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Economic Research Center
The project on estimating of factors that affect Targeted
Social Assistance (TSA) system
24 april, 2008
The name of project: “; The project on estimating of factors that affect targeted social assistance system
The purpose of project: To explore the quality of new mechanism’s application, perceiving its importance, to determine the factors that influence errors of inclusion and exclusion that can affect coming consumption of poor population, preparing Recommendations' Packet
Interrogatory during the project: The interrogatory among 200 TSA determined person, 200 person who denied to be TSA determined
and 400 casual picked person in Mingachevir city. The organization hold the project: Economic Research Center;Donor of the Project: The Oxfam (Novib) Organization of
NetherlandsThe sum of grant intended for project: 25.000 euro
The passport of project
1.1. General informationGeneral information – – family members of respondersfamily members of responders, , educationeducation, , the occupied statusthe occupied status, , ageage, , the information about the information about area of economic that he or she is occupiedarea of economic that he or she is occupied
2. Estimating of population’s intelligence;3. The process of applying for targeted social assistance and
about officials’ behavior;4. About officials’ abusing during determined TSA and about estimating
of corruption condition, about families’ income and expenditure;
5. . Estimating influence of TSA to real home economy level
The structure of interrogatory form
Gene coefficient
0.313
Just division of incomes
Foster-Greer-Thorbecke (FGT) poverty index
(headcount ratio) – 25,8 faiz
(poverty gap) – 7,9 faiz
(average squared normalised poverty gap) 3,6 faiz
Depth of poverty in Mingachevir
Composition of minimum consumption basket
Name of product Measure unity Azerbaijan
Russia Latvia
Bread and bread products
kq 150 220 88
Potato kq 40 150 84
Vegetable and water melon products
kq 80 92 63
Fruit and berry kq 38 25 32
Meat and meat products
kq 30 35 56
Milk and milk products
kq 190 125 350
Fish and fish products kq 5 14 13
egg number 127 180 217
Sugar and confectionery
kq 17 20 26
Oil, margarine and other fats
kq 10.мар 13 5
Animal fat kq 06.май 2,6 12
Other product (tea salt)
kq апр.75 Whole basket 1,7%
Employment status’s influence to probability getting TSA
s Employment status Probability getting tsa (coefficient)
1 Hired worker 0.564
2 Self working 0.164
3 Individual labour activity 0.006
4 In a holiday for a long time 0.472
5 Working pensioner 0.516
6 Nonworking pensioner 0.233
7 Does not work, does not search for work 0.728
8 Does not work, searches for work 0.817
9 Does not have a working ability 0.914
10 Upper of working ability age 0.361
Sorğu nəticələri
People who got TSA picked 7 documents. Responders could get TSA by presenting maximum 16 minimum 1 document.
People from Mingachevir who got TSA spent 5,1 day on it. From responders one person for 40 day 22 people for one day picked all documents.
In order to get an aid from state 94 people(49%)1 time, 52 people (25,7%) 2 times, 38 people (18,8%) 3 times, and 8 people tried much more times for “registering their documents”.
Last time during presenting documents responders lost 43 minutes in turn. 25,7% of responders informed that there was not any turn. -----------
Results of interrogatory
“ How do you estimate official’s behavior who admitted your documents?” distributing answers to this question
Attitude number of situations
percentage
Good 185 91,6
Middle 9 4,5
Bad 1 0,5
I have difficulty in
responding 1 0,5
Bureaucratic hindrance while getting tsa
“in which organization you have faced with much more problems” distributing answers to this question
Organizations Percentage
Apartment exploitation area 87,5 Notary 2,3Executive Power 1,1Other 9,1
“Do you have any information that people who do not need aid got TSA?”
the structure of answers given to this question with percentage)
46,453,6 Yes
No
Inclusion error Families who got TSA income for
per person was 21 AZN Among the surveyed TSA applied
households, the percent of households with an income of 40 AZN of above per person made up 12,9%
“Do you have any information about people who need but can not get TSA?” responders answers to this question
38%
62%
YesNo
Exclusion probability Average measure in denied families was
3,8 person and average income per person was equal to 27,4 AZN. Statistic analysis showed that despite of refusing to determine TSA, 79% of such responders’ per man average benefit was lower than need criterion(40 AZN) -----
Reasons of rejection People who refused to determine tsa
based their repudiation with below arguments:
Rejection from work suggested by employment-81,4%
Benefit is higher need criterion-14,2% Wrong showing benefit’s and familie
members’ number-3,8% Other-0,5%------
Rejection from employment mainly connected with below factors
63,5% rejected from employment because suggested work was not suitable with profession.
34,6% rejected because of unsuited salary Thus, based on rejection from work from
employment, refusing to determine TSA disorders social justice
Rejection from employment
“Which of below arguments play main role in determining tsa?” distribution answers to this question
Economic Research Center
78,4
17,5
3,1
1,0
0,0 20,0 40,0 60,0 80,0
Under the law
relations & acquiantances
None official payments
Other
During preparing prognosis for TSA in 2008, it was based on 2006 year’s information and population’s benefit admitted as unchanged, there was not considered increasing observed in 2007 and prognosticated for 2008 ;
Considering little increasing of need criterion in 2008 we can say that, prognosticated sum was not based enough;
Prognosticated sum of social guarantee expenditures per person is not correspond to life level in some regions;
Population's lower knowledge about TSA; Expensiveness of “ application cost” for getting TSA; Plenty of demanded documents for getting TSA; Problems in counting household benefit; TSA surrounds only 30% of poor population; Existing inclusion and exclusion errors
Results
Need criterion by stages has to be attained to living minimum;
Poor population has to be supplied with tsa widely as possible;
TSA prognosis have to be worked out according to level of poverty in the country and regional features;
TSA has to be given for one year; During giving TSA counting household benefit has
to be prompt and real; During giving TSA the factor of considering
family’s property has to be softened; Appeal for TSA has to be put into practice in
method “one window”
Recommendations
Baku, AzerbaijanJ.Jabbarli 44, Caspian Plaza 3, floor 9
Tel: (+99412) 437 32 30Fax: (+99412) 437 32 40web-site: www.erc-az.org e-mail: [email protected],
We express our gratitude!
Economic Research Center
