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Energy Poverty in India compounded by inequality (who, where, what & how much) Satish B Agnihotri 11 th March 2015

Energy Poverty in India compounded by inequality

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Page 1: Energy Poverty in India compounded by inequality

Energy Poverty in India

compounded by inequality

(who, where, what & how much)(who, where, what & how much)

Satish B Agnihotri

11th March 2015

Page 2: Energy Poverty in India compounded by inequality

�Lenin defined revolution as Soviets + electricity

�We could, define Development as Democracy + Energy

(with due apologies to Lenin)

�Energy poverty is lack of access to modern energy services

which affects the well being of the person concerned.

�There is obviously some lack of clarity since we need to grapple �There is obviously some lack of clarity since we need to grapple

with the issues of

� Availability : Is it there or not? e.g. Grid

� Access: It is there but can you access it – e.g. Connection

� Adequacy i.e. is it enough?

� Quality i.e. does it serve the purpose?

(all of these have a bearing on well being, drudgery, exposure to

emissions etc.)

Page 3: Energy Poverty in India compounded by inequality

This is okay, but how do you quantify?

One definition prescribes the floor:

"A person is 'energy poor' if she does not have access to at least:

(a) the equivalent of 35 kg LPG per capita per year (PCPY) from liquid

and/or gas fuels or from improved supply of solid fuel sources and

improved (efficient and clean) cook stoves, andimproved (efficient and clean) cook stoves, and

(b) 120kWh electricity PCPY for lighting, access to most basic services

(drinking water, communication, improved health services, education

improved services and others) plus some added value to local

production

Page 4: Energy Poverty in India compounded by inequality

One still needs to grapple with the questions of

i)conversion efficiency,

ii) measures of energy poverty and

iii) the correspondence between economic poverty and energy

poverty.

Two excellent articles deserve mention in this context;

i) On Measuring Energy Poverty in Indian Households, S. Pachauri et ali) On Measuring Energy Poverty in Indian Households, S. Pachauri et al

ii) Energy Poverty in Rural and Urban India - Are the Energy Poor Also

Income Poor? Policy Research Working Paper: 5463

Shahidur R. Khandker, et al

However Pachauri et al look at the data of 1983-2000, while Khandker et

al look at the 2005 IHDS data (one hopes they will look at the IHDS 2).

The world has in the meantime ,moved on.

LET US LOOK AT THE CENSUS 2001, 2011 AND NSSO 66th round data

Page 5: Energy Poverty in India compounded by inequality

We take a look at

i) Who gets what : Lighting in India and Bharat

ii) Unacceptable lack of access (Using Kerosene for

lighting)

iii) Cooking energy sources : Their distribution

iv) The ‘How much’ issue: disparities between

a. Rural – urban,

b. intra-state and b. intra-state and

c. inter-state

v) The quality issue: Dependence on firewood

What emerges then are i) Individual level issues

ii) Infrastructural issues

and iii) Governance issues

Page 6: Energy Poverty in India compounded by inequality

Sources of LightUse of Electricity in Urban Sector

Census 2011

Districts with more than 80% Households using electricity

for lighting

> 85 %

< 85 % Courtsey:www.trendsindia.org

Page 7: Energy Poverty in India compounded by inequality

Source of LightUse of Electricity in Rural Sector

Census 2011

More than 75% Households using electricity for lighting

> 75 %

< 75 %

Courtsey:www.trendsindia.org

Page 8: Energy Poverty in India compounded by inequality

Source of LightUse of ‘Kerosene’ in Rural Sector

Census 2011

More than 50% Households

> 50 %Courtsey:www.trendsindia.org

Page 9: Energy Poverty in India compounded by inequality

Cowdung cake,

18,252,466 , 11%

Coal,Lignite,Charco

al, 1,298,968 , 1%

Kerosene,

1,229,476 , 1%

LPG/PNG,

19,137,351 , 11%

Electricity, 118,030

, 0%Biogas, 694,384 ,

0%

Any other,

1,040,538 , 1%No cooking,

394,607 , 0%

Fuel sources for cooking: India (R)

