36
Economics 172 Issues in African Economic Development Professor Ted Miguel Department of Economics University of California, Berkeley

Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture20.pdfEconomics 172: Lecture 20 4 Outline: (1) Historical population density and political power in

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Page 1: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture20.pdfEconomics 172: Lecture 20 4 Outline: (1) Historical population density and political power in

Econ

omic

s 17

2Is

sues

in A

frica

n E

cono

mic

Dev

elop

men

t

Pro

fess

or T

ed M

igue

lD

epar

tmen

t of E

cono

mic

sU

nive

rsity

of C

alifo

rnia

, Ber

kele

y

Page 2: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture20.pdfEconomics 172: Lecture 20 4 Outline: (1) Historical population density and political power in

Econ

omic

s 17

2Is

sues

in A

frica

n E

cono

mic

Dev

elop

men

t

Lect

ure

20 –

Apr

il 5,

200

7

Page 3: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture20.pdfEconomics 172: Lecture 20 4 Outline: (1) Historical population density and political power in

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

20

3

Page 4: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture20.pdfEconomics 172: Lecture 20 4 Outline: (1) Historical population density and political power in

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

20

4

Out

line:

(1)

His

toric

al p

opul

atio

n de

nsity

and

pol

itica

l pow

er in

A

frica

(Her

bst2

000)

Page 5: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture20.pdfEconomics 172: Lecture 20 4 Outline: (1) Historical population density and political power in

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

20

5

Pop

ulat

ion

dens

ity a

nd p

oliti

cs in

Afri

ca

•Th

e ba

sic

idea

: his

toric

ally

, lan

d w

as a

bund

ant i

n A

frica

and

pop

ulat

ion

was

low

. The

sca

rce

reso

urce

w

as la

born

ot la

nd

Page 6: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture20.pdfEconomics 172: Lecture 20 4 Outline: (1) Historical population density and political power in

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

20

6

Pop

ulat

ion

dens

ity a

nd p

oliti

cs in

Afri

ca

•Th

e ba

sic

idea

: his

toric

ally

, lan

d w

as a

bund

ant i

n A

frica

and

pop

ulat

ion

was

low

. The

sca

rce

reso

urce

w

as la

born

ot la

nd

•W

ars

in S

ub-S

ahar

an A

frica

trad

ition

ally

wer

e ov

er

cont

rol o

f lab

or a

nd li

vest

ock

(the

valu

able

sca

rce

reso

urce

s) ra

ther

than

the

cont

rol o

f lan

d

•Th

e re

sult

is th

at w

arfa

re a

nd p

oliti

cs lo

ok v

ery

diffe

rent

his

toric

ally

in A

frica

than

in E

urop

e or

Asi

a,

with

thei

r muc

h hi

gher

pop

ulat

ion

dens

ities

Page 7: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture20.pdfEconomics 172: Lecture 20 4 Outline: (1) Historical population density and political power in

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

20

7

Tabl

e 1.

1, 1

900

popu

latio

n de

nsiti

es

Reg

ion

Den

sity

in 1

900

(peo

ple/

km2 )

Japa

n11

8.2

Eur

ope

62.9

Chi

na45

.6S

outh

Asi

a38

.2S

ub-S

ahar

an A

frica

4.4

Latin

Am

eric

a3.

7

Page 8: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture20.pdfEconomics 172: Lecture 20 4 Outline: (1) Historical population density and political power in

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

20

8

Tabl

e 1.

1, 1

900

popu

latio

n de

nsiti

es

Reg

ion

Den

sity

in 1

900

(peo

ple/

km2 )

Japa

n11

8.2

Eur

ope

62.9

Chi

na45

.6S

outh

Asi

a38

.2S

ub-S

ahar

an A

frica

4.4

Latin

Am

eric

a3.

7

Page 9: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture20.pdfEconomics 172: Lecture 20 4 Outline: (1) Historical population density and political power in

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

20

9

Tabl

e 1.

1, 1

900

popu

latio

n de

nsiti

es

Reg

ion

Den

sity

in 1

900

(peo

ple/

km2 )

Japa

n11

8.2

Eur

ope

62.9

Chi

na45

.6S

outh

Asi

a38

.2S

ub-S

ahar

an A

frica

4.4

Latin

Am

eric

a3.

7

•W

hy w

as p

opul

atio

n de

nsity

so

low

in A

frica

?

Page 10: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture20.pdfEconomics 172: Lecture 20 4 Outline: (1) Historical population density and political power in

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

20

10

Tabl

e 1.

