2176 710
July - Sep 032 0225 0249 -1232 -950
08122011
0213 -1980 -3310
12
Appendix d ndashEarns and Dividend Analysis
EARNINGS AND DIVIDENDS ANALYSIS FundamentalsEarnings amp Dividends Analysis Sinclair IS Pharma PLC
Per Share Pounds SterlingFiscal Year Ends in June
Earnings Per Share Dividends Per Share
12 Months Quarterly Reported Earnings 12 Months Quarterly Reported Dividends
Fiscal Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Years Earnings Change Sep Dec Mar Jun Dividends Change Sep Dec Mar Jun Payout
2003G H 004 nc na na na na 000 nc na na na 000 00
2004DG F 007 nc na na na na 000 nc na na na 000 00
2005D F 005 nc na 004 na 001 000 nc na na na 000 00
2006BD F 005 nc na 003 na 002 000 nc na na na 000 00
2007 AF 005 nc na 003 na 002 000 nc na na na 000 00
2008 AF 004 nc na 001 na 005 000 nc na na na 000 00
2009 F 004 nc na 004 na 008 000 nc na na na 000 00
2010E ACF 014 nc na 013 na 001 000 nc na na na 000 00
2011D ACF 005 nc na 002 na 003 000 nc na na na 000 00
Appendix e - Profitability Analysis
Operating Income Margin
-133 -05 -28 -106 -261
Pretax Income Margin
-664 -133 52 -172 -237
EBIT Margin
-631 -112 64 -166 -232
Net Income Margin
-638 -119 11 -182 -244
Return on Equity - Total
-264 -54 54 -7 -65
Return on Invested Capital
-21 -4 56 -66 -62
Return on Assets
-186 -35 48 -58 -54
Asset Turnover
03 04 04 03 02
Financial Leverage
26 124 109 22 18
Interest Expense on Debt
933000 636000 367000 129000 54000
Effective Tax Rate
Cash Flow Sales
-19 -109 -19 -106 -198
Selling General amp
Administrative Expenses of
652 617 621 715 867
Sales
ResearchExpense amp Development
19 13 28 23 17
OperatingTotal CapitalIncome Return On
-42 21 192 -61 1591
13
Appendix F ndash Balance Sheet data ndash from SPH annual report 2009 -2011
Financial Statement AnalysesBalance Sheet - Five-Year Averages Balance Sheet - (5 Year Averages)
Figures in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007
Assets Total Assets 814 685 567 44
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 22 28 43 42
Cash 22 28 43 42
Short Term Investments 0 0 0 0
Receivables (Net) 94 85 72 51
Inventories -Total 33 25 18 11
Raw Materials 1 07 04 03
Work in Process 01 01 01 0
Finished Goods 23 18 13 09
OtherProgress Payments amp 0 0 0 0
Prepaid Expenses Other Current Assets 09 08 06 04
Current Assets - Total 159 146 139 108
Long Term Receivables 02 02 02 02
InvestmentCompaniesin Associated 0 0 0 0
Other Investments 0 0 0 0
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment 27 22 17 12
Accumulated Depreciation 1 07 05 03
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and 17 15 12 08
Other Assets 636 522 414 322
Deferred Charges 0 0 0 0
Tangible Other Assets 06 05 04 04
Intangible Other Assets 63 517 409 318
Total Assets 814 685 567 44
Liabilities amp Shareholders Equity Total Liabilities amp 814 685 567 44
Shareholders Equity Accounts Payable 54 47 38 28
Short Term Debt amp Current 46 17 1 05
Portion of Long Term Debt Accrued Payroll Income Taxes Payable 01 01 01 02
Dividends Payable Other Current Liabilities 43 36 26 19
Current Liabilities - Total 144 101 75 54
Long Term Debt 25 2 11 02
Long Term Debt Excluding 24 19 1 02
Capitalized Leases
14
Capitalized Lease 01 01 01 01
Obligations Provision for Risks and Charges Deferred Income Deferred Taxes -09 -05 -02 -01
Deferred Taxes - Credit Deferred Taxes - Debit Deferred Tax Liability in Untaxed Reserves Other Liabilities 08 07 07 07
Total Liabilities 172 128 93 67
Non-Equity Reserves 0 0 0 0
Minority Interest 0 0 0 0
Preferred Stock 0 0 0 0
Preferred Stock Issued for ESOP ESOP Guarantees - Preferred Issued Common Equity 642 558 473 373
TotalShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 814 685 567 44
Balance Sheet yr to yr change Financial Statement AnalysesBalance Sheet - Year - Year Change
Ba lance Sheet - (Year to Year Percent Change) Figures are the Percent Changes from the Prior Year Fi scal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Assets Tota l Assets 84 1 232 -38 1476
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 22534 -916 -623 -446 26
Cash 22534 -916 -623 -446 26
Short Term Investments Receivables (Net) 24 -403 1096 -62 636
Inventories -Total 254 126 563 -171 3341
Raw Materials 311 209 668 -167 29727
Work in Process -4 -734 4697 -411 Finished Goods 235 164 438 -165 2242
Progress Payments amp Other Prepaid Expenses Other Current Assets -16 -222 655 376 802
Current Assets - Total 23 -331 603 -187 51
Long Term Receivables
-100 Investment in Associated
Companies Other Investments -100
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment -04 87 109 251 1906
Accumulated Depreciation 227 443 783 19 515
15
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and -198 -101 -75 268 2964
Other Assets 64 121 181 -24 1992
Deferred Charges
Tangible Other Assets 6135 -719 3064 -958 Intangible Other Assets 57 125 177 08 1891
Tota l Assets 84 1 232 -38 1476
Liabilities amp Shareholders Equity
Tota l Liabilities amp 84 1 232 -38 1476
Shareholders Equity
Accounts Payable 109 -148 221 426 49
Short Term Debt amp Current 2944 201 4481 -297 679
Portion of Long Term Debt Accrued Payroll
Income Taxes Payable -957 895 303 -81 19471
Dividends Payable
Other Current Liabilities -00 -56 1529 -68 321
Current Liabilities - Total 769 -37 884 121 51
Long Term Debt -445 112 4839 1403 686
Long Term Debt Excluding -442 129 6933 177 356
Capitalized Leases Capitalized Lease -717 -492 -416 804 180
Obl igations Provis ion for Risks and -714
Charges Deferred Income -896 -216 -566
Deferred Taxes
Deferred Taxes - Credit Deferred Taxes - Debit 537 842 945
Deferred Tax Liability in Untaxed Reserves
Other Liabilities 109
-100 -27 Tota l Liabilities 432 -1 739 165 891
Non-Equity Reserves Minori ty Interest -100
91 120
Preferred Stock Preferred Stock Issued for
ESOP ESOP Guarantees -
Preferred Issued Common Equity -15 16 136 -68 1597
Tota lShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 84 1 232 -38 1476
SPH Balcnce sheet total asset
Figures are expressed as Percent of Total Assets
Total Assets are in millions of Pounds Sterling
Fiscal Year 20100 20090 20080 20070 20060
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Assets
16
Total Assets 936 864 855 694 722
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 2200 01 1200 4000 7000
Cash 2200 01 1200 4000 7000
Short Term Investments 00 00 00 00 00
Receivables (Net) 96 102 173 101 104
Inventories -Total 5100 4400 4000 3100 3600
Raw Materials 16 13 11 08 09
Work in Process 01 01 02 00 01
Finished Goods 3500 3000 2600 2300 26
OtherProgress Payments amp 00 00 00 00 00
Prepaid Expenses
Other Current Assets 11 12 15 11 08
Current Assets - Total 18 159 239 184 218
Long Term Receivables 00 00 00 1700 00
InvestmentCompaniesin Associated 00 00 00 00 00
Other Investments 00 02 00 00 00
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment 3200 3500 3300 3600 2800
Accumulated Depreciation 18 16 11 08 06
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and 14 19 21 28 2200
Other Assets 80600 82000 73900 77100 76100
Deferred Charges 00 00 00 00 00
Tangible Other Assets 07 01 04 01 26 Intangible Other Assets 799 819 736 77 735
Total Assets 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000
Liabilities amp Shareholders
Equity
Total Liabilities amp 93600 86400 85500 694 72200
Shareholders Equity
Accounts Payable 65 63 75 76 51
Short Term Debt amp Current 157 43 36 08 11
Portion of Long Term Debt
Accrued Payroll
Income Taxes Payable 00 02 01 01 05
Dividends Payable
Other Current Liabilities 5900 6400 6800 33 34
Current Liabilities - Total 281 172 18 118 101
Long Term Debt 27 53 48 1 04
Long Term Debt Excluding 27 53 47 07 03
Capitalized Leases
Capitalized Lease 00 01 01 03 02
Obligations
Provision for Risks and 01 04 02
Charges
Deferred Income 00 03 04 12
Deferred Taxes -21 -15 -08 -05 00
Deferred Taxes - Credit
Deferred Taxes - Debit 21 15 08 05
Deferred Tax Liability in
Untaxed Reserves Other Liabilities 03 03 00 24 24
Total Liabilities 291 22 225 159 131
Non-Equity Reserves 00 00 00 00 00
Minority Interest 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock Issued for ESOP ESOP Guarantees - Preferred Issued
17
Common Equity 709 78 775 841 868
TotalShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 100 100 100 100 100
Appendix g- Income statement- figures from Annual report 2009-2011
Income Statement - (4 Year Averages) Figures in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007
Net Sales or Revenues 246 205 149 107
Cost of Goods Sold 83 67 52 37
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization 19 15 12 1
Gross Income 144 122 85 6
Selling General amp Administrative Expenses 164 141 11 82
Other Operating Expenses 0 0 0 0
Operating Expenses - Total 267 224 174 129
Operating Income -2 -19 -24 -22
Extraordinary Credit - Pretax 12 12 08 0
Extraordinary Charge - Pretax 41 14 05 03
Non-Operating Interest Income 01 01 02 02
Reserves - IncreaseDecrease Pretax Equity in Earnings 0 0 0 0
Other IncomeExpense - Net -02 -01 0 01
EarningsAmortizationbefore(EBITDA)Interest Taxes Depreciation amp -31 -06 -07 -12
Earnings before Interest amp Taxes(EBIT) -51 -21 -2 -23
Interest Expense on Debt 04 02 01 0
Interest Capitalized 0 0 0 0
Pretax Income -55 -24 -21 -23
Income Taxes -05 -04 -03 01
Minority Interest 0 0 0 0
Equity in Earnings 0 0 0 0
After Tax Other IncomeExpense 0 0 0 0
Discontinued Operations 0 0 NetDividendsIncome before Extraordinary ItemsPreferred -5 -2 -18 -24
Extraordinary Items amp GainLoss Sale of Assets 0 0 0 0
Preferred Dividend Requirements 0 0 0 0
NetCommonIncome after Preferred Dividends - available to -5 -2 -18 -24
Income Statement revenues
Figures are expressed as Percent of Net Sales or Revenues Net Sales or Revenues are in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Net Sales or Revenues 276 304 303 232 116
Cost of Goods Sold 366 303 339 33 354
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization 116 85 68 61 4
Gross Income 519 612 593 609 606
Selling General amp Administrative Expenses 652 617 621 715 867
Other Operating Expenses 00 00 00 00 00
Operating Expenses - Total 1133 1005 1028 1106 1261
18
Operating Income -133 -05 -28 -106 -261
Extraordinary Credit - Pretax 00 55 135 00 00
Extraordinary Charge - Pretax 482 143 35 71 00
Non-Operating Interest Income 00 00 01 04 24
Reserves - IncreaseDecrease
00
Pretax Equity in Earnings 00 00 00 00 00
Other IncomeExpense - Net -16 -19 -09 07 05
EarningsDepreciationbeforeamp AmortizationInterest Taxes(EBITDA) -515 -27 132 -105 -192
Earnings before Interest amp Taxes(EBIT) -631 -112 64 -166 -232
Interest Expense on Debt 34 21 12 06 05
Interest Capitalized 00 00 00 00 00
Pretax Income -664 -133 52 -172 -237
Income Taxes -26 -14 -58 1 07
Minority Interest 00 00 00 00 00
Equity in Earnings 00 00 00 00 00
After Tax Other IncomeExpense 00 00 00 00 00
Discontinued Operations 00 00 00 00 00
NetItemsPreferredIncome beforeDividendsExtraordinary -638 -119 11 -182 -244
ExtraordinaryAssets Items amp GainLoss Sale of 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Dividend Requirements 00 00 00 00 00
NetavailableIncometo Commonafter Preferred Dividends - -638 -119 11 -182 -244
Appendix h Healthcare industry statistics source Reuters Industry Statistics Stat Notes
stock research rating Hold hellip
Potential saf ety margin 38 hellip
WACC discount rate 7 Low ~ Good f or inv estors
Comparators Stat Notes
rev enue EV multiple 28x High ~ Bad f or inv estors
EBITDA EV multiple 94x High ~ Bad f or inv estors
EBIT EV multiple 129x hellip
Cash f low ev multiple 128x hellip
Book v alue EV multiple 10x Low ~ Good f or inv estors
DISC CASH FLOW Ratios Notes
REVENUE GROWTH 13 High ~ Good f or inv estors
EBITDA MARGIN 26 High ~ Good f or inv estors
EBIT MARGIN 22 High ~ Good f or inv estors
CASH FLOW MARGIN 14 High ~ Good f or inv estors
TAXES RATE 21 hellip
DEBT-EQUITY RATIO 15 Low ~ Good f or inv estors
ROIC 5 Low ~ Bad f or inv estors
RE-inv estment Rate 13 High ~ Bad f or inv estors
WACC discount rate Rates Notes
19
risk f ree rate 4 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
cost of debt 7 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
equity risk premium 5 hellip
debt required return of debt 5 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
required return of equity 7 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
Appendix j- WACC AND DCF
(in million) Actual CAGR Forecast period
2007 2008 2009 2010 (07 -10) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Sales 11 15 21 25 32 27 29 31 33 36
growth 393 376 200 80 80 80 80 80
Total costs 13 17 22 27 27 -23 -25 -27 -29 -31
sales 857 857 857 857 857
EBITDA -3 -1 -1 -1 -27 4 4 4 5 5 margin -290 -40 -34 -49 143 143 143 143 143
Depreciation amp Amortization -1 2 2 4 0 -1 -1 -1 -1
sales 75 -101 -83 -175 18 18 18 18 18
EBIT -2 -2 -2 -6 34 3 4 4 4 5
Taxes (30) 0 0 0 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
Capex -01 45 26 137 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
sales -302 -127 -556 23 23 23 23 23
IncreaseDecrease in NWC -6 -6 -7 32 0 0 0 0
Unlevered Free Cash Flow -3 -4 5 34 3 3 3 3
WACC 92
Discount Period
05 15 25 35 45
Discount Factor
096 088 080 074 067
Present value of free cash flow 33 2 2 2 2
Terminal Value
Terminal Year Free Cash Flow 3
Perpetuity Growth Rate 30
Terminal Year EBITDA 5
Terminal Value 53
Implied Exit Multiple 108x
Discount Period 50
Discount Factor 06
Present Value of Terminal
Value 34
of Enterprise Value 45
(in million) Actual Forecast period Net Working Capital 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Account receivables 5 7 9 9
Inventory 1 2 3 3
Prepaid expenses and other 0 1 1 1
Total Current Assets 7 10 12 14 6 6 7 7 8
20
sales 617 644 576 553 224 224 224 224 224
Account payable 3 4 5 5
Accrued Liabilities
Other Current Liabilities
Total Current Liabilities 5 8 10 14 -4 -4 -5 -5 -5
sales -505 -503 -493 -585
146 146 146 146 146
Net Working Capital 15 22 27 34
2 2 2 3 3
sales 144 145 133 138 8 8 8 8 8
Input Output
Wacc Calculation Enterprise value
Target Capital Structure (1) Present value of Free Cash Flow 42
Debt to Total Capitalization 309
Equity to Total Capitalization 691 Terminal Value 53
Debt to Equity Ratio 453 Discount Factor 065
Present Value of Terminal Value 34
Cost of Equity of Enterprise Value 45
Risk-free rate (2) 40
Market risk Premium (3) 50 Enterprise value 76
Levered Beta (4) 103 Less Total debt 144 Size Premium (5) 17 Plus Cash and Cash Equi 2
Cost of Equity 108 Net Debt 12
Cost of Debt Implied Equity Value 64
Cost of Debt 70 Outstanding shares 380000000
Taxes 210 Implied share price 000
After Tax Cost of Debt 55 Implied multiples
WACC 92
Enterprise Value 76
SALES 2010 27
(1) Obtained from Beta and Capital Structure tab
EBITDA 2010 4
(2) httpwwwtreasurygovresource-centerdata-chart-centerinterest-ratesPagesTextViewaspxdata=yield
Implied EVSALES 29x
(3) httpwwwftcomcmss030eec02e-03d4-11e1-bbc5-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz1hB0TNS6n
Implied EVEBITDA 200x
(4) Obtained from Beta and Capital Structure tab
(5) Low -Cap Decile size premium based on market capitalization
for growth rate-taken into account a gdp growth rate of 15 and the structure of the company given its recent merge aswell as the financial state of the dcf analysis
Other tables used for analysis
Ratio Analysis
Accounting Ratios Sinclair IS Pharma PLC Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Receivables Turnover 31 35 21 33 15
Receivables - Number of Days 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
Inventory Turnover 24 26 37 32 26
Inventory - Number of Days 1551 1424 986 1139 1425 GrossEquipmentPropertyTurnoverPlant amp 92 10 109 92 58 NetEquipmentPropertyTurnoverPlant amp 21 185 166 117 75
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization of Gross Property Plant
amp 1058 85 737 563 231
21
Equipment Depreciation Depletion amp
Amortization 01 01 01 01 -01
Year to Year Change Depreciation Depletion amp
Amortization 239 254 45 2054 -611
Year to Year Change
Asset Utilization
Figures are expressed as the ratio of Net Sales Net Sales are in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Net Sales 276 304 303 232 116
Cash amp Cash Equivalents 75 03 35 12 433
Short-Term Investments 00 00 00 00 00
Accounts Receivable 327 29 488 304 646
Inventories 173 125 112 93 224
Other Current Assets 36 33 42 33 49
Total Current Assets 61 451 676 551 1352
Totalamp InvestmentsLong Term Receivables 00 05 00 5 00
Long Term Receivables 00 00 00 5 00
CompaniesInvestments in Associated 00 00 00 00 00
Other Investments 00 05 00 00 00
PropertyGross Plant amp Equipment - 109 10 92 109 173
Accumulated Depreciation 62 46 32 23 39
PropertyNet Plant amp Equipment - 48 54 6 85 134
Other Assets 273 233 2089 231 4722
Total Assets 3388 2841 2825 2996 6208
Employee efficiency
Values per Employee are in Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Employees 97 125 154 142 71
Values per Employee Sales 284825 243264 196610 163225 163704
Net Income -181732 -28968 21669 -29634 -39944
Cash Earnings -54216 -26576 -3682 -17225 -32493
Working Capital -97165 -9192 32825 32296 118423
Total Debt 178093 66680 47065 8986 15507
Total Capital 710598 575680 457604 416176 886831
Total Assets 964918 690992 555494 489000 1016254
Year to Year Change per Employee Employees -224 -188 85 100 868
Sales 171 237 205 -03 -108
22
Net Income
-2337 Cash Earnings
Working Capital
-128 16 -727 -192
Total Debt 1671 417 4238 -421 -10
Total Capital 234 258 10 -531 387
Total Assets 396 244 136 -519 325
Fixed Charge Coverage
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
EBITTotal Interest Expense -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITNet Interest -188 -54 56 -1133 EBIT(TotalDiv) Interest Exp + Pfd -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITDividends on Common Shares EBIT(Dividends on Common + Pfd) EBITDATotal Interest Expense -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDANet Interest -154 -13 116 -716 EBITDA(TotalPfd Div) Interest Exp + -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDADividends on Com Shares EBITDA(Dividends on Com + Pfd) Leverage Analysis
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Long Term Debt of EBIT
2133 Long Term Debt of EBITDA
1036
LongAssetsTerm Debt of Total 27 53 48 1 04
LongCapitalTerm Debt of Total 37 64 59 12 05
LongEquityTerm Debt of Com 38 68 62 12 05
Total Debt of EBIT
3734 Total Debt of EBITDA
1814
Total Debt of Total Assets 185 96 85 18 15
Total Debt of Total Capital 251 116 103 22 17
TotalShortDebtTermDebtof Total Capital amp 207 11 99 21 17
TotalEquityDebt of Common 26 124 109 22 18
Minority Interest of EBIT
06 Minority Interest of EBITDA
03
MinorityAssets Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityCapital Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityEquity Interest of Com 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock of EBIT
00 Preferred Stock of EDITDA
00
PreferredAssets Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredCapital Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredEquity Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
23
CommonAssets Equity of Total 709 78 775 841 868
CommonCapital Equity of Total 963 936 941 988 995
Total Capital of Total Assets 736 833 824 851 873
Capital Expenditure of Sales 09 16 05 19 11
FixedEquityAssets of Common 2 24 28 34 25
WorkingCapital Capital of Total -137 -16 72 78 134
Dividend Payout 00 00 00 00 00
FundsTotal DebtFrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
Liquidity Analysis Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
TotalSalesCurrent Assets Net 61 451 676 551 1352
Cash of Current Assets 123 06 51 218 32
CashCurrentamp EquivalentsAssets of 123 06 51 218 32
Quick Ratio 04 06 1 12 17
ReceivablesAssets of Current 536 643 721 552 478
Receivableof days Turnover - number 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
InventoriesAssets of Current 283 278 165 169 166
Inventoryof days Turnover - number 1551 1424 986 1139 1425
InventoryEquivalentsto -Cashnumberamp of days 1561 83 112 4645 6949
Receivables of Total Assets 96 102 173 101 104
Current Ratio 06 09 13 16 22
Total Debt of Total Capital 207 11 99 21 17
FundsCurrentfromLiabilitiesOperations of -20 -224 -37 -299 -316
FundsLong TermfromDebtOperations of -206 -722 -137 -345 -782
FundsTotal Debtfrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
FundsTotal Capitalfrom Operations of -76 -46 -08 -41 -37
Cash Flow (in milllions of Pounds Sterling) Operating Activities -67 0 -36 -15 -29
Financing Activities 265 23 58 -01 54
Investing Activities 179 32 43 06 24
Per Share data
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Sales 017 029 032 025 012
Operating Income -002 0 -001 -003 -003
Pre-tax Income -011 -004 002 -004 -003
NetOperations)Income (Continuing -011 -004 002 -004 -003
Net Income Before Extra Items -011 -004 004 -005 -003
Extraordinary Items 0 0 0 0 0
NetItemsIncome After Extraordinary -011 -004 004 -005 -003
NetCommonIncomeSharesAvailable to -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Fully Diluted Earnings -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Common Dividends 0 0 0 0 0
Cash Earnings -004 -004 -001 -003 -004
Book Value 041 065 071 062 067
24
Retained Earnings 013 035 042 038 042
Assets 058 084 092 074 077
9
3 worse than expected margins as key blockbuster products (eg Plavix Seroquel) generalize during the generics cliff
4 pressures on cash flows from the payment of long term standing legal issues 5 and loss of important growth contributions from emerging marketsviii
WACC- Appendix j
WACC Calculation
Target Capital Structure (1)
Debt to Total Capitalization 309
Equity to Total Capitalization 691
Debt to Equity Ratio 453
Cost of Equity
Risk-free rate (2) 40
Market risk Premium (3) 50
Levered Beta (4) 103
Size Premium (5) 17
Cost of Equity 108
Cost of Debt Cost of Debt 70
Taxes 210
After Tax Cost of Debt 55
WACC 92
Given a weighted average cost of capital of 92 as the minimum rate of return at which IS Pharma Sinclair will produce value
for investors
References
All financial data extracted from IS Parma Sinclair Annual Report 2011 2010 and 2009
Comparable data extracted from yahoocomfinance
i What the merger has brought
This merger illustrates two areas of expertise join together to create a company which is a fully integrate pan European
speciality pharmaceutical which should create a synergy to all its shareholders as opportunities such as cross selling can be
made by combing the two companies portfolios and creating an in house development capability on leveraging the existing
portfolio as well as new developments They also can access prospects in emerging markets which would increase its growth
through existing and new regional strategic partnerships To investors the company will be attractive as it represents
commercialisation of partner for out licensors of European network and has already established routes in emerging markets
Now Sinclair IS Pharma operates as a fully integrated specialty Pharma company with enlarged specialty product portfolio with broader reach and is creating substantial Pharma business They operate as a strong European business and have emerging market partnerships and opportunities with a strong partner of
choice for product distribution The future looks strong for future growth and they have capability to self-fund future development with a reduced risk with enhanced growth profile
10
IS Pharma Sinclair growth strategy is to focus on core products have key product launches and drive their efficiencies They try
to sweat their enlarged portfolio to drive growth and be able to grow a brand led business through its acquisition and
development
iiiMain products Atopicliar - used to the treatment of eczemaatopic dermatitis Decapinol - used in the treatment of gingivitisgum disease Aloclair - used in the treatment of mouth ulcers s
Xclair - used in the treatment of radiation dermatitis Effadiane - for the relief of skin dryness through environmental factors Salinum - for the relief of dry mouth condition caused by a deficiency in saliva production
Papulex - used to treat inflammatory blemishes SPHR980 - used to treat head lice
iv IS Pharma Sinclair webpage presentation lsquo2011 reviewrsquo
v Source httpwwwequitymastercomresearch-itsector-infopharma vi httpwwweubusinesscomtopicspharmasector -inquiry-guide
vii httpwwwims-productivitycomusercustomjournal2008SpringIMSspr08pg14_18pdf
viii UBS Investment Research
Appendices
Appendix a ndash Sales Analysis
Year Sales Growth Cost of Goods sold of sales EBITDA OF SALES EBI OF SALES Employee
Sales per employeed
After tax income per employee
2003 9079000 na 2646000 2914 1641000 0180746778 440000 004846349 29 3130689655 1517241379
2004 2655000 -7076 1520000 5725 -1648000 -0620715631 -2754000 -10372881 25 106200 -110160
2005 6971000 16256 2380000 3414 -1412000 -0202553436 -2669000 -03828719 38 1834473684 -7023684211
2006 11623000 6673 4112000 3538 -2233000 -0192119074 -2836000 -0243999 71 1637042254 -3994366197
2007 23178000 9941 7645000 3298 -2434000 -0105013375 -4208000 -01815515 142 1632253521 -2963380282
2008 30278000 3063 10258000 3388 3996000 0131977013 3337000 011021204 154 1966103896 2166883117
2009 30408000 043 9211000 3029 -825000 -0027131018 -3621000 -01190805 125 243264 -28968
2010 27628000 -914 10100000 3656 -14227000 -0514948603 -17628000 -06380484 97 2848247423 -1817319588
2011 32897000 1907 13765000 4184 -7667000 -0233060765 -1166000 -0035444 101 3257128713 -1154455446
Appendix b - Comparables Comparable Companies Unlevered Beta
Company
Levered Beta (1)
Market Value of Debt (2)
Market Value of Equity (3) Debt Equity
Equity Total Assets
Marginal Tax Rate
SINCLAIR IS PHARMA 052 500 1125 0444444444 0692307692 03
ALLERGY THERAPEUTICS PLC 131 400 868 0460829493 0684542587 03
ECO ANIMAL HEALTH 115 450 7875 0571428571 0636363636 03
VECTURA GROUP 112 375 1125 0333333333 075 03
Median 1135
0452636969 068842514
Mean 1025
0452508961 0690803479
11
(1) From Bloomberg
(2) Book Value of Debt
(3) From Bloomberg (4) Unlevered Beta = Predicted Levered Beta (1 +
DebtEquity) x (1-t))
Relevered Beta
Mean Unlevered Beta
Mean Target Debt Equity
Target Marginal Tax Rate Relevered Beta
Target Company
0779158663 0452508961 03 1025962057
Appendix C ndash Price Analysis year Quarter High Price Low Price Closing Price Quarterly Change 12 months change
2003 Oct - Dec 1435 1205 138 NA NA
2004 Jan - March 1575 138 1445 471 NA
Apr - June 1565 138 14 -311 NA
July - Sep 1175 1015 1 -2857 NA
Oct - Dec 1255 0925 123 2300 -1090
2005 Jan - March 1405 1185 1238 065 -1440
Apr - June 1325 114 132 662 -570
July - Sep 1375 109 1165 -1174 1650
Oct - Dec 1385 114 123 558 000
2006 Jan - March 142 1255 126 244 180
Apr - June 1265 101 1194 -524 -950
July - Sep 1235 097 097 -1876 -1670
Oct - Dec 1195 0995 1087 1206 -1160
2007 Jan - March 1295 103 125 1500 -080
Apr - June 151 116 1215 -280 180
July - Sep 127 0745 085 -3004 -1240
Oct - Dec 086 0635 0705 -1706 -3510
2008 Jan - March 069 032 0363 -4851 -7100
Apr - June 0435 0358 0363 000 -7020
July - Sep 071 0308 0423 1653 -5030
Oct - Dec 045 016 018 -5745 -7450
2009 Jan - March 033 013 0268 4889 -2620
Apr - June 0335 023 025 -672 -3100
July - Sep 0475 0233 044 7600 410
Oct - Dec 047 0315 034 -2273 8890
2010 Jan - March 0354 029 0305 -1029 1400
Apr - June 0325 0241 0265 -1311 600
July - Sep 0297 0245 0275 377 -3750
Oct - Dec 0428 0265 0405 4727 1910
2011 Jan - March 0425 0335 0363 -1037 1890
Apr - June 038 0283 0284 -2176 710
July - Sep 032 0225 0249 -1232 -950
08122011
0213 -1980 -3310
12
Appendix d ndashEarns and Dividend Analysis
EARNINGS AND DIVIDENDS ANALYSIS FundamentalsEarnings amp Dividends Analysis Sinclair IS Pharma PLC
Per Share Pounds SterlingFiscal Year Ends in June
Earnings Per Share Dividends Per Share
12 Months Quarterly Reported Earnings 12 Months Quarterly Reported Dividends
Fiscal Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Years Earnings Change Sep Dec Mar Jun Dividends Change Sep Dec Mar Jun Payout
2003G H 004 nc na na na na 000 nc na na na 000 00
2004DG F 007 nc na na na na 000 nc na na na 000 00
2005D F 005 nc na 004 na 001 000 nc na na na 000 00
2006BD F 005 nc na 003 na 002 000 nc na na na 000 00
2007 AF 005 nc na 003 na 002 000 nc na na na 000 00
2008 AF 004 nc na 001 na 005 000 nc na na na 000 00
2009 F 004 nc na 004 na 008 000 nc na na na 000 00
2010E ACF 014 nc na 013 na 001 000 nc na na na 000 00
2011D ACF 005 nc na 002 na 003 000 nc na na na 000 00
Appendix e - Profitability Analysis
Operating Income Margin
-133 -05 -28 -106 -261
Pretax Income Margin
-664 -133 52 -172 -237
EBIT Margin
-631 -112 64 -166 -232
Net Income Margin
-638 -119 11 -182 -244
Return on Equity - Total
-264 -54 54 -7 -65
Return on Invested Capital
-21 -4 56 -66 -62
Return on Assets
-186 -35 48 -58 -54
Asset Turnover
03 04 04 03 02
Financial Leverage
26 124 109 22 18
Interest Expense on Debt
933000 636000 367000 129000 54000
Effective Tax Rate
Cash Flow Sales
-19 -109 -19 -106 -198
Selling General amp
Administrative Expenses of
652 617 621 715 867
Sales
ResearchExpense amp Development
19 13 28 23 17
OperatingTotal CapitalIncome Return On
-42 21 192 -61 1591
13
Appendix F ndash Balance Sheet data ndash from SPH annual report 2009 -2011
Financial Statement AnalysesBalance Sheet - Five-Year Averages Balance Sheet - (5 Year Averages)
Figures in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007
Assets Total Assets 814 685 567 44
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 22 28 43 42
Cash 22 28 43 42
Short Term Investments 0 0 0 0
Receivables (Net) 94 85 72 51
Inventories -Total 33 25 18 11
Raw Materials 1 07 04 03
Work in Process 01 01 01 0
Finished Goods 23 18 13 09
OtherProgress Payments amp 0 0 0 0
Prepaid Expenses Other Current Assets 09 08 06 04
Current Assets - Total 159 146 139 108
Long Term Receivables 02 02 02 02
InvestmentCompaniesin Associated 0 0 0 0
Other Investments 0 0 0 0
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment 27 22 17 12
Accumulated Depreciation 1 07 05 03
