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Epidemiology update on cholera: Indian Perspective Dr. S K Kar Director IMS & SUM Hospital, Siksha ‘O’ Anusandhan University, Former Director RMRC (ICMR) Bhubaneswar

Epidemiology update on cholera: Indian Perspective · Prevention & control of ADD and Cholera outbreaks Trend of Acute Diarrhoeal Disease (ADD) shows peak between June and October(

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Page 1: Epidemiology update on cholera: Indian Perspective · Prevention & control of ADD and Cholera outbreaks Trend of Acute Diarrhoeal Disease (ADD) shows peak between June and October(

Epidemiology update on cholera: Indian Perspective

Dr. S K KarDirector IMS & SUM Hospital,

Siksha ‘O’ Anusandhan University,

Former Director RMRC (ICMR)

Bhubaneswar

Page 2: Epidemiology update on cholera: Indian Perspective · Prevention & control of ADD and Cholera outbreaks Trend of Acute Diarrhoeal Disease (ADD) shows peak between June and October(

1. Cholera epidemiology update

2. Progress in the prevention and control of cholera

3. Mapping country capacities

Presentation outline:

Page 3: Epidemiology update on cholera: Indian Perspective · Prevention & control of ADD and Cholera outbreaks Trend of Acute Diarrhoeal Disease (ADD) shows peak between June and October(

Cholera epidemiology update

Page 4: Epidemiology update on cholera: Indian Perspective · Prevention & control of ADD and Cholera outbreaks Trend of Acute Diarrhoeal Disease (ADD) shows peak between June and October(

Cholera outbreak review –India

A literature review identified 68 cholera outbreaks in

India from 1997-2006

About 222,000 cases and 823 deaths

Maximum 16 outbreaks from West Bengal

followed by 13 from Odisha

Largest outbreak with 103,000 cases from Odisha

S Kanungo , BK Sah , AL Lopez , et al. Cholera in India: an analysis of reports, 1997–2006 Bull. WHO

2010;88:185-191

4

Page 5: Epidemiology update on cholera: Indian Perspective · Prevention & control of ADD and Cholera outbreaks Trend of Acute Diarrhoeal Disease (ADD) shows peak between June and October(

Estimated cholera cases-India

Disease burden study has estimated 834,00 cholera

cases in India every year

Estimated 25,000 deaths every year

Total 18 states are considered as cholera endemic

Several states do not report any cholera cases

potentially due to limited surveillance system

5Ali M, Lopez AL et al The global burden of cholera. Bull World Health Organ.

2012 March 1; 90(3): 209–218A

Page 6: Epidemiology update on cholera: Indian Perspective · Prevention & control of ADD and Cholera outbreaks Trend of Acute Diarrhoeal Disease (ADD) shows peak between June and October(

Cholera endemic states-India

An investment case for accelerated introduction of oral cholera vaccines, International Vaccine

Institute, South Korea 2012

6

18 states are

cholera endemic

Page 7: Epidemiology update on cholera: Indian Perspective · Prevention & control of ADD and Cholera outbreaks Trend of Acute Diarrhoeal Disease (ADD) shows peak between June and October(

Cholera endemicity and outbreak (97-06)

Page 8: Epidemiology update on cholera: Indian Perspective · Prevention & control of ADD and Cholera outbreaks Trend of Acute Diarrhoeal Disease (ADD) shows peak between June and October(

Spot map showing spatial distribution of the cholera cases in Karnataka

Global positioning system & Google Earth in the investigation cholera outbreak

Reference: Masthi et al., 2015. Indian J Med Res. 2015 Nov;142(5):533-7.

