37
E i t d E i t d Environment and Environment and In In-Use Vehicles Use Vehicles In In Use Vehicles Use Vehicles by by: Dr. Dr.- Ing. Gunadi Sindhuwinata Ing. Gunadi Sindhuwinata Dr. Dr. Ing. Gunadi Sindhuwinata Ing. Gunadi Sindhuwinata Executive President, SAE Executive President, SAE - Indonesia Indonesia JARI I d i R dt bl 2008 JARI I d i R dt bl 2008 JARI Indonesia Roundtable 2008 JARI Indonesia Roundtable 2008 “Efforts for Air Pollution Reduction” “Efforts for Air Pollution Reduction” Borobudur Hotel Borobudur Hotel Jk t Fb 14 Jk t Fb 14 th th 2008 2008 JARI/IATO/GA/0208 1 Jakarta, February 14 Jakarta, February 14 th th 2008 2008

Ei t dEnvironment and In-Use VehiclesUse Vehicles t dEnvironment and In-Use VehiclesUse Vehicles byby:: Dr.- Ing. Gunadi SindhuwinataIng. Gunadi Sindhuwinata Executive President, SAE

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E i t dE i t dEnvironment and Environment and InIn--Use VehiclesUse VehiclesInIn Use Vehicles Use Vehicles

byby::Dr.Dr.-- Ing. Gunadi SindhuwinataIng. Gunadi SindhuwinataDr.Dr. Ing. Gunadi Sindhuwinata Ing. Gunadi Sindhuwinata Executive President, SAE Executive President, SAE -- IndonesiaIndonesia

JARI I d i R dt bl 2008JARI I d i R dt bl 2008JARI Indonesia Roundtable 2008JARI Indonesia Roundtable 2008“Efforts for Air Pollution Reduction”“Efforts for Air Pollution Reduction”

Borobudur HotelBorobudur HotelJ k t F b 14J k t F b 14thth 20082008

JARI/IATO/GA/0208 1

Jakarta, February 14Jakarta, February 14thth 20082008

ContentsContentsContentsContentsContentsContentsContentsContents

1. Macro Economy Condition and Increasing Number of Automotive VehicularVehicular

2. Fuel Properties, Consumption and E i t C ditiEnvironment Condition

3. Reducing Pollution in Indonesia4. Conclusion

2JARI/IATO/GA/0208

1. Macro Economy Condition and Increasing Number of Automotive VehicularNumber of Automotive Vehicular

3JARI/IATO/GA/0208

Increasing Number of Automotive VehicularIncreasing Number of Automotive VehicularIncreasing Number of Automotive VehicularIncreasing Number of Automotive Vehicular

Automobiles & Motorcycles play significant role in the economic development of the country, besidesfreedom of mobility for every single citizen must be guaranted.

The number of automotive vehiculars is The number of automotive vehiculars is increasing along with the income growth of the people, on the othergrowth of the people, on the other hand, it also creates a lot of environmental issues.

4

environmental issues.

JARI/IATO/GA/0208

Income/Capita, Population and Automobile Market V l f ASEAN C t i Y 2007

Income/Capita, Population and Automobile Market V l f ASEAN C t i Y 2007Volume of ASEAN Countries Year 2007Volume of ASEAN Countries Year 2007

Country GDP/Capita Population Motorcycle AutomobileCountry GDP/Capita Population Motorcycle Automobile

(US$) (million) (unit) (unit)

