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7/25/2019 Economy Theories
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The concepts of economic development and economic growth (in terms of
megaends). From this perspective, how important are natural resources?
Economic development as a process that generates economic and social, quantitative and,
particularly, qualitative changes, which causes the national economy to cumulatively and
durably increase its real national product. In contrast and compared to development,
economic growth is, in a limited sense, an increase of the national income per capita, and
it involves the analysis, especially in quantitative terms, of this process, with a focus on
the functional relations between the endogenous variables; in a wider sense, it involves
the increase of the GDP, GP and I, therefore of the national wealth, including the
production capacity, e!pressed in both absolute and relative si"e, per capita,
encompassing also the structural modifications of economy.
Economic growth is a comple!, long#run phenomenon, sub$ected to constraints li%e&
e!cessive rise of population, limited resources, inadequate infrastructure, inefficient
utili"ation of resources, e!cessive governmental intervention, institutional and cultural
models that ma%e the increase difficult, etc.
Economic growth is obtained by an efficient use of the available resources and by
increasing the capacity of production of a country. It facilitates the redistribution ofincomes between population and society. 'he cumulative effects, the small differences of
the increase rates, become big for periods of one decade or more. It is easier to
redistribute the income in a dynamic, growing society, than in static one.
Why GD per capita cannot accurately assess the living standard?
GDP is not a measure of the living standard, but sooner or later determines it& investment
(negative one as well) and consumption.
GDP e!cludes non#mar%et activities as household production& great disadvantage for the
less developed countries.
It does not include blac% mar%et activities
It ignores distribution of wealth and the previous production of wealth
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!elative power e"uality# the fundamental determinant of economic performance
Perfect competition& producers cannot gather power over consumers* "ero producer
power. +ithout relative power there is no coercive ta%ing and peaceful production
(ta%ing from nature) is the only way to human purposeful action.
The $oren% curve and the G&'& coefficient
'he oren" curve is a graphical representation of the distribution of income or of wealth.
-n the graph, a straight diagonal line represents perfect equality of wealth distribution;
the oren" curve lies beneath it, showing the reality of wealth distribution. 'he difference
between the straight line and the curved line is the amount of inequality of wealth
distribution, a figure described by the Gini coefficient.
'he Gini coefficient is the ratio of the area between the line of perfect equality and the
observed oren" curve to the area between the line of perfect equality and the line of
perfect inequality. 'he higher the coefficient, the more unequal the distribution is.
The ex postand the ex antecoercion
E! ante& sing e!#ante analysis helps to give an idea of future movements in price or the
future impact of a newly implemented policy.
E! post& /nother term for actual returns. 'he use of historical returns has traditionally
been the most common way to predict the probability of incurring a loss on any given
day.
What is a coercive transaction? Descrie it graphically
-ur emotional responses produce ordinal ran%ings and ran% classes of situations; they
cover less particular cases (coercive and voluntary, $ust and un$ust); It is mechanisms of
emotional processes that are less local in comparison to mechanisms of abstract
reasoning.
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Imagine I am loo%ing to find housing to live in. I am presented, in the status quo, with the
following choices&
0. Pay a landlord rent to live in some building.
1. 2e homeless.
If I pay the landlord rent, this will be described as a voluntary, non#coercive transaction.
ow for e!ample two. Imagine I am thin%ing of getting a $ob. I have the following
options in the status quo&
0. Get a $ob and pay income ta!es on the income from that $ob.
1. Do not get a $ob.
'hat third option is the one libertarians would choose, but the state3through violent,
physical coercion3has prevented them from having this option.
rivate and pulic goods. *ternalities and mar+et failure# the need for state action
ulic goods& Economists define a public good as being non rival and non e!cludable.
'he non#rival part of this definition means that my consumption does not affect your
consumption of a good. Public goods include fresh air, %nowledge and information,
national security, flood control systems, lighthouses, and street lighting.
rivate goods& / private good I4 rival and e!cludable. /n e!ample of the private good is
bread& bread eaten by a given person cannot be consumed by another (rivalry), and it is
easy for a ba%er to refuse to trade a loaf (e!clusive).
ar+et failure#/n economic term that encompasses a situation where, in any given
mar%et, the quantity of a product demanded by consumers does not equate to the quantity
supplied by suppliers. 'his is a direct result of a lac% of certain economically ideal
factors, which prevents equilibrium.