Page 9: Epidemiology update on cholera: Indian Perspective · Prevention & control of ADD and Cholera outbreaks Trend of Acute Diarrhoeal Disease (ADD) shows peak between June and October(

Most of the V. cholerae strains showed extended antimicrobial resistance to

ampicillin, trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole, furazolidone, nalidixic acid,

streptomycin, ciprofloxacin, erythromycin and tetracycline (Chowdhury et al.,

2016)

Rugose Vibrio cholerae O1 in a cholera outbreak

in Andhra Pradesh during 2009

a large cholera outbreak, Bholakpur (AP)

Page 10: Epidemiology update on cholera: Indian Perspective · Prevention & control of ADD and Cholera outbreaks Trend of Acute Diarrhoeal Disease (ADD) shows peak between June and October(

Trends in antimicrobial resistance of V. cholerae in Kolkata, India

extending a span of 40 years from 1970. Ref: Ramamurthy and Ghosh,

2011.

2016: O1 Eltor variant (ctxb7)

Sensitive to Doxy Az, Cibro, Ofloxacin, norfloxacin, tetra

Page 11: Epidemiology update on cholera: Indian Perspective · Prevention & control of ADD and Cholera outbreaks Trend of Acute Diarrhoeal Disease (ADD) shows peak between June and October(

Guidelines for Treatment of Cholera with

Antibiotics

Antibiotic treatment for severely dehydrating cholera patients only

First-line drug choice: Doxycycline

Alternate drug choices: Tetracycline

Erythromycin is recommended drug for children

Norfloxacin/ciprofloxacin or azithromycin is being used in some regions

Trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole, chloramphenicol, furazolidone are less effective

due to the emergence of resistant Vibrio cholera O1 strains

Antibiotics are not given to cholera patients who have only mild or no diarrhea and

dehydration

Page 12: Epidemiology update on cholera: Indian Perspective · Prevention & control of ADD and Cholera outbreaks Trend of Acute Diarrhoeal Disease (ADD) shows peak between June and October(

Composition of electrolytes in diarrhea/cholera stools and rehydration fluids

Stool Sodium(mmol/L)

Chloride (mmol/L)

Potassium (mmol/L)

Bicarbonate (mmol/L)

Adult 130 100 20 44

Children 100 90 33 30

Fluid Sodium(mmol/L)

Chloride (mmol/L)

Potassium (mmol/L)

Others(mmol/L)

ORS Trisodium citrate

Glucose (WHO) 75 65 20 10

Intravenous Lactate

Ringer’s lactate

130 109 4 28

Normal saline 154 154 0 0

Page 13: Epidemiology update on cholera: Indian Perspective · Prevention & control of ADD and Cholera outbreaks Trend of Acute Diarrhoeal Disease (ADD) shows peak between June and October(

Sanitation and Hygiene-Specific Risk Factors for Moderate-to-

Severe Diarrhea

Open defecation with limited availability of safe drinking water

supply mainly in rural area

Sharing sanitation facilities with other households was a

significant risk factor for severe diarrhea.

Designated hand washing area, soap or ash were observed to be

significantly protective against MSD.

Ref: Baker et al., 2016. PLoS Med. 13(5):e1002010.

Page 14: Epidemiology update on cholera: Indian Perspective · Prevention & control of ADD and Cholera outbreaks Trend of Acute Diarrhoeal Disease (ADD) shows peak between June and October(

Challenges

Marginalized rural and tribal populations

Health is not a priority in poverty-ridden

communities

Poor availability of safe drinking water supply

Inadequate ownership of programs

Poor local health infrastructure

Inadequate priority setting mechanisms

Long incubation periods for research programs

Page 15: Epidemiology update on cholera: Indian Perspective · Prevention & control of ADD and Cholera outbreaks Trend of Acute Diarrhoeal Disease (ADD) shows peak between June and October(

0

5

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15

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25

30

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Year wise ADD cases and cholera positive (Culture) 2012-16

No. of reported cases Culture +

Page 16: Epidemiology update on cholera: Indian Perspective · Prevention & control of ADD and Cholera outbreaks Trend of Acute Diarrhoeal Disease (ADD) shows peak between June and October(

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35000W

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January February March April May June July August September October November December