1, 1

900

popu

latio

n de

nsiti

es

Reg

ion

Den

sity

in 1

900

(peo

ple/

km2 )

Japa

n11

8.2

Eur

ope

62.9

Chi

na45

.6S

outh

Asi

a38

.2S

ub-S

ahar

an A

frica

4.4

Latin

Am

eric

a3.

7

•W

hy w

as p

opul

atio

n de

nsity

so

low

in A

frica

?(i)

Tro

pica

l dis

ease

; (ii)

Low

agr

icul

tura

l pro

duct

ivity

;(ii

i) Th

e sl

ave

trade

Page 11: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture20.pdfEconomics 172: Lecture 20 4 Outline: (1) Historical population density and political power in

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

20

11

Pop

ulat

ion

dens

ity a

nd p

oliti

cs in

Afri

ca

•Lo

w p

opul

atio

n de

nsity

his

toric

ally

mad

e it

diffi

cult

to

radi

ate

polit

ical

pow

er o

ver s

pace

in A

frica

•E

xcep

tion:

the

high

land

s of

Eas

t Afri

ca (e

.g.,

Rw

anda

)

Page 12: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture20.pdfEconomics 172: Lecture 20 4 Outline: (1) Historical population density and political power in

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

20

12

Pop

ulat

ion

dens

ity a

nd p

oliti

cs in

Afri

ca

•Lo

w p

opul

atio

n de

nsity

his

toric

ally

mad

e it

diffi

cult

to

radi

ate

polit

ical

pow

er o

ver s

pace

in A

frica

•E

xcep

tion:

the

high

land

s of

Eas

t Afri

ca (e

.g.,

Rw

anda

)

•“E

xit”

as a

pol

itica

l opt

ion:

giv

en a

bund

ant f

ree

land

, di

ssat

isfie

d gr

oups

cou

ld tr

aditi

onal

ly m

ove

else

whe

re

to s

tart

thei

r ow

n co

mm

uniti

es

Page 13: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture20.pdfEconomics 172: Lecture 20 4 Outline: (1) Historical population density and political power in

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

20

13

Pop

ulat

ion

dens

ity a

nd p

oliti

cs in

Afri

ca

•Lo

w p

opul

atio

n de

nsity

his

toric

ally

mad

e it

diffi

cult

to

radi

ate

polit

ical

pow

er o

ver s

pace

in A

frica

•E

xcep

tion:

the

high

land

s of

Eas

t Afri

ca (e

.g.,

Rw

anda

)

•“E

xit”

as a

pol

itica

l opt

ion:

giv

en a

bund

ant f

ree

land

, di

ssat

isfie

d gr

oups

cou

ld tr

aditi

onal

ly m

ove

else

whe

re

to s

tart

thei

r ow

n co

mm

uniti

es--

Forc

ed la

bor /

sla

very

may

hav

e be

en o

ne re

actio

n to

this

thre

at b

y ru

lers

Page 14: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture20.pdfEconomics 172: Lecture 20 4 Outline: (1) Historical population density and political power in

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

20

14

Pop

ulat

ion

dens

ity a

nd p

oliti

cs in

Afri

ca

•Th

is p

ictu

re b

egin

s to

cha

nge

in th

e 18

than

d 19

th

cent

ury,

in p

art d

ue to

the

impo

rtatio

n of

mill

ions

of

guns

as

part

of th

e S

lave

Tra

de

•La

rger

sta

tes

emer

ge d

urin

g th

is p

erio

d –

Sok

oto

Em

irate

in N

iger

ia, Z

ulu

Em

pire

in S

outh

ern

Afri

ca,

Bug

anda

in U

gand

a, A

shan

ti in

Gha

na. O

ther

im

porta

nt p

re-c

olon

ial s

tate

s in

clud

e S

wah

ili-O

man

i K

ingd

om, E

thio

pia,

Lib

eria

, …

Page 15: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture20.pdfEconomics 172: Lecture 20 4 Outline: (1) Historical population density and political power in

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

20

15

The

rise

of E

urop

ean

colo

nial

ism

•Th

is p

roce

ss o

f pol

itica

l con

solid

atio

n w

as a

rgua

bly

shor

t-circ

uite

d by

Eur

opea

n co

nque

st in

the

late

18

00s,

form

aliz

ed in

the

1885

Ber

lin C

onfe

renc

e

•W

hy d

id E

urop

eans

dec

ide

to c

onqu

er A

frica

, afte

r be

ing

cont

ent w

ith tr

ade

for h

undr

eds

of y

ears

?