Indonesia 1,376 234,0 4,713,895 433,341

Malaysia 3,092 22.4 449,669 487,176Malaysia 3,092 22.4 449,669 487,176

Thailand 1,850 61.0 1,598,613 631,251

Philippines 907 73.9 549,112 117,903

5JARI/IATO/GA/0208

ASEAN Automobile Sales Volume Y 1996 2007

ASEAN Automobile Sales Volume Y 1996 2007Year 1996 ~ 2007Year 1996 ~ 2007

800 000 ASEAN Sales 2007 Unit

700,000

800,000

Indonesia

S Sa es 00Total : 1,669,671 units

500,000

600,000IndonesiaMalaysiaPhilipinesThailand

300 000

400,000

Thailand

200,000

300,000

0

100,000

6

1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006

YearSourcer : ASEAN Automotive FederationJARI/IATO/GA/0208

ASEAN Motorcycle Sales Volume Y 1996 2007

ASEAN Motorcycle Sales Volume Y 1996 2007Year 1996 ~ 2007Year 1996 ~ 2007

6,000,000

ASEAN Sales 2007 Total : 7,311,289 units

Units

5,000,000

4,000,000 IndonesiaMalaysia

3,000,000 PhilipinesThailand

1 000 000

2,000,000

0

1,000,000

1996 1998 2000 2002 200 2006

7Sourcer : ASEAN Automotive FederationJARI/IATO/GA/0208

Tahun1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006

Indonesian Motorcycle & Automobile Sales Volume 2000 ~ 2007 and

Indonesian Motorcycle & Automobile Sales Volume 2000 ~ 2007 and

8000000 800 0004 Wheeled2 Wheeled

Market Projection 2008 ~ 2010Market Projection 2008 ~ 2010

7,000,000

8,000,0004 W Actual4 W Projection

800.000

700.000UnitsUnits

5,000,000

6,000,000 2 W Actual2 W Projection

500.000

600.000

3000000

4,000,000 400.000

300 000

2,000,000

3,000,000 300.000

200.000

0

1,000,000

0 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0

100.000

0

8JARI/IATO/GA/0208

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

Year Source : Indonesian C C & AISI

2. Fuel Properties, Consumption and Environment ConditionEnvironment Condition

9JARI/IATO/GA/0208

Environmental Problem and Fuel ConsumptionEnvironmental Problem and Fuel ConsumptionEnvironmental Problem and Fuel ConsumptionEnvironmental Problem and Fuel Consumption

1. Environmental problem occures because automotive products are operated with fossil -automotive products are operated with fossilbased fuel which emits polluting gasses.

2 It i bl i i f th d f it2. It is unrenewable, increasing of the used of it would harm the human health and it could also damage the environment.

3. Existency of fossil-based fuel resources is 3 s e cy o oss ased ue esou ces suncertain and limited, while meassures for fuel efficiency are eminent.

10JARI/IATO/GA/0208

efficiency are eminent.

Factors Influencing Factors Influencing bi i Q libi i Q li

Factors Influencing Factors Influencing bi i Q libi i Q liAmbient Air QualityAmbient Air QualityAmbient Air QualityAmbient Air Quality

Ambient Air QualityAmbient Air Quality

l Emission Level Character of Engine

Fuel Property g

In – UseIn – Use Vehicles

11JARI/IATO/GA/0208

Population of InPopulation of In--Use Motor Vehicles Use Motor Vehicles b C t 1997 2004b C t 1997 2004

Population of InPopulation of In--Use Motor Vehicles Use Motor Vehicles b C t 1997 2004b C t 1997 2004by Category 1997 ~ 2004by Category 1997 ~ 2004by Category 1997 ~ 2004by Category 1997 ~ 2004

40000000

45,000,000

50,000,000MotorcyclePassenger Car Bus

Units

30000000

35,000,000

40,000,000 BusTruckTotal

20,000,000

25,000,000

30,000,000

10,000,000

15,000,000

20,000,000

0

5,000,000

97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05

12JARI/IATO/GA/0208

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

Year Source : Indonesian Nationall Police

Ten Important Provinces of A t bil d M t l M k t

Ten Important Provinces of A t bil d M t l M k tAutomobile and Motorcycle MarketAutomobile and Motorcycle Market