No

. of

rep

ort

ed c

ases

Trend of ADD cases month wise: 2015-2016

2015 2016

Month of reporting

Page 17: Epidemiology update on cholera: Indian Perspective · Prevention & control of ADD and Cholera outbreaks Trend of Acute Diarrhoeal Disease (ADD) shows peak between June and October(

Year wise cholera isolated in surveillance districts (2014-2016)

20142015

2016

Page 18: Epidemiology update on cholera: Indian Perspective · Prevention & control of ADD and Cholera outbreaks Trend of Acute Diarrhoeal Disease (ADD) shows peak between June and October(

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec

Cases/month

2016 Cases 2015 Cases 2014 Cases 2013 Cases 2012 Cases

0

5

10

15

20

25

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec

NO OF DEATH REPORTED MONTH WISE

2016 death 2015 death 2014 death 2013 death 2012 death

Month wise cholera cases 2012-16

Page 19: Epidemiology update on cholera: Indian Perspective · Prevention & control of ADD and Cholera outbreaks Trend of Acute Diarrhoeal Disease (ADD) shows peak between June and October(

Mass vaccination steps

SCREENING & CONSENTING VACCINATION

Page 20: Epidemiology update on cholera: Indian Perspective · Prevention & control of ADD and Cholera outbreaks Trend of Acute Diarrhoeal Disease (ADD) shows peak between June and October(

Vaccination coverage and costs

31, 552 received first dose

23,751 received second dose

Coverage rate of 61.3% for one dose and 46.2% for

two doses in 1year and above (non-pregnant)

population

Public health vaccine delivery cost was $0.49 per

dose or $1.13 per fully vaccinated person

Page 21: Epidemiology update on cholera: Indian Perspective · Prevention & control of ADD and Cholera outbreaks Trend of Acute Diarrhoeal Disease (ADD) shows peak between June and October(

Prevention and control measures

Page 22: Epidemiology update on cholera: Indian Perspective · Prevention & control of ADD and Cholera outbreaks Trend of Acute Diarrhoeal Disease (ADD) shows peak between June and October(

Prevention & control of ADD and Cholera

outbreaks Trend of Acute Diarrhoeal Disease (ADD) shows peak between

June and October( monsoon & post monsoon)

Guideline & SOP shared with districts for prevention and

management of outbreaks

Prepositioning of anti-diarrhoeal drugs, ORS, Halogen tablets,

bleaching powder ensured

Early case detection and referral mechanism of severe diarrhea

cases

Case based surveillance

Key informants at village level identified for early information

Sensitization/Coordination between departments for preventive

measures

Malaria Dengue Diarrhoea (MDD):- A special annual campaign

between July & October every year for mass awareness

Disinfection of drinking water sources

Routine water quality monitoring

Page 23: Epidemiology update on cholera: Indian Perspective · Prevention & control of ADD and Cholera outbreaks Trend of Acute Diarrhoeal Disease (ADD) shows peak between June and October(

Community scenario- Social

Mobilization

Community Suggestions:

Sensitization of PRI members, local PHC

staff, ASHA, AWW and community

Other modes of community mobilization:

Miking

Interpersonal Communication by door-

to-door visit

Placards, slogans, songs

Banners, Posters, leaflets

PRI members

Local PHC staff, ASHA, AWW

Page 24: Epidemiology update on cholera: Indian Perspective · Prevention & control of ADD and Cholera outbreaks Trend of Acute Diarrhoeal Disease (ADD) shows peak between June and October(

Continuous weekly surveillance at community and health facility levelthroughout the year

Continuous laboratory surveillance of ADD in all districts with availability Carry Blair media at health facility level

Suspected ADD outbreaks investigated for cholera

Visit of collector to affected sites for monitoring quick action

Early warning & prompt action by squad

Source

◦ Surveillance report

◦ Community volunteer reporting and media alert

◦ Field worker reports during surveillance

IEC campaign (May-Oct)

◦ All media (TV, News Paper, Radio, Internet)

◦ Banner

◦ Community Miking

◦ Campaign for use of ORS (ORS Corner in village set-up for free distribution)

