21
Effects of landscape pattern on the distribution of coastal cutthroat trout in headwater catchments of western Oregon U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Christian E. Torgersen 1 , Robert E. Gresswell 2 , Douglas S. Bateman 3 and David P. Hockman-Wert 1 1 USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center, Corvallis 2 USGS Northern Rocky Mountain Science Center, Bozeman, MT 3 Dept. of Forest Science, Oregon State University, Corvallis

Effects of landscape pattern on the distribution of ... · Predictor variables in multiple linear regression models • Ecoregion; geology (categorical) • Percent resistant rock

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    2

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Effects of landscape pattern on the distribution of ... · Predictor variables in multiple linear regression models • Ecoregion; geology (categorical) • Percent resistant rock

Effects of landscape pattern on the distribution of coastal cutthroat trout in headwater catchments of western Oregon

U.S. Department of the InteriorU.S. Geological Survey

Christian E. Torgersen1, Robert E. Gresswell2,Douglas S. Bateman3 and David P. Hockman-Wert1

1 USGS Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center, Corvallis2 USGS Northern Rocky Mountain Science Center, Bozeman, MT3 Dept. of Forest Science, Oregon State University, Corvallis

Page 2: Effects of landscape pattern on the distribution of ... · Predictor variables in multiple linear regression models • Ecoregion; geology (categorical) • Percent resistant rock
Page 3: Effects of landscape pattern on the distribution of ... · Predictor variables in multiple linear regression models • Ecoregion; geology (categorical) • Percent resistant rock

Landscape ecology of coastal cutthroat troutLandscape ecology of coastal cutthroat trout

Timber harvestTimber harvest

Climate, geology, and topographyClimate, geology, and topography

Natural and Natural and anthropogenic anthropogenic disturbancedisturbance

Page 4: Effects of landscape pattern on the distribution of ... · Predictor variables in multiple linear regression models • Ecoregion; geology (categorical) • Percent resistant rock

Spatial Spatial scalescale

1:24,000 streams1:24,000 streamsUSGS 7.5USGS 7.5--min. quad.min. quad.

Population dynamics, Population dynamics, patch size, patch size, sampling/sampling/monitoring,monitoring,habitathabitat conservationconservation..

Page 5: Effects of landscape pattern on the distribution of ... · Predictor variables in multiple linear regression models • Ecoregion; geology (categorical) • Percent resistant rock

Spatial Spatial extentextent

1:24,000 streams1:24,000 streamsUSGS 7.5USGS 7.5--min. quad.min. quad.

FishFish--bearing streamsbearing streams

Page 6: Effects of landscape pattern on the distribution of ... · Predictor variables in multiple linear regression models • Ecoregion; geology (categorical) • Percent resistant rock

ObjectivesObjectivesExamine variation in the Examine variation in the spatial patternsspatial patternsof coastal cutthroat trout distribution of coastal cutthroat trout distribution within watershedswithin watersheds in western Oregon.in western Oregon.

Develop Develop explanatory modelsexplanatory models for predicting for predicting cutthroat trout distribution based on cutthroat trout distribution based on landscape characteristicslandscape characteristics..

Evaluate potential effects of Evaluate potential effects of landscape landscape disturbancedisturbance on cutthroat trout populations on cutthroat trout populations in headwater streams.in headwater streams.

Page 7: Effects of landscape pattern on the distribution of ... · Predictor variables in multiple linear regression models • Ecoregion; geology (categorical) • Percent resistant rock

Site selectionSite selection

Isolated headwater Isolated headwater populations ofpopulations of

coastal cutthroat trout coastal cutthroat trout ((NN = 269)= 269)

Coast RangeCoast Range

CascadesCascades

KlamathKlamath

HardHard SoftSoftEcoregionEcoregionRock typeRock type

(500(500--1000 ha)1000 ha)

((GresswellGresswell et al. 2004. GIS/Spatial et al. 2004. GIS/Spatial Analyses in Fishery and Aquatic Sciences)Analyses in Fishery and Aquatic Sciences)

Page 8: Effects of landscape pattern on the distribution of ... · Predictor variables in multiple linear regression models • Ecoregion; geology (categorical) • Percent resistant rock