Fire-wood,

104,963,972 , 63%

Crop residue,

20,696,938 , 12%

Courtsey:www.trendsindia.org

Page 10: Energy Poverty in India compounded by inequality

Fire-wood,

15,870,416 , 20%

Crop residue,

1,139,977 , 1%

Cowdung cake,

1,356,862 , 2%

Electricity, 117,497

, 0%Biogas, 324,594 ,

0%

Any other, 155,521

, 0%

No cooking,

402,358 , 1%

Fuel sources for cooking: India (U)

Coal,Lignite,Charco

al, 2,278,067 , 3%

Kerosene,

5,935,113 , 8%

LPG/PNG,

51,285,532 , 65%

, 0%

Courtsey:www.trendsindia.org

Page 11: Energy Poverty in India compounded by inequality

Kerosene as Source of Light in Rural Uttarakhand

Encouraging in some places

What changes have happened between 2001 and 2011?

< 10%

10% - 20%

> 20%

Courtsey:www.trendsindia.org

Page 12: Energy Poverty in India compounded by inequality

Use of Firewood in Rural sector

More than 62% households More than 61% households

Census 2001 Census 2011

Not so encouraging in some cases

Courtsey:www.trendsindia.org

Page 13: Energy Poverty in India compounded by inequality

Use of Firewood in Urban sector

More than 25% households More than 20% households

Census 2001 Census 2011

What changes have happened between 2001 and 2011?

Courtsey:www.trendsindia.org

Page 14: Energy Poverty in India compounded by inequality

< 33%

33% - 75%

> 75%

< 33%

33% - 75%

> 75%

Discouraging in some places !

Kerosene as Source of Light in Rural Uttar Pradesh

(2001) (2011)

Courtsey:www.trendsindia.org

Page 15: Energy Poverty in India compounded by inequality

y = 85.739ln(x) - 522.17

R² = 0.9805

100

150

200

250

Energy consumption by MPCE deciles

NSSO 66th Round

India Urban

y = 37.508ln(x) - 217.33

R² = 0.9332

40

60

80

100

India Rural

NSSO 66th Round

How Much ?

0

50

0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000

0

20

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000

Energy consumption by MPCE deciles for Urban and Rural areas

(NSSO 66th Round )

Page 16: Energy Poverty in India compounded by inequality

y = 85.739ln(x) - 522.17

R² = 0.9805

150

200

250

Un

its

pe

r H

h

India Urban

Energy consumption by MPCE deciles

The India Bharat divide

y = 37.508ln(x) - 217.33

R² = 0.9332

0

50

100

0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000

Un

its

pe

r

MPCE

India Rural

NSSO 66th Round

Page 17: Energy Poverty in India compounded by inequality

y = 59.369ln(x) - 346.49

R² = 0.9162

80

100

120

140

160

180

Karnataka Urban

Inequality

within a state

y = 26.822ln(x) - 142.57

R² = 0.868

0

20

40

60

0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000

Karnataka Rural

Page 18: Energy Poverty in India compounded by inequality

y = 44.179ln(x) - 249.31

R² = 0.9187

60

80

100

120

Haryana Rural

Inequality

Between states

y = 21.312ln(x) - 124.25

R² = 0.963

0

10

20

30

40

0 500 1000 1500 2000

Jharkhand Rural

0

20

40

60

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000

Page 19: Energy Poverty in India compounded by inequality

We therefore need to focus on

i) Infrastructural issues of availability

ii) Governance issues of access and quality and

iii) Individual level issues of affordability and efficiency

We also need to acknowledge that

iv) economic poverty and energy poverty are not the same,

v) Nor are total energy and end use energy

Only then we will be able to assess the

‘Shape of the Animal’

There is a thus long and rich agenda before us.