RankingAutomobile Motorcycle

Province % Province %

1 DKI - Jakarta 30.9 DKI - Jakarta 15.92

2 Jawa Barat 19.1 Jawa Timur 14.28

3 Jawa Timur 10 8 Jawa Barat 12 353 Jawa Timur 10.8 Jawa Barat 12.35

4 Banten 5.9 Jawa Tengah 9.94

5 Jawa Tengah 5.7 Sumatra Utara 7.41g

6 Sumatra Utara 5.6 Sulawesi Selatan 4.75

7 Bali 2.7 DI - Jogyakarta 4.05

8 Kalimantan Timur 2.4 Kalimantan Timur 3.98

9 Sulawesi Selatan 2.4 Sumatra Selatan 3.45

10 Riau 2 3 Bali 3 38

13JARI/IATO/GA/0208

10 Riau 2.3 Bali 3.38

Population of InPopulation of In--Use Motor Vehicles by Use Motor Vehicles by C t i M t lit J k t 2001 2006C t i M t lit J k t 2001 2006

Population of InPopulation of In--Use Motor Vehicles by Use Motor Vehicles by C t i M t lit J k t 2001 2006C t i M t lit J k t 2001 2006Category in Metropolitan Jakarta 2001~2006Category in Metropolitan Jakarta 2001~2006Category in Metropolitan Jakarta 2001~2006Category in Metropolitan Jakarta 2001~2006

7,000,000

8,000,000MotorcyclePassenger CarTruck

Units

5,000,000

6,000,000TruckBusTotal

3000000

4,000,000

, ,

2,000,000

3,000,000

0

1,000,000

01 02 03 04 05 06

14JARI/IATO/GA/0208

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

YearSource : Jakarta Capitol Police

Pollution Through Utilization of F il F l i S l t d Bi CitiPollution Through Utilization of

F il F l i S l t d Bi CitiFossil Fuel in Selected Big CitiesFossil Fuel in Selected Big Cities

CO NO2 PM10 O3 SOx PbBangkok 2002 A D A A C B

Manila 2002 A E C C C BKuala Lumpur 2004 -- D D C A --Jakarta 2003 E C C C D DHo Chi Minh City 2002 C E E -- E EHo Chi Minh City 2002 C E E -- E E

Beijing 2005 E E D -- C --Shanghai 2005 -- E D -- E --g

Colour WHO Standard

A < 50%

B Within range

C 200% within the range

D 300% within the range

15

E 300% above the range

Sourcer : World Bank & UNEPJARI/IATO/GA/0208

Air Pollution in some Capitol CitiesAir Pollution in some Capitol CitiesAir Pollution in some Capitol CitiesAir Pollution in some Capitol Cities

04

120

SPM

SO2

104

8990

79

100

68

7960

80 NO2

am/m

3

29

39

44 42

3330

40

60

Mik

rogr

a

29

2420

1118

30

23 22

20

0 0 0 00

Jakarta KualaLumpur

Manila Singapore Bangkok Beijing Tokyo

16Sourcer : World Bank

p

JARI/IATO/GA/0208

Consumption of Fuels by G f U 2000 2005

Consumption of Fuels by G f U 2000 2005Group of Users 2000 ~ 2005 Group of Users 2000 ~ 2005

Unit: Kls

Item 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005Item 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005Household 12,409,142 12,248,482 11,622,942 11,704,403 11,787,354 11,294,676

Transportation 24,943,007 26,407,462 26,766,911 27,110,259 29,520,779 29,966,073Industry 12,147,262 12,610,242 12,259,493 11,197,083 13,494,758 11,795,661

Electricity 5,008,292 5,037,918 6,494,261 7,852,355 6,796,916 9,003,123Tot a l 54507703 56304104 57143607 57864100 61599807 62059533

Source : Pertamina

T o t a l 54,507,703 56,304,104 57,143,607 57,864,100 61,599,807 62,059,533

17JARI/IATO/GA/0208

Percentage Ratio of Fuel Consumption by S t f U d b T t ti M d

Percentage Ratio of Fuel Consumption by S t f U d b T t ti M dSegment of Users and by Transportation ModesSegment of Users and by Transportation Modes

Transportaton ModesTransportaton Modes Segment of Fuel UsersSegment of Fuel Users

88%88%7%7%

48%48%1%1%

Transportaton ModesTransportaton Modes Segment of Fuel UsersSegment of Fuel Users

