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Confidential
Emission Control Manufacturers Association
P. PandaExecutive Vice President – Engineering Division
ECT 2016
“ Emission Control Technology for Sustainable Growth"
Confidential
Emission Control Manufacturers Association
Changing Timelines
Considerations for the Future
Confidential
Emission Control Manufacturers Association
Changing Timelines
Considerations for the Future
Confidential
2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26
Original
Plan
Revised
Plan
CAFE2CAFE1
BSVI + RDE Monitor
BSVI
BSVI + RDE CF
Application & Engine
Development
Engine & ATS Development
Application Dev.
Fleet Validation
BSV RDE
Changing Timelines :
Emission Control Manufacturers Association
BS VI Development
CAFE1 CAFE2
Course
CorrectionFleet Validation
(4 + 5) Years
4 YearsReduction in Timelines
Increase in Complications
Considerations for the Future
Changing Timelines
Confidential
2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26
Original
Plan
Revised
Plan
CAFE2CAFE1
BSVI + RDE Monitor
BSVI
BSVI + RDE CF
Application & Engine
Development
Fleet Validation Course
Correction
Engine & ATS Development
Application Dev.
Fleet Validation
BSV RDE
Changing Timelines :
Emission Control Manufacturers Association
BS VI Development
CAFE1 CAFE2
IMPACT OF NO BSV
Confidential
2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26
Original
Plan
Revised
Plan
CAFE2CAFE1
BSVI + RDE Monitor
BSVI
BSVI + RDE CF
Application & Engine
Development
Fleet Validation Course
Correction
Engine & ATS Development
Application Dev.
Fleet Validation
BSV RDE
Changing Timelines :
Emission Control Manufacturers Association
BS VI Development
CAFE1 CAFE2
BSIV
BSVI
1
3
22a
4a4
Impact of NO BSV
BSV
Original Approach (BSIV-BSV-BSVI)
Gas Exchange and CR
EGR and Cooling
Injection and Turbo System
Calibration
Base
Engin
e
Impro
vem
ents
Small DPF
Optimal Regenerations
Vehicle ImprovementsSmall De NOx
1 3 44 Yrs. 5 Yrs.
BSIV BSV BSVI
Confidential
2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26
Original
Plan
Revised
Plan
CAFE2CAFE1
BSVI + RDE Monitor
BSVI
BSVI + RDE CF
Application & Engine
Development
Fleet Validation Course
Correction
Engine & ATS Development
Application Dev.
Fleet Validation
BSV RDE
Changing Timelines :
Emission Control Manufacturers Association
BS VI Development
CAFE1 CAFE2
BSIV
BSVI
1
3
22a
4a4
Impact of NO BSV
BSV
Original Approach (BSIV-BSV-BSVI)
Gas Exchange and CR
EGR and Cooling
Injection and Turbo System
Calibration
Base
Engin
e
Impro
vem
ents
Small DPF
Optimal Regenerations
Vehicle ImprovementsSmall De NOx
1 3 44 Yrs. 5 Yrs.
BSIV BSV BSVIMerits in Original Approach : (BSIV-BSV-BSVI)
Sufficient Time for Vehicle Level improvements ( BSV to BSVI ~ 5Yrs.)
Cost Effective/ Quality Effective approach due to availability of
Technologies from Europe.
New Approach >>
Confidential
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Original
Plan
Revised
Plan
FY
CAFE2CAFE1
BSVI + RDE Monitor
BSVI
BSVI + RDE CF
Application & Engine
Development
Fleet Validation Course
Correction
Engine & ATS Development
Application Dev.
Fleet Validation
BSV RDE
Emission Control Manufacturers Association
BS VI Development
CAFE1 CAFE2
IMPACT OF NO BSV
Considerations for the Future
BSIV
BSV
BSVI
1
3
2
4 a4
2a
1 4<4 Yrs.
BSIV BSVI Impact of NO BSV
New Approach (BSIV-BSVI)
Gas Exchange and CR
EGR and Cooling
Injection and Turbo System
Calibration
Base
Engin
e
Impro
vem
ents
Small DPF
Optimal Regenerations
Vehicle Improvements
De NOx
Confidential
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Original
Plan
Revised
Plan
FY
CAFE2CAFE1
BSVI + RDE Monitor
BSVI
BSVI + RDE CF
Application & Engine
Development
Fleet Validation Course
Correction
Engine & ATS Development
Application Dev.
