Energy From the Desert

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • 7/31/2019 Energy From the Desert

    1/13

    January 2008

    Confidential strategy paper

    ENERGY FROM THE DESERT

    - a solid basis for socio-economic development -

    Free Energy International BV

    Eindhoven, the Netherlands

  • 7/31/2019 Energy From the Desert

    2/13

    Future energy scenario (GWBU, Germany)

    ABSTRACT:

    Deserts can be looked at as large lands with cruel surfaces, underground wealth, sunny and windy

    climate conditions and severe inhabitants living conditions. A more challenging and realistic way of

    looking at deserts is, as

    Regions with abundant and inexhaustible sources of clean energy and fresh water, offeringa huge potential for socio-economic development

    This conclusion was made during our more than 10 years global co-operation in IEA PVPS Task 8

    (Very Large Photovoltaic Power Systems for Desert Regions). The main driver for such socio-

    economic development would be a VLS-PV power generation system, which would create a

    sustainable market for solar electricity, PV- and system components, installations and CO2

    credits.

    This development would also create many jobs and would involve technology transfer from

    industrialized countries to desert countries. The generated electricity can be used for lighting,

    communication, entertainment, industrial and education purposes, but also for providing potable

    water, for irrigation, agriculture and mining. VLS PV-plants will contribute to energy security,provide fair access to energy for everybody and reduce the thread of climate change.

    INTRODUCTION:

    As predicted by a German group of high level scientists (GWBU), the worldwide use of primary

    energy will more than double in the next decades and will be four times as much towards the end of

    this century. Since the availability of fossil fuels will not be sufficient for supporting this drastic

    increase and since our climate will be influenced badly by such increase, most of the growth in

    primary energy has to come from renewable energies. As can be seen in the graph, the major part of

    the energy at the end of the century will come from the sun. What we also can see is, that solarenergy is practically non existing today. It is still difficult to predict how the development as

    indicated will take place, but we have to accept that something like indicated is most likely to occur.

  • 7/31/2019 Energy From the Desert

    3/13

    In order to assess and to evaluate possible applications for photovoltaic (PV) solar energy, the

    International Energy Agency (IEA) installed international task groups. In PVPS Task 8, we

    investigated the potential for very large power generation systems in desert regions. The purpose of

    our work has been, to examine the possibilities for solving the world problems concerning fair

    access to clean energy and fresh water for everybody. We started with studying power generation

    by converting solar irradiation, directly or indirectly, into electricity. In addition, we touched onsubjects as electricity transmission and storage, water pumping, (sea-) water desalination, irrigation,

    agriculture, community development and socio-economic development. During our work, we came

    to the inescapable conclusion that desert regions contain abundant and inexhaustible sources of

    clean energy and fresh water, offering a huge potential for socio-economic development. Therefore

    we shifted our focus from a technological approach towards a socio-economic approach.

    STATEMENTS BY WORLD RECOGNISED INSTITUTIONS:

    IEA PVPS Task 8:

    - Step-by-step development is possible; relatively low initial investment and modular growth in

    conjunction with decreasing generating costs.

    - System evolution from standalone bulk systems via local grid networks to integrated networks to

    global networks.

    HRH Prince Hassan bin Talal, President of the Club of Rome, April 2006:

    - The sun-belt and the technology belt, when coupled together, can turn deserts into clean and

    inexhaustible power houses for the world.

    - Clean power for Europe and fresh water for the MENA regions would be a win-win situation to all

    of us.

    - Look at our deserts through new eyes as an overabundant and inexhaustible source of clean energyand fresh water.

    GN READER (Global Network for Renewable Energy Approaches in Desert Regions) [3]:

    - Deserts represent large lands with cruel surfaces, underground wealth, sunny and windy climate

    conditions and severe inhabitants living conditions.

    - Deserts contain abundance of renewable energy and high shortage of water.

    - Level of ground water is dropping due to large water pumping programs.

    - Salinity of ground water in these regions is increasing.

    Energy Declaration Amman 2006 [4]:

    - The current and even further increasing world energy demand results in: conflicts for the limited fossil fuels

    climate changes and other environmental degradations- The high rate of ground water extraction is unsustainable, leading to depletion of aquifers, to the

    decrease of their levels and to the increase of their salinity.