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and 17 15 12 08
Other Assets 636 522 414 322
Deferred Charges 0 0 0 0
Tangible Other Assets 06 05 04 04
Intangible Other Assets 63 517 409 318
Total Assets 814 685 567 44
Liabilities amp Shareholders Equity Total Liabilities amp 814 685 567 44
Shareholders Equity Accounts Payable 54 47 38 28
Short Term Debt amp Current 46 17 1 05
Portion of Long Term Debt Accrued Payroll Income Taxes Payable 01 01 01 02
Dividends Payable Other Current Liabilities 43 36 26 19
Current Liabilities - Total 144 101 75 54
Long Term Debt 25 2 11 02
Long Term Debt Excluding 24 19 1 02
Capitalized Leases
14
Capitalized Lease 01 01 01 01
Obligations Provision for Risks and Charges Deferred Income Deferred Taxes -09 -05 -02 -01
Deferred Taxes - Credit Deferred Taxes - Debit Deferred Tax Liability in Untaxed Reserves Other Liabilities 08 07 07 07
Total Liabilities 172 128 93 67
Non-Equity Reserves 0 0 0 0
Minority Interest 0 0 0 0
Preferred Stock 0 0 0 0
Preferred Stock Issued for ESOP ESOP Guarantees - Preferred Issued Common Equity 642 558 473 373
TotalShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 814 685 567 44
Balance Sheet yr to yr change Financial Statement AnalysesBalance Sheet - Year - Year Change
Ba lance Sheet - (Year to Year Percent Change) Figures are the Percent Changes from the Prior Year Fi scal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Assets Tota l Assets 84 1 232 -38 1476
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 22534 -916 -623 -446 26
Cash 22534 -916 -623 -446 26
Short Term Investments Receivables (Net) 24 -403 1096 -62 636
Inventories -Total 254 126 563 -171 3341
Raw Materials 311 209 668 -167 29727
Work in Process -4 -734 4697 -411 Finished Goods 235 164 438 -165 2242
Progress Payments amp Other Prepaid Expenses Other Current Assets -16 -222 655 376 802
Current Assets - Total 23 -331 603 -187 51
Long Term Receivables
-100 Investment in Associated
Companies Other Investments -100
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment -04 87 109 251 1906
Accumulated Depreciation 227 443 783 19 515
15
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and -198 -101 -75 268 2964
Other Assets 64 121 181 -24 1992
Deferred Charges
Tangible Other Assets 6135 -719 3064 -958 Intangible Other Assets 57 125 177 08 1891
Tota l Assets 84 1 232 -38 1476
Liabilities amp Shareholders Equity
Tota l Liabilities amp 84 1 232 -38 1476
Shareholders Equity
Accounts Payable 109 -148 221 426 49
Short Term Debt amp Current 2944 201 4481 -297 679
Portion of Long Term Debt Accrued Payroll
Income Taxes Payable -957 895 303 -81 19471
Dividends Payable
Other Current Liabilities -00 -56 1529 -68 321
Current Liabilities - Total 769 -37 884 121 51
Long Term Debt -445 112 4839 1403 686
Long Term Debt Excluding -442 129 6933 177 356
Capitalized Leases Capitalized Lease -717 -492 -416 804 180
Obl igations Provis ion for Risks and -714
Charges Deferred Income -896 -216 -566
Deferred Taxes
Deferred Taxes - Credit Deferred Taxes - Debit 537 842 945
Deferred Tax Liability in Untaxed Reserves
Other Liabilities 109
-100 -27 Tota l Liabilities 432 -1 739 165 891
Non-Equity Reserves Minori ty Interest -100
91 120
Preferred Stock Preferred Stock Issued for
ESOP ESOP Guarantees -
Preferred Issued Common Equity -15 16 136 -68 1597
Tota lShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 84 1 232 -38 1476
SPH Balcnce sheet total asset
Figures are expressed as Percent of Total Assets
Total Assets are in millions of Pounds Sterling
Fiscal Year 20100 20090 20080 20070 20060
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Assets
16
Total Assets 936 864 855 694 722
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 2200 01 1200 4000 7000
Cash 2200 01 1200 4000 7000
Short Term Investments 00 00 00 00 00
Receivables (Net) 96 102 173 101 104
Inventories -Total 5100 4400 4000 3100 3600
Raw Materials 16 13 11 08 09
Work in Process 01 01 02 00 01
Finished Goods 3500 3000 2600 2300 26
OtherProgress Payments amp 00 00 00 00 00
Prepaid Expenses
Other Current Assets 11 12 15 11 08
Current Assets - Total 18 159 239 184 218
Long Term Receivables 00 00 00 1700 00
InvestmentCompaniesin Associated 00 00 00 00 00
Other Investments 00 02 00 00 00
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment 3200 3500 3300 3600 2800
Accumulated Depreciation 18 16 11 08 06
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and 14 19 21 28 2200
Other Assets 80600 82000 73900 77100 76100
Deferred Charges 00 00 00 00 00
Tangible Other Assets 07 01 04 01 26 Intangible Other Assets 799 819 736 77 735
Total Assets 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000
Liabilities amp Shareholders
Equity
Total Liabilities amp 93600 86400 85500 694 72200
Shareholders Equity
Accounts Payable 65 63 75 76 51
Short Term Debt amp Current 157 43 36 08 11
Portion of Long Term Debt
Accrued Payroll
Income Taxes Payable 00 02 01 01 05
Dividends Payable
Other Current Liabilities 5900 6400 6800 33 34
Current Liabilities - Total 281 172 18 118 101
Long Term Debt 27 53 48 1 04
Long Term Debt Excluding 27 53 47 07 03
Capitalized Leases
Capitalized Lease 00 01 01 03 02
Obligations
Provision for Risks and 01 04 02
Charges
Deferred Income 00 03 04 12
Deferred Taxes -21 -15 -08 -05 00
Deferred Taxes - Credit
Deferred Taxes - Debit 21 15 08 05
Deferred Tax Liability in
Untaxed Reserves Other Liabilities 03 03 00 24 24
Total Liabilities 291 22 225 159 131
Non-Equity Reserves 00 00 00 00 00
Minority Interest 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock Issued for ESOP ESOP Guarantees - Preferred Issued
17
Common Equity 709 78 775 841 868
TotalShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 100 100 100 100 100
Appendix g- Income statement- figures from Annual report 2009-2011
Income Statement - (4 Year Averages) Figures in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007
Net Sales or Revenues 246 205 149 107
Cost of Goods Sold 83 67 52 37
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization 19 15 12 1
Gross Income 144 122 85 6
Selling General amp Administrative Expenses 164 141 11 82
Other Operating Expenses 0 0 0 0
Operating Expenses - Total 267 224 174 129
Operating Income -2 -19 -24 -22
Extraordinary Credit - Pretax 12 12 08 0
Extraordinary Charge - Pretax 41 14 05 03
Non-Operating Interest Income 01 01 02 02
Reserves - IncreaseDecrease Pretax Equity in Earnings 0 0 0 0
Other IncomeExpense - Net -02 -01 0 01
EarningsAmortizationbefore(EBITDA)Interest Taxes Depreciation amp -31 -06 -07 -12
Earnings before Interest amp Taxes(EBIT) -51 -21 -2 -23
Interest Expense on Debt 04 02 01 0
Interest Capitalized 0 0 0 0
Pretax Income -55 -24 -21 -23
Income Taxes -05 -04 -03 01
Minority Interest 0 0 0 0
Equity in Earnings 0 0 0 0
After Tax Other IncomeExpense 0 0 0 0
Discontinued Operations 0 0 NetDividendsIncome before Extraordinary ItemsPreferred -5 -2 -18 -24
Extraordinary Items amp GainLoss Sale of Assets 0 0 0 0
Preferred Dividend Requirements 0 0 0 0
NetCommonIncome after Preferred Dividends - available to -5 -2 -18 -24
Income Statement revenues
Figures are expressed as Percent of Net Sales or Revenues Net Sales or Revenues are in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Net Sales or Revenues 276 304 303 232 116
Cost of Goods Sold 366 303 339 33 354
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization 116 85 68 61 4
Gross Income 519 612 593 609 606
Selling General amp Administrative Expenses 652 617 621 715 867
Other Operating Expenses 00 00 00 00 00
Operating Expenses - Total 1133 1005 1028 1106 1261
18
Operating Income -133 -05 -28 -106 -261
Extraordinary Credit - Pretax 00 55 135 00 00
Extraordinary Charge - Pretax 482 143 35 71 00
Non-Operating Interest Income 00 00 01 04 24
Reserves - IncreaseDecrease
00
Pretax Equity in Earnings 00 00 00 00 00
Other IncomeExpense - Net -16 -19 -09 07 05
EarningsDepreciationbeforeamp AmortizationInterest Taxes(EBITDA) -515 -27 132 -105 -192
Earnings before Interest amp Taxes(EBIT) -631 -112 64 -166 -232
Interest Expense on Debt 34 21 12 06 05
Interest Capitalized 00 00 00 00 00
Pretax Income -664 -133 52 -172 -237
Income Taxes -26 -14 -58 1 07
Minority Interest 00 00 00 00 00
Equity in Earnings 00 00 00 00 00
After Tax Other IncomeExpense 00 00 00 00 00
Discontinued Operations 00 00 00 00 00
NetItemsPreferredIncome beforeDividendsExtraordinary -638 -119 11 -182 -244
ExtraordinaryAssets Items amp GainLoss Sale of 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Dividend Requirements 00 00 00 00 00
NetavailableIncometo Commonafter Preferred Dividends - -638 -119 11 -182 -244
Appendix h Healthcare industry statistics source Reuters Industry Statistics Stat Notes
stock research rating Hold hellip
Potential saf ety margin 38 hellip
WACC discount rate 7 Low ~ Good f or inv estors
Comparators Stat Notes
rev enue EV multiple 28x High ~ Bad f or inv estors
EBITDA EV multiple 94x High ~ Bad f or inv estors
EBIT EV multiple 129x hellip
Cash f low ev multiple 128x hellip
Book v alue EV multiple 10x Low ~ Good f or inv estors
DISC CASH FLOW Ratios Notes
REVENUE GROWTH 13 High ~ Good f or inv estors
EBITDA MARGIN 26 High ~ Good f or inv estors
EBIT MARGIN 22 High ~ Good f or inv estors
CASH FLOW MARGIN 14 High ~ Good f or inv estors
TAXES RATE 21 hellip
DEBT-EQUITY RATIO 15 Low ~ Good f or inv estors
ROIC 5 Low ~ Bad f or inv estors
RE-inv estment Rate 13 High ~ Bad f or inv estors
WACC discount rate Rates Notes
19
risk f ree rate 4 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
cost of debt 7 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
equity risk premium 5 hellip
debt required return of debt 5 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
required return of equity 7 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
Appendix j- WACC AND DCF
(in million) Actual CAGR Forecast period
2007 2008 2009 2010 (07 -10) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Sales 11 15 21 25 32 27 29 31 33 36
growth 393 376 200 80 80 80 80 80
Total costs 13 17 22 27 27 -23 -25 -27 -29 -31
sales 857 857 857 857 857
EBITDA -3 -1 -1 -1 -27 4 4 4 5 5 margin -290 -40 -34 -49 143 143 143 143 143
Depreciation amp Amortization -1 2 2 4 0 -1 -1 -1 -1
sales 75 -101 -83 -175 18 18 18 18 18
EBIT -2 -2 -2 -6 34 3 4 4 4 5
Taxes (30) 0 0 0 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
Capex -01 45 26 137 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
sales -302 -127 -556 23 23 23 23 23
IncreaseDecrease in NWC -6 -6 -7 32 0 0 0 0
Unlevered Free Cash Flow -3 -4 5 34 3 3 3 3
WACC 92
Discount Period
05 15 25 35 45
Discount Factor
096 088 080 074 067
Present value of free cash flow 33 2 2 2 2
Terminal Value
Terminal Year Free Cash Flow 3
Perpetuity Growth Rate 30
Terminal Year EBITDA 5
Terminal Value 53
Implied Exit Multiple 108x
Discount Period 50
Discount Factor 06
Present Value of Terminal
Value 34
of Enterprise Value 45
(in million) Actual Forecast period Net Working Capital 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Account receivables 5 7 9 9
Inventory 1 2 3 3
Prepaid expenses and other 0 1 1 1
Total Current Assets 7 10 12 14 6 6 7 7 8
20
sales 617 644 576 553 224 224 224 224 224
Account payable 3 4 5 5
Accrued Liabilities
Other Current Liabilities
Total Current Liabilities 5 8 10 14 -4 -4 -5 -5 -5
sales -505 -503 -493 -585
146 146 146 146 146
Net Working Capital 15 22 27 34
2 2 2 3 3
sales 144 145 133 138 8 8 8 8 8
Input Output
Wacc Calculation Enterprise value
Target Capital Structure (1) Present value of Free Cash Flow 42
Debt to Total Capitalization 309
Equity to Total Capitalization 691 Terminal Value 53
Debt to Equity Ratio 453 Discount Factor 065
Present Value of Terminal Value 34
Cost of Equity of Enterprise Value 45
Risk-free rate (2) 40
Market risk Premium (3) 50 Enterprise value 76
Levered Beta (4) 103 Less Total debt 144 Size Premium (5) 17 Plus Cash and Cash Equi 2
Cost of Equity 108 Net Debt 12
Cost of Debt Implied Equity Value 64
Cost of Debt 70 Outstanding shares 380000000
Taxes 210 Implied share price 000
After Tax Cost of Debt 55 Implied multiples
WACC 92
Enterprise Value 76
SALES 2010 27
(1) Obtained from Beta and Capital Structure tab
EBITDA 2010 4
(2) httpwwwtreasurygovresource-centerdata-chart-centerinterest-ratesPagesTextViewaspxdata=yield
Implied EVSALES 29x
(3) httpwwwftcomcmss030eec02e-03d4-11e1-bbc5-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz1hB0TNS6n
Implied EVEBITDA 200x
(4) Obtained from Beta and Capital Structure tab
(5) Low -Cap Decile size premium based on market capitalization
for growth rate-taken into account a gdp growth rate of 15 and the structure of the company given its recent merge aswell as the financial state of the dcf analysis
Other tables used for analysis
Ratio Analysis
Accounting Ratios Sinclair IS Pharma PLC Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Receivables Turnover 31 35 21 33 15
Receivables - Number of Days 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
Inventory Turnover 24 26 37 32 26
Inventory - Number of Days 1551 1424 986 1139 1425 GrossEquipmentPropertyTurnoverPlant amp 92 10 109 92 58 NetEquipmentPropertyTurnoverPlant amp 21 185 166 117 75
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization of Gross Property Plant
amp 1058 85 737 563 231
21
Equipment Depreciation Depletion amp
Amortization 01 01 01 01 -01
Year to Year Change Depreciation Depletion amp
Amortization 239 254 45 2054 -611
Year to Year Change
Asset Utilization
Figures are expressed as the ratio of Net Sales Net Sales are in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Net Sales 276 304 303 232 116
Cash amp Cash Equivalents 75 03 35 12 433
Short-Term Investments 00 00 00 00 00
Accounts Receivable 327 29 488 304 646
Inventories 173 125 112 93 224
Other Current Assets 36 33 42 33 49
Total Current Assets 61 451 676 551 1352
Totalamp InvestmentsLong Term Receivables 00 05 00 5 00
Long Term Receivables 00 00 00 5 00
CompaniesInvestments in Associated 00 00 00 00 00
Other Investments 00 05 00 00 00
PropertyGross Plant amp Equipment - 109 10 92 109 173
Accumulated Depreciation 62 46 32 23 39
PropertyNet Plant amp Equipment - 48 54 6 85 134
Other Assets 273 233 2089 231 4722
Total Assets 3388 2841 2825 2996 6208
Employee efficiency
Values per Employee are in Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Employees 97 125 154 142 71
Values per Employee Sales 284825 243264 196610 163225 163704
Net Income -181732 -28968 21669 -29634 -39944
Cash Earnings -54216 -26576 -3682 -17225 -32493
Working Capital -97165 -9192 32825 32296 118423
Total Debt 178093 66680 47065 8986 15507
Total Capital 710598 575680 457604 416176 886831
Total Assets 964918 690992 555494 489000 1016254
Year to Year Change per Employee Employees -224 -188 85 100 868
Sales 171 237 205 -03 -108
22
Net Income
-2337 Cash Earnings
Working Capital
-128 16 -727 -192
Total Debt 1671 417 4238 -421 -10
Total Capital 234 258 10 -531 387
Total Assets 396 244 136 -519 325
Fixed Charge Coverage
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
EBITTotal Interest Expense -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITNet Interest -188 -54 56 -1133 EBIT(TotalDiv) Interest Exp + Pfd -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITDividends on Common Shares EBIT(Dividends on Common + Pfd) EBITDATotal Interest Expense -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDANet Interest -154 -13 116 -716 EBITDA(TotalPfd Div) Interest Exp + -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDADividends on Com Shares EBITDA(Dividends on Com + Pfd) Leverage Analysis
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Long Term Debt of EBIT
2133 Long Term Debt of EBITDA
1036
LongAssetsTerm Debt of Total 27 53 48 1 04
LongCapitalTerm Debt of Total 37 64 59 12 05
LongEquityTerm Debt of Com 38 68 62 12 05
Total Debt of EBIT
3734 Total Debt of EBITDA
1814
Total Debt of Total Assets 185 96 85 18 15
Total Debt of Total Capital 251 116 103 22 17
TotalShortDebtTermDebtof Total Capital amp 207 11 99 21 17
TotalEquityDebt of Common 26 124 109 22 18
Minority Interest of EBIT
06 Minority Interest of EBITDA
03
MinorityAssets Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityCapital Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityEquity Interest of Com 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock of EBIT
00 Preferred Stock of EDITDA
00
PreferredAssets Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredCapital Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredEquity Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
23
CommonAssets Equity of Total 709 78 775 841 868
CommonCapital Equity of Total 963 936 941 988 995
Total Capital of Total Assets 736 833 824 851 873
Capital Expenditure of Sales 09 16 05 19 11
FixedEquityAssets of Common 2 24 28 34 25
WorkingCapital Capital of Total -137 -16 72 78 134
Dividend Payout 00 00 00 00 00
FundsTotal DebtFrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
Liquidity Analysis Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
TotalSalesCurrent Assets Net 61 451 676 551 1352
Cash of Current Assets 123 06 51 218 32
CashCurrentamp EquivalentsAssets of 123 06 51 218 32
Quick Ratio 04 06 1 12 17
ReceivablesAssets of Current 536 643 721 552 478
Receivableof days Turnover - number 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
InventoriesAssets of Current 283 278 165 169 166
Inventoryof days Turnover - number 1551 1424 986 1139 1425
InventoryEquivalentsto -Cashnumberamp of days 1561 83 112 4645 6949
Receivables of Total Assets 96 102 173 101 104
Current Ratio 06 09 13 16 22
Total Debt of Total Capital 207 11 99 21 17
FundsCurrentfromLiabilitiesOperations of -20 -224 -37 -299 -316
FundsLong TermfromDebtOperations of -206 -722 -137 -345 -782
FundsTotal Debtfrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
FundsTotal Capitalfrom Operations of -76 -46 -08 -41 -37
Cash Flow (in milllions of Pounds Sterling) Operating Activities -67 0 -36 -15 -29
Financing Activities 265 23 58 -01 54
Investing Activities 179 32 43 06 24
Per Share data
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Sales 017 029 032 025 012
Operating Income -002 0 -001 -003 -003
Pre-tax Income -011 -004 002 -004 -003
NetOperations)Income (Continuing -011 -004 002 -004 -003
Net Income Before Extra Items -011 -004 004 -005 -003
Extraordinary Items 0 0 0 0 0
NetItemsIncome After Extraordinary -011 -004 004 -005 -003
NetCommonIncomeSharesAvailable to -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Fully Diluted Earnings -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Common Dividends 0 0 0 0 0
Cash Earnings -004 -004 -001 -003 -004
Book Value 041 065 071 062 067
24
Retained Earnings 013 035 042 038 042
Assets 058 084 092 074 077
10
IS Pharma Sinclair growth strategy is to focus on core products have key product launches and drive their efficiencies They try
to sweat their enlarged portfolio to drive growth and be able to grow a brand led business through its acquisition and
development
iiiMain products Atopicliar - used to the treatment of eczemaatopic dermatitis Decapinol - used in the treatment of gingivitisgum disease Aloclair - used in the treatment of mouth ulcers s
Xclair - used in the treatment of radiation dermatitis Effadiane - for the relief of skin dryness through environmental factors Salinum - for the relief of dry mouth condition caused by a deficiency in saliva production
Papulex - used to treat inflammatory blemishes SPHR980 - used to treat head lice
iv IS Pharma Sinclair webpage presentation lsquo2011 reviewrsquo
v Source httpwwwequitymastercomresearch-itsector-infopharma vi httpwwweubusinesscomtopicspharmasector -inquiry-guide
vii httpwwwims-productivitycomusercustomjournal2008SpringIMSspr08pg14_18pdf
viii UBS Investment Research
Appendices
Appendix a ndash Sales Analysis
Year Sales Growth Cost of Goods sold of sales EBITDA OF SALES EBI OF SALES Employee
Sales per employeed
After tax income per employee
2003 9079000 na 2646000 2914 1641000 0180746778 440000 004846349 29 3130689655 1517241379
2004 2655000 -7076 1520000 5725 -1648000 -0620715631 -2754000 -10372881 25 106200 -110160
2005 6971000 16256 2380000 3414 -1412000 -0202553436 -2669000 -03828719 38 1834473684 -7023684211
2006 11623000 6673 4112000 3538 -2233000 -0192119074 -2836000 -0243999 71 1637042254 -3994366197
2007 23178000 9941 7645000 3298 -2434000 -0105013375 -4208000 -01815515 142 1632253521 -2963380282
2008 30278000 3063 10258000 3388 3996000 0131977013 3337000 011021204 154 1966103896 2166883117
2009 30408000 043 9211000 3029 -825000 -0027131018 -3621000 -01190805 125 243264 -28968
2010 27628000 -914 10100000 3656 -14227000 -0514948603 -17628000 -06380484 97 2848247423 -1817319588
2011 32897000 1907 13765000 4184 -7667000 -0233060765 -1166000 -0035444 101 3257128713 -1154455446
Appendix b - Comparables Comparable Companies Unlevered Beta
Company
Levered Beta (1)
Market Value of Debt (2)
Market Value of Equity (3) Debt Equity
Equity Total Assets
Marginal Tax Rate
SINCLAIR IS PHARMA 052 500 1125 0444444444 0692307692 03
ALLERGY THERAPEUTICS PLC 131 400 868 0460829493 0684542587 03
ECO ANIMAL HEALTH 115 450 7875 0571428571 0636363636 03
VECTURA GROUP 112 375 1125 0333333333 075 03
Median 1135
0452636969 068842514
Mean 1025
0452508961 0690803479
11
(1) From Bloomberg
(2) Book Value of Debt
(3) From Bloomberg (4) Unlevered Beta = Predicted Levered Beta (1 +
DebtEquity) x (1-t))
Relevered Beta
Mean Unlevered Beta
Mean Target Debt Equity
Target Marginal Tax Rate Relevered Beta
Target Company
0779158663 0452508961 03 1025962057
Appendix C ndash Price Analysis year Quarter High Price Low Price Closing Price Quarterly Change 12 months change
2003 Oct - Dec 1435 1205 138 NA NA
2004 Jan - March 1575 138 1445 471 NA
Apr - June 1565 138 14 -311 NA
July - Sep 1175 1015 1 -2857 NA
Oct - Dec 1255 0925 123 2300 -1090
2005 Jan - March 1405 1185 1238 065 -1440
Apr - June 1325 114 132 662 -570
July - Sep 1375 109 1165 -1174 1650
Oct - Dec 1385 114 123 558 000
2006 Jan - March 142 1255 126 244 180
Apr - June 1265 101 1194 -524 -950
July - Sep 1235 097 097 -1876 -1670
Oct - Dec 1195 0995 1087 1206 -1160
2007 Jan - March 1295 103 125 1500 -080
Apr - June 151 116 1215 -280 180
July - Sep 127 0745 085 -3004 -1240
Oct - Dec 086 0635 0705 -1706 -3510
2008 Jan - March 069 032 0363 -4851 -7100
Apr - June 0435 0358 0363 000 -7020
July - Sep 071 0308 0423 1653 -5030
Oct - Dec 045 016 018 -5745 -7450
2009 Jan - March 033 013 0268 4889 -2620
Apr - June 0335 023 025 -672 -3100
July - Sep 0475 0233 044 7600 410
Oct - Dec 047 0315 034 -2273 8890
2010 Jan - March 0354 029 0305 -1029 1400
Apr - June 0325 0241 0265 -1311 600
July - Sep 0297 0245 0275 377 -3750
Oct - Dec 0428 0265 0405 4727 1910
2011 Jan - March 0425 0335 0363 -1037 1890
Apr - June 038 0283 0284 -2176 710
July - Sep 032 0225 0249 -1232 -950
08122011
0213 -1980 -3310
12
Appendix d ndashEarns and Dividend Analysis
EARNINGS AND DIVIDENDS ANALYSIS FundamentalsEarnings amp Dividends Analysis Sinclair IS Pharma PLC
Per Share Pounds SterlingFiscal Year Ends in June
Earnings Per Share Dividends Per Share
12 Months Quarterly Reported Earnings 12 Months Quarterly Reported Dividends
Fiscal Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Years Earnings Change Sep Dec Mar Jun Dividends Change Sep Dec Mar Jun Payout
2003G H 004 nc na na na na 000 nc na na na 000 00
2004DG F 007 nc na na na na 000 nc na na na 000 00
2005D F 005 nc na 004 na 001 000 nc na na na 000 00
2006BD F 005 nc na 003 na 002 000 nc na na na 000 00
2007 AF 005 nc na 003 na 002 000 nc na na na 000 00
2008 AF 004 nc na 001 na 005 000 nc na na na 000 00
2009 F 004 nc na 004 na 008 000 nc na na na 000 00
2010E ACF 014 nc na 013 na 001 000 nc na na na 000 00
2011D ACF 005 nc na 002 na 003 000 nc na na na 000 00
Appendix e - Profitability Analysis
Operating Income Margin
-133 -05 -28 -106 -261
Pretax Income Margin
-664 -133 52 -172 -237
EBIT Margin
-631 -112 64 -166 -232
Net Income Margin
-638 -119 11 -182 -244
Return on Equity - Total
-264 -54 54 -7 -65
Return on Invested Capital
-21 -4 56 -66 -62
Return on Assets
-186 -35 48 -58 -54
Asset Turnover
03 04 04 03 02
Financial Leverage
26 124 109 22 18
Interest Expense on Debt
933000 636000 367000 129000 54000
Effective Tax Rate
Cash Flow Sales
-19 -109 -19 -106 -198
Selling General amp
Administrative Expenses of
652 617 621 715 867
Sales
ResearchExpense amp Development
19 13 28 23 17
OperatingTotal CapitalIncome Return On
-42 21 192 -61 1591
13
Appendix F ndash Balance Sheet data ndash from SPH annual report 2009 -2011
Financial Statement AnalysesBalance Sheet - Five-Year Averages Balance Sheet - (5 Year Averages)
Figures in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007
Assets Total Assets 814 685 567 44
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 22 28 43 42
Cash 22 28 43 42
Short Term Investments 0 0 0 0
Receivables (Net) 94 85 72 51
Inventories -Total 33 25 18 11
Raw Materials 1 07 04 03
Work in Process 01 01 01 0
Finished Goods 23 18 13 09
OtherProgress Payments amp 0 0 0 0
Prepaid Expenses Other Current Assets 09 08 06 04
Current Assets - Total 159 146 139 108
Long Term Receivables 02 02 02 02
InvestmentCompaniesin Associated 0 0 0 0
Other Investments 0 0 0 0
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment 27 22 17 12
Accumulated Depreciation 1 07 05 03
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and 17 15 12 08
Other Assets 636 522 414 322
Deferred Charges 0 0 0 0
Tangible Other Assets 06 05 04 04
Intangible Other Assets 63 517 409 318
Total Assets 814 685 567 44
Liabilities amp Shareholders Equity Total Liabilities amp 814 685 567 44
Shareholders Equity Accounts Payable 54 47 38 28
Short Term Debt amp Current 46 17 1 05
Portion of Long Term Debt Accrued Payroll Income Taxes Payable 01 01 01 02
Dividends Payable Other Current Liabilities 43 36 26 19
Current Liabilities - Total 144 101 75 54
Long Term Debt 25 2 11 02
Long Term Debt Excluding 24 19 1 02
Capitalized Leases
14
Capitalized Lease 01 01 01 01
Obligations Provision for Risks and Charges Deferred Income Deferred Taxes -09 -05 -02 -01
Deferred Taxes - Credit Deferred Taxes - Debit Deferred Tax Liability in Untaxed Reserves Other Liabilities 08 07 07 07
Total Liabilities 172 128 93 67
Non-Equity Reserves 0 0 0 0
Minority Interest 0 0 0 0
Preferred Stock 0 0 0 0
Preferred Stock Issued for ESOP ESOP Guarantees - Preferred Issued Common Equity 642 558 473 373
TotalShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 814 685 567 44
Balance Sheet yr to yr change Financial Statement AnalysesBalance Sheet - Year - Year Change
Ba lance Sheet - (Year to Year Percent Change) Figures are the Percent Changes from the Prior Year Fi scal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Assets Tota l Assets 84 1 232 -38 1476
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 22534 -916 -623 -446 26
Cash 22534 -916 -623 -446 26
Short Term Investments Receivables (Net) 24 -403 1096 -62 636
Inventories -Total 254 126 563 -171 3341
Raw Materials 311 209 668 -167 29727
Work in Process -4 -734 4697 -411 Finished Goods 235 164 438 -165 2242
Progress Payments amp Other Prepaid Expenses Other Current Assets -16 -222 655 376 802
Current Assets - Total 23 -331 603 -187 51
Long Term Receivables
-100 Investment in Associated
Companies Other Investments -100
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment -04 87 109 251 1906
Accumulated Depreciation 227 443 783 19 515
15
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and -198 -101 -75 268 2964
Other Assets 64 121 181 -24 1992
Deferred Charges
Tangible Other Assets 6135 -719 3064 -958 Intangible Other Assets 57 125 177 08 1891
Tota l Assets 84 1 232 -38 1476
Liabilities amp Shareholders Equity
Tota l Liabilities amp 84 1 232 -38 1476
Shareholders Equity
Accounts Payable 109 -148 221 426 49
Short Term Debt amp Current 2944 201 4481 -297 679
Portion of Long Term Debt Accrued Payroll
Income Taxes Payable -957 895 303 -81 19471
Dividends Payable
Other Current Liabilities -00 -56 1529 -68 321
Current Liabilities - Total 769 -37 884 121 51
Long Term Debt -445 112 4839 1403 686
Long Term Debt Excluding -442 129 6933 177 356
Capitalized Leases Capitalized Lease -717 -492 -416 804 180
Obl igations Provis ion for Risks and -714
Charges Deferred Income -896 -216 -566
Deferred Taxes
Deferred Taxes - Credit Deferred Taxes - Debit 537 842 945
Deferred Tax Liability in Untaxed Reserves
Other Liabilities 109
-100 -27 Tota l Liabilities 432 -1 739 165 891
Non-Equity Reserves Minori ty Interest -100
91 120
Preferred Stock Preferred Stock Issued for
ESOP ESOP Guarantees -
Preferred Issued Common Equity -15 16 136 -68 1597
Tota lShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 84 1 232 -38 1476
SPH Balcnce sheet total asset
Figures are expressed as Percent of Total Assets
Total Assets are in millions of Pounds Sterling
Fiscal Year 20100 20090 20080 20070 20060
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Assets
16
Total Assets 936 864 855 694 722
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 2200 01 1200 4000 7000
Cash 2200 01 1200 4000 7000
Short Term Investments 00 00 00 00 00
Receivables (Net) 96 102 173 101 104
Inventories -Total 5100 4400 4000 3100 3600
Raw Materials 16 13 11 08 09
Work in Process 01 01 02 00 01
Finished Goods 3500 3000 2600 2300 26
OtherProgress Payments amp 00 00 00 00 00
Prepaid Expenses
Other Current Assets 11 12 15 11 08
Current Assets - Total 18 159 239 184 218
Long Term Receivables 00 00 00 1700 00
InvestmentCompaniesin Associated 00 00 00 00 00
Other Investments 00 02 00 00 00
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment 3200 3500 3300 3600 2800
Accumulated Depreciation 18 16 11 08 06
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and 14 19 21 28 2200
Other Assets 80600 82000 73900 77100 76100
Deferred Charges 00 00 00 00 00
Tangible Other Assets 07 01 04 01 26 Intangible Other Assets 799 819 736 77 735
Total Assets 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000
