EMO 2015 CELIMO Presentation (PDF)celimo.com/wp-content/uploads/CELIMO International Meeting...CNC Automation 5+ Axis 4 Axis RAM EDM Carbon Cutting Wire EDM Additive Machines Percent

Welcome to the CELIMO International Meeting

EMO Milan

Wednesday 7th October 2015

The Countries of CELIMO

• CELIMO covers 12 European countries

o Austria

o Belgium

o Germany

o Finland

o France

o Italy

o Netherlands

o Spain

o Sweden

o Switzerland

o Turkey

o United Kingdom

Associate Members

• There are countries where no such association exists

• Developed the concept of Associate Members for companies in those countries

• Expands the CELIMO Network

European GDP

Source: Eurostat

European Unemployment

Source: Eurostat

European Inflation

Source: Eurostat

European PMI’s

European PMI’s

European Industrial Production

Source: Eurostat

European end-user data

Source: Eurostat

European Capacity Utilisation

Source: Eurostat

European Exchange Rates

Source: European Central Bank

The Source of Machine Tool Imports

• Germany is the most important source of imports into the other CELIMO countries

• European countries account for 60% of imports into the CELIMO area

• Japan and Taiwan are the other major sources

Germany19.1%

Switz.12.0%

Japan11.5%

Italy8.1%Taiwan

7.0%

Other Europe21.0%

Others21.2%

IMPORT SOURCES IN 2014

Trends in Machine Tool Demand

Key European Markets• The largest machine tool

markets in CELIMO are Germany, Italy and Turkey.

• Germany accounted for 40% of the market in the CELIMO area in 2014.

• Italy had a double dip in demand for machine tools, but 2014 showed signs of recovery - at last!

• The Turkish market has plateaued over the past couple of years

0

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7000

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20

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14

eu

ro m

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Germany Italy Turkey

Medium-sized Markets• The UK figures are affected

by exchange rate changes

• The Swiss did not see quite as large a recession as others and has recovered well

• France saw a good recovery initially, but machine tool demand has fallen back since 2011

• Spain, like Italy, is only now seeing a recovery, but again, the most recent data is positive.

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eu

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Switzerland UK

Spain France

Summary - The Outlook for 2016• Europe’s exchange rate advantage should

help it to continue growing …

• … but this won’t help non-Euro countries

• The slowdown in China will have an impact, but the risk of Greece leaving the Euro has eased …

• … and low inflation should help keep interest rates low.

Pat�McGibbonVice�President�– Strategic�Analytics

U.S.�Market�Perspective

Market�Drivers

Manufacturing Eco System

Technology Technology Labor MarketLabor Market

Product Changes Product Changes

Production Runs

Production Runs

Technology

Labor Market

Automation:Over 1,300 Planned Purchases Within 12 Months

65%59%

39%

33% 32% 30%

17%

CNCAutomation

5+ Axis 4 Axis RAM EDM CarbonCutting

Wire EDM AdditiveMachines

Percent of Shops

Likelihood to Purchase by Machine Segment

Already Budgeted / Highly Likely Somewhat Likely

Source: Harbour IQ Industry Machining Survey

• In the next 12 months, shops of all sizes in the tool and die industry plan to purchase over 1,300machines

• The focus on 5+ Axis machines is due to tool complexity, throughput demands, and increased capability

Product Changes

Source: LMC Automotive

72 80

3035

3333

283520

2227

3033

52243252 259

287

2015 2016 2017 2018

Number of Models in

Prodution

Number of Models in Production North America

Other

179189 196

227

2015 2016 2017 2018

Number of Models

Models Under <100,000 UnitsNorth America

+8%

Production Runs

Structural Issues

CompetitionCompetitionReplacementReplacementRegulationRegulationDemandDemand

Competition

Replacement

Regulation

Demand

AerospaceMedical

EnergyOff Road

Automotive ?

