Enrollment Projection Study

Annual Update March 15, 2018

Total District Enrollment Since 1995

Multiple Sources of Data

•Atlanta Regional Commission

•ArcGIS Desktop

•Cobb County School District

•Cobb County Government

•Georgia Department of Education

•Georgia Department of Public Health

•Georgia Department of Revenue

•Georgia State University – Andrew Young School – Fiscal Research Center

•Governor’s Office of Planning and Budget

•Neighborhood Nexus

•U.S. Census Bureau

LIVE BIRTHS IN COBB BASED ON YEAR STUDENT ENTERS 1ST GRADE

ORGANIZATION 2012-2013

Enrollment

2017-2018

Enrollment

Elementary PK-5 50,676 50,833

Middle 6-8 24,674 25,754

High 9-12 33,102 35,497

TOTAL PK-12 108,452 112,084

GRADES PK K 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 TOTAL

2012-13 771 8,384 8,222 8,258 8,416 8,161 8,464 8,182 8,258 8,234 10,130 8,260 6,867 7,845 108,452

2017-18 898 7,873 7,998 8,094 8,500 8,607 8,863 8,607 8,516 8,631 10,133 9,229 7,722 8,413 112,084

Cobb County (w/o Marietta) Census Bureau Data

Cobb County (w/o Marietta) Census Bureau Data

Cobb County (w/o Marietta) Census Bureau Data

IU(s) Student Capacity Grade(s)

Oct. FTE 2017-18

Enrollment

2019-20 Projected

Enrollment

2024-25 Projected

EnrollmentHIGH SCHOOLS

Allatoona HS 98 1,912 9-12 1,734 1,698 1,734

Campbell HS 135 2,637 9-12 2,854 2,980 3,492

Harrison HS 133 2,587 9-12 2,206 2,279 2,010

Hillgrove HS 98 1,912 9-12 2,465 2,420 2,450

Kell HS 98 1,912 9-12 1,517 1,547 1,517

Kennesaw Mtn 102 1,987 9-12 2,063 1,734 2,120

Lassiter HS 110 2,137 9-12 2,192 2,113 2,250

McEachern HS 122 2,362 9-12 2,345 2,365 2,446

North Cobb 143 2,787 9-12 2,846 2,878 2,535

Osborne HS 106 2,062 9-12 2,119 2,755 2,755

Pebblebrook HS 96 1,862 9-12 2,570 2,785 2,840

Pope HS 99 1,925 9-12 2,031 2,038 2,050

South Cobb HS 134 2,612 9-12 1,958 2,148 2,271

Sprayberry 106 2,062 9-12 1,705 1,977 2,126

Walton HS 138 2,687 9-12 2,691 2,771 2,850

Wheeler HS 112 2,187 9-12 2,144 2,025 2,250

HS TOTAL 1830 35,630 35,440 36,513 37,696

IU(s) Student Capacity Grade(s)

Oct. FTE 2017-18

Enrollment

2019-20 Projected

Enrollment

2024-25 Projected

EnrollmentMIDDLE SCHOOLS

Awtrey MS 63 1,025 6-8 816 750 636

Barber MS 71 1,162 6-8 912 883 782

Campbell MS 82 1,350 6-8 1,500 1,926 1,906

Cooper MS 71 1,162 6-8 1,033 1,019 906

Daniell MS 69 1,125 6-8 1,064 1,119 1,022

Dickerson MS 73 1,187 6-8 1,294 1,347 1,162

Dodgen MS 71 1,162 6-8 1,244 1,369 1,181

Durham MS 70 1,137 6-8 1,022 1,128 990

East Cobb MS 83 1,362 6-8 1,263 1,467 1,290

Floyd MS 72 1,175 6-8 960 1,036 1,001

Garrett MS 60 975 6-8 857 1,089 1,042

Griffin MS 71 1,162 6-8 1,403 1,616 1,521

Hightower Trail MS 62 1,012 6-8 1,077 1,052 897

Lindley 6th 50 800 6 586 705 705

Lindley MS 71 1,162 7-8 1,018 1,219 1,317

Lost Mountain MS 71 1,162 6-8 1,092 997 868

Lovinggood MS 71 1,162 6-8 1,374 1,419 1,445

Mabry MS 70 1,137 6-8 938 931 931

McCleskey MS 58 937 6-8 670 794 691

McClure MS 71 1,162 6-8 1,227 1,111 955

Palmer MS 71 1,162 6-8 923 919 850

Pine Mountain MS 57 912 6-8 620 679 667

Simpson MS 59 962 6-8 936 969 833

Smitha MS 70 1,137 6-8 1,007 976 867

Tapp MS 70 1,137 6-8 901 814 750

MS TOTAL 1,707 27,828 25,737 27,534 25,215

IU(s) Student Capacity Grade(s)