Liabilities amp Shareholders
Equity
Total Liabilities amp 93600 86400 85500 694 72200
Shareholders Equity
Accounts Payable 65 63 75 76 51
Short Term Debt amp Current 157 43 36 08 11
Portion of Long Term Debt
Accrued Payroll
Income Taxes Payable 00 02 01 01 05
Dividends Payable
Other Current Liabilities 5900 6400 6800 33 34
Current Liabilities - Total 281 172 18 118 101
Long Term Debt 27 53 48 1 04
Long Term Debt Excluding 27 53 47 07 03
Capitalized Leases
Capitalized Lease 00 01 01 03 02
Obligations
Provision for Risks and 01 04 02
Charges
Deferred Income 00 03 04 12
Deferred Taxes -21 -15 -08 -05 00
Deferred Taxes - Credit
Deferred Taxes - Debit 21 15 08 05
Deferred Tax Liability in
Untaxed Reserves Other Liabilities 03 03 00 24 24
Total Liabilities 291 22 225 159 131
Non-Equity Reserves 00 00 00 00 00
Minority Interest 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock Issued for ESOP ESOP Guarantees - Preferred Issued
17
Common Equity 709 78 775 841 868
TotalShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 100 100 100 100 100
Appendix g- Income statement- figures from Annual report 2009-2011
Income Statement - (4 Year Averages) Figures in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007
Net Sales or Revenues 246 205 149 107
Cost of Goods Sold 83 67 52 37
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization 19 15 12 1
Gross Income 144 122 85 6
Selling General amp Administrative Expenses 164 141 11 82
Other Operating Expenses 0 0 0 0
Operating Expenses - Total 267 224 174 129
Operating Income -2 -19 -24 -22
Extraordinary Credit - Pretax 12 12 08 0
Extraordinary Charge - Pretax 41 14 05 03
Non-Operating Interest Income 01 01 02 02
Reserves - IncreaseDecrease Pretax Equity in Earnings 0 0 0 0
Other IncomeExpense - Net -02 -01 0 01
EarningsAmortizationbefore(EBITDA)Interest Taxes Depreciation amp -31 -06 -07 -12
Earnings before Interest amp Taxes(EBIT) -51 -21 -2 -23
Interest Expense on Debt 04 02 01 0
Interest Capitalized 0 0 0 0
Pretax Income -55 -24 -21 -23
Income Taxes -05 -04 -03 01
Minority Interest 0 0 0 0
Equity in Earnings 0 0 0 0
After Tax Other IncomeExpense 0 0 0 0
Discontinued Operations 0 0 NetDividendsIncome before Extraordinary ItemsPreferred -5 -2 -18 -24
Extraordinary Items amp GainLoss Sale of Assets 0 0 0 0
Preferred Dividend Requirements 0 0 0 0
NetCommonIncome after Preferred Dividends - available to -5 -2 -18 -24
Income Statement revenues
Figures are expressed as Percent of Net Sales or Revenues Net Sales or Revenues are in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Net Sales or Revenues 276 304 303 232 116
Cost of Goods Sold 366 303 339 33 354
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization 116 85 68 61 4
Gross Income 519 612 593 609 606
Selling General amp Administrative Expenses 652 617 621 715 867
Other Operating Expenses 00 00 00 00 00
Operating Expenses - Total 1133 1005 1028 1106 1261
18
Operating Income -133 -05 -28 -106 -261
Extraordinary Credit - Pretax 00 55 135 00 00
Extraordinary Charge - Pretax 482 143 35 71 00
Non-Operating Interest Income 00 00 01 04 24
Reserves - IncreaseDecrease
00
Pretax Equity in Earnings 00 00 00 00 00
Other IncomeExpense - Net -16 -19 -09 07 05
EarningsDepreciationbeforeamp AmortizationInterest Taxes(EBITDA) -515 -27 132 -105 -192
Earnings before Interest amp Taxes(EBIT) -631 -112 64 -166 -232
Interest Expense on Debt 34 21 12 06 05
Interest Capitalized 00 00 00 00 00
Pretax Income -664 -133 52 -172 -237
Income Taxes -26 -14 -58 1 07
Minority Interest 00 00 00 00 00
Equity in Earnings 00 00 00 00 00
After Tax Other IncomeExpense 00 00 00 00 00
Discontinued Operations 00 00 00 00 00
NetItemsPreferredIncome beforeDividendsExtraordinary -638 -119 11 -182 -244
ExtraordinaryAssets Items amp GainLoss Sale of 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Dividend Requirements 00 00 00 00 00
NetavailableIncometo Commonafter Preferred Dividends - -638 -119 11 -182 -244
Appendix h Healthcare industry statistics source Reuters Industry Statistics Stat Notes
stock research rating Hold hellip
Potential saf ety margin 38 hellip
WACC discount rate 7 Low ~ Good f or inv estors
Comparators Stat Notes
rev enue EV multiple 28x High ~ Bad f or inv estors
EBITDA EV multiple 94x High ~ Bad f or inv estors
EBIT EV multiple 129x hellip
Cash f low ev multiple 128x hellip
Book v alue EV multiple 10x Low ~ Good f or inv estors
DISC CASH FLOW Ratios Notes
REVENUE GROWTH 13 High ~ Good f or inv estors
EBITDA MARGIN 26 High ~ Good f or inv estors
EBIT MARGIN 22 High ~ Good f or inv estors
CASH FLOW MARGIN 14 High ~ Good f or inv estors
TAXES RATE 21 hellip
DEBT-EQUITY RATIO 15 Low ~ Good f or inv estors
ROIC 5 Low ~ Bad f or inv estors
RE-inv estment Rate 13 High ~ Bad f or inv estors
WACC discount rate Rates Notes
19
risk f ree rate 4 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
cost of debt 7 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
equity risk premium 5 hellip
debt required return of debt 5 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
required return of equity 7 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
Appendix j- WACC AND DCF
(in million) Actual CAGR Forecast period
2007 2008 2009 2010 (07 -10) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Sales 11 15 21 25 32 27 29 31 33 36
growth 393 376 200 80 80 80 80 80
Total costs 13 17 22 27 27 -23 -25 -27 -29 -31
sales 857 857 857 857 857
EBITDA -3 -1 -1 -1 -27 4 4 4 5 5 margin -290 -40 -34 -49 143 143 143 143 143
Depreciation amp Amortization -1 2 2 4 0 -1 -1 -1 -1
sales 75 -101 -83 -175 18 18 18 18 18
EBIT -2 -2 -2 -6 34 3 4 4 4 5
Taxes (30) 0 0 0 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
Capex -01 45 26 137 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
sales -302 -127 -556 23 23 23 23 23
IncreaseDecrease in NWC -6 -6 -7 32 0 0 0 0
Unlevered Free Cash Flow -3 -4 5 34 3 3 3 3
WACC 92
Discount Period
05 15 25 35 45
Discount Factor
096 088 080 074 067
Present value of free cash flow 33 2 2 2 2
Terminal Value
Terminal Year Free Cash Flow 3
Perpetuity Growth Rate 30
Terminal Year EBITDA 5
Terminal Value 53
Implied Exit Multiple 108x
Discount Period 50
Discount Factor 06
Present Value of Terminal
Value 34
of Enterprise Value 45
(in million) Actual Forecast period Net Working Capital 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Account receivables 5 7 9 9
Inventory 1 2 3 3
Prepaid expenses and other 0 1 1 1
Total Current Assets 7 10 12 14 6 6 7 7 8
20
sales 617 644 576 553 224 224 224 224 224
Account payable 3 4 5 5
Accrued Liabilities
Other Current Liabilities
Total Current Liabilities 5 8 10 14 -4 -4 -5 -5 -5
sales -505 -503 -493 -585
146 146 146 146 146
Net Working Capital 15 22 27 34
2 2 2 3 3
sales 144 145 133 138 8 8 8 8 8
Input Output
Wacc Calculation Enterprise value
Target Capital Structure (1) Present value of Free Cash Flow 42
Debt to Total Capitalization 309
Equity to Total Capitalization 691 Terminal Value 53
Debt to Equity Ratio 453 Discount Factor 065
Present Value of Terminal Value 34
Cost of Equity of Enterprise Value 45
Risk-free rate (2) 40
Market risk Premium (3) 50 Enterprise value 76
Levered Beta (4) 103 Less Total debt 144 Size Premium (5) 17 Plus Cash and Cash Equi 2
Cost of Equity 108 Net Debt 12
Cost of Debt Implied Equity Value 64
Cost of Debt 70 Outstanding shares 380000000
Taxes 210 Implied share price 000
After Tax Cost of Debt 55 Implied multiples
WACC 92
Enterprise Value 76
SALES 2010 27
(1) Obtained from Beta and Capital Structure tab
EBITDA 2010 4
(2) httpwwwtreasurygovresource-centerdata-chart-centerinterest-ratesPagesTextViewaspxdata=yield
Implied EVSALES 29x
(3) httpwwwftcomcmss030eec02e-03d4-11e1-bbc5-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz1hB0TNS6n
Implied EVEBITDA 200x
(4) Obtained from Beta and Capital Structure tab
(5) Low -Cap Decile size premium based on market capitalization
for growth rate-taken into account a gdp growth rate of 15 and the structure of the company given its recent merge aswell as the financial state of the dcf analysis
Other tables used for analysis
Ratio Analysis
Accounting Ratios Sinclair IS Pharma PLC Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Receivables Turnover 31 35 21 33 15
Receivables - Number of Days 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
Inventory Turnover 24 26 37 32 26
Inventory - Number of Days 1551 1424 986 1139 1425 GrossEquipmentPropertyTurnoverPlant amp 92 10 109 92 58 NetEquipmentPropertyTurnoverPlant amp 21 185 166 117 75
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization of Gross Property Plant
amp 1058 85 737 563 231
21
Equipment Depreciation Depletion amp
Amortization 01 01 01 01 -01
Year to Year Change Depreciation Depletion amp
Amortization 239 254 45 2054 -611
Year to Year Change
Asset Utilization
Figures are expressed as the ratio of Net Sales Net Sales are in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Net Sales 276 304 303 232 116
Cash amp Cash Equivalents 75 03 35 12 433
Short-Term Investments 00 00 00 00 00
Accounts Receivable 327 29 488 304 646
Inventories 173 125 112 93 224
Other Current Assets 36 33 42 33 49
Total Current Assets 61 451 676 551 1352
Totalamp InvestmentsLong Term Receivables 00 05 00 5 00
Long Term Receivables 00 00 00 5 00
CompaniesInvestments in Associated 00 00 00 00 00
Other Investments 00 05 00 00 00
PropertyGross Plant amp Equipment - 109 10 92 109 173
Accumulated Depreciation 62 46 32 23 39
PropertyNet Plant amp Equipment - 48 54 6 85 134
Other Assets 273 233 2089 231 4722
Total Assets 3388 2841 2825 2996 6208
Employee efficiency
Values per Employee are in Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Employees 97 125 154 142 71
Values per Employee Sales 284825 243264 196610 163225 163704
Net Income -181732 -28968 21669 -29634 -39944
Cash Earnings -54216 -26576 -3682 -17225 -32493
Working Capital -97165 -9192 32825 32296 118423
Total Debt 178093 66680 47065 8986 15507
Total Capital 710598 575680 457604 416176 886831
Total Assets 964918 690992 555494 489000 1016254
Year to Year Change per Employee Employees -224 -188 85 100 868
Sales 171 237 205 -03 -108
22
Net Income
-2337 Cash Earnings
Working Capital
-128 16 -727 -192
Total Debt 1671 417 4238 -421 -10
Total Capital 234 258 10 -531 387
Total Assets 396 244 136 -519 325
Fixed Charge Coverage
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
EBITTotal Interest Expense -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITNet Interest -188 -54 56 -1133 EBIT(TotalDiv) Interest Exp + Pfd -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITDividends on Common Shares EBIT(Dividends on Common + Pfd) EBITDATotal Interest Expense -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDANet Interest -154 -13 116 -716 EBITDA(TotalPfd Div) Interest Exp + -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDADividends on Com Shares EBITDA(Dividends on Com + Pfd) Leverage Analysis
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Long Term Debt of EBIT
2133 Long Term Debt of EBITDA
1036
LongAssetsTerm Debt of Total 27 53 48 1 04
LongCapitalTerm Debt of Total 37 64 59 12 05
LongEquityTerm Debt of Com 38 68 62 12 05
Total Debt of EBIT
3734 Total Debt of EBITDA
1814
Total Debt of Total Assets 185 96 85 18 15
Total Debt of Total Capital 251 116 103 22 17
TotalShortDebtTermDebtof Total Capital amp 207 11 99 21 17
TotalEquityDebt of Common 26 124 109 22 18
Minority Interest of EBIT
06 Minority Interest of EBITDA
03
MinorityAssets Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityCapital Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityEquity Interest of Com 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock of EBIT
00 Preferred Stock of EDITDA
00
PreferredAssets Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredCapital Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredEquity Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
23
CommonAssets Equity of Total 709 78 775 841 868
CommonCapital Equity of Total 963 936 941 988 995
Total Capital of Total Assets 736 833 824 851 873
Capital Expenditure of Sales 09 16 05 19 11
FixedEquityAssets of Common 2 24 28 34 25
WorkingCapital Capital of Total -137 -16 72 78 134
Dividend Payout 00 00 00 00 00
FundsTotal DebtFrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
Liquidity Analysis Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
TotalSalesCurrent Assets Net 61 451 676 551 1352
Cash of Current Assets 123 06 51 218 32
CashCurrentamp EquivalentsAssets of 123 06 51 218 32
Quick Ratio 04 06 1 12 17
ReceivablesAssets of Current 536 643 721 552 478
Receivableof days Turnover - number 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
InventoriesAssets of Current 283 278 165 169 166
Inventoryof days Turnover - number 1551 1424 986 1139 1425
InventoryEquivalentsto -Cashnumberamp of days 1561 83 112 4645 6949
Receivables of Total Assets 96 102 173 101 104
Current Ratio 06 09 13 16 22
Total Debt of Total Capital 207 11 99 21 17
FundsCurrentfromLiabilitiesOperations of -20 -224 -37 -299 -316
FundsLong TermfromDebtOperations of -206 -722 -137 -345 -782
FundsTotal Debtfrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
FundsTotal Capitalfrom Operations of -76 -46 -08 -41 -37
Cash Flow (in milllions of Pounds Sterling) Operating Activities -67 0 -36 -15 -29
Financing Activities 265 23 58 -01 54
Investing Activities 179 32 43 06 24
Per Share data
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Sales 017 029 032 025 012
Operating Income -002 0 -001 -003 -003
Pre-tax Income -011 -004 002 -004 -003
NetOperations)Income (Continuing -011 -004 002 -004 -003
Net Income Before Extra Items -011 -004 004 -005 -003
Extraordinary Items 0 0 0 0 0
NetItemsIncome After Extraordinary -011 -004 004 -005 -003
NetCommonIncomeSharesAvailable to -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Fully Diluted Earnings -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Common Dividends 0 0 0 0 0
Cash Earnings -004 -004 -001 -003 -004
Book Value 041 065 071 062 067
24
Retained Earnings 013 035 042 038 042
Assets 058 084 092 074 077
11
(1) From Bloomberg
(2) Book Value of Debt
(3) From Bloomberg (4) Unlevered Beta = Predicted Levered Beta (1 +
DebtEquity) x (1-t))
Relevered Beta
Mean Unlevered Beta
Mean Target Debt Equity
Target Marginal Tax Rate Relevered Beta
Target Company
0779158663 0452508961 03 1025962057
Appendix C ndash Price Analysis year Quarter High Price Low Price Closing Price Quarterly Change 12 months change
2003 Oct - Dec 1435 1205 138 NA NA
2004 Jan - March 1575 138 1445 471 NA
Apr - June 1565 138 14 -311 NA
July - Sep 1175 1015 1 -2857 NA
Oct - Dec 1255 0925 123 2300 -1090
2005 Jan - March 1405 1185 1238 065 -1440
Apr - June 1325 114 132 662 -570
July - Sep 1375 109 1165 -1174 1650
Oct - Dec 1385 114 123 558 000
2006 Jan - March 142 1255 126 244 180
Apr - June 1265 101 1194 -524 -950
July - Sep 1235 097 097 -1876 -1670
Oct - Dec 1195 0995 1087 1206 -1160
2007 Jan - March 1295 103 125 1500 -080
Apr - June 151 116 1215 -280 180
July - Sep 127 0745 085 -3004 -1240
Oct - Dec 086 0635 0705 -1706 -3510
2008 Jan - March 069 032 0363 -4851 -7100
Apr - June 0435 0358 0363 000 -7020
July - Sep 071 0308 0423 1653 -5030
Oct - Dec 045 016 018 -5745 -7450
2009 Jan - March 033 013 0268 4889 -2620
Apr - June 0335 023 025 -672 -3100
July - Sep 0475 0233 044 7600 410
Oct - Dec 047 0315 034 -2273 8890
2010 Jan - March 0354 029 0305 -1029 1400
Apr - June 0325 0241 0265 -1311 600
July - Sep 0297 0245 0275 377 -3750
Oct - Dec 0428 0265 0405 4727 1910
2011 Jan - March 0425 0335 0363 -1037 1890
Apr - June 038 0283 0284 -2176 710
July - Sep 032 0225 0249 -1232 -950
08122011
0213 -1980 -3310
12
Appendix d ndashEarns and Dividend Analysis
EARNINGS AND DIVIDENDS ANALYSIS FundamentalsEarnings amp Dividends Analysis Sinclair IS Pharma PLC
Per Share Pounds SterlingFiscal Year Ends in June
Earnings Per Share Dividends Per Share
12 Months Quarterly Reported Earnings 12 Months Quarterly Reported Dividends
Fiscal Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Years Earnings Change Sep Dec Mar Jun Dividends Change Sep Dec Mar Jun Payout
2003G H 004 nc na na na na 000 nc na na na 000 00
2004DG F 007 nc na na na na 000 nc na na na 000 00
2005D F 005 nc na 004 na 001 000 nc na na na 000 00
2006BD F 005 nc na 003 na 002 000 nc na na na 000 00
2007 AF 005 nc na 003 na 002 000 nc na na na 000 00
2008 AF 004 nc na 001 na 005 000 nc na na na 000 00
2009 F 004 nc na 004 na 008 000 nc na na na 000 00
2010E ACF 014 nc na 013 na 001 000 nc na na na 000 00
2011D ACF 005 nc na 002 na 003 000 nc na na na 000 00
Appendix e - Profitability Analysis
Operating Income Margin
-133 -05 -28 -106 -261
Pretax Income Margin
-664 -133 52 -172 -237
EBIT Margin
-631 -112 64 -166 -232
Net Income Margin
-638 -119 11 -182 -244
Return on Equity - Total
-264 -54 54 -7 -65
Return on Invested Capital
-21 -4 56 -66 -62
Return on Assets
-186 -35 48 -58 -54
Asset Turnover
03 04 04 03 02
Financial Leverage
26 124 109 22 18
Interest Expense on Debt
933000 636000 367000 129000 54000
Effective Tax Rate
Cash Flow Sales
-19 -109 -19 -106 -198
Selling General amp
Administrative Expenses of
652 617 621 715 867
Sales
ResearchExpense amp Development
19 13 28 23 17
OperatingTotal CapitalIncome Return On
-42 21 192 -61 1591
13
Appendix F ndash Balance Sheet data ndash from SPH annual report 2009 -2011
Financial Statement AnalysesBalance Sheet - Five-Year Averages Balance Sheet - (5 Year Averages)
Figures in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007
Assets Total Assets 814 685 567 44
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 22 28 43 42
Cash 22 28 43 42
Short Term Investments 0 0 0 0
Receivables (Net) 94 85 72 51
Inventories -Total 33 25 18 11
Raw Materials 1 07 04 03
Work in Process 01 01 01 0
Finished Goods 23 18 13 09
OtherProgress Payments amp 0 0 0 0
Prepaid Expenses Other Current Assets 09 08 06 04
Current Assets - Total 159 146 139 108
Long Term Receivables 02 02 02 02
InvestmentCompaniesin Associated 0 0 0 0
Other Investments 0 0 0 0
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment 27 22 17 12
Accumulated Depreciation 1 07 05 03
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and 17 15 12 08
Other Assets 636 522 414 322
Deferred Charges 0 0 0 0
Tangible Other Assets 06 05 04 04
Intangible Other Assets 63 517 409 318
Total Assets 814 685 567 44
Liabilities amp Shareholders Equity Total Liabilities amp 814 685 567 44
Shareholders Equity Accounts Payable 54 47 38 28
Short Term Debt amp Current 46 17 1 05
Portion of Long Term Debt Accrued Payroll Income Taxes Payable 01 01 01 02
Dividends Payable Other Current Liabilities 43 36 26 19
Current Liabilities - Total 144 101 75 54
Long Term Debt 25 2 11 02
Long Term Debt Excluding 24 19 1 02
Capitalized Leases
14
Capitalized Lease 01 01 01 01
Obligations Provision for Risks and Charges Deferred Income Deferred Taxes -09 -05 -02 -01
Deferred Taxes - Credit Deferred Taxes - Debit Deferred Tax Liability in Untaxed Reserves Other Liabilities 08 07 07 07
Total Liabilities 172 128 93 67
Non-Equity Reserves 0 0 0 0
Minority Interest 0 0 0 0
Preferred Stock 0 0 0 0
Preferred Stock Issued for ESOP ESOP Guarantees - Preferred Issued Common Equity 642 558 473 373
TotalShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 814 685 567 44
Balance Sheet yr to yr change Financial Statement AnalysesBalance Sheet - Year - Year Change
Ba lance Sheet - (Year to Year Percent Change) Figures are the Percent Changes from the Prior Year Fi scal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Assets Tota l Assets 84 1 232 -38 1476
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 22534 -916 -623 -446 26
Cash 22534 -916 -623 -446 26
Short Term Investments Receivables (Net) 24 -403 1096 -62 636
Inventories -Total 254 126 563 -171 3341
Raw Materials 311 209 668 -167 29727
Work in Process -4 -734 4697 -411 Finished Goods 235 164 438 -165 2242
Progress Payments amp Other Prepaid Expenses Other Current Assets -16 -222 655 376 802
Current Assets - Total 23 -331 603 -187 51
Long Term Receivables
-100 Investment in Associated
Companies Other Investments -100
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment -04 87 109 251 1906
Accumulated Depreciation 227 443 783 19 515
15
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and -198 -101 -75 268 2964
Other Assets 64 121 181 -24 1992
Deferred Charges
Tangible Other Assets 6135 -719 3064 -958 Intangible Other Assets 57 125 177 08 1891
Tota l Assets 84 1 232 -38 1476
Liabilities amp Shareholders Equity
Tota l Liabilities amp 84 1 232 -38 1476
Shareholders Equity
Accounts Payable 109 -148 221 426 49
Short Term Debt amp Current 2944 201 4481 -297 679
Portion of Long Term Debt Accrued Payroll
Income Taxes Payable -957 895 303 -81 19471
Dividends Payable
Other Current Liabilities -00 -56 1529 -68 321
Current Liabilities - Total 769 -37 884 121 51
Long Term Debt -445 112 4839 1403 686
Long Term Debt Excluding -442 129 6933 177 356
Capitalized Leases Capitalized Lease -717 -492 -416 804 180
Obl igations Provis ion for Risks and -714
Charges Deferred Income -896 -216 -566
Deferred Taxes
Deferred Taxes - Credit Deferred Taxes - Debit 537 842 945
Deferred Tax Liability in Untaxed Reserves
Other Liabilities 109
-100 -27 Tota l Liabilities 432 -1 739 165 891
Non-Equity Reserves Minori ty Interest -100
91 120
Preferred Stock Preferred Stock Issued for
ESOP ESOP Guarantees -
Preferred Issued Common Equity -15 16 136 -68 1597
Tota lShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 84 1 232 -38 1476
SPH Balcnce sheet total asset
Figures are expressed as Percent of Total Assets
Total Assets are in millions of Pounds Sterling
Fiscal Year 20100 20090 20080 20070 20060
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Assets
16
Total Assets 936 864 855 694 722
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 2200 01 1200 4000 7000
Cash 2200 01 1200 4000 7000
Short Term Investments 00 00 00 00 00
Receivables (Net) 96 102 173 101 104
Inventories -Total 5100 4400 4000 3100 3600
Raw Materials 16 13 11 08 09
Work in Process 01 01 02 00 01
Finished Goods 3500 3000 2600 2300 26
OtherProgress Payments amp 00 00 00 00 00
Prepaid Expenses
Other Current Assets 11 12 15 11 08
Current Assets - Total 18 159 239 184 218
Long Term Receivables 00 00 00 1700 00
InvestmentCompaniesin Associated 00 00 00 00 00
Other Investments 00 02 00 00 00
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment 3200 3500 3300 3600 2800
Accumulated Depreciation 18 16 11 08 06
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and 14 19 21 28 2200
Other Assets 80600 82000 73900 77100 76100
Deferred Charges 00 00 00 00 00
Tangible Other Assets 07 01 04 01 26 Intangible Other Assets 799 819 736 77 735
Total Assets 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000
Liabilities amp Shareholders
Equity
Total Liabilities amp 93600 86400 85500 694 72200
Shareholders Equity
Accounts Payable 65 63 75 76 51
Short Term Debt amp Current 157 43 36 08 11
Portion of Long Term Debt
Accrued Payroll
Income Taxes Payable 00 02 01 01 05
Dividends Payable
Other Current Liabilities 5900 6400 6800 33 34
Current Liabilities - Total 281 172 18 118 101
Long Term Debt 27 53 48 1 04
Long Term Debt Excluding 27 53 47 07 03
Capitalized Leases
Capitalized Lease 00 01 01 03 02
Obligations
Provision for Risks and 01 04 02
Charges
Deferred Income 00 03 04 12
Deferred Taxes -21 -15 -08 -05 00
Deferred Taxes - Credit
Deferred Taxes - Debit 21 15 08 05
Deferred Tax Liability in
Untaxed Reserves Other Liabilities 03 03 00 24 24
Total Liabilities 291 22 225 159 131
Non-Equity Reserves 00 00 00 00 00
Minority Interest 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock Issued for ESOP ESOP Guarantees - Preferred Issued
17
Common Equity 709 78 775 841 868
TotalShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 100 100 100 100 100
Appendix g- Income statement- figures from Annual report 2009-2011
Income Statement - (4 Year Averages) Figures in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007
Net Sales or Revenues 246 205 149 107
Cost of Goods Sold 83 67 52 37
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization 19 15 12 1
Gross Income 144 122 85 6
Selling General amp Administrative Expenses 164 141 11 82
Other Operating Expenses 0 0 0 0
Operating Expenses - Total 267 224 174 129
Operating Income -2 -19 -24 -22
Extraordinary Credit - Pretax 12 12 08 0
Extraordinary Charge - Pretax 41 14 05 03
Non-Operating Interest Income 01 01 02 02
Reserves - IncreaseDecrease Pretax Equity in Earnings 0 0 0 0
Other IncomeExpense - Net -02 -01 0 01
EarningsAmortizationbefore(EBITDA)Interest Taxes Depreciation amp -31 -06 -07 -12
Earnings before Interest amp Taxes(EBIT) -51 -21 -2 -23
Interest Expense on Debt 04 02 01 0
Interest Capitalized 0 0 0 0
Pretax Income -55 -24 -21 -23
Income Taxes -05 -04 -03 01
Minority Interest 0 0 0 0
Equity in Earnings 0 0 0 0
After Tax Other IncomeExpense 0 0 0 0
Discontinued Operations 0 0 NetDividendsIncome before Extraordinary ItemsPreferred -5 -2 -18 -24
Extraordinary Items amp GainLoss Sale of Assets 0 0 0 0
Preferred Dividend Requirements 0 0 0 0
NetCommonIncome after Preferred Dividends - available to -5 -2 -18 -24
Income Statement revenues
Figures are expressed as Percent of Net Sales or Revenues Net Sales or Revenues are in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Net Sales or Revenues 276 304 303 232 116
Cost of Goods Sold 366 303 339 33 354
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization 116 85 68 61 4
Gross Income 519 612 593 609 606
Selling General amp Administrative Expenses 652 617 621 715 867
Other Operating Expenses 00 00 00 00 00
Operating Expenses - Total 1133 1005 1028 1106 1261
18
Operating Income -133 -05 -28 -106 -261
Extraordinary Credit - Pretax 00 55 135 00 00
Extraordinary Charge - Pretax 482 143 35 71 00
Non-Operating Interest Income 00 00 01 04 24
Reserves - IncreaseDecrease
00
Pretax Equity in Earnings 00 00 00 00 00
Other IncomeExpense - Net -16 -19 -09 07 05
EarningsDepreciationbeforeamp AmortizationInterest Taxes(EBITDA) -515 -27 132 -105 -192
Earnings before Interest amp Taxes(EBIT) -631 -112 64 -166 -232
Interest Expense on Debt 34 21 12 06 05
Interest Capitalized 00 00 00 00 00
Pretax Income -664 -133 52 -172 -237
Income Taxes -26 -14 -58 1 07
Minority Interest 00 00 00 00 00
Equity in Earnings 00 00 00 00 00
After Tax Other IncomeExpense 00 00 00 00 00
Discontinued Operations 00 00 00 00 00
NetItemsPreferredIncome beforeDividendsExtraordinary -638 -119 11 -182 -244
ExtraordinaryAssets Items amp GainLoss Sale of 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Dividend Requirements 00 00 00 00 00
NetavailableIncometo Commonafter Preferred Dividends - -638 -119 11 -182 -244
Appendix h Healthcare industry statistics source Reuters Industry Statistics Stat Notes
stock research rating Hold hellip
Potential saf ety margin 38 hellip
WACC discount rate 7 Low ~ Good f or inv estors
Comparators Stat Notes
rev enue EV multiple 28x High ~ Bad f or inv estors
EBITDA EV multiple 94x High ~ Bad f or inv estors
EBIT EV multiple 129x hellip
Cash f low ev multiple 128x hellip
Book v alue EV multiple 10x Low ~ Good f or inv estors
DISC CASH FLOW Ratios Notes
REVENUE GROWTH 13 High ~ Good f or inv estors
EBITDA MARGIN 26 High ~ Good f or inv estors
EBIT MARGIN 22 High ~ Good f or inv estors
CASH FLOW MARGIN 14 High ~ Good f or inv estors
TAXES RATE 21 hellip
DEBT-EQUITY RATIO 15 Low ~ Good f or inv estors
ROIC 5 Low ~ Bad f or inv estors
RE-inv estment Rate 13 High ~ Bad f or inv estors
WACC discount rate Rates Notes
19
risk f ree rate 4 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
cost of debt 7 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
equity risk premium 5 hellip
debt required return of debt 5 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
required return of equity 7 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
Appendix j- WACC AND DCF
(in million) Actual CAGR Forecast period
2007 2008 2009 2010 (07 -10) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Sales 11 15 21 25 32 27 29 31 33 36
growth 393 376 200 80 80 80 80 80
Total costs 13 17 22 27 27 -23 -25 -27 -29 -31
sales 857 857 857 857 857
EBITDA -3 -1 -1 -1 -27 4 4 4 5 5 margin -290 -40 -34 -49 143 143 143 143 143
Depreciation amp Amortization -1 2 2 4 0 -1 -1 -1 -1
sales 75 -101 -83 -175 18 18 18 18 18
EBIT -2 -2 -2 -6 34 3 4 4 4 5
Taxes (30) 0 0 0 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
Capex -01 45 26 137 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
sales -302 -127 -556 23 23 23 23 23
IncreaseDecrease in NWC -6 -6 -7 32 0 0 0 0
Unlevered Free Cash Flow -3 -4 5 34 3 3 3 3
WACC 92
Discount Period
05 15 25 35 45
Discount Factor
096 088 080 074 067
Present value of free cash flow 33 2 2 2 2
Terminal Value
Terminal Year Free Cash Flow 3
Perpetuity Growth Rate 30
Terminal Year EBITDA 5
Terminal Value 53
Implied Exit Multiple 108x
Discount Period 50
Discount Factor 06
Present Value of Terminal
Value 34
of Enterprise Value 45
(in million) Actual Forecast period Net Working Capital 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Account receivables 5 7 9 9
Inventory 1 2 3 3
Prepaid expenses and other 0 1 1 1
Total Current Assets 7 10 12 14 6 6 7 7 8
20
sales 617 644 576 553 224 224 224 224 224
Account payable 3 4 5 5
Accrued Liabilities
Other Current Liabilities
Total Current Liabilities 5 8 10 14 -4 -4 -5 -5 -5
sales -505 -503 -493 -585
146 146 146 146 146
Net Working Capital 15 22 27 34
2 2 2 3 3
sales 144 145 133 138 8 8 8 8 8
Input Output
Wacc Calculation Enterprise value
Target Capital Structure (1) Present value of Free Cash Flow 42
Debt to Total Capitalization 309
Equity to Total Capitalization 691 Terminal Value 53
Debt to Equity Ratio 453 Discount Factor 065
Present Value of Terminal Value 34
Cost of Equity of Enterprise Value 45
Risk-free rate (2) 40
Market risk Premium (3) 50 Enterprise value 76
Levered Beta (4) 103 Less Total debt 144 Size Premium (5) 17 Plus Cash and Cash Equi 2
