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Land Management and Natural Hazards Unit UN-SPIDER Workshop Oct 2009 1
EFFIS
European Forest Fire Information Systemand other
Early Warning Activities
European Commission
Joint Research Centre
Peter Strobl
Land Management and Natural Hazards Unit UN-SPIDER Workshop Oct 2009 2
• About the JRC
• JRC early warning in Europe:
• Forest Fires – EFFIS
• Floods – EFAS
• Droughts – EDO
• Perspectives
Contribution to UN-SPIDER
Content
Land Management and Natural Hazards Unit UN-SPIDER Workshop Oct 2009 3
Where does the JRC fit in the European Commission?
Commissioner Potočnik
Science and Research
Joint Research Centre (JRC)
President Barroso 27 Commission Members
Research DG (RTD)
The Joint Research Centre
European Commission
Land Management and Natural Hazards Unit UN-SPIDER Workshop Oct 2009 4
Our Mission
… is to provide customer-driven scientific and technical support for the conception, development, implementation
and monitoring of EU policies.
As a service of the European Commission, the JRC
functions as a reference centre of science and technology for the Union.
Close to the policy-making process, it serves
the common interest of the Member States,
while being independent of special interests,
whether private or national.
The Joint Research Centre
Land Management and Natural Hazards Unit UN-SPIDER Workshop Oct 2009 5
IRMM - Geel, Belgium
Institute for Reference Materials and Measurements
ITU - Karlsruhe, Germany
Institute for Transuranium Elements
IE - Petten, The Netherlands and Ispra, Italy
Institute for Energy
IPSC - Ispra, Italy
Institute for the Protection and Security of the Citizen
IES - Ispra, Italy
Institute for Environment and Sustainability
IHCP - Ispra, Italy
Institute for Health and Consumer Protection
IPTS - Seville, Spain
Institute for Prospective Technological Studies
7 Institutes in 5 Member States
~ 2650 staff + 250 competitive ~ 330 M€/y budget (+ ~ 40 M€/y competitive income)
Land Management and Natural Hazards Unit UN-SPIDER Workshop Oct 2009 6
FOREST FIRES
European Forest Fires Information System - EFFIS
Land Management and Natural Hazards Unit UN-SPIDER Workshop Oct 2009 7
• The European Forest Fire Information System (EFFIS) has been established by the Joint Research Centre (JRC) and the Directorate General for
Environment (DG ENV) of the European Commission (EC) in close
collaboration with the Member States and neighbor countries.
• It supports the services in charge of the protection of forests against fires in EU and neighbor countries, and provides the EC services and the European
Parliament with information on forest fires in Europe.
• Aims at providing up-to-date, reliable information on forest fires at the European level, providing European level assessments during both pre-fire and
post-fire phases, thus supporting fire prevention, preparedness, fire fighting and
post-fire evaluations.
• EFFIS is intended as complementary system to national and regional systemsin the countries, which provides harmonized information required for
international collaboration on forest fire prevention and fighting and in cases of
trans-boundary fire events.