7%7% 1%1%

4%4% 1%1% 22%22%11%11% 19%19%

Land TransportationsRailwaysAir Transportations

Land TransportationsNon-Land TransportationsIndustriesAir Transportations

Water TransportationsIndustriesHouseholdsElectricity

18JARI/IATO/GA/0208

Knowledge Regarding Gl b l W i d Cli t Ch

Knowledge Regarding Gl b l W i d Cli t ChGlobal Warming and Climate ChangeGlobal Warming and Climate Change

Ever Heard ?Ever Heard ? Global Warming, Global Warming, A S i P bl ?A S i P bl ?

Never Heard, 72%Never Heard, 72%Very Serious, 50%Very Serious, 50%

N S i All 2%N S i All 2%

A Serious Problem?A Serious Problem?

Not Serious at All, 2%Not Serious at All, 2%

Not Serious 5%Not Serious 5%Have Ever Heard, 28%Have Ever Heard, 28%Serious, 42%Serious, 42%

Not Serious, 5%Not Serious, 5%

Motor Vehicles, 50%Motor Vehicles, 50%Do Not Know, 1%Do Not Know, 1%

Sources of Global Warming ?Sources of Global Warming ?

Natural Climate Changes 24%Natural Climate Changes 24%

19

Natural Climate Changes, 24%Natural Climate Changes, 24%Both, 25%Both, 25%Source : World Bank

JARI/IATO/GA/0208

Road Length and CategoryRoad Length and CategoryRoad Length and CategoryRoad Length and CategoryRoad Length and Category Road Length and Category Road Length and Category Road Length and Category

Item Lenght (m) Areal (sqm) Status

1 Tol/Highway 112,960.00 2,472,680.00 Tol1 Tol/Highway 112,960.00 2,472,680.00 Tol

2 Primery Artery 112,149.00 2,140,090.00 Nationall

3 Primery Collector 51,630.75 67,384.50 National

4 Secondary Artery 502,640.00 8,299,089.00 Provencial

5 Secondary Collector 823,913.91 6,970,938.77 Provencial

6 Distric Road 4 936 928 77 20 988 103 81 Distric6 Distric Road 4,936,928.77 20,988,103.81 Distric

Jumlah 6,540,221.93 41,542,286.08

20JARI/IATO/GA/0208

Sourcer: BPS

Comparison of Road Length (2002)Comparison of Road Length (2002)Comparison of Road Length (2002)Comparison of Road Length (2002)

No Country Population Length (km)K / ilNo. Country p

(mil.) Km/mil.Artery Highway1. Japan 125 1.166.340 11.520 9.4222. Malaysia 22 64.949 1.230 3.0083. Korea 46 88.775 2.600 1.9864 Chi 1 300 1 700 000 100 000 1 3844. China 1.300 1.700.000 100.000 1.3845. Indonesia 210 26.000 520 126

Sourcer: Indonesian Tol Way Association

21JARI/IATO/GA/0208

Sou ce do es a o ay ssoc at o

Geographical Comparison Between Geographical Comparison Between J d I d iJ d I d i

Geographical Comparison Between Geographical Comparison Between J d I d iJ d I d iJapan and IndonesiaJapan and IndonesiaJapan and IndonesiaJapan and Indonesia

No Item Indonesia Japan (%)No Item Indonesia Japan (%)

1. Population (mil.) 210 125 168

2. Area (sqkm) 1,919,440 377,835 5083 Costal Line (km) 56 706 29 751 1903. Costal Line (km) 56,706 29,751 1904. Tol / Highway (km) 520 11,520 ~ 55 Artery (km) 778 000 1 166 340 ~ 675. Artery (km) 778.000 1,166,340 ~ 67

22JARI/IATO/GA/0208

Average Octane Number of Gasoline Average Octane Number of Gasoline i S l d Ci i 200 200i S l d Ci i 200 200

Average Octane Number of Gasoline Average Octane Number of Gasoline i S l d Ci i 200 200i S l d Ci i 200 200

