SC Project Review of NCSX, April 8-10, 2008Ron Strykowsky - page 1

EIR Summary Assessments

1. Resource loaded Schedule• Organized by WBS (refer to WBS and WBS Dictionary)• Resource estimate loading based on detail WAF (see detailed

WAF packages).• Estimates basis; National Standards, Engineering Judgement/Experience,

Estimates/Data from External Sources (e.g., W7X, ATF, etc.), Previous PPPL/ORNL Experience (e.g., TFTR, NSTX, PLT, etc.), Prototype Data/Test Results, Catalogue Price/Vendor Quote, Placed Contracts, Actual experience for NCSX Work

• Task durations based on realistic manpower loadings and crew sizes. Balance of task durations based on reasonable loadings Schedule detail commensurate with schedule criticality (e.g. wbs 18 job 1810. minimum task duration 1 day).

• Proposed baseline BCWS and contingency profile consistent with anticipated funding levels.

• Shows estimate detail and priced cost estimate (see resource loaded schedule)

SC Project Review of NCSX, April 8-10, 2008Ron Strykowsky - page 2

EIR Summary Assessments (continued)

2. Key Project Cost and Schedule Assumptions

• Standard 8 hour/day 5 day/week work assumed except where 2 shift operations called out in resource loaded schedule. (see slide 10 & 11)

• Institutional overhead and labor rates utilized (see slide 12)• Contingency quantified based on estimate uncertainty and risk

using Monte Carlo simulation plus a subjective increment based on project management experience. (see slides 13 & 14 and detailed contingency analysis)

• Contingency distributed annually consistent with needs.

SC Project Review of NCSX, April 8-10, 2008Ron Strykowsky - page 3

EIR Summary Assessments (continued)

3. Critical Path

• See critical path plot on wall • See detail Primavera predecessor & successor report for logic

linkages

4. Funding Profile

• Project proposed baseline consistent with preliminary guidance (see slide 20)

5. Work Breakdown Structure

• Resource loaded schedule is organized by WBS (see WBS and WBS Dictionary)