Cost of Equity 108 Net Debt 12
Cost of Debt Implied Equity Value 64
Cost of Debt 70 Outstanding shares 380000000
Taxes 210 Implied share price 000
After Tax Cost of Debt 55 Implied multiples
WACC 92
Enterprise Value 76
SALES 2010 27
(1) Obtained from Beta and Capital Structure tab
EBITDA 2010 4
(2) httpwwwtreasurygovresource-centerdata-chart-centerinterest-ratesPagesTextViewaspxdata=yield
Implied EVSALES 29x
(3) httpwwwftcomcmss030eec02e-03d4-11e1-bbc5-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz1hB0TNS6n
Implied EVEBITDA 200x
(4) Obtained from Beta and Capital Structure tab
(5) Low -Cap Decile size premium based on market capitalization
for growth rate-taken into account a gdp growth rate of 15 and the structure of the company given its recent merge aswell as the financial state of the dcf analysis
Other tables used for analysis
Ratio Analysis
Accounting Ratios Sinclair IS Pharma PLC Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Receivables Turnover 31 35 21 33 15
Receivables - Number of Days 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
Inventory Turnover 24 26 37 32 26
Inventory - Number of Days 1551 1424 986 1139 1425 GrossEquipmentPropertyTurnoverPlant amp 92 10 109 92 58 NetEquipmentPropertyTurnoverPlant amp 21 185 166 117 75
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization of Gross Property Plant
amp 1058 85 737 563 231
21
Equipment Depreciation Depletion amp
Amortization 01 01 01 01 -01
Year to Year Change Depreciation Depletion amp
Amortization 239 254 45 2054 -611
Year to Year Change
Asset Utilization
Figures are expressed as the ratio of Net Sales Net Sales are in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Net Sales 276 304 303 232 116
Cash amp Cash Equivalents 75 03 35 12 433
Short-Term Investments 00 00 00 00 00
Accounts Receivable 327 29 488 304 646
Inventories 173 125 112 93 224
Other Current Assets 36 33 42 33 49
Total Current Assets 61 451 676 551 1352
Totalamp InvestmentsLong Term Receivables 00 05 00 5 00
Long Term Receivables 00 00 00 5 00
CompaniesInvestments in Associated 00 00 00 00 00
Other Investments 00 05 00 00 00
PropertyGross Plant amp Equipment - 109 10 92 109 173
Accumulated Depreciation 62 46 32 23 39
PropertyNet Plant amp Equipment - 48 54 6 85 134
Other Assets 273 233 2089 231 4722
Total Assets 3388 2841 2825 2996 6208
Employee efficiency
Values per Employee are in Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Employees 97 125 154 142 71
Values per Employee Sales 284825 243264 196610 163225 163704
Net Income -181732 -28968 21669 -29634 -39944
Cash Earnings -54216 -26576 -3682 -17225 -32493
Working Capital -97165 -9192 32825 32296 118423
Total Debt 178093 66680 47065 8986 15507
Total Capital 710598 575680 457604 416176 886831
Total Assets 964918 690992 555494 489000 1016254
Year to Year Change per Employee Employees -224 -188 85 100 868
Sales 171 237 205 -03 -108
22
Net Income
-2337 Cash Earnings
Working Capital
-128 16 -727 -192
Total Debt 1671 417 4238 -421 -10
Total Capital 234 258 10 -531 387
Total Assets 396 244 136 -519 325
Fixed Charge Coverage
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
EBITTotal Interest Expense -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITNet Interest -188 -54 56 -1133 EBIT(TotalDiv) Interest Exp + Pfd -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITDividends on Common Shares EBIT(Dividends on Common + Pfd) EBITDATotal Interest Expense -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDANet Interest -154 -13 116 -716 EBITDA(TotalPfd Div) Interest Exp + -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDADividends on Com Shares EBITDA(Dividends on Com + Pfd) Leverage Analysis
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Long Term Debt of EBIT
2133 Long Term Debt of EBITDA
1036
LongAssetsTerm Debt of Total 27 53 48 1 04
LongCapitalTerm Debt of Total 37 64 59 12 05
LongEquityTerm Debt of Com 38 68 62 12 05
Total Debt of EBIT
3734 Total Debt of EBITDA
1814
Total Debt of Total Assets 185 96 85 18 15
Total Debt of Total Capital 251 116 103 22 17
TotalShortDebtTermDebtof Total Capital amp 207 11 99 21 17
TotalEquityDebt of Common 26 124 109 22 18
Minority Interest of EBIT
06 Minority Interest of EBITDA
03
MinorityAssets Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityCapital Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityEquity Interest of Com 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock of EBIT
00 Preferred Stock of EDITDA
00
PreferredAssets Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredCapital Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredEquity Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
23
CommonAssets Equity of Total 709 78 775 841 868
CommonCapital Equity of Total 963 936 941 988 995
Total Capital of Total Assets 736 833 824 851 873
Capital Expenditure of Sales 09 16 05 19 11
FixedEquityAssets of Common 2 24 28 34 25
WorkingCapital Capital of Total -137 -16 72 78 134
Dividend Payout 00 00 00 00 00
FundsTotal DebtFrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
Liquidity Analysis Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
TotalSalesCurrent Assets Net 61 451 676 551 1352
Cash of Current Assets 123 06 51 218 32
CashCurrentamp EquivalentsAssets of 123 06 51 218 32
Quick Ratio 04 06 1 12 17
ReceivablesAssets of Current 536 643 721 552 478
Receivableof days Turnover - number 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
InventoriesAssets of Current 283 278 165 169 166
Inventoryof days Turnover - number 1551 1424 986 1139 1425
InventoryEquivalentsto -Cashnumberamp of days 1561 83 112 4645 6949
Receivables of Total Assets 96 102 173 101 104
Current Ratio 06 09 13 16 22
Total Debt of Total Capital 207 11 99 21 17
FundsCurrentfromLiabilitiesOperations of -20 -224 -37 -299 -316
FundsLong TermfromDebtOperations of -206 -722 -137 -345 -782
FundsTotal Debtfrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
FundsTotal Capitalfrom Operations of -76 -46 -08 -41 -37
Cash Flow (in milllions of Pounds Sterling) Operating Activities -67 0 -36 -15 -29
Financing Activities 265 23 58 -01 54
Investing Activities 179 32 43 06 24
Per Share data
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Sales 017 029 032 025 012
Operating Income -002 0 -001 -003 -003
Pre-tax Income -011 -004 002 -004 -003
NetOperations)Income (Continuing -011 -004 002 -004 -003
Net Income Before Extra Items -011 -004 004 -005 -003
Extraordinary Items 0 0 0 0 0
NetItemsIncome After Extraordinary -011 -004 004 -005 -003
NetCommonIncomeSharesAvailable to -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Fully Diluted Earnings -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Common Dividends 0 0 0 0 0
Cash Earnings -004 -004 -001 -003 -004
Book Value 041 065 071 062 067
24
Retained Earnings 013 035 042 038 042
Assets 058 084 092 074 077
12
Appendix d ndashEarns and Dividend Analysis
EARNINGS AND DIVIDENDS ANALYSIS FundamentalsEarnings amp Dividends Analysis Sinclair IS Pharma PLC
Per Share Pounds SterlingFiscal Year Ends in June
Earnings Per Share Dividends Per Share
12 Months Quarterly Reported Earnings 12 Months Quarterly Reported Dividends
Fiscal Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Years Earnings Change Sep Dec Mar Jun Dividends Change Sep Dec Mar Jun Payout
2003G H 004 nc na na na na 000 nc na na na 000 00
2004DG F 007 nc na na na na 000 nc na na na 000 00
2005D F 005 nc na 004 na 001 000 nc na na na 000 00
2006BD F 005 nc na 003 na 002 000 nc na na na 000 00
2007 AF 005 nc na 003 na 002 000 nc na na na 000 00
2008 AF 004 nc na 001 na 005 000 nc na na na 000 00
2009 F 004 nc na 004 na 008 000 nc na na na 000 00
2010E ACF 014 nc na 013 na 001 000 nc na na na 000 00
2011D ACF 005 nc na 002 na 003 000 nc na na na 000 00
Appendix e - Profitability Analysis
Operating Income Margin
-133 -05 -28 -106 -261
Pretax Income Margin
-664 -133 52 -172 -237
EBIT Margin
-631 -112 64 -166 -232
Net Income Margin
-638 -119 11 -182 -244
Return on Equity - Total
-264 -54 54 -7 -65
Return on Invested Capital
-21 -4 56 -66 -62
Return on Assets
-186 -35 48 -58 -54
Asset Turnover
03 04 04 03 02
Financial Leverage
26 124 109 22 18
Interest Expense on Debt
933000 636000 367000 129000 54000
Effective Tax Rate
Cash Flow Sales
-19 -109 -19 -106 -198
Selling General amp
Administrative Expenses of
652 617 621 715 867
Sales
ResearchExpense amp Development
19 13 28 23 17
OperatingTotal CapitalIncome Return On
-42 21 192 -61 1591
13
Appendix F ndash Balance Sheet data ndash from SPH annual report 2009 -2011
Financial Statement AnalysesBalance Sheet - Five-Year Averages Balance Sheet - (5 Year Averages)
Figures in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007
Assets Total Assets 814 685 567 44
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 22 28 43 42
Cash 22 28 43 42
Short Term Investments 0 0 0 0
Receivables (Net) 94 85 72 51
Inventories -Total 33 25 18 11
Raw Materials 1 07 04 03
Work in Process 01 01 01 0
Finished Goods 23 18 13 09
OtherProgress Payments amp 0 0 0 0
Prepaid Expenses Other Current Assets 09 08 06 04
Current Assets - Total 159 146 139 108
Long Term Receivables 02 02 02 02
InvestmentCompaniesin Associated 0 0 0 0
Other Investments 0 0 0 0
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment 27 22 17 12
Accumulated Depreciation 1 07 05 03
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and 17 15 12 08
Other Assets 636 522 414 322
Deferred Charges 0 0 0 0
Tangible Other Assets 06 05 04 04
Intangible Other Assets 63 517 409 318
Total Assets 814 685 567 44
Liabilities amp Shareholders Equity Total Liabilities amp 814 685 567 44
Shareholders Equity Accounts Payable 54 47 38 28
Short Term Debt amp Current 46 17 1 05
Portion of Long Term Debt Accrued Payroll Income Taxes Payable 01 01 01 02
Dividends Payable Other Current Liabilities 43 36 26 19
Current Liabilities - Total 144 101 75 54
Long Term Debt 25 2 11 02
Long Term Debt Excluding 24 19 1 02
Capitalized Leases
14
Capitalized Lease 01 01 01 01
Obligations Provision for Risks and Charges Deferred Income Deferred Taxes -09 -05 -02 -01
Deferred Taxes - Credit Deferred Taxes - Debit Deferred Tax Liability in Untaxed Reserves Other Liabilities 08 07 07 07
Total Liabilities 172 128 93 67
Non-Equity Reserves 0 0 0 0
Minority Interest 0 0 0 0
Preferred Stock 0 0 0 0
Preferred Stock Issued for ESOP ESOP Guarantees - Preferred Issued Common Equity 642 558 473 373
TotalShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 814 685 567 44
Balance Sheet yr to yr change Financial Statement AnalysesBalance Sheet - Year - Year Change
Ba lance Sheet - (Year to Year Percent Change) Figures are the Percent Changes from the Prior Year Fi scal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Assets Tota l Assets 84 1 232 -38 1476
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 22534 -916 -623 -446 26
Cash 22534 -916 -623 -446 26
Short Term Investments Receivables (Net) 24 -403 1096 -62 636
Inventories -Total 254 126 563 -171 3341
Raw Materials 311 209 668 -167 29727
Work in Process -4 -734 4697 -411 Finished Goods 235 164 438 -165 2242
Progress Payments amp Other Prepaid Expenses Other Current Assets -16 -222 655 376 802
Current Assets - Total 23 -331 603 -187 51
Long Term Receivables
-100 Investment in Associated
Companies Other Investments -100
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment -04 87 109 251 1906
Accumulated Depreciation 227 443 783 19 515
15
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and -198 -101 -75 268 2964
Other Assets 64 121 181 -24 1992
Deferred Charges
Tangible Other Assets 6135 -719 3064 -958 Intangible Other Assets 57 125 177 08 1891
Tota l Assets 84 1 232 -38 1476
Liabilities amp Shareholders Equity
Tota l Liabilities amp 84 1 232 -38 1476
Shareholders Equity
Accounts Payable 109 -148 221 426 49
Short Term Debt amp Current 2944 201 4481 -297 679
Portion of Long Term Debt Accrued Payroll
Income Taxes Payable -957 895 303 -81 19471
Dividends Payable
Other Current Liabilities -00 -56 1529 -68 321
Current Liabilities - Total 769 -37 884 121 51
Long Term Debt -445 112 4839 1403 686
Long Term Debt Excluding -442 129 6933 177 356
Capitalized Leases Capitalized Lease -717 -492 -416 804 180
Obl igations Provis ion for Risks and -714
Charges Deferred Income -896 -216 -566
Deferred Taxes
Deferred Taxes - Credit Deferred Taxes - Debit 537 842 945
Deferred Tax Liability in Untaxed Reserves
Other Liabilities 109
-100 -27 Tota l Liabilities 432 -1 739 165 891
Non-Equity Reserves Minori ty Interest -100
91 120
Preferred Stock Preferred Stock Issued for
ESOP ESOP Guarantees -
Preferred Issued Common Equity -15 16 136 -68 1597
Tota lShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 84 1 232 -38 1476
SPH Balcnce sheet total asset
Figures are expressed as Percent of Total Assets
Total Assets are in millions of Pounds Sterling
Fiscal Year 20100 20090 20080 20070 20060
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Assets
16
Total Assets 936 864 855 694 722
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 2200 01 1200 4000 7000
Cash 2200 01 1200 4000 7000
Short Term Investments 00 00 00 00 00
Receivables (Net) 96 102 173 101 104
Inventories -Total 5100 4400 4000 3100 3600
Raw Materials 16 13 11 08 09
Work in Process 01 01 02 00 01
Finished Goods 3500 3000 2600 2300 26
OtherProgress Payments amp 00 00 00 00 00
Prepaid Expenses
Other Current Assets 11 12 15 11 08
Current Assets - Total 18 159 239 184 218
Long Term Receivables 00 00 00 1700 00
InvestmentCompaniesin Associated 00 00 00 00 00
Other Investments 00 02 00 00 00
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment 3200 3500 3300 3600 2800
Accumulated Depreciation 18 16 11 08 06
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and 14 19 21 28 2200
Other Assets 80600 82000 73900 77100 76100
Deferred Charges 00 00 00 00 00
Tangible Other Assets 07 01 04 01 26 Intangible Other Assets 799 819 736 77 735
Total Assets 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000
Liabilities amp Shareholders
Equity
Total Liabilities amp 93600 86400 85500 694 72200
Shareholders Equity
Accounts Payable 65 63 75 76 51
Short Term Debt amp Current 157 43 36 08 11
Portion of Long Term Debt
Accrued Payroll
Income Taxes Payable 00 02 01 01 05
Dividends Payable
Other Current Liabilities 5900 6400 6800 33 34
Current Liabilities - Total 281 172 18 118 101
Long Term Debt 27 53 48 1 04
Long Term Debt Excluding 27 53 47 07 03
Capitalized Leases
Capitalized Lease 00 01 01 03 02
Obligations
Provision for Risks and 01 04 02
Charges
Deferred Income 00 03 04 12
Deferred Taxes -21 -15 -08 -05 00
Deferred Taxes - Credit
Deferred Taxes - Debit 21 15 08 05
Deferred Tax Liability in
Untaxed Reserves Other Liabilities 03 03 00 24 24
Total Liabilities 291 22 225 159 131
Non-Equity Reserves 00 00 00 00 00
Minority Interest 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock Issued for ESOP ESOP Guarantees - Preferred Issued
17
Common Equity 709 78 775 841 868
TotalShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 100 100 100 100 100
Appendix g- Income statement- figures from Annual report 2009-2011
Income Statement - (4 Year Averages) Figures in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007
Net Sales or Revenues 246 205 149 107
Cost of Goods Sold 83 67 52 37
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization 19 15 12 1
Gross Income 144 122 85 6
Selling General amp Administrative Expenses 164 141 11 82
Other Operating Expenses 0 0 0 0
Operating Expenses - Total 267 224 174 129
Operating Income -2 -19 -24 -22
Extraordinary Credit - Pretax 12 12 08 0
Extraordinary Charge - Pretax 41 14 05 03
Non-Operating Interest Income 01 01 02 02
Reserves - IncreaseDecrease Pretax Equity in Earnings 0 0 0 0
Other IncomeExpense - Net -02 -01 0 01
EarningsAmortizationbefore(EBITDA)Interest Taxes Depreciation amp -31 -06 -07 -12
Earnings before Interest amp Taxes(EBIT) -51 -21 -2 -23
Interest Expense on Debt 04 02 01 0
Interest Capitalized 0 0 0 0
Pretax Income -55 -24 -21 -23
Income Taxes -05 -04 -03 01
Minority Interest 0 0 0 0
Equity in Earnings 0 0 0 0
After Tax Other IncomeExpense 0 0 0 0
Discontinued Operations 0 0 NetDividendsIncome before Extraordinary ItemsPreferred -5 -2 -18 -24
Extraordinary Items amp GainLoss Sale of Assets 0 0 0 0
Preferred Dividend Requirements 0 0 0 0
NetCommonIncome after Preferred Dividends - available to -5 -2 -18 -24
Income Statement revenues
Figures are expressed as Percent of Net Sales or Revenues Net Sales or Revenues are in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Net Sales or Revenues 276 304 303 232 116
Cost of Goods Sold 366 303 339 33 354
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization 116 85 68 61 4
Gross Income 519 612 593 609 606
Selling General amp Administrative Expenses 652 617 621 715 867
Other Operating Expenses 00 00 00 00 00
Operating Expenses - Total 1133 1005 1028 1106 1261
18
Operating Income -133 -05 -28 -106 -261
Extraordinary Credit - Pretax 00 55 135 00 00
Extraordinary Charge - Pretax 482 143 35 71 00
Non-Operating Interest Income 00 00 01 04 24
Reserves - IncreaseDecrease
00
Pretax Equity in Earnings 00 00 00 00 00
Other IncomeExpense - Net -16 -19 -09 07 05
EarningsDepreciationbeforeamp AmortizationInterest Taxes(EBITDA) -515 -27 132 -105 -192
Earnings before Interest amp Taxes(EBIT) -631 -112 64 -166 -232
Interest Expense on Debt 34 21 12 06 05
Interest Capitalized 00 00 00 00 00
Pretax Income -664 -133 52 -172 -237
Income Taxes -26 -14 -58 1 07
Minority Interest 00 00 00 00 00
Equity in Earnings 00 00 00 00 00
After Tax Other IncomeExpense 00 00 00 00 00
Discontinued Operations 00 00 00 00 00
NetItemsPreferredIncome beforeDividendsExtraordinary -638 -119 11 -182 -244
ExtraordinaryAssets Items amp GainLoss Sale of 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Dividend Requirements 00 00 00 00 00
NetavailableIncometo Commonafter Preferred Dividends - -638 -119 11 -182 -244
Appendix h Healthcare industry statistics source Reuters Industry Statistics Stat Notes
stock research rating Hold hellip
Potential saf ety margin 38 hellip
WACC discount rate 7 Low ~ Good f or inv estors
Comparators Stat Notes
rev enue EV multiple 28x High ~ Bad f or inv estors
EBITDA EV multiple 94x High ~ Bad f or inv estors
EBIT EV multiple 129x hellip
Cash f low ev multiple 128x hellip
Book v alue EV multiple 10x Low ~ Good f or inv estors
DISC CASH FLOW Ratios Notes
REVENUE GROWTH 13 High ~ Good f or inv estors
EBITDA MARGIN 26 High ~ Good f or inv estors
EBIT MARGIN 22 High ~ Good f or inv estors
CASH FLOW MARGIN 14 High ~ Good f or inv estors
TAXES RATE 21 hellip
DEBT-EQUITY RATIO 15 Low ~ Good f or inv estors
ROIC 5 Low ~ Bad f or inv estors
RE-inv estment Rate 13 High ~ Bad f or inv estors
WACC discount rate Rates Notes
19
risk f ree rate 4 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
cost of debt 7 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
equity risk premium 5 hellip
debt required return of debt 5 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
required return of equity 7 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
Appendix j- WACC AND DCF
(in million) Actual CAGR Forecast period
2007 2008 2009 2010 (07 -10) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Sales 11 15 21 25 32 27 29 31 33 36
growth 393 376 200 80 80 80 80 80
Total costs 13 17 22 27 27 -23 -25 -27 -29 -31
sales 857 857 857 857 857
EBITDA -3 -1 -1 -1 -27 4 4 4 5 5 margin -290 -40 -34 -49 143 143 143 143 143
Depreciation amp Amortization -1 2 2 4 0 -1 -1 -1 -1
sales 75 -101 -83 -175 18 18 18 18 18
EBIT -2 -2 -2 -6 34 3 4 4 4 5
Taxes (30) 0 0 0 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
Capex -01 45 26 137 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
sales -302 -127 -556 23 23 23 23 23
IncreaseDecrease in NWC -6 -6 -7 32 0 0 0 0
Unlevered Free Cash Flow -3 -4 5 34 3 3 3 3
WACC 92
Discount Period
05 15 25 35 45
Discount Factor
096 088 080 074 067
Present value of free cash flow 33 2 2 2 2
Terminal Value
Terminal Year Free Cash Flow 3
Perpetuity Growth Rate 30
Terminal Year EBITDA 5
Terminal Value 53
Implied Exit Multiple 108x
Discount Period 50
Discount Factor 06
Present Value of Terminal
Value 34
of Enterprise Value 45
(in million) Actual Forecast period Net Working Capital 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Account receivables 5 7 9 9
Inventory 1 2 3 3
Prepaid expenses and other 0 1 1 1
Total Current Assets 7 10 12 14 6 6 7 7 8
20
sales 617 644 576 553 224 224 224 224 224
Account payable 3 4 5 5
Accrued Liabilities
Other Current Liabilities
Total Current Liabilities 5 8 10 14 -4 -4 -5 -5 -5
sales -505 -503 -493 -585
146 146 146 146 146
Net Working Capital 15 22 27 34
2 2 2 3 3
sales 144 145 133 138 8 8 8 8 8
Input Output
Wacc Calculation Enterprise value
Target Capital Structure (1) Present value of Free Cash Flow 42
Debt to Total Capitalization 309
Equity to Total Capitalization 691 Terminal Value 53
Debt to Equity Ratio 453 Discount Factor 065
Present Value of Terminal Value 34
Cost of Equity of Enterprise Value 45
Risk-free rate (2) 40
Market risk Premium (3) 50 Enterprise value 76
Levered Beta (4) 103 Less Total debt 144 Size Premium (5) 17 Plus Cash and Cash Equi 2
Cost of Equity 108 Net Debt 12
Cost of Debt Implied Equity Value 64
Cost of Debt 70 Outstanding shares 380000000
Taxes 210 Implied share price 000
After Tax Cost of Debt 55 Implied multiples
WACC 92
Enterprise Value 76
SALES 2010 27
(1) Obtained from Beta and Capital Structure tab
EBITDA 2010 4
(2) httpwwwtreasurygovresource-centerdata-chart-centerinterest-ratesPagesTextViewaspxdata=yield
Implied EVSALES 29x
(3) httpwwwftcomcmss030eec02e-03d4-11e1-bbc5-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz1hB0TNS6n
Implied EVEBITDA 200x
(4) Obtained from Beta and Capital Structure tab
(5) Low -Cap Decile size premium based on market capitalization
for growth rate-taken into account a gdp growth rate of 15 and the structure of the company given its recent merge aswell as the financial state of the dcf analysis
Other tables used for analysis
Ratio Analysis
Accounting Ratios Sinclair IS Pharma PLC Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Receivables Turnover 31 35 21 33 15
Receivables - Number of Days 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
Inventory Turnover 24 26 37 32 26
Inventory - Number of Days 1551 1424 986 1139 1425 GrossEquipmentPropertyTurnoverPlant amp 92 10 109 92 58 NetEquipmentPropertyTurnoverPlant amp 21 185 166 117 75
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization of Gross Property Plant
amp 1058 85 737 563 231
21
Equipment Depreciation Depletion amp
Amortization 01 01 01 01 -01
Year to Year Change Depreciation Depletion amp
Amortization 239 254 45 2054 -611
Year to Year Change
Asset Utilization
Figures are expressed as the ratio of Net Sales Net Sales are in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Net Sales 276 304 303 232 116
Cash amp Cash Equivalents 75 03 35 12 433
Short-Term Investments 00 00 00 00 00
Accounts Receivable 327 29 488 304 646
Inventories 173 125 112 93 224
Other Current Assets 36 33 42 33 49
Total Current Assets 61 451 676 551 1352
Totalamp InvestmentsLong Term Receivables 00 05 00 5 00
Long Term Receivables 00 00 00 5 00
CompaniesInvestments in Associated 00 00 00 00 00
Other Investments 00 05 00 00 00
PropertyGross Plant amp Equipment - 109 10 92 109 173
Accumulated Depreciation 62 46 32 23 39
PropertyNet Plant amp Equipment - 48 54 6 85 134
Other Assets 273 233 2089 231 4722
Total Assets 3388 2841 2825 2996 6208
Employee efficiency
Values per Employee are in Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Employees 97 125 154 142 71
Values per Employee Sales 284825 243264 196610 163225 163704
Net Income -181732 -28968 21669 -29634 -39944
Cash Earnings -54216 -26576 -3682 -17225 -32493
Working Capital -97165 -9192 32825 32296 118423
Total Debt 178093 66680 47065 8986 15507
Total Capital 710598 575680 457604 416176 886831
Total Assets 964918 690992 555494 489000 1016254
Year to Year Change per Employee Employees -224 -188 85 100 868
Sales 171 237 205 -03 -108
22
Net Income
-2337 Cash Earnings
Working Capital
-128 16 -727 -192
Total Debt 1671 417 4238 -421 -10
Total Capital 234 258 10 -531 387
Total Assets 396 244 136 -519 325
Fixed Charge Coverage
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
EBITTotal Interest Expense -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITNet Interest -188 -54 56 -1133 EBIT(TotalDiv) Interest Exp + Pfd -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITDividends on Common Shares EBIT(Dividends on Common + Pfd) EBITDATotal Interest Expense -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDANet Interest -154 -13 116 -716 EBITDA(TotalPfd Div) Interest Exp + -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDADividends on Com Shares EBITDA(Dividends on Com + Pfd) Leverage Analysis
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Long Term Debt of EBIT
2133 Long Term Debt of EBITDA
1036
LongAssetsTerm Debt of Total 27 53 48 1 04
LongCapitalTerm Debt of Total 37 64 59 12 05
LongEquityTerm Debt of Com 38 68 62 12 05
Total Debt of EBIT
3734 Total Debt of EBITDA
1814
Total Debt of Total Assets 185 96 85 18 15
Total Debt of Total Capital 251 116 103 22 17
TotalShortDebtTermDebtof Total Capital amp 207 11 99 21 17
TotalEquityDebt of Common 26 124 109 22 18
Minority Interest of EBIT
06 Minority Interest of EBITDA
03
MinorityAssets Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityCapital Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityEquity Interest of Com 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock of EBIT
00 Preferred Stock of EDITDA
00
PreferredAssets Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredCapital Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredEquity Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
23
CommonAssets Equity of Total 709 78 775 841 868
CommonCapital Equity of Total 963 936 941 988 995
Total Capital of Total Assets 736 833 824 851 873
Capital Expenditure of Sales 09 16 05 19 11
FixedEquityAssets of Common 2 24 28 34 25
WorkingCapital Capital of Total -137 -16 72 78 134
Dividend Payout 00 00 00 00 00
FundsTotal DebtFrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
Liquidity Analysis Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
TotalSalesCurrent Assets Net 61 451 676 551 1352
Cash of Current Assets 123 06 51 218 32
CashCurrentamp EquivalentsAssets of 123 06 51 218 32
Quick Ratio 04 06 1 12 17
ReceivablesAssets of Current 536 643 721 552 478
Receivableof days Turnover - number 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
InventoriesAssets of Current 283 278 165 169 166
Inventoryof days Turnover - number 1551 1424 986 1139 1425
InventoryEquivalentsto -Cashnumberamp of days 1561 83 112 4645 6949
Receivables of Total Assets 96 102 173 101 104
Current Ratio 06 09 13 16 22
Total Debt of Total Capital 207 11 99 21 17
FundsCurrentfromLiabilitiesOperations of -20 -224 -37 -299 -316
FundsLong TermfromDebtOperations of -206 -722 -137 -345 -782
FundsTotal Debtfrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
FundsTotal Capitalfrom Operations of -76 -46 -08 -41 -37
Cash Flow (in milllions of Pounds Sterling) Operating Activities -67 0 -36 -15 -29
Financing Activities 265 23 58 -01 54
Investing Activities 179 32 43 06 24
Per Share data
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Sales 017 029 032 025 012
Operating Income -002 0 -001 -003 -003
Pre-tax Income -011 -004 002 -004 -003
NetOperations)Income (Continuing -011 -004 002 -004 -003
Net Income Before Extra Items -011 -004 004 -005 -003
Extraordinary Items 0 0 0 0 0
NetItemsIncome After Extraordinary -011 -004 004 -005 -003
NetCommonIncomeSharesAvailable to -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Fully Diluted Earnings -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Common Dividends 0 0 0 0 0
Cash Earnings -004 -004 -001 -003 -004
Book Value 041 065 071 062 067
24
Retained Earnings 013 035 042 038 042
Assets 058 084 092 074 077
13
Appendix F ndash Balance Sheet data ndash from SPH annual report 2009 -2011
Financial Statement AnalysesBalance Sheet - Five-Year Averages Balance Sheet - (5 Year Averages)
Figures in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007
Assets Total Assets 814 685 567 44
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 22 28 43 42
Cash 22 28 43 42
Short Term Investments 0 0 0 0
Receivables (Net) 94 85 72 51
Inventories -Total 33 25 18 11
Raw Materials 1 07 04 03
Work in Process 01 01 01 0
Finished Goods 23 18 13 09
OtherProgress Payments amp 0 0 0 0
Prepaid Expenses Other Current Assets 09 08 06 04
Current Assets - Total 159 146 139 108
Long Term Receivables 02 02 02 02
InvestmentCompaniesin Associated 0 0 0 0
Other Investments 0 0 0 0
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment 27 22 17 12
Accumulated Depreciation 1 07 05 03
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and 17 15 12 08
Other Assets 636 522 414 322
Deferred Charges 0 0 0 0
Tangible Other Assets 06 05 04 04
Intangible Other Assets 63 517 409 318
Total Assets 814 685 567 44
Liabilities amp Shareholders Equity Total Liabilities amp 814 685 567 44
Shareholders Equity Accounts Payable 54 47 38 28
Short Term Debt amp Current 46 17 1 05
Portion of Long Term Debt Accrued Payroll Income Taxes Payable 01 01 01 02
Dividends Payable Other Current Liabilities 43 36 26 19
Current Liabilities - Total 144 101 75 54
Long Term Debt 25 2 11 02
Long Term Debt Excluding 24 19 1 02
Capitalized Leases
14
Capitalized Lease 01 01 01 01
Obligations Provision for Risks and Charges Deferred Income Deferred Taxes -09 -05 -02 -01
Deferred Taxes - Credit Deferred Taxes - Debit Deferred Tax Liability in Untaxed Reserves Other Liabilities 08 07 07 07
Total Liabilities 172 128 93 67
Non-Equity Reserves 0 0 0 0
Minority Interest 0 0 0 0
Preferred Stock 0 0 0 0
Preferred Stock Issued for ESOP ESOP Guarantees - Preferred Issued Common Equity 642 558 473 373
TotalShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 814 685 567 44
Balance Sheet yr to yr change Financial Statement AnalysesBalance Sheet - Year - Year Change
Ba lance Sheet - (Year to Year Percent Change) Figures are the Percent Changes from the Prior Year Fi scal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Assets Tota l Assets 84 1 232 -38 1476
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 22534 -916 -623 -446 26
Cash 22534 -916 -623 -446 26
Short Term Investments Receivables (Net) 24 -403 1096 -62 636
Inventories -Total 254 126 563 -171 3341
Raw Materials 311 209 668 -167 29727
Work in Process -4 -734 4697 -411 Finished Goods 235 164 438 -165 2242
Progress Payments amp Other Prepaid Expenses Other Current Assets -16 -222 655 376 802
Current Assets - Total 23 -331 603 -187 51
Long Term Receivables
-100 Investment in Associated
Companies Other Investments -100
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment -04 87 109 251 1906
Accumulated Depreciation 227 443 783 19 515
15
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and -198 -101 -75 268 2964
Other Assets 64 121 181 -24 1992
Deferred Charges
Tangible Other Assets 6135 -719 3064 -958 Intangible Other Assets 57 125 177 08 1891
Tota l Assets 84 1 232 -38 1476
Liabilities amp Shareholders Equity
Tota l Liabilities amp 84 1 232 -38 1476
Shareholders Equity
Accounts Payable 109 -148 221 426 49
Short Term Debt amp Current 2944 201 4481 -297 679
Portion of Long Term Debt Accrued Payroll
Income Taxes Payable -957 895 303 -81 19471
Dividends Payable
Other Current Liabilities -00 -56 1529 -68 321
Current Liabilities - Total 769 -37 884 121 51
Long Term Debt -445 112 4839 1403 686
Long Term Debt Excluding -442 129 6933 177 356
Capitalized Leases Capitalized Lease -717 -492 -416 804 180
Obl igations Provis ion for Risks and -714
Charges Deferred Income -896 -216 -566
Deferred Taxes
Deferred Taxes - Credit Deferred Taxes - Debit 537 842 945
Deferred Tax Liability in Untaxed Reserves
Other Liabilities 109
-100 -27 Tota l Liabilities 432 -1 739 165 891
Non-Equity Reserves Minori ty Interest -100
91 120
Preferred Stock Preferred Stock Issued for
ESOP ESOP Guarantees -
Preferred Issued Common Equity -15 16 136 -68 1597
Tota lShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 84 1 232 -38 1476
SPH Balcnce sheet total asset
Figures are expressed as Percent of Total Assets
Total Assets are in millions of Pounds Sterling
Fiscal Year 20100 20090 20080 20070 20060
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Assets
16
Total Assets 936 864 855 694 722
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 2200 01 1200 4000 7000
Cash 2200 01 1200 4000 7000
Short Term Investments 00 00 00 00 00
Receivables (Net) 96 102 173 101 104
Inventories -Total 5100 4400 4000 3100 3600
Raw Materials 16 13 11 08 09
Work in Process 01 01 02 00 01
Finished Goods 3500 3000 2600 2300 26
OtherProgress Payments amp 00 00 00 00 00
Prepaid Expenses
Other Current Assets 11 12 15 11 08
Current Assets - Total 18 159 239 184 218
Long Term Receivables 00 00 00 1700 00
InvestmentCompaniesin Associated 00 00 00 00 00
Other Investments 00 02 00 00 00
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment 3200 3500 3300 3600 2800
Accumulated Depreciation 18 16 11 08 06
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and 14 19 21 28 2200
Other Assets 80600 82000 73900 77100 76100
Deferred Charges 00 00 00 00 00
Tangible Other Assets 07 01 04 01 26 Intangible Other Assets 799 819 736 77 735
Total Assets 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000
Liabilities amp Shareholders
Equity
Total Liabilities amp 93600 86400 85500 694 72200
Shareholders Equity
Accounts Payable 65 63 75 76 51
Short Term Debt amp Current 157 43 36 08 11
Portion of Long Term Debt
Accrued Payroll
Income Taxes Payable 00 02 01 01 05
Dividends Payable
Other Current Liabilities 5900 6400 6800 33 34
Current Liabilities - Total 281 172 18 118 101
Long Term Debt 27 53 48 1 04
Long Term Debt Excluding 27 53 47 07 03
Capitalized Leases
Capitalized Lease 00 01 01 03 02
Obligations
Provision for Risks and 01 04 02
Charges
Deferred Income 00 03 04 12
Deferred Taxes -21 -15 -08 -05 00
Deferred Taxes - Credit
Deferred Taxes - Debit 21 15 08 05
Deferred Tax Liability in
Untaxed Reserves Other Liabilities 03 03 00 24 24
Total Liabilities 291 22 225 159 131
Non-Equity Reserves 00 00 00 00 00
Minority Interest 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock Issued for ESOP ESOP Guarantees - Preferred Issued
17
Common Equity 709 78 775 841 868
TotalShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 100 100 100 100 100
Appendix g- Income statement- figures from Annual report 2009-2011
Income Statement - (4 Year Averages) Figures in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007
Net Sales or Revenues 246 205 149 107
Cost of Goods Sold 83 67 52 37
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization 19 15 12 1
Gross Income 144 122 85 6
Selling General amp Administrative Expenses 164 141 11 82
Other Operating Expenses 0 0 0 0
Operating Expenses - Total 267 224 174 129
Operating Income -2 -19 -24 -22
Extraordinary Credit - Pretax 12 12 08 0
Extraordinary Charge - Pretax 41 14 05 03
Non-Operating Interest Income 01 01 02 02
Reserves - IncreaseDecrease Pretax Equity in Earnings 0 0 0 0
Other IncomeExpense - Net -02 -01 0 01
EarningsAmortizationbefore(EBITDA)Interest Taxes Depreciation amp -31 -06 -07 -12
Earnings before Interest amp Taxes(EBIT) -51 -21 -2 -23
Interest Expense on Debt 04 02 01 0
Interest Capitalized 0 0 0 0
Pretax Income -55 -24 -21 -23
Income Taxes -05 -04 -03 01
Minority Interest 0 0 0 0
Equity in Earnings 0 0 0 0
After Tax Other IncomeExpense 0 0 0 0
Discontinued Operations 0 0 NetDividendsIncome before Extraordinary ItemsPreferred -5 -2 -18 -24
Extraordinary Items amp GainLoss Sale of Assets 0 0 0 0
Preferred Dividend Requirements 0 0 0 0
NetCommonIncome after Preferred Dividends - available to -5 -2 -18 -24
Income Statement revenues
Figures are expressed as Percent of Net Sales or Revenues Net Sales or Revenues are in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Net Sales or Revenues 276 304 303 232 116
Cost of Goods Sold 366 303 339 33 354
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization 116 85 68 61 4
Gross Income 519 612 593 609 606
Selling General amp Administrative Expenses 652 617 621 715 867
Other Operating Expenses 00 00 00 00 00
Operating Expenses - Total 1133 1005 1028 1106 1261
18
Operating Income -133 -05 -28 -106 -261
Extraordinary Credit - Pretax 00 55 135 00 00
Extraordinary Charge - Pretax 482 143 35 71 00
Non-Operating Interest Income 00 00 01 04 24
Reserves - IncreaseDecrease
00
Pretax Equity in Earnings 00 00 00 00 00
Other IncomeExpense - Net -16 -19 -09 07 05
EarningsDepreciationbeforeamp AmortizationInterest Taxes(EBITDA) -515 -27 132 -105 -192
Earnings before Interest amp Taxes(EBIT) -631 -112 64 -166 -232
Interest Expense on Debt 34 21 12 06 05
Interest Capitalized 00 00 00 00 00
Pretax Income -664 -133 52 -172 -237
Income Taxes -26 -14 -58 1 07
Minority Interest 00 00 00 00 00
Equity in Earnings 00 00 00 00 00
After Tax Other IncomeExpense 00 00 00 00 00
Discontinued Operations 00 00 00 00 00
NetItemsPreferredIncome beforeDividendsExtraordinary -638 -119 11 -182 -244
ExtraordinaryAssets Items amp GainLoss Sale of 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Dividend Requirements 00 00 00 00 00
NetavailableIncometo Commonafter Preferred Dividends - -638 -119 11 -182 -244
Appendix h Healthcare industry statistics source Reuters Industry Statistics Stat Notes
stock research rating Hold hellip
Potential saf ety margin 38 hellip
WACC discount rate 7 Low ~ Good f or inv estors
Comparators Stat Notes
rev enue EV multiple 28x High ~ Bad f or inv estors
EBITDA EV multiple 94x High ~ Bad f or inv estors
EBIT EV multiple 129x hellip
Cash f low ev multiple 128x hellip
Book v alue EV multiple 10x Low ~ Good f or inv estors
DISC CASH FLOW Ratios Notes
REVENUE GROWTH 13 High ~ Good f or inv estors
EBITDA MARGIN 26 High ~ Good f or inv estors
EBIT MARGIN 22 High ~ Good f or inv estors
CASH FLOW MARGIN 14 High ~ Good f or inv estors
TAXES RATE 21 hellip
DEBT-EQUITY RATIO 15 Low ~ Good f or inv estors
ROIC 5 Low ~ Bad f or inv estors
RE-inv estment Rate 13 High ~ Bad f or inv estors
WACC discount rate Rates Notes
19
risk f ree rate 4 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
cost of debt 7 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
equity risk premium 5 hellip
debt required return of debt 5 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
required return of equity 7 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
Appendix j- WACC AND DCF
(in million) Actual CAGR Forecast period
2007 2008 2009 2010 (07 -10) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Sales 11 15 21 25 32 27 29 31 33 36
growth 393 376 200 80 80 80 80 80
Total costs 13 17 22 27 27 -23 -25 -27 -29 -31
sales 857 857 857 857 857
EBITDA -3 -1 -1 -1 -27 4 4 4 5 5 margin -290 -40 -34 -49 143 143 143 143 143
Depreciation amp Amortization -1 2 2 4 0 -1 -1 -1 -1
sales 75 -101 -83 -175 18 18 18 18 18
EBIT -2 -2 -2 -6 34 3 4 4 4 5
Taxes (30) 0 0 0 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
Capex -01 45 26 137 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
sales -302 -127 -556 23 23 23 23 23
IncreaseDecrease in NWC -6 -6 -7 32 0 0 0 0
Unlevered Free Cash Flow -3 -4 5 34 3 3 3 3
WACC 92
Discount Period
05 15 25 35 45
Discount Factor
096 088 080 074 067
Present value of free cash flow 33 2 2 2 2
Terminal Value
Terminal Year Free Cash Flow 3
Perpetuity Growth Rate 30
Terminal Year EBITDA 5
Terminal Value 53
Implied Exit Multiple 108x
Discount Period 50
Discount Factor 06
Present Value of Terminal
Value 34
of Enterprise Value 45
(in million) Actual Forecast period Net Working Capital 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Account receivables 5 7 9 9
Inventory 1 2 3 3
Prepaid expenses and other 0 1 1 1
Total Current Assets 7 10 12 14 6 6 7 7 8
20
sales 617 644 576 553 224 224 224 224 224
Account payable 3 4 5 5
Accrued Liabilities
Other Current Liabilities
Total Current Liabilities 5 8 10 14 -4 -4 -5 -5 -5
sales -505 -503 -493 -585
146 146 146 146 146
Net Working Capital 15 22 27 34
2 2 2 3 3
sales 144 145 133 138 8 8 8 8 8
Input Output
Wacc Calculation Enterprise value
Target Capital Structure (1) Present value of Free Cash Flow 42
Debt to Total Capitalization 309
Equity to Total Capitalization 691 Terminal Value 53
Debt to Equity Ratio 453 Discount Factor 065
Present Value of Terminal Value 34
Cost of Equity of Enterprise Value 45
Risk-free rate (2) 40
Market risk Premium (3) 50 Enterprise value 76
Levered Beta (4) 103 Less Total debt 144 Size Premium (5) 17 Plus Cash and Cash Equi 2
Cost of Equity 108 Net Debt 12
Cost of Debt Implied Equity Value 64
Cost of Debt 70 Outstanding shares 380000000
Taxes 210 Implied share price 000
After Tax Cost of Debt 55 Implied multiples
WACC 92
Enterprise Value 76
SALES 2010 27
(1) Obtained from Beta and Capital Structure tab
EBITDA 2010 4
(2) httpwwwtreasurygovresource-centerdata-chart-centerinterest-ratesPagesTextViewaspxdata=yield
Implied EVSALES 29x
(3) httpwwwftcomcmss030eec02e-03d4-11e1-bbc5-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz1hB0TNS6n
Implied EVEBITDA 200x
(4) Obtained from Beta and Capital Structure tab
(5) Low -Cap Decile size premium based on market capitalization
for growth rate-taken into account a gdp growth rate of 15 and the structure of the company given its recent merge aswell as the financial state of the dcf analysis
Other tables used for analysis
Ratio Analysis
Accounting Ratios Sinclair IS Pharma PLC Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Receivables Turnover 31 35 21 33 15
Receivables - Number of Days 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
Inventory Turnover 24 26 37 32 26
Inventory - Number of Days 1551 1424 986 1139 1425 GrossEquipmentPropertyTurnoverPlant amp 92 10 109 92 58 NetEquipmentPropertyTurnoverPlant amp 21 185 166 117 75
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization of Gross Property Plant
amp 1058 85 737 563 231
21
Equipment Depreciation Depletion amp
Amortization 01 01 01 01 -01
Year to Year Change Depreciation Depletion amp
Amortization 239 254 45 2054 -611
Year to Year Change
Asset Utilization
Figures are expressed as the ratio of Net Sales Net Sales are in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Net Sales 276 304 303 232 116
Cash amp Cash Equivalents 75 03 35 12 433
Short-Term Investments 00 00 00 00 00
Accounts Receivable 327 29 488 304 646
Inventories 173 125 112 93 224
Other Current Assets 36 33 42 33 49
Total Current Assets 61 451 676 551 1352
Totalamp InvestmentsLong Term Receivables 00 05 00 5 00
Long Term Receivables 00 00 00 5 00
CompaniesInvestments in Associated 00 00 00 00 00
Other Investments 00 05 00 00 00
PropertyGross Plant amp Equipment - 109 10 92 109 173
Accumulated Depreciation 62 46 32 23 39
PropertyNet Plant amp Equipment - 48 54 6 85 134
Other Assets 273 233 2089 231 4722
Total Assets 3388 2841 2825 2996 6208
Employee efficiency
Values per Employee are in Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Employees 97 125 154 142 71
Values per Employee Sales 284825 243264 196610 163225 163704
Net Income -181732 -28968 21669 -29634 -39944
Cash Earnings -54216 -26576 -3682 -17225 -32493
Working Capital -97165 -9192 32825 32296 118423
Total Debt 178093 66680 47065 8986 15507
Total Capital 710598 575680 457604 416176 886831
Total Assets 964918 690992 555494 489000 1016254
Year to Year Change per Employee Employees -224 -188 85 100 868
Sales 171 237 205 -03 -108
22
Net Income
-2337 Cash Earnings
Working Capital
-128 16 -727 -192
Total Debt 1671 417 4238 -421 -10
Total Capital 234 258 10 -531 387
Total Assets 396 244 136 -519 325
Fixed Charge Coverage
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
EBITTotal Interest Expense -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITNet Interest -188 -54 56 -1133 EBIT(TotalDiv) Interest Exp + Pfd -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITDividends on Common Shares EBIT(Dividends on Common + Pfd) EBITDATotal Interest Expense -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDANet Interest -154 -13 116 -716 EBITDA(TotalPfd Div) Interest Exp + -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDADividends on Com Shares EBITDA(Dividends on Com + Pfd) Leverage Analysis
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Long Term Debt of EBIT
2133 Long Term Debt of EBITDA
1036
LongAssetsTerm Debt of Total 27 53 48 1 04
LongCapitalTerm Debt of Total 37 64 59 12 05
LongEquityTerm Debt of Com 38 68 62 12 05
Total Debt of EBIT
3734 Total Debt of EBITDA
1814
Total Debt of Total Assets 185 96 85 18 15
Total Debt of Total Capital 251 116 103 22 17
TotalShortDebtTermDebtof Total Capital amp 207 11 99 21 17
TotalEquityDebt of Common 26 124 109 22 18
Minority Interest of EBIT
06 Minority Interest of EBITDA
03
MinorityAssets Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityCapital Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityEquity Interest of Com 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock of EBIT
00 Preferred Stock of EDITDA
00
PreferredAssets Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredCapital Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredEquity Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
23
CommonAssets Equity of Total 709 78 775 841 868
CommonCapital Equity of Total 963 936 941 988 995
Total Capital of Total Assets 736 833 824 851 873
Capital Expenditure of Sales 09 16 05 19 11
FixedEquityAssets of Common 2 24 28 34 25
WorkingCapital Capital of Total -137 -16 72 78 134
Dividend Payout 00 00 00 00 00
FundsTotal DebtFrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
Liquidity Analysis Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
TotalSalesCurrent Assets Net 61 451 676 551 1352
Cash of Current Assets 123 06 51 218 32
CashCurrentamp EquivalentsAssets of 123 06 51 218 32
Quick Ratio 04 06 1 12 17
ReceivablesAssets of Current 536 643 721 552 478
Receivableof days Turnover - number 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
InventoriesAssets of Current 283 278 165 169 166
Inventoryof days Turnover - number 1551 1424 986 1139 1425
InventoryEquivalentsto -Cashnumberamp of days 1561 83 112 4645 6949
Receivables of Total Assets 96 102 173 101 104
Current Ratio 06 09 13 16 22
Total Debt of Total Capital 207 11 99 21 17
FundsCurrentfromLiabilitiesOperations of -20 -224 -37 -299 -316
FundsLong TermfromDebtOperations of -206 -722 -137 -345 -782
FundsTotal Debtfrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
FundsTotal Capitalfrom Operations of -76 -46 -08 -41 -37
Cash Flow (in milllions of Pounds Sterling) Operating Activities -67 0 -36 -15 -29
Financing Activities 265 23 58 -01 54
Investing Activities 179 32 43 06 24
Per Share data
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Sales 017 029 032 025 012
Operating Income -002 0 -001 -003 -003
Pre-tax Income -011 -004 002 -004 -003
NetOperations)Income (Continuing -011 -004 002 -004 -003
Net Income Before Extra Items -011 -004 004 -005 -003
Extraordinary Items 0 0 0 0 0
NetItemsIncome After Extraordinary -011 -004 004 -005 -003
NetCommonIncomeSharesAvailable to -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Fully Diluted Earnings -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Common Dividends 0 0 0 0 0
Cash Earnings -004 -004 -001 -003 -004
Book Value 041 065 071 062 067
24
Retained Earnings 013 035 042 038 042
Assets 058 084 092 074 077
14
Capitalized Lease 01 01 01 01
Obligations Provision for Risks and Charges Deferred Income Deferred Taxes -09 -05 -02 -01
Deferred Taxes - Credit Deferred Taxes - Debit Deferred Tax Liability in Untaxed Reserves Other Liabilities 08 07 07 07
Total Liabilities 172 128 93 67
Non-Equity Reserves 0 0 0 0
Minority Interest 0 0 0 0
Preferred Stock 0 0 0 0
Preferred Stock Issued for ESOP ESOP Guarantees - Preferred Issued Common Equity 642 558 473 373
TotalShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 814 685 567 44
Balance Sheet yr to yr change Financial Statement AnalysesBalance Sheet - Year - Year Change
Ba lance Sheet - (Year to Year Percent Change) Figures are the Percent Changes from the Prior Year Fi scal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Assets Tota l Assets 84 1 232 -38 1476
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 22534 -916 -623 -446 26
Cash 22534 -916 -623 -446 26
Short Term Investments Receivables (Net) 24 -403 1096 -62 636
Inventories -Total 254 126 563 -171 3341
Raw Materials 311 209 668 -167 29727
Work in Process -4 -734 4697 -411 Finished Goods 235 164 438 -165 2242
Progress Payments amp Other Prepaid Expenses Other Current Assets -16 -222 655 376 802
Current Assets - Total 23 -331 603 -187 51
Long Term Receivables
-100 Investment in Associated
Companies Other Investments -100
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment -04 87 109 251 1906
Accumulated Depreciation 227 443 783 19 515
15
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and -198 -101 -75 268 2964
Other Assets 64 121 181 -24 1992
Deferred Charges
Tangible Other Assets 6135 -719 3064 -958 Intangible Other Assets 57 125 177 08 1891
Tota l Assets 84 1 232 -38 1476
Liabilities amp Shareholders Equity
Tota l Liabilities amp 84 1 232 -38 1476
Shareholders Equity
Accounts Payable 109 -148 221 426 49
Short Term Debt amp Current 2944 201 4481 -297 679
Portion of Long Term Debt Accrued Payroll
Income Taxes Payable -957 895 303 -81 19471
Dividends Payable
Other Current Liabilities -00 -56 1529 -68 321
Current Liabilities - Total 769 -37 884 121 51
Long Term Debt -445 112 4839 1403 686
Long Term Debt Excluding -442 129 6933 177 356
Capitalized Leases Capitalized Lease -717 -492 -416 804 180
Obl igations Provis ion for Risks and -714
Charges Deferred Income -896 -216 -566
Deferred Taxes
Deferred Taxes - Credit Deferred Taxes - Debit 537 842 945
Deferred Tax Liability in Untaxed Reserves
Other Liabilities 109
-100 -27 Tota l Liabilities 432 -1 739 165 891
Non-Equity Reserves Minori ty Interest -100
91 120
Preferred Stock Preferred Stock Issued for
ESOP ESOP Guarantees -
Preferred Issued Common Equity -15 16 136 -68 1597
Tota lShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 84 1 232 -38 1476
SPH Balcnce sheet total asset
Figures are expressed as Percent of Total Assets
Total Assets are in millions of Pounds Sterling
Fiscal Year 20100 20090 20080 20070 20060
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Assets
16
Total Assets 936 864 855 694 722
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 2200 01 1200 4000 7000
Cash 2200 01 1200 4000 7000
Short Term Investments 00 00 00 00 00
Receivables (Net) 96 102 173 101 104
Inventories -Total 5100 4400 4000 3100 3600
Raw Materials 16 13 11 08 09
Work in Process 01 01 02 00 01
Finished Goods 3500 3000 2600 2300 26
OtherProgress Payments amp 00 00 00 00 00
Prepaid Expenses
Other Current Assets 11 12 15 11 08
Current Assets - Total 18 159 239 184 218
Long Term Receivables 00 00 00 1700 00
InvestmentCompaniesin Associated 00 00 00 00 00
Other Investments 00 02 00 00 00
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment 3200 3500 3300 3600 2800
Accumulated Depreciation 18 16 11 08 06
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and 14 19 21 28 2200
Other Assets 80600 82000 73900 77100 76100
Deferred Charges 00 00 00 00 00
Tangible Other Assets 07 01 04 01 26 Intangible Other Assets 799 819 736 77 735
Total Assets 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000
Liabilities amp Shareholders
Equity
Total Liabilities amp 93600 86400 85500 694 72200
Shareholders Equity
Accounts Payable 65 63 75 76 51
Short Term Debt amp Current 157 43 36 08 11
Portion of Long Term Debt
Accrued Payroll
Income Taxes Payable 00 02 01 01 05
Dividends Payable
Other Current Liabilities 5900 6400 6800 33 34
Current Liabilities - Total 281 172 18 118 101
Long Term Debt 27 53 48 1 04
Long Term Debt Excluding 27 53 47 07 03
Capitalized Leases
Capitalized Lease 00 01 01 03 02
Obligations
Provision for Risks and 01 04 02
Charges
Deferred Income 00 03 04 12
Deferred Taxes -21 -15 -08 -05 00
Deferred Taxes - Credit
Deferred Taxes - Debit 21 15 08 05
Deferred Tax Liability in
Untaxed Reserves Other Liabilities 03 03 00 24 24
Total Liabilities 291 22 225 159 131
Non-Equity Reserves 00 00 00 00 00
Minority Interest 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock Issued for ESOP ESOP Guarantees - Preferred Issued
17
Common Equity 709 78 775 841 868
TotalShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 100 100 100 100 100
Appendix g- Income statement- figures from Annual report 2009-2011
Income Statement - (4 Year Averages) Figures in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007
Net Sales or Revenues 246 205 149 107
Cost of Goods Sold 83 67 52 37
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization 19 15 12 1
Gross Income 144 122 85 6
Selling General amp Administrative Expenses 164 141 11 82
Other Operating Expenses 0 0 0 0
Operating Expenses - Total 267 224 174 129
Operating Income -2 -19 -24 -22
Extraordinary Credit - Pretax 12 12 08 0
Extraordinary Charge - Pretax 41 14 05 03
Non-Operating Interest Income 01 01 02 02
Reserves - IncreaseDecrease Pretax Equity in Earnings 0 0 0 0
Other IncomeExpense - Net -02 -01 0 01
EarningsAmortizationbefore(EBITDA)Interest Taxes Depreciation amp -31 -06 -07 -12
Earnings before Interest amp Taxes(EBIT) -51 -21 -2 -23
Interest Expense on Debt 04 02 01 0
Interest Capitalized 0 0 0 0
Pretax Income -55 -24 -21 -23
Income Taxes -05 -04 -03 01
Minority Interest 0 0 0 0
Equity in Earnings 0 0 0 0
After Tax Other IncomeExpense 0 0 0 0
Discontinued Operations 0 0 NetDividendsIncome before Extraordinary ItemsPreferred -5 -2 -18 -24
Extraordinary Items amp GainLoss Sale of Assets 0 0 0 0
Preferred Dividend Requirements 0 0 0 0
NetCommonIncome after Preferred Dividends - available to -5 -2 -18 -24
Income Statement revenues
Figures are expressed as Percent of Net Sales or Revenues Net Sales or Revenues are in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Net Sales or Revenues 276 304 303 232 116
Cost of Goods Sold 366 303 339 33 354
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization 116 85 68 61 4
Gross Income 519 612 593 609 606
Selling General amp Administrative Expenses 652 617 621 715 867
Other Operating Expenses 00 00 00 00 00
Operating Expenses - Total 1133 1005 1028 1106 1261
18
Operating Income -133 -05 -28 -106 -261
Extraordinary Credit - Pretax 00 55 135 00 00
Extraordinary Charge - Pretax 482 143 35 71 00
Non-Operating Interest Income 00 00 01 04 24
Reserves - IncreaseDecrease
00
Pretax Equity in Earnings 00 00 00 00 00
Other IncomeExpense - Net -16 -19 -09 07 05
EarningsDepreciationbeforeamp AmortizationInterest Taxes(EBITDA) -515 -27 132 -105 -192
Earnings before Interest amp Taxes(EBIT) -631 -112 64 -166 -232
Interest Expense on Debt 34 21 12 06 05
Interest Capitalized 00 00 00 00 00
Pretax Income -664 -133 52 -172 -237
Income Taxes -26 -14 -58 1 07
Minority Interest 00 00 00 00 00
Equity in Earnings 00 00 00 00 00
After Tax Other IncomeExpense 00 00 00 00 00
Discontinued Operations 00 00 00 00 00
NetItemsPreferredIncome beforeDividendsExtraordinary -638 -119 11 -182 -244
ExtraordinaryAssets Items amp GainLoss Sale of 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Dividend Requirements 00 00 00 00 00
NetavailableIncometo Commonafter Preferred Dividends - -638 -119 11 -182 -244
Appendix h Healthcare industry statistics source Reuters Industry Statistics Stat Notes
stock research rating Hold hellip
Potential saf ety margin 38 hellip
WACC discount rate 7 Low ~ Good f or inv estors
Comparators Stat Notes
rev enue EV multiple 28x High ~ Bad f or inv estors
EBITDA EV multiple 94x High ~ Bad f or inv estors
EBIT EV multiple 129x hellip
Cash f low ev multiple 128x hellip
Book v alue EV multiple 10x Low ~ Good f or inv estors
DISC CASH FLOW Ratios Notes
REVENUE GROWTH 13 High ~ Good f or inv estors
EBITDA MARGIN 26 High ~ Good f or inv estors
EBIT MARGIN 22 High ~ Good f or inv estors
CASH FLOW MARGIN 14 High ~ Good f or inv estors
TAXES RATE 21 hellip
DEBT-EQUITY RATIO 15 Low ~ Good f or inv estors
ROIC 5 Low ~ Bad f or inv estors
RE-inv estment Rate 13 High ~ Bad f or inv estors
WACC discount rate Rates Notes
19
risk f ree rate 4 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
cost of debt 7 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
equity risk premium 5 hellip
debt required return of debt 5 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
required return of equity 7 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
Appendix j- WACC AND DCF
(in million) Actual CAGR Forecast period
2007 2008 2009 2010 (07 -10) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Sales 11 15 21 25 32 27 29 31 33 36
growth 393 376 200 80 80 80 80 80
Total costs 13 17 22 27 27 -23 -25 -27 -29 -31
sales 857 857 857 857 857
EBITDA -3 -1 -1 -1 -27 4 4 4 5 5 margin -290 -40 -34 -49 143 143 143 143 143
Depreciation amp Amortization -1 2 2 4 0 -1 -1 -1 -1
sales 75 -101 -83 -175 18 18 18 18 18
EBIT -2 -2 -2 -6 34 3 4 4 4 5
Taxes (30) 0 0 0 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
Capex -01 45 26 137 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
sales -302 -127 -556 23 23 23 23 23
IncreaseDecrease in NWC -6 -6 -7 32 0 0 0 0
Unlevered Free Cash Flow -3 -4 5 34 3 3 3 3
WACC 92
Discount Period
05 15 25 35 45
Discount Factor
096 088 080 074 067
Present value of free cash flow 33 2 2 2 2
Terminal Value
Terminal Year Free Cash Flow 3
Perpetuity Growth Rate 30
Terminal Year EBITDA 5
Terminal Value 53
Implied Exit Multiple 108x
Discount Period 50
Discount Factor 06
Present Value of Terminal
Value 34
of Enterprise Value 45
(in million) Actual Forecast period Net Working Capital 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Account receivables 5 7 9 9
Inventory 1 2 3 3
Prepaid expenses and other 0 1 1 1
Total Current Assets 7 10 12 14 6 6 7 7 8
20
sales 617 644 576 553 224 224 224 224 224
Account payable 3 4 5 5
Accrued Liabilities
Other Current Liabilities
Total Current Liabilities 5 8 10 14 -4 -4 -5 -5 -5
sales -505 -503 -493 -585
146 146 146 146 146
Net Working Capital 15 22 27 34
2 2 2 3 3
sales 144 145 133 138 8 8 8 8 8
Input Output
Wacc Calculation Enterprise value
Target Capital Structure (1) Present value of Free Cash Flow 42
Debt to Total Capitalization 309
Equity to Total Capitalization 691 Terminal Value 53
Debt to Equity Ratio 453 Discount Factor 065
Present Value of Terminal Value 34
Cost of Equity of Enterprise Value 45
Risk-free rate (2) 40
Market risk Premium (3) 50 Enterprise value 76
Levered Beta (4) 103 Less Total debt 144 Size Premium (5) 17 Plus Cash and Cash Equi 2
Cost of Equity 108 Net Debt 12
Cost of Debt Implied Equity Value 64
Cost of Debt 70 Outstanding shares 380000000
Taxes 210 Implied share price 000
After Tax Cost of Debt 55 Implied multiples
WACC 92
Enterprise Value 76
SALES 2010 27
(1) Obtained from Beta and Capital Structure tab
EBITDA 2010 4
(2) httpwwwtreasurygovresource-centerdata-chart-centerinterest-ratesPagesTextViewaspxdata=yield
Implied EVSALES 29x
(3) httpwwwftcomcmss030eec02e-03d4-11e1-bbc5-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz1hB0TNS6n
Implied EVEBITDA 200x
(4) Obtained from Beta and Capital Structure tab
(5) Low -Cap Decile size premium based on market capitalization
for growth rate-taken into account a gdp growth rate of 15 and the structure of the company given its recent merge aswell as the financial state of the dcf analysis
Other tables used for analysis
Ratio Analysis
Accounting Ratios Sinclair IS Pharma PLC Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Receivables Turnover 31 35 21 33 15
Receivables - Number of Days 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
Inventory Turnover 24 26 37 32 26