90,5091,00

2005

in Selected Cities 2005 ~ 2007in Selected Cities 2005 ~ 2007in Selected Cities 2005 ~ 2007in Selected Cities 2005 ~ 2007

RON

89 0089,5090,00 2006

2007

RON

88,0088,5089,00

St d d RON 88 00

87,0087,5088,00

Standard RON – 88.00

86,0086,50

ng sar

bek

dan

ang

aya

ado

ceh

ura

Ban

dun

Den

pas

abod

etab

e

Med

a

Sem

aran

Sura

bay

Men

ad

Ban

da A

ce

Jaya

pu

23JARI/IATO/GA/0208

Ja B

Average Sulfur Level in Diesel Fuel in Average Sulfur Level in Diesel Fuel in S l d Ci i 200 200S l d Ci i 200 200

Average Sulfur Level in Diesel Fuel in Average Sulfur Level in Diesel Fuel in S l d Ci i 200 200S l d Ci i 200 200

350000

4000.00Selected Cities 2005 ~ 2007Selected Cities 2005 ~ 2007Selected Cities 2005 ~ 2007Selected Cities 2005 ~ 2007

ppm Standa d of S lf Le el 3500 00

250000

3000.00

3500.002005

2006

ppm Standard of Sulfur Level – 3500.00

2000.00

2500.00 2007

1000.00

1500.00

0.00

500.00

ng sar

bek an ng ya do eh ura

Ban

dun

Den

pasa

abod

etab

e

Med

a

Semaran

Suraba

y

Men

ad

Ban

da A

ce

Jaya

pur

24JARI/IATO/GA/0208

Jab S

Ba

Prediction of Total Growth Emission in G t J k t 2015 i C i t 1998

Prediction of Total Growth Emission in G t J k t 2015 i C i t 1998Greater Jakarta 2015 in Comparison to 1998Greater Jakarta 2015 in Comparison to 1998

441998 2005 2015

on

3

mpa

riso

on

2

age

Com

Emis

si

1

erce

nta

of

0

Pe

25JARI/IATO/GA/0208

Nox SO2 PM CO THC

3. Reducing Pollution in Indonesia

26JARI/IATO/GA/0208

Fuel Efficiency and EnvironmentFuel Efficiency and EnvironmentFuel Efficiency and EnvironmentFuel Efficiency and EnvironmentFuel Efficiency and EnvironmentFuel Efficiency and EnvironmentFuel Efficiency and EnvironmentFuel Efficiency and Environment

1. Efforts must be done to minimise pollution by reducing fuel consumption and using suitable fuel or substituting with other alternative fuels.

2. Introducing legislation for exhaust emissions with the consideration of availability of suitable fuel and existing technology through consistant and step by step implementation.

27JARI/IATO/GA/0208

p y p p

Strategy of Pollution Control on Strategy of Pollution Control on hi lhi l

Strategy of Pollution Control on Strategy of Pollution Control on hi lhi lMotor VehiclesMotor VehiclesMotor VehiclesMotor Vehicles

Pollution ControlControl

28JARI/IATO/GA/0208

Standard of Emission for Standard of Emission for hi l i ihi l i i

Standard of Emission for Standard of Emission for hi l i ihi l i iNew Vehicles in AsiaNew Vehicles in AsiaNew Vehicles in AsiaNew Vehicles in Asia

Country 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

China

India

Indonesia MOE Decree KM 141 / 2003 (23 Sept 2003)Malaysia

Philippines

( p )

pp

Singapore

ThailandThailand

29JARI/IATO/GA/0208Euro I Euro II Euro III Euro IV

Development of 2 Development of 2 –– Strokes and Strokes and S k l kS k l k

Development of 2 Development of 2 –– Strokes and Strokes and S k l kS k l k4 4 –– Strokes Motorcycle MarketStrokes Motorcycle Market4 4 –– Strokes Motorcycle MarketStrokes Motorcycle Market

.6.9.46%

989692.

88.6

85

81.5

78.8

77.2

74.9

9.3580

90100

69

60.5

52.3

54.259

.3

54.3

65.