Domestic Automotive Sale Rates

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

Source: Federal Reserve Board

How confident are you that your company will move ahead and implement the needed capital investment to meet your

2016/2017 demand requirements?

48%

36%

11%5%

No. of Responses = 79

Very confident

(>75%)56

71%

Somewhat confident (50-75%)

1620%

Slightly confident

(<50%)3

4%

Not applicable, we are not

planning for increased

capital expenditure investments

45%

2013 for 2014/2015

2014 for 2015/2016

60%

28%8% 4%

OESA Automotive Supplier Barometer‐ September 2015

Published with the support of

Aerospace

“Aerospace is the strongest manufacturing market in the world. We’ve had over a decade of record numbers, and despite concerns about the world economy, we’ve got a few more years of growth ahead.”

Richard Aboulafia, Vice President, Analysis at Teal Group

Backlog: $502.3 Billion

Demand: 29,400 airplanes valued at $3.2 Trillion over the next 20 years

Medical

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060

45 to 64 years 65 years +

Resident population as of July 2014 Numbers in thousands

Contract Machining

70

71

72

73

74

75

76

77

78

Aug‐12 Dec‐12 Apr‐13 Aug‐13 Dec‐13 Apr‐14 Aug‐14 Dec‐14 Apr‐15 Aug‐15

Durable Manufacturing Capacity Utilization

Energy & Off Road

Outlook

Pat [email protected] – The Association For Manufacturing Technology

EMO 2015CELIMO INTERNATIONAL MEETING

7TH OCTOBER 2015

PRESENTED BYJAPAN MACHINE TOOL DISTRIBUTORS ASSOCIATION

（ＪＭＴＤＡ）

JAPAN MACHINE TOOL DISTRIBUTORS ASSOCIATION(JMTDA)

Established: 1970Number of Member : Regular Members - 75 companies(both whole sellers and direct distributors)Associate Members – 63 Machine Tool builders

12 Leasing companiesTotal 150 companies

A total sales of regular members cover approx.70% of domestic Machine Tool sales.

The educational course, SE(Sales Engineer) Certification System, for sales personnel of members and related industries will be the 25th year this year after the educational activities have been initiated in 1991.

In this June, new board of directorswere elected, and Mr. Kaoru Tomita, President & CEO of TOMITA CO.,LTD. was elected as a chairman of the board.

The educational course, SE (Sales Engineer) Certification System, for sales personnel of members and related industries will be the 25th year this year after the educational activities have been initiated.Total students exceeded 7,500 last year and students with SE certification is expected to exceed 3,000 this year.

New Chairman, Mr.Kaoru Tomita

Source: Japan Machine Tool Builder’s Association (JMTBA)

Million Yen

Strong Yen rate by Plaza Accord

Collapse of Bubble Economy

Asian FinancialCrisis

Collapse of IT Bubble Economy

Lehman BrothersBankruptcy



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1200

Domestic Overseas

Billion Yen

Source: Japan Automobile Manufactures Association, Inc.

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

20,000

Domestic Overseas

UNIT: 1.000 cars

Source: Japan Automobile Manufactures Association, Inc.

UNIT:1,000 cars

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015(1-6)

Industrial MachineryDie & MoldMotor VehicleElec.&Precision MachineryOther Domestic

million Yen

Source : JMTBA

Source : JMTBA

Source: Ministry of Economy,Trade and Industry

Sets

Thank you for your attention !

JMTDA

CELIMO NETWORKING MEETING 7th October 2015

INDIAN MACHINE TOOLMANUFACTURERS’ ASSOCIATION

IMTMA at a Glance

� Constituted in 1946

� Single point of contact for industry

� Represents over 90 % of organised machine tooland allied equipment manufacturers

� Membership of 490+ companies

Indian Economy- at a Glance (2015)

GDP : $ 2.04 trillion (nominal) (2014)

$ 7.37 trillion (PPP) (2014)

GDP Growth: 7.3 % (2014-15)

Exports : $ 310.5 billion (2014-15)

Imports : $ 447.5 billion (2014-15)