EFFIS - Background
Land Management and Natural Hazards Unit UN-SPIDER Workshop Oct 2009 8
Active fire
detectionDanger
Forecast
Burnt area
maps
Potential soil erosion
estimates
Vegetation
regeneration
Forest fire events
CORINE
Code
CORINE Class Non-Burned
Area (ha)
Burned
Area (ha)
% Burned
112 DISCONTINUOUS URBAN FABRIC 109878 42 0.0%
211 NON-IRRIGATED ARABLE LAND 1194065 6990 0.6%
212 PERMANENTLY IRRIGATED LAND 682939 403 0.1%
221 VINEYARDS 134274 2843 2.1%
222 FRUIT TREES AND BERRY
PLANTATIONS
123157 1398 1.1%
223 OLIVE GROVES 518360 2421 0.5%
241 ANNUAL CROPS ASSOCIATED WITH
PERMANENT CROPS
16563 10 0.1%
242 COMPLEX CULTIVATION PATTERNS 1007677 5040 0.5%
243 LAND PRINCIPALLY OCCUPIED BYAGRICULTURE, WITH SIGNIFICANTAREAS OF NATURAL VEGETATION
773877 11269 1.4%
244 AGRO-FORESTRY AREAS 164627 2314 1.4%
311 BROAD-LEAVED FOREST 840208 1006 0.1%
312 CONIFEROUS FOREST 526430 3812 0.7%
313 MIXED FOREST 573425 3930 0.7%
321 NATURAL GRASSLAND 1247403 6448 0.5%
322 MOORS AND HEATHLAND 260835 1628 0.6%
323 SCLEROPHYLLOUS VEGETATION 2070419 25793 1.2%
324 TRANSITIONAL WOODLAND-SHRUB 1044180 5266 0.5%
331 BEACHES, DUNES, AND SAND PLAINS 31072 68 0.2%
332 BARE ROCK 22903 59 0.3%
333 SPARSELY VEGETATED AREAS 249691 437 0.2%
334 BURNT AREAS 19081 2102 9.9%
UNCLASSIFIED FOREST SURFACES 1371987 17445 1.3%
TOTAL 12983050 100724 0.8%
Land cover
damage
assessmentEmission assessment
EFFIS – Management Cycle
Land Management and Natural Hazards Unit UN-SPIDER Workshop Oct 2009 9
http://effis.jrc.ec.europa.eu/
EFFIS – The web-interface
• 365/24 Availability
• Public access
• Actual Fire Danger
• +6 day forecast
Land Management and Natural Hazards Unit UN-SPIDER Workshop Oct 2009 10
EFFIS – MODIS data overlay
• 365/24 Availability
• Actual Fire Danger
• 6 day forecast
• Near real time
satellite data
Land Management and Natural Hazards Unit UN-SPIDER Workshop Oct 2009 11
• 365/24 Availability
• Actual Fire Danger
• 6 day forecast
• Near real time
satellite data
• Current and past
Hot spots
EFFIS – Active Fire Hot Spots
Land Management and Natural Hazards Unit UN-SPIDER Workshop Oct 2009 12
• 365/24 Availability
• Actual Fire Danger
• 6 day forecast
• Near real time
satellite data
• Hot spots
• 24h burnt area
mapping
EFFIS – burnt area archive
Land Management and Natural Hazards Unit UN-SPIDER Workshop Oct 2009 13
Nearly 2 million records of individual fire events provided by European countries
Network of 26 countries + FAO SilvaMediterranea (non-EU Med countries)
EFFIS – Archive & Network
Land Management and Natural Hazards Unit UN-SPIDER Workshop Oct 2009 14
FLOODS
European Flood Alert System - EFAS
Land Management and Natural Hazards Unit UN-SPIDER Workshop Oct 2009 15
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
8/23/02 0:00 8/24/02 0:00 8/25/02 0:00 8/26/02 0:00 8/27/02 0:00 8/28/02 0:00 8/29/02 0:00 8/30/02 0:00 8/31/02 0:00
Dessau/Rosslau Wittenberg Torgau Riesa Dresden Labe Decin Labe/Usti N.L. Vltava/Prague
Expert Knowledge of
Member States
Meteo -Data
EU Flood GIS
Europ. Data Layers
Realtime H-Q data
Historical Data
Static Data
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
8/23/02 0:00 8/24/02 0:00 8/25/02 0:00 8/26/02 0:00 8/27/02 0:00 8/28/02 0:00 8/29/02 0:00 8/30/02 0:00 8/31/02 0:00
Dessau/Rosslau Wittenberg Torgau Riesa Dresden Labe Decin Labe/Usti N.L. Vltava/Prague
25 organisations
24/365 Web-Interface
∑ 120 forecasts per day
EFAS – System Setup
Land Management and Natural Hazards Unit UN-SPIDER Workshop Oct 2009 16