    GENERAL CONCLUSION:

    Having studied the justification for above statements in depth and having discussed the relevant

    issues on a global level, we came to the inescapable conclusion that:

  • 7/31/2019 Energy From the Desert

    4/13

    Desert regions contain abundant and inexhaustible sources of clean energy and fresh water,

    offering a huge potential for socio-economic development

    SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS:

    1. Potential benefits for desert countries:

    Economic:

    Create local market, local production and export of solar electricity and components (solar cells,

    modules, silicon, etc) and CO2

    credits

    Social:

    Employment, international co-operation, technology transfer

    Security of energy supply:Secure sustainable future energy source

    Environmental:Climate change/Kyoto protocol

    Peace/poverty alleviation:

    Fair access for everybody to affordable and sustainable energy solutions

    Recognition:

    Become model country in desert regions

    Connected areas:

    Irrigation, agriculture, water pumping, desalination, transmission and storage, hydrogen technology

    2. Creation of a local market:

    Standalone systems: Solar home systems in rural areas

    Grid connected systems: In urban areas, for those who have access to the grid

    Building integrated systems: In urban areas, for those who have access to the grid

    Solar electricity plants: Very large scale photovoltaic power generating systems in desert areas

    3. Creation of local industry:

    Assembly of PV solar panels: For local use & export

    Manufacturing of solar cells: For local use & export

    Manufacturing of silicon: For local use & export

  • 7/31/2019 Energy From the Desert

    5/13

    Installation, building and services: For local use

    Note: as a matter of fact, local industries for e.g. glass, concrete, aluminium and steel will benefit a

    lot from this development

    4. Education:

    Awareness creation: At all levels

    Transfer of system- and application know how: To renewable energy institutes & energy

    companies

    Transfer of technology: To educational institutes

    Transfer of policy matters: To decision makers

    5. Major stakeholders are:

    - Renewable Energy Institutes

    - Energy companies

    - Government institutions

    - Financing institutions

    - Educational institutes

  • 7/31/2019 Energy From the Desert

    6/13

    Solar electricity generation plant in Springervillle, USA

    Solar roofs in the Netherlands

    Solar home system in Morocco

    MARKET EVOLUTION FOR SOLAR ELECTRICITY:

    1. Rural electrification:

    After the initial development of PV solar electricity by the aerospace

    industry, this technology was adopted in the early eighties of the past

    century for rural electrification in developing countries. In the pastdecades, millions of solar home systems, consisting of a solar panel, a

    battery and some lights have been installed in rural Africa and have

    contributed to the improvement of the quality of life of the rural

    families. Also village systems, consisting of solar panels, batteries

    and a local electricity network have been developed and installed in

    many places.

    2. Grid Connected systems:

    In the past decade, the market for grid

    connected applications, mainly in

    industrialised countries like Japan and

    Germany has developed more strongly;

    PV solar installations on houses and

    buildings have been strongly promoted

    and subsidised, leading to a marketgrowth of more than 40 % each year.

    3. Large scale solar electricity generating systems:

    In recent years, the market for large

    scale solar electricity generation plantshas developed more strongly,

    especially in southern Europe and the

    USA. Economies of scale and higher

    solar irradiation have lead to electricity

    prices which are approaching end-user

    prices in those countries.

    This kind of electricity generation is

    especially interesting for utility

    companies, who have easy access to

    electricity transmission systems.

  • 7/31/2019 Energy From the Desert

    7/13

    Multi-crystalline silicon panel

    Thin film solar panel

    TECHNOLOGY EVOLUTION:

    1. Wafer based solar panels:

    The first decades in the application of solar electricity systems have been

    dominated by the use of wafer based solar panels, notably mono-crystalline

    or multi-crystalline silicon panels. This technology has proven to be very

    robust. However, the cost reduction potential is limited and the relatively

    high need for silicon material has lead to availability problems.

    Manufacturers are trying to overcome these problems by designing panels

    with thinner wafers and by using newly designed solar grade silicon.

    2. Thin film solar panels:

    Significant cost reduction can be achieved by applying thin film solar

    cell technology. In this case, very thin layers of semiconductormaterials are deposited on glass, metal or plastic substrates and

    electrical connections are made by advanced laser structuring methods.

    Thin film solar panels have been a promise for cost reduction since

    many years and the results of intensive R & D at institutions and

    companies has resulted in lower costs per watt indeed; most effort

    today is put into the design of faster production processes and higher

    conversion efficiencies. Basically, three different semiconductor

    materials can be used, notably thin film silicon and compounds of

    cadmium telluride (CdTe) or copper indium gallium di-

    selenide/sulphide (CIGS) materials. Manufacturers of thin film panels

    in each technology are rapidly expanding their production capacities,in order to utilise their potential economies of production scale.

  • 7/31/2019 Energy From the Desert

    8/13

    Principle of solar concentration

    3. Concentrating photo-voltaic systems (CPV):

    Another way of obtaining lower system costs and, consequently,lower electricity costs, is the use of concentration. In this case, the

    sunlight is concentrated by lenses or mirrors and concentration

    factors of 500 to 1000 are easily achieved. By concentration,

    expensive semiconductor material can be partly replaced by relatively

    cheap glass or plastic material for lenses and metal for cooling.

    Concentration systems need to be placed in direct sunlight and need

    to follow the sun. Therefore, they are only effective in at locations

    with a lot of direct sunshine and they need to be placed on sun-

    tracking systems.