Inventory - Number of Days 1551 1424 986 1139 1425 GrossEquipmentPropertyTurnoverPlant amp 92 10 109 92 58 NetEquipmentPropertyTurnoverPlant amp 21 185 166 117 75
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization of Gross Property Plant
amp 1058 85 737 563 231
21
Equipment Depreciation Depletion amp
Amortization 01 01 01 01 -01
Year to Year Change Depreciation Depletion amp
Amortization 239 254 45 2054 -611
Year to Year Change
Asset Utilization
Figures are expressed as the ratio of Net Sales Net Sales are in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Net Sales 276 304 303 232 116
Cash amp Cash Equivalents 75 03 35 12 433
Short-Term Investments 00 00 00 00 00
Accounts Receivable 327 29 488 304 646
Inventories 173 125 112 93 224
Other Current Assets 36 33 42 33 49
Total Current Assets 61 451 676 551 1352
Totalamp InvestmentsLong Term Receivables 00 05 00 5 00
Long Term Receivables 00 00 00 5 00
CompaniesInvestments in Associated 00 00 00 00 00
Other Investments 00 05 00 00 00
PropertyGross Plant amp Equipment - 109 10 92 109 173
Accumulated Depreciation 62 46 32 23 39
PropertyNet Plant amp Equipment - 48 54 6 85 134
Other Assets 273 233 2089 231 4722
Total Assets 3388 2841 2825 2996 6208
Employee efficiency
Values per Employee are in Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Employees 97 125 154 142 71
Values per Employee Sales 284825 243264 196610 163225 163704
Net Income -181732 -28968 21669 -29634 -39944
Cash Earnings -54216 -26576 -3682 -17225 -32493
Working Capital -97165 -9192 32825 32296 118423
Total Debt 178093 66680 47065 8986 15507
Total Capital 710598 575680 457604 416176 886831
Total Assets 964918 690992 555494 489000 1016254
Year to Year Change per Employee Employees -224 -188 85 100 868
Sales 171 237 205 -03 -108
22
Net Income
-2337 Cash Earnings
Working Capital
-128 16 -727 -192
Total Debt 1671 417 4238 -421 -10
Total Capital 234 258 10 -531 387
Total Assets 396 244 136 -519 325
Fixed Charge Coverage
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
EBITTotal Interest Expense -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITNet Interest -188 -54 56 -1133 EBIT(TotalDiv) Interest Exp + Pfd -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITDividends on Common Shares EBIT(Dividends on Common + Pfd) EBITDATotal Interest Expense -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDANet Interest -154 -13 116 -716 EBITDA(TotalPfd Div) Interest Exp + -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDADividends on Com Shares EBITDA(Dividends on Com + Pfd) Leverage Analysis
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Long Term Debt of EBIT
2133 Long Term Debt of EBITDA
1036
LongAssetsTerm Debt of Total 27 53 48 1 04
LongCapitalTerm Debt of Total 37 64 59 12 05
LongEquityTerm Debt of Com 38 68 62 12 05
Total Debt of EBIT
3734 Total Debt of EBITDA
1814
Total Debt of Total Assets 185 96 85 18 15
Total Debt of Total Capital 251 116 103 22 17
TotalShortDebtTermDebtof Total Capital amp 207 11 99 21 17
TotalEquityDebt of Common 26 124 109 22 18
Minority Interest of EBIT
06 Minority Interest of EBITDA
03
MinorityAssets Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityCapital Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityEquity Interest of Com 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock of EBIT
00 Preferred Stock of EDITDA
00
PreferredAssets Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredCapital Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredEquity Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
23
CommonAssets Equity of Total 709 78 775 841 868
CommonCapital Equity of Total 963 936 941 988 995
Total Capital of Total Assets 736 833 824 851 873
Capital Expenditure of Sales 09 16 05 19 11
FixedEquityAssets of Common 2 24 28 34 25
WorkingCapital Capital of Total -137 -16 72 78 134
Dividend Payout 00 00 00 00 00
FundsTotal DebtFrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
Liquidity Analysis Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
TotalSalesCurrent Assets Net 61 451 676 551 1352
Cash of Current Assets 123 06 51 218 32
CashCurrentamp EquivalentsAssets of 123 06 51 218 32
Quick Ratio 04 06 1 12 17
ReceivablesAssets of Current 536 643 721 552 478
Receivableof days Turnover - number 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
InventoriesAssets of Current 283 278 165 169 166
Inventoryof days Turnover - number 1551 1424 986 1139 1425
InventoryEquivalentsto -Cashnumberamp of days 1561 83 112 4645 6949
Receivables of Total Assets 96 102 173 101 104
Current Ratio 06 09 13 16 22
Total Debt of Total Capital 207 11 99 21 17
FundsCurrentfromLiabilitiesOperations of -20 -224 -37 -299 -316
FundsLong TermfromDebtOperations of -206 -722 -137 -345 -782
FundsTotal Debtfrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
FundsTotal Capitalfrom Operations of -76 -46 -08 -41 -37
Cash Flow (in milllions of Pounds Sterling) Operating Activities -67 0 -36 -15 -29
Financing Activities 265 23 58 -01 54
Investing Activities 179 32 43 06 24
Per Share data
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Sales 017 029 032 025 012
Operating Income -002 0 -001 -003 -003
Pre-tax Income -011 -004 002 -004 -003
NetOperations)Income (Continuing -011 -004 002 -004 -003
Net Income Before Extra Items -011 -004 004 -005 -003
Extraordinary Items 0 0 0 0 0
NetItemsIncome After Extraordinary -011 -004 004 -005 -003
NetCommonIncomeSharesAvailable to -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Fully Diluted Earnings -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Common Dividends 0 0 0 0 0
Cash Earnings -004 -004 -001 -003 -004
Book Value 041 065 071 062 067
24
Retained Earnings 013 035 042 038 042
Assets 058 084 092 074 077
15
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and -198 -101 -75 268 2964
Other Assets 64 121 181 -24 1992
Deferred Charges
Tangible Other Assets 6135 -719 3064 -958 Intangible Other Assets 57 125 177 08 1891
Tota l Assets 84 1 232 -38 1476
Liabilities amp Shareholders Equity
Tota l Liabilities amp 84 1 232 -38 1476
Shareholders Equity
Accounts Payable 109 -148 221 426 49
Short Term Debt amp Current 2944 201 4481 -297 679
Portion of Long Term Debt Accrued Payroll
Income Taxes Payable -957 895 303 -81 19471
Dividends Payable
Other Current Liabilities -00 -56 1529 -68 321
Current Liabilities - Total 769 -37 884 121 51
Long Term Debt -445 112 4839 1403 686
Long Term Debt Excluding -442 129 6933 177 356
Capitalized Leases Capitalized Lease -717 -492 -416 804 180
Obl igations Provis ion for Risks and -714
Charges Deferred Income -896 -216 -566
Deferred Taxes
Deferred Taxes - Credit Deferred Taxes - Debit 537 842 945
Deferred Tax Liability in Untaxed Reserves
Other Liabilities 109
-100 -27 Tota l Liabilities 432 -1 739 165 891
Non-Equity Reserves Minori ty Interest -100
91 120
Preferred Stock Preferred Stock Issued for
ESOP ESOP Guarantees -
Preferred Issued Common Equity -15 16 136 -68 1597
Tota lShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 84 1 232 -38 1476
SPH Balcnce sheet total asset
Figures are expressed as Percent of Total Assets
Total Assets are in millions of Pounds Sterling
Fiscal Year 20100 20090 20080 20070 20060
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Assets
16
Total Assets 936 864 855 694 722
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 2200 01 1200 4000 7000
Cash 2200 01 1200 4000 7000
Short Term Investments 00 00 00 00 00
Receivables (Net) 96 102 173 101 104
Inventories -Total 5100 4400 4000 3100 3600
Raw Materials 16 13 11 08 09
Work in Process 01 01 02 00 01
Finished Goods 3500 3000 2600 2300 26
OtherProgress Payments amp 00 00 00 00 00
Prepaid Expenses
Other Current Assets 11 12 15 11 08
Current Assets - Total 18 159 239 184 218
Long Term Receivables 00 00 00 1700 00
InvestmentCompaniesin Associated 00 00 00 00 00
Other Investments 00 02 00 00 00
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment 3200 3500 3300 3600 2800
Accumulated Depreciation 18 16 11 08 06
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and 14 19 21 28 2200
Other Assets 80600 82000 73900 77100 76100
Deferred Charges 00 00 00 00 00
Tangible Other Assets 07 01 04 01 26 Intangible Other Assets 799 819 736 77 735
Total Assets 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000
Liabilities amp Shareholders
Equity
Total Liabilities amp 93600 86400 85500 694 72200
Shareholders Equity
Accounts Payable 65 63 75 76 51
Short Term Debt amp Current 157 43 36 08 11
Portion of Long Term Debt
Accrued Payroll
Income Taxes Payable 00 02 01 01 05
Dividends Payable
Other Current Liabilities 5900 6400 6800 33 34
Current Liabilities - Total 281 172 18 118 101
Long Term Debt 27 53 48 1 04
Long Term Debt Excluding 27 53 47 07 03
Capitalized Leases
Capitalized Lease 00 01 01 03 02
Obligations
Provision for Risks and 01 04 02
Charges
Deferred Income 00 03 04 12
Deferred Taxes -21 -15 -08 -05 00
Deferred Taxes - Credit
Deferred Taxes - Debit 21 15 08 05
Deferred Tax Liability in
Untaxed Reserves Other Liabilities 03 03 00 24 24
Total Liabilities 291 22 225 159 131
Non-Equity Reserves 00 00 00 00 00
Minority Interest 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock Issued for ESOP ESOP Guarantees - Preferred Issued
17
Common Equity 709 78 775 841 868
TotalShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 100 100 100 100 100
Appendix g- Income statement- figures from Annual report 2009-2011
Income Statement - (4 Year Averages) Figures in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007
Net Sales or Revenues 246 205 149 107
Cost of Goods Sold 83 67 52 37
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization 19 15 12 1
Gross Income 144 122 85 6
Selling General amp Administrative Expenses 164 141 11 82
Other Operating Expenses 0 0 0 0
Operating Expenses - Total 267 224 174 129
Operating Income -2 -19 -24 -22
Extraordinary Credit - Pretax 12 12 08 0
Extraordinary Charge - Pretax 41 14 05 03
Non-Operating Interest Income 01 01 02 02
Reserves - IncreaseDecrease Pretax Equity in Earnings 0 0 0 0
Other IncomeExpense - Net -02 -01 0 01
EarningsAmortizationbefore(EBITDA)Interest Taxes Depreciation amp -31 -06 -07 -12
Earnings before Interest amp Taxes(EBIT) -51 -21 -2 -23
Interest Expense on Debt 04 02 01 0
Interest Capitalized 0 0 0 0
Pretax Income -55 -24 -21 -23
Income Taxes -05 -04 -03 01
Minority Interest 0 0 0 0
Equity in Earnings 0 0 0 0
After Tax Other IncomeExpense 0 0 0 0
Discontinued Operations 0 0 NetDividendsIncome before Extraordinary ItemsPreferred -5 -2 -18 -24
Extraordinary Items amp GainLoss Sale of Assets 0 0 0 0
Preferred Dividend Requirements 0 0 0 0
NetCommonIncome after Preferred Dividends - available to -5 -2 -18 -24
Income Statement revenues
Figures are expressed as Percent of Net Sales or Revenues Net Sales or Revenues are in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Net Sales or Revenues 276 304 303 232 116
Cost of Goods Sold 366 303 339 33 354
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization 116 85 68 61 4
Gross Income 519 612 593 609 606
Selling General amp Administrative Expenses 652 617 621 715 867
Other Operating Expenses 00 00 00 00 00
Operating Expenses - Total 1133 1005 1028 1106 1261
18
Operating Income -133 -05 -28 -106 -261
Extraordinary Credit - Pretax 00 55 135 00 00
Extraordinary Charge - Pretax 482 143 35 71 00
Non-Operating Interest Income 00 00 01 04 24
Reserves - IncreaseDecrease
00
Pretax Equity in Earnings 00 00 00 00 00
Other IncomeExpense - Net -16 -19 -09 07 05
EarningsDepreciationbeforeamp AmortizationInterest Taxes(EBITDA) -515 -27 132 -105 -192
Earnings before Interest amp Taxes(EBIT) -631 -112 64 -166 -232
Interest Expense on Debt 34 21 12 06 05
Interest Capitalized 00 00 00 00 00
Pretax Income -664 -133 52 -172 -237
Income Taxes -26 -14 -58 1 07
Minority Interest 00 00 00 00 00
Equity in Earnings 00 00 00 00 00
After Tax Other IncomeExpense 00 00 00 00 00
Discontinued Operations 00 00 00 00 00
NetItemsPreferredIncome beforeDividendsExtraordinary -638 -119 11 -182 -244
ExtraordinaryAssets Items amp GainLoss Sale of 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Dividend Requirements 00 00 00 00 00
NetavailableIncometo Commonafter Preferred Dividends - -638 -119 11 -182 -244
Appendix h Healthcare industry statistics source Reuters Industry Statistics Stat Notes
stock research rating Hold hellip
Potential saf ety margin 38 hellip
WACC discount rate 7 Low ~ Good f or inv estors
Comparators Stat Notes
rev enue EV multiple 28x High ~ Bad f or inv estors
EBITDA EV multiple 94x High ~ Bad f or inv estors
EBIT EV multiple 129x hellip
Cash f low ev multiple 128x hellip
Book v alue EV multiple 10x Low ~ Good f or inv estors
DISC CASH FLOW Ratios Notes
REVENUE GROWTH 13 High ~ Good f or inv estors
EBITDA MARGIN 26 High ~ Good f or inv estors
EBIT MARGIN 22 High ~ Good f or inv estors
CASH FLOW MARGIN 14 High ~ Good f or inv estors
TAXES RATE 21 hellip
DEBT-EQUITY RATIO 15 Low ~ Good f or inv estors
ROIC 5 Low ~ Bad f or inv estors
RE-inv estment Rate 13 High ~ Bad f or inv estors
WACC discount rate Rates Notes
19
risk f ree rate 4 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
cost of debt 7 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
equity risk premium 5 hellip
debt required return of debt 5 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
required return of equity 7 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
Appendix j- WACC AND DCF
(in million) Actual CAGR Forecast period
2007 2008 2009 2010 (07 -10) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Sales 11 15 21 25 32 27 29 31 33 36
growth 393 376 200 80 80 80 80 80
Total costs 13 17 22 27 27 -23 -25 -27 -29 -31
sales 857 857 857 857 857
EBITDA -3 -1 -1 -1 -27 4 4 4 5 5 margin -290 -40 -34 -49 143 143 143 143 143
Depreciation amp Amortization -1 2 2 4 0 -1 -1 -1 -1
sales 75 -101 -83 -175 18 18 18 18 18
EBIT -2 -2 -2 -6 34 3 4 4 4 5
Taxes (30) 0 0 0 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
Capex -01 45 26 137 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
sales -302 -127 -556 23 23 23 23 23
IncreaseDecrease in NWC -6 -6 -7 32 0 0 0 0
Unlevered Free Cash Flow -3 -4 5 34 3 3 3 3
WACC 92
Discount Period
05 15 25 35 45
Discount Factor
096 088 080 074 067
Present value of free cash flow 33 2 2 2 2
Terminal Value
Terminal Year Free Cash Flow 3
Perpetuity Growth Rate 30
Terminal Year EBITDA 5
Terminal Value 53
Implied Exit Multiple 108x
Discount Period 50
Discount Factor 06
Present Value of Terminal
Value 34
of Enterprise Value 45
(in million) Actual Forecast period Net Working Capital 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Account receivables 5 7 9 9
Inventory 1 2 3 3
Prepaid expenses and other 0 1 1 1
Total Current Assets 7 10 12 14 6 6 7 7 8
20
sales 617 644 576 553 224 224 224 224 224
Account payable 3 4 5 5
Accrued Liabilities
Other Current Liabilities
Total Current Liabilities 5 8 10 14 -4 -4 -5 -5 -5
sales -505 -503 -493 -585
146 146 146 146 146
Net Working Capital 15 22 27 34
2 2 2 3 3
sales 144 145 133 138 8 8 8 8 8
Input Output
Wacc Calculation Enterprise value
Target Capital Structure (1) Present value of Free Cash Flow 42
Debt to Total Capitalization 309
Equity to Total Capitalization 691 Terminal Value 53
Debt to Equity Ratio 453 Discount Factor 065
Present Value of Terminal Value 34
Cost of Equity of Enterprise Value 45
Risk-free rate (2) 40
Market risk Premium (3) 50 Enterprise value 76
Levered Beta (4) 103 Less Total debt 144 Size Premium (5) 17 Plus Cash and Cash Equi 2
Cost of Equity 108 Net Debt 12
Cost of Debt Implied Equity Value 64
Cost of Debt 70 Outstanding shares 380000000
Taxes 210 Implied share price 000
After Tax Cost of Debt 55 Implied multiples
WACC 92
Enterprise Value 76
SALES 2010 27
(1) Obtained from Beta and Capital Structure tab
EBITDA 2010 4
(2) httpwwwtreasurygovresource-centerdata-chart-centerinterest-ratesPagesTextViewaspxdata=yield
Implied EVSALES 29x
(3) httpwwwftcomcmss030eec02e-03d4-11e1-bbc5-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz1hB0TNS6n
Implied EVEBITDA 200x
(4) Obtained from Beta and Capital Structure tab
(5) Low -Cap Decile size premium based on market capitalization
for growth rate-taken into account a gdp growth rate of 15 and the structure of the company given its recent merge aswell as the financial state of the dcf analysis
Other tables used for analysis
Ratio Analysis
Accounting Ratios Sinclair IS Pharma PLC Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Receivables Turnover 31 35 21 33 15
Receivables - Number of Days 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
Inventory Turnover 24 26 37 32 26
Inventory - Number of Days 1551 1424 986 1139 1425 GrossEquipmentPropertyTurnoverPlant amp 92 10 109 92 58 NetEquipmentPropertyTurnoverPlant amp 21 185 166 117 75
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization of Gross Property Plant
amp 1058 85 737 563 231
21
Equipment Depreciation Depletion amp
Amortization 01 01 01 01 -01
Year to Year Change Depreciation Depletion amp
Amortization 239 254 45 2054 -611
Year to Year Change
Asset Utilization
Figures are expressed as the ratio of Net Sales Net Sales are in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Net Sales 276 304 303 232 116
Cash amp Cash Equivalents 75 03 35 12 433
Short-Term Investments 00 00 00 00 00
Accounts Receivable 327 29 488 304 646
Inventories 173 125 112 93 224
Other Current Assets 36 33 42 33 49
Total Current Assets 61 451 676 551 1352
Totalamp InvestmentsLong Term Receivables 00 05 00 5 00
Long Term Receivables 00 00 00 5 00
CompaniesInvestments in Associated 00 00 00 00 00
Other Investments 00 05 00 00 00
PropertyGross Plant amp Equipment - 109 10 92 109 173
Accumulated Depreciation 62 46 32 23 39
PropertyNet Plant amp Equipment - 48 54 6 85 134
Other Assets 273 233 2089 231 4722
Total Assets 3388 2841 2825 2996 6208
Employee efficiency
Values per Employee are in Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Employees 97 125 154 142 71
Values per Employee Sales 284825 243264 196610 163225 163704
Net Income -181732 -28968 21669 -29634 -39944
Cash Earnings -54216 -26576 -3682 -17225 -32493
Working Capital -97165 -9192 32825 32296 118423
Total Debt 178093 66680 47065 8986 15507
Total Capital 710598 575680 457604 416176 886831
Total Assets 964918 690992 555494 489000 1016254
Year to Year Change per Employee Employees -224 -188 85 100 868
Sales 171 237 205 -03 -108
22
Net Income
-2337 Cash Earnings
Working Capital
-128 16 -727 -192
Total Debt 1671 417 4238 -421 -10
Total Capital 234 258 10 -531 387
Total Assets 396 244 136 -519 325
Fixed Charge Coverage
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
EBITTotal Interest Expense -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITNet Interest -188 -54 56 -1133 EBIT(TotalDiv) Interest Exp + Pfd -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITDividends on Common Shares EBIT(Dividends on Common + Pfd) EBITDATotal Interest Expense -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDANet Interest -154 -13 116 -716 EBITDA(TotalPfd Div) Interest Exp + -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDADividends on Com Shares EBITDA(Dividends on Com + Pfd) Leverage Analysis
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Long Term Debt of EBIT
2133 Long Term Debt of EBITDA
1036
LongAssetsTerm Debt of Total 27 53 48 1 04
LongCapitalTerm Debt of Total 37 64 59 12 05
LongEquityTerm Debt of Com 38 68 62 12 05
Total Debt of EBIT
3734 Total Debt of EBITDA
1814
Total Debt of Total Assets 185 96 85 18 15
Total Debt of Total Capital 251 116 103 22 17
TotalShortDebtTermDebtof Total Capital amp 207 11 99 21 17
TotalEquityDebt of Common 26 124 109 22 18
Minority Interest of EBIT
06 Minority Interest of EBITDA
03
MinorityAssets Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityCapital Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityEquity Interest of Com 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock of EBIT
00 Preferred Stock of EDITDA
00
PreferredAssets Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredCapital Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredEquity Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
23
CommonAssets Equity of Total 709 78 775 841 868
CommonCapital Equity of Total 963 936 941 988 995
Total Capital of Total Assets 736 833 824 851 873
Capital Expenditure of Sales 09 16 05 19 11
FixedEquityAssets of Common 2 24 28 34 25
WorkingCapital Capital of Total -137 -16 72 78 134
Dividend Payout 00 00 00 00 00
FundsTotal DebtFrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
Liquidity Analysis Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
TotalSalesCurrent Assets Net 61 451 676 551 1352
Cash of Current Assets 123 06 51 218 32
CashCurrentamp EquivalentsAssets of 123 06 51 218 32
Quick Ratio 04 06 1 12 17
ReceivablesAssets of Current 536 643 721 552 478
Receivableof days Turnover - number 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
InventoriesAssets of Current 283 278 165 169 166
Inventoryof days Turnover - number 1551 1424 986 1139 1425
InventoryEquivalentsto -Cashnumberamp of days 1561 83 112 4645 6949
Receivables of Total Assets 96 102 173 101 104
Current Ratio 06 09 13 16 22
Total Debt of Total Capital 207 11 99 21 17
FundsCurrentfromLiabilitiesOperations of -20 -224 -37 -299 -316
FundsLong TermfromDebtOperations of -206 -722 -137 -345 -782
FundsTotal Debtfrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
FundsTotal Capitalfrom Operations of -76 -46 -08 -41 -37
Cash Flow (in milllions of Pounds Sterling) Operating Activities -67 0 -36 -15 -29
Financing Activities 265 23 58 -01 54
Investing Activities 179 32 43 06 24
Per Share data
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Sales 017 029 032 025 012
Operating Income -002 0 -001 -003 -003
Pre-tax Income -011 -004 002 -004 -003
NetOperations)Income (Continuing -011 -004 002 -004 -003
Net Income Before Extra Items -011 -004 004 -005 -003
Extraordinary Items 0 0 0 0 0
NetItemsIncome After Extraordinary -011 -004 004 -005 -003
NetCommonIncomeSharesAvailable to -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Fully Diluted Earnings -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Common Dividends 0 0 0 0 0
Cash Earnings -004 -004 -001 -003 -004
Book Value 041 065 071 062 067
24
Retained Earnings 013 035 042 038 042
Assets 058 084 092 074 077
16
Total Assets 936 864 855 694 722
CashInvestmentsamp Short Term 2200 01 1200 4000 7000
Cash 2200 01 1200 4000 7000
Short Term Investments 00 00 00 00 00
Receivables (Net) 96 102 173 101 104
Inventories -Total 5100 4400 4000 3100 3600
Raw Materials 16 13 11 08 09
Work in Process 01 01 02 00 01
Finished Goods 3500 3000 2600 2300 26
OtherProgress Payments amp 00 00 00 00 00
Prepaid Expenses
Other Current Assets 11 12 15 11 08
Current Assets - Total 18 159 239 184 218
Long Term Receivables 00 00 00 1700 00
InvestmentCompaniesin Associated 00 00 00 00 00
Other Investments 00 02 00 00 00
Property- Gross Plant and Equipment 3200 3500 3300 3600 2800
Accumulated Depreciation 18 16 11 08 06
EquipmentPropertyndashPlantNet and 14 19 21 28 2200
Other Assets 80600 82000 73900 77100 76100
Deferred Charges 00 00 00 00 00
Tangible Other Assets 07 01 04 01 26 Intangible Other Assets 799 819 736 77 735
Total Assets 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000
Liabilities amp Shareholders
Equity
Total Liabilities amp 93600 86400 85500 694 72200
Shareholders Equity
Accounts Payable 65 63 75 76 51
Short Term Debt amp Current 157 43 36 08 11
Portion of Long Term Debt
Accrued Payroll
Income Taxes Payable 00 02 01 01 05
Dividends Payable
Other Current Liabilities 5900 6400 6800 33 34
Current Liabilities - Total 281 172 18 118 101
Long Term Debt 27 53 48 1 04
Long Term Debt Excluding 27 53 47 07 03
Capitalized Leases
Capitalized Lease 00 01 01 03 02
Obligations
Provision for Risks and 01 04 02
Charges
Deferred Income 00 03 04 12
Deferred Taxes -21 -15 -08 -05 00
Deferred Taxes - Credit
Deferred Taxes - Debit 21 15 08 05
Deferred Tax Liability in
Untaxed Reserves Other Liabilities 03 03 00 24 24
Total Liabilities 291 22 225 159 131
Non-Equity Reserves 00 00 00 00 00
Minority Interest 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock Issued for ESOP ESOP Guarantees - Preferred Issued
17
Common Equity 709 78 775 841 868
TotalShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 100 100 100 100 100
Appendix g- Income statement- figures from Annual report 2009-2011
Income Statement - (4 Year Averages) Figures in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007
Net Sales or Revenues 246 205 149 107
Cost of Goods Sold 83 67 52 37
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization 19 15 12 1
Gross Income 144 122 85 6
Selling General amp Administrative Expenses 164 141 11 82
Other Operating Expenses 0 0 0 0
Operating Expenses - Total 267 224 174 129
Operating Income -2 -19 -24 -22
Extraordinary Credit - Pretax 12 12 08 0
Extraordinary Charge - Pretax 41 14 05 03
Non-Operating Interest Income 01 01 02 02
Reserves - IncreaseDecrease Pretax Equity in Earnings 0 0 0 0
Other IncomeExpense - Net -02 -01 0 01
EarningsAmortizationbefore(EBITDA)Interest Taxes Depreciation amp -31 -06 -07 -12
Earnings before Interest amp Taxes(EBIT) -51 -21 -2 -23
Interest Expense on Debt 04 02 01 0
Interest Capitalized 0 0 0 0
Pretax Income -55 -24 -21 -23
Income Taxes -05 -04 -03 01
Minority Interest 0 0 0 0
Equity in Earnings 0 0 0 0
After Tax Other IncomeExpense 0 0 0 0
Discontinued Operations 0 0 NetDividendsIncome before Extraordinary ItemsPreferred -5 -2 -18 -24
Extraordinary Items amp GainLoss Sale of Assets 0 0 0 0
Preferred Dividend Requirements 0 0 0 0
NetCommonIncome after Preferred Dividends - available to -5 -2 -18 -24
Income Statement revenues
Figures are expressed as Percent of Net Sales or Revenues Net Sales or Revenues are in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Net Sales or Revenues 276 304 303 232 116
Cost of Goods Sold 366 303 339 33 354
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization 116 85 68 61 4
Gross Income 519 612 593 609 606
Selling General amp Administrative Expenses 652 617 621 715 867
Other Operating Expenses 00 00 00 00 00
Operating Expenses - Total 1133 1005 1028 1106 1261
18
Operating Income -133 -05 -28 -106 -261
Extraordinary Credit - Pretax 00 55 135 00 00
Extraordinary Charge - Pretax 482 143 35 71 00
Non-Operating Interest Income 00 00 01 04 24
Reserves - IncreaseDecrease
00
Pretax Equity in Earnings 00 00 00 00 00
Other IncomeExpense - Net -16 -19 -09 07 05
EarningsDepreciationbeforeamp AmortizationInterest Taxes(EBITDA) -515 -27 132 -105 -192
Earnings before Interest amp Taxes(EBIT) -631 -112 64 -166 -232
Interest Expense on Debt 34 21 12 06 05
Interest Capitalized 00 00 00 00 00
Pretax Income -664 -133 52 -172 -237
Income Taxes -26 -14 -58 1 07
Minority Interest 00 00 00 00 00
Equity in Earnings 00 00 00 00 00
After Tax Other IncomeExpense 00 00 00 00 00
Discontinued Operations 00 00 00 00 00
NetItemsPreferredIncome beforeDividendsExtraordinary -638 -119 11 -182 -244
ExtraordinaryAssets Items amp GainLoss Sale of 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Dividend Requirements 00 00 00 00 00
NetavailableIncometo Commonafter Preferred Dividends - -638 -119 11 -182 -244
Appendix h Healthcare industry statistics source Reuters Industry Statistics Stat Notes
stock research rating Hold hellip
Potential saf ety margin 38 hellip
WACC discount rate 7 Low ~ Good f or inv estors
Comparators Stat Notes
rev enue EV multiple 28x High ~ Bad f or inv estors
EBITDA EV multiple 94x High ~ Bad f or inv estors
EBIT EV multiple 129x hellip
Cash f low ev multiple 128x hellip
Book v alue EV multiple 10x Low ~ Good f or inv estors
DISC CASH FLOW Ratios Notes
REVENUE GROWTH 13 High ~ Good f or inv estors
EBITDA MARGIN 26 High ~ Good f or inv estors
EBIT MARGIN 22 High ~ Good f or inv estors
CASH FLOW MARGIN 14 High ~ Good f or inv estors
TAXES RATE 21 hellip
DEBT-EQUITY RATIO 15 Low ~ Good f or inv estors
ROIC 5 Low ~ Bad f or inv estors
RE-inv estment Rate 13 High ~ Bad f or inv estors
WACC discount rate Rates Notes
19
risk f ree rate 4 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
cost of debt 7 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
equity risk premium 5 hellip
debt required return of debt 5 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
required return of equity 7 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
Appendix j- WACC AND DCF
(in million) Actual CAGR Forecast period
2007 2008 2009 2010 (07 -10) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Sales 11 15 21 25 32 27 29 31 33 36
growth 393 376 200 80 80 80 80 80
Total costs 13 17 22 27 27 -23 -25 -27 -29 -31
sales 857 857 857 857 857
EBITDA -3 -1 -1 -1 -27 4 4 4 5 5 margin -290 -40 -34 -49 143 143 143 143 143
Depreciation amp Amortization -1 2 2 4 0 -1 -1 -1 -1
sales 75 -101 -83 -175 18 18 18 18 18
EBIT -2 -2 -2 -6 34 3 4 4 4 5
Taxes (30) 0 0 0 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
Capex -01 45 26 137 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
sales -302 -127 -556 23 23 23 23 23
IncreaseDecrease in NWC -6 -6 -7 32 0 0 0 0
Unlevered Free Cash Flow -3 -4 5 34 3 3 3 3
WACC 92
Discount Period
05 15 25 35 45
Discount Factor
096 088 080 074 067
Present value of free cash flow 33 2 2 2 2
Terminal Value
Terminal Year Free Cash Flow 3
Perpetuity Growth Rate 30
Terminal Year EBITDA 5
Terminal Value 53
Implied Exit Multiple 108x
Discount Period 50
Discount Factor 06
Present Value of Terminal
Value 34
of Enterprise Value 45
(in million) Actual Forecast period Net Working Capital 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Account receivables 5 7 9 9
Inventory 1 2 3 3
Prepaid expenses and other 0 1 1 1
Total Current Assets 7 10 12 14 6 6 7 7 8
20
sales 617 644 576 553 224 224 224 224 224
Account payable 3 4 5 5
Accrued Liabilities
Other Current Liabilities
Total Current Liabilities 5 8 10 14 -4 -4 -5 -5 -5
sales -505 -503 -493 -585
146 146 146 146 146
Net Working Capital 15 22 27 34