57.6

607080

2 St k 4 St k

42.434 5

45.740.7

45.847.739.530

40

50 2-Stroke 4-Stroke

34.5 30.725.1 22.821.2 18.5

15 1.43.17.611.410

2030

11.40

30JARI/IATO/GA/0208

Year

Background of The Use of Non – Fossil FuelBackground of The Use of Non – Fossil FuelBackground of The Use of Non Fossil FuelBackground of The Use of Non Fossil Fuel

Uncontrollable Fuel Price

Increasing of Consumption ue ce

Alternative Renewable Energy

p

Limitation of Resources

Global Warming

Renewable Energy

Biodiesel & Bi th l

Resources Warming

Bioethanol

31JARI/IATO/GA/0208

Substitution of Fossil Fuel Through Bio-FuelSubstitution of Fossil Fuel Through Bio-FuelSubstitution of Fossil Fuel Through Bio FuelSubstitution of Fossil Fuel Through Bio Fuel

Bio - Fuel Fossil - Fuel Basis Material

Di l F l Bi di l Palm, Coconut, Jatropha,Diesel Fuel Biodiesel Palm, Coconut, Jatropha,Sun FlowerPlants which contain:

Gasoline Bioethanol

• Starch: Casava, Sagoo, Corn, Sweet Potato,

• Sugar: Sugar CaneGasoline • Sugar: Sugar Cane, Sorgum, Fruit Juice, Sugar Palm, g ,Date Palm

• Cellulose: Wood, Straw,

32

Banana StemJARI/IATO/GA/0208

4. Conclusion

33JARI/IATO/GA/0208

Emission ReductionEmission ReductionEmission ReductionEmission ReductionEmission Reduction Emission Reduction Emission Reduction Emission Reduction

Law & Regulation

In – UseF lVehicles

Traffic & Transportation

Green Vehicle

F u e lEmission

NoisepManagement

o se

Maintenance & Inspection

Development &Improvement

34JARI/IATO/GA/0208

Inspection Improvement

Integrated Strategy on Reduction of Integrated Strategy on Reduction of Integrated Strategy on Reduction of Integrated Strategy on Reduction of

l

Population distribution

A bi

Automotive Vehicle Pollution Automotive Vehicle Pollution Automotive Vehicle Pollution Automotive Vehicle Pollution

Meteorology

DispersionModeling

ExposureAssessment

distributionAnd activityAmbient

Concentration

Emission Management

Dose-Response

• Establish objectives Identify

ExposureEmission

Management p

DamageAssessment

objectives, Identify data gaps, studies and pilots

• Identify analyze, Options:Issues: y y ,and select management options

• Develop strategies

p• Fuels and Vehicle

technology• Traffic

• Technical• Economic• Legal

and implement action plan

• Institute monitoring and enforcement

Management• Standards• Economic

incentives and

• Policy• Social• Stakeholders

involvement

35JARI/IATO/GA/0208

and enforcement incentives and disincentives

involvement

Suggestion for Improvement of Suggestion for Improvement of E i t l C ditiE i t l C diti

Suggestion for Improvement of Suggestion for Improvement of E i t l C ditiE i t l C ditiEnvironmental Condition Environmental Condition Environmental Condition Environmental Condition

1 Creating Proper Emission Regulations1. Creating Proper Emission Regulations.2. Requiring of Clean Fuel, Comply to the Quality

Standard.3. Building Sufficient Infrastructure i.e. Roads and

other Related Physical Instruments4 D l i S i bl T i S B ild4. Developing Suitable Transportation System, Build

in the City Planning.5 Improving Traffic Management System and5. Improving Traffic Management System and

Included Discipline of Traffic Users.6. Applying Green Technology, Non-Fossil Based Fuel.pp y g gy,7. Building Awareness of Regular Maintenance and

Inspection.

36JARI/IATO/GA/0208

8. Strengthen Step by Step Limits of Emission.

Th k YTh k YTh k YTh k YThank YouThank YouThank YouThank You

37JARI/IATO/GA/0208