Upload
others
View
1
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Santiago de Chile, Dec. 3, 2013 http://EnergyCenter.epfl.chE n e r g y C e n t e r
Energy challenges in Latin America and in Switzerland in the context of the EU outlook
Hans Björn (Teddy) PüttgenProfesseur Honoraire
EPFL – Lausanne, Switzerland
Georgia Power Distinguished Professor EmeritusGeorgia Institute of Technology (Georgia Tech) – Atlanta, USA
Fellow IEEE
Santiago de Chile
December 3, 2013
Santiago de Chile, Dec. 3, 2013 http://EnergyCenter.epfl.chE n e r g y C e n t e r
Switzerland
Confederation of 23 Cantons
Federal level:• Executive body – 7 Federal councelors• Parlament: Senate & House of reps.
Each Canton:• Elected executive body• House of representatives
Direct democracy – we vote three times each year!
Santiago de Chile, Dec. 3, 2013 http://EnergyCenter.epfl.chE n e r g y C e n t e r
Chile & Switzerland - 2011 data
Chile Switzerland
Population Million 17.3 7.9 23% foreign
Land area km2 743’000 41’285
IEA 2011:TPES Mtoe Production 9.88 12.33
Net import 24.85 14.38Total 33.57 25.37
TPES/Cap toe 1.94 3.22TPES/GDP thousand 2005USD 0.21 0.06Elec./Cap kWh 3’580 7’970Co2/Cap t 4.42 5.06
Santiago de Chile, Dec. 3, 2013 http://EnergyCenter.epfl.chE n e r g y C e n t e r
Chile & Switzerland - 2011 data
Chile Switzerland
Electricity production TWh
Coal 19.6Oil 6.3Gas 13.7Biofuels 4.7Nuclear 26.7Hydro 21.0 34.1Other (incl. PV, wind, geothermal) 0.4 3.3Total 65.7 64.6
Santiago de Chile, Dec. 3, 2013 http://EnergyCenter.epfl.chE n e r g y C e n t e r
The European Union
Santiago de Chile, Dec. 3, 2013 http://EnergyCenter.epfl.chE n e r g y C e n t e r
European Union
EU501 Million inhabitants2012: 16.5 Trillion US$ GDP 4.3 Million km2
United States315 million inhabitants2012: 15.8 Trillion US$ GDP9.8 Million km2
Santiago de Chile, Dec. 3, 2013 http://EnergyCenter.epfl.chE n e r g y C e n t e r
The European Union energy – climate challenge
By 2020
Reduce the overall greenhouse gas emissions by 20%
Improve the overall energy efficiency by 20%
Cover the energy needs using at least 20% renewable energies
Santiago de Chile, Dec. 3, 2013 http://EnergyCenter.epfl.chE n e r g y C e n t e r8Sources: EWEA (2011): Pure Power. Wind energy targets for 2020 and 2030
EU Forecasts
Santiago de Chile, Dec. 3, 2013 http://EnergyCenter.epfl.chE n e r g y C e n t e r
Convenant of Mayors in Europe
Over 4’400 signatories
Representing a population of over 168 Million people
Committed to exceed the European Union CO2emission targets
Santiago de Chile, Dec. 3, 2013 http://EnergyCenter.epfl.chE n e r g y C e n t e r10
The PV and wind location dilemma
Greatest PV potential – south in Mediterrean countries
Greatest Wind potential – Baltic Sea, North Sea, Coast lines
Need for major North – South transmission expansions
Santiago de Chile, Dec. 3, 2013 http://EnergyCenter.epfl.chE n e r g y C e n t e r
The German feed-in tariff policy
Santiago de Chile, Dec. 3, 2013 http://EnergyCenter.epfl.chE n e r g y C e n t e r
Feed-in tariff impact on the overall household expenses in Germany
The feed-in tariff for 2014 will be 0.0624 €/kWh or 0.085 $/kWh
Consequence: poorer families get subsidies to pay for electricity!