2 2 2 3 3
sales 144 145 133 138 8 8 8 8 8
Input Output
Wacc Calculation Enterprise value
Target Capital Structure (1) Present value of Free Cash Flow 42
Debt to Total Capitalization 309
Equity to Total Capitalization 691 Terminal Value 53
Debt to Equity Ratio 453 Discount Factor 065
Present Value of Terminal Value 34
Cost of Equity of Enterprise Value 45
Risk-free rate (2) 40
Market risk Premium (3) 50 Enterprise value 76
Levered Beta (4) 103 Less Total debt 144 Size Premium (5) 17 Plus Cash and Cash Equi 2
Cost of Equity 108 Net Debt 12
Cost of Debt Implied Equity Value 64
Cost of Debt 70 Outstanding shares 380000000
Taxes 210 Implied share price 000
After Tax Cost of Debt 55 Implied multiples
WACC 92
Enterprise Value 76
SALES 2010 27
(1) Obtained from Beta and Capital Structure tab
EBITDA 2010 4
(2) httpwwwtreasurygovresource-centerdata-chart-centerinterest-ratesPagesTextViewaspxdata=yield
Implied EVSALES 29x
(3) httpwwwftcomcmss030eec02e-03d4-11e1-bbc5-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz1hB0TNS6n
Implied EVEBITDA 200x
(4) Obtained from Beta and Capital Structure tab
(5) Low -Cap Decile size premium based on market capitalization
for growth rate-taken into account a gdp growth rate of 15 and the structure of the company given its recent merge aswell as the financial state of the dcf analysis
Other tables used for analysis
Ratio Analysis
Accounting Ratios Sinclair IS Pharma PLC Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Receivables Turnover 31 35 21 33 15
Receivables - Number of Days 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
Inventory Turnover 24 26 37 32 26
Inventory - Number of Days 1551 1424 986 1139 1425 GrossEquipmentPropertyTurnoverPlant amp 92 10 109 92 58 NetEquipmentPropertyTurnoverPlant amp 21 185 166 117 75
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization of Gross Property Plant
amp 1058 85 737 563 231
21
Equipment Depreciation Depletion amp
Amortization 01 01 01 01 -01
Year to Year Change Depreciation Depletion amp
Amortization 239 254 45 2054 -611
Year to Year Change
Asset Utilization
Figures are expressed as the ratio of Net Sales Net Sales are in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Net Sales 276 304 303 232 116
Cash amp Cash Equivalents 75 03 35 12 433
Short-Term Investments 00 00 00 00 00
Accounts Receivable 327 29 488 304 646
Inventories 173 125 112 93 224
Other Current Assets 36 33 42 33 49
Total Current Assets 61 451 676 551 1352
Totalamp InvestmentsLong Term Receivables 00 05 00 5 00
Long Term Receivables 00 00 00 5 00
CompaniesInvestments in Associated 00 00 00 00 00
Other Investments 00 05 00 00 00
PropertyGross Plant amp Equipment - 109 10 92 109 173
Accumulated Depreciation 62 46 32 23 39
PropertyNet Plant amp Equipment - 48 54 6 85 134
Other Assets 273 233 2089 231 4722
Total Assets 3388 2841 2825 2996 6208
Employee efficiency
Values per Employee are in Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Employees 97 125 154 142 71
Values per Employee Sales 284825 243264 196610 163225 163704
Net Income -181732 -28968 21669 -29634 -39944
Cash Earnings -54216 -26576 -3682 -17225 -32493
Working Capital -97165 -9192 32825 32296 118423
Total Debt 178093 66680 47065 8986 15507
Total Capital 710598 575680 457604 416176 886831
Total Assets 964918 690992 555494 489000 1016254
Year to Year Change per Employee Employees -224 -188 85 100 868
Sales 171 237 205 -03 -108
22
Net Income
-2337 Cash Earnings
Working Capital
-128 16 -727 -192
Total Debt 1671 417 4238 -421 -10
Total Capital 234 258 10 -531 387
Total Assets 396 244 136 -519 325
Fixed Charge Coverage
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
EBITTotal Interest Expense -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITNet Interest -188 -54 56 -1133 EBIT(TotalDiv) Interest Exp + Pfd -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITDividends on Common Shares EBIT(Dividends on Common + Pfd) EBITDATotal Interest Expense -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDANet Interest -154 -13 116 -716 EBITDA(TotalPfd Div) Interest Exp + -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDADividends on Com Shares EBITDA(Dividends on Com + Pfd) Leverage Analysis
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Long Term Debt of EBIT
2133 Long Term Debt of EBITDA
1036
LongAssetsTerm Debt of Total 27 53 48 1 04
LongCapitalTerm Debt of Total 37 64 59 12 05
LongEquityTerm Debt of Com 38 68 62 12 05
Total Debt of EBIT
3734 Total Debt of EBITDA
1814
Total Debt of Total Assets 185 96 85 18 15
Total Debt of Total Capital 251 116 103 22 17
TotalShortDebtTermDebtof Total Capital amp 207 11 99 21 17
TotalEquityDebt of Common 26 124 109 22 18
Minority Interest of EBIT
06 Minority Interest of EBITDA
03
MinorityAssets Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityCapital Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityEquity Interest of Com 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock of EBIT
00 Preferred Stock of EDITDA
00
PreferredAssets Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredCapital Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredEquity Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
23
CommonAssets Equity of Total 709 78 775 841 868
CommonCapital Equity of Total 963 936 941 988 995
Total Capital of Total Assets 736 833 824 851 873
Capital Expenditure of Sales 09 16 05 19 11
FixedEquityAssets of Common 2 24 28 34 25
WorkingCapital Capital of Total -137 -16 72 78 134
Dividend Payout 00 00 00 00 00
FundsTotal DebtFrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
Liquidity Analysis Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
TotalSalesCurrent Assets Net 61 451 676 551 1352
Cash of Current Assets 123 06 51 218 32
CashCurrentamp EquivalentsAssets of 123 06 51 218 32
Quick Ratio 04 06 1 12 17
ReceivablesAssets of Current 536 643 721 552 478
Receivableof days Turnover - number 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
InventoriesAssets of Current 283 278 165 169 166
Inventoryof days Turnover - number 1551 1424 986 1139 1425
InventoryEquivalentsto -Cashnumberamp of days 1561 83 112 4645 6949
Receivables of Total Assets 96 102 173 101 104
Current Ratio 06 09 13 16 22
Total Debt of Total Capital 207 11 99 21 17
FundsCurrentfromLiabilitiesOperations of -20 -224 -37 -299 -316
FundsLong TermfromDebtOperations of -206 -722 -137 -345 -782
FundsTotal Debtfrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
FundsTotal Capitalfrom Operations of -76 -46 -08 -41 -37
Cash Flow (in milllions of Pounds Sterling) Operating Activities -67 0 -36 -15 -29
Financing Activities 265 23 58 -01 54
Investing Activities 179 32 43 06 24
Per Share data
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Sales 017 029 032 025 012
Operating Income -002 0 -001 -003 -003
Pre-tax Income -011 -004 002 -004 -003
NetOperations)Income (Continuing -011 -004 002 -004 -003
Net Income Before Extra Items -011 -004 004 -005 -003
Extraordinary Items 0 0 0 0 0
NetItemsIncome After Extraordinary -011 -004 004 -005 -003
NetCommonIncomeSharesAvailable to -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Fully Diluted Earnings -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Common Dividends 0 0 0 0 0
Cash Earnings -004 -004 -001 -003 -004
Book Value 041 065 071 062 067
24
Retained Earnings 013 035 042 038 042
Assets 058 084 092 074 077
17
Common Equity 709 78 775 841 868
TotalShareholdersLiabilitiesEquityamp 100 100 100 100 100
Appendix g- Income statement- figures from Annual report 2009-2011
Income Statement - (4 Year Averages) Figures in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007
Net Sales or Revenues 246 205 149 107
Cost of Goods Sold 83 67 52 37
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization 19 15 12 1
Gross Income 144 122 85 6
Selling General amp Administrative Expenses 164 141 11 82
Other Operating Expenses 0 0 0 0
Operating Expenses - Total 267 224 174 129
Operating Income -2 -19 -24 -22
Extraordinary Credit - Pretax 12 12 08 0
Extraordinary Charge - Pretax 41 14 05 03
Non-Operating Interest Income 01 01 02 02
Reserves - IncreaseDecrease Pretax Equity in Earnings 0 0 0 0
Other IncomeExpense - Net -02 -01 0 01
EarningsAmortizationbefore(EBITDA)Interest Taxes Depreciation amp -31 -06 -07 -12
Earnings before Interest amp Taxes(EBIT) -51 -21 -2 -23
Interest Expense on Debt 04 02 01 0
Interest Capitalized 0 0 0 0
Pretax Income -55 -24 -21 -23
Income Taxes -05 -04 -03 01
Minority Interest 0 0 0 0
Equity in Earnings 0 0 0 0
After Tax Other IncomeExpense 0 0 0 0
Discontinued Operations 0 0 NetDividendsIncome before Extraordinary ItemsPreferred -5 -2 -18 -24
Extraordinary Items amp GainLoss Sale of Assets 0 0 0 0
Preferred Dividend Requirements 0 0 0 0
NetCommonIncome after Preferred Dividends - available to -5 -2 -18 -24
Income Statement revenues
Figures are expressed as Percent of Net Sales or Revenues Net Sales or Revenues are in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Net Sales or Revenues 276 304 303 232 116
Cost of Goods Sold 366 303 339 33 354
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization 116 85 68 61 4
Gross Income 519 612 593 609 606
Selling General amp Administrative Expenses 652 617 621 715 867
Other Operating Expenses 00 00 00 00 00
Operating Expenses - Total 1133 1005 1028 1106 1261
18
Operating Income -133 -05 -28 -106 -261
Extraordinary Credit - Pretax 00 55 135 00 00
Extraordinary Charge - Pretax 482 143 35 71 00
Non-Operating Interest Income 00 00 01 04 24
Reserves - IncreaseDecrease
00
Pretax Equity in Earnings 00 00 00 00 00
Other IncomeExpense - Net -16 -19 -09 07 05
EarningsDepreciationbeforeamp AmortizationInterest Taxes(EBITDA) -515 -27 132 -105 -192
Earnings before Interest amp Taxes(EBIT) -631 -112 64 -166 -232
Interest Expense on Debt 34 21 12 06 05
Interest Capitalized 00 00 00 00 00
Pretax Income -664 -133 52 -172 -237
Income Taxes -26 -14 -58 1 07
Minority Interest 00 00 00 00 00
Equity in Earnings 00 00 00 00 00
After Tax Other IncomeExpense 00 00 00 00 00
Discontinued Operations 00 00 00 00 00
NetItemsPreferredIncome beforeDividendsExtraordinary -638 -119 11 -182 -244
ExtraordinaryAssets Items amp GainLoss Sale of 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Dividend Requirements 00 00 00 00 00
NetavailableIncometo Commonafter Preferred Dividends - -638 -119 11 -182 -244
Appendix h Healthcare industry statistics source Reuters Industry Statistics Stat Notes
stock research rating Hold hellip
Potential saf ety margin 38 hellip
WACC discount rate 7 Low ~ Good f or inv estors
Comparators Stat Notes
rev enue EV multiple 28x High ~ Bad f or inv estors
EBITDA EV multiple 94x High ~ Bad f or inv estors
EBIT EV multiple 129x hellip
Cash f low ev multiple 128x hellip
Book v alue EV multiple 10x Low ~ Good f or inv estors
DISC CASH FLOW Ratios Notes
REVENUE GROWTH 13 High ~ Good f or inv estors
EBITDA MARGIN 26 High ~ Good f or inv estors
EBIT MARGIN 22 High ~ Good f or inv estors
CASH FLOW MARGIN 14 High ~ Good f or inv estors
TAXES RATE 21 hellip
DEBT-EQUITY RATIO 15 Low ~ Good f or inv estors
ROIC 5 Low ~ Bad f or inv estors
RE-inv estment Rate 13 High ~ Bad f or inv estors
WACC discount rate Rates Notes
19
risk f ree rate 4 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
cost of debt 7 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
equity risk premium 5 hellip
debt required return of debt 5 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
required return of equity 7 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
Appendix j- WACC AND DCF
(in million) Actual CAGR Forecast period
2007 2008 2009 2010 (07 -10) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Sales 11 15 21 25 32 27 29 31 33 36
growth 393 376 200 80 80 80 80 80
Total costs 13 17 22 27 27 -23 -25 -27 -29 -31
sales 857 857 857 857 857
EBITDA -3 -1 -1 -1 -27 4 4 4 5 5 margin -290 -40 -34 -49 143 143 143 143 143
Depreciation amp Amortization -1 2 2 4 0 -1 -1 -1 -1
sales 75 -101 -83 -175 18 18 18 18 18
EBIT -2 -2 -2 -6 34 3 4 4 4 5
Taxes (30) 0 0 0 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
Capex -01 45 26 137 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
sales -302 -127 -556 23 23 23 23 23
IncreaseDecrease in NWC -6 -6 -7 32 0 0 0 0
Unlevered Free Cash Flow -3 -4 5 34 3 3 3 3
WACC 92
Discount Period
05 15 25 35 45
Discount Factor
096 088 080 074 067
Present value of free cash flow 33 2 2 2 2
Terminal Value
Terminal Year Free Cash Flow 3
Perpetuity Growth Rate 30
Terminal Year EBITDA 5
Terminal Value 53
Implied Exit Multiple 108x
Discount Period 50
Discount Factor 06
Present Value of Terminal
Value 34
of Enterprise Value 45
(in million) Actual Forecast period Net Working Capital 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Account receivables 5 7 9 9
Inventory 1 2 3 3
Prepaid expenses and other 0 1 1 1
Total Current Assets 7 10 12 14 6 6 7 7 8
20
sales 617 644 576 553 224 224 224 224 224
Account payable 3 4 5 5
Accrued Liabilities
Other Current Liabilities
Total Current Liabilities 5 8 10 14 -4 -4 -5 -5 -5
sales -505 -503 -493 -585
146 146 146 146 146
Net Working Capital 15 22 27 34
2 2 2 3 3
sales 144 145 133 138 8 8 8 8 8
Input Output
Wacc Calculation Enterprise value
Target Capital Structure (1) Present value of Free Cash Flow 42
Debt to Total Capitalization 309
Equity to Total Capitalization 691 Terminal Value 53
Debt to Equity Ratio 453 Discount Factor 065
Present Value of Terminal Value 34
Cost of Equity of Enterprise Value 45
Risk-free rate (2) 40
Market risk Premium (3) 50 Enterprise value 76
Levered Beta (4) 103 Less Total debt 144 Size Premium (5) 17 Plus Cash and Cash Equi 2
Cost of Equity 108 Net Debt 12
Cost of Debt Implied Equity Value 64
Cost of Debt 70 Outstanding shares 380000000
Taxes 210 Implied share price 000
After Tax Cost of Debt 55 Implied multiples
WACC 92
Enterprise Value 76
SALES 2010 27
(1) Obtained from Beta and Capital Structure tab
EBITDA 2010 4
(2) httpwwwtreasurygovresource-centerdata-chart-centerinterest-ratesPagesTextViewaspxdata=yield
Implied EVSALES 29x
(3) httpwwwftcomcmss030eec02e-03d4-11e1-bbc5-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz1hB0TNS6n
Implied EVEBITDA 200x
(4) Obtained from Beta and Capital Structure tab
(5) Low -Cap Decile size premium based on market capitalization
for growth rate-taken into account a gdp growth rate of 15 and the structure of the company given its recent merge aswell as the financial state of the dcf analysis
Other tables used for analysis
Ratio Analysis
Accounting Ratios Sinclair IS Pharma PLC Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Receivables Turnover 31 35 21 33 15
Receivables - Number of Days 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
Inventory Turnover 24 26 37 32 26
Inventory - Number of Days 1551 1424 986 1139 1425 GrossEquipmentPropertyTurnoverPlant amp 92 10 109 92 58 NetEquipmentPropertyTurnoverPlant amp 21 185 166 117 75
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization of Gross Property Plant
amp 1058 85 737 563 231
21
Equipment Depreciation Depletion amp
Amortization 01 01 01 01 -01
Year to Year Change Depreciation Depletion amp
Amortization 239 254 45 2054 -611
Year to Year Change
Asset Utilization
Figures are expressed as the ratio of Net Sales Net Sales are in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Net Sales 276 304 303 232 116
Cash amp Cash Equivalents 75 03 35 12 433
Short-Term Investments 00 00 00 00 00
Accounts Receivable 327 29 488 304 646
Inventories 173 125 112 93 224
Other Current Assets 36 33 42 33 49
Total Current Assets 61 451 676 551 1352
Totalamp InvestmentsLong Term Receivables 00 05 00 5 00
Long Term Receivables 00 00 00 5 00
CompaniesInvestments in Associated 00 00 00 00 00
Other Investments 00 05 00 00 00
PropertyGross Plant amp Equipment - 109 10 92 109 173
Accumulated Depreciation 62 46 32 23 39
PropertyNet Plant amp Equipment - 48 54 6 85 134
Other Assets 273 233 2089 231 4722
Total Assets 3388 2841 2825 2996 6208
Employee efficiency
Values per Employee are in Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Employees 97 125 154 142 71
Values per Employee Sales 284825 243264 196610 163225 163704
Net Income -181732 -28968 21669 -29634 -39944
Cash Earnings -54216 -26576 -3682 -17225 -32493
Working Capital -97165 -9192 32825 32296 118423
Total Debt 178093 66680 47065 8986 15507
Total Capital 710598 575680 457604 416176 886831
Total Assets 964918 690992 555494 489000 1016254
Year to Year Change per Employee Employees -224 -188 85 100 868
Sales 171 237 205 -03 -108
22
Net Income
-2337 Cash Earnings
Working Capital
-128 16 -727 -192
Total Debt 1671 417 4238 -421 -10
Total Capital 234 258 10 -531 387
Total Assets 396 244 136 -519 325
Fixed Charge Coverage
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
EBITTotal Interest Expense -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITNet Interest -188 -54 56 -1133 EBIT(TotalDiv) Interest Exp + Pfd -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITDividends on Common Shares EBIT(Dividends on Common + Pfd) EBITDATotal Interest Expense -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDANet Interest -154 -13 116 -716 EBITDA(TotalPfd Div) Interest Exp + -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDADividends on Com Shares EBITDA(Dividends on Com + Pfd) Leverage Analysis
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Long Term Debt of EBIT
2133 Long Term Debt of EBITDA
1036
LongAssetsTerm Debt of Total 27 53 48 1 04
LongCapitalTerm Debt of Total 37 64 59 12 05
LongEquityTerm Debt of Com 38 68 62 12 05
Total Debt of EBIT
3734 Total Debt of EBITDA
1814
Total Debt of Total Assets 185 96 85 18 15
Total Debt of Total Capital 251 116 103 22 17
TotalShortDebtTermDebtof Total Capital amp 207 11 99 21 17
TotalEquityDebt of Common 26 124 109 22 18
Minority Interest of EBIT
06 Minority Interest of EBITDA
03
MinorityAssets Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityCapital Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityEquity Interest of Com 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock of EBIT
00 Preferred Stock of EDITDA
00
PreferredAssets Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredCapital Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredEquity Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
23
CommonAssets Equity of Total 709 78 775 841 868
CommonCapital Equity of Total 963 936 941 988 995
Total Capital of Total Assets 736 833 824 851 873
Capital Expenditure of Sales 09 16 05 19 11
FixedEquityAssets of Common 2 24 28 34 25
WorkingCapital Capital of Total -137 -16 72 78 134
Dividend Payout 00 00 00 00 00
FundsTotal DebtFrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
Liquidity Analysis Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
TotalSalesCurrent Assets Net 61 451 676 551 1352
Cash of Current Assets 123 06 51 218 32
CashCurrentamp EquivalentsAssets of 123 06 51 218 32
Quick Ratio 04 06 1 12 17
ReceivablesAssets of Current 536 643 721 552 478
Receivableof days Turnover - number 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
InventoriesAssets of Current 283 278 165 169 166
Inventoryof days Turnover - number 1551 1424 986 1139 1425
InventoryEquivalentsto -Cashnumberamp of days 1561 83 112 4645 6949
Receivables of Total Assets 96 102 173 101 104
Current Ratio 06 09 13 16 22
Total Debt of Total Capital 207 11 99 21 17
FundsCurrentfromLiabilitiesOperations of -20 -224 -37 -299 -316
FundsLong TermfromDebtOperations of -206 -722 -137 -345 -782
FundsTotal Debtfrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
FundsTotal Capitalfrom Operations of -76 -46 -08 -41 -37
Cash Flow (in milllions of Pounds Sterling) Operating Activities -67 0 -36 -15 -29
Financing Activities 265 23 58 -01 54
Investing Activities 179 32 43 06 24
Per Share data
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Sales 017 029 032 025 012
Operating Income -002 0 -001 -003 -003
Pre-tax Income -011 -004 002 -004 -003
NetOperations)Income (Continuing -011 -004 002 -004 -003
Net Income Before Extra Items -011 -004 004 -005 -003
Extraordinary Items 0 0 0 0 0
NetItemsIncome After Extraordinary -011 -004 004 -005 -003
NetCommonIncomeSharesAvailable to -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Fully Diluted Earnings -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Common Dividends 0 0 0 0 0
Cash Earnings -004 -004 -001 -003 -004
Book Value 041 065 071 062 067
24
Retained Earnings 013 035 042 038 042
Assets 058 084 092 074 077
18
Operating Income -133 -05 -28 -106 -261
Extraordinary Credit - Pretax 00 55 135 00 00
Extraordinary Charge - Pretax 482 143 35 71 00
Non-Operating Interest Income 00 00 01 04 24
Reserves - IncreaseDecrease
00
Pretax Equity in Earnings 00 00 00 00 00
Other IncomeExpense - Net -16 -19 -09 07 05
EarningsDepreciationbeforeamp AmortizationInterest Taxes(EBITDA) -515 -27 132 -105 -192
Earnings before Interest amp Taxes(EBIT) -631 -112 64 -166 -232
Interest Expense on Debt 34 21 12 06 05
Interest Capitalized 00 00 00 00 00
Pretax Income -664 -133 52 -172 -237
Income Taxes -26 -14 -58 1 07
Minority Interest 00 00 00 00 00
Equity in Earnings 00 00 00 00 00
After Tax Other IncomeExpense 00 00 00 00 00
Discontinued Operations 00 00 00 00 00
NetItemsPreferredIncome beforeDividendsExtraordinary -638 -119 11 -182 -244
ExtraordinaryAssets Items amp GainLoss Sale of 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Dividend Requirements 00 00 00 00 00
NetavailableIncometo Commonafter Preferred Dividends - -638 -119 11 -182 -244
Appendix h Healthcare industry statistics source Reuters Industry Statistics Stat Notes
stock research rating Hold hellip
Potential saf ety margin 38 hellip
WACC discount rate 7 Low ~ Good f or inv estors
Comparators Stat Notes
rev enue EV multiple 28x High ~ Bad f or inv estors
EBITDA EV multiple 94x High ~ Bad f or inv estors
EBIT EV multiple 129x hellip
Cash f low ev multiple 128x hellip
Book v alue EV multiple 10x Low ~ Good f or inv estors
DISC CASH FLOW Ratios Notes
REVENUE GROWTH 13 High ~ Good f or inv estors
EBITDA MARGIN 26 High ~ Good f or inv estors
EBIT MARGIN 22 High ~ Good f or inv estors
CASH FLOW MARGIN 14 High ~ Good f or inv estors
TAXES RATE 21 hellip
DEBT-EQUITY RATIO 15 Low ~ Good f or inv estors
ROIC 5 Low ~ Bad f or inv estors
RE-inv estment Rate 13 High ~ Bad f or inv estors
WACC discount rate Rates Notes
19
risk f ree rate 4 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
cost of debt 7 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
equity risk premium 5 hellip
debt required return of debt 5 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
required return of equity 7 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
Appendix j- WACC AND DCF
(in million) Actual CAGR Forecast period
2007 2008 2009 2010 (07 -10) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Sales 11 15 21 25 32 27 29 31 33 36
growth 393 376 200 80 80 80 80 80
Total costs 13 17 22 27 27 -23 -25 -27 -29 -31
sales 857 857 857 857 857
EBITDA -3 -1 -1 -1 -27 4 4 4 5 5 margin -290 -40 -34 -49 143 143 143 143 143
Depreciation amp Amortization -1 2 2 4 0 -1 -1 -1 -1
sales 75 -101 -83 -175 18 18 18 18 18
EBIT -2 -2 -2 -6 34 3 4 4 4 5
Taxes (30) 0 0 0 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
Capex -01 45 26 137 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
sales -302 -127 -556 23 23 23 23 23
IncreaseDecrease in NWC -6 -6 -7 32 0 0 0 0
Unlevered Free Cash Flow -3 -4 5 34 3 3 3 3
WACC 92
Discount Period
05 15 25 35 45
Discount Factor
096 088 080 074 067
Present value of free cash flow 33 2 2 2 2
Terminal Value
Terminal Year Free Cash Flow 3
Perpetuity Growth Rate 30
Terminal Year EBITDA 5
Terminal Value 53
Implied Exit Multiple 108x
Discount Period 50
Discount Factor 06
Present Value of Terminal
Value 34
of Enterprise Value 45
(in million) Actual Forecast period Net Working Capital 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Account receivables 5 7 9 9
Inventory 1 2 3 3
Prepaid expenses and other 0 1 1 1
Total Current Assets 7 10 12 14 6 6 7 7 8
20
sales 617 644 576 553 224 224 224 224 224
Account payable 3 4 5 5
Accrued Liabilities
Other Current Liabilities
Total Current Liabilities 5 8 10 14 -4 -4 -5 -5 -5
sales -505 -503 -493 -585
146 146 146 146 146
Net Working Capital 15 22 27 34
2 2 2 3 3
sales 144 145 133 138 8 8 8 8 8
Input Output
Wacc Calculation Enterprise value
Target Capital Structure (1) Present value of Free Cash Flow 42
Debt to Total Capitalization 309
Equity to Total Capitalization 691 Terminal Value 53
Debt to Equity Ratio 453 Discount Factor 065
Present Value of Terminal Value 34
Cost of Equity of Enterprise Value 45
Risk-free rate (2) 40
Market risk Premium (3) 50 Enterprise value 76
Levered Beta (4) 103 Less Total debt 144 Size Premium (5) 17 Plus Cash and Cash Equi 2
Cost of Equity 108 Net Debt 12
Cost of Debt Implied Equity Value 64
Cost of Debt 70 Outstanding shares 380000000
Taxes 210 Implied share price 000
After Tax Cost of Debt 55 Implied multiples
WACC 92
Enterprise Value 76
SALES 2010 27
(1) Obtained from Beta and Capital Structure tab
EBITDA 2010 4
(2) httpwwwtreasurygovresource-centerdata-chart-centerinterest-ratesPagesTextViewaspxdata=yield
Implied EVSALES 29x
(3) httpwwwftcomcmss030eec02e-03d4-11e1-bbc5-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz1hB0TNS6n
Implied EVEBITDA 200x
(4) Obtained from Beta and Capital Structure tab
(5) Low -Cap Decile size premium based on market capitalization
for growth rate-taken into account a gdp growth rate of 15 and the structure of the company given its recent merge aswell as the financial state of the dcf analysis
Other tables used for analysis
Ratio Analysis
Accounting Ratios Sinclair IS Pharma PLC Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Receivables Turnover 31 35 21 33 15
Receivables - Number of Days 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
Inventory Turnover 24 26 37 32 26
Inventory - Number of Days 1551 1424 986 1139 1425 GrossEquipmentPropertyTurnoverPlant amp 92 10 109 92 58 NetEquipmentPropertyTurnoverPlant amp 21 185 166 117 75
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization of Gross Property Plant
amp 1058 85 737 563 231
21
Equipment Depreciation Depletion amp
Amortization 01 01 01 01 -01
Year to Year Change Depreciation Depletion amp
Amortization 239 254 45 2054 -611
Year to Year Change
Asset Utilization
Figures are expressed as the ratio of Net Sales Net Sales are in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Net Sales 276 304 303 232 116
Cash amp Cash Equivalents 75 03 35 12 433
Short-Term Investments 00 00 00 00 00
Accounts Receivable 327 29 488 304 646
Inventories 173 125 112 93 224
Other Current Assets 36 33 42 33 49
Total Current Assets 61 451 676 551 1352
Totalamp InvestmentsLong Term Receivables 00 05 00 5 00
Long Term Receivables 00 00 00 5 00
CompaniesInvestments in Associated 00 00 00 00 00
Other Investments 00 05 00 00 00
PropertyGross Plant amp Equipment - 109 10 92 109 173
Accumulated Depreciation 62 46 32 23 39
PropertyNet Plant amp Equipment - 48 54 6 85 134
Other Assets 273 233 2089 231 4722
Total Assets 3388 2841 2825 2996 6208
Employee efficiency
Values per Employee are in Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Employees 97 125 154 142 71
Values per Employee Sales 284825 243264 196610 163225 163704
Net Income -181732 -28968 21669 -29634 -39944
Cash Earnings -54216 -26576 -3682 -17225 -32493
Working Capital -97165 -9192 32825 32296 118423
Total Debt 178093 66680 47065 8986 15507
Total Capital 710598 575680 457604 416176 886831
Total Assets 964918 690992 555494 489000 1016254
Year to Year Change per Employee Employees -224 -188 85 100 868
Sales 171 237 205 -03 -108
22
Net Income
-2337 Cash Earnings
Working Capital
-128 16 -727 -192
Total Debt 1671 417 4238 -421 -10
Total Capital 234 258 10 -531 387
Total Assets 396 244 136 -519 325
Fixed Charge Coverage
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
EBITTotal Interest Expense -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITNet Interest -188 -54 56 -1133 EBIT(TotalDiv) Interest Exp + Pfd -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITDividends on Common Shares EBIT(Dividends on Common + Pfd) EBITDATotal Interest Expense -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDANet Interest -154 -13 116 -716 EBITDA(TotalPfd Div) Interest Exp + -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDADividends on Com Shares EBITDA(Dividends on Com + Pfd) Leverage Analysis
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Long Term Debt of EBIT
2133 Long Term Debt of EBITDA
1036
LongAssetsTerm Debt of Total 27 53 48 1 04
LongCapitalTerm Debt of Total 37 64 59 12 05
LongEquityTerm Debt of Com 38 68 62 12 05
Total Debt of EBIT
3734 Total Debt of EBITDA
1814
Total Debt of Total Assets 185 96 85 18 15
Total Debt of Total Capital 251 116 103 22 17
TotalShortDebtTermDebtof Total Capital amp 207 11 99 21 17
TotalEquityDebt of Common 26 124 109 22 18
Minority Interest of EBIT
06 Minority Interest of EBITDA
03
MinorityAssets Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityCapital Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityEquity Interest of Com 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock of EBIT
00 Preferred Stock of EDITDA
00
PreferredAssets Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredCapital Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredEquity Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
23
CommonAssets Equity of Total 709 78 775 841 868
CommonCapital Equity of Total 963 936 941 988 995
Total Capital of Total Assets 736 833 824 851 873
Capital Expenditure of Sales 09 16 05 19 11
FixedEquityAssets of Common 2 24 28 34 25
WorkingCapital Capital of Total -137 -16 72 78 134
Dividend Payout 00 00 00 00 00
FundsTotal DebtFrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
Liquidity Analysis Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
TotalSalesCurrent Assets Net 61 451 676 551 1352
Cash of Current Assets 123 06 51 218 32