Fleet Validation
BSV RDE
Emission Control Manufacturers Association
BS VI Development
CAFE1 CAFE2
IMPACT OF NO BSV
Considerations for the Future
BSIV
BSV
BSVI
1
3
2
4 a4
2a
1 4<4 Yrs.
BSIV BSVI Impact of NO BSV
New Approach (BSIV-BSVI)
Gas Exchange and CR
EGR and Cooling
Injection and Turbo System
Calibration
Base
Engin
e
Impro
vem
ents
Small DPF
Optimal Regenerations
Vehicle Improvements
De NOx
Considerations in New Approach : (BSIV-BSVI < 4Yrs)
Very Short Time for Vehicle Level improvements and Base Engine Design Changes.
Merits in Original Approach : (BSIV-BSV-BSVI)
Sufficient Time for Vehicle Level improvements ( BSV to BSVI ~ 5Yrs.)
Cost Effective/ Quality Effective approach due to availability of
Technologies from Europe.
Execution Of Task :OEM >>
Confidential
2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26
Original
Plan
Revised
Plan
CAFE2CAFE1
BSVI + RDE Monitor
BSVI
BSVI + RDE CF
Application & Engine
Development
Engine & ATS Development
Application Dev.
Fleet Validation
BSV RDE
Changing Timelines :
Emission Control Manufacturers Association
BS VI Development
CAFE1 CAFE2
Fleet Validation Course
Correction
Confidential
2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26
Revised
Plan
BSVI + RDE Monitor BSVI + RDE CF
Considerations for the Future
Emission Control Manufacturers Association
CAFE1 CAFE2
35
Variants
Total Variants ~ 350
Total Manufacturers : 10
Variants / Manufacturer : 35
Huge Quantum : 2 Yrs. = 35 models
~2 Vehicle/ Month
Timespan < 4 Yrs.
Skilled Manpower in huge
numbers
Skilled Manpower in Huge Nos. Required
?
Actual Fuel
Availability
Phasing In
Ideal Fuel
Availability
Phasing In gives adequate time to plan and implement
Execution Of Task :OEM >>
Confidential
2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26
Revised
Plan
BSVI + RDE Monitor BSVI + RDE CF
Considerations for the Future
Emission Control Manufacturers Association
CAFE1 CAFE2
35
Variants
Total Variants ~ 350
Total Manufacturers : 10
Variants / Manufacturer : 35
Huge Quantum : 2 Yrs. = 35 models
~2 Vehicle/ Month
Timespan < 4 Yrs.
Skilled Manpower in huge
numbers
Skilled Manpower in Huge Nos. Required
?
Actual Fuel
Availability
Phasing In
Ideal Fuel
Availability
Phasing In gives adequate time to plan and implement
Execution Of Task :OEM >>
Considerations in New Approach : (BSIV-BSVI < 4Yrs)
Very Short Time for Vehicle Level improvements and Base Engine Design Changes.
Merits in Original Approach : (BSIV-BSV-BSVI)
Sufficient Time for Vehicle Level improvements ( BSV to BSVI ~ 5Yrs.)
Cost Effective approach due to availability of Technologies from Europe.
Skilled Manpower in huge nos. and Phasing In to meet the target.
Execution Of Task :Supplier >>
Confidential
2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26
Revised
Plan
BSVI + RDE Monitor BSVI + RDE CF
Considerations for the Future
Emission Control Manufacturers Association
CAFE1 CAFE2
Investment Period
Supplier / Part : 4
Skilled Manpower in huge nos. required
4 Million
Market Size
1Mn / Yr.
Parts :(BSIV-BSVI)Sensors : DPF :
Urea :SCR/NSC :
Fuel injector system :
EGR system
Prod.
New Industry come In
Cost (For Consumer) and Technology to be developed hand in hand indigenously.