*ternalities# ollution emitted by a factory that spoils the surrounding environment
and affects the health of nearby residents is an e!ample of a negative e!ternality. /n
e!ample of a positive e!ternality is the effect of a well#educated labor force on the
productivity of a company.
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The parado* of voting and the prolem of agendum
5a$ority of 67890, this means that not all voters are single pea%ed 3 according to
their preferences.
5ultiple pea%ed preferences
'here is no equilibrium alternative
The theorem of median voter
/ median voter is a voter with a preference between the e!treme.
'he median voter theorem ma%es two %ey assumptions&
:irst, the theorem assumes that voters can place all election alternatives along a one#
dimensional political spectrum
4econd, the theorem assumes that voters preferences are single#pea%ed, which means
that voters choose the alternative closest to their own view. 'his assumption predicts that
the further away the outcome is from the voters most preferred outcome, the less li%ely
the voter is to select that alternative.
The logrolling and its implications
# E!changing of votes,
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Why the mar+et structure of perfect competition is the ideal one?.
# eo#classical economists argued that perfect competition would produce the best
possible outcomes for consumers, and society.
nder perfect competition, there are many buyers and sellers, and prices reflect supply
and demand. /lso, consumers have many substitutes if the good or service they wish to
buy becomes too e!pensive or its quality begins to fall short. ew firms can easily enter
the mar%et, generating additional competition. >ompanies earn $ust enough profit to stay
in business and no more, because if they were to earn e!cess profits, other companies
would enter the mar%et and drive profits bac% down to the bare minimum.
The prisoners/ dilemma game without communication
'wo members of a criminal gang are arrested and imprisoned. Each prisoner is in solitary
confinement with no means of communicating with the other. 'he prosecutors lac%
sufficient evidence to convict the pair on the principal charge. 'hey hope to get both
sentenced to a year in prison on a lesser charge. 4imultaneously, the prosecutors offer
each prisoner a bargain. Each prisoner is given the opportunity either to& betray the other
by testifying that the other committed the crime, or to cooperate with the other by
remaining silent. 'he offer is&
# If / and 2 each betray the other, each of them serves 1 years in prison
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# If / betrays 2 but 2 remains silent, / will be set free and 2 will serve ? years in
prison (and vice versa)
# If / and 2 both remain silent, both of them will only serve 0 year in prison (on the
lesser charge)
The prisoners/ dilemma game with communication
>ommunication enlarges the range of possible payoffs, even in the PD, where cheap tal%
should ma%e no difference theoretically. :ran% (0@@A) reports e!perimental results that
show that when sub$ects are allowed to interact for ?7 minutes before playing the PD,
they are able to predict quite accurately their opponentBs behavior. 5oreover, roughly
AC8 of the sub$ects who predict that their opponent will cooperate (defect) respond with
the same action. / longer period of communication also leads to a higher probability of
cooperation. 2oth the level of cooperation and the accuracy of the predictions drop when
players are allowed to interact only for 07 minutes.
The tools of money supply
Discount rate
equired reserve ratio
-pen mar%et operations
5oral suasion'he :ederal eserve basically uses three tools to affect the supply of money available for
the economy. -pen#mar%et operations are the most subtle of the three, and consist of the
buying and selling of .4. treasury securities to
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'he .4. practices what is %nown as ons& (in the long run) >antillon effect, sin% rates not sufficient, the automatic increase of
ta! rates
0antillion effect#'his effect describes the fact that newly#created money is distributed
neither equally nor simultaneously among the population. 'his means that people
handling money partially benefit from inflation and partially suffer from it. 5onetary
dispersion is never neutral. 5ar%et participants who receive the new money early and
e!change it for goods benefit in comparison with those who get the newly#created money
later. +e can see a transfer of assets from late money users to early money users.
The "uantity theory of money
/n economic theory which proposes a positive relationship between changesin the
moneysupply and the long#term price of goods. It states that increasing the amount of
money in the economy will eventually lead to an equal percentage rise in the prices of
products and services. 'he calculation behind the quantity theory of money is based upon
:isher Equation&
>alculated as&
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+here&
5 represents the money supply.
