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EE&SE Board Update EE&SE Board Update Prepared by: Goals Work Prepared by: Goals Work Group Group 12 February 2010 12 February 2010

EE&SE Board Update Prepared by: Goals Work Group 12 February 2010

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Page 1: EE&SE Board Update Prepared by: Goals Work Group 12 February 2010

EE&SE Board UpdateEE&SE Board Update

Prepared by: Goals Work GroupPrepared by: Goals Work Group

12 February 201012 February 2010

Page 2: EE&SE Board Update Prepared by: Goals Work Group 12 February 2010

22

EE&SE Goals Work GroupEE&SE Goals Work Group

Group’s Charge: Identify the key results-Group’s Charge: Identify the key results-oriented actions and corresponding oriented actions and corresponding milestones, that if successfully milestones, that if successfully implemented, will achieve the EE&SE implemented, will achieve the EE&SE Board’s Vision 2025. And secondarily, Board’s Vision 2025. And secondarily, develop an “elevator speech” version of develop an “elevator speech” version of the vision.the vision.

Page 3: EE&SE Board Update Prepared by: Goals Work Group 12 February 2010

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What We Need To Do – Buildings SectorWhat We Need To Do – Buildings Sector

Over time, all new residential and commercial Over time, all new residential and commercial buildings to use zero net energy (RCI 1.1) buildings to use zero net energy (RCI 1.1)

Reduce energy consumption by 60% in all Reduce energy consumption by 60% in all existing homes (RCI 1.2)existing homes (RCI 1.2)

Reduce energy consumption in existing Reduce energy consumption in existing commercial, industrial, and municipal buildings commercial, industrial, and municipal buildings by 50% (RCI 1.3)by 50% (RCI 1.3)

Page 4: EE&SE Board Update Prepared by: Goals Work Group 12 February 2010

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Buildings – Ramp Up ScenarioBuildings – Ramp Up ScenarioUnits Per Year Units Per Year

6,713

1,047

2,640

162

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20250

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

New Construction - Residential New Construction - Commercial Commercial Retrofit

Industrial Retrofit Residential Retrofit

Page 5: EE&SE Board Update Prepared by: Goals Work Group 12 February 2010

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Buildings – Ramp Up ScenarioBuildings – Ramp Up ScenarioTotal Units Completed by 2025 Total Units Completed by 2025

Residential Retrofit: 470,938

New Construction - Residential: 107,415

New Construction - Commercial: 16,756

Commercial Retrofit: 38,640

Industrial Retrofit: 2,314

Page 6: EE&SE Board Update Prepared by: Goals Work Group 12 February 2010

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Estimated Annual Costs - Buildings SectorEstimated Annual Costs - Buildings Sector(includes escalation)(includes escalation)

$0

$1,000

$2,000

$3,000

$4,000

$5,000

$6,000

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

New Construction - Residential & Commercial Retrofit - Residential Retrofit - Commercial & Industrial TOTAL

Mill

ion

s o

f $

Page 7: EE&SE Board Update Prepared by: Goals Work Group 12 February 2010

77

Cumulative Costs and Savings - Buildings SectorCumulative Costs and Savings - Buildings Sector(includes escalation)(includes escalation)

86,604

144,142

$0

$20,000

$40,000

$60,000

$80,000

$100,000

$120,000

$140,000

$160,000

2010

2012

2014

2016

2018

2020

2022

2024

2026

2028

2030

2032

2034

2036

2038

2040

2042

2044

2046

2048

2050

Estimated Cumulative Costs Estimated Cumulative Energy Savings

Mill

ion

s o

f $

Page 8: EE&SE Board Update Prepared by: Goals Work Group 12 February 2010

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What We Need To Do – Electric SectorWhat We Need To Do – Electric Sector

Lower COLower CO2 2 emissions from in state emissions from in state

generation sources by 37% below BAU generation sources by 37% below BAU through emissions reductions at existing through emissions reductions at existing power plants and deployment of power plants and deployment of renewable sources capable of displacing renewable sources capable of displacing existing COexisting CO22 emitting generation. emitting generation.

Page 9: EE&SE Board Update Prepared by: Goals Work Group 12 February 2010

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Electric Sector – Current StateElectric Sector – Current State

5.8

7.38 7.51 7.63 7.76 7.88 8.01 8.13 8.26 8.39 8.51 8.64 8.76 8.89 9.01 9.14 9.26

6.44 6.44 6.44 6.44 6.44 6.28 6.13 5.97 5.82 5.82 5.82 5.82 5.82 5.82 5.82 5.82

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

7.00

8.00

9.00

10.00

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Business As Usual Target

Em

issi

on

s [M

MT

CO

2e/y

r]

Actual

Page 10: EE&SE Board Update Prepared by: Goals Work Group 12 February 2010

1010

Issues/Next StepsIssues/Next Steps

Additional actions will be needed to reach Additional actions will be needed to reach 50% reductions in the Buildings and 50% reductions in the Buildings and Electric Sectors.Electric Sectors.

Identify actionable items to support Identify actionable items to support Electric Sector reductions.Electric Sector reductions.

““Drill down” all actions to include Drill down” all actions to include milestones, resource requirements, and milestones, resource requirements, and supporting actions.supporting actions.