16.78

10.38

4.613.85

2.94 2.84 2.35 2.14 2.04 1.85

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2

4

6

8

10

12

14

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18

US

Chin

a

Japan

Germ

an

y

UK

Fance

Brazil

Italy

India

Russia

GDP in current US$

Value in U

SD Tn

17.01

30.02

52.97

Sectoral Share in GDP (%)

Agriculture

Industry

Services

16.78 17.61

7.37

4.753.72 3.56 3.26 2.67 2.58 2.54

02468101214161820

US

Chin

a

India

Japan

Germ

any

Russia

Brazil

Indonesia

Fance UK

GDP in PPP $

Value in U

SD Tn

Source: IMF data Apr. 2015,& Fin Ministry GOI

Machine Tool Consumption Trend from 2010-11 to 2014-15

Exchange rate for 1 USD, 2010-11=rs.47, 2011-12 = Rs. 45, 2012-13 = RS. 55 2013-14 =Rs.61, 2014-15 =Rs.62

3623742990 38845 34808

42300

67033

7645075981

46720

53177

1357

1800

2140

2467

2810

101913

117640112686

79061

92667

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15

Production Imports Exports Consumption

Va

lue

in R

s. M

illio

ns

771955

706 571 682

1426

1699

1381

766858

29

40

39

40

45

2168

2614

2049

12961495

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15

Production Imports Exports Consumption

Val

ue

in U

S$

Mil

lion

s

Projected Demand During 2015-16 to 2019-20

Exchange rate for all forecast years is assumed to be 1 USD =INR 64 Source : IMTMA

12891482

17051960

2254

385

443

509

586

674

1674

1925

2214

2546

2928

0

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1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20

Metal Cutting Metal Forming Total

Va

lue

In U

SD

Mil

lion

s

Estimated CAGR @ 15%

Sector wise Machine Tool Consumption (%)

40

15

20

13

75

Auto/auto comp

Die & Mould

Industrial machinery

Textiles, Food processing, Durables,

Electricals etc.

Defense/aerospace

OthersTotal Demand during 2014-15 : USD 1495 Mn.

Total Demand during 2014-15 : INR 92667 Mn.

Indian Machine Tool Industry

India makes Standard Products and Special Purpose Machines

:Important ManufacturersACE Designers, AMS, BFW, Jyoti CNC, Micromatic Grinding, Lakshmi, Lokesh,HMT, Electropneumatics, ISGEC, Hindustan Hydraulics & others…

Major products

CNC turning Machines

Machining centers

Grinding machines

Boring machines

Vertical Turret Lathe

EDMs / Wire EDM

Inspection and CMMs

Special Purpose Machines

Metal forming presses

Press brakes

Accessories, Tools and Components

Tool turrets Rotary tables Bar feeders Spindles Deburring Tools & Moulds Cutting tools Form tools Tool holders Special tools

UCAM, Fenwick & Ravi, Miven Mayfran, Pragati, PARI, Rajamane, Span, Universal, Taegutec, Kennametal, Sandvik, SECO, Walter, Addison, Bhukanwala, Bipico, Chennai Metco, Dagger Forst Tools, Forbes, Hittco, Ind-Sphinx and others….

Chucks Chip conveyors Coolant systems Robotics and Automation

Major products:

Important Manufacturers:

Tooled up solutions

TPM friendly

Contemporary design

Reliable performance

After sales support

USP of Indian Machine Tools

Key Industry Strengths

[Contd.]

Most companies are ISO certified with CE marked products

Cost effective, high quality, reliable and customised solutions

Strong backward integration

Optimum price performance

Interactive customer relationships and proactive linkages

Export Competitiveness

Major exports - China, Germany, Italy, Turkey,Middle-East, USA, etc.

No language difficulty

Rupee exchange rate advantage

Ideal opportunity for dealers to sell competitive products

Indian Companies’ Overseas Ventures

ACE MICROMATIC GROUP

BFW

BATLIBOI

GRIND MASTER MACHINES

HMT MACHINE TOOLS

JYOTI CNC AUTOMATION

UCAM

and many more…..