    One of the attractive options for using concentrating solar panels in desert regions is, that a major

    part of the panels can be produced locally.

    CPV tracking system at AIST, JapanConcentrating solar panelfrom Daido Steel, Japan

  • 7/31/2019 Energy From the Desert

    9/13

    Very Large Scale PV system deployment scenario

    NETWORK EVOLUTION:

    The introduction of VLS-PV

    in desert regions can be

    made in discrete steps; Atfirst, a stand-alone bulk

    system is introduced to

    supply electricity for

    surrounding villages or anti

    desertification facilities in

    the vicinity of deserts (stage

    1). Secondly, plural systems

    are connected by a regional

    grid; this contributes to load

    levelling and reduced power

    fluctuation (stage 2). In the

    next stage (stage 3). The

    regional network is

    connected to a primary

    transmission line; generated electricity can now be supplied to a load centre and industrial zone.

    Total use, combined with other power sources and storage becomes important for matching the

    demand pattern and improving the capacity factor of the transmission line. Furthermore, by the time

    that stage 3 is reached, seasonal differences can be adjusted. Finally, a global network is developed

    (stage 4). Most of the energy consumed by human beings can be supplied through solar energy. For

    the last stage, a breakthrough in advanced energy transmission, such as superconducting cable,

    flexible AC transmission system (FACTS) or chemical media will be required.

  • 7/31/2019 Energy From the Desert

    10/13

    CONNECTED AREAS:

    1. Irrigation/agriculture:

    In many countries, the

    major part of the available

    water resources is used foragricultural purposes. The

    efficiency of most

    irrigation systems is still

    very poor and inefficient

    irrigation often leads to

    soil degradation.

    Using PV solar power in combination with modern desalination techniques leads to more efficient

    irrigation systems. Less precious water is spoiled and salinity of the soil is prevented. Therefore,

    more efficient agricultural development can take place.

    Pump

    PV-cell Water-Tank

    Emiter

    ED

    PumpPump

    PV-cell Water-Tank

    Emiter

    EDED

    Improved irrigation system

    Inefficient irrigation

  • 7/31/2019 Energy From the Desert

    11/13

    2. Seawater desalination:

    Desalination is needed because of:

    Increasing fresh waterdemand because of

    population growth

    Reduction of naturalground water resources

    Pollution or salinization ofnatural ground water

    Today, Reverse Osmosis

    systems may offer the best

    solution for desalination

    systems powered by (solar)electricity.

    Further cost reduction of

    desalination systems can

    be expected because of

    innovative desalination

    technologies.

    Cost reduction potential of

    desalination processes

    Water resources

  • 7/31/2019 Energy From the Desert

    12/13

    Solar electricityfor local useand export

    Hydrogen forlocal use andexport

    3. Transmission networks:

    Efficient transport of the generated electricity can take place by high voltage DC transmission

    networks.

    A second option is to convert and store the generated electricity into liquid hydrogen. In this case,

    transport can take place by ship.

    In future, the further development of super conducting technology may lead to transmission

    networks with very low losses.

    TOWARDS DEVELOPING PROJECTS:

    The technologies for converting solar irradiation into electricity and for transport and storage of

    electricity are widely available. We also believe that financing can be made available for excellent

    project proposals. Therefore, the main challenge is to make these excellent project proposals and to

    convince governments, energy companies and financing institutions to be positively involved in

    realising ambitious projects for the large scale generation of solar electricity. Connected issues,

    such as (sea-) water desalination, irrigation, agriculture, community development and socio-

    economic development should be covered as well. We should focus on proven technology with

    substantial cost reduction potential and on a step by step development, with relatively low initial

    investment and modular growth in conjunction with decreasing costs. For these reasons, we will

    focus on electricity generation by converting solar irradiation directly into electricity (photovoltaic

    systems).

    Transport of electricity Transport of liquid hydrogen

  • 7/31/2019 Energy From the Desert

    13/13

    Project development:

    For developing realistic projects, we want to cooperate with influential local institutions that have

    sufficient expertise and a powerful network. The target size of the projects should be in the order of

    1 gigawatt, to be extended to 10 gigawatt in time. In order to make maximum use of the foreseeableprice decreases, the first gigawatt should be built in steps during a time frame of e.g. 10 to 15 years.

    Community development should take place in parallel to the growth of the PV power plant. Such

    kind of long term planning will allow the creation of a sustainable local industry for all required

    materials, components and services.

    For more information:

    Free Energy International BVmail: P.O. BOX 9564, 5602 LNEindhoven, Netherlandsoffice: Ambachtsweg 23, 5627BZ Eindhoven, Netherlands

    phone: +31 40 2901242; fax: +31 40 2421049e-mail: [email protected] websites: www.freeenergyinternational.com/

    www.energyfromthedesert.com

    Ex ected

    Expected 2009

    Energy from the Desert III

    Expected in 2009Published in 2007Published in 2003