(500(500--1000 ha)1000 ha) Site selectionSite selection

Randomly selected Randomly selected populations populations ((nn = 40)= 40)

Coast RangeCoast Range

CascadesCascades

KlamathKlamath

HardHard SoftSoftEcoregionEcoregionRock typeRock type

((GresswellGresswell et al. 2004. GIS/Spatial et al. 2004. GIS/Spatial Analyses in Fishery and Aquatic Sciences)Analyses in Fishery and Aquatic Sciences)

Page 9: Effects of landscape pattern on the distribution of ... · Predictor variables in multiple linear regression models • Ecoregion; geology (categorical) • Percent resistant rock

00 1 km1 km

Age 1+ coastal Age 1+ coastal cutthroat trout cutthroat trout in pools and in pools and cascadescascades

SingleSingle--pass pass electrofishingelectrofishing surveyssurveys>200 km surveyed in 40 catchments>200 km surveyed in 40 catchments

(Torgersen et al. 2004. GIS/Spatial Analyses in Fishery and Aqua(Torgersen et al. 2004. GIS/Spatial Analyses in Fishery and Aquatic Sciences)tic Sciences)

Page 10: Effects of landscape pattern on the distribution of ... · Predictor variables in multiple linear regression models • Ecoregion; geology (categorical) • Percent resistant rock

Spatial Spatial scalescale

1:24,000 streams1:24,000 streamsUSGS 7.5USGS 7.5--min. quad.min. quad.

Population dynamics, Population dynamics, patch size, patch size, sampling/sampling/monitoring,monitoring,habitathabitat conservationconservation..

Page 11: Effects of landscape pattern on the distribution of ... · Predictor variables in multiple linear regression models • Ecoregion; geology (categorical) • Percent resistant rock

Racks Creek0.6 km

Tucca Creek 1 km

Distance (km)

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4

γ ( d

)

0

1

2

3

4

Distance (km)

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4

γ ( d

)0

1

2

3

4

Spatial scale (km)

Spatial scale (km)

Spatial scale of variation of trout countsSpatial scale of variation of trout counts

((GanioGanio, Torgersen, and , Torgersen, and GresswellGresswell. 2005. . 2005. Frontiers in Ecology and the Frontiers in Ecology and the EnvironmentEnvironment))

Page 12: Effects of landscape pattern on the distribution of ... · Predictor variables in multiple linear regression models • Ecoregion; geology (categorical) • Percent resistant rock

Observed range (m)200 400 600 800 1000

Pre

dict

ed m

odel

rang

e (m

)

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

Predicting the spatial Predicting the spatial scalescale of of variation in CCT distributionvariation in CCT distribution

•• Weak rock (+)Weak rock (+)

•• Hard rock (Hard rock (--))

•• Mean distance Mean distance between between tributaries (+)tributaries (+)

Multiple linear regression

Adjusted R 2 = 0.78P

redi

cted

sca

le (m

)

Observed scale (m)

(after accounting (after accounting for maximum for maximum separation distance separation distance in basin)in basin)

Page 13: Effects of landscape pattern on the distribution of ... · Predictor variables in multiple linear regression models • Ecoregion; geology (categorical) • Percent resistant rock

Spatial Spatial extentextent of coastal of coastal cutthroat trout distributioncutthroat trout distribution

Racks Cr. Racks Cr. –– Coast RangeCoast Range NevergoNevergo Cr. Cr. –– CascadesCascades

0.10 km/km21.65 km/km2

Page 14: Effects of landscape pattern on the distribution of ... · Predictor variables in multiple linear regression models • Ecoregion; geology (categorical) • Percent resistant rock

Predictor variables in multiple Predictor variables in multiple linear regression modelslinear regression models

•• Ecoregion; geology (categorical)Ecoregion; geology (categorical)•• Percent resistant rock (basin area)Percent resistant rock (basin area)

•• Percent oldPercent old--growth (basin area)growth (basin area)•• Road density (km/km^2)Road density (km/km^2)•• Shape factor Shape factor (basin length^2 / basin area)(basin length^2 / basin area)

•• Mean stream slope (10Mean stream slope (10--m DEM)m DEM)

•• Percent private ownership (basin Percent private ownership (basin area)area)