Major Indian Companies with Global Footprints

India at EMO 2015

• Enter co-operation agreements

• Explore business partnerships

• Strategic partnerships for global markets

INDIA @ EMO MILANO

Welcome to Indian Stalls !!!

Thank You

9.210.4

9.37.7 7.7 7.3 7

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015Q2

Figure 1：GDP Growth Rate in China（Y‐o‐Y%）

Data Sources：National Bureau of Statistics of the People’s Republic of China

1115.7 13.9

10 9.7 8.36.3

30.5

24.5 23.820.6 19.6

15.710.9

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015(1‐8)

Figure 2：Major Economic Indicators in China

Industrial value added(Y‐o‐Y%) Investment in the fixed assets(Y‐o‐Y%)


49.7

47.3

47

48

49

50

51

52

53

2014‐01

2014‐02

2014‐03

2014‐04

2014‐05

2014‐06

2014‐07

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2014‐09

2014‐10

2014‐11

2014‐12

2015‐01

2015‐02

2015‐03

2015‐04

2015‐05

2015‐06

2015‐07

2015‐08

Figure 3：China Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index

PMI from NBS PMI from caixin.com

Data Sources：National Bureau of Statistics of the People’s Republic of China, www.caixin.com


87.6

48.5

49.8 50.2

‐37.4

1.3

‐50

0

50

100

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015Q2

Figure 5：Contribution Rate of Investment, Consumption and

Export to GDP in China（%）

Investment

Consumption

Export


Data Sources：China Securities Regulatory Commission

Data Sources：State Administration of Foreign Exchange

Data Sources：CMTBA

Data Sources：CMTBA

59

94.2

132.4 136.6

101 108.3

51.6

14.1 18.5 24.2 27.4 28.6 3418.3

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015‐07

Figure 11：China Machine Tool International Trade（Import and

Export）(100M U.S. dollars）

Import Export

Data Sources：General Administration of Customs of the People’s Republic of China


‐40

‐20

0

20

40

60

80

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015‐07

Figure 12：China Machine Tool Import Growth Rate（Y‐o‐Y%）

Metal Working Metal Cutting Metal Forming


Metal Cutting, 41.8 , 47%

Fuctional Component, 12.1 , 14%

Metal Forming, 9.8 , 11%

CNC Device, 9.0 , 10%

Cutting Tool, 7.9 , 9%

Abrasive Product, 3.6 ,

4%

Wood Working, 2.2 , 2%

Foundry, 1.4 , 2%

Measurer, 0.9 , 1%

Figure 13：Machine Tools Products Import Structure from Jan. to July in 2015

（100M U.S. dollars）


21.4 , 41%

6.1 , 12%

5.9 , 11%

3.9 , 8%

3.9 , 7%

2.8 , 5%

1.9 , 4%

1.4 , 3%

1.4 , 3%1.3 , 2%

0.6 , 1%

0.5 , 1%0.3 , 1% 0.3 , 1%

Figure 14：Machine Tool Import Type Structure from Jan. to

July in 2015（100M U.S. dollars）Machining centerGrindingNon‐TraditionalLathePunching and BendingForging or StampingPressingOther Metal WorkingMillingGear ManufacturingSawingDrillingSloting, Broaching & PlaningBoring


