Education Report: Virginia's Schools in Danger

7/30/2019 Education Report: Virginia's Schools in Danger

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VIRGINIASSCHOOLSINDANGER:

TheImplicationsofKenCuccinellisPlatformforVirginiasEducationSystem,

OverallandinHighlightedLocalities

September2013


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VirginiasSchoolsinDanger:

TheImplicationsofKenCuccinellisPlatformforVirginiasEducationSystem,

OverallandinHighlightedLocalities

I.ExecutiveSummary

Havingastrongpre-K-12systemisabsolutelyessentialfortheeconomic

competitivenessoftheCommonwealthofVirginia.Intheglobaleconomy,

Virginiacompeteswithalmost200othernationsand49otherstates,manyof

whicharemakingsignificant,long-terminvestmentsintheirsystemsofpublic

education.

Clearly,thisisnotthetimetodenyourpre-K-12systemtheresourcesitneedstoeducateVirginiaschildren.Virginiacannotaffordtodisinvestasourcompetitors

aredoingtheopposite.Unfortunately,KenCuccinellihasproposedataxplan

andaneducationplanthatcoulddojustthat:

Cuccinellistaxscheme,proposedinMayof2013,couldstripatleast$1.4billionannuallyfromtheGeneralFund,whichisacrucialsourceof

operatingfundsforlocalschooldivisions.

Cuccinelliseducationplan,proposedinAugust2013,couldfurtherstarveourpublicinstitutionsofalreadysparseresources.Heproposesamending

theVirginiaConstitutiontoallowtaxdollarscurrentlybeingspenton

publiceducationtoflowoutofourcommunitiespublicschoolsandinto

privateandreligiousschools.

Thesedraconiancutsineducationfundingcouldhaveasignificantimpactonthe

qualityandquantityofpubliceducationavailabletoVirginiachildren.Worse,

theycouldforcelocalschooldivisionstofirethousandsofteachers,depriving

Virginiasstudentsoftalented,experiencededucatorsandhurtingtheabilityof

anentiregenerationofVirginianstocompeteontheglobalstage.


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II.ImplicationsforDirectAidtoLocalities

TheburdenofpayingforCuccinellistaxcutscouldbefeltbyeverylocalityinthe

Commonwealth:

IftheCuccinellitaxschemewereenacted,andhefailstofindoffsettingrevenues,

thepubliceducationsystemcouldfaceanannualshortfallofhundredsofmillions

ofdollars.ThirtypercentoftheGeneralFundisspentonDirectAidtoelementary

andsecondaryschools.Therefore,atminimum,30%ofthe$1.4billionwouldfall

oneducation.However,educationaidwilllikelyhavetopaymorethanitsfairshare,ascertainGeneralFundallocationsarealmostimpossibletocut,suchas

Medicaidspending(almost21%oftheGeneralFund).Thesepayments,while

theycomeoutoftheGeneralFund,arerequiredtomatchfederalpaymentsand

providehealthcaretocitizensinneed.

Withthisinmind,aconservativepredictionforthetotalCuccinellicutto

educationinvestmentis$525million.

SeeAppendixforhowthesecutswouldfallonindividualdivisions.


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III.FiringVirginiasTeachers

Facedwiththesecatastrophicshortfalls,localgovernmentscouldhavetomake

significantcutbacks.Theapproximatecost,onaverage,is$64,635/yeartoretain

ateacherinaschooldivision.Therefore,schooldivisionsacrossVirginiacouldbe

forcedtofireover8,000teacherstomakeuptheshortfall.

1schoolbus=30teachers

Thatsaconvoyof266schoolbuses,fulloftalentededucators,leavingtheCommonwealthforotherstatesorother

professions.


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IV.Arlington

ArlingtonCountyschoolscouldfaceacutofover$4.6million,meaningthe

divisioncouldlose71.72teachers.Sincethestudent-teacherrationis15.34:1,

1,100.24Arlingtonstudentscouldlosetheirteachers.Thesestudentswouldfill

37regularsizedschoolbuses:

1schoolbus=30students


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V.Bristol

Bristolsschoolscouldfacebudgetcutsofover$1.3million,meaningthedivision

couldhavetolayoff20.79teachers.Sincethestudent-teacherratioinBristolis

15.18:1,315.64studentscouldlosetheirteachers.Thesestudentswouldfill11

schoolbuses:



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VI.Charlottesville

Charlottesvillesschoolscouldfacebudgetcutsofover$1.4million.Tocoverthe

shortfall,Charlottesvillewouldhavetofire22.51teachers.Sincethestudent-

teacherrationinCharlottesvilleis14.38:1,323.71studentscouldlosetheir

teachers.Thesestudentswouldfill11regularschoolbuses:

1schoolbuses=30students


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VII.Chesterfield

Chesterfieldsschooldivisioncouldfaceashortfallofover$25.3million.This

shortfallcouldforceChesterfieldtolayoff392.18teachers.Sincethestudent-

teacherratioinChesterfieldis19.09:1,7,486.68studentscouldlosetheir

teachers.Thesestudentswouldfill250schoolbuses:



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VIII.Danville

Danvillesschoolscouldfaceabudgetshortfallofover$3.4million.Tocoverthe

shortfall,Danvillecouldhavetolayoff53.84teachers.Sincethestudent-teacher

ratioinDanvilleis14.52:1,781.79studentscouldlosetheirteachers.These

studentswouldfill27schoolbuses:



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IX.FairfaxCounty

FairfaxCountyschoolscouldfacebudgetcutsover$50.3million.Tocoverthis

shortfall,thecountycouldhavetofire778.33teachers.Sincethestudent-

teacherratioinFairfaxis19.63:1,15,278.7studentscouldlosetheirteachers.

Thesestudentswouldfill510schoolbuses:



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X.Fredericksburg

Fredericksburgsschoolscouldfacebudgetcutsofover$900,000.Tocoverthis

shortfall,Fredericksburgcouldbeforcedtofire14.69teachers.Sincethe

student-teacherratioinFredericksburgis17.83:1,261.85studentscouldlose

theirteachers.Thesestudentswouldfill9schoolbuses:



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XI.Harrisonburg

Harrisonburgsschoolscouldfaceabudgetcutsover$2.4million.Tocoverthis

shortfall,Harrisonburgcouldbeforcedtofire37.24teachers.Sincethestudent-

teacherratioinHarrisonburgis13.61:1,506.84studentscouldlosetheir




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XII.Henrico

Henricosschoolscouldfacebudgetcutsofover$20.9million.Tocoverthis

shortfall,thecountycouldbeforcedtofire323.39teachers.Sincethestudent-

teacherratioinHenricois18.38:1,5,943.86studentscouldlosetheirteachers.




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XIII.Lynchburg

Lynchburgsschoolscouldfacebudgetcutsover$4.1million.Tocoverthis

shortfall,Lynchburgcouldhavetofire63.74teachers.Sincethestudent-teacher

ratioinLynchburgis15.66:1,998.81studentscouldlosetheirteachers.These

studentswouldfill34schoolbuses:



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XIV.Norfolk

Norfolksschoolscouldfacebudgetcutsover$16.6million.Tocoverthis

shortfall,Norfolkcouldhavetofire256.96teachers.Sincethestudent-teacher

ratioinNorfolkis15.67:1,4,026.56studentscouldlosetheirteachers.These

studentscouldfill135schoolbuses:



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XV.CityofRichmond

TheCityofRichmondsschoolscouldfacebudgetcutsover$10.6million.To

coverthisshortfall,thecitycouldhavetofire164.99teachers.Sincethestudent-

teacherratioinRichmondis17.52:1,2,890.69studentscouldlosetheirteachers.




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XVI.RoanokeCounty

RoanokeCountyschoolscouldfacebudgetcutsover$6.1million.Tocoverthis

shortfall,thecountycouldbeforcedtofire95.28teachers.Sincethestudent-

teacherratioinRoanokeis16.07:1,1,531.1studentscouldlosetheirteachers.

Thesestudentswouldfill52schoolsbuses:



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XVII.VirginiaBeach

VirginiaBeachschoolscouldfacebudgetcutsover$29million.Tocoverthis

shortfall,VirginiaBeachcouldbeforcedtofire449.41teachers.Sincethe

student-teacherratioinVirginiaBeachis18:1,8,089.34studentscouldlosetheir




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XVIII.Winchester

Winchesterschoolscouldfacebudgetcutsover$1.7million.Tocoverthis

shortfall,Winchestercouldhavetofire27.18teachers.Sincethestudent-teacher

ratioinWinchesteris15.58:1,423.43studentscouldlosetheirteachers.These

studentscouldfill15schoolbuses:



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APPENDIX

LocalityEducation aidcut

Teachers laidoff

Studentteacherratio

Studentsdisplaced

Accomack $2,452,781.22 37.95 15.45 586.30Albemarle $3,913,198.99 60.54 16.63 1006.83

Alexandria $2,985,072.49 46.18 15.59 720.00

Alleghany $1,466,408.40 22.69 15.31 347.35

Amelia $865,152.31 13.39 18.63 249.37

Amherst $2,244,283.50 34.72 15.40 534.73

Appomattox $1,186,482.91 18.36 15.56 285.63

Arlington $4,635,874.63 71.72 15.34 1100.24

Augusta $4,554,487.21 70.46 15.39 1084.45

Bath $153,778.43 2.38 15.24 36.26

Bedford City $368,233.44 5.70 15.81 90.07Bedford County $3,909,071.08 60.48 16.60 1003.95

Bland $452,643.41 7.00 15.30 107.15

Botetourt $2,266,951.72 35.07 19.05 668.14

Bristol $1,343,978.14 20.79 15.18 315.64

Brunswick $1,265,047.10 19.57 15.50 303.37

Buchanan $1,674,244.13 25.90 15.02 389.06

Buckingham $1,101,572.00 17.04 15.24 259.73

Buena Vista $796,252.81 12.32 15.23 187.62

Campbell $3,931,592.82 60.83 16.93 1029.81

Caroline $2,093,925.88 32.40 18.28 592.20

Carroll $2,263,971.98 35.03 15.94 558.33

Charles City $390,403.37 6.04 15.59 94.17

Charlotte $1,227,622.04 18.99 16.65 316.24

Charlottesville $1,455,006.60 22.51 14.38 323.71

Chesapeake $18,274,427.63 282.73 18.72 5292.76

Chesterfield $25,348,447.06 392.18 19.09 7486.68

Clarke $777,039.48 12.02 16.78 201.73ColonialHeights $1,186,497.76 18.36 18.33 336.48

Covington $456,641.60 7.06 13.79 97.43

Craig $366,087.32 5.66 14.84 84.05

Culpeper $3,569,992.69 55.23 16.50 911.35

Cumberland $735,397.87 11.38 13.92 158.38

Danville $3,480,110.24 53.84 14.52 781.79

Dickenson $1,319,661.36 20.42 19.20 392.01

Dinwiddie $2,298,249.06 35.56 20.24 719.68


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Teachers laidoff

Studentteacherratio

Studentsdisplaced

Emporia $600,275.72 9.29 22.40 208.03

Essex $775,490.40 12.00 15.88 190.53

Fairfax City $671,662.49 10.39 20.44 212.40Fairfax County $50,307,630.62 778.33 19.63 15278.70

Falls Church $461,999.57 7.15 14.10 100.78

Fauquier $4,086,440.81 63.22 15.70 992.61

Floyd $1,006,879.25 15.58 16.63 259.06

Fluvanna $1,680,893.28 26.01 25.07 651.97

Franklin City $727,954.00 11.26 14.48 163.08

Franklin County $3,321,874.32 51.39 15.72 807.92

Frederick $5,919,753.01 91.59 16.97 1554.24

Fredericksburg $949,228.05 14.69 17.83 261.85

Galax $682,802.75 10.56 21.09 222.79

Giles $1,292,814.31 20.00 16.10 322.03

Gloucester $2,392,107.47 37.01 17.11 633.23

Goochland $550,077.96 8.51 17.15 145.96

Grayson $1,010,238.67 15.63 16.67 260.55

Greene $1,397,597.90 21.62 15.90 343.80

Greensville $865,638.76 13.39 15.86 212.41

Halifax $3,080,663.54 47.66 15.83 754.50

Hampton $11,154,026.52 172.57 17.24 2975.10

Hanover $7,283,253.29 112.68 17.54 1976.46

Harrisonburg $2,407,001.68 37.24 13.61 506.84

Henrico $20,902,157.25 323.39 18.38 5943.86

Henry $4,023,446.03 62.25 17.89 1113.63

Highland $128,308.48 1.99 13.63 27.06

Hopewell $2,254,028.81 34.87 17.14 597.73

Isle Of Wight $2,354,858.85 36.43 17.07 621.91

James City $3,255,410.90 50.37 16.06 808.88King andQueen $368,759.42 5.71 11.70 66.75