Santiago de Chile, Dec. 3, 2013 http://EnergyCenter.epfl.chE n e r g y C e n t e r
Légende
PV Eolienne
PV and wind production in GermanyTotal over 16 days: 3.8 TWh
The renewable energis challenge is STORAGE
[MW]Puissances installées : Eolien: >29GWcr PV: >25GWcrPuissances installées : Eolien: >29GWcr PV: >25GWcr
Generation[GWh]
67132
102131
135144
146154
22137
5175
61114
134151
128154
172119
286118
189133
51119
35148
71143
40162
1.6882.135
Santiago de Chile, Dec. 3, 2013 http://EnergyCenter.epfl.chE n e r g y C e n t e r
The «dynamic» relationship between the EU and Switzerland in the context of
bilateral relations
Santiago de Chile, Dec. 3, 2013 http://EnergyCenter.epfl.chE n e r g y C e n t e r
Presentation of Dr. O. Koch, EU Commission, DG EnergyStromkongress – Berne 14 janvier 2013
Santiago de Chile, Dec. 3, 2013 http://EnergyCenter.epfl.chE n e r g y C e n t e r
Présentation Dr. O. Koch, Commission UE, DG EnergieStromkongress – Berne 14 janvier 2013
Santiago de Chile, Dec. 3, 2013 http://EnergyCenter.epfl.chE n e r g y C e n t e r
The nuclear energy bifurcation:
Development continues worldwide
In Europe, a few countries are withdrawing
Santiago de Chile, Dec. 3, 2013 http://EnergyCenter.epfl.chE n e r g y C e n t e r
Nuclear energy - world situation - 1
August 2012
435 nuclear reactors available for network connection
104 in the United States
70 reactors in the United States have already seen their operationallicences extended from 40 to 60 years.
30 countries
2010
Nuclear energy: 13.5% of the worldwide electric energy production
Santiago de Chile, Dec. 3, 2013 http://EnergyCenter.epfl.chE n e r g y C e n t e r
Nuclear energy - world situation - 2Construction and planning of new plants
In construction : 61• 26 in China• 10 in Russia• 7 in India• 4 in Korea• 14 elsewhere
Proposed : > 400• 44 countries • Of which 18 do not
yet have a nuclearpower plant
Santiago de Chile, Dec. 3, 2013 http://EnergyCenter.epfl.chE n e r g y C e n t e r
The situation in EuropeNuclear energy contributes more than 30% of the total electricityproduction in 13 countries.
2010 % of nuclear energy contribution to electricity productionFrance 78%Slovaqia 54%Belgium 54%Ukraine 47%…….Switzerland 40%Sweden 40%…..Japan 27%Germany 22%
Switzerland has decided to exit fromnuclear energy by not renewing the five presently operating nuclear power plants when they reach their safe end of life – in 2035 or earlier.
This is one of the most difficult nuclearenergy exit challenges in the world.
Among countries exiting nuclearenergy:
• Switzerland has the highestcontribution of nuclear energy
• The lowest contribution of fossil-fired power plants
Santiago de Chile, Dec. 3, 2013 http://EnergyCenter.epfl.chE n e r g y C e n t e r
Germany – 22% nuclearAugust 2011 Shut down of 8 of the 17 operating reactors.
8’400 MW2022 Shut down of the remaining 9 reactors
12’100 MW
Belgium – 55% nuclear2015 Shut down of 3 of the 7 operating reactors
1’400 MW2025 Shut down of the remaining 4 reactors
4’100 MW
FrancePresident Hollande has committed to shut down the nuclear power plant atFessenheim (2 * 900 MW PWR) by the end of 2016 and to reduce the share ofnuclear energy to the electricity production from 75% to 50% by 2025.