◦ ASHA, Anganwadi visit door-to-door for distribution of ORS & Zinc

Preparedness of Cholera Control

Page 25: Epidemiology update on cholera: Indian Perspective · Prevention & control of ADD and Cholera outbreaks Trend of Acute Diarrhoeal Disease (ADD) shows peak between June and October(

Supply of Safe Drinking water

Main sources of safe drinking water supply:

Tube well

Pipe water supply

Preventive maintenance of tube well by RDSS department every

year

Alternate water supply in source contamination

Water quality checking by H2S kit & Orthotoludine test weekly in

endemic districts

Page 26: Epidemiology update on cholera: Indian Perspective · Prevention & control of ADD and Cholera outbreaks Trend of Acute Diarrhoeal Disease (ADD) shows peak between June and October(

Policy makers meetings

• State level (health secretary and chief secretary appraisal and policy formation during pre monsoon)

• District level (Regularly by collector & CDMO, RDSS and monthly)

• Sector level (Monthly with weekly appraisal)

• Block level( Block MO-Monthly)

• All stack holder involvements in meetings

Page 27: Epidemiology update on cholera: Indian Perspective · Prevention & control of ADD and Cholera outbreaks Trend of Acute Diarrhoeal Disease (ADD) shows peak between June and October(

Sensitization of community

Page 28: Epidemiology update on cholera: Indian Perspective · Prevention & control of ADD and Cholera outbreaks Trend of Acute Diarrhoeal Disease (ADD) shows peak between June and October(

Mapping country capacities

Page 29: Epidemiology update on cholera: Indian Perspective · Prevention & control of ADD and Cholera outbreaks Trend of Acute Diarrhoeal Disease (ADD) shows peak between June and October(

Objectives of mapping:-

1. Identify hazards that may negatively impact on

health

2. Physical characteristic of the hazards outlined

3. Analysis and describe the public health risks

4. Rank the hazard risks map the public health risks

across the ecological zones of the state

Page 30: Epidemiology update on cholera: Indian Perspective · Prevention & control of ADD and Cholera outbreaks Trend of Acute Diarrhoeal Disease (ADD) shows peak between June and October(

Features identified

Seriousness

Manageability

Acceptability

Urgency

Page 31: Epidemiology update on cholera: Indian Perspective · Prevention & control of ADD and Cholera outbreaks Trend of Acute Diarrhoeal Disease (ADD) shows peak between June and October(

Assessment of hazard levels mapping

Probability - Number of episodes of the event e.g.

number of outbreak over period of five years

Exposure - Average length between episodes

Impact - Average case fatality rate

Page 32: Epidemiology update on cholera: Indian Perspective · Prevention & control of ADD and Cholera outbreaks Trend of Acute Diarrhoeal Disease (ADD) shows peak between June and October(

The variables for measuring health

vulnerability of cholera

The geographic location, architectural or structural

safety and critical systems, equipment and

infrastructural safety of health facilities

The health status of the community including health

service available coverage.

Social determinants of health such as access to good

housing, safe drinking water supply, sanitation,

literacy status and hygiene practices that may have

implications on transmission and carriage of cholera.

Page 33: Epidemiology update on cholera: Indian Perspective · Prevention & control of ADD and Cholera outbreaks Trend of Acute Diarrhoeal Disease (ADD) shows peak between June and October(

Health coping capacity

Community and Health facility preparedness for

impending ADD and Cholera

The capacity of the health system to implement disaster

risk management programmes

The functional capacity of health facilities, meteorological

agencies, agencies for disposal and management of waste.

Community knowledge, attitude and practice of

preventive and healthy lifestyle such as hand washing, first

aid, hygiene education, health seeking behavior, food

culture

Quality surveillance and identification of early warning

signals

Page 34: Epidemiology update on cholera: Indian Perspective · Prevention & control of ADD and Cholera outbreaks Trend of Acute Diarrhoeal Disease (ADD) shows peak between June and October(