Oct. FTE 2017-18

Enrollment

2019-20 Projected

Enrollment

2024-25 Projected

EnrollmentELEMENTARY SCHOOLS

Acworth Intermediate 61 962 2-5 681 671 641

Addison 40 637 PK-5 631 542 521

Argyle 36 562 PK-5 421 550 491

Austell 36 562 PK-5 494 571 591

Baker 61 962 PK-5 785 672 651

Bells Ferry 45 712 PK-5 697 700 680

Belmont Hills 36 562 PK-5 352 349 358

Big Shanty 52 837 3-5 612 558 621

Birney 59 925 PK-5 873 756 801

Blackwell 52 837 PK-5 727 714 697

Brumby 56 895 PK-5 922 1,017 1,097

Bryant 61 962 PK-5 1,012 934 963

Bullard 61 962 PK-5 832 855 872

Chalker 61 962 PK-5 620 596 577

Cheatham Hill 68 1,075 PK-5 1,106 1,026 989

Clarkdale 53 862 PK-5 787 686 650

Clay 29 456 PK-5 394 395 395

Compton 59 925 K-5 534 542 560

Davis 50 800 PK-5 572 589 601

Dowell 62 975 PK-5 964 749 742

Due West 39 612 PK-5 609 507 499

East Side 69 1,087 PK-5 1,279 1,157 1,118

Eastvalley 36 562 PK-5 735 716 726

Fair Oaks 54 875 PK-5 911 981 978

Ford 52 837 PK-5 824 608 620

Frey 61 962 PK-5 779 636 647

Garrison Mill 43 687 PK-5 687 566 587

IU(s) Student Capacity Grade(s)

Oct. FTE 2017-18

Enrollment

2019-20 Projected

Enrollment

2024-25 Projected

EnrollmentELEMENTARY SCHOOLS

Green Acres 44 700 PK-5 708 727 699

Harmony Leland 33 512 PK-5 650 750 711

Hayes 61 962 PK-5 871 869 829

Hendricks 61 962 K-5 623 544 526

Hollydale 51 812 PK-5 627 626 617

Keheley 38 600 PK-5 504 536 466

Kemp 61 962 PK-5 969 1,003 1,003

Kennesaw 61 900 PK-2 622 649 679

Kincaid 48 762 PK-5 695 675 651

King Springs 36 562 PK-5 1,043 829 812

LaBelle 44 700 PK-5 439 517 512

Lewis 61 962 PK-5 546 572 562

Mableton 61 962 K-5 1,023 993 973

McCall 36 512 PK-1 363 350 328

Milford 39 612 PK-5 385 409 367

Mount Bethel 61 962 PK-5 1,117 914 962

Mountain View 61 962 PK-5 754 731 741

Murdock 61 962 PK-5 1,013 815 855

Nicholson 40 637 PK-5 521 461 442

Nickajack 60 937 PK-5 1,123 1,031 1,011

Norton Park 50 800 PK-5 900 942 900

Pickett's Mill 61 962 PK-5 739 722 674

IU(s) Student Capacity Grade(s)

Oct. FTE 2017-18

Enrollment

2019-20 Projected

Enrollment

2024-25 Projected

EnrollmentELEMENTARY SCHOOLS

Pitner 61 962 PK-5 887 897 852

Powder Springs 57 904 PK-5 763 712 684

Powers Ferry 31 475 PK-5 464 402 391

Riverside Intermediate 61 962 2-5 1,164 1,120 1,130

Riverside Primary 36 512 PK-1 536 532 578

Rocky Mount 38 600 PK-5 595 563 550

Russell 61 962 PK-5 658 642 624

Sanders 53 862 PK-5 715 786 753

Sedalia Park 56 895 PK-5 832 802 778

Shallowford Falls 61 962 PK-5 689 555 585

Smyrna 61 962 PK-5 998 1,047 1,042

Sope Creek 73 1,162 PK-5 1,171 1,049 1,002

Still 61 962 PK-5 774 694 676

Teasley 51 812 PK-5 914 774 812

Timber Ridge 38 600 PK-5 571 517 506

Tritt 60 937 PK-5 895 774 764

Varner 61 962 PK-5 768 599 588

Vaughan 60 937 PK-5 767 535 514

ES TOTAL 3,501 55,188 50,236 47,308 46,822

TOTAL 3,501 55,188 111,413 111,355 109,733

ELEMENTARY SCHOOL ENROLLMENT

2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2024-25

MIDDLE SCHOOL ENROLLMENT

2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2024-25

HIGH SCHOOL ENROLLMENT

2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2024-25

2017-18 2019-20 2024-252017-18 2019-20 2024-25

2017-18 2019-20 2024-25

CLASSROOM UTILIZATION

Parents naturally seek good educational environments for their children. Cobb CountySchools is one of the largest school districts in the nation. Parents search for livablecommunities throughout Cobb, knowing that specialized academic programming isavailable in all parts of Cobb County meeting the educational needs of their child and theirfamily.

Abilities to consider……. Factors to consider…..

Livable communities throughout Cobb Specialized Academic Programming

•Movability Career Academy

Mobility STEM - Magnet

Walkability Academic Recovery

ATLANTA REGIONAL COMMISSION

FORECAST 2040:

COBB COUNTY

POPULATION:

2015 2040

727,52 885,062

People People

2015 2040

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

• A trend of declining live births resulted in a “bubble” that will affect enrollment,already evident in the early elementary grades, we will monitor closely in thecoming years.

• Five-year projections are strong, in the coming months we will provide a more in-depth look going further to 2024-25.

• The school district with the successful passage of SPLOST V has positioned itselfto address the housing needs of students across the district.

• Because demographic projections can be affected by unforeseen economicfactors, the continued updating of this report helps to ensure accuracy.

• Signs of economic recovery continue to be positive.• There is a very noticeable development increase in senior adult living

construction throughout the county.• This yearly update still shows the original thinking has not changed. Enrollment

projections are as predicted.• Growth is occurring throughout the County.