Page 16: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture20.pdfEconomics 172: Lecture 20 4 Outline: (1) Historical population density and political power in

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

20

16

The

rise

of E

urop

ean

colo

nial

ism

•Th

is p

roce

ss o

f pol

itica

l con

solid

atio

n w

as a

rgua

bly

shor

t-circ

uite

d by

Eur

opea

n co

nque

st in

the

late

18

00s,

form

aliz

ed in

the

1885

Ber

lin C

onfe

renc

e

•W

hy d

id E

urop

eans

dec

ide

to c

onqu

er A

frica

, afte

r be

ing

cont

ent w

ith tr

ade

for h

undr

eds

of y

ears

?(1

) The

use

of q

uini

ne g

reat

ly re

duce

d th

e th

reat

of

mal

aria

for E

urop

eans

Page 17: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture20.pdfEconomics 172: Lecture 20 4 Outline: (1) Historical population density and political power in

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

20

17

The

rise

of E

urop

ean

colo

nial

ism

•Th

is p

roce

ss o

f pol

itica

l con

solid

atio

n w

as a

rgua

bly

shor

t-circ

uite

d by

Eur

opea

n co

nque

st in

the

late

18

00s,

form

aliz

ed in

the

1885

Ber

lin C

onfe

renc

e

•W

hy d

id E

urop

eans

dec

ide

to c

onqu

er A

frica

, afte

r be

ing

cont

ent w

ith tr

ade

for h

undr

eds

of y

ears

?(1

) The

use

of q

uini

ne g

reat

ly re

duce

d th

e th

reat

of

mal

aria

for E

urop

eans

(2) T

he in

vent

ion

of th

e m

achi

ne g

un (t

he M

axim

gun

) gr

eatly

incr

ease

d th

eir r

elat

ive

mili

tary

mig

ht(3

) Gro

win

g im

peria

l riv

alrie

s w

ithin

Eur

ope

(Ger

man

y ve

rsus

Fra

nce

vers

us U

K)

Page 18: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture20.pdfEconomics 172: Lecture 20 4 Outline: (1) Historical population density and political power in

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

20

18

Eur

opea

n co

loni

al in

stitu

tions

•P

oliti

cal i

nstit

utio

ns: “

indi

rect

rule

”in

Brit

ish

colo

nies

. R

ural

are

as le

ft to

co-

opte

d “tr

aditi

onal

”rul

ers.

Dire

ct

cont

rol o

f cap

ital c

ities

, min

es, p

lant

atio

ns a

nd p

orts

.

Page 19: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture20.pdfEconomics 172: Lecture 20 4 Outline: (1) Historical population density and political power in

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

20

19

Eur

opea

n co

loni

al in

stitu

tions

•P

oliti

cal i

nstit

utio

ns: “

indi

rect

rule

”in

Brit

ish

colo

nies

. R

ural

are

as le

ft to

co-

opte

d “tr

aditi

onal

”rul

ers.

Dire

ct

cont

rol o

f cap

ital c

ities

, min

es, p

lant

atio

ns a

nd p

orts

.•

Eco

nom

ic in

stitu

tions

: for

ced

labo

r (Fr

ench

, Bel

gian

co

loni

es),

the

“hut

tax”

paid

in c

ash

(Brit

ish

colo

nies

)

Page 20: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture20.pdfEconomics 172: Lecture 20 4 Outline: (1) Historical population density and political power in

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

20

20

Eur

opea

n co

loni

al in

stitu

tions

•P

oliti

cal i

nstit

utio

ns: “

indi

rect

rule

”in

Brit

ish

colo

nies

. R

ural

are

as le

ft to

co-

opte

d “tr

aditi

onal

”rul

ers.

Dire

ct

cont

rol o

f cap

ital c

ities

, min

es, p

lant

atio

ns a

nd p

orts

.•

Eco

nom

ic in

stitu

tions

: for

ced

labo

r (Fr

ench

, Bel

gian

co

loni

es),

the

“hut

tax”

paid

in c

ash

(Brit

ish

colo

nies

)

Impe

rial P

ower

Roa

d de

nsity

(km

road

s/km

2ar

ea)

1935

1963

Brit

ish

colo

nies

0.02

0.09

Fren

ch c

olon

ies

0.01

0.04

Bel

gian

Con

go0.

020.

07S

outh

Afri

ca0.

110.