CashCurrentamp EquivalentsAssets of 123 06 51 218 32
Quick Ratio 04 06 1 12 17
ReceivablesAssets of Current 536 643 721 552 478
Receivableof days Turnover - number 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
InventoriesAssets of Current 283 278 165 169 166
Inventoryof days Turnover - number 1551 1424 986 1139 1425
InventoryEquivalentsto -Cashnumberamp of days 1561 83 112 4645 6949
Receivables of Total Assets 96 102 173 101 104
Current Ratio 06 09 13 16 22
Total Debt of Total Capital 207 11 99 21 17
FundsCurrentfromLiabilitiesOperations of -20 -224 -37 -299 -316
FundsLong TermfromDebtOperations of -206 -722 -137 -345 -782
FundsTotal Debtfrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
FundsTotal Capitalfrom Operations of -76 -46 -08 -41 -37
Cash Flow (in milllions of Pounds Sterling) Operating Activities -67 0 -36 -15 -29
Financing Activities 265 23 58 -01 54
Investing Activities 179 32 43 06 24
Per Share data
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Sales 017 029 032 025 012
Operating Income -002 0 -001 -003 -003
Pre-tax Income -011 -004 002 -004 -003
NetOperations)Income (Continuing -011 -004 002 -004 -003
Net Income Before Extra Items -011 -004 004 -005 -003
Extraordinary Items 0 0 0 0 0
NetItemsIncome After Extraordinary -011 -004 004 -005 -003
NetCommonIncomeSharesAvailable to -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Fully Diluted Earnings -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Common Dividends 0 0 0 0 0
Cash Earnings -004 -004 -001 -003 -004
Book Value 041 065 071 062 067
24
Retained Earnings 013 035 042 038 042
Assets 058 084 092 074 077
19
risk f ree rate 4 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
cost of debt 7 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
equity risk premium 5 hellip
debt required return of debt 5 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
required return of equity 7 Low ~ Good f or Inv estors
Appendix j- WACC AND DCF
(in million) Actual CAGR Forecast period
2007 2008 2009 2010 (07 -10) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Sales 11 15 21 25 32 27 29 31 33 36
growth 393 376 200 80 80 80 80 80
Total costs 13 17 22 27 27 -23 -25 -27 -29 -31
sales 857 857 857 857 857
EBITDA -3 -1 -1 -1 -27 4 4 4 5 5 margin -290 -40 -34 -49 143 143 143 143 143
Depreciation amp Amortization -1 2 2 4 0 -1 -1 -1 -1
sales 75 -101 -83 -175 18 18 18 18 18
EBIT -2 -2 -2 -6 34 3 4 4 4 5
Taxes (30) 0 0 0 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
Capex -01 45 26 137 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
sales -302 -127 -556 23 23 23 23 23
IncreaseDecrease in NWC -6 -6 -7 32 0 0 0 0
Unlevered Free Cash Flow -3 -4 5 34 3 3 3 3
WACC 92
Discount Period
05 15 25 35 45
Discount Factor
096 088 080 074 067
Present value of free cash flow 33 2 2 2 2
Terminal Value
Terminal Year Free Cash Flow 3
Perpetuity Growth Rate 30
Terminal Year EBITDA 5
Terminal Value 53
Implied Exit Multiple 108x
Discount Period 50
Discount Factor 06
Present Value of Terminal
Value 34
of Enterprise Value 45
(in million) Actual Forecast period Net Working Capital 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Account receivables 5 7 9 9
Inventory 1 2 3 3
Prepaid expenses and other 0 1 1 1
Total Current Assets 7 10 12 14 6 6 7 7 8
20
sales 617 644 576 553 224 224 224 224 224
Account payable 3 4 5 5
Accrued Liabilities
Other Current Liabilities
Total Current Liabilities 5 8 10 14 -4 -4 -5 -5 -5
sales -505 -503 -493 -585
146 146 146 146 146
Net Working Capital 15 22 27 34
2 2 2 3 3
sales 144 145 133 138 8 8 8 8 8
Input Output
Wacc Calculation Enterprise value
Target Capital Structure (1) Present value of Free Cash Flow 42
Debt to Total Capitalization 309
Equity to Total Capitalization 691 Terminal Value 53
Debt to Equity Ratio 453 Discount Factor 065
Present Value of Terminal Value 34
Cost of Equity of Enterprise Value 45
Risk-free rate (2) 40
Market risk Premium (3) 50 Enterprise value 76
Levered Beta (4) 103 Less Total debt 144 Size Premium (5) 17 Plus Cash and Cash Equi 2
Cost of Equity 108 Net Debt 12
Cost of Debt Implied Equity Value 64
Cost of Debt 70 Outstanding shares 380000000
Taxes 210 Implied share price 000
After Tax Cost of Debt 55 Implied multiples
WACC 92
Enterprise Value 76
SALES 2010 27
(1) Obtained from Beta and Capital Structure tab
EBITDA 2010 4
(2) httpwwwtreasurygovresource-centerdata-chart-centerinterest-ratesPagesTextViewaspxdata=yield
Implied EVSALES 29x
(3) httpwwwftcomcmss030eec02e-03d4-11e1-bbc5-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz1hB0TNS6n
Implied EVEBITDA 200x
(4) Obtained from Beta and Capital Structure tab
(5) Low -Cap Decile size premium based on market capitalization
for growth rate-taken into account a gdp growth rate of 15 and the structure of the company given its recent merge aswell as the financial state of the dcf analysis
Other tables used for analysis
Ratio Analysis
Accounting Ratios Sinclair IS Pharma PLC Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Receivables Turnover 31 35 21 33 15
Receivables - Number of Days 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
Inventory Turnover 24 26 37 32 26
Inventory - Number of Days 1551 1424 986 1139 1425 GrossEquipmentPropertyTurnoverPlant amp 92 10 109 92 58 NetEquipmentPropertyTurnoverPlant amp 21 185 166 117 75
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization of Gross Property Plant
amp 1058 85 737 563 231
21
Equipment Depreciation Depletion amp
Amortization 01 01 01 01 -01
Year to Year Change Depreciation Depletion amp
Amortization 239 254 45 2054 -611
Year to Year Change
Asset Utilization
Figures are expressed as the ratio of Net Sales Net Sales are in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Net Sales 276 304 303 232 116
Cash amp Cash Equivalents 75 03 35 12 433
Short-Term Investments 00 00 00 00 00
Accounts Receivable 327 29 488 304 646
Inventories 173 125 112 93 224
Other Current Assets 36 33 42 33 49
Total Current Assets 61 451 676 551 1352
Totalamp InvestmentsLong Term Receivables 00 05 00 5 00
Long Term Receivables 00 00 00 5 00
CompaniesInvestments in Associated 00 00 00 00 00
Other Investments 00 05 00 00 00
PropertyGross Plant amp Equipment - 109 10 92 109 173
Accumulated Depreciation 62 46 32 23 39
PropertyNet Plant amp Equipment - 48 54 6 85 134
Other Assets 273 233 2089 231 4722
Total Assets 3388 2841 2825 2996 6208
Employee efficiency
Values per Employee are in Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Employees 97 125 154 142 71
Values per Employee Sales 284825 243264 196610 163225 163704
Net Income -181732 -28968 21669 -29634 -39944
Cash Earnings -54216 -26576 -3682 -17225 -32493
Working Capital -97165 -9192 32825 32296 118423
Total Debt 178093 66680 47065 8986 15507
Total Capital 710598 575680 457604 416176 886831
Total Assets 964918 690992 555494 489000 1016254
Year to Year Change per Employee Employees -224 -188 85 100 868
Sales 171 237 205 -03 -108
22
Net Income
-2337 Cash Earnings
Working Capital
-128 16 -727 -192
Total Debt 1671 417 4238 -421 -10
Total Capital 234 258 10 -531 387
Total Assets 396 244 136 -519 325
Fixed Charge Coverage
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
EBITTotal Interest Expense -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITNet Interest -188 -54 56 -1133 EBIT(TotalDiv) Interest Exp + Pfd -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITDividends on Common Shares EBIT(Dividends on Common + Pfd) EBITDATotal Interest Expense -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDANet Interest -154 -13 116 -716 EBITDA(TotalPfd Div) Interest Exp + -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDADividends on Com Shares EBITDA(Dividends on Com + Pfd) Leverage Analysis
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Long Term Debt of EBIT
2133 Long Term Debt of EBITDA
1036
LongAssetsTerm Debt of Total 27 53 48 1 04
LongCapitalTerm Debt of Total 37 64 59 12 05
LongEquityTerm Debt of Com 38 68 62 12 05
Total Debt of EBIT
3734 Total Debt of EBITDA
1814
Total Debt of Total Assets 185 96 85 18 15
Total Debt of Total Capital 251 116 103 22 17
TotalShortDebtTermDebtof Total Capital amp 207 11 99 21 17
TotalEquityDebt of Common 26 124 109 22 18
Minority Interest of EBIT
06 Minority Interest of EBITDA
03
MinorityAssets Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityCapital Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityEquity Interest of Com 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock of EBIT
00 Preferred Stock of EDITDA
00
PreferredAssets Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredCapital Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredEquity Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
23
CommonAssets Equity of Total 709 78 775 841 868
CommonCapital Equity of Total 963 936 941 988 995
Total Capital of Total Assets 736 833 824 851 873
Capital Expenditure of Sales 09 16 05 19 11
FixedEquityAssets of Common 2 24 28 34 25
WorkingCapital Capital of Total -137 -16 72 78 134
Dividend Payout 00 00 00 00 00
FundsTotal DebtFrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
Liquidity Analysis Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
TotalSalesCurrent Assets Net 61 451 676 551 1352
Cash of Current Assets 123 06 51 218 32
CashCurrentamp EquivalentsAssets of 123 06 51 218 32
Quick Ratio 04 06 1 12 17
ReceivablesAssets of Current 536 643 721 552 478
Receivableof days Turnover - number 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
InventoriesAssets of Current 283 278 165 169 166
Inventoryof days Turnover - number 1551 1424 986 1139 1425
InventoryEquivalentsto -Cashnumberamp of days 1561 83 112 4645 6949
Receivables of Total Assets 96 102 173 101 104
Current Ratio 06 09 13 16 22
Total Debt of Total Capital 207 11 99 21 17
FundsCurrentfromLiabilitiesOperations of -20 -224 -37 -299 -316
FundsLong TermfromDebtOperations of -206 -722 -137 -345 -782
FundsTotal Debtfrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
FundsTotal Capitalfrom Operations of -76 -46 -08 -41 -37
Cash Flow (in milllions of Pounds Sterling) Operating Activities -67 0 -36 -15 -29
Financing Activities 265 23 58 -01 54
Investing Activities 179 32 43 06 24
Per Share data
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Sales 017 029 032 025 012
Operating Income -002 0 -001 -003 -003
Pre-tax Income -011 -004 002 -004 -003
NetOperations)Income (Continuing -011 -004 002 -004 -003
Net Income Before Extra Items -011 -004 004 -005 -003
Extraordinary Items 0 0 0 0 0
NetItemsIncome After Extraordinary -011 -004 004 -005 -003
NetCommonIncomeSharesAvailable to -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Fully Diluted Earnings -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Common Dividends 0 0 0 0 0
Cash Earnings -004 -004 -001 -003 -004
Book Value 041 065 071 062 067
24
Retained Earnings 013 035 042 038 042
Assets 058 084 092 074 077
20
sales 617 644 576 553 224 224 224 224 224
Account payable 3 4 5 5
Accrued Liabilities
Other Current Liabilities
Total Current Liabilities 5 8 10 14 -4 -4 -5 -5 -5
sales -505 -503 -493 -585
146 146 146 146 146
Net Working Capital 15 22 27 34
2 2 2 3 3
sales 144 145 133 138 8 8 8 8 8
Input Output
Wacc Calculation Enterprise value
Target Capital Structure (1) Present value of Free Cash Flow 42
Debt to Total Capitalization 309
Equity to Total Capitalization 691 Terminal Value 53
Debt to Equity Ratio 453 Discount Factor 065
Present Value of Terminal Value 34
Cost of Equity of Enterprise Value 45
Risk-free rate (2) 40
Market risk Premium (3) 50 Enterprise value 76
Levered Beta (4) 103 Less Total debt 144 Size Premium (5) 17 Plus Cash and Cash Equi 2
Cost of Equity 108 Net Debt 12
Cost of Debt Implied Equity Value 64
Cost of Debt 70 Outstanding shares 380000000
Taxes 210 Implied share price 000
After Tax Cost of Debt 55 Implied multiples
WACC 92
Enterprise Value 76
SALES 2010 27
(1) Obtained from Beta and Capital Structure tab
EBITDA 2010 4
(2) httpwwwtreasurygovresource-centerdata-chart-centerinterest-ratesPagesTextViewaspxdata=yield
Implied EVSALES 29x
(3) httpwwwftcomcmss030eec02e-03d4-11e1-bbc5-00144feabdc0htmlaxzz1hB0TNS6n
Implied EVEBITDA 200x
(4) Obtained from Beta and Capital Structure tab
(5) Low -Cap Decile size premium based on market capitalization
for growth rate-taken into account a gdp growth rate of 15 and the structure of the company given its recent merge aswell as the financial state of the dcf analysis
Other tables used for analysis
Ratio Analysis
Accounting Ratios Sinclair IS Pharma PLC Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Receivables Turnover 31 35 21 33 15
Receivables - Number of Days 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
Inventory Turnover 24 26 37 32 26
Inventory - Number of Days 1551 1424 986 1139 1425 GrossEquipmentPropertyTurnoverPlant amp 92 10 109 92 58 NetEquipmentPropertyTurnoverPlant amp 21 185 166 117 75
Depreciation Depletion amp Amortization of Gross Property Plant
amp 1058 85 737 563 231
21
Equipment Depreciation Depletion amp
Amortization 01 01 01 01 -01
Year to Year Change Depreciation Depletion amp
Amortization 239 254 45 2054 -611
Year to Year Change
Asset Utilization
Figures are expressed as the ratio of Net Sales Net Sales are in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Net Sales 276 304 303 232 116
Cash amp Cash Equivalents 75 03 35 12 433
Short-Term Investments 00 00 00 00 00
Accounts Receivable 327 29 488 304 646
Inventories 173 125 112 93 224
Other Current Assets 36 33 42 33 49
Total Current Assets 61 451 676 551 1352
Totalamp InvestmentsLong Term Receivables 00 05 00 5 00
Long Term Receivables 00 00 00 5 00
CompaniesInvestments in Associated 00 00 00 00 00
Other Investments 00 05 00 00 00
PropertyGross Plant amp Equipment - 109 10 92 109 173
Accumulated Depreciation 62 46 32 23 39
PropertyNet Plant amp Equipment - 48 54 6 85 134
Other Assets 273 233 2089 231 4722
Total Assets 3388 2841 2825 2996 6208
Employee efficiency
Values per Employee are in Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Employees 97 125 154 142 71
Values per Employee Sales 284825 243264 196610 163225 163704
Net Income -181732 -28968 21669 -29634 -39944
Cash Earnings -54216 -26576 -3682 -17225 -32493
Working Capital -97165 -9192 32825 32296 118423
Total Debt 178093 66680 47065 8986 15507
Total Capital 710598 575680 457604 416176 886831
Total Assets 964918 690992 555494 489000 1016254
Year to Year Change per Employee Employees -224 -188 85 100 868
Sales 171 237 205 -03 -108
22
Net Income
-2337 Cash Earnings
Working Capital
-128 16 -727 -192
Total Debt 1671 417 4238 -421 -10
Total Capital 234 258 10 -531 387
Total Assets 396 244 136 -519 325
Fixed Charge Coverage
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
EBITTotal Interest Expense -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITNet Interest -188 -54 56 -1133 EBIT(TotalDiv) Interest Exp + Pfd -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITDividends on Common Shares EBIT(Dividends on Common + Pfd) EBITDATotal Interest Expense -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDANet Interest -154 -13 116 -716 EBITDA(TotalPfd Div) Interest Exp + -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDADividends on Com Shares EBITDA(Dividends on Com + Pfd) Leverage Analysis
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Long Term Debt of EBIT
2133 Long Term Debt of EBITDA
1036
LongAssetsTerm Debt of Total 27 53 48 1 04
LongCapitalTerm Debt of Total 37 64 59 12 05
LongEquityTerm Debt of Com 38 68 62 12 05
Total Debt of EBIT
3734 Total Debt of EBITDA
1814
Total Debt of Total Assets 185 96 85 18 15
Total Debt of Total Capital 251 116 103 22 17
TotalShortDebtTermDebtof Total Capital amp 207 11 99 21 17
TotalEquityDebt of Common 26 124 109 22 18
Minority Interest of EBIT
06 Minority Interest of EBITDA
03
MinorityAssets Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityCapital Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityEquity Interest of Com 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock of EBIT
00 Preferred Stock of EDITDA
00
PreferredAssets Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredCapital Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredEquity Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
23
CommonAssets Equity of Total 709 78 775 841 868
CommonCapital Equity of Total 963 936 941 988 995
Total Capital of Total Assets 736 833 824 851 873
Capital Expenditure of Sales 09 16 05 19 11
FixedEquityAssets of Common 2 24 28 34 25
WorkingCapital Capital of Total -137 -16 72 78 134
Dividend Payout 00 00 00 00 00
FundsTotal DebtFrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
Liquidity Analysis Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
TotalSalesCurrent Assets Net 61 451 676 551 1352
Cash of Current Assets 123 06 51 218 32
CashCurrentamp EquivalentsAssets of 123 06 51 218 32
Quick Ratio 04 06 1 12 17
ReceivablesAssets of Current 536 643 721 552 478
Receivableof days Turnover - number 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
InventoriesAssets of Current 283 278 165 169 166
Inventoryof days Turnover - number 1551 1424 986 1139 1425
InventoryEquivalentsto -Cashnumberamp of days 1561 83 112 4645 6949
Receivables of Total Assets 96 102 173 101 104
Current Ratio 06 09 13 16 22
Total Debt of Total Capital 207 11 99 21 17
FundsCurrentfromLiabilitiesOperations of -20 -224 -37 -299 -316
FundsLong TermfromDebtOperations of -206 -722 -137 -345 -782
FundsTotal Debtfrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
FundsTotal Capitalfrom Operations of -76 -46 -08 -41 -37
Cash Flow (in milllions of Pounds Sterling) Operating Activities -67 0 -36 -15 -29
Financing Activities 265 23 58 -01 54
Investing Activities 179 32 43 06 24
Per Share data
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Sales 017 029 032 025 012
Operating Income -002 0 -001 -003 -003
Pre-tax Income -011 -004 002 -004 -003
NetOperations)Income (Continuing -011 -004 002 -004 -003
Net Income Before Extra Items -011 -004 004 -005 -003
Extraordinary Items 0 0 0 0 0
NetItemsIncome After Extraordinary -011 -004 004 -005 -003
NetCommonIncomeSharesAvailable to -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Fully Diluted Earnings -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Common Dividends 0 0 0 0 0
Cash Earnings -004 -004 -001 -003 -004
Book Value 041 065 071 062 067
24
Retained Earnings 013 035 042 038 042
Assets 058 084 092 074 077
21
Equipment Depreciation Depletion amp
Amortization 01 01 01 01 -01
Year to Year Change Depreciation Depletion amp
Amortization 239 254 45 2054 -611
Year to Year Change
Asset Utilization
Figures are expressed as the ratio of Net Sales Net Sales are in millions of Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Net Sales 276 304 303 232 116
Cash amp Cash Equivalents 75 03 35 12 433
Short-Term Investments 00 00 00 00 00
Accounts Receivable 327 29 488 304 646
Inventories 173 125 112 93 224
Other Current Assets 36 33 42 33 49
Total Current Assets 61 451 676 551 1352
Totalamp InvestmentsLong Term Receivables 00 05 00 5 00
Long Term Receivables 00 00 00 5 00
CompaniesInvestments in Associated 00 00 00 00 00
Other Investments 00 05 00 00 00
PropertyGross Plant amp Equipment - 109 10 92 109 173
Accumulated Depreciation 62 46 32 23 39
PropertyNet Plant amp Equipment - 48 54 6 85 134
Other Assets 273 233 2089 231 4722
Total Assets 3388 2841 2825 2996 6208
Employee efficiency
Values per Employee are in Pounds Sterling Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Employees 97 125 154 142 71
Values per Employee Sales 284825 243264 196610 163225 163704
Net Income -181732 -28968 21669 -29634 -39944
Cash Earnings -54216 -26576 -3682 -17225 -32493
Working Capital -97165 -9192 32825 32296 118423
Total Debt 178093 66680 47065 8986 15507
Total Capital 710598 575680 457604 416176 886831
Total Assets 964918 690992 555494 489000 1016254
Year to Year Change per Employee Employees -224 -188 85 100 868
Sales 171 237 205 -03 -108
22
Net Income
-2337 Cash Earnings
Working Capital
-128 16 -727 -192
Total Debt 1671 417 4238 -421 -10
Total Capital 234 258 10 -531 387
Total Assets 396 244 136 -519 325
Fixed Charge Coverage
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
EBITTotal Interest Expense -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITNet Interest -188 -54 56 -1133 EBIT(TotalDiv) Interest Exp + Pfd -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITDividends on Common Shares EBIT(Dividends on Common + Pfd) EBITDATotal Interest Expense -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDANet Interest -154 -13 116 -716 EBITDA(TotalPfd Div) Interest Exp + -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDADividends on Com Shares EBITDA(Dividends on Com + Pfd) Leverage Analysis
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Long Term Debt of EBIT
2133 Long Term Debt of EBITDA
1036
LongAssetsTerm Debt of Total 27 53 48 1 04
LongCapitalTerm Debt of Total 37 64 59 12 05
LongEquityTerm Debt of Com 38 68 62 12 05
Total Debt of EBIT
3734 Total Debt of EBITDA
1814
Total Debt of Total Assets 185 96 85 18 15
Total Debt of Total Capital 251 116 103 22 17
TotalShortDebtTermDebtof Total Capital amp 207 11 99 21 17
TotalEquityDebt of Common 26 124 109 22 18
Minority Interest of EBIT
06 Minority Interest of EBITDA
03
MinorityAssets Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityCapital Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityEquity Interest of Com 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock of EBIT
00 Preferred Stock of EDITDA
00
PreferredAssets Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredCapital Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredEquity Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
23
CommonAssets Equity of Total 709 78 775 841 868
CommonCapital Equity of Total 963 936 941 988 995
Total Capital of Total Assets 736 833 824 851 873
Capital Expenditure of Sales 09 16 05 19 11
FixedEquityAssets of Common 2 24 28 34 25
WorkingCapital Capital of Total -137 -16 72 78 134
Dividend Payout 00 00 00 00 00
FundsTotal DebtFrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
Liquidity Analysis Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
TotalSalesCurrent Assets Net 61 451 676 551 1352
Cash of Current Assets 123 06 51 218 32
CashCurrentamp EquivalentsAssets of 123 06 51 218 32
Quick Ratio 04 06 1 12 17
ReceivablesAssets of Current 536 643 721 552 478
Receivableof days Turnover - number 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
InventoriesAssets of Current 283 278 165 169 166
Inventoryof days Turnover - number 1551 1424 986 1139 1425
InventoryEquivalentsto -Cashnumberamp of days 1561 83 112 4645 6949
Receivables of Total Assets 96 102 173 101 104
Current Ratio 06 09 13 16 22
Total Debt of Total Capital 207 11 99 21 17
FundsCurrentfromLiabilitiesOperations of -20 -224 -37 -299 -316
FundsLong TermfromDebtOperations of -206 -722 -137 -345 -782
FundsTotal Debtfrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
FundsTotal Capitalfrom Operations of -76 -46 -08 -41 -37
Cash Flow (in milllions of Pounds Sterling) Operating Activities -67 0 -36 -15 -29
Financing Activities 265 23 58 -01 54
Investing Activities 179 32 43 06 24
Per Share data
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Sales 017 029 032 025 012
Operating Income -002 0 -001 -003 -003
Pre-tax Income -011 -004 002 -004 -003
NetOperations)Income (Continuing -011 -004 002 -004 -003
Net Income Before Extra Items -011 -004 004 -005 -003
Extraordinary Items 0 0 0 0 0
NetItemsIncome After Extraordinary -011 -004 004 -005 -003
NetCommonIncomeSharesAvailable to -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Fully Diluted Earnings -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Common Dividends 0 0 0 0 0
Cash Earnings -004 -004 -001 -003 -004
Book Value 041 065 071 062 067
24
Retained Earnings 013 035 042 038 042
Assets 058 084 092 074 077
22
Net Income
-2337 Cash Earnings
Working Capital
-128 16 -727 -192
Total Debt 1671 417 4238 -421 -10
Total Capital 234 258 10 -531 387
Total Assets 396 244 136 -519 325
Fixed Charge Coverage
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
EBITTotal Interest Expense -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITNet Interest -188 -54 56 -1133 EBIT(TotalDiv) Interest Exp + Pfd -187 -53 53 -299 -499
EBITDividends on Common Shares EBIT(Dividends on Common + Pfd) EBITDATotal Interest Expense -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDANet Interest -154 -13 116 -716 EBITDA(TotalPfd Div) Interest Exp + -152 -13 109 -189 -414
EBITDADividends on Com Shares EBITDA(Dividends on Com + Pfd) Leverage Analysis
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Long Term Debt of EBIT
2133 Long Term Debt of EBITDA
1036
LongAssetsTerm Debt of Total 27 53 48 1 04
LongCapitalTerm Debt of Total 37 64 59 12 05
LongEquityTerm Debt of Com 38 68 62 12 05
Total Debt of EBIT
3734 Total Debt of EBITDA
1814
Total Debt of Total Assets 185 96 85 18 15
Total Debt of Total Capital 251 116 103 22 17
TotalShortDebtTermDebtof Total Capital amp 207 11 99 21 17
TotalEquityDebt of Common 26 124 109 22 18
Minority Interest of EBIT
06 Minority Interest of EBITDA
03
MinorityAssets Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityCapital Interest of Total 00 00 00 00 00
MinorityEquity Interest of Com 00 00 00 00 00
Preferred Stock of EBIT
00 Preferred Stock of EDITDA
00
PreferredAssets Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredCapital Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
PreferredEquity Stock of Total 00 00 00 00 00
23
CommonAssets Equity of Total 709 78 775 841 868
CommonCapital Equity of Total 963 936 941 988 995
Total Capital of Total Assets 736 833 824 851 873
Capital Expenditure of Sales 09 16 05 19 11
FixedEquityAssets of Common 2 24 28 34 25
WorkingCapital Capital of Total -137 -16 72 78 134
Dividend Payout 00 00 00 00 00
FundsTotal DebtFrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
Liquidity Analysis Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
TotalSalesCurrent Assets Net 61 451 676 551 1352
Cash of Current Assets 123 06 51 218 32
CashCurrentamp EquivalentsAssets of 123 06 51 218 32
Quick Ratio 04 06 1 12 17
ReceivablesAssets of Current 536 643 721 552 478
Receivableof days Turnover - number 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
InventoriesAssets of Current 283 278 165 169 166
Inventoryof days Turnover - number 1551 1424 986 1139 1425
InventoryEquivalentsto -Cashnumberamp of days 1561 83 112 4645 6949
Receivables of Total Assets 96 102 173 101 104
Current Ratio 06 09 13 16 22
Total Debt of Total Capital 207 11 99 21 17
FundsCurrentfromLiabilitiesOperations of -20 -224 -37 -299 -316
FundsLong TermfromDebtOperations of -206 -722 -137 -345 -782
FundsTotal Debtfrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
FundsTotal Capitalfrom Operations of -76 -46 -08 -41 -37
Cash Flow (in milllions of Pounds Sterling) Operating Activities -67 0 -36 -15 -29
Financing Activities 265 23 58 -01 54
Investing Activities 179 32 43 06 24
Per Share data
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Sales 017 029 032 025 012
Operating Income -002 0 -001 -003 -003
Pre-tax Income -011 -004 002 -004 -003
NetOperations)Income (Continuing -011 -004 002 -004 -003
Net Income Before Extra Items -011 -004 004 -005 -003
Extraordinary Items 0 0 0 0 0
NetItemsIncome After Extraordinary -011 -004 004 -005 -003
NetCommonIncomeSharesAvailable to -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Fully Diluted Earnings -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Common Dividends 0 0 0 0 0
Cash Earnings -004 -004 -001 -003 -004
Book Value 041 065 071 062 067
24
Retained Earnings 013 035 042 038 042
Assets 058 084 092 074 077
23
CommonAssets Equity of Total 709 78 775 841 868
CommonCapital Equity of Total 963 936 941 988 995
Total Capital of Total Assets 736 833 824 851 873
Capital Expenditure of Sales 09 16 05 19 11
FixedEquityAssets of Common 2 24 28 34 25
WorkingCapital Capital of Total -137 -16 72 78 134
Dividend Payout 00 00 00 00 00
FundsTotal DebtFrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
Liquidity Analysis Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
TotalSalesCurrent Assets Net 61 451 676 551 1352
Cash of Current Assets 123 06 51 218 32
CashCurrentamp EquivalentsAssets of 123 06 51 218 32
Quick Ratio 04 06 1 12 17
ReceivablesAssets of Current 536 643 721 552 478
Receivableof days Turnover - number 1178 1415 1315 1146 1899
InventoriesAssets of Current 283 278 165 169 166
Inventoryof days Turnover - number 1551 1424 986 1139 1425
InventoryEquivalentsto -Cashnumberamp of days 1561 83 112 4645 6949
Receivables of Total Assets 96 102 173 101 104
Current Ratio 06 09 13 16 22
Total Debt of Total Capital 207 11 99 21 17
FundsCurrentfromLiabilitiesOperations of -20 -224 -37 -299 -316
FundsLong TermfromDebtOperations of -206 -722 -137 -345 -782
FundsTotal Debtfrom Operations of -304 -399 -78 -1917 -2095
FundsTotal Capitalfrom Operations of -76 -46 -08 -41 -37
Cash Flow (in milllions of Pounds Sterling) Operating Activities -67 0 -36 -15 -29
Financing Activities 265 23 58 -01 54
Investing Activities 179 32 43 06 24
Per Share data
Fiscal Year 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Fiscal Year End Date 6302010 6302009 6302008 6302007 6302006
Sales 017 029 032 025 012
Operating Income -002 0 -001 -003 -003
Pre-tax Income -011 -004 002 -004 -003
NetOperations)Income (Continuing -011 -004 002 -004 -003
Net Income Before Extra Items -011 -004 004 -005 -003
Extraordinary Items 0 0 0 0 0
NetItemsIncome After Extraordinary -011 -004 004 -005 -003
NetCommonIncomeSharesAvailable to -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Fully Diluted Earnings -014 -004 004 -005 -005
Common Dividends 0 0 0 0 0
Cash Earnings -004 -004 -001 -003 -004
Book Value 041 065 071 062 067
24
Retained Earnings 013 035 042 038 042
Assets 058 084 092 074 077
24
Retained Earnings 013 035 042 038 042
Assets 058 084 092 074 077