Execution Of Task :Supplier >>
Ramp
up
Confidential
2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26
Revised
Plan
BSVI + RDE Monitor BSVI + RDE CF
Considerations for the Future
Emission Control Manufacturers Association
CAFE1 CAFE2
Investment Period
Supplier / Part : 4
Skilled Manpower in huge nos. required
4 Million
Market Size
1Mn / Yr.
Parts :(BSIV-BSVI)Sensors : DPF :
Urea :SCR/NSC :
Fuel injector system :
EGR system
Prod.
New Industry come In
Cost (For Consumer) and Technology to be developed hand in hand indigenously.
Execution Of Task :Supplier >>
Ramp
up
Considerations in New Approach : (BSIV-BSVI < 4Yrs)
Very Short Time for Vehicle Level improvements and Base Engine Design Changes.
Merits in Original Approach : (BSIV-BSV-BSVI)
Sufficient Time for Vehicle Level improvements ( BSV to BSVI ~ 5Yrs.)
Cost Effective approach due to availability of Technologies from Europe.
Suppliers Skill Upgradation In huge nos. required in a very short timeframe.
Skilled Manpower in huge nos. and Phasing In to meet targets.
Engine/ Platform Design Constraints
Cost (For Consumer) and Technology to be developed hand in hand indigenously.
Confidential
2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2027-28 2030-31 2032-33
BSVI + RDE Monitor BSVI + RDE CF
Considerations for the Future
Emission Control Manufacturers Association
CAFE1 CAFE2
Engine/Platform Design Constraints
Approach 1 (Engine/Platform Life Cycle >10 Yrs.)
Approach 2 (Engine/Platform Life Cycle > 10 Yrs.)
CAFE3
Big challenge to channelize available resources for meeting
RDE,CAFÉ and Safety, concurrently.Base E/G
Design
Rework at short notice???
Plan and Develop Base
Engine < 4 Yrs
Skill and Timelines
BNCAP-2
No Time to Modify
Offset/SideSafety Compliance
Pedestrian
BNCAP-1
Confidential
2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28
BSVI + RDE Monitor BSVI + RDE CF
Considerations for the Future
Emission Control Manufacturers Association
CAFE1 CAFE2
Big Challenge to upgrade skill and apply new technology
Engaged Skilled Manpower (Europe , Japan etc.,)
CAFE3
EURO VI
Technology Challenge to do application technology indigenously.
India
Europe
RDE-I
WLTPCAFE1 CAFE3CAFE2
WLTP?
RDE-II
EURO VII?
Confidential
2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28
BSVI + RDE Monitor BSVI + RDE CF
Considerations for the Future
Emission Control Manufacturers Association
CAFE1 CAFE2
Big Challenge to upgrade skill and develop new technology
Engaged Skilled Manpower (Europe , Japan etc.,)
CAFE3
EURO VI
Technology Challenge to develop technology indigenously.
India
Europe
RDE-I
WLTPCAFE1 CAFE3CAFE2
WLTP?
RDE-II
EURO VII?
Considerations in New Approach : (BSIV-BSVI < 4Yrs)
Very Short Time for Vehicle Level improvements and Base Engine Design Changes.
Merits in Original Approach : (BSIV-BSV-BSVI)
Sufficient Time for Vehicle Level improvements ( BSV to BSVI ~ 5Yrs.)
Cost Effective/ Quality Effective approach due to availability of
Technologies from Europe.
Base Engine Design (Life Cycle >10 Yrs.) : RDE (2023) + CAFE 2 (2022) + Safety
Skilled Manpower in huge nos. and Phasing In to meet targets.
Big challenge to upgrade skills and develop new technology, indigenously.
Trends and Investments
Suppliers Skill Upgradation In huge nos. required in a very short timeframe.
Confidential
Considerations for the Future
Emission Control Manufacturers Association
Trends and Investments
Gasoline
Diesel
Others
Gasoline
Diesel
Others
2015 : Market Size 13 Million 2020 : Market Size 15 Million
By 2020, despite the decreasing market, Diesel still hold a big share in Europe.