27

Page 21: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture20.pdfEconomics 172: Lecture 20 4 Outline: (1) Historical population density and political power in

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

20

21

The

Eur

opea

n co

loni

al le

gacy

•H

erbs

t(20

00) f

unda

men

tally

stre

sses

con

tinui

ties

in

Afri

can

polit

ical

eco

nom

y –

pre-

colo

nial

, col

onia

l and

po

st-c

olon

ial –

cond

ition

ed b

y th

e ph

ysic

al

envi

ronm

ent

Page 22: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture20.pdfEconomics 172: Lecture 20 4 Outline: (1) Historical population density and political power in

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

20

22

The

Eur

opea

n co

loni

al le

gacy

•H

erbs

t(20

00) f

unda

men

tally

stre

sses

con

tinui

ties

in

Afri

can

polit

ical

eco

nom

y –

pre-

colo

nial

, col

onia

l and

po

st-c

olon

ial –

cond

ition

ed b

y th

e ph

ysic

al

envi

ronm

ent

•Th

e E

urop

ean

colo

nial

per

iod

in m

ost o

f Sub

-Sah

aran

A

frica

is re

lativ

ely

brie

f, ro

ughl

y 18

90s-

1960

s•

Sha

rp c

ontra

st w

ith lo

ng-te

rm E

urop

ean

colo

nial

ism

in

Asi

a (e

.g.,

Brit

ish

in In

dia,

Dut

ch in

Indo

nesi

a) w

hich

la

sted

for c

entu

ries

and

prob

ably

left

a de

eper

in

stitu

tiona

l im

prin

t

Page 23: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture20.pdfEconomics 172: Lecture 20 4 Outline: (1) Historical population density and political power in

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

20

23

Out

line:

(1)

His

toric

al p

opul

atio

n de

nsity

and

pol

itica

l pow

er in

A

frica

(Her

bst2

000)

(2)

Bat

es (2

001)

on

agric

ultu

ral m

arke

ting

polic

ies

Page 24: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture20.pdfEconomics 172: Lecture 20 4 Outline: (1) Historical population density and political power in

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

20

24

Agr

icul

tura

l mar

ketin

g in

col

onia

l Afri

ca

•A

gric

ultu

ral m

arke

ting

boar

ds c

an in

theo

ry in

sure

fa

rmer

s ag

ains

t pric

e flu

ctua

tions

, allo

w th

e go

vern

men

t to

inve

st in

new

tech

nolo

gies

, etc

.

Page 25: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture20.pdfEconomics 172: Lecture 20 4 Outline: (1) Historical population density and political power in

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

20

25

Agr

icul

tura

l mar

ketin

g in

col

onia

l Afri

ca

•A

gric

ultu

ral m

arke

ting

boar

ds c

an in

theo

ry in

sure

fa

rmer

s ag

ains

t pric

e flu

ctua

tions

, allo

w th

e go

vern

men

t to

inve

st in

new

tech

nolo

gies

, etc

.

Page 26: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture20.pdfEconomics 172: Lecture 20 4 Outline: (1) Historical population density and political power in

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

20

26

Agr

icul

tura

l mar

ketin

g in

col

onia

l Afri

ca

•H

owev

er, i

n pr

actic

e in

col

onia

l Afri

ca m

arke

ting

boar

d pr

ices

wer

e se

t far

bel

ow w

orld

pric

es, l

eadi

ng to

a

mas

sive

tran

sfer

of i

ncom

e fro

m A

frica

n fa

rmer

s to

E

urop

ean

empi

res,

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Page 27: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture20.pdfEconomics 172: Lecture 20 4 Outline: (1) Historical population density and political power in

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172:

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ture

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27

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Page 28: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture20.pdfEconomics 172: Lecture 20 4 Outline: (1) Historical population density and political power in

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

20

28

Agr

icul

tura

l mar

ketin

g in

col

onia

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Page 29: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture20.pdfEconomics 172: Lecture 20 4 Outline: (1) Historical population density and political power in

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

20

29

•Fo

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Page 30: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture20.pdfEconomics 172: Lecture 20 4 Outline: (1) Historical population density and political power in

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

20

30

Whi

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Page 31: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture20.pdfEconomics 172: Lecture 20 4 Outline: (1) Historical population density and political power in

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

20

31

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Page 32: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture20.pdfEconomics 172: Lecture 20 4 Outline: (1) Historical population density and political power in

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

20

32

Whi

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Page 33: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture20.pdfEconomics 172: Lecture 20 4 Outline: (1) Historical population density and political power in

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

20

33

Whi

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Page 34: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture20.pdfEconomics 172: Lecture 20 4 Outline: (1) Historical population density and political power in

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

20

34

Whi

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Page 35: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture20.pdfEconomics 172: Lecture 20 4 Outline: (1) Historical population density and political power in

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

20

35

Map

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frica

Page 36: Economics 172 - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/emiguel/e172_s07/lecture20.pdfEconomics 172: Lecture 20 4 Outline: (1) Historical population density and political power in

Eco

nom

ics

172:

Lec

ture

20

36

Map

of A

frica