Example: Po flood 2009 (28-29 April)
Land Management and Natural Hazards Unit UN-SPIDER Workshop Oct 2009 17
DROUGHTS
European Drought Observatory - EDO
Land Management and Natural Hazards Unit UN-SPIDER Workshop Oct 2009 18
MeteorologicalData
Stations
Fields
Fore-
casts
European, MS, RB, …
Authorities
Communication on Drought Communication on Drought and Water Scarcityand Water Scarcity
Drought Management PlansDrought Management Plans
EDO Map ServerEDO Map Server
European Data Layers
LC/LU
Soil
DEM
…
RBs
VEGETATION STATE
Hydrological Processes
MONITORING MONITORING
& MODELLING& MODELLING
Land Surface ProcessesRemote SensingData
FAPAR
NDWI
Time
Series
ProductsProducts
Rainfall Anomalies
Soil Moisture
Anomalies
Vegetation
Vigour
…
EDO - Setup
Land Management and Natural Hazards Unit UN-SPIDER Workshop Oct 2009 19
• Precipitation Indicators
• Modelled Soil Moisture
• Remote Sensing Indicators
http://edo.jrc.ec.europa.eu/
3-month Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) for 10-12/2008 aggregated to regional level
EDO - Products
Land Management and Natural Hazards Unit UN-SPIDER Workshop Oct 2009 20
EFFIS →→→→ GWIS (Global Wildfire Information System)
q Feasibility fire danger at global scale (EFFIS extension to N. Africa)
EFAS →→→→ GFAS
q Feasibility flooding at global scale (pilot regions Africa)
EDO →→→→ GDO
q Monitoring of drought and desertifcation (pilot regions Africa, Latin America)
q Partners: GOFC-GOLD, GEOSS, ECMWF, DWD, NASA, NOAA, World Food Programme, Universities: Maryland, Washington State, Princeton, Dartmouth, Utrecht, ...
What's next - “G”lobal perspectives
Land Management and Natural Hazards Unit UN-SPIDER Workshop Oct 2009 21
GWIS - Potential set-up
Objective: Contribute to the development of a globally-coordinated warning system for wildland fires, including improved prediction capabilities, analysis tools and response support through sensors, information products and risk assessment models (as defined in GEOSS).
Land Management and Natural Hazards Unit UN-SPIDER Workshop Oct 2009 22
Collaboration exist between JRC and
Dartmouth Flood Observatory, Princeton University, Washington State University
Two pilot studies:
Juba/Shabelle river basins Somalia -Ethiopia)
Zambesi river basin (Southern Africa) 0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
12
/31
/19
76
3/3
1/1
97
7
6/3
0/1
97
7
9/3
0/1
97
7
12
/31
/19
77
3/3
1/1
97
8
6/3
0/1
97
8
9/3
0/1
97
8
12
/31
/19
78
3/3
1/1
97
9
6/3
0/1
97
9
9/3
0/1
97
9
12
/31
/19
79
3/3
1/1
98
0
6/3
0/1
98
0
9/3
0/1
98
0
12
/31
/19
80
3/3
1/1
98
1
6/3
0/1
98
1
9/3
0/1
98
1
12
/31
/19
81
observed
simulated
1977
flood1981
flood
hindcast Spring 1981 for
Belet Weyne (Shabelle, Somalia)
GFAS – Ethiopia Pilot
Land Management and Natural Hazards Unit UN-SPIDER Workshop Oct 2009 23
NDWI (normalised difference water index)
NDWI anomaly
SPI (rainfall anomaly) Testing Remote Sensing and
Meteorological Indicators
GDO - From European to African scale
Land Management and Natural Hazards Unit UN-SPIDER Workshop Oct 2009 24
• Models, Databases, Platforms are ready to be
expanded and adapted beyond Europe
• Pilots with various partners are ongoing
• Further partners are welcome, especially local
knowledge and local data are wanted
If you are interested contact:
WILDFIRE: [email protected]
FLOODS: [email protected]
DROUGHTS: [email protected]
Contribution to UN-SPIDER
Land Management and Natural Hazards Unit UN-SPIDER Workshop Oct 2009 25
Thank you for your attention !
Any Questions ?