F represents the velocity of money.
P represents theaverage pricelevel.
' represents the volume of transactions in the economy.
Why monetary policy can e a prolem
5onetary gap
*lapse of time between the moment a monetary measure is ta%en and the moment that
measure has an impact on economy
'he monetary gap is variable and long (longer than the time period in which good
predictions about economy are possible).
'he changes in the velocity of money
Felocity is important for measuring the rate at which money in circulation is used for
purchasing goods and services. 'his helps investors gauge how robust the economy is,
and is a %ey input in the determination of an
economys inflationcalculation. Economiesthat e!hibit a higher velocity of money
relative to others tend to be further along in thebusiness cycleand should have a higher
rate of inflation, all things held constant.
1hares and onds. The price of a ond and the interest rate
/ bond is adebt investmentin which an investor loans money to an entity (typically
corporate or governmental) which borrows the funds for a defined period of time at a
variable or fi!ed interest rate. 2onds are used by companies, municipalities, states and
sovereign governments to raise money and finance a variety of pro$ects and activities.
-wners of bonds are debtholders, or creditors, of the issuer.
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'he present value of a future value& if i*078, 077 euros will become 007 euros
after one year. 'he present value of 007 euros is 077 euros
'he value of a bond which has a coupon of 07 euros when interest rate is 078 is
07&7,0*077 euros
'he inverse relation between the price of a bond and interest rate
The determinants of international speciali%ation
# 4peciali"ation determined by climate and the different available factors of
production
# 4peciali"ation determined through tradition and investments (e!.& auto production
in omania)
# 4peciali"ation determined by behavioral traits of populations of the various
countries (e!.& German production of industrial equipment)
# E!ternal efficiency phenomenon
The false argument of depressive effect of imports
0 a * 0? clothes in Germany
0 a * 1 clothes in omania
/fter trade& 0 a * 0 clothes
In this situation, international trade benefits& 'he German auto firm, omanian
firm producing clothes and the consumer in the two countries
Possible changes in the long run
>osts entailed by changes
+ays to deal with frictions
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The false argument of infant industries
Protection to infant industries until they are successful in&
aproducing with the same costs
bproducing with lower costs
:alsehood&
ain case of the same costs
bin case of lower costs
The false argument of cheap foreign laor
ogic& higher wages entail higher costs
Proof against&
07.7770.777 units, ma%es 07 per unit
0.77767 units, ma%es 17 per unit
The false argument of specific productivity
ogic&
aindustrial sectors have a higher productivities versus agriculture
bhigher productivities offset lower costs
Conclusion: Industrial sectors should be developed by each country irrespective of costs
In omania& 0 tractor*177 to corn
In Germany& 0 tractor*077 to corn
>onclusion& omania should produce corn and Germany should produce tractors
'heory of specific productivity& if + in tractor production is C times higher, one
omanian wor%er could produce C!177to* A77 to, which is the equivalent of C tractors
+hen buying German tractors& 177to&077to* 1 tractors
>onclusion& do not import tractors and produce your own tractors (even if they are more
e!pensive)
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'he falsehood of the argument& productivity depends on the level of training and capital
per wor%er
'he same training and the same capital per wor%er entails the same productivity& the
equivalent of 177to corn
177to&177to*0or one tractor, if the tractor is produced by your own industry and the case
of import from Germany is dropped
Why the surplus of foreign trade and the surplus of capital account cannot y
themselves e favorale
The fi*ed e*change rates# advantages and disadvantages
2dvantages#
/ fi!ed e!change rate may minimi"e instabilities in real economic activity
>entral ban%s can acquire credibility by fi!ing their countrys currency to that of a
more disciplined nation
-n a microeconomic level, a country with poorly developed or illiquid money
mar%ets may fi! their e!change rates to provide its residents with a synthetic
money mar%et with the liquidity of the mar%ets of the country that provides the
vehicle currency
/ fi!ed e!change rate reduces volatility and fluctuations in relative prices
It eliminates e!change rate ris% by reducing the associated uncertainty
It imposes discipline on the monetary authority
International trade and investment Hows between countries are facilitated
4peculation in the currency mar%ets is li%ely to be less destabili"ing under a fi!ed
e!change rate system than it is in a fle!ible one, since it does not amplify