•• Residual topography (10Residual topography (10--m DEM; m DEM; basin volume / surface area)basin volume / surface area)

•• Mean January temperatureMean January temperature•• Mean annual precipitationMean annual precipitation

•• Percent young forest (Cohen et al. Percent young forest (Cohen et al. 2002)2002)

* Variables listed in order of * Variables listed in order of ascending AIC for models ascending AIC for models predicting spatial extentpredicting spatial extent

Model selection with Model selection with Akaike’sAkaike’s Information Information Criterion (AIC)Criterion (AIC)

Page 15: Effects of landscape pattern on the distribution of ... · Predictor variables in multiple linear regression models • Ecoregion; geology (categorical) • Percent resistant rock

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

1:1Adjusted R2 = 0.73n = 40

Predicted spatial extent (km/km2)

Obs

erve

d sp

atia

l ext

ent (

km/k

m2 )

Predicting the Predicting the spatial extentspatial extent of trout of trout distribution based on landscape variablesdistribution based on landscape variables

- mean stream slope + mean annual precip. + percent young forest

Page 16: Effects of landscape pattern on the distribution of ... · Predictor variables in multiple linear regression models • Ecoregion; geology (categorical) • Percent resistant rock

Model validationModel validation

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

Random (n = 40)Validation (n = 8)

1:1

Predicted spatial extent (km/km2)

Obs

erve

d sp

atia

l ext

ent (

km/k

m2 )

Adjusted R2 = 0.73n = 40

Page 17: Effects of landscape pattern on the distribution of ... · Predictor variables in multiple linear regression models • Ecoregion; geology (categorical) • Percent resistant rock

Percent young forestPercent young forestPercent young forest predicted spatial Percent young forest predicted spatial extent but wasextent but was not a goodnot a good predictor ofpredictor oftotal numberstotal numbers ((R R 22 = 0.32).= 0.32).

What does this suggest about What does this suggest about young young forest structureforest structure and its relationship with and its relationship with trout distribution? trout distribution?

What are some What are some potential mechanismspotential mechanisms by by which timber harvest influences fish which timber harvest influences fish distribution?distribution?

Page 18: Effects of landscape pattern on the distribution of ... · Predictor variables in multiple linear regression models • Ecoregion; geology (categorical) • Percent resistant rock

Hydrologic response Hydrologic response (Jones and Post 2004)(Jones and Post 2004)

-50

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Abs

olut

e ch

ange

(mm

) in

stre

amflo

wClearcutsClearcuts produce persistent spring surplusesproduce persistent spring surpluses

Time since disturbance (years)

conifer, seasonal snowconifer, transient snow

deciduous, transient snow

deciduous, seasonal snow

35302520151050 40

Page 19: Effects of landscape pattern on the distribution of ... · Predictor variables in multiple linear regression models • Ecoregion; geology (categorical) • Percent resistant rock

Alternative hypothesesAlternative hypothesesMultiple hypothesesMultiple hypotheses explaining the explaining the association between the spatial extent of association between the spatial extent of trout distribution and young forest trout distribution and young forest structure.structure.

EffectsEffects of disturbanceof disturbance on vegetation, on vegetation, geomorphology, and temperature.geomorphology, and temperature.

Complex biological responsesComplex biological responses of trout to of trout to changes in cover, productivity, and changes in cover, productivity, and physical constraints to movement. physical constraints to movement.

Page 20: Effects of landscape pattern on the distribution of ... · Predictor variables in multiple linear regression models • Ecoregion; geology (categorical) • Percent resistant rock

ConclusionsConclusionsLinks between Links between geology, geomorphologygeology, geomorphology, , and and fish distributionfish distribution

Relationships between Relationships between fish distributionfish distribution, , hydrology, hydrology, andand cumulative watershed cumulative watershed effectseffects? ?

Using Using digital elevation modelsdigital elevation models (DEM)(DEM)and and remote sensing remote sensing to predict fish to predict fish distribution at broad scalesdistribution at broad scales

Page 21: Effects of landscape pattern on the distribution of ... · Predictor variables in multiple linear regression models • Ecoregion; geology (categorical) • Percent resistant rock

Acknowledgments