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Emerging Trends in Homeland Security and Emergency Management
Mike SharonChief, Operational Planning BranchFEMA Region III
Presenter’s Name June 17, 2003
Our Environment:
Volatile
Uncertain
Complex
Ambiguous
Presenter’s Name June 17, 2003
Forces of Change
Social and Technological
Environmental
Economic and Political
Source: “Crisis Response and Disaster Resilience 2030: Forging Strategic Action In an Age of Uncertainty.” FEMA Strategic Foresight Initiative, January 2012. http://www.fema.gov/library/viewRecord.do?id=4995
Presenter’s Name June 17, 2003
Social and Technological
Universal Access to and Use of Information
Technological Innovation and Dependency
Changing Role of the Individual
Shifting U.S. Demographics
Source: “Crisis Response and Disaster Resilience 2030: Forging Strategic Action In an Age of Uncertainty.” FEMA Strategic Foresight Initiative, January 2012. http://www.fema.gov/library/viewRecord.do?id=4995
Presenter’s Name June 17, 2003
Environmental
Climate Change
Source: “Crisis Response and Disaster Resilience 2030: Forging Strategic Action In an Age of Uncertainty.” FEMA Strategic Foresight Initiative, January 2012. http://www.fema.gov/library/viewRecord.do?id=4995
Presenter’s Name June 17, 2003
Economic and Political
Global Interdependencies/Globalization
Government Budgets
Critical Infrastructure
Evolving Terrorist Threat
Source: “Crisis Response and Disaster Resilience 2030: Forging Strategic Action In an Age of Uncertainty.” FEMA Strategic Foresight Initiative, January 2012. http://www.fema.gov/library/viewRecord.do?id=4995
Presenter’s Name June 17, 2003
Recipes for Change
“Iron Chef”
new, innovative and challenging
“Betty Crocker”
classics that don’t go out of style
Presenter’s Name June 17, 2003
Waves of the Future Practice omni-directional knowledge sharing
Proactively engage business in HLS and EM and solicit business contributions to policy development
Advanced risk modeling to assess complex interactions among infrastructure and hazards
Address “hidden” vulnerabilities in supply chains
Infuse HLS/EM principles and life skills across the educational experience
Adapted from: “Crisis Response and Disaster Resilience 2030: Forging Strategic Action In an Age of Uncertainty.” FEMA Strategic Foresight Initiative, January 2012. http://www.fema.gov/library/viewRecord.do?id=4995
Presenter’s Name June 17, 2003
Golden Oldies Prepare for complex social, cultural and linguistic
demographics
Leverage volunteer capabilities throughout HLS and EM
Empower individuals, neighborhoods, communities
Influence development of emerging technologies to support HLS and EM
Flexible frameworks for surge and interoperability
Adapted from: “Crisis Response and Disaster Resilience 2030: Forging Strategic Action In an Age of Uncertainty.” FEMA Strategic Foresight Initiative, January 2012. http://www.fema.gov/library/viewRecord.do?id=4995
Presenter’s Name June 17, 2003
Questions ?
Presenter’s Name June 17, 2003
Thank you for your attention!
Mike SharonChief, Operational Planning Branch
FEMA Region [email protected]
(215) 931-5641
