Energy Sources Supply Demand Lec1 4sep13

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    Energy:

    Sources, Supply and Demand

    Sreenivas JayantiProfessor

    Chemical Engineering Department

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    !orld energy use: "#$% to &%%%

    " E'a (oule

    )E*+ , "%"#*

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    !orld population: "#$% to &%%%

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    Historical per capita of energy

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    Trends in energy consumption: .K

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    /ources of energy for the year &%%%

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    eographical imbalance in energy

    consumption

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    Energy production and consumption for

    the year &%%%: ./1

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    Energy production and consumption for

    the year &%%%: France

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    Energy production and consumption for

    the year &%%%: India

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    Population and Economic rowth

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    Population and Economic rowth

    The Population growth is pro(ected to be

    roughly " percent per year

    This would mean the population would rise

    from 23" billion4 before stabilising at #3& billion3Economic growth will drive the energy

    demand4 with the developing countries

    constituting 5%6 of the increased demand

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    !orld : /ector7wise -emand

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    /ector7wise 8utloo0: Industry

    The industrial sector is very diverse in energyuse3

    !e can brea0down the sector into four main

    industrial activities: iron and steel4 chemical4non7metallic and other industries39emar0able improvements in the energy

    efficiency of steel production are e'pected

    /teady decreases in the energy intensity ofboth chemical and non7metallic industries aree'pected3

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    /ector7wise 8utloo0: Industry

    1t the world level4 the energy intensity of

    industry decreasesby "3&6 per year3

    This means that the energy productivity

    of industry is progressing by "3& 6 per

    year31s a result4 greater value addition becomes

    possible with lesser energy3

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    /ector7wise 8utloo0: Transport

    The slow increase in the overall energy

    use in transport4 results from a

    combination of competing factors3

    8verall4 the increase in energy demand

    results principally from the growing

    number and sie of vehicles3

    This increase is partially offset by better

    fuel efficiency3

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    /ector7wise 8utloo0: Transport

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    /ector7wise 8utloo0: Household

    The thermal energy useper householdis e'pected to decrease in theindustrialied countries with important

    improvements in energy efficiency3In the developing countries4 the thermal

    energy use slightly increases3

    The efficiency gains are offset by thesteady increase in energy consumptiondue to increase of population3

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    Energy content of fuels

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    /ources of primary energy supply in &%%&

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    !orld Energy /upply

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    Fossil fuel reserves:

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    Trends in power supply in India: ";

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    Power generation in India: ";%%7";$%

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    Power generation in India: ";$%7&%%$

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    /ource of electricity in India: ";$% 7&%%5

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    eneration of electricity in India: ";$%7&%%5

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    Coal consumption pattern in India

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    =ariation of cost of oil: "#2" to &%%5

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    =ariation of cost of gas and coal: ";#$7&%%$

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    Pro(ected Coal -emand for India in &%>%

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    Carbon emissions of India and others

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    Costs today

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    !hat ne't?

    Challenges of energy supply in the short

    term )ne't few decades+

    Challenges of energy supply in the long

    term )into the &&nd century+

    THA! "#$

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    1 Comical Interlude

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    1nother Comical Interlude