Trend in Europe
Others : CNG/ Ethanol/ Electric
Market trend in India ? Planned Investments by Suppliers
Skill Upgradation Required
Confidential
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revised
Plan
FY
BSVI + RDE Monitor BSVI + RDE CF
Considerations for the Future
Emission Control Manufacturers Association
CAFE1 CAFE2
Investment Period
Supplier / Part : 44 Million
Market Size
Parts :(BSIV-BSVI)Sensors : DPF :
Urea :SCR/NSC :
Fuel injector system :
EGR system
Ramp
up
1Mn / Yr.
Considerations in New Approach : (BSIV-BSVI < 4Yrs)
Merits in Original Approach : (BSIV-BSV-BSVI)
Sufficient Time for Vehicle Level improvements ( BSV to BSVI ~ 5Yrs.)
Cost Effective approach due to availability of Technologies from Europe.
Very Short Time for Vehicle Level improvements and Base Engine Design Changes.
Suppliers Skill Upgradation in huge nos. Required in a very short timeframe.
Base Engine Design (Life Cycle >10 Yrs.) : RDE (2023) + CAFE 2 (2022) + Safety
Skilled Manpower in huge nos. and Phasing In to meet targets.
Big challenge to upgrade skills and develop new technology, indigenously.
Planned Investments by Supplier to meet the emission norms for Diesel market.
Skill Upgradation Required
Confidential
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revised
Plan
FY
BSVI + RDE Monitor BSVI + RDE CF
Considerations for the Future
Emission Control Manufacturers Association
CAFE1 CAFE2
Investment Period
Supplier / Part : 44 Million
Market Size
Parts :(BSIV-BSVI)Sensors : DPF :
Urea :SCR/NSC :
Fuel injector system :
EGR system
Ramp
up
1Mn / Yr.
Considerations in New Approach : (BSIV-BSVI < 4Yrs)
Merits in Original Approach : (BSIV-BSV-BSVI)
Sufficient Time for Vehicle Level improvements ( BSV to BSVI ~ 5Yrs.)
Cost Effective approach due to availability of Technologies from Europe.
Very Short Time for Vehicle Level improvements and Base Engine Design Changes.
Suppliers Skill Upgradation in huge nos. Required in a very short timeframe.
Base Engine Design (Life Cycle >10 Yrs.) : RDE (2023) + CAFE 2 (2022) + Safety
Skilled Manpower in huge nos. and Phasing In to meet targets.
Big challenge to upgrade skills and develop new technology, indigenously.
Planned Investments by Supplier to meet the emission norms for Diesel market.
Skill Upgradation Required
Confidential
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revised
Plan
FY
BSVI + RDE Monitor BSVI + RDE CF
Aspects for the Future
Emission Control Manufacturers Association
CAFE1 CAFE2
Investment Period
Supplier / Part : 44 Million
Market Size
Parts :(BSIV-BSVI)Sensors : DPF :
Urea :SCR/NSC :
Fuel injector system :
EGR system
Ramp
up
1Mn / Yr.
Considerations in New Approach : (BSIV-BSVI < 4Yrs)
Very Short Time for Vehicle Level improvements and Base Engine Design Changes.
Suppliers Skill Upgradation in huge nos. Required in a very short timeframe.
Base Engine Design (Life Cycle >10 Yrs.) : RDE (2023) + CAFE 2 (2022) + Safety
Skilled Manpower in huge nos. and Phasing In to meet targets.
Big challenge to upgrade skills and develop new technology, indigenously.
Planned Investments by Supplier to meet the emission norms for Diesel market.
Challenges
Plan BSIV to BSVI implementation in <4Yrs
Upgrade Skill Level of Manpower to make in India
Make the Design cost effective to sell in India
Plan In India
Skill In India
Sell In India
Opportunities
Confidential
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Proposed
Plan
FY
BSVI + RDE Monitor BSVI + RDE CF
Challenge for the Future
Emission Control Manufacturers Association
CAFE1 CAFE2
Investment Period
Supplier / Part : 4
Skill Upgradation Required
4 Million
Market Size
Parts :(BSIV-BSVI)Sensors : DPF :
Urea :SCR/NSC :
Fuel injector system :
EGR system
Ramp
up
1Mn / Yr.
Thank you
