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ECONOMIC MEASURES• In order to ensure that our economic goals
of full employment, stable prices and economic growth are met, our government constantly takes measurements of the economy.
• Three important measurements are– Gross Domestic Product (GDP)– Unemployment rate– Inflation rate
GDPThis is the most important measure of
economic activity.
Gross Domestic Product
What’s a Gross What’s a Gross Domestic Product?Domestic Product? Broccoli?Broccoli? I was gonna say I was gonna say
“Preparation H.”“Preparation H.”
GDP is used to compare economies’ standard of living world wide
Top GDPs of the World
GDP is a measure of the income and expenditures of an economy.
Firms Households
Market for Factors
of Production
Market for Goods
and Services
ExpendituresExpenditures
Income
Goods & Services
Goods & Services
Labor, land, and capital
Inputs for production
ExpenditurExpenditureses
Income
+Government Spending+Government Spending 20% 20%+Government Spending+Government Spending 20% 20%
++Foreign Spending -4 % (Net Exports) ++Foreign Spending -4 % (Net Exports)
Consumer Spending Consumer Spending 71%71% (Consumption)(Consumption) Consumer Spending Consumer Spending 71%71% (Consumption)(Consumption)
+Business Spending +Business Spending 13 % 13 % ((Investment)Investment)+Business Spending +Business Spending 13 % 13 % ((Investment)Investment)
EXPENDITURES APPROACHEXPENDITURES APPROACH
Net Exports = Exports – Imports[Imports represent production outside a country]
http://www.bea.gov/national/nipaweb/TableView.asp?SelectedTable=6&ViewSeries=NO&Java=no&Request3Place=N&3Place=N&FromView=YES&Freq=Qtr&FirstYear=2011&LastYear=2011&3Place=N&Update=Update&JavaBox=no
This approach adds together all the income earned in the production of goods & services
Wages (income from labor)
+ Rents (income from natural resources)
+ Interest (income from capital investments)
+ Owner’s Income (profit earned by sole proprietorship and partnerships)
+ Corporate Profits= TOTAL INCOME EARNED
THE INCOME APPROACHTHE INCOME APPROACH
The Definition of Gross Domestic Product
GDP is the dollar value of all final goods and services
produced within a country in a given year.
PersonalPersonal Spending ( Consumption ) Spending ( Consumption )Spending by HouseholdsSpending by Households
PersonalPersonal Spending ( Consumption ) Spending ( Consumption )Spending by HouseholdsSpending by Households
EXPENDITURES APPROACHEXPENDITURES APPROACH
•Durable Goods[12%]•Nondurable Goods[29%][soup & soap]•Services[59%]
InvestmentInvestment - - Spending by BusinessesSpending by BusinessesInvestmentInvestment - - Spending by BusinessesSpending by Businesses
EXPENDITURES APPROACHEXPENDITURES APPROACH
4 Subcategories4 Subcategories A. Tools, equipment , machineryB. Buildings (offices, factories)C. Residential buildings (your house) D. Inventory adjustments
GGovernmentovernment P Purchasesurchases [state/local & federal][state/local & federal]GGovernmentovernment P Purchasesurchases [state/local & federal][state/local & federal]
EXPENDITURES APPROACHEXPENDITURES APPROACH
Government purchases of goods/services produced (not transfer payments)
3 Subcategories A. Federal government 37% B. 50 State governments C. 84,000 local governments 63% for state and
local
Net ExportsNet Exports Net ExportsNet Exports
EXPENDITURES APPROACHEXPENDITURES APPROACH
Net Exports = Exports – Imports [Imports represent production outside a country]
Intermediate GoodsIntermediate Goods – components of the final good. A. Ford buys batteriesbatteries or tirestires for its cars.
B. KFC buys chickenschickens to eventually sell to customers.
GDP measures FINAL GOODS AND SERVICES (products in the form sold to
consumers) not intermediate goods
ChevyChevy
Second Hand SalesSecond Hand Sales = no current productionno current production. A. If a 1957 Chevy1957 Chevy is bought in 2009
[It has not been produced againnot been produced again so would not count.]
B. Boots producedBoots produced in in 20002000 are bought in a Resale Store in 09. They also have not been produced againnot been produced again.
A salesman’s commission on a used good commission on a used good would countwould count. You are buying his services.
It includes goods and services CURRENTLY PRODUCED, not transactions involving goods produced in the past.
– what is not countedwhat is not counted
Purely Financial TransactionsPurely Financial Transactions – stocks, bonds, CDs. There is no current productionno current production. A. If 100 shares of Dell stock100 shares of Dell stock is bought
I’m going to buy 100 I’m going to buy 100 shares of Dell Stock.shares of Dell Stock.
Exchanging one financial asset for anotherExchanging one financial asset for another
–– what is not countedwhat is not countedTransfer PaymentTransfer Paymentss ––welfare, unemployment, social securitywelfare, unemployment, social security. [There is no contribution to final production]
“Now that I’ve gotten my welfare check, I can get a mini iPod.”
Unreported Legal Business ActivityUnreported Legal Business Activity
Unreported “legal”“legal” business activity does not count.This is two-thirdstwo-thirds of the “underground economy.”“underground economy.”