The exit from nuclear energy in Europe
Santiago de Chile, Dec. 3, 2013 http://EnergyCenter.epfl.chE n e r g y C e n t e r
The Swiss situation
2011
Santiago de Chile, Dec. 3, 2013 http://EnergyCenter.epfl.chE n e r g y C e n t e r
Switzerland - Energy demand by energy
- Less petroleum59.7% -> 53.7%
- More natural gaz- More « other »- More electricity
Source : OFEN
2000
2011
Only 25% of the total energy consumption is electricity
The key energy challenge is fossil NOT only electric
Santiago de Chile, Dec. 3, 2013 http://EnergyCenter.epfl.chE n e r g y C e n t e r
Switzerland – Energy demand by sectors
2000
Little evolution Source : OFEN
2011
Changes in energy consumption can only happen gradually
Santiago de Chile, Dec. 3, 2013 http://EnergyCenter.epfl.chE n e r g y C e n t e r
Electric energy generation in Switzerland
2000
2011
Very little evolution.
Last major power plant put on-line: Leibstadt in 1984 (nuclear)
Source : OFEN
Santiago de Chile, Dec. 3, 2013 http://EnergyCenter.epfl.chE n e r g y C e n t e r
Electric utilities in Switzerland
Source : OFEN
More than 850 electric utilities!Most often incorporated as private sector companies.
However, the shareholders overwhelmingly are public authorities.
Santiago de Chile, Dec. 3, 2013 http://EnergyCenter.epfl.chE n e r g y C e n t e r
Electricity production in selected European countries
Source : OFEN
2011
Santiago de Chile, Dec. 3, 2013 http://EnergyCenter.epfl.chE n e r g y C e n t e r
Switzerland and Austria - 2010
Austria Switzerland
Population (millions) 8.36 7.88
Prim. ener. /cap. (toe/cap.) 3.79 3.45
Prim. ener. /GDP (toe/USD 2000) 0.00014 0.00009
Elec./cap. (MWh/cap.) 7.9 7.9 inclus pertes et P/T
CO2/cap. (ton/hab.) 7.6 5.4
Electricity production in Austria: 38% fossilElectricity production in Switzerland: 38% nuclear
QUESTION: can Switzerland execute its energy transition without emulating Austria as far as its CO2 emissions are concerned?
Source : AIE 2011
Santiago de Chile, Dec. 3, 2013 http://EnergyCenter.epfl.chE n e r g y C e n t e r
Consommation du pays
2011 Import: 6 months2000 Import: 1 month
Source : OFEN
Switzerland may become a net importer of electricity – from where?
Santiago de Chile, Dec. 3, 2013 http://EnergyCenter.epfl.chE n e r g y C e n t e r
New hydro power facilities planned
Plant name Type year Turb. Pump. MW
FMHL Pump./Turb. 2014 +240 +240
Nant de Drance Pump./Turb. 2016 600 600
Nant de Drance+ Pump./Turb. 2020 +300 +300 (1)
Gondo+ Hydro. sto. 2013 + 12
Electra Massa Hydro. sto. 2013 + 12
Ener. Elec. Simplon Pump./Turb. 2020 110 110
Innertkirchen 1a Hydro. sto. 2015 +180
Handeck 2a Hydro. sto. 2015 +120
Grimsel 3 Pump./Turb. 2020 +600 +600
Linthal Pump./Turb. 2020 1’000 1’000
Verzasca Pump./Turb. 2020 +300 +300
Valposchiavo Pump./Turb. 2020 1’000 1’000
(1) Increase of dam height by 12 m required
21 mars 2011
Where will the pumpingenergy come from?
Santiago de Chile, Dec. 3, 2013 http://EnergyCenter.epfl.chE n e r g y C e n t e r
Energy challenges in Latin America and in Switzerland in the context of the EU outlook
Hans Björn (Teddy) PüttgenProfesseur Honoraire
EPFL – Lausanne, Switzerland
Georgia Power Distinguished Professor EmeritusGeorgia Institute of Technology (Georgia Tech) – Atlanta, USA
Fellow IEEE
Santiago de Chile
December 3, 2013