Japan, 16.7 , 32%

German, 12.6 , 24%Taiwan, 6.0 ,

12%

Korea, 4.1 , 8%

Italy, 2.7 , 5%

Swizerland, 2.6 , 5%

U.S.A, 2.5 , 5%

Sweden, 0.5 , 1%

Czech, 0.5 , 1%

Britain, 0.5 , 1% Others, 2.9 ,

6%

Figure 15：Metal Working Machine Tool Import Origin from

Jan. to July in 2015（100M U.S. dollars）


Japan, 14.7 , 35%

German, 10.5 , 25%

Taiwan, 4.9 , 12%

Korea, 2.9 , 7%


Italy, 1.8 , 4%

U.S.A, 1.7 , 4%

Czech, 0.5 , 1%

Singapore, 0.4 , 1%

Thailand, 0.4 , 1%

Others, 1.7 , 4%

Figure 16：Metal Cutting Machine Tool Import Origin from



German, 2.2 , 22%

Japan, 2.0 , 20%

Korea, 1.2 , 12%

Taiwan, 1.1 , 11%

Italy, 0.8 , 9%

U.S.A, 0.8 , 8%

Sweden, 0.4 , 4%


Britain, 0.2 , 2%

Belgium, 0.2 , 2%

Others, 0.7 , 7%

Figure 17：Metal Forming Machine Tool Import Origin from


‐40

‐30

‐20

‐10

0

10

20

30

402009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015‐07

Figure 18：China Machine Tool Export Growth Rate（Y‐o‐Y%）

Metal Working Metal Cutting Metal Forming


Cutting Tool, 14.1 ,

22%

Abrasive Product, 12.4 ,

20%Metal Cutting, 12.2 , 19%

Wood Working, 7.2 , 11%

Metal Forming, 6.1 , 10%

Fuctional Component, 6.1 , 10%

CNC Device, 3.4 , 5%

Measurer, 1.1 , 2%

Foundry, 0.6 , 1%

Figure 19：Machine Tools Products Export Structure from Jan.

to July in 2015（100M U.S. dollars）


3.4 , 19%

2.8 , 16%

2.7 , 15%1.5 , 8%1.4 , 8%

1.4 , 8%

1.3 , 7%

1.2 , 6%

0.8 , 5%

0.8 , 4%

0.5 , 3% 0.2 , 1% 0.1 , 0%

0.04 , 0%

Figure 20：Machine Tool Export Type Structure from Jan. to July

in 2015（100M U.S. dollars）Non‐Traditional

Lathe

Punching and Bending

Pressing

Grinding

Machining center

Sawing

Other Metal Working

Forging or Stamping

Drilling

Milling

Boring

Gear Manufacturing

Sloting, Broaching & Planing


U.S.A, 1.9 , 10%

Vietnam, 1.6 , 9%

Japan, 1.2 , 6%

India, 1.0 , 5%

Indonesia, 0.8 , 5%

German, 0.8 , 5%

Thailand, 0.7 , 4%

Malaysia, 0.7 , 4%Korea, 0.6 , 3%

Holland, 0.5 , 2%

Others, 8.6 , 47%

Figure 21：Metal Working Machine Tool Export Destination

from Jan. to July in 2015（100M U.S. dollars）


U.S.A, 1.4 , 11%

Vietnam, 1.2 , 10%

Japan, 1.0 , 8%

German, 0.7 , 6%

India, 0.5 , 4%

Indonesia, 0.5 , 4%Korea, 0.5 , 4%

Holland, 0.4 , 4%

Thailand, 0.4 , 3%

Malaysia, 0.4 , 3%

Others, 5.2 , 43%

Figure 22：Metal Cutting Machine Tool Export Destination from



U.S.A, 0.5 , 8%

India, 0.5 , 7%

Vietnam, 0.4 , 6%

Indonesia, 0.3 , 6%

Malaysia, 0.3 , 5%

Thailand, 0.3 , 5%

Japan, 0.2 , 3%

Iran, 0.2 , 3%Turkey, 0.2 , 3%Mexico, 0.2 ,

3%

Others, 3.1 , 51%

Figure 23：Metal Forming Machine Tool Export Destination from Jan.

to July in 2015（100M U.S. dollars）


Documents

EMO 2015 CELIMO Presentation (PDF)celimo.com/wp-content/uploads/CELIMO International Meeting...CNC Automation 5+ Axis 4 Axis RAM EDM Carbon Cutting Wire EDM Additive Machines Percent