What if an eye surgeon doesn’t reportdoesn’t report $500 $500 of his his $3,400 IntraLASIK bill?
And what if thiswaitress doesn’tdoesn’treport all tipsreport all tips?
And what if the dentist doesn’t doesn’t report $400 forreport $400 forteeth whiteningteeth whitening?
Illegal business activity is also not counted.Illegal business activity is also not counted.
Illegal business activity, because it goes unreported,also does not count. Making up 1/31/3 of the “underground“undergroundeconomy,”economy,” it includes murder for hire, gambling, and drugs
“I’m getting $1,000 to killyou, Ziggy, but at least itwill not count in GDP.”
Non-market Transactions Non-market Transactions Are Not Are Not CountedCounted
Work in your own householdown household or volunteer workvolunteer workin the community does not count because there wasno payment.
So, don’t marry your housekeeper, gardener, don’t marry your housekeeper, gardener, or or
fitness instructorfitness instructor, or you will hurt GDP.
It measures the value of production that takes place WITHIN A SPECIFIC TIME PERIOD, usually a year or a quarter (three months).
The Measurement of GDP
GDP - LocationGDP - LocationAll goods/services produced All goods/services produced legally for pay legally for pay inin a country’s borders. a country’s borders.[[GeographyGeography matters, matters, not citizenshipnot citizenship]]
GNP – OwnershipGNP – OwnershipAll goods/services produced All goods/services produced legally for pay legally for pay byby citizens of a country. citizens of a country.[[CitizenshipCitizenship mattered, mattered, not geography]not geography]
The difference between GDP & GNP is about 2/10 of 1%.
Nike inNike inIndonesiaIndonesia
Plano, TXPlano, TX
ChinaChina EuropeEurope
BMW in WacoBMW in Waco
PProvo,rovo,UTUT
Honda in OhioHonda in Ohio
in Chicagoin Chicago
Nominal GDP versus Real GDP
• We use GDP to evaluate whether or not our economy is growing.
• If we produce more goods and services this year than last year we can conclude that we are growing.
• Because GDP is measured by adding up our spending on output (PRICE X quantity) this is not always clear since prices tend to rise from year to year.
Nominal GDP versus Real GDP• Nominal GDP is the dollar amount we
spent this year on goods and services. – It is found by multiplying output bought at
current price level. If we have inflation nominal GDP goes up.
Calculating Nominal GDP:
2001 ($1 per hot dog x 100 hot dogs) + ($2 per hamburger x 50 hamburgers) = $200
2002 ($2 per hot dog x 150 hot dogs) + ($3 per hamburger x 100 hamburgers) = $600
2003 ($3 per hot dog x 200 hot dogs) + ($4 per hamburger x 150 hamburgers) = $1200
Nominal GDP versus Real GDP
• Real GDP is corrected for the effects of inflation. – It is found by multiplying output bought at a
constant price level. If Real GDP has increased then output has increased.
Calculating Real GDP (base year 2001):
2001 ($1 per hot dog x 100 hot dogs) + ($2 per hamburger x 50 hamburgers) = $200
2002 ($1 per hot dog x 150 hot dogs) + ($2 per hamburger x 100 hamburgers) = $350
2003 ($1 per hot dog x 200 hot dogs) + ($2 per hamburger x 150 hamburgers) = $500
GDP Deflator
• An accurate view of the economy requires adjusting nominal to real GDP by using the GDP deflator.
• The GDP deflator measures the current level of prices relative to the level of prices in the base year.
• It tells us the rise in nominal GDP that is attributable to a rise in prices rather than a rise in the quantities produced.
GDP Deflator
100GDP Real
GDP Nominal=deflator GDP
The GDP deflator is calculated as follows:
100X )deflator (GDP) GDP (Nominal
=GDP Real20xx
20xx20xx
Converting Nominal GDP to Real GDP
Nominal GDP is converted to real GDP as follows:
GDP Growth• How fast GDP grows determines to a large
extent the level of economic prosperity a country enjoys.
• For a nation to enjoy continued prosperity GDP must grow at a faster rate than the population.
• GDP growth can be determined using the rate of change formula.
Current GDP – Previous GDP x 100
Previous GDP
GDP and Economic Well-Being
• GDP is the best single measure of the economic well-being of a society.
• GDP per person (per capita) tells us the income and expenditure of the average person in the economy.
• Higher GDP per person indicates a higher standard of living.
GDP IS NOT A PERFECT MEASURE
• Does not include the value of leisure time.
• Does not include value of labor done at home or on a volunteer basis.
• Excludes any measure of the quality of the environment.
• Does not account for the unequal distribution of income.
• May overstate incomes & production because of inflation
Q2
CHANGES IN GDP
o
P1
AS1
AD1
a
Q1
Pri
ce L
evel
Real Gross Domestic Product
bP2
AD2
The level of output (income and expenditures) is changed if there is a change in AGGREGATE DEMAND.
Q2
CHANGES IN GDP
o
P1
AS1
AD1
a
Q1
Pri
ce L
evel
Real Gross Domestic Product
bP2
AS2
The level of output (income and expenditures) is changed if there is a change in AGGREGATE SUPPLY.