King George $1,741,268.88 26.94 20.62 555.50

King William $1,049,743.63 16.24 16.82 273.18

Lancaster $290,631.67 4.50 23.91 107.51

Lee $2,254,130.38 34.87 17.90 624.26

Lexington $233,495.26 3.61 14.69 53.07

Loudoun $22,153,509.59 342.75 18.90 6477.94

Louisa $1,613,937.95 24.97 16.13 402.77

Lunenburg $926,712.87 14.34 18.31 262.52


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Teachers laidoff

Studentteacherratio

Studentsdisplaced

Lynchburg $4,119,866.69 63.74 15.66 998.18

Madison $765,692.34 11.85 16.12 190.96

Manassas City $3,698,104.58 57.22 18.33 1048.75Manassas Park $1,766,149.63 27.32 18.70 510.98

Martinsville $1,259,187.75 19.48 17.24 335.86

Mathews $418,014.80 6.47 18.22 117.83

Mecklenburg $2,296,037.62 35.52 14.52 515.80

Middlesex $324,663.88 5.02 14.82 74.44

Montgomery $4,238,465.47 65.58 15.15 993.47

Nelson $701,365.48 10.85 15.44 167.54

New Kent $1,112,206.68 17.21 17.95 308.87

Newport News $14,670,625.54 226.98 17.85 4051.53

Norfolk $16,608,590.44 256.96 15.67 4026.56

Northampton $797,921.04 12.35 14.99 185.05

Northumberland $321,771.24 4.98 16.63 82.79

Norton $435,809.86 6.74 23.14 156.02

Nottoway $1,313,958.87 20.33 17.66 359.01

Orange $2,149,702.33 33.26 18.15 603.65

Page $1,858,300.81 28.75 15.16 435.86

Patrick $1,364,055.33 21.10 16.96 357.92

Petersburg $2,569,783.09 39.76 15.97 634.94

Pittsylvania $4,959,779.23 76.74 15.16 1163.31

Poquoson $906,860.14 14.03 17.35 243.43

Portsmouth $8,016,431.44 124.03 19.60 2430.91

Powhatan $1,782,308.89 27.57 15.68 432.38

Prince Edward $1,242,827.44 19.23 15.47 297.46

Prince George $3,217,817.03 49.78 16.23 808.00

Prince William $38,441,425.76 594.75 19.20 11419.13

Pulaski $2,312,113.17 35.77 14.76 527.99

Radford $785,929.59 12.16 14.81 180.08

Rappahannock $245,031.78 3.79 14.76 55.96

Richmond City $10,664,356.67 164.99 17.52 2890.69RichmondCounty $598,808.53 9.26 16.49 152.77

Roanoke City $6,319,875.27 97.78 19.09 1866.58RoanokeCounty $6,158,208.24 95.28 16.07 1531.10

Rockbridge $996,239.29 15.41 14.70 226.58

Rockingham $5,032,505.66 77.86 16.18 1259.78


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Teachers laidoff

Studentteacherratio

Studentsdisplaced

Russell $2,467,792.03 38.18 18.34 700.23

Salem $1,648,266.22 25.50 16.09 410.31

Scott $2,229,472.90 34.49 17.06 588.46Shenandoah $2,740,454.38 42.40 16.26 689.41

Smyth $2,708,771.79 41.91 21.08 883.44

Southampton $1,474,798.94 22.82 17.75 405.01

Spotsylvania $10,754,225.64 166.38 17.84 2968.29

Stafford $11,879,329.09 183.79 18.11 3328.45

Staunton $1,453,953.08 22.49 22.07 496.46

Suffolk $6,644,491.61 102.80 17.85 1834.98

Surry $251,869.05 3.90 13.74 53.54

Sussex $668,530.62 10.34 13.59 140.56

Tazewell $3,266,790.46 50.54 17.49 883.98

Virginia Beach $29,047,484.18 449.41 18.00 8089.34

Warren $2,282,472.49 35.31 16.69 589.38

Washington $3,328,647.73 51.50 16.42 845.62

Waynesboro $1,389,594.70 21.50 15.51 333.45

Westmoreland $753,523.52 11.66 17.38 202.62

Williamsburg $328,016.38 5.07 14.27 72.42

Winchester $1,756,638.07 27.18 15.58 423.43

Wise $3,411,910.81 52.79 15.28 806.59

Wythe $2,069,768.25 32.02 17.92 573.84

York $4,985,113.46 77.13 17.62 1358.98

Documents

Education Report: Virginia's Schools in Danger