fluctuations resulting from business cycles
:i!ed e!change rates impose a price discipline on nations with higher inflation
rates than the rest of the world, as such a nation is li%ely to face persistent deficits
in its balance of payments and loss of reserves
Disadvantages#
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'he main criticism of a fi!ed e!change rate is that fle!ible e!change rates serve to ad$ust
the balance of trade. +hen a trade deficit occurs under a floating e!change rate, there will
be increased demand for the foreign (rather than domestic) currency, which will push up
the price of the foreign currency in terms of the domestic currency. 'hat in turn ma%es the
price of foreign goods less attractive to the domestic mar%et and thus pushes down the
trade deficit. nder fi!ed e!change rates, this automatic rebalancing does not occur
The floating e*change rates# advantages and disadvantages
:loating e!change rates have these main advantages&
0. o need for international management of e!change rates
1. o need for frequent central ban% intervention
?. o need for elaborate capital flow restrictions
C. Greater insulation from other countriesB economic problems
:loating e!change rates also have disadvantages&
igher volatility&
se of scarce resources to predict e!change rates
'endency to worsen e!isting problems&
The une"ual inflation rates or the change in relative prices as a determinant of
changes in e*change rates
/s a general rule, a country with a consistently lower inflation rate e!hibits a rising
currency value, as its purchasing power increases relative to other currencies. During the
last half of the twentieth century, the countries with low inflation included Japan,
Germany and 4wit"erland, while the .4. and >anada achieved low inflation only later.
'hose countries with higher inflation typically see depreciation in their currency in
relation to the currencies of their trading partners. 'his is also usually accompanied by
higher interest rates.
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The change in relative incomes as a determinant of changes in e*change rates
'he current account is the balance of trade between a country and its trading partners,
reflecting all payments between countries for goods, services, interest and dividends. /
deficit in the current account shows the country is spending more on foreign trade than it
is earning, and that it is borrowing capital from foreign sources to ma%e up the deficit. In
other words, the country requires more foreign currency than it receives through sales of
e!ports, and it supplies more of its own currency than foreigners demand for its products.
'he e!cess demand for foreign currency lowers the countrys e!change rate until
domestic goods and services are cheap enough for foreigners, and foreign assets are too
e!pensive to generate sales for domestic interests
/ ratio comparing e!port prices to import prices, the terms of trade is related to current
accounts and the balance of payments. If the price of a countrys e!ports rises by a greater
rate than that of its imports, its terms of trade have favorably improved. Increasing terms
of trade shows greater demand for the countrys e!ports. 'his, in turn, results in rising
revenues from e!ports, which provides increased demand for the countrys currency (and
an increase in the currencys value). If the price of e!ports rises by a smaller rate than that
of its imports, the currencys value will decrease in relation to its trading partners.
The change in relative interest rates as a determinant of changes in e*change rates
Interest rates, inflation and e!change rates are all highly correlated. 2y manipulating
interest rates, central ban%s e!ert influence over both inflation and e!change rates, and
changing interest rates impact inflation and currency values. igher interest rates offer
lenders in an economy a higher return relative to other countries. 'herefore, higher
interest rates attract foreign capital and cause the e!change rate to rise. 'he impact of
higher interest rates is mitigated, however, if inflation in the country is much higher than
in others, or if additional factors serve to drive the currency down. 'he opposite
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relationship e!ists for decreasing interest rates # that is, lower interest rates tend to
decrease e!change rates.
The alance of international payments# components and properties
ecording of all payments between a country and all other countries
'he principle of double#entry accounting
/ll payments to the country by foreigners are receipts and are recorded with 9
/ll payments to foreigners are recorded with 3
'rade balance& surplus and deficit
'rade balance and economic performance
Increase and decrease in official reserves
4ince many international transactions included in the balance of payments do not involve
the payment of money, this figure may differ significantly from net payments made to
foreign entities over a period of time.
In theory, a current account deficit would have to be financed by a net inflow in the
capital and financial account, while a current account surplus should correspond to an
outflow in the capital and financial account for a net figure of "ero. In actual practice,
however, the fact that data are compiled from multiple sources gives rise to some degree
of measurement error.
2alance of payments and international investment position data are critical in formulating
national and international economic policy. >ertain aspects of the balance of payments
data, such as payment imbalances and foreign direct investment, are %ey issues that a
nationBs economic policies see% to address.
!easons for ta*ation
egative e!ternalities& compensation to receiver
Positive e!ternality& compensation to producer
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'>*5onetary cost 9negative e!ternality
Public goods& (0) non#e!clusive& :ree rider effect
(1) on#e!haustive
Implementation of social $ustice
+hat is social $ustice and how can it be implementedK
awlsB ma!i#min principle
>oercive transfers versus public goods
'he nature of state
E! ante coercive activities
The ta* shifting and the ta* incidence
'he legal payer of ta!
'he real payer of ta!
E!ample& the increase of F/' in omania
'a! incidence reveals which group, the consumers or producers, will pay the price of a
new ta!. :or e!ample, the demand for cigarettes is fairly inelastic, which means that
despite changes in price, the demand for cigarettes will remain relatively constant. ets
imagine the government decided to impose an increased ta! on cigarettes. In this case, the
producers may increase the sale price by the full amount of the ta!. If consumers still
purchased cigarettes in the same amount after the increase in price, it would be said that
the ta! incidence fell entirely on the buyers.
The system of flat ta*# advantages and disadvantages
/ system that applies the same ta! rate to every ta!payer regardless of income brac%et. /
flat ta! applies the same ta! rate to all ta!payers, with no deductions or e!emptionsallowed. 4upporters of a flat ta! system propose that it would give ta!payers incentive to
earn more because they would not be penali"ed with a higher ta! brac%et. In addition,
supporters argue that a flat ta! system is fairer because it imposed the ta! on all ta!payers
regardless of income.
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ros&
/ flat ta! spreads the ta! burden across all earners, which means that
more people pay for the benefits of government, direct or indirect, that
they receive.
/ flat ta! means that the marginal benefit of earning a dollar is always
the same; there are no diminishing returns to wor%ing harder to ma%e
more money.
/ revenue neutral flat ta! will lower ta!es on the wealthy, which will
give them more disposable income to spend.0ons&
4ince the basic necessities of life cost at least a certain amount, a flat
ta! will cut more deeply into the disposable income of lower#income
ta!payers.
:or ta!payers with very low income, the imposition of ta! could force
them into penury.
/ revenue#neutral flat ta! will increase the ta! burden on the poor and
middle#class, who are suffering disproportionately in this economy.
2y the same to%en, the marginal utility of a dollar decreases as income
increases; a flat ta! will, therefore, in utilitarian terms, impose a lower
ta! rate on high#income earners.
The system of progressive ta*ation# advantages and disadvantages
/ ta! that ta%es a larger percentage from the income of high#income earners than it does
from low#income individuals. 2asically, ta!payers are bro%en down into categories based
on ta!able income; the more one earns, the more ta!es they will have to pay once they
cross the benchmar% cut#off points between the different ta! brac%et levels.
ro&
0. It helps to provide a buffer against income inequality.
1. It encourages a system of social $ustice that allows everyone to have a chance at
success.
?. It provides higher overall levels of revenue.
C. It gives people a safety net in which they can operate.
0on&
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0. It may be interpreted as discriminatory.
1. 'hose who barely brea% into a new ta! brac%et may lose their additional earnings.
?. It encourages the wealthy to not be transparent about their income.
C. It creates a complicated system of bureaucracy.
The causes of udgetary deficits
0auses&
0 Disappearance of the capital accumulation norm
1 Disappearance of the balanced budget norm
? Disappearance of the gold standard&
C Political myopia
6 'he generational hiatus
The effects of udgetary deficits
ffects#
0'he danger of inflationary monetary growth meant to pay bac% the government
debt
1'he decrease of loans supply to the private sector, increase in interest rates and
slow down of economic growth
?'he danger of destroying the democratic institutions through the growth of state
sector
ut forth two solutions to the prolem of permanent udgetary deficits
'he gold standard
'he